Research Project / Bachelor Thesis 2006

advertisement
Response rates
and potential selection bias
in academic business surveys
Tony Hak
RSM Erasmus University
Rotterdam
The Netherlands
thak@rsm.nl
Background
• High quality of establishment surveys
conducted by government institutions
• Bewilderment about quality of surveys in
academic business research
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Example
Yehuda Baruch (1999), “Response rates in academic studies –
A comparative analysis”, Human Relations, 52(4)
• Average response rate 55.6% with a standard deviation of
19.7
• “It is suggested that the average found in this study
should be used as a norm for future studies”
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Aims
• Problem identification: Is there a problem
regarding the quality of academic business
surveys?
• Diagnosis: Can the problem be explained by
differences between academic surveys and
government surveys?
• Solutions: What can be done?
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Problem identification
• Top best publications  Academy of
Management Journal (AMJ)
• Current situation  most recent volume (volume
49, 2006)
• Focus on selection bias (coverage, sampling and
response)
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Method
• Select surveys
• Select business surveys
• Describe
– Response rates
– Justification for achieved response rates
– Discussion of potential selection bias
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Non-surveys
From 59 research papers:
Clearly not a survey
• Qualitative research
8
• Experimental research
6
• Meta-analysis
3
• Simulation
2
Possibly a survey
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
19
40
What is a survey?
There are 23 studies (out of 40) in which propositions are
tested in populations for which data were collected from
data bases or information systems but that in all other
respects were similar to surveys for which data were
collected by sending a questionnaire to the company or by
asking informants questions in telephone interviews
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Example Burger King (1)
Example: A survey of Burger King restaurants using
the POS system installed in each restaurant
If using data from the POS system would not have
been feasible, questionnaires could have been
sent to the restaurant managers
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Example Burger King (2)
Advantages of using data from POS rather than using
a questionnaire:
• No non-response
• Maximum reliability of data
• Validity of data depends on POS, not on the
response process
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
But is it a survey?
Groves et al. (2004: 2):
“a systematic method for gathering information
from (a sample of) entities for the purposes of
constructing quantitative descriptors of the
attributes of the larger population of which the
entities are members”
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Definition of a survey
A survey must be defined by the aim of constructing
quantitative descriptors of a population, not by its
method of data collection
 The use of a standardized questionnaire is not a
defining characteristic of a survey
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Examples of surveys
without a questionnaire
•
•
•
•
Hak ICES-III
A survey of plants in polluting industries in the USA using data
from TRI reports filed by these plants
A survey of TQM consulting firms using data from Kennedy
Information (a specialized firm that produces industry reports)
A survey of acquisitions using data from COMPUSTAT
A survey of US subsidiaries of foreign banks using the Call reports
database
Academic business surveys
Aims and populations
• The aim of all these studies is theory-testing
• Selection of population is relatively arbitrary
• Availability of data might be a criterion for population
selection
• Representativeness of the available data might be a
criterion for population selection
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Domain and population
x x x
x
xxx
xx x
x
x xx x
x
xx x x x
x x
x
xx x x x x
x
x
x x x x
x xx
x
x
x xxx
xx x
x
x
x x
xx
x x xx x x
x x
x
x
x
x xx
x
xx
xx
x x xxx
x
x x
x
x
x
x
x xx
x
x
x xx
xxx x
x
x xx
x
x x xxx x
xx
xx x xx x x x
x
x xx x
x
xx
x
x
x
x
x xx x
x
xx
x x xx
x x xxx
xxxx xxx xx xx
xx xxx
xx
xxxxx
xxxx xx x xx xxxx xx xx
x
xx x
xx
xxx
xxx
xxxx x x x x x
x x x x xx xx xx x x x x xx
xxx x xxx
xxxx
x
xxx x x x x x
x x x x x xxx
xx x x xx
x x
x x
x x xx
xx x
xx
x x
x xxxxx xx
x x x
x x
xxxx
x x
xx
xxx
x
xx x
xx
xxx
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Replication
• Each survey is only one test of the theory
• A theory is robust if it is shown to be true in repeated tests
in different parts of a domain
• Increasing the robustness of a theory requires replication,
i.e. the purposive selection of next populations for testing
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Population selection (1)
• Selection of a population from a domain is not a
form of sampling because
– The aim is replication, not representativeness
– There is no sampling frame
• No discussion in textbooks
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Population selection (2)
• Population selection might take data collection
problems into account
• Response and data error is minimized if a
population is selected that is small and/or for
which data can be collected from information
systems
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Methods of data collection in AMJ
surveys
From 40 surveys in Volume 49 (2006) of AMJ:
• 23 use data from data bases or information systems 
quality and representativeness of data dependent on data
base or system
• 17 use questionnaires  quality and representativeness
of data dependent on response process
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Different types of population
• Populations range from persons (e.g., teachers or
workers) and teams of persons to organizations
and their activities or characteristics (e.g.,
alliances)
• I focus in this presentation for ICES on surveys of
organizations only
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Questionnaire surveys
From 17 surveys with questionnaires:
• One uses data from a government survey
• Eleven are surveys of persons or (generic) teams,
not of organizations
• Five are similar to establishment surveys
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Five business surveys
•
•
•
•
•
Hak ICES-III
A survey of technology companies using data partially collected with
standardized questionnaires from HRM managers and “core knowledge
workers”
A survey of US corporations using data collected from CEOs and their top
management team members
A survey of private companies using data collected from “executives”
A survey of interorganizational relationships involving R&D using data
collected from managers
A survey of international strategic alliances operating in India using data
collected from managing directors and CEOs
Academic business surveys
Survey 1
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Hak ICES-III
Theory: The effect of HRM practices on performance
Population: All 397 companies on a list compiled by the researchers from two
business publications
Sample: Not applicable (census)
Participation rate of firms: 136 of 397 (34%)
Information on non-participation error: “Participating organizations did not differ
from nonparticipating firms in reported sales or number of employees”
Response rate of knowledge workers in 136 firms: 61%
Information on non-response error: None
Discussion of limitations: None
Academic business surveys
Survey 2
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Hak ICES-III
Theory: The effect of leadership on performance
Population: All companies in the Financial 1000 and Corporate 1000 Yellow Books
Sample: Random sample of 500 CEOs
Participation rate of CEOs: 128 of 500 (26%)
Information on non-participation error: “We compared our sample (sic) with the
nonresponding firms. The t-tests demonstrated no significant differences”
Response rate in 128 firms: 80%
Information on non-response error: None
Discussion of limitations: “Our sample might be overly populated with CEOs with
specific characteristics“
Academic business surveys
Survey 3
•
•
•
•
•
•
Hak ICES-III
Theory: Determinants of executive compensation
Population: All companies on a list compiled by three American professional
services firms
Sample: Not applicable (census)
Response rate: 20% “[This is] relatively high, considering the sensitivity of the
questions and the level of the executives targeted”
Information on non-response error: “No statistical significant differences were
observed between respondents and nonrespondents on these dimensions”
Discussion of limitations: None
Academic business surveys
Survey 4
•
•
•
•
•
•
Hak ICES-III
Theory: The effectiveness of types of contracts in constraining opportunism
Population: All Indian firms with specific SIC codes
Sample: Random sample of 2600 managers
Response rate: 22%
Information on non-response error: “No significant differences were found
between early and late responders. We also compared responding with
nonresponding firms on primary three-digit SIC code; this identifier failed to
significantly predict response”
Discussion of limitations: “It is a study of 125 firms, so replication is needed”
Academic business surveys
Survey 5
•
•
•
•
•
•
Hak ICES-III
Theory: The effect of uncertainty on alliances
Population: All strategic alliances on the member lists of various international
chambers of commerce in India
Sample: “We identified a sample of 700 dyadic international strategic alliances
operating in India”
Response rate: 126 of 700 (18%).
Information on non-response error: “The results of the t-tests for the sizes of the
firms and the age of the local firm revealed no significant differences between
respondent and non-respondent groups. We found no difference between early and
late respondents.”
Discussion of limitations: None
Academic business surveys
Summary
•
•
Aims: Theory-testing
Selection of population:
–
–
•
•
Response rates: 18-34%, presented as “normal” or “relatively high”
Information on non-response error:
–
–
•
Hak ICES-III
No discussion of relevance for replication
No discussion of implications for data collection methods
Comparison of respondents and non-respondents on known characteristics in all studies
Comparison of early and late respondents in two studies
Discussion of limitations: Some
Academic business surveys
Comments
•
•
•
Hak ICES-III
Response rates very low
No serious attempt to assess extent of selection
bias
Studies would not be released by government
institutions because of potential selection bias
Academic business surveys
Problem identification
Two types of academic surveys:
• Surveys that use data from data bases or information
systems  no selection bias in study itself, but might
exist in data base
• Surveys that use data collected by questionnaires 
huge potential selection bias; no awareness or the
problem
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Response process model
as a diagnostic tool
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Hak ICES-III
Encoding in memory / record formation
Respondent selection and identification
Assessment of priorities
Comprehension of the data request
Retrieval of information
Judgment of adequacy of response
Communication of the response
Release of the data
Academic business surveys
Diagnosis
•
•
Hak ICES-III
Authors mention problems of accessing and
motivating respondents: insufficient incentives
for participation
No particular problems regarding question
comprehension, data retrieval or authorization
Academic business surveys
Solutions?
•
•
Hak ICES-III
It is very unlikely that response rates in business
surveys using questionnaires can be increased to a
sufficient extent. If possible at all, solutions are too
costly
Solutions can only be found by using other data sources
and other methods of data collection. This implies the
selection of other populations
Academic business surveys
Conclusions
•
•
•
Hak ICES-III
Theory-testing business surveys that require
data collection with questionnaires are not
feasible
Theory-testing does not require data collection
with questionnaires
Critical issue: selection of the population to be
surveyed (replication strategy)
Academic business surveys
Discussion (1)
“Ideal” survey populations for testing (probabilistic)
propositions
• Are small
• Consist of members that are easily accessible for
researchers (for direct data extraction), or
• Feed relevant data into information systems
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Discussion (2)
Identifying and selecting such “ideal” survey
populations for theory-testing is possible, but
requires that such selection is a conscious
process steered by an explicit replication
strategy
Hak ICES-III
Academic business surveys
Download