Product Showcase: FICO Roadmap for Insurance Fraud Analytic Innovations To Reduce Loss Rates Michael Betron Product Management FICO Scott Horwitz Insurance Consulting FICO © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. This presentation is provided for the recipient only and cannot be reproduced or shared without Fair Isaac Corporation’s express consent. Insurance Fraud Roadmap One third of insurers recently surveyed pegged their fraud loss rates at 10–20% of claims volume. Are you one of them? 2 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Agenda ►P&C Insurance Market Overview and Fraud Trends ►FICO® Claims Fraud Solution ►Demo ►Business Value ►Questions 3 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. P&C Market Overview and Claims Fraud 4 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. The Insurance Fraud Problem ► United States ► $30–$40 billion lost to fraud each year ► Higher incidences of opportunistic fraud ► Increase in organized crime rings ► UK (ABI Statistic) ► Undetected general fraud totals £1.9B per year According to the FBI, fraud costs property/casualty insurers more than $40 billion annually. In 2012, those losses exceeded the industry’s profits by about 20 percent. Insurance Network News May 2014 5 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. The Scope of Fraud Schemes Fraud Schemes Cross a Wide Range of Perpetrator Intention, Potential Impact and Planning Opportunistic ► 6 Eric’s home is broken into. How does it hurt if he claims he had an 80” television? © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Premeditated ► Marissa knows most insurers will give her a quick buck for whiplash to settle a claim quickly before it escalates to higher payments. She slams on her brakes in front of a tailgating policyholder Organized ► Michael takes his job seriously. He knows the more people he can pack into the two junk vehicles he is staging a crash with, the higher the payout The Problems We Solve Profitability Reduce fraud losses—and drive revenues, improving capital position and profits Customer Satisfaction Reduce false positives in balance with risk appetite Loss Reduction Detect more fraud—and emerging fraud schemes—before claims are paid Operational Efficiency Prioritize work for more efficient use of customer service resources 7 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. FICO Claims Fraud Solution ► Powerful combination for finding maximum fraud ► An integrated environment for detection and investigation Predictive Analytics Business Rules Social Network Analysis ► Analytic feedback loops for continuous learning ► Mechanisms for prioritization for efficient processing ► Finds new, emerging fraud AND fraud rings 8 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Case Management and Investigation Business Rules/Model Authoring Tools ► Utilize detection results and business rules to assign the high risk claims or entities to the right resource ► Guide investigators to the right next action, based on: ► Likelihood of fraud (rank ordered by fraud score) ► Reason codes ► Control score thresholds for claim referrals ► Create 9 Flash Fraud Rules © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Analytic Capabilities Fraud Trained Outlier Detection SNA Learn complex relations from identified fraud in historical data, then leverage this to predict fraud Uncover new types of fraud by identifying outlier and aberrant claims Social Network Analysis for identity and entity resolution Fraud ► Use tags to differentiate the innocent from the guilty 10 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. ► Learn patterns and identify aberrance ► Connects fraud rings across seemingly unconnected data by detecting and linking identity information Improving Claims Fraud Analytics with SNA Analytic Capabilities Customer/account level indicators Simple schemes Manual referrals Entity/network level indicators Subtle, complex cases Previously unknown patterns Fraud Rings Early Detection Claim Level Entity/Network Level Association with Known Bads Individual on a hot list appears as a claimant Multiple cases with fraud outcomes and recoveries exist on this network Domain Specific Rules Delayed claim report date Incident date is close to policy inception This network shares injured third party claimants across otherwise unconnected incidents Statistical Outliers Medical billing is unusually high given typical claim type profile High velocity of claims on this network compared to most networks Predictive Analytics Claims containing a high number of soft tissue injuries is correlated with a fraud outcome Networks which contain repeated incident descriptions across claims are correlated with fraud outcomes 11 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Case Management/Investigation 12 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Link Analysis/Visualization 13 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. FICO® Claims Fraud Solution Architecture User Interaction Alert Manager Link Visualization Fraud Rules/ Strategy Reporting 128 Bit SSL Encryption DMP Analytic Services Components Claims Fraud Service Onboarding Services Other Fraud Service Routing Service Rules Services Data Services Development/Testing and Deployment Scoring Governance Fraud Rules Change Management Audit Transparency Compliance Routing Strategies Link Analytics Deployment Manager Input Data Data Server Third Party 14 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Data Warehouse Operational Data Store Fraud Rule and Models FICO® Claims Fraud Solution—Demo Participant Claim Rick Meadows ► Policy holder for 18 months ► Involved in a 2 car collision ► Multiple passengers in each vehicle ► Multiple injuries and claims 15 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. FICO® Claims Fraud Solution FICO’s Key Benefits and Value Proposition Detect more Fraud Prioritize Claims Reduce False Positives Stop Fraud Rings Grow Customer Satisfaction Gain Financial Benefits 16 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Find more fraud with predictive analytic methods that cast a wide net as well as learn from one another—producing significant impact to the bottom line Prioritize SIU investigations—tackle the fraud with the highest ROI based on fraud score rankings Via the use of analytics to create more operational efficiencies; optimize models to balance false positive rates with risk appetite Detect fraud linked by as little as a single related item—exposing fraud rings and greater volumes of claims fraud By streamlining the process and paying legitimate claims faster Realize substantial ROI from day one, impacting the bottom line and capital position Questions 17 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Thank You! Michael Betron Product Management FICO Scott Horwitz Insurance Consulting FICO © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. This presentation is provided for the recipient only and cannot be reproduced or shared without Fair Isaac Corporation’s express consent. Learn More at FICO World Related Sessions ►Sul America Session ►Karen Pauli Session Products in Solution Center ►FICO® Identity Resolution Engine ►FICO® Claims Fraud Solution Experts at FICO World ►Liz Lasher ►Scott Horwitz ►Mike Betron White Papers Online ►Gartner Newsletter Blogs ►www.fico.com/blog 19 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Please rate this session online! Michael Betron Product Management FICO 20 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Scott Horwitz Insurance Consulting FICO Business Processing and Orchestration Flash Fraud Rules 22 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Routing Strategies/Threshold