To:
From: Sublime China Information Group Co., Ltd.
Tel:
Tel: +86-533-6091079
Seminar Background
The global economy developed with difficulties in 2015, and the year 2015 might be the most difficult year for the
Chinese economy. Continuous declines in crude oil prices led to the downtrend of chemicals markets and the
ethanol market was no exception.
The import volume of ethanol jumped from 21kt in January to 400kt in November. The China-made ethanol
market experienced challenges. As for the price, it declined from RMB 5,800/mt in early 2015 to RMB 4,800/mt at
the end of December. Given the unchanged tariff, will the arbitrage between RMB and USD prices continue in
2016?
The corn inventory at the State Grain Reserve Bureau has been over 100 million mt, hitting a historical high. Prices
at deep processing enterprises hit the historical low in 2015. As substitutes of corn, imported sorghum and barley
shocked the Chinese corn market. Moreover, the State Grain Reserve Bureau reduced the purchasing prices, which
weighed down the market confidence. Considering the unclear policies in 2016, how will the corn market perform?
The future of the international crude oil is uncertain and chemicals markets are running carefully. Fuel ethanol
must be the major part in the ethanol market. As the Chinese government insists on managing the haze, will the
ethanol market improve via fuel ethanol?
In 2015, the synthetic ethanol technology made full use of its advantages with the ethanol capacity increasing from
275kt/a to 491kt/a. Moreover, about 740kt/a capacity will be put into operation in next few years. Experts will
help you understand synthetic ethanol clearly and know future newly-added units.
kt/a
5,000
2013-2020 Fuel Ethanol Capacity Comparison
Capacity
Newly-added capacity
2013-2015 Chinese Ethanol Consumption Distribution
kt/a
4,000
3,000
3,000
2,000
2,000
2013
2014
2015
4,000
1,000
1,000
0
White spirit
0
2013
2015
Chemical
2020E
Fuel &
anhydrous
ethanol
Seminar Highlights
Seminar Highlights
1. Focus on global ethanol industry tendency.
2. Share the global economic data and expert viewpoints.
3. Forecast the future supply and demand in the Chinese ethanol market.
4. Interpret the corn industry policies and development plans.
5. Analyze and forecast the Chinese ethyl acetate market situation.
6. Analyze and forecast the tapioca market.
7. Discuss the synthetic ethanol technology tendency.
Contact: Li Keyao
Tel: +86-533-6091079
Fax: +86-533-6090132
Mail: liky@sci99.com
Others
Draft Agenda
Mar 9th, 2016 (Wednesday)
14:00-20:00
Participants Registration
18:00-20:00
Buffet Dinner
Mar 10th, 2016 (Thursday)
08:50-09:00
SCI Welcoming Address
09:00-09:40
Economic situation and crude oil market analysis under the “great revolution”
How will global economic pattern evolve in 2016 after ups and downs in 2015?
Risks and opportunities for Chinese manufacturing industry under the economic new normal
How will the 2016 crude oil market perform in the market reformation?
09:40-10:20
Search for a new direction via a close look at the global ethanol market
Ethanol trade flows in the global context
A systematic analysis of the global ethanol supply and demand pattern
Emerging new ethanol fields in China
10:20-11:00
The new development trend of the tapioca market under pressure
Tapioca chip supply from Southeast Asia in recent years
Cooperation and coexistence: Thailand tapioca market faces pressure from the Chinese ethanol
market
Problems in the tapioca industry in 2016
11:00-11:40
Fuel ethanol: a new savior of the Chinese ethanol market
Interpretation of Chinese fuel ethanol industrial policies
How should the fuel ethanol industry survive under the context of low oil prices?
New development opportunities for biofuel industries in “haze”
Will fuel ethanol industry thrive in the coming capacity outburst?
12:00-13:30
Buffet Lunch
14:00-14:50
New highlights and new trend: research on present and future Chinese corn market
Interpretation of policy regulation on the Chinese grain industry
An analysis of corn consumption in downstream fodder and deep processing industries
Major supply-demand problems in the Chinese corn industry
14:50-15:30
Risks and opportunities in the Chinese ethanol industry
Bottlenecks of Chinese ethanol industry
Supportive and depressing Chinese ethanol policies
Influences of feedstock trade barriers on Chinese ethanol market
How should Chinese ethanol industry develop under export new normal
15:30-16:10
In-depth research of synthetic ethanol technologies
Reasons for superiority: technology comparison of synthetic ethanol and fermented ethanol
Ethanol supply-demand development trend in the release of newly-added capacity
Synthetic ethanol development outlook in one-fold demand increase
16:10-16:50
How should acetic ether industry survive the tough situation?
A reasonable analysis of ethyl acetate development, supply and demand in recent years
How should Chinese ethyl acetate industry view export in the maturing global market?
How should ethyl acetate and feedstock industries coexist under the 2016 new normal?
17:30-20:00
Return Dinner
Morning
Afternoon
Mar 11th, 2016 (Friday)
Morning &
Afternoon
8:00-17:00
Contact: Li Keyao
Business Investigation
Tel: +86-533-6091079
Fax: +86-533-6090132
Mail: liky@sci99.com