Running head: LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP LTP Comprehensive Financial Analysis Paper of Rite Aid Corporation Team A: Kate Daisher, Jenny Engle, Jim Hamilton, Kate Hamilton, Ruth Kowalk Siena Heights University LDR 640 Financial Systems Management Prof. Lihua Dishman May 26, 2014 1 LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 2 Abstract This study looks at five types of financial ratios and utilizes them to analyze Rite Aid Corporation over the last three years. Each of the ratios used were first studied and defined so that the information generated from their calculations could be pondered and discussed. The same ratios are used to compare Rite Aid to its two top competitors, Walgreen’s and CVS. After careful analysis of all the information, recommendations are given as to how Rite Aid might advance their business model going forward. When looking at the analysis compiled, the study shows that Rite Aid is currently third behind Walgreen’s and CVS. It was also found that Rite Aid has had some financial troubles recently within their company. The good news is that they are currently trending in a positive manner and signs point to a financially sound future. Once on the brink of disaster, Rite Aid has turned the corner and their future looks bright. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 3 LTP Comprehensive Financial Analysis Rite Aid Corp Five categories of financial ratios can be used to evaluate and compare the financial position and stability of a company. By using information from the balance sheet, the income statement and the statement of cash flows, company executives and investors/bankers are able to determine the financial state of a company. Investors and bankers are very interested in the financial ratios of companies, as this is some of the information used in order to make financial decisions with regards to the company. Financial ratios provide a sense of how well a company’s resources are being managed. The ratios may also reflect upon the risk factor that is associated with stock of the particular company. The five categories used to evaluate the financial state of a company are: liquidity ratios, solvency ratios, asset management ratios, profitability ratios and market value ratios. Ratios are best utilized, and can reveal much about a company, when they are shown in comparison “over a period of time and against other companies” (“How to Use Financial Ratios,” n.d.). Liquidity ratios measure a company’s ability to meet their short-term obligations with current assets. Current ratio and quick ratio fall into this category. In both cases, a result that is above or equal to one indicates that meeting short term obligations should be relatively easy for a company. Solvency ratios are also called leverage ratios and provide analysis of the ability of a company to pay their long-term debt. This is done by looking at debt in comparison with equity, assets and earnings. Common solvency ratios include debt ratio, debt to equity ratio and timesinterest earned ratio. Asset management ratios are used to analyze how well a company generates revenue with the use of their assets. The inventory turnover ratio and the total asset turnover ratio are included in this category. High asset turnover ratios indicate that a company is effectively using assets to produce sales (“Asset Management Ratios,” n.d.). The profitability LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 4 ratios of a company measure how efficiently a company is in generating revenue in comparison with sales, assets and equity. Profitability ratios include return on sales ratio, return on total assets ratio and return on total equity ratios. The last category of ratios is the market value ratios which includes earnings per share ratio and price to earnings ratio. These are useful in evaluating the economic state of a company. “When a stock analyst wants to understand how other investors value a company, they look at market ratios. These measures all have one factor in common; they’re evaluating the current market price of a share of common stock versus an indicator of the company’s ability to generate profits or assets held by the company” (“Market Ratios,” 2012-2014). The financial ratios of Rite Aid will be used and then contrasted and compared with the same financial ratios of their top two competitors, CVS and Walgreens. These three drug store chains are often present in the same communities. Which is your favorite – where will you go next to purchase prescriptions, print pictures or pick up that needed greeting card? LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 5 Rite Aid Financial Statements Tables 1 presents the balance sheet, table 2 the income statement, and table 3 the statement of cash flow of our chosen company - Rite Aid. Table 1 Rite Aid 2014 Balance Sheet ($, in million) In Millions of USD (except for per share items) Cash & Equivalents Short Term Investments Cash and Short Term Investments Accounts Receivable - Trade, Net Receivables - Other Total Receivables, Net Total Inventory Prepaid Expenses Other Current Assets, Total Total Current Assets Property/Plant/Equipment, Total - Gross Accumulated Depreciation, Total Goodwill, Net Intangibles, Net Long Term Investments Other Long Term Assets, Total Total Assets Accounts Payable Accrued Expenses Notes Payable/Short Term Debt Current Port. of LT Debt/Capital Leases Other Current liabilities, Total Total Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Capital Lease Obligations Total Long Term Debt Total Debt Deferred Income Tax As of As of 2014-03-01 2013-03-02 146.41 129.45 146.41 129.45 949.06 929.48 949.06 929.48 2,993.95 3,154.74 195.71 195.38 4,285.12 4,409.05 4,865.36 -2,969.71 431.23 464.40 271.19 309.62 6,944.87 7,078.72 1,292.42 1,384.64 1,165.86 1,156.32 0.00 49.17 37.31 2,507.45 2,578.27 5,632.80 5,904.37 75.17 91.85 5,707.97 5,996.22 5,757.14 6,033.53 - LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP In Millions of USD (except for per share items) Minority Interest Other Liabilities, Total Total Liabilities Redeemable Preferred Stock, Total Preferred Stock - Non Redeemable, Net Common Stock, Total Additional Paid-In Capital Retained Earnings (Accumulated Deficit) Treasury Stock - Common Other Equity, Total Total Equity Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity Shares Outs - Common Stock Primary Issue Total Common Shares Outstanding 6 As of 2014-03-01 843.15 9,058.57 0.00 971.33 4,468.15 -7,515.85 -37.33 -2,113.70 6,944.87 965.41 As of 2013-03-02 963.66 9,538.15 182.10 904.27 4,280.83 -7,765.26 -61.37 -2,459.43 7,078.72 904.27 LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 7 Table 2 Rite Aid 2014 Income Statement ($, in million) In Millions of USD (except for per share items) Revenue Other Revenue, Total Total Revenue Cost of Revenue, Total Gross Profit Selling/General/Admin. Expenses, Total Research & Development Depreciation/Amortization Interest Expense(Income) - Net Operating Unusual Expense (Income) Other Operating Expenses, Total Total Operating Expense Operating Income Interest Income(Expense), Net Non-Operating Gain (Loss) on Sale of Assets Other, Net Income Before Tax Income After Tax Minority Interest Equity In Affiliates Net Income Before Extra. Items Accounting Change Discontinued Operations Extraordinary Item Net Income Preferred Dividends Income Available to Common Excl. Extra Items Income Available to Common Incl. Extra Items Basic Weighted Average Shares Basic EPS Excluding Extraordinary Items Basic EPS Including Extraordinary Items Dilution Adjustment Diluted Weighted Average Shares Diluted EPS Excluding Extraordinary Items Diluted EPS Including Extraordinary Items 52 weeks ending 201403-01 52 weeks ending 2013-03-02 25,526.41 25,526.41 18,202.68 7,323.73 6,561.16 103.75 24,867.59 658.83 15.98 250.22 249.41 249.41 249.41 215.42 215.42 5.46 979.09 0.23 - 25,392.26 25,392.26 18,073.99 7,318.28 6,600.77 211.36 24,886.11 506.15 16.78 7.50 118.11 118.11 118.11 107.47 107.47 0.00 907.26 0.12 - LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP In Millions of USD (except for per share items) Dividends per Share - Common Stock Primary Issue Gross Dividends - Common Stock Net Income after Stock Based Comp. Expense Basic EPS after Stock Based Comp. Expense Diluted EPS after Stock Based Comp. Expense Depreciation, Supplemental Total Special Items Normalized Income Before Taxes Effect of Special Items on Income Taxes Income Taxes Ex. Impact of Special Items Normalized Income After Taxes Normalized Income Avail to Common Basic Normalized EPS Diluted Normalized EPS 8 52 weeks ending 201403-01 52 weeks ending 2013-03-02 0.00 0.32 0.00 0.26 LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 9 Table 3 Rite Aid 2014 Statement of Cash Flows ($, in million) 52 weeks ending 201403-01 52 weeks ending 201303-02 Net Income/Starting Line 249.41 118.11 Depreciation/Depletion 403.74 414.11 Amortization - - Deferred Taxes - - 172.68 64.42 -123.79 222.95 702.05 819.59 -421.22 -382.98 56.30 36.67 -364.92 -346.31 Financing Cash Flow Items -36.92 -173.82 Total Cash Dividends Paid - - 12.18 1.65 Issuance (Retirement) of Debt, Net -295.44 -333.95 Cash from Financing Activities -320.17 -506.12 - - 16.95 -32.83 414.69 482.14 3.19 -0.78 In Millions of USD (except for per share items) Non-Cash Items Changes in Working Capital Cash from Operating Activities Capital Expenditures Other Investing Cash Flow Items, Total Cash from Investing Activities Issuance (Retirement) of Stock, Net Foreign Exchange Effects Net Change in Cash Cash Interest Paid, Supplemental Cash Taxes Paid, Supplemental LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 10 Calculation and Analysis of 12 Financial Ratios of Rite Aid Table 4 Twelve financial ratios of Rite Aid in 2014 Ratios Liquidity Ratios Current ratio measures a company's ability to pay back its short-term liabilities with its short-term assets. (Investopedia, n.d.) Quick ratio measures a company’s ability to meet its short-term obligations with its most liquid asset. (Investopedia, n.d.) Solvency Ratios Debt ratio is defined as the ratio of total debt to total assets and measures the extent of a company’s leverage. (Investopedia, n.d.) Debt to Equity ratio measures the proportion of equity and debt the company is using to finance its assets. (Investopedia, n.d.) Times-Interest Earned Ratio(TIE) measures a company's ability to meet its debt obligations. (Investopedia, n.d.) Calculations Rite Aid 2014 Current Assets Current liabilities 4258.12/2507.45=1.6981 1.70 current assets-inventory current liabilities 4285.122993.95=1264.17/2507.45 = 0.5042 .50 total debt total assets 5757.14/6944.87=.8289 .83 total debt total equity 5757.14/(2113.70)=(2.7237) (2.72) EBIT Interest charges 658.82/424591.00=.0015 .0015 LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP Ratios Asset Management Ratios Inventory Turnover Ratio measures many times a company's inventory is sold and replaced over a period. (Investopedia, n.d.) 11 Calculations Rite Aid 2014 cost of goods sold inventories 18202.68/2993.95= 6.079 6.08 sales total Assets 25526.41/6944.87=3.675 3.68 EAT Sales 249.41/25526.41=.0097 .0097 Return on Total Assets Ratio (ROA) measures how effectively a company’s management uses investors’ money. (Investopedia, n.d.) EAT Total Assets 249.41/69944.87=.0035 .0035 Return on Total Equity Ratio (ROE) shows whether management is growing the company’s value at an acceptable rate. (Investopedia, n.d.) EAT Total Equity 249.41/(2113.70)=(.1179) (.1179) EAT Number of shares of common stock outstanding 215420/965410= .2231 .22 Total Asset Turnover Ratio measures a company's ability to generate net sales from fixed-asset investments. (Investopedia, n.d.) Profitability Ratios Return on Sales Ratio (ROS) evaluates a company’s operational efficiency. (Investopedia, n.d.) Market Value Ratios Earnings Per Share Ratio (EPS) is the portion of a company's profit allocated to outstanding shares of stock. (Investopedia, n.d.) LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP Ratios Price/ Earnings Ratio (P/E) measures a company's current share price compared to its per-share earnings. (Investopedia, n.d.) Calculations Price per share Earnings per share 12 Rite Aid 2014 7.16/.22=32.11 32.11 Rite Aid 2014 Financial Ratios In this section, we will define, calculate, and analyze liquidity ratios, solvency ratios, asset management ratios, profitability ratios and market value ratios for Rite Aid. Liquidity Ratios Current ratio Current ratio identifies a company’s liquidity, which can be calculated by dividing the current assets by the current liabilities. (Hawawini & Viallet, 2011). The ratio is mainly used to give an idea of the company's ability to pay back its short-term liabilities (debt and payables) with its short-term assets (cash, inventory, receivables). The higher the current ratio, the more capable the company is of paying its obligations (Investopedia, 2014). “The higher the current ratio, the more liquid the firm and the current ratio should be at least greater than one and preferably close to two”(Hawawini & Viallet, 2011, pg. 85) Current assets/ Current liabilities = Current ratio 4258.12 / 2507.45=1.6981 Quick ratio Quick ratio identifies a company’s ability to meet its short-term obligations with its most liquid assets (Investopedia, 2014). The quick ratio is calculated by adding cash and accounts receivable and dividing them by the current liabilities excluding inventories from current assets. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 13 Although it may seem that the current ratio and quick are similar in their concepts, by excluding the inventories from the assets it provides a better assessment of the company’s liquidity. (Current assets – Inventories) / Current liabilities = Quick ratio 2993.95=1264.17/2507.45=0.5042 Solvency Ratios Debt ratio The debt ratio of a company is the measurement of the total debt compared to the total assets. As Hawawini & Viallet (2011) state, “debt ratio is the measure of financial leverage” (p. 618). “Debt ratio ranges from 0.00 to 1.00. Lower value of debt ratio is favorable and a higher value indicates that higher portion of company's assets are claimed by its creditors which means higher risk in operation since the business would find it difficult to obtain loans for new projects. Debt ratio of 0.5 means that half of the company's assets are financed through debts.” (“Debt Ratio,” n.d.). Total debt / Total assets = Debt ratio 5757.14/6944.87=.8289 Debt to equity ratio “Lower values of debt-to-equity ratio are favorable indicating less risk. Higher debt-toequity ratio is unfavorable because it means that the business relies more on external lenders thus it is at higher risk, especially at higher interest rates. A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00 means that half of the assets of a business are financed by debts and half by shareholders' equity. A value higher than 1.00 means that more assets are financed by debt that those financed by money of shareholders' and vice versa. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 14 An increasing trend in of debt-to-equity ratio is also alarming because it means that the percentage of assets of a business which are financed by the debts is increasing” (“Debt to equity ratio,” n.d.). Total debt / Total Equity = Debt to equity ratio (D/E) 5757.14/ (2113.70) = (2.7237) Times interest earned ratio The times-interest-earned ratio “is a solvency ratio measuring the ability of a business to pay off its debt” (“Times-interest earned ratio,” n.d.). “Higher value of times interest earned ratio is favorable meaning greater ability of a business to repay its interest and debt. Lower values are unfavorable. A ratio of 1.00 means that income before interest and tax of the business is just enough to pay off its interest expense. That is why times interest earned ratio is of special importance to creditors. They can compare the debt repayment ability of similar companies using this ratio. Other things equal, a creditor should lend to a company with highest times interest earned ratio. It is also beneficial to create a trend of times interest earned ratio” (“Timesinterest earned ratio,” n.d.). Earnings before interest and tax / Interest charges = Times interest earned ratio 658.82/424591.00=.0015 Asset Management Ratios Inventory turnover ratio Inventory Turnover Ratio represents the number of times that a company is able to sell its inventory within a period of time. It measures how efficiently a company can control their merchandise. A higher number in this category is a good sign and implies that the company is doing well managing the buying and selling of inventories. Inventory turnover can be an LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 15 indicator of how quickly inventory can be turned into cash (“Inventory Turnover Ratio,” n.d.). With a higher number we can deduct that inventory is easy to sell. The inventory turnover ratio is dependent upon the purchase of inventory and the amount of sales, thus requiring good communication between the sales force and the purchasing department. “A ratio showing how many times a company's inventory is sold and replaced over a period. A low turnover implies poor sales and, therefore, excess inventory. A high ratio implies either strong sales or ineffective buying” (“Inventory Turnover Ratio,” n.d.). Cost of goods sold / Inventories = Inventory turnover ratio 18,202.68 / 2,993.95 = 6.08 Rite Aid is able to sell its inventory 6.08 times in a year. This means that, on average, Rite Aid is able to deplete their inventory every other month. Total assets turnover ratio Total Asset Turnover ratio measures the efficiency of a company’s ability to generate sales with the use of its assets. Companies in the retail industry tend to have high asset turnover ratios (“Rite Aid Corp (NYSE:RAD) Asset Turnover,” 2014). A consistent asset turnover ratio shows that a company is doing well. Sales / Total assets = Total asset turnover ratio 25,526.41 / 6,944.87 = 3.675 Rite Aid is able to generate approximately $3.68 with each dollar of assets. Profitability Ratios Return on sales ratio “ROS is an indicator of profitability and is often used to compare the profitability of companies and industries of differing sizes. In a survey of nearly 200 senior marketing LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 16 managers, 69 percent responded that they found the "return on sales" metric very useful.” (“Operating Margin,” 2014). Return on Sales Ratio (ROS) evaluates a company’s operational efficiency. Earnings after tax / Sales = Return on sales 249.41/25526.41=.0097 Return on assets ratio Return on Total Assets Ratio (ROA) measures how effectively a company’s management uses investors’ money. (Investopedia, n.d.). This number looks at what a company can make per each dollar worth of assets they control. It is a great tool for comparison of two or more companies within the same industry. (“Return on Assets,” 2014). Earnings after taxes / total assets= Return on total assets 249.41/69944.87=.0035 Return on total equity ratio Return on Total equity (ROE) shows whether management is growing the company’s value at an acceptable rate. (Investopedia, n.d.). “Return on equity (ROE) is a measure of profitability that calculates how many dollars of profit a company generates with each dollar of shareholders' equity.” (“Return on Equity,” n.d.). Earnings after taxes/ total equity=Return on total equity 249.41/(2113.70)=(.1179) Market Value Ratios Earnings per share ratio Earnings per share is a measure of after tax earnings divided by the number of shares in the market. (Hawawini & Viallet, 2011). For Rite Aid EPS is 0.22 which is improved over the LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 17 year prior. This reflects an earnings after tax for Rite Aid for this period of $249,410,000 of which only $215,420,000 is available to common shares. Earnings after tax / Shares outstanding = Earnings per share 215,420,000 965,410,000 = 0.22 Price to earnings ratio Price to earnings ratio is the cost per share divided by the earnings per share. (Hawawini & Viallet, 2011). Currently Rite Aid stock is trading at $7.16 per share. EPS is 0.22. That means the price to earnings ratio is $32.11. Cost per share / EPS = Price to earnings ratio (P/E) $7.16 / $0.22 = $32.11 This means that stock is trading at almost thirty two times its current earnings. When this ratio is high, as in the case for Rite Aid, and to a lesser degree, its main competitors who also have a positive EPS, investors are placing higher values to each dollar of current earnings per share. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 18 Trend Analysis of Rite Aid 2012- 2014 Table 5 Trend Analysis of Rite Aid in Years 2012-2014 Ratio Calculations 2014 2013 2012 Current Assets Current liabilities 1.70 1.71 1.75 Quick Ratio current assets-inventory current liabilities .50 .49 .53 Debt Ratio total debt total assets .828977 .852347 .859308 Debt to Equity Ratio total debt total equity -2.7237 -2.4532 -2.4463 Times Interest Earned Ratio EBIT Interest charges .001551 .0010145 .0002588 Inventory Turnover Ratio cost of goods sold inventories 6.08 5.73 6.16 Total Assets Turnover Ratio sales total assets 3.68 3.59 3.55 Return on Sales Ratio EAT Sales .00977 .004651 -.014799 Return on Total Assets Ratio EAT Total Assets .003565 .06905 .064312 Current Ratio LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP Ratio Calculations 2014 Return on Total Equity Ratio EAT Total Equity -.11799 Earnings Per Share Ratio Price to Earnings Ratio EAT Number of shares of common stock outstanding Price per share Earnings per share 19 2013 2012 -.04802 .14944 $0.22 $0.12 -$0.43 $32.11 $13.82 -$3.74 Table 5 presents key financial ratios and values for Rite Aid. The analysis that follows provides financial trends and insight on these ratios. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 20 Liquidity Ratios In accordance with recently published financial statements and represented in Table 1, Rite Aid has a current ratio of 1.70. This would represent that Rite Aid is in good standing to pay short-term liabilities with its short-term assets due to the ratio being greater than one and gravitating closer to two. Although the decline could cause some concern, the numbers represent that Rite Aid is in good standing to pay short-term liabilities with its short-term assets due to the ratio being greater than one and gravitating closer to two. As represented in Table 4. Rite Aid has a quick ratio of 0.50. The current ratio being over three times higher would indicate that Rite Aid is dependent upon its inventory. Solvency Ratios Rite Aid’s debt ratio for this past year was 0.8289 which is an improvement over the past two years of 0.8524 last year and 0.8593 the previous. This shows that although it is relatively high, “a debt ratio of 0.5 means half of the company’s assets are financed though debt” (Debt Ratio, 2014) Rite Aid is moving in the right direction. The debt-to-equity ratio of Rite Aid for 2014 is -2.724, while in 2013 it was -2.453 and in 2012 it stood at -2.446. This is very evident that Rite Aid has a large debt and that it therefore is not very solvent. Despite this trend the company is moving in the right direction overall. Rite Aid’s accounting scandal of 1999 led to large debt which it is still trying to recover. According to Moskowitz, “the balance sheet for Rite Aid is dreadful, but the direction is more important, and Rite Aid is headed in the right direction” (para. 5). Rite Aid has a TIE of 0.00155 and has been moving in an upward trend over the past three years, which is very positive. From 0.00025 where it was in 2012 to 0.0010 in 2013 to its LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 21 current ratio today is an upward trend. The trend for the company though is that all of the solvency ratios are moving in a positive direction. Asset Management Ratios Rite Aid has remained relatively constant with their inventory turnover ratio for the past three years after a high of 6.16 in 2012, followed by a dip to 5.73 in 2013 and rebounding to a 6.08 in 2014. This shows a stable trend in the cost of goods sold and inventories. Rite Aid’s total asset turnover ratio has shown a slight increase in each of the last three years. It has increased from 3.55 to 3.68. While there has not been significant growth, this ratio has remained consistent which puts Rite Aid heading in the right direction. Profitability Ratios The profitability ratios of a company measure how efficiently a company is in generating revenue in comparison with sales, assets and equity. Return on sales and return on assets have improved and gone from a negative in 2012 to a positive in 2014. Return on equity though has taken a hit and gone from a positive in 2012 to a negative in 2014. Analysts remain positive that Rite Aid has turned the corner on what could have been disaster for the company a few years ago and are now out of the woods. Alan Stacy (2014) says, “The Company has moved beyond the turnaround phase and is not clearly focused on growth.” Market Value Analysis After five straight years of poor market value performance Rite Aid is trending positive with a substantial EPS gain in the marketspace. In 2014, EPS increased 54% year-over-year. While it is fair to say that Rite Aid is currently appreciating EPS growth, they are also benefiting from the swell of growth within their market as noted by the fact that their major competitors CVS and Walgreens have also seen increases. (“RAD Solid Choice,” 2014 ). LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 22 The reason for increased earnings can be attributed to manay factors. Specific to EPS and price to earning ratio are the means by which revenue increases and are the by-product of a targeted growth plan, diversification of income, acquisitions and partnerships, and management of debt. The impact of these factors on stock price is a critical component in this ratio. Each component of these strategic pillars will impact the stock price . In early 2014 Rite Aid reported continued growth of earnings from both the branded prescription drug market and generic prescription market. The former accounts for nearly 70% of Rite Aid revenue and the generic prescription and general store merchandise make up the remainder sources of business. (“RAD Solid Choice,” 2014 ). Rite Aid has entered into a partnership with McKesson. McKesson is on one of the nations largest distribution channels in the industry. According to Rite Aid management this partnership will result in a working capital savings of $150M. Two notable acquisitions were made by Rite Aid that will strengthen fiscal guidance through 2015: Health Dialog and RediClinic. It is believed that the synergies with these acquisitions will translate to increased revenue for Rite Aid. (“Rite Aid’s 4th Quarter Earnings Release,” 2014). The Rite Aid model in 2014 established several ventures that would commit capital investment to diversification. These include but are not limited to: the purchase of prescription business from other distributors, remodeling and expansion of stores in targeted markets to serve greater customer needs, expansion of loyalty programs, creation and sale of store brand products, and inclusion of some health and wellness services such as immunizations and counseling. The company had 1, 215 Wellness stores (out of 4,587 total stores) at the end of Q4. The Wellness stores continue to outperform the traditional store formats in both Rx Script count LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 23 (+1%) and front-end sales (+3.2%). RAD will also be increasing the # of Wellness remodels from 400 to 450 in 2015. (“Rite Aid’s 4th Quarter Earnings Release,” 2014). “Rising cash flow enabled Rite Aid to pay off roughly 10% of its $6.3 billion debt load while setting the stage for a debt restructuring at a lower interest rate.” (Sterman, 2014). During the Q4 earnings period Rite Aid announced an aggressive debt refinancing strategy that they anticipated would translate to a positive impact on the stock price in 2014. This did in fact have the desired result: “Notably, the closing price of the shares [in June of 2013] was $3.03, up approximately 4.5% from the day-ago figure of $2.90” (“Rite Aid to Refinance Debt,” 2013). Q1 2014 was up further with a stock price increase to $7.16 per share. This represents a 42% growth in share price. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 24 Peer-Group Analysis of Rite Aid and Two Top Competitors Table 6 presents a peer-group comparison among RAD, CVS, and WAG from their most recent financial statements. Table 6 Peer-Group Analysis of RAD, CVS, and WAG in Years Ratio Calculations Rite Aid CVS Walgreens Current Ratio Current Assets Current liabilities 1.70 1.64 1.34 Quick Ratio current assets-inventory current liabilities .50 .84 Debt Ratio total debt total assets .82898 .18737 .14225 Debt to Equity Ratio total debt total equity -2.72373 .352786 .259073 Times Interest Earned Ratio EBIT Interest charges .001551658 .015789784 .023878788 6.08 9.32 7.46 3.68 1.77 2.04 EAT Sales .009770665 .036288764 .03392553 EAT Total Assets .003565808 .064312278 .069051041 -.117996878 .121087683 .125763564 .22 3.76 2.84 Inventory Turnover Ratio Total Assets Turnover Ratio Return on Sales Ratio Return on Total Assets Ratio cost of goods sold inventories sales total assets Return on Total Equity Ratio EAT Total Equity Earnings Per Share Ratio EAT Number of shares of common stock outstanding .53 LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP Ratio Price to Earnings Ratio 25 Calculations Rite Aid CVS Walgreens Price per share Earnings per share 32.11 19.63 23.51 LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 26 Peer Group Analysis Narrative The peer analysis below evaluates the ratio performance of the Rite Aid Corporation relative to its main competitors in the sector, CVS and Walgreens. Liquidity Ratios Rite Aid’s current ratio over the last three years has been consistently higher than its two competitors’ CVS and Walgreens. Although the three companies all have encouraging current ratios indicating that they are in good standing to pay short-term liabilities, Rite Aid is more favorable as it is closer to two. Rite Aid and Walgreen’s quick ratio has stayed consistent and satisfactory. CVS shows encouraging signs with a quick ratio slightly higher than its two other competitors. All three companies have a current ratio higher than the quick ratios, which indicates that they rely heavily on efficient inventory turnover to keep them afloat in the shortterm. Solvency Ratios Debt, debt-to-equity, and times-interest-earned, the three solvency ratios are far inferior to that of Rite Aid’s two major competitors, which are Walgreens and CVS. The company still has very bad numbers but it seems to be closing the gap. The growth of the solvency ratios for Rite Aid has helped convey a sign of good things for Rite Aid even though it is not close to the same level as Walgreens or CVS. Asset Management Ratios With an inventory turnover ratio of 6.08 Rite Aid is behind their competitors. CVS has an inventory turnover ratio of 9.32 followed by Walgreen’s with a ratio of 7.46. Peer analysis with CVS and Walgreens shows Rite Aid on top with a total asset turnover ratio of 3.68 followed by Walgreens with a total asset turnover of 2.04 and CVS with a 1.77. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 27 Profitability Ratios Amongst its peers, Rite-Aid is number three behind CVS and Walgreen’s. Both CVS and Walgreen more than triple the return on sales numbers above Rite-Aid. Where return on assets and return on equity is concerned, they are even further ahead leaving Rite-Aid a distant third. Walgreen’s and CVS are very similar in their profitability, but Rite-Aid has nowhere to go but up and is making strides to do so. Market Value Analysis EPS is positive for the main competitors CVS and Walgreens. The EPS for CVS year over year was only 8% compared to the robust 43% increase realized by Rite Aid. Although positive, Walgreens had the least amount of growth during this period and the EPS has not yet returned to what it was in 2011. EPS and PE are driven by the stock price. When looking back over the past five years, the most stable of the stocks in this sector was CVS. Figure 1. highlights the historic performance of the past five years for Rite Aid and it’s primary competitors CVS and Walgreens. We included in this trend graph the S&P and NASDAQ performance for the same period. Rite Aid was the least stable and until mid 2013 did not sustain performance above it’s competitors or the market indexes. Since that point the stock has had an incredible trajectory suggestive that investors are very confident with future cash flow and the implementation of strategic plan under new leadership. Walgreens stock price has been the most stable and has seen steady but small incremental growth for the past three years within the sector. In the last three years Walgreens stock has failed to consistently outperform the market. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 28 Figure 1. Historic Stock Price: RAD, CVS, WAG, S & P500, NASDAQ EPS Revisions and Guidance In 2013 investor upgrades in the market value of Rite Aid was consitent practice throughout the year. Q1 2014 earnings did not disappoint and Rite Aid has convinced wallstreet investors that they are able to sustain strong EPS performance. As shown in Figure 2. guidance has remained unchanged in recent months and wall street is expecting modest incremental growth in EPS through FY2015. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP Figure 2. 2015 EPS Consensus Revisions: last 18 months 29 LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 30 Diagnostic Report Rite Aid’s net income for 2014 has increased by $131.31 million from 2013 going from $118 million to $247 million growth. The general feeling at the Rite Aid company is one of optimism, as Rite Aid Chairman and CEO John Standley stated in April, "Our recent acquisitions of Health Dialog and RediClinic, our expanded partnership with McKesson and our continued commitment to investing in our store base have positioned us to transition our strategy from turnaround to growth as we more aggressively pursue opportunities to become a growing retail healthcare company." (“Quarterly Report,” 2014, para. 5). The company is still in very much in debt and some the numbers look terrible. Compared to the two peer companies of Walgreens and CVS, Rite Aid still has a long way to go. Rite Aid may has more favorable numbers when it comes to current and quick ratios, which are in a group of liquidity ratios. This means that Rite Aid is in good condition to pay off short-term liabilities. The same cannot be said for the solvency ratios of Debt, debt-to-equity, and times-interest-earned ratios. The debt that Rite Aid has is very large and thus their solvency ratios are far inferior to both Walgreens and CVS. Having these types of ratios is a sign that they are not able to quick eliminate their debt. Asset Management ratios are also considered to be behind both CVS and Walgreens using the inventory turnover ratio while ahead of both CVS and Walgreens using the total asset turnover ratio which leads to conflicting messages. The profitability ratios of CVS and Walgreens leave Rite Aid as a distant third in these categories as both companies are very profitable and Rite Aid is making noise but nowhere near its competitors. In the last category of ratios, market value, Rite Aid has shown significant growth while CVS and Walgreens have both have also shown growth just not to the extent of Rite Aid. Both Walgreens and CVS are LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 31 considerably larger than Rite Aid and thus have more to offer investors in terms of stability, but with the growth of Rite Aid and the direction the company is heading it is definitely worthwhile to invest into. The market trends show that Rite Aid will continue to grow in the future making an investment in it a smart move. Assessment It is easy to look back and say that Rite Aid should have acted sooner to take aggressive action to improve trends. However, our analysis reveals that they have in fact done what many companies fail to do and that is recover from near bankruptcy. “Rite Aid had completed its fiscal year back in February 2012, and in that year, the company had just $128 million in operating income and $529 million in interest expense. Adding insult to injury, Rite Aid was in the midst of a sales slump, as revenues fell in three of the four years leading up to fiscal 2013” (Sterman, 2014). Taking action to reduce debt via refinancing and improving cash flow was key to their turn around and insight should have been sooner. As stated previously in this report, our research revealed that Rite Aid was burdened by stores that were not profitable. This translates to higher operating expenses and a decrease in cash flow. Liquidation of these stores may have alleviated this burden. As a means of improving cash flow Rite Aid was late getting into the “wellness game” like their competition CVS and Walgreens. This continues to be a threat to their success as these competitors continue to maximize partnerships with healthcare companies. “Hospitals and health systems are negotiating more clinical deals with retailers like CVS/Caremark (CVS) and Walgreens” (Japsen, 2014). LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 32 Recommendations on Rite Aid Global Business Strategy 2014- 2017 Rite Aid Corporation is one of the nation's leading drugstore chains. With approximately 4,600 stores in 31 states and the District of Columbia, they have a strong presence on both the East and West Coasts. Rite Aid is the largest drugstore chain on the East Coast and the third largest in the United States behind CVS and Walgreens (Our Story, n.d.). Rite Aid and General Nutrition Companies (GNC), a leading global specialty retailer of health and wellness products, formed a partnership in January of 1999. This partnership brought GNC mini-stores within the Rite Aid pharmacies locations across the country. The partnership between the two companies is mutually beneficial. Recently Rite Aid and GNC announced the extension of the partnership through 2019 (“Rite Aid and GNC Announce Extension of Partnership”, 2013). “Rite Aid’s strategic partnership with GNC is a point of differentiation, both in the chain drug industry and with our customers,” said Ken Martindale, Rite Aid president and chief operating officer. “With the extension of our retail agreement with GNC, we will be able to continue bringing our customers the outstanding lineup of highly popular GNC products they trust while delivering on our mission of helping our customers meet their unique health and wellness needs.” (“Rite Aid and GNC Announce Extension of Partnership”, 2013) Currently there are more than 2,200 GNC stores-within-a-stores operating in Rite Aid stores across the country. The extension of this agreement enables Rite Aid to add at least 300 additional GNC LiveWell store-within-a store locations inside it stores over the next five years (“Rite Aid and GNC Announce Extension of Partnership”, 2013). LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 33 “Rite Aid has long been an important part of GNC’s growth strategy, serving as an invaluable partner as we’ve worked to grow our brand,” said Tom Dowd, GNC executive vice president, chief merchandising officer and general manager. “As a leading global specialty retailer of vitamins, minerals, and herbal supplement products, sports nutrition products and diet products, GNC shares Rite Aid’s commitment to improving the health and wellness of its customers. We look forward to working together to bring our successful ‘store-within-a-store’ to more Rite Aid pharmacies over the next five years, making it easier than ever for people to live well.” (“Rite Aid and GNC Announce Extension of Partnership”, 2013) GNC Holdings, Inc., headquartered in Pittsburgh, PA, is a leading global specialty retailer of health and wellness products, including vitamins, minerals, and herbal supplement products, sports nutrition products and diet products, and trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "GNC.” The Company – which is dedicated to helping consumers Live Well – has a diversified, multi-channel business model and derives revenue from product sales through company-owned retail stores, domestic and international franchise activities, third party contract manufacturing, e-commerce and corporate partnerships. As of September 30, 2013, GNC has more than 8,400 locations, of which more than 6,300 retail locations are in the United States (including 984 franchise and 2,206 Rite Aid franchise store-within-a-store locations) and franchise operations in 54 countries (including distribution centers where retail sales are made (“Rite Aid and GNC Announce Extension of Partnership”, 2013). Rite Aid’s strategy to extend the partnership with GNC is a keen move to obtain global positioning in the market. Rite Aid should also seek additional opportunities for expansion in the global market to develop and cultivate its business. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 34 Conclusion After years of financial struggle, Rite Aid has made incredible strides to improve performance. The key success components of their turn around have been debt refinancing, liquidation of unprofitable stores resulting in reduction of operating costs, capital investment in a strategic wellness model, and diversification of income through the successful partnerships and acquisitions. This paper highlights the positive trends of Rite Aid and suggests that execution of their current strategic plan will have them poised for continued growth and position them to be a more formidable competitor to CVS and Walgreens. LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 35 References Asset management ratios. (n.d). Retrieved May 23, 2014, from http://www.readyratios.com/reference/asset/ Balance Sheet. (n.d.). Retrieved May 22, 2014, from http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bs?s=RAD+Balance+Sheet&annual Cash Flow. (n.d.). Retrieved May 22, 2014, from http://finance.yahoo.com/q/cf?s=RAD+Cash+Flow&annual Current Ratio Definition | Investopedia. (n.d.). Investopedia. Retrieved May 23, 2014, from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/currentratio.asp Debt ratio. (n.d.). Formula. Retrieved May 21, 2014, from http://accountingexplained.com/financial/ratios/debt-ratio Hawawini, G. A., & Viallet, C. (2011). Finance for executives: managing for value creation (4th ed.). Mason, Ohio: South-Western Cengage Learning. How to Use Financial Ratios. (n.d). Retrieved May 23, 2014, from http://news.morningstar.com/classroom2/course.asp?docId=145093&page=2 Income Statement. (n.d.). Retrieved May 22, 2014, from http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=RAD+Income+Statement&annual Inventory turnover ratio. (n.d.). Retrieved May 23, 2013 from http://www.myaccountingcourse.com/financial-ratios/inventory-turnover-ratio Is Rite Aid (RAD) a solid choice right now? (2014, April 17). Yahoo Finance. Retrieved from http://finance.yahoo.com/news/rite-aid-rad-stock-solid104300685.html?soc_src=mediacontentstory LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 36 Japsen, Bruce. (2014, May 14). In era of Obamacare, Hospitals increase links to Walgreen, CVS. Forbes Pharma & Healthcare. Retrieved from http://www.forbes.com/sites/brucejapsen/2014/05/17/in-era-of-obamacare-hospitalsincrease-links-to-walgreen-cvs/?partner=yahootix Market Ratios. (2012-2014). Retrieved May 23, 2014, from http://www.money-zine.com/investing/investing/market-ratios/ Moskowitz, D. (2013, January 14). Will Rite Aid Double In 2013?. Wall St. Cheat Sheet. Retrieved May 21, 2014, from http://wallstcheatsheet.com/stocks/will-rite-aid-double-in2013.html/?a=viewall Quarterly Results. (2014, April 10). – Rite Aid. Retrieved May 22, 2014, from https://www.riteaid.com/corporate/investor-relations/quarterlyresults?p_p_id=riteaidpressreleases_WAR_riteaidpressreleasesportlet&p_p_lifecycle=0& p_p_state=normal&p_p_mode=view&p_p_col_id=column3&p_p_col_count=1&_riteaidpressreleases_WAR_riteaidpressreleasesportlet_action=get CorporateDetail/ Quick Ratio Definition | Investopedia. (n.d.). Investopedia. Retrieved May 23, 2014, from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/q/quickratio.asp New York Stock Exchange. (2014) Trend analysis of stock price for CVS, Rite Aid, Walgreens, S &P and NASDAQ from 2010 to present. Retrieved from http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=RAD+Basic+Chart Operating Margin. (2014). Retrieved May 24, 2014, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operating_margin LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 37 Our Story. (n.d.). – Rite Aid. Retrieved May 23, 2014, from https://www.riteaid.com/aboutus/our-story Return on Assets. (2014). Retrieved May 24, 2014, from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Return_on_assets Return on Equity. (n.d). Retrieved May 24, 2014, from http://www.investinganswers.com/financial-dictionary/financial-statementanalysis/return-equity-roe-916 Rite Aid and GNC Announce Extension of Partnership Through 2019. (December, 19, 2013). Press release distribution, EDGAR filing, XBRL, regulatory filings. Retrieved May 23, 2014, from http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20131219005663/en/Rite-AidGNC-Announce-Extension-Partnership-2019#.U3zxn_ldVu4 Rite Aid Corp (NYSE:RAD) Asset Turnover (2014). Retrieved May 23, 2014 from http://www.gurufocus.com/term/turnover/RAD/Asset%2BTurnover/Rite%2BAid%2BCo rp Rite Aid Disclosure Watch. (n.d.). Rite Aid Disclosure Watch. Retrieved May 21, 2014, from http://ritetoknow.org/backstory Rite Aid to refinance debt. (2013, June 13). Yahoo Finance. Retrieved from http://finance.yahoo.com/news/rite-aid-refinance-debt-141005069.html Stacy, Alan. (2014, April 17). Rite Aid’s 4th quarter earnings release: The growth story starts. Seeking Alpha. Retrieved from http://seekingalpha.com/article/2150013-rite-aids-4thquarter-earnings-release-the-growth-story-starts LTP COMPREHENSIVE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RITE AID CORP 38 Sterman, D. (2014, May 14). This simple move can unlock massive gains. Street Authority. Retrieved from http://finance.yahoo.com/news/simple-move-unlock-massive-gains150000531.html Thomson Reuters. (2014) EPS consensus revisions on 2015 guidance: last 18 months. Retrieved from http://www.4-traders.com/RITE-AID-CORPORATION-14185/revisions/ Times Interest Earned Ratio. (n.d.). Formula. Retrieved May 21, 2014, from http://accountingexplained.com/financial/ratios/times-interest-earned