NBA 600: Session 10 Online Communities 20 February 2003 Daniel Huttenlocher Today’s Class Finish up discussion of online communities – – – – Trust Fraud Reputation Protecting material created by community • Cyber-trespass laws – “Pure communities” versus complementing other activities – Dynamics of communities Mid (1/3) term course evaluation 2 Online Community People spending time adding value because they are having fun doing it – Interacting with others • Areas where people are “expert” or “obsessive” draw more participants – Need to attract both experts and non-experts • Providers and users of information, skill or knowledge Feedback is critical – Experts want to see they’re reaching audience – Non-experts want way to assess credibility – People want to know how well they are doing 3 Types of Communities Community as supplement – E.g., Amazon uses reviewer community to enhance site, not as sole value – As opposed to Ebay where community has been entire value • This is changing with corporate sellers Community as addiction – E.g., Many eBay users find auctions addictive • Regular shopping can be addictive as well – Gaming sites can have this property If neither, challenge getting off the ground 4 Community Trust Ebay’s initial challenge – Building trust to trade with strangers online • Focused on sense of community and “inherent goodness of people” Means of running cheaters out of town – Reputation scores based on completed transactions (+,0,-) • Number of positives minus negatives • About half of transactions result in ratings High reputation scores – “best citizens” – Ebay rewards its highest reputation sellers • 85,000 points 5 Maintaining Trust Ebay says fraud less than 1/100th percent – But still moving beyond “community policing” – Highly visible case involved real world too • Merchant who fled with over $200K also had shop and employees Poor experiences more common than outright fraud – Sellers now being verified through credit card or other information • Contract with Verisign Works in sense that fraud off eBay higher – E.g., case of fake cashiers check and used Mac’s 6 Is Fraud an Increasing Threat? National consumer’s league reports large increase in 2002 auction fraud – From 70% to 87% of reported cases – About 15,000 cases average of nearly $500 Ebay reports only percentage of transactions that are fraudulent – But does not report numbers of transactions nor dollar volume of fraud • Most eBay transactions much smaller than $500 Most seller fraud involves stolen ID’s and payment other than credit card 7 Reputation Reputation mechanisms commonly used to build trust online – Need to trust the provider of the reputations • The site, e.g., eBay, Amazon Rankings of reviewers, rankings of transaction experience – Only works if people provide rankings • They do, even though not of immediate value – Studies show people more likely to provide positive than negative ratings • So either having very good experiences or bias in reporting 8 Value of Reputation to Participants Resnick (UMich) study shows price effect – Controlled study with “matched pairs” of vintage postcards • Done in conjunction with established seller who had high reputation • Sold one of each pair as relatively new seller with little reputation – High reputation seller received closing bids on average 7.6% higher than unknown sellers Perhaps surprisingly, a few negative scores had little effect – Treated similar to unknown with a few positives and no negatives 9 Value of Reputation to Provider If participants could take reputations elsewhere would threaten provider – Verifiably high eBay score might make people willing to shop directly at merchant site – Similar for gaming sites Reputations are “owned” by the providers, as they are conferring their trust on the participants – All restrict the use in their terms of service • Ebay monitors quite actively – Not transferred when shut down or merged 10 Value of Community Product An active community produces information that can be of substantial value – Currently open auctions on eBay – Reviews on Amazon Substantial new legal decisions being made in this arena – New cyber-trespassing rulings • Based on several hundred year old laws on “trespass to chattels” – Prohibits unauthorized access to networked computer systems 11 Why New Laws Have Been Sought Community generated value not usually protected by prior laws – Copyright does not apply to “facts” only creative works • Landmark case – Feist telephone directory listings • Open auctions are facts – Reviews are creative works but copyright generally belongs to author • Explicit rights granted to site to display the work, but author can display elsewhere • Authors would need to protect their rights 12 Limited Access to Ebay’s Site Conventions restricting Web access by automated programs (so called robots or spiders) – Special Web page stating what access allowed Ebay explicitly prohibits such automated access except as licensed – Grant rights to search engines – Have in past granted rights to auction aggregators for a fee • Aggregators were formed in late ’90’s to provide access to best prices across auction sites 13 Auction Aggregator Threat Ebay’s dominant position could have been threatened – Items listed because it has biggest audience, but aggregators might remove that advantage Bidders Edge and eBay could not agree on license terms – Bidders Edge “copied” eBay’s site anyway – eBay sued to block access based on cybertrespass laws • Was granted preliminary injunction in early ‘00 Effectively shut down aggregator business 14 Implications of Cyber-Trespass Findings based on – Unauthorized access to systems • Up to provider to state what is authorized – Resulting damage to systems from this access • Including diminution in value It is this threat of diminished value of eBay’s site that was used in Bidders Edge decision Does it threaten open access of Internet? – E.g., some worried price comparison sites could be limited in ability to search retailers • This hasn’t really happened, in fact retailers often pay comparison sites 15 Epinions and “Pure” Community Goal to provide unbiased reviews of products and services – Contributed by visitors to site • Small payments for reviews based on views • Rated for accuracy and value by other visitors – Intent to be better than sites such as Amazon by having more of a community • Not restricted to items sold on one site Initial revenue model – advertising Developed active community – But not clearly larger or more informative than say Amazon reviewers 16 Evolution of Epinions Changed model to being a shopping comparison site – Combining prices and user reviews – Similar to Bizrate which started with more of focus on price comparison Revenue model changed to include merchant fees for listings and/or referrals Privately held – claims to have reached GAAP profitability for 2002 – But mainly reports 50M unique visitors and 31M referrals to merchants 17 Dynamics of Communities Need balance of creators and consumers – Can be difficult to get started • Each requires other – Can also be difficult to maintain • Imbalances arise, much as in markets Hard to “bootstrap” – In traditional businesses can choose to lose money while building up • E.g., content creation not done by employees Yet online community remains a major potential of Internet over other channels 18 Examples of Community Dynamics Auction sites have tended to exhibit strong all-or-none properties – Seller seeks largest possible audience Despite eBay’s estimated 85% share in US, Yahoo and uBid both still active In Japan, Yahoo auctions dominates – Ebay closed their Japanese site due to lack of volume In UK, eBay dominates – To extent that Yahoo closed their auction site 19 Announcements Change in syllabus – Next week talk about digital content • Pricing and versioning of information E.g., hardcover vs. paperback books – Defer discussion of marketplaces until after digital content • What’s a marketplace? Multiple buyers and/or sellers of commodity goods or services Note differs from most eBay auctions Reminders – Appointments to discuss case project • I’m away next Monday 2/24 and Friday 2/28 – Short paper #3 due Tuesday (2/25) 20