From a Culture of Evidence to a Culture of Action & Inquiry APPENDIX: Examples of Outcomes Data That Matter Dr. Rob Johnstone Aspen / ATD Leadership Symposium Wye River, MD April 1, 2014 www.inquiry2improvement.com Acknowledgements The content in this presentation has been collected from a variety of sources, all of which are publicly available on websites or have been presented in public settings. These sources include local college IR efforts, state system efforts, and national projects such as: Completion by Design The Aspen Prize for Community College Excellence The Carnegie Foundation’s Statway / Quantway Collegemeasures.org Content has also been developed by and with a host of national partners, including CCRC, the Aspen Institute, the RP Group (CA), and AIR (American Institutes for Research) National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com April 2014 Examples of Data that Matter www.inquiry2improvement.com 3 Aspen’s Take on Data that Matters: Progress / Completion Outcomes Data Labor Market Outcomes Data Learning Outcomes Data Equitable Outcomes Data National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 4 April 2014 Progress / Completion Data: A “Quick” Look www.inquiry2improvement.com 5 Completion Example #1 CUNY ASAP Program Graduation Rates National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 6 ASAP Program Results http://www.cuny.edu/academics/programs/notable/asap/about.html 7 Completion Example #2 Completion Rates in Completion by Design National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 8 Example from CBD: Outcomes for LAS Concentrators Outcomes by CTE Concentrators Completion Example #3 Valencia College National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 11 Outcomes of Prize finalist colleges: Exceptional improvements over time in completion Progress Example 1: Grades in Sequenced Courses National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 13 Grades in Sequenced Courses Backdrop • Course sequences analyzed in Mathematics, English, Biology, Chemistry, Physics & Economics • Relationship between grade in 1st course in sequence and success in 2nd course in sequence was examined. • Enrollment data tracked over five-year period • Selected highlight slides follow; full PPT provided on request National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Data Too Often Presented Like This… Count % of Total N Success Rate in Math 310 A in Math 308 5,659 10% 81% B in Math 308 7,726 13% 60% C in Math 308 7,234 12% 37% Unclear Status in Math 308* 1,675 3% 16% Math 310 Repeater / Non Success 14,568 25% 41% Math 310 Attempt was First Math Course 16,812 29% 57% Taking Math 308 / 310 in Same Semester 4,505 8% 68% Other 487 1% 44% Total 58,666 100% 53% Status in Math 310 National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 15 And Not Often Enough Like This… Pre-Algebra Introductory Algebra Intermediate Algebra TransferLevel Math 306 Math 308 Math 310 Math 1300s The grade received by students in Math 308 Success Rate of those same students in Math 310 100% 81% A B 90% 80% 70% Those placing directly into Math 310 60% 57% 60% 50% 37% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Calculus Course Sequence Calculus I Calculus II MATH 2413 MATH 2414 The grade received by students in Math 2413 Success Rate of those same students in Math 2414 100% 90% A B 78% Those placing directly into Math 2414 72% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Developmental Education Writing Course Sequence Two Levels below Transfer One Level below Transfer One Level Transfer below Level English Transfer ENGL 306 ENGL 307 ENGL 1301 The grade received by students in English 307 Success Rate of those same students in English 1301 100% 90% A Those placing directly into English 1301 74% 71% 61% 80% 70% 60% B 46% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% College Biology Course Sequence Anatomy Physiology BIO 2401 BIO 2402 The grade received by students in Biology 2401 Success Rate of those same students in Biology 2402 100% 88% A B Those placing directly into Biology 2402 72% 90% 80% 70% 67% 60% 50% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% College Chemistry Course Sequence General Chemistry I General Chemistry II CHEM 1411 CHEM 1412 The grade received by students in Chemistry 1411 Success Rate of those same students in Chemistry 1412 100% A B 86% 90% 80% Those placing directly into Chemistry 1412 70% 66% 70% 60% 46% 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Economics Course Sequence Macro Economics Micro Economics ECON 2301 ECON 2302 The grade received by students in Economics 2301 Success Rate of those same students in Economics 2302 100% 89% A 81% Those placing directly into Economics 2302 74% 71% 90% 80% 70% 60% B 50% 40% 30% 20% C 10% 0% Progress Example 2: Developmental Education Cohort Tracking National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 22 Math cohort tracking starting in Pre-Algebra PRE-ALGEBRA INTRODUCTORY ALGEBRA INTERMEDIATE ALGEBRA TRANSFER LEVEL 100% 100% Attempt the Course 72% Pass the Course 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Of the original cohort 43% Attempt the 27% Pass Course the 40% 30% Of the original cohort Course National Center for Inquiry & Improvement 20% 18% 11% Pass Attempt Of the original cohort www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. 10% 5%Pass Att 4% 0% Math cohort tracking starting in Introductory Algebra PRE-ALGEBRA INTRODUCTORY ALGEBRA INTERMEDIATE ALGEBRA TRANSFER LEVEL 100% 100% Attempt the Course 64% Pass the Course 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 50% Attempt 39% Pass the the Course Course Of the original cohort 40% 30% Of the original cohort 25% 19% Pass Attempt 20% 10% 0% National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. Math cohort tracking starting in Intermediate Algebra PRE-ALGEBRA INTRODUCTORY ALGEBRA INTERMEDIATE ALGEBRA TRANSFER LEVEL 100% 100% Attempt the Course 67% Pass the Course 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Of the original cohort 50% Attempt 37% Pass the the Course Course 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. English Writing cohort tracking starting at Developmental Writing I DEV WRITING I DEV WRITING II COMPOSITION I COMPOSITION II 100% 100% Attempt the Course 71% Pass the Course 90% 80% 70% 60% Of the original cohort 53% Attempt 45% Pass the the Course Course National Center for Inquiry & Improvement 50% 40% Of the original cohort 33% Attempt 26% Pass the Course www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. 30% 20% 10% 0% English Writing cohort tracking starting at Developmental Writing II DEV WRITING I DEV WRITING II COMPOSITION I COMPOSITION II 100% 100% Attempt the 78% Pass Course the Course 90% 80% 70% 65% Attempt 54% Pass the the Course Course Of the original cohort 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com Notes: Enrollments from Fall 2009 thru Spring 2012; Success is defined as A/B/C/CR grade. Progress Example 3: Look for Examples from Four-Year Schools: Retention & Progress at Georgia State http://www.edtrust.org/higher_ed_practice_guide for more examples National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 28 First Year to Second Year Retention, Georgia State University 80% 82% 81% FALL '00 FALL '01 FALL '02 83% FALL '03 80% 81% 82% 83% 83% FALL '04 FALL '05 FALL '06 FALL '07 FALL '08 Retention National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 29 First Year Retention & Progression Rates - Georgia State University 82% 80% 83% 81% 83% 83% 82% 81% 80% 67% 62% 49% 27% 28% FALL '01 FALL '02 33% 35% FALL '03 FALL '04 39% 22% FALL '00 Retention National Center for Inquiry & Improvement FALL '05 FALL '06 FALL '07 FALL '08 Retained & Sophomore www.inquiry2improvement.com 30 April 2014 Labor Market Outcomes Data: A Quick Look www.inquiry2improvement.com 31 Labor Market Outcomes Example 1: CollegeMeasures.org ESM for Program-Level LMI Data National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 32 CollegeMeasures.org is one possibility to get LMI data ● Collaboration between the Lumina Foundation and AIR ● Six states currently signed on - AR, CO, FL, TN, TX, VA ● Any state can theoretically participate ● Check it out: http://www.collegemeasures.org/esm/ National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 33 Wages of Individual Degree Programs at an Arkansas CC Earnings PRECISION PRODUCTION $45,510 NURSING $44,988 CRIMINAL JUSTICE $30,297 COMPUTER/IS $27,952 LIBERAL ARTS $24,724 BUSINESS $24,374 ACCOUNTING $22,903 MEDICAL OFFICE MANAGEMENT $20,517 CHILDCARE/SUPPORT SERVICES $18,078 $0 $10,000 National Center for Inquiry & Improvement $20,000 $30,000 www.inquiry2improvement.com $40,000 $50,000 34 Wage Earning Rate of Individual <1 Year Certificate Programs at a Colorado CC Wage Earning Rate BUSINESS ADMIN. 51% HEALTH AIDES 37% CRIMINAL JUSTICE 32% MEDICAL ASSISTING 29% COMPUTER/IS 28% REAL ESTATE 24% ARCHITECTURAL ENGINEERING 23% LAB SCIENCE/RESEARCH 20% DIAGNOSTIC/INTERVENTION 19% PRACTICAL NURSING 16% 0% 10% 20% National Center for Inquiry & Improvement 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% www.inquiry2improvement.com 80% 90% 100% 35 Wages for AA Degrees in Business / Mgmt / Marketing in Tennessee, By College Earnings COLLEGE M $39,462 COLLEGE L $39,127 COLLEGE K $36,848 COLLEGE J $36,108 COLLEGE I $35,984 COLLEGE H $33,954 COLLEGE G $33,044 COLLEGE F $32,790 COLLEGE E $31,897 COLLEGE D $31,031 COLLEGE C $30,487 COLLEGE B $29,591 COLLEGE A $27,518 $0 $10,000 National Center for Inquiry & Improvement $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 www.inquiry2improvement.com $50,000 36 Wage Earning Rate of Licensed Vocational Nurses in Virginia, By College Wage Earning Rate COLLEGE H 67% 41% COLLEGE G 63% 54% COLLEGE F 63% 52% COLLEGE E 62% 46% COLLEGE D 60% 37% COLLEGE C 56% 42% COLLEGE B 48% 22% COLLEGE A 33% 0% 10% 20% 30% Wage Rate National Center for Inquiry & Improvement 44% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Above Avg Wage Rate www.inquiry2improvement.com 37 Labor Market Outcomes Example 2: Aspen Prize’s Approach for Comparing Labor Market Outcomes National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 38 Aspen Prize Sample Model Comparing Labor Market Outcomes Employment Metrics Earnings and Wage Metrics County-level Economic Context Metrics Annualized Salaries and Wages for Employed 2006 Graduates in 2011 Class of 2006 Relative Wages Class of 2011 Composite Employment Index Class of 2006 Composite Employment Annualized Salaries and Wages for 2011 Employed Graduates 2011 County Unemployment Rate County 5 Year Employ ment Growth Rate County Community College 239 209 $55,784 180% $79,204 161% 76% 8.4% 7.0% Peer College 2 176 182 $24,969 85% $48,130 102% 80% 9.0% -8.1% Peer College 3 175 154 $20,304 89% $29,475 89% 67% 7.5% 1.4% Peer College 4 153 151 $21,637 77% $41,894 99% 76% 9.5% 9.9% Peer College 5 218 208 $28,353 138% $36,830 100% 86% 4.2% 0.9% Peer College 6 137 157 $27,533 101% $43,973 91% 77% 8.6% -3.0% Peer College 7 175 170 $23,483 96% $38,429 89% 77% 7.6% -7.5% Peer College 8 147 120 $22,919 68% $34,005 76% 46% 10.4% 1.6% Peer College 9 164 181 $40,966 177% $58,470 151% 72% 7.5% 5.0% 184 146 $21,227 84% $35,818 86% 72% 8.3% -2.5% 177 168 $28,717 109% $44,622 105% 73% 8.1% -1.4% Institution Peer College 10 Peer-group average National Center for Inquiry & Improvement Class of 2011 Relative Wages County Civilian Workforce Participation Rate www.inquiry2improvement.com 39 Lessons from the Aspen Prize for Community College Excellence Outcomes of Prize finalist colleges: Exceptional short-term labor market outcomes for graduates Average salaries of recent graduates compared to the average for all new-hires in the region (TOP THREE PERFORMERS) $56,576 82% above avg. $41,548 79% above avg. $28,756 $20,540 40% above avg. Regional average Lake Area Technical Institute (SD) $23,211 $31,086 Regional average Regional average Walla Walla Community College (WA) Brazosport College (TX) 40 COLLEGE EXCELLENCE PROGRAM Lessons from the Aspen Prize for Community College Excellence Outcomes of Prize finalist colleges: Exceptional long-term labor market outcomes $77,272 Average salaries of graduates 5 years after graduation compared to the average for all workers in the region (TOP THREE PERFORMERS) 65% above avg. $63,016 $57,044 55% above avg. $36,803 $45,664 38% above avg. $46,832 Regional average Regional average Regional average Walla Walla Community College (WA) Miami-Dade College (FL) Brazosport College (TX) 41 COLLEGE EXCELLENCE PROGRAM April 2014 Learning Outcomes Data: A Quick Look www.inquiry2improvement.com 42 Goals of Learning Outcomes Assessment •An ideal Learning Outcomes Assessment process: Focuses on authenticity vs. compliance Is driven & supported by the practitioners tasked with improvement Leads to the generation of insight that is woven into improvement efforts Creates campus conversations about student success and improving outcomes National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 43 Learning Outcomes Assessment Thoughts • Lots of outcomes to assess: Institutional Learning Outcomes General Education Learning Outcomes Program Learning Outcomes Course-level Learning Outcomes • Challenging & complex – but critical to work on generating insight and improvement at all levels National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 44 Learning Outcomes Assessment Thoughts • Not many nationally normed LOA models aside from standardized tests (e.g. CLA & CAP) – many local models that are good •Accreditation focus on LOA has resulted in a massive collection / reporting effort – taking away from the actual use of data for improvement… National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 45 Learning Outcomes Assessment Thoughts • Check out how CCBC’s Executive Summaries at link tell the assessment & improvement story at the course level My favorite all-time story is Chem 108 – tells how an attempt to improve outcomes actually made it worse, but then further redesign achieved very high levels – tells that LOA is a journey to improvement story • CCBC also strong on LOA at GE levels through a rubric assessment model – see link for more info National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 46 Learning Outcomes Examples • Alverno College The gold standard example of LOA – check out the student, community, and faculty responses in addition to the mechanics - link • Valencia College detailed program level assessments, excellent sharing of LOA outcomes with peers – link • Santa Barbara City College closing the loop by focusing on improvement plans – link • West Kentucky Community & Technical College overall approach to student learning; significant gains in reading based on LOA assessment – link National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 47 April 2014 Equitable Outcomes: A Quick Look www.inquiry2improvement.com 48 Equitable Outcomes Example 1: Northern Virginia CC & Transfers to George Mason University National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 49 Northern Virginia Community College Students Transferring into George Mason University 2005–2012 Source: SCHEV 2014 Equitable Outcomes Example 2: Statway / Quantway looks at Program Effects by Gender & Race National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 51 Statway looks at Pathway thru Algebra Success by Gender & Ethnicity Non-Statway 55% Statway 49% Statway Non-Statway 52% 14% Non-Statway 13% 16% 45% Female Black 52% 47% Male 7% Statway 63% 14% 18% Hispanic Note. Data from unknown gender status were not presented; very few were unknown. “Other” also contains data from unknown status. White 18% Other* 52 Gender and Race/Ethnicity Non-Statway 67% Statway 59% 49% 52% 49% 52% 38% 17% 12% 7% Black 20% 42% 20% 17% 17% 9% Hispanic White Female Other* Black Hispanic White Other* Male Note. Data from unknown gender status were not presented; very few were unknown. “Other” also contains data from unknown status. 53 College Level Math Success By College 100% Triple the Success 14 17 1 Statway 50% 18 8 13 11 9 5 3 2 6 7 19 No Difference 15 Statway 0% 0% -50% 50% Non-Statway 52% Non-Statway 14% 100% 54 College Level Math Success - Faculty Statway 100% 50% Statway Non-Statway 52% 14% 0% 0% 50% Non-Statway 100% 55 Equitable Outcomes Example 3: Aspen Prize’s Approach for Comparing Equitable Outcomes at the College Level National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 56 An Aspen Prize Finalist Achieves Near Equity in Outcomes National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 57 Lessons from the Aspen Prize for Community College Excellence Outcomes of Prize finalist colleges: Far greater equity in outcomes than the national average Three-year completion and/or transfer rates for underrepresented minority students compared to the national average 49% 44% 34% National Average Finalist Average Top 3 Average • • • Brazosport College (TX) Santa Barbara City College (CA) Santa Fe College (FL) 58 COLLEGE EXCELLENCE PROGRAM Lessons from the Aspen Prize for Community College Excellence Outcomes of Prize finalist colleges: Exceptional equity in access for underrepresented populations % Difference between underrepresented minority enrollment in institution and percentage of the population in the college’s service area (TOP THREE PERFORMERS) 20% 15% 0% means the college’s enrollment has the same proportion of underrepresented minority students as the general population; i.e., minorities are fully represented at the college 13% 10% 6% 5% 1% 0% -5% CUNY Kingsborough Community College (NYC) Walla Walla Community College (WA) Broward College (FL) 59 COLLEGE EXCELLENCE PROGRAM Find Out More • The National Center for Inquiry & Improvement website www.inquiry2improvement.com • Dr. Rob Johnstone, Founder & President rob@inquiry2improvement.com • CBD Inquiry Guides on Applied Inquiry & Nuances of Completion: http://www.inquiry2improvement.com/publicationsresources National Center for Inquiry & Improvement www.inquiry2improvement.com 60