3 Financial Analysis Prepared by: Michel Paquet SAIT Polytechnic 1 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Chapter 3 - Outline • • • • • 2 of 33 What is Financial Analysis? 4 Categories of Financial Ratios Techniques of Ratio Analysis Distortion in Financial Reporting Summary and Conclusions ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Learning Objectives 1. Calculate 13 financial ratios that measure profitability, asset utilization, liquidity and debt utilization. (LO1) 2. Assess a company’s source of profitability using the DuPont system of analysis. (LO2) 3. Examine the ratios in comparison to industry averages. (LO3) 4. Examine the ratios and company performance by means of trend analysis. (LO4) 5. Identify sources of distortion in reported income. (LO5) 3 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 What is Financial Analysis? • Evaluating a firm’s financial performance • Calculating ratios to reveal relationships between different accounts of financial statements • Linking ratios to reveal the factors determining a firm’s profitability and value • Financial analysis may not answer questions, but leads to further inquiry 4 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 Classification System of Financial Ratios A. B. C. D. 5 of 33 Profitability Ratios Asset Utilization Ratios Liquidity Ratios Debt Utilization Ratios ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 A. Profitability Ratios Show how profitable a company is The ratios are: 1. Profit margin 2. Return on assets (ROA) (investment) 3. Return on equity (ROE) (common shareholders) 6 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 B. Asset Utilization Ratios Show how effectively a company uses its assets The ratios are: 4a. Receivable turnover 4b. Average collection period (days sales outstanding) 5a. Inventory turnover 5b. Inventory holding period 6a. Accounts payable turnover 6b. Accounts payable period 7. Capital asset turnover 8. Total asset turnover 7 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 C. Liquidity Ratios Show how liquid a company is or how much cash it has to meet short-term needs. The ratios are: 9. Current Ratio 10. Quick Ratio 8 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 D. Debt Utilization Ratios Show how well a company is managing or using debt The ratios are 11. Debt to total assets 12. Times interest earned 13. Fixed charge coverage 9 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO2 Which ratio(s) is/are most important? It depends on your perspective • Suppliers and banks (short-term creditors) are most interested in liquidity ratios • Shareholders are most interested in profitability ratios • Long-term creditors concentrate on debt utilization ratios • The effective utilization of assets is management’s responsibility 10 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 Table 3-1a Financial statements for ratio analysis SAXTON COMPANY Income Statement For the Year 2009 Sales (all on credit) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Cost of goods sold . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Gross profit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Selling and administrative expense* . . . . . . . . . Operating profit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Interest expense . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Extraordinary loss . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Net income before taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Taxes (50%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Net income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 4,000,000 3,000,000 1,000,000 450,000 550,000 50,000 100,000 400,000 200,000 $ 200,000 * Includes $50,000 in lease payments. 11 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 Table 3-1b Financial statements for ratio analysis Balance Sheet As of December 31, 2009 Assets Cash Marketable securities Accounts receivable Inventory Total current assets Net plant and equipment Total assets Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity Accounts payable Notes payable Total current liabilities Long-term liabilities Total liabilities Common stock Retained earnings Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 12 of 33 $ 30,000 50,000 350,000 370,000 800,000 800,000 $1,600,000 $ 50,000 250,000 300,000 300,000 600,000 400,000 600,000 $1,600,000 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 Profitability ratios(a) Saxton Company $200,000 = 5% $4,000,000 3-1. Profit margin = Net income Sales Industry Average 6.5% 3-2. Return on assets (ROA) (investment) = $200,000 $1,600,000 a. Net income Total assets b. Net income Sales Sales Total assets 13 of 33 = 12.5% 5% x 2.5 = 12.5% 10% 6.5% x 1.5 = 10% ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1/LO2 Profitability ratios(b) Saxton Company Industry Average 3-3. Return on equity (ROE) = a. Net income Shareholders’ equity $200,000 $1,000,000 Total assets $1,600,000 b. Equity multiplier = $1,000,000 Equity c. ROA × Equity multiplier = 14 of 33 = 20% = 1.6 0.125 × 1.60 = 20% 15% 1 0.6667 = 1.5 0.10 × 1.50 = 15% ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO2 DuPont Analysis • Reveals the relationships between profitability ratios and asset utilization ratios and debt utilization ratios • Decomposes a firm’s profitability into several determining factors ROA = = Net Income Assets Net Income x Sales Profit Margin 15 of 33 Sales Assets Asset Turnover ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO2 DuPont Analysis ROE Net Income = Equity = Net Income x Sales Sales Assets x Assets Equity Profit Margin Asset Turnover 16 of 33 Equity Multiplier ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO2 Figure 3-1 DuPont analysis Net income Profit margin Sales Asset turnover Return on assets = Total assets Return on Equity Total assets Financing plan (Equity multiplier) Equity 17 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO2 Applying DuPont Analysis on the Rails Profit Company Margin X Asset Return on Equity Return Turnover = Assets X Multiplier = on Equity CP Rail 20.09% 0.3522 7.07% 2.45 17.33% CN Rail 27.32 0.3366 9.20 2.31 21.24 Loblaw 1.12 2.15 2.41 2.47 5.95 Cdn Tire 4.80 1.28 6.20 2.18 13.50 18 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1/LO3 Asset utilization ratios(a) Saxton Company Industry Average 3-4a. Receivables turnover = Sales (credit) Receivables $4,000,000 $350,000 = 11.4 10 times 3-4b. Average collection period = Accounts receivable Average daily credit sales 3-5a. Inventory turnover = Cost of Goods Sold Inventory 19 of 33 $350,000 $10,959 = 32 36 days $3,000,000 = 8.1 $370,000 7 times ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1/LO3 Asset utilization ratios(b) Saxton Company Industry Average 3-5b. Inventory holding period = Inventory Average daily COGS $370,000 $8,219 = 45 52 days 3-6a. Accounts payable turnover = Cost of goods sold Accounts payable 3-6b. Accounts payable period = Accounts payable Average daily purchases (COGS) 20 of 33 $3,000,000 = 60.0 $50,000 $50,000 $8,219 = 6 12 times 30 days ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1/LO3 Asset utilization ratios(c) Saxton Company Industry Average 3-7. Capital asset turnover = Sales Capital assets $4,000,000 = 5.0 $800,000 5.4 times $4,000,000 = 2.5 $1,600,000 1.5 times 3-8. Total asset turnover = Sales Total assets 21 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1/LO3 Liquidity ratios Saxton Company Industry Average 3-9. Current ratio = Current assets Current liabilities $800,000 = 2.67 $300,000 2.1 $430,000 = 1.43 $300,000 1.0 3-10. Quick ratio = Current assets – Inventory Current liabilities 22 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1/LO3 Debt utilization ratios Saxton Company Industry Average 3-11. Debt to total assets = Total debt Total assets $600,000 = 37.5% $1,600,000 33% 3-12. Times interest earned = Income before interest and taxes Interest $550,000 = 11 $50,000 7 times $600,000 = 6 $100,000 5.5 times 3-13. Fixed charge coverage = Income before fixed charges and taxes Fixed charges 23 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO3 Table 3-2a Ratio analysis(a) Saxton Company A. Profitability 1. Profit margin……………… 2. Return on assets………..…. 3. Return on equity…………. B. Asset Utilization 4a. Receivables turnover ……... 4b.Average collection period…. 5a. Inventory turnover ………... 5b.Inventory holding period...... 6a. Accounts payable turnover... 6b.Accounts payable period...... 7. Capital asset turnover ……. 8. Total asset turnover ………. 24 of 33 5.0% 12.5% 20% 11.4 32.0 8.1 45 60 6 5.0 2.5 Industry Average Comparison 6.5% Below average 10% Above average due to high 8 15% Good due to ratios 2 and 11 10.0 36.0 7.0 52 12 30 5.4 1.5 Good Good Good Good Good Good Below average Good ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO3 Table 3-2b Ratio analysis(b) Saxton Company Industry Average Comparison C. Liquidity 9. Current ratio ……………… 2.67 10. Quick ratio ……………….. 1.43 2.1 1.0 Good Good D. Debt Utilization 11. Debt to total assets ……….. 37.5% 12. Times interest earned ……. 11 13. Fixed charge coverage ……. 6 33% 7 5.5 Slightly more debt Good Good 25 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1/LO2/LO3/LO4 Techniques of Ratio Analysis 1. 2. 3. 4. 26 of 33 DuPont Analysis Comparative Analysis Trend Analysis Common-Size Statements ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO3/LO4 Comparative vs. Trend Analysis • Ratios on their own do not mean a lot • Comparing a company’s ratios to those of its industry or its competitors is comparative analysis and may reveal what ratios are out of line with certain standards • Comparing the same company’s ratios over a number of years is trend analysis and may reveal whether ratios are improving or worsening 27 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO4 Table 3-3 Trend analysis of competitors Bank of Montreal Return on Assets 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 0.79 0.60 0.56 0.71 0.87 0.81 0.83 0.58 Return on Equity 18.0 13.8 13.4 16.4 18.1 14.5 17.7 13.9 Royal Bank Return on Assets 0.81 0.74 0.76 0.73 0.66 0.72 0.88 0.90 Return on Equity 19.8 16.4 15.5 16.8 15.7 17.1 21.4 22.1 Source: Bank of Montreal annual reports www.bmo.com Royal Bank of Canada annual reports www.rbc.com 28 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO4 FIGURE 3-2 Trend analysis 29 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO5 Distortion in Financial Reporting • Historical-based accounting in an environment of changing prices may distort financial results: -- immediate effect of price changes on revenues versus delayed impact on asset values • Accrual-based accounting allows certain leeway in matching the revenues and expenses -- cost of goods sold (LIFO vs. FIFO) -- asset write-downs -- net income 30 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Income Statement Illustration of different income reporting methods Income Statement Table 3-7 LO5 For the Year 2009 Conservative (A) Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . $4,000,000 Cost of goods sold . . . . . . . 3,000,000 Gross profit . . . . . . . . . . 1,000,000 Selling and administrative expense . . 450,000 Operating profit . . . . . . . . 550,000 Interest expense . . . . . . . . 50,000 Net income before taxes . . . . . 500,000 Taxes (40%) . . . . . . . . . 200,000 Net income . . . . . . . . . . 300,000 Extraordinary loss (net of tax) . . . 60,000 Net income transferred to retained earnings $ 240,000 31 of 33 High Reported Income (B) $4,200,000 2,400,000 1,800,000 450,000 1,350,000 50,000 1,300,000 520,000 780,000 — $ 780,000 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO5 Inflation’s Impact on Profits • FIFO (First-In, First-Out) Inventory: —Lowers COGS —Raises Profits • LIFO (Last-In, First-Out) Inventory: —Raises COGS —Lowers Profits 32 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Summary and Conclusions • Financial ratios cover 4 areas of management: profitability, asset utilization, liquidity and debt utilization. • The DuPont system of analysis tells us that the profit margin, asset turnover, and debt usage each contributes to return on equity. • Ratios should be compared to industry average (comparative analysis) as well as historical data (trend analysis). • What ratios do is to suggest aspects requiring further exploration. It is the manager/analyst’s job to answer the questions revealed by ratios. • Analysts should also be aware of the distortion in financial reporting. 33 of 33 ©2009 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited