PANGÆA The Journal of Undergraduate History Studies Dalhousie University PANGAEA 2005-2006 The Dalhousie Undergraduate History Journal Editor: Anne E. Cummings Associate Editor: Heather Parker Editorial Board: Ally Basen B. Gayle Cormier Deanna Foster Elizabeth Maynes Andrew Patrick Murray Ari S. Najarian Noah B. Shack Stéphanie Simard Matthew Sugrue Faculty Advisors: Christopher M. Bell Cynthia J. Neville Special Thanks to: Tina Jones Mary Wyman Dalhousie History Department Dalhousie Undergraduate History Society Dalhousie Computer Science Society PANGAEA The Dalhousie Undergraduate History Journal 2005 - 2006 CONTRIBUTORS H. J. PARKER is a fourth-year Honours History and Classics student. Her paper “Divorce in the Medieval Celtic Realms” was originally submitted for Cynthia Neville’s 2005 seminar on Crime and Society in Post-Conquest England. RACHAEL A. GRIFFIN is in the fourth year of a History and Political Science Honours degree. She wrote “The English in Ireland: English Law in Ireland from 1297-1366” for Cynthia Neville’s 2005 seminar on Crime and Society in Post-Conquest England. ARI NAJARIAN is a fourth-year student in History and Anthropology. He composed “The Millet System and Ottoman Decline” for Colin Mitchell’s 2005 Sultans and Shahs. CHRISTA HUNFELD is a third-year student in History. Her paper “Pitchforks and Paternalism: Women and the English Reformation” was written for Krista Kesselring’s 2005 Tudor and Stuart England. ELIZABETH MAYNES is in the fourth year of a History Honours degree. Liz completed her Bachelors of Science at Acadia University in 1998. She wrote “Guilty until Proven Innocent: Mothers and the Law in Early Modern England” for a Directed Readings course with Krista Kesselring. ANNE E. CUMMINGS is a fourth-year Honours student in History and Spanish. She originally submitted “Catholic Relief and the Anti-Papist Tradition” for Krista Kesselring’s 2005 Topics in the Social and Cultural History of England, c. 15001850: Madness and Marginality. KATHERINE ARCHIBALD is a fourth-year History and Contemporary Studies Honours student. She wrote “Insurgence in ‘Traitordom’: Andrew Johnson, East Tennessee, and Appalachian Unionism” for John O’Brien’s 2005 American Civil War and Reconstruction. B. GAYLE CORMIER is a fourth-year History Honours student. She wrote “Setting the Record Straight: Churchill, Appeasement, and the Italo-Abbysinian Crisis” for Christopher Bell’s 2005 class, Winston Churchill. DAVID J. R. KEHOE is a fourth-year History student. His paper “Churchill and the Spanish Civil War” was written for Christopher Bell’s 2005 class, Winston Churchill. ELYSE CRAGG is a fourth-year History student. She composed “Everyday Germans and the Holocaust: What They Knew and Why They Stayed Silent” for John Bingham’s 2005 class Nazism and German Society. NOAH B. SHACK is a fourth-year History and Political Science student. He wrote “Brinksmanship and Backfire: Nasser and the Six-Day War” for Paul Sedra’s 2005 class History of Modern Egypt. DAVID STANLEY is a third year student in the second year of a degree in History and Environmental Science. He wrote “A Siren Song: Canada's National Policy Scuttles the Maritimes' Merchant Marine” for Timothy Lewis’s 2005 class Transition and Decline in Rural Canada PETER MCGUIRE is a third year history student. He submitted “Tormenting the Bear: The Russian Defeat in Chechnya, 1994-1996” for Christopher Bell’s 2005 class War and Society Since 1945. PANGAEA The Dalhousie Undergraduate History Journal CONTENTS The English in Ireland: English Law in Ireland 1297-1366..... 1 The Millet System and Ottoman Decline .................................20 A Siren Song: Canada’s National Policy Scuttles the Maritimes’ Merchant Marine ......................................................32 Setting the Record Straight: Churchill, Appeasement and the Italo-Abbysinian Crisis ................................................................53 Brinksmanship and Backfire: Nasser and the Six-Day War .69 Tormenting the Bear: The Russian Defeat in Chechnya, 1194-1996......................................................................................82 The English in Ireland: English Law in Ireland 1297-1366 RACHAEL GRIFFIN When in 1365, King Edward III spoke of Ireland as being “sunk in the greatest wretchedness through the poverty and feebleness of its people”,1 he was unwittingly summing up the twocentury history of England’s experience in Ireland. From the reign of Edward II, English institutions and the jurisdiction of the common law began to retreat from the further reaches of Ireland back into the Pale.2 This paper examines the extent to which English laws penetrated Ireland, and where they did not, why. In an attempt to synthesis some of the reasons that contributed to the drastic reduction of English power in Ireland between 1297 and 1366, six main topic areas are explored here. These are the patterns of the Norman conquest of Ireland and their effect on the future of English rule, the organisation of the English colonial government in Dublin, the system of Anglo-Irish lordship and its importance in understanding the application of law, the status of the native Irish under English law, and, briefly, the Bruce invasion of 1315. I It is advantageous to begin with Edward I, because his reign marked the height of English power in Ireland both territorially and administratively.3 Edward I’s talent as an administrator and monarch strengthened the English position in Ireland. In his administrative machinery “[t]he English exchequer audited accounts from outposts at Caernarfon and Berwick as well as Dublin”.4 This allowed central control and the capacity to oversee the everyday accounts from areas under his command. In addition, the English parliament had supreme jurisdiction over that of Dublin. Thus, Westminster normally heard Quoted in Jocelyn Otway-Ruthven, A History of Medieval Ireland (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1980), 291 2 This includes the creation of many more liberties by Edwards II and III which farther reduced the jurisdiction of royal officials. 3 Jocelyn Otway- Ruthven, “The Native Irish and English Law,” Irish Historical Studies 7 (1950-51): 1-16, 3. 4 Robin Frame, The Political Development of the British Isles (Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press, 1990), 142. 1 The English in Ireland the petitions of Irish subjects.5 Edward I emphasized the importance of London’s supremacy in decision-making over that of Dublin. Edward’s success as a head of state can be attributed to “the growth of the administrative and fiscal capacity of the state”, which allowed the English monarch to “pursue large military aims in a sustained way—which further stimulated the development of government”.6 This increased level of English administrative overview and fiscal power gave Edward a much firmer grip over the lordship than any of his predecessors had or his descendants ever would. It also, however, ensured that he and his descendants would be occupied with more ambitious endeavours overseas and away from Ireland. In addition to a relatively firm grasp over Irish institutional life, Edward also enjoyed the most extensive lordship over Ireland of any monarch to date. Due to the fractioning of inheritances by co-heiresses and the holding of liberties in wardship by the king, “[t]he area of direct royal government had thus been greatly increased during Edward’s reign: by its end only Wexford and Kilkenny remained as liberties in Leinster, and only half of Meath”.7 Since the lords of liberties were allowed significant control over their affairs, short of sovereignty, the limiting of liberties meant a greater area directly under the king’s control. II In order to appreciate why the English common law never achieved universal jurisdiction in Ireland it is important to comprehend the conditions under which the English conquered the island. When the English arrived in 1169, they did not conquer the entire realm. Under the terms of the 1175 Treaty of Windsor, the English won control only over “Leinster and Meath, with the whole coastline from Dublin to Dungarvan.”8 The rest of the country was to remain under the jurisdiction of the Irish high king Rory O’Connor, who entered into a feudal relationship with Henry II.9 Implicit in this agreement was that there would exist a dual system of law. In the area controlled by the Normans, it was intended that English common law would have supreme jurisdiction. In those areas Ibid. Frame, Political Development., 144. 7 Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 212. 8 Otway-Ruthven, “The Native Irish,” 2. 9 Ibid. 5 6 newly under Norman control, there was little change to the “political boundaries” already in existence. 10 The newcomers simply superimposed on the Irish the Anglo-Norman system of law. Excluded from the common law, the Irish were left to their traditional and customary forms of law. As R.R. Davies points out, this laxity in allowing the Irish to retain their laws reinforced “a sense of unity. . . [and] also served as one of the crucial bulwarks of [Irish] national identity.”11 When the Normans conquered England, their invasion “had been both rapid and complete.”12 Through “the merging of the two peoples [Anglo-Saxon and Norman] in a relatively short time”, the Normans had sufficiently intertwined the two populations under the same law.13 In Ireland, this had not occurred. There remained two distinct cultural and ethnic groups whose people followed different laws in different areas of the lordship. The English conquest of Ireland was less a conquest than a semi-successful occupation. Most notably, the kings of England did not refer to themselves as kings of Ireland but lords of Ireland.14 that The historian Robin Frame puts it succinctly when he states an intensely regional island, with a marked absence of conventional government institutions, was penetrated piecemeal by individual adventurers held on a fairly loose royal rein.15 The Irish had no central government, but instead divisive tribal groups, feuding chiefs and numerous sub-kings with rival claims to the Irish throne.16 The Treaty of Windsor cannot be seen as embodying the submission of the Irish, since Rory O’Connor did not speak for all Ireland. When the king’s men entered Ireland, they had these problems standing in their way. These ‘individual adventurers’ were given the vast tracts of land which they had overpowered to Robin Frame, “Power and Society in the Lordship of Ireland 1272-1377,” Past and Present 76 (August, 1977): 3-33, 6. 11 R.R. Davies, “The Peoples of Britain and Ireland 1100-1400: III. Laws and Customs,” Transactions of the Royal Historical Society 6. 6 (1996): 1-23, 10. 12 Otway-Ruthven, “The Native Irish,” 1. 13 Ibid. 14 Edward I was to be addressed as “King of England, lord of Ireland and duke of Aquitaine”. Quoted in Frame, Political Development, 143. 15 Frame, “Power and Society,” 5. 16 Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 226. 10 The English in Ireland protect for England. The irregular conquest prevented large numbers of English immigrants from populating the new colony because it was not yet stable. The lack of “substantial immigration and a sustained royal presence” made conditions impossible for total governmental control of Ireland by the English.17 The result of this fitful domination by the English was not a consolidated lordship but “a patchwork or lordships”, each of which was “a small, vulnerable society”.18 Over this highly superficial veneer of control, the English government superimposed its administrative structure. Under the circumstances, the English government “applied [its resources] to purposes that were premature”.19 In essence, the English imposed their common law while simultaneously attempting to gain control of the parts of Ireland not under their influence. At no time during their lordship was there ever universal English control of Ireland upon which to base a strong and consolidated system of English law and government. III The system of government in Ireland was essentially a copy of its progenitor in England. The institutions that served England well were transported ready-made to Ireland. As Richardson has noted: the Irish chancery, exchequer, justiciar’s bench, common bench and eyres of the king’s justices were, as near as circumstances would permit, replicas of English institutions: the council and the parliament followed as closely as possible on the English model. Shires and franchises or palatinates completed the mechanism of government.20 The system was to remain independent of the English system, hence why it had a chancery to issue writs, a common bench to hear Frame, “Power and Society,” 18. Ibid., 1, 18. 19 G.J. Hand, English Law in Ireland 1290-1324 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1967), 218. 20 H. G. Richardson, “English Institutions in Medieval Ireland,” Irish Historical Society 1 (1938-39): 382-392, 384. 17 18 pleas, and an exchequer to deal with finances. 21 The justiciar was the head of the government and functioned as the king’s “alter ego”.22 This certainly did not relieve the Irish administration from English overview. The Irish courts and parliament had to enforce both English and Irish statutes.23 The Irish parliament began to meet regularly in the time of Edward I; however, it was only entitled to create statutes regarding problems specific to the lordship, never to supersede those of the king’s council and parliament. 24 Frame states that the Legislation made in Ireland between 1297 and 1366, and the records of the Dublin government . . . depict a country where war and peace were the concern of a single royal administration which set out to organize and, when necessary, mobilize the king’s subjects.25 The statute of the 1297 Irish parliament is a good example of this.26 It did not attempt to legislate on points of technical procedure, but endeavoured “to establish peace more firmly” in Ireland.27 The statute lamented the absence of lords from their lands, whether absentee or residing in more stable areas of Ireland because “their lands in the marches being left waste and uncultivated and without guard”.28 The result of such negligence was that “Irish felons . . . pass[ed] freely through to perpetrate robberies, homicides and other mischiefs up on the English”.29 In addition to this, the English king’s bench exercised the same privilege over the justiciar’s court, thus providing the lordship with “supervision over the law administered in Ireland”.30 Like the English king’s bench, the justiciar’s court “exercised a jurisdiction in review over both courts of record and Hand, English Law in Ireland, 136. Hand, English Law in Ireland, 136. 23 Ibid., 159. 24 Ibid. 25 Robin Frame, “War and peace in the medieval lordship of Ireland,” in The English in Medieval Ireland, ed. J. Lyndon (Dublin: Royal Irish Academy, 1984), 130. 26 “Parliament of Ireland, 1297,” in Irish Historical Documents: 1172-1922, ed. E. Curtis and R.B. McDowell (London: Methuen & Co. Ltd, 1943). 27 Ibid. 28 Ibid. 33. 29 Ibid. 30 Hand, English Law in Ireland, 215. 21 22 The English in Ireland courts not of record”.31 In order to avoid confusion regarding jurisdiction, the crown eventually decreed that writs should be purchased in the country in which they were to be pleaded.32 Like England, the portions of Ireland under direct control by the king were shired. The numbers of shires changed frequently, depending on problems with inheritance, the death of magnates, the expansion or retreat of English power and changing authority within crosslands. At the beginning of the period under investigation there were nine shires in Ireland.33 Jocelyn Otway-Ruthven, in her intensive study of Anglo-Irish shire government in the thirteenth century, states that the Anglo-Irish sheriff was modeled exactly upon those of England. Thus, he was responsible for the collection of amercements imposed by the royal courts, fines for having the king’s grace, fees for chancery writs, the arrears of former sheriff’s accounts, and all other items which made up the ordinary revenue of the crown, as well as the scutages of the lesser tenants in chief ‘when royal service ran’, and sometimes a local subsidy.34 Indeed, the sheriff was responsible for collecting most of the revenue of the royal administration. Otway-Ruthven suggests that this was the reason why “the oath which [the sheriff] took on appointment was largely concerned with their accountability at the exchequer”.35 Irish fiscal resources were taken directly by the king for use in wars in Scotland, France and the continent.36 It is estimated that during the period between 1203 and 1307, ₤90,000 was used by England in such pursuits.37 Given that the average income for the colony during Edward I’s reign was ₤6,300, much of the Irish revenue went straight to England.38 Absentee magnates also had a habit of taking the funds from their Irish estates to England, “leaving nothing here to protect their tenements of their tenants thereof”.39 Without money, the lordship was even less able to defend the vast tracts of land under tenuous control. The large sums of money leaving Ireland throughout the period of the lordship was a strong Ibid., 83. Hand, English Law in Ireland., 141. 33 Jocelyn Otway-Ruthven, “Anglo-Irish Shire Government in the Thirteenth Century,” Irish Historical Studies 5 (1946-47): 1-28, 4. 34 Ibid., 14. 35 Ibid. 36 Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 218. 37 Ibid. 38 Ibid. 39 “Parliament of Ireland, 1297,” 34. 31 32 contributing factor in the degeneration of English control. Throughout the early fourteenth century, Irish revenue decreased due to internal unrest.40 By the time of the meeting of the 1431 Irish Parliament, officials were “seeking taxes in parliament for the defence of Ireland itself.”41 There were key differences in the nature of offices held in the Irish administration from that of their English counterparts. Ireland was not a consolidated lordship. It was a fragmented system of marches and lordships in which conflict was endemic. As a result, most government offices had an unavoidable military component. Robin Frame estimates that by the first quarter of the fourteenth century, “the king’s justiciar spent from one to six month’s a year at the head of an army”.42 As the king’s representative, it was dependent on the justiciar to declare the king’s war against his enemies. Frame states that the medieval Irish keepers of the peace were much like their English predecessors had been in the previous century.43 As a result of the constant border warfare in every shire, [i]nstead of becoming judicial officers, with the incidental duty of overseeing the archaic local peacekeeping machinery, [medieval Irish keepers of the peace] remained active military commanders and developed judicial duties as only a subsidiary part of their function.44 During this century, the Irish administration delegated special powers of truce-making and local parleys to the keepers of the peace.45 In areas where the Dublin government exercised marginal control, the keepers of the peace had the local knowledge and connections to orchestrate and enforce parleys and truces. Some lords were also granted this power. However, there were strict controls put on this privilege since certain lords had used powers of “Parliament in Ireland, 1297,” 34. Frame, Political Development, 184. 42 Robin Frame, English Lordship in Ireland 1318-1361 (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1982), 3. 43 Robin Frame, “The Judicial Powers of the Medieval Irish Keepers of the Peace,” Irish Jurist 2 (1967): 308-26, 310. 44 Ibid. 45 Ibid., 311. 40 41 The English in Ireland truce to entice Irish chiefs to aid them in vendettas against their rivals.46 The medieval Irish keeper of the peace, for example, [a]ssessed to arms, arrayed and mustered the shire levies; they acted as their captains in march warfare; and they possessed powers of truce-making and negotiating with English and Irish rebels and enemies.47 They were also empowered to fine and imprison members of the community who shirked their obligation to protect their lands and shires from enemies.48 Although there was an organised, though perhaps not highly effective, government structure in Dublin, Ireland was not a primary concern for the English crown. It has been described as coming in “a bad fourth to the English monarchy’s domestic entanglements and its commitments in France and Scotland”.49 No English king set foot in Ireland between 1210 and 1394.50 It would be catastrophic to underestimate the significance of this fact in the context of medieval England: Royal absenteeism faced the resident lords with practical, and even psychological, problems; for medieval political societies depended for their cohesion on contact between the ruler and his greater subjects. The supreme lord of Ireland did not come among the Anglo-Irish lords; he did not assume command in Irish wars; there was no court in Ireland where magnates could receive public favour and confirmation of their self-esteem.51 This point is crucial to understanding the political and legal landscape of the lordship. Unlike Scotland and Wales, which were connected to England by land, Ireland was psychologically and physically distant from the minds and bodies of English monarchs “Parliament of Ireland, 1297,” 35. Frame, “Keepers of the Peace,” 310. 48 Ibid., 312. 49 Frame, English Lordship in Ireland, 7. 50 Ibid. 51 Ibid., 8. 46 47 for almost two centuries. Under these circumstances begins the investigation of the role of Anglo-Irish lords in the lordship of Ireland. These individuals were, in essence, entrusted with running the country from day to day and its protection from internal enemies. Through their experiences in the fragmented and violence-ridden lordship of Ireland, we can discern the true relationship of the English common law to the Irish. IV During the latter half of the thirteenth century, the king appointed eight justiciars to Ireland in twice as many years. The result of these short-lived appointees was an increased opportunity “for the great Norman-Irish lords to establish a predominant position in the running of the colony”.52 G.J. Hand reinforces this argument by pointing out that the extent of “feudal honours and liberties” in Ireland was much greater than it had ever been in England.53 Since “lords might exercise supremacy over areas as large as a shire, or larger” in Ireland, they naturally had the power to control those in their power. This included tenants, the Irish under their protection, and all those who appeared in their courts.54 The lords of liberties enjoyed such power on a wide scale. Given the distance of several of the Anglo-Irish liberties from both England and Dublin, OtwayRuthven is not far from the truth when she states that when charters of liberties were granted to Anglo-Irish lords, the holders enjoyed “almost royal rights, with complete control of all administration and all jurisdiction, to the exclusion of royal officials”.55 The greater liberties, notably Ulster, had “their own chanceries, exchequers and courts of law”.56 Wary of the dangers of allowing his great lords too much freedom the king retained certain powers. For example, if the lord or his chief lieutenant, the seneschal of the liberty, were negligent in executing royal writs their actions could be reviewed by the Dublin sheriff and their prerogatives might be taken away at any time by the king.57 Statutes, when addressed to Ireland, mention both sheriffs and the seneschals of liberties, whom it entrusts with the Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 200. Hand, English Law in Ireland, 132. 54 Frame, English Lordship in Ireland, 46. 55 Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 181. 56 Richardson, “English Institutions in Medieval Ireland,” 385. 57 Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 183. 52 53 The English in Ireland enforcement of the statutes.58 In order better to organize the system of lordship, the sheriff of Dublin’s jurisdiction was restricted in 1297 with the hope of increasing control while more sheriffs are applied to crosslands.59 It was decreed that “there be a sheriff in Ulster, as well of the Crosses of Ulster, as to carry out executions in the liberty of Ulster, when default is found in the seneschal of the aforesaid liberty”.60 The seneschal had to take an oath to the king in addition to his lord,61 and the lord was the king’s servant entrusted with the maintenance and protection of the liberty he had been granted. With the king’s attention perennially focused on domestic issues, Scotland or the continent, Irish magnates were expected to maintain control of the marches and borderlands at their own expense. Law required that absent landholders must allow enough revenue to remain on their lands for their protection.62 In addition, any armies raised by a lord, with “license for this from the Chief Justiciar, or a special mandate” must be able to support such an “expedition” at their own expense.63 This last clause can be seen in two ways. First, that the king was not willing to fund such endeavours unless his position was seriously threatened. Second, armies without sufficient resources would pillage and cause unrest in the surrounding areas; this statute sought to prevent this unfortunate but frequent side effect of march warfare. This remained an unresolved issue, and was addressed in a 1357 English statute: The Marches of the said Land [Ireland] situated near the Enemy, have been laid waste by Hostile Invasions, the Marchers being slain and plundered, and their Dwellings horribly burnt, and others compelled to desert their proper Homes.64 This was a testament to the lack of success of previous attempts by government to entreat lords to protect and occupy their lands in the march. Ten years later, an act regarding absentees repeated the same complaint that Irish felons and other enemies of the king were “Parliament of Ireland, 1297,” 32. “Parliament of Ireland, 1297”, 32. 60 Ibid., 33. 61 Hand, English Law in Ireland, 116. 62 “Parliament of Ireland, 1297,” 34. 63 Ibid. 64 31 Edward III. c.1, 3 58 59 continually allowed to commit felonies and robberies in these unmonitored lands.65 The statues clearly stated that the only way to prevent these grievous occurrences was by the coming and continuous residence of the earls, nobles and others of his realm of England who have inheritance in the said land of Ireland in their own persons, or by their strong men sufficient and well equipped for war upon their lordships.66 Much of the solidity of the land of Ireland depended on magnates and lords of liberties being able to “devise means of controlling lesser lords and Irish chiefs”.67 Thus, Anglo-Irish lords were involved on many levels with the Irish. Any Irishman accused of a crime was tried in his lord’s court.68 As Richardson notes, the crown’s legal power over and Irishman was inferior to that of the local magnate who could enact laws against him.69 If, however, the Irishman in question escaped from custody or sought safety elsewhere, the crown retained jurisdiction because the lord had failed in his duty.70 In addition, only the shire court, that is the royal courts, have the power to outlaw felons.71 The lands of Irish chiefs often “lay outside the administrative framework of shires”.72 However, in many instances, “Irish rulers . . . were . . . involved in some sort of feudal relationship either directly to the crown or to the lord of the liberty within whose area their territories lay”.73 In this way, under specified terms, usually involving feudal dues of armed service, Irish chiefs and Anglo-Irish lords coexisted with mutual reassurance of support and protection. As discussed above, numerous concerted attempts by the law were unsuccessful in creating a firm grasp of the common law in the marches. Law existed in these areas, but not the common law, at least “Act of Absentees, 1368,” in Irish Historical Documents: 1172-1922, ed. E. Curtis and R.B. McDowell (London: Methuen & Co. Ltd, 1943), 59. 66 “Act of Absentees, 1368,” 59-60. 67 Frame, English Lordship in Ireland, 46. 68 Richardson, “English Institutions in Medieval Ireland,” 387. 69 Ibid. 70 Ibid., 388. 71 Ibid. 72 Otway-Ruthven, “The Native Irish,” 3. 73 Ibid. 65 The English in Ireland not in a recognisable way. In Marcher areas there existed the lex marchie, which W.R. Jones describes as [a] vaguely defined body of Irish and feudal law and legal procedure, with its greater tolerance of private distraint, its involvement of kindreds in peace-keeping, and its preference for the commutation of murder and mayhem [which] represented an attempt to provide minimal justice to a people divided by language, law, and race.74 In lands on the border of the Pale, and in the marches, compromise between English law and the Irish law was necessary. The Anglo-Irish recognized that they had to be politic by creating a hybrid system in order to both retain their control and come to agreements with the Irish, with whom they shared the land. Frame uses the example of Ulster to show that many Irish chiefs were in “formalized subjection” to the powerful de Burgh earls, and held “their land of them in return for providing specified numbers of troops”.75 In a remote liberty such as Ulster, it was expedient for the de Burghs to promote good relations with their Irish neighbours while also ensuring that they had adequate vassals to offer protection and to meet the quota they owed to their king. V That status of the native Irish during this period is clear- they were not admitted to the common law. The letter written to Pope John XXII by the Irish princes, specifically Donald O’Neill, in 1317 gives a fairly comprehensive list of grievances regarding Irish status under the civil and criminal laws of England. Among the main problems were the inability of Irishmen to initiate legal proceedings, their incapability to hold or inherit land, the absence of severe punishment for the killing of an Irishmen, that Irishwomen were denied a dower if married to an Englishman, and that Irishmen were W. R. Jones, “Violence, Criminality, and Culture Disjunction on the Anglo-Irish Frontier: The Example of Armagh, 1350-1550,” Criminal Justice History 1 (1980): 29-47, 30. 75 Frame, “Power and Society,” 9. 74 excluded from certain religious orders.76 Only if he had purchased a letter of denization might an Irishman be heard by the royal courts, acquire land, and bequeath that land to descendants and enter cathedrals or collegiate churches.77 A 1321 royal charter which admitted the Irish to English law for five years is good evidence for what rights were denied native Irish under the common law. They were to be admitted to English law in “life and limb”, meaning that they would be subject to the harsher penalties of English law.78 It stated that all the Irish previously admitted to English law and those who hereafter shall happen to be admitted thereto, do henceforth use the same law concerning life and limb, and by these presents we command that the Irish so admitted and to be admitted to the said law, as well within liberties as without, be treated according to the custom of the English, always saving in all things the right of us and of other lords, in the goods and chattels of the ‘nativi’ who are commonly called in those regions ‘betaghes,’ who may happen to be admitted to the said law, and of their issue, as regards the possession of those goods an chattels.79 What this passage shows, first, is that the English government realized that it was cutting itself off from the revenue it would be afforded by extending the common law to all Irish. The focus on the punishments of life and limb belied the opportunity to obtain the chattels of a convicted Irish felon. This was especially important given that, since the Bruce invasion from 1315-1318, “great ruin had fallen upon the colony.”80 Secondly, it shows the difference between the two classes of Irish: the free and the unfree, or betagh class. The Irish betagh was at roughly the same legal status as the English “The Remonstrance of the Irish Princes to Pope John XXII, 1317,” in Irish Historical Documents: 1172-1922, ed. E. Curtis and R.B. McDowell (London: Methuen & Co. Ltd, 1943), 41. 77 Bryan Murphy, “The Status of the Native Irish after 1331,” Irish Jurist 2 (1967): 117-128, 123. 78 “The Irish Admitted to English Law, 1321,” in Irish Historical Documents: 11721922, ed. E. Curtis and R.B. McDowell (London: Methuen & Co. Ltd, 1943), 47. 79 Ibid. 80 Edmund Curtis, A History of Medieval Ireland from 1086 to 1513 (London: Methuen & Co. Ltd., 1978), 199. 76 The English in Ireland villein.81 Hand suggests that the status of the betagh was greatly unchanged by the Norman invasion, but that Irishmen who had once been free under native Irish law were the ones most disadvantaged.82 They were reduced, essentially, to the status of betaghs.83 The betagh continued to be “bound to the land”.84 Hand illustrates this with an interesting example from 1309. Two men, and Irishman and an Englishman who was married to the Irishman’s sister, argued over twenty-seven acres of land. The Dublin exchequer ruled that the Irishman was in the right because he was “verus betagius and bound to the soil”.85 Until 1329, only the king could grant charters of English law to an Irishman.86 Very early in the history of the lordship, lords of liberties had obtained this prerogative, but it was retracted by the crown soon after.87 However, lords did have the right to grant English law to any of his Irishman “as regards himself, so that he would be unable to plead the exception [of Irishry] against the man thus freed”.88 Under civil law, “the property of an Irishman, who has not been admitted to English law, is deemed to belong to his lord”.89 Grievances of Irishmen were to be held in their lord’s court, because “the common law took no cognizance of lands held in velleinage or equivalent terms”.90 H.G. Richardson is quick to point out, though, that this does not mean that an Irishman’s lord cannot initiate a suit on his behalf,91 since an attack on a tenant could be seen as an attack on his lord. Otway-Ruthven has found evidence of an “Irishman joined with his lord as a plaintiff”.92 In other cases, if the Irishman could “show that the rights of the crown [were] involved he [might] sue himself as attorney for the king, even against his own lord.”93 It is such instances that lead her to conclude that “the Irishman not admitted to English law was neither rightless nor deprived of legal Otway-Ruthven, “The Native Irish,” 7. Hand, English Law in Ireland, 188. 83 Ibid. 84 Ibid., 195. 85 Hand, English Law Ireland, 195. 86 Murphy, “The Status of the Native Irish after 1331,” 117. 87 Otway-Ruthven, “The Native Irish,” 5. 88 Hand, English Law in Ireland, 206. 89 Richardson, “English Institutions in Ireland,” 388. 90 Otway-Ruthven, “The Native Irish,” 10. 91 Richardson, “English Institutions in Ireland,” 388. 92 Otway-Ruthven, “The Native Irish,” 11. 93 Ibid. 81 82 protection: there were avenues available to them to receive justice from the common law”.94 VI Now that the resources of government, the power of AngloIrish lords, and the status of the native Irish have been examined, the strong influence of Irish laws and customs on the functioning of the common law should be investigated. There were many areas where traditional Irish laws and customs penetrated the English lordship, much to the chagrin and displeasure of the crown. The Irish statute of 1297 admonished the English of Ireland for their tendency to dress, ride or wear their hair in the Irish fashion.95 The Statues of Kilkenny, 1366, again reprimanded the English for “forsaking the English language, fashion, mode of riding, laws, and usages, live and govern themselves according to the manners, fashion and language of the Irish enemies”.96 Compounding this disgrace, the English in Ireland polluted their race by persisting to marry and have children with the Irish.97 The crown saw this as the degeneracy of the English living in Ireland. Such practices fuelled quarrels between the English born in Ireland and the English born in England. The Statues of Kilkenny restated a constant theme in crown orders: “that no difference of allegiance henceforth be made between the English born in Ireland and the English born in England . . . but that all shall be called by one name”.98 A statute of 1357 reiterated this by stating that it was treasonous to say otherwise; what bound Englishmen is not soil but that they “use[d] the same Laws Rights and Customs.”99 The common law bound together a people, not a nationality. In the arena of criminal law, Richardson shows that “the influence of Irish law” was directly related to the ability of both Englishmen and Irishmen to escape hanging for felony in favour of ransom or a fine.100 Frame shows that lords exploited Ibid., 14. “Parliament of Ireland 1297,” 37. 96 “The Statues of Kilkenny, 1366,” in Irish Historical Documents: 1172-1922, ed. E. Curtis and R.B. McDowell (London: Methuen & Co. Ltd, 1943), 52. 97 Ibid. 98 “The Statues of Kilkenny, 1366,” 55. 99 31 Edward III. c. 18. 100 Richardson, “English Institutions in Medieval Ireland,” 388. 94 95 The English in Ireland Irish customs of prise and billeting . . . in order to support their armed bands . . . [a]nd march customs, since they had been developed in part at least in the context of dealing with the Irish, had their Gaelic features, especially perhaps in their emphasis on pledges.101 This certainly seems in step with the discussion earlier about the need of lords to balance the populations of Irish and Irish clans on their land with the demands of an English monarchy and system of law. G. Mac Niocaill summarises it well when he describes it as “recognition of the limits of control of the common law in Ireland”.102 Hybrid systems of law and compromise were extremely important in maintaining order. Caution was necessary, though, because in no way did the English feel that Irish laws were superior to their own. Indeed, “respect for the laws and customs of the. . . Irish . . . could be accompanied by a mean-minded exclusiveness and a tendency to regard the tolerated different as culturally and ethnically inferior”.103 In some cases, an “Irish thief, though if convicted in the justiciar’s court he will usually be hanged like an Englishman, is often allowed to pay a fine and go free by private lords, and this eventually extends to Englishmen as well”.104 This was a gross violation of the jurisdiction of the common law. The Statutes of Kilkenny direct: “no English be governed in the settlement of their disputes by March of Brehon law, which by right ought not to be called law but bad custom; but that they be governed by the common law of the land as the lieges of our lord the King”.105 However, Mac Niocaill finds examples of lords of both races using whichever law they thought would give them the outcome they desired.106 In a harsh climate of endemic conflict, it is easy to see how statutes such as that of Kilkenny were weak in the face of “the joint interests of a population prone to larceny and homicide and of their Frame, “Power and Society,” 25. G. Mac Niocaill, “The Interactions of Laws,” in The English in Medieval Ireland, ed. J. Lyndon (Dublin: Royal Irish Academy, 1982), 110. 103 Davies, “The Peoples of Britain and Ireland,” 5. 104 Otway-Ruthven, “The Native Irish,” 13. 105 “Statutes of Kilkeny, 1366,” 53. 106 Mac Niocaill, “The Interaction of Laws,” 110. 101 102 lords who expected to profit by it”.107 By hanging felons, especially in areas from where the common law had since retreated, they would be killing “the goose laying the golden eggs”.108 To a lordship that protected its land out of its own minimal revenue, such an opportunity must have seemed a godsend. Lastly, Otway-Ruthven shows that the English system of frankpledge was not imported to Ireland. Instead, she states that the Anglo-Irish administration “relied on . . . the responsibility of the kin, and of the lord” to ensure that offenders appeared in court.109 This was yet another concession to the wide influence of Irish in the name of maintaining order. VII Lastly, this paper will look briefly at the Bruce invasion, and its implications for English power in Ireland. When Edward Bruce landed in Ulster in 1315, the state of the lordship of Ireland offered him many advantages. The descendants of several traditional Irish dynasties supported any effort to oust the English.110 Donald O’Neill, who claimed the right to the Irish throne, on behalf of the whole Irish people condemned the “sharp-toothed and viperous calumny of the English”, whose “arrogance and excessive lust to lord it over us” had resulted in the complete subjugation of his people.111 O’Neill and his followers welcomed Bruce, with whom they cited common ancestry.112 This shared sense of origin, coupled with their resentment of the English, show clearly that the Irish kings intended to use Bruce to “more speedily and fitly” throw off the yolk of English rule. 113 Otway-Ruthven comments that the “general malaise” felt by most living in Ireland caused “an alarming number of the Anglo-Irish in Ulster and elsewhere . . . to show themselves ready to support Bruce”.114 By no means had all of the Irish in Ulster supported this move on the part of Bruce. Many tried to defend their lands, but were defeated.115 Ibid., 112. Ibid. 109 Otway-Ruthven, “The Native Irish,” 13. 110 Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 226. 111 “The Remonstrances of the Irish Princes,” 38, 44. 112 Ibid. 113 Ibid., 45. 114 Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 223. 115 Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 226. 107 108 The English in Ireland Bruce also benefited from the fact that Edward II’s wars with him had become increasingly taxing on the Irish Exchequer. One year before Bruce’s invasion, the king “ordered the handing over [of] . . . all the cash then in the Irish exchequer”, thus leaving the “Irish administration . . . financially crippled before Bruce’s invasion began”.116 The resources of the Dublin government were painfully inadequate for the task of waging war. It was perhaps the advent of famine that saved the struggling lordship. James Lyndon asserts that the Scottish “invasion coincided with the worst famine to hit Ireland in the middle ages”.117 By the time Scottish reinforcements could be mobilised, Edward II had brought a strong force to stop the Scottish who had gotten dangerously close to toppling his lordship.118 Robert Bruce returned to Scotland, and his brother was killed five months later, ending the Scottish invasion.119 Many historians recognise this crucial period in Ireland’s history as the point of no return for English control over Ireland. James Lyndon argues that the “breakdown in law and order was worse than ever before and many parts of the island never recovered”.120 Otway-Ruthven suggests that England’s embarrassment over the Bruces in Ireland “weakened the English interest” in maintaining a strong presence;121 “[i]n all the outlying districts a retreat [was] evident”.122 Clearly, the Bruce invasion was a problem that the Irish administration was ill equipped to deal with. Its aftermath can be seen as a realisation by the English that their interests in Ireland were much more troublesome than they had bargained for. In a colony organised for war,123 Ireland was ill prepared for the challenges it faced. The failure of England fully to conquer all areas of Ireland should not be underestimated as a significant contributing factor to the decline of English lordship during the fourteenth Ibid., 221. James Lyndon, “Ireland: Politics, Government and Law,” in A companion to Britain in the Later Middle Ages, ed. S.H. Rigby (Malden: Blackwell Publishing, 2003), 345. 118 Ibid. 119 Ibid. 120 Ibid. 121 Otway-Ruthven, History of Medieval Ireland, 237. 122 Ibid. 123 Robin Frame, “England and Ireland, 1171-1399,” in England and her Neighbors, ed. M. Jones and M. Vale (London and Ronceverte: The Hambledon Press, 1989), 154. 116 117 century. Although a ready-made and successful system of government was applied to the lordship, in neglecting to amalgamate the English and Irish populations, the monarchy ensured that the common law would never have universal jurisdiction. The absence of the king ensured that Anglo-Irish lords would have much more significant responsibility in the application of laws. The results were systems of hybrid English-Irish law which were abused by all who lived in Ireland. The opportunities afforded by the abuses of a dual system of law prevented the common law from becoming the sole system in Ireland. Prejudices against the Irish as a race combined with a lack of significant interest in fully conquering Ireland guaranteed that the Irish would always have reason to support insurgency. The statutes that have been examined in this paper are testimony to the neglect of Ireland by lords and the monarchy alike. The failure to observe a universal system of law resulted in frequent commands by the king to observe English law and protect his lands. These requests were only marginally obeyed and ensured that Edward I would be the only king in the middle ages to enjoy relatively extensive territorial and judicial control over the colony. The Millet System and Ottoman Decline ARI S. NAJARIAN In 1453, Mehmed II conquered Constantinople and placed the Greek patriarch Gennadius at the head of the Greek Orthodox Patriarchate. In doing so, he invested Gennadius with both religious and civil authority over all Orthodox believers in the Ottoman Empire, including Serbs, Bulgars, Wallachians, and Moldavians.1 Shortly afterward, in 1461 he instituted Yovakim, the Armenian primate of Bursa, at the head of the Armenian Patriarchate, which similarly governed over the non-Chalcedonian, non-Orthodox and Monophysite Christian communities of the empire. These two administrative structures, along with a parallel Jewish system, constituted the bulk of what is now termed the Ottoman millet system, whereby semi-autonomous communities were defined along religious lines. Mehmed’s motivation appeared to be the quick integration of these communities into an emerging, distinctly Islamic state structure. The degree to which these communities were defined at the outset is unclear, however the fact remains that the administrative decision to divide the subjects of the empire in this manner was ostensibly sound and positive. The following argument proposes otherwise: that the implementation of an institutionalised millet system in the Ottoman Empire contributed significantly to its gradual weakening and decline. Essentially, one can trace the growth of an independent, nationalist sentiment within these and other millets, due to their accidental ethnic uniformity and internal autonomy. The argument will proceed by establishing the historical background necessary for further analysis, including the conceptual caveats and qualifications made by other historians on this topic. The millet system of the Ottoman Empire itself will be explored visà-vis Christian and Jewish communities, as well as the inner workings of these communities themselves. By such examination I hope to demonstrate that the particular kind of autonomy held by these millets is responsible for their ultimate departure from the interests of the state. I will then link this process to international developments in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries and demonstrate how the millet system fits into the widely held narrative 1 Varant Artinian, The Armenian Constitutional System in the Ottoman Empire, 18391863: a Study of its Historical Development. (Istanbul, 1970), 11. of Ottoman decline. By way of conclusion, I will attempt to generalize the principles observed herein with regard to other Islamic empires with similar administrative structures. The concept of a millet predates the Ottoman Empire by centuries. Earlier Islamic empires employed similar systems to help govern their non-Muslim subjects, and the term millet appears in the Quran as a pre-Islamic religious community.2 The similar way in which caliphs, sultans and shahs have treated their non-Muslim subjects throughout history can be explained by two important concepts: the dhimmi and the general Islamic attitude toward statecraft. The dhimmi in Islam are those people who practice monotheistic, scripture-based religions, for instance Christians and Jews. These groups were considered ‘protected peoples’ and, once conquered, paid a special tax to retain their right to practice their religions. The Islamic attitude towards dhimmis was influenced by the Quran, effectively guaranteeing these groups special treatment under Muslim rulers. This foundational principle, combined with the perceived role of the state under Islam, helped explain the similarities between administrative state structures in the historical Muslim world. The notion of a ‘cycle of equity’ has been used by contemporary scholars and historical chroniclers quite astutely to describe the philosophic foundation for political organization in the Middle East.3 Though first promulgated in sixth-century Persia, this ideal appeared in the fifteenth century Ottoman Empire as such: the state is predicated upon the military, the military needs wealth, wealth is obtained from the subjects, subjects need social stability and justice, and the state safeguards social order and justice.4 Under this construction, state intervention into the affairs of the subjects occurs mainly through heavy taxation and protection of private property. This attitude was unmistakably reinforced in the administrative discourse: the two main classes as defined by Ottomans themselves were the askeri and reaya, or literally, the ‘military-governors’ and the ‘flocks’.5 The subjects of Benjamin Braude, “Foundation Myths of the Millet System,” in Christians and Jews in the Ottoman Empire. Vol. 1. ed. B. Braude et al. (New York: Holmes & Meier Publishers, 1982), 69-71. 3 Stanford Shaw, History of the Ottoman Empire and Modern Turkey Vol. 1. (Cambridge, Mass: Cambridge University Press, 1976), 112-3. 4 Ibid. 5 Ibid.; Luke, Sir Harry. The Old Turkey and the New: From Byzantium to Ankara (London: Geoffrey Bles Ltd. 1955), 53. 2 The Millet System 22 the empire were a matter of state interest only inasmuch as they produced wealth for the state. As a consequence, administrative groupings were made primarily to expedite the tax process. For example, the sancak system in the provinces approached taxation as a reward for military service.6 As a tiered system, officials at one level were only accountable to those directly above them: sancakbeys to beylerbeys, sipahis to sancakbeys and so on, resulting in more or less internally-autonomous units. The direct urban equivalent to this rural administrative system was the millet. One of the primary responsibilities of the milletbashi (leader of the community), was to direct the flow of taxes into the government structure. Due to the comparable tiered structure, the internal affairs of each millet were left entirely in the hands of the milletbashi, and of no concern to the state; this included judicial, civil and economic affairs, with the exception of taxing. In this way, the notion of a millet fit nicely into the political organization of the state to reflect both its foundational principles (treatment of dhimmis) and administrative philosophy (general disinterest toward subjects outside taxation). These observations provide a possible response to Benjamin Braude’s pressing argument that the absence of the term ‘millet’ in Ottoman administrative discourse in the 15th and 16th centuries suggests that such a unit did not exist per se until much later in Ottoman history.7 There is indeed little evidence to suggest that millets, by any name, existed widely in their modern sense during the fifteenth century8. However, due to the limited accountability of administrative units in the empire, the internal structure of the religious communities would be of no interest or import to Ottoman administrators, thus explaining their absence from sources at that particular level of government. It is just as likely that these early structures were loose associations headed by a single official invested with authority. These ostensibly undefined M. Philips Price, A History of Turkey: From Empire to Republic (New York George Allen & Unwin Ltd. 1961), 60. 7 Braude, “Foundation Myths”, 70. 8 Braude cites a host of sources from various institutions where one might likely find a term denoting religious communities. However, these documents (“capitation tax records, cadastral records, chancery decrees, inquisitions post mortem…”) are all Ottoman documents. According to the hypothesis advanced above, there is no reason to expect these officials to have any knowledge of the internal structure of dhimmi communities. See Braude, Foundation Myths, 70-71. 6 but internally structured communities will be referred to as millets throughout the argument. Before addressing the internal processes of these millets, one more conceptual tool merits consideration. While the argument addresses the transitional period from medieval to modern, the prominence of the capital relation should be underscored: from the end of the 16th century a gradual transition is evident from a feudalbased economy to one with slight modern inclinations, where the deregulated urban market begins to show its true potential with increased international trade.9 The prominence of capital makes it particularly important to recognize the relationship between the state and its economic institutions. Under ideal circumstances, state structures are a function of socio-economic institutions, and thus reflect their characteristics in any given setting; when the institutions change, the structures must ultimately adapt themselves or the resulting inefficiency will breed social unrest.10 If we accept this premise, the decline of the Ottoman state can be interpreted as the process whereby existing economic institutions ‘outgrew’ their complementary state structures. The remainder of the argument will demonstrate this process by highlighting the economic agency of the millet communities, and tracing the effects of their autonomy on both themselves and their relationship with the Ottoman state. Particular reference will be made to the deviating interests of millets as manifested in budding nationalism movements. Fairly good insight into the economic agency of the millets can be obtained by examining the Ottoman state revenue system. There existed two state treasuries, the iç hazine and hazine-i enderun, both financed almost completely by taxes, both traditional (shariahrelated) and civil (örfi).11 As state expenses grew due to expansion and catastrophic events such as wars, the original ‘emergency’ örfi taxes grew in number and were institutionalised. Here a curious feature of the Ottoman Empire becomes evident: the state (the askeri) had almost no control whatsoever over affairs in major areas of the economy, and in fact largely did not own capital.12 For the sake Price, 55; Shaw, History of the Ottoman Empire, 158. For a more in-depth account of this relationship, see John Holloway and Sol Picciotto, “Capital, Crisis and the State", Capital and Class 2 (1977): 76-7. 11 Aryeh Shmuelevitz, Administrative, Economic, Legal and Social Relations in the Ottoman Empire in the Late 15th and the 16th Centuries. (Leiden: E.J. Brill, 1984), 81. 12 Shaw, History of the Ottoman Empire, 158-9. 9 10 The Millet System 24 of convenience, consider the basic urban/rural divide of industries: in the countryside, although peasants produced on state-owned lands, the taxes levied on them—whether cash or crop—cannot be considered capital. These resources were permanently taken out of the production process and did not contribute to the reproduction of labour; this left the peasants actually in charge of their means of production, albeit only in an unrealized sense. Now, it is difficult to say with any certainty which religious community of reayas dominated agriculture: the provinces of the Ottoman Empire were so expansive that the composition of the countryside varied considerably. The Caucasus remained distinctly Christian, central Anatolia had concentrations of Armenians, Kurds, some Turks and Circassians, and the eastern Balkans to a great extent retained their ethnic composition before conquest. No askeris cultivated land. As for the cities and towns, where trade and secondary industries dominated, circumstance and tradition both led to the rise of a petty-bourgeois merchant class, composed of craft guilds (esnafs), bankers, money lenders and traders who operated more or less independently of the state. In the case of the secondary industries, guild members owned their means of production and were allowed to accrue some capital after taxation. As for the bankers and sarrafs (moneylenders), again from the non-askeri classes, they dealt entirely with capital: their funds were used whenever tax-farms were auctioned, merchants needed loans for their businesses, or when foreign currency needed to be exchanged.13 It should also be noted that from the mid-17th century, when large-scale international trade became common, esnafs were almost always comprised of individuals from either the same ethnicity or at least the same religious community.14 Furthermore, sarrafs were generally non-Muslims (Islamic law forbade the taking of interest on loans). Finally, Muslims had a relatively insignificant presence in international trade: European nations almost without exception preferred trading with the minority Christian and Jewish communities, making them indispensable intermediaries.15 Artinian, 20-1. Ibid., 25-6. 15 Robert Mantran, “Foreign Merchants and the Minorities in Istanbul during the Sixteenth and Seventeenth Centuries” in Christians and Jews in the Ottoman Empire. Vol. 1. ed. B. Braude et al. (New York: Holmes & Meier Publishers, 1982), 1301. 13 14 In both rural and urban settings, we find that the reayas and minority bourgeois classes controlled the vast majority of the means of production and that these social groups were overwhelmingly non-Turkish and ethnically diverse throughout the empire. Recall that by the initial hypothesis, if a change in the nature of the capital relation is not accompanied by a commensurate change in the political structures predicated thereupon, social discord may be a significant consequence. Developments in late Ottoman history serve to illustrate this point. The effects of according such economic agency to communities of religious minorities took on two different forms, one in the rural areas and another in the urban centres. In both cases, one of the primary causes was the transformation of Europe into a modern mercantilist force.16 The changing nature of Europe’s economy created a huge demand for raw materials as industrialization fostered the growth of secondary industries. International trade networks began to bring raw materials into Europe from both the Americas and the Middle East. In the case of the latter, these were in increasingly short supply. The consequences were that much of what was produced in the rural areas of the Ottoman Empire was no longer distributed all over the state, but rather exported directly to Europe in exchange for badly needed funds, and those who were involved in the export process were uniformly Greeks, Armenians, Jews and other urban minorities. As the empire was drained of important primary resources, conditions in the rural parts of the empire worsened at the expense of the urban areas. Peasants from these areas attempted to migrate to the cities to improve their lot, but the Ottoman government retaliated by forcing them back onto their land.17 Rather than ameliorate the condition of peasants, the state coerced them to keep producing in progressively vulnerable conditions. As the traditional system of prosperity failed, former Janissaries, mercenaries, militias, and even timar-holders exploited the ‘flocks’ they were supposed to protect.18 This was in turn caused by the transformation—at the beginning of the seventeenth century—of the timar system into lucrative tax farms that attracted both sedentarised military officials and other askeris. The conditions Shaw, History of the Ottoman Empire, 172. Ibid., 108, 156. 18 Ibid., 174. 16 17 The Millet System 26 in the provinces became so unbearable in the late sixteenth century that revolts became endemic, not only among Sufi tekkes and army deserters but also peasants themselves.19 The experience in the cities was much more positive. Europe’s mercantilist transformation increased not only the nature but also the volume of trade with the Ottoman Empire. While Europeans dealt exclusively with the religious minorities, the position of these dhimmis rose proportionately. However, not all minority groups benefited from this transformation; the esnafs faced direct competition from Europe, where new manufacturing processes made it possible to undersell indigenous craftspeople. With the penetration of European trade, the balance of power between the esnafs and the sarrafs shifted towards the latter, who merely had to change the type of capital they directed. In fact, the latter group grew to have so much influence in the empire that a new class of wealthy dhimmis called amiras emerged at the end of the seventeenth century, who occupied a privileged status in their respective millets.20 Having established the gradual transformation of the nature of the Ottoman economy, the argument will now turn to examine the dynamic between this new capital relation and the state structure. Non-Muslim peasants largely expressed their defiance of the state by attempting to abandon their farms and flee to the cities. As conditions in the provinces worsened, the immediate Ottoman response, rather than instituting structural reform, was to force these peasants back to their points of origin. The Ottomans used military force to maintain the agricultural and political institutions as they were, rather than reconfiguring them to accommodate the urgent need for raw materials within and without the empire. Further evidence for this claim is the fact that silver coins were in incredibly short supply all over the Ottoman countryside, especially in the late sixteenth century when the empire first Suraiya Faroqhi, “Political Initiatives ‘from the Bottom up’ in the Sixteenth and Seventeenth-Century Ottoman Empire” and “Political Activity among Ottoman Taxpayers and the problem of Sultanic Legitimation (1570-1650)” in Coping with the State. (Istanbul: Isis Press, 1995), 4-6; 30-3. 20 Hagop Barsoumian, “The Dual Role of the Armenian Amira Class within the Ottoman Government and the Armenian Millet (1750-1850)” in Christians and Jews in the Ottoman Empire. Vol. 1. ed. B. Braude et al. (New York: Holmes & Meier Publishers, 1982), 171-3. 19 became heavily monetized.21 The need for liquidity became a pressing issue due to increased urban international trade, and more silver akçe was produced for circulation in the cities. However, cash increasingly became the standard idiom of commercial discourse and the empire expected all affairs to be handled with it, including and especially provincial taxation, its key source of revenue. The monetization of Ottoman society was caused largely by outside forces; the dearth of silver in the provinces illustrates the extent to which the state was unwilling to adapt itself to this development at all beyond the immediate urban necessities. To avoid painting a completely bleak picture of the Ottoman state, it is worth mentioning that various reform efforts were made throughout the seventeenth century, in response mainly to external crises and internal decay.22 However, as Stanford Shaw notes, these reforms only “temporarily saved the empire by forcing it back into the patterns of the past”, acting against the effects of decline but never its cause.23 When examining the urban capital relation as an historical phenomenon, a significant trend should be kept in mind: Turkish contributions to the internal economy significantly outweighed involvement in international European trade. From the outset, Turks were disinterested in international trade. This reinforced the defined spheres of activity for the non-Muslim minorities. Robert Mantran suggests that Turks may have viewed Europeans as inferiors who benefited from Ottoman trade out of the magnanimity of the sultan.24 This may explain the very real dearth of Turkish trade with European merchants. What is striking is the continued lack of Ottoman involvement in international trade after its volume increased; Greeks, Armenians and Jews continued to dominate in this sphere. Two instances will illustrate the effects of the new capital relation. In the late-sixteenth century the civil, or emergency, örfi taxes began to increase in number as Suleyman and later Selim II attempted to counter population-related inflation. Peasants, lacking the funds to pay these taxes, turned to sarrafs for loans. Here we see Suraiya Faroqhi, “Counterfeiting in Ankara” in Coping with the State. (Istanbul: Isis Press, 1995), 136. 22 Shaw, Stanford. Between Old and New; the Ottoman Empire under Sultan Selim III, 1789-1807. (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1971), 6. 23 Ibid. 24 Mantran, 131-132. 21 The Millet System 28 the divergence of the capital-owning class interests from those of the state: the moneylenders fully exploited the peasants’ need for funds and charged exorbitant interest rates to increase their profit.25 If they truly had the interests of the state in mind, these sarrafs would have cared less for their own profit and more about maintaining some economic stability state-wide. The second example has been described briefly above: as the export of raw materials became more lucrative with higher demand, the merchants who handled these transactions had absolutely no qualms about sending much-needed supplies out of the empire while several provinces in Anatolia experienced famines.26 This demonstrates the diverging interests of the state and the proponents of the new economy; the Turks who could have counterbalanced the interests of the dhimmis would have nothing to do with international trade and refused to adapt themselves to the new market. In the 18th and 19th centuries, this would prove to be the main cause for the rise of the amira class and the penetration of dhimmis into the state administration. Developments in the 16th and 17th centuries transformed the capital relation in the Ottoman Empire, illustrated the effects of this transformation on the economic institutions of the state, and showed that the Ottomans were largely unwilling to adapt their political institutions to complement these changes. This resulted in revolts, famines and increased crime and corruption in the provinces, as well as inflation and monetization in the cities. What remains to be demonstrated is role of the millets in all of this. Over time, the millets in the Ottoman Empire became ethnically fragmented to a significant degree. From what we can consider three loose groupings in the fifteenth and sixteenth centuries, at the close of the nineteenth century there were fifteen distinct communities, including Greeks, Wallachians, Serbs and Bulgarians under the Orthodox, three monophysite groups, six affiliated with Catholicism, one Protestant and one Jewish.27 As the empire gained seniority, it required that all its subjects belong to defined communities to facilitate administration. Kemal Karpat has traced the transformation of millets from primarily religious institutions to ethnic communities in Ottoman history, and cites the changes in land tenure, increased responsibility of communal Shaw, History of the Ottoman Empire, 107-8. Ibid., 172-3. 27 Luke, 95. 25 26 leaders and, of course, the economic agency of these groups as causes.28 As Ottoman reform attempts became progressively liberal and Western-inspired, service to the state became the main determinant of rank in the empire. This led to a large portion of the urban millets in the Near Eastern provinces overshadowing their Muslim counterparts even as they became internally differentiated at the local level29 and, in the eastern Balkans, to pressures from these same local units for upward mobility and political integration.30 When this became impossible within the existing state structure, many distinct Balkan communities, starting with the Serbians and Greeks and spurred on by European ideals,31 revolted and ceded from the Ottoman Empire.32 The convergence of increased local responsibility, ethnic and linguistic similarities and proximity to Europe, as well as the realization of their economic agency yielded this particular course of events in the Balkans, bringing Western pressures ever closer to Istanbul while robbing the Ottomans of vast tracts of taxable land. While much of this occurred in the late eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, similar developments are found in Anatolia, the remaining core of the empire, from at least the mid-nineteenth century onwards. In this case, it was Russia and not Europe that threatened the Ottoman Empire. Alienated from and exploited by the state mechanism, the Armenians of the six eastern provinces sought protection from Russia against both the Kurds and hostile local authorities.33 The nationalist attempts were largely unsuccessful; the Ottomans, aware of the threat facing them, quelled any potential resistance at the turn of the century by slaughtering or deporting over 1 million Armenians from these provinces.34 These, combined with the measures taken against Karpat, Kemal. “Millets and Nationality: The Roots of the Incongruity of Nation and State in the Post-Ottoman Era.” In Christians and Jews in the Ottoman Empire. B. Braude et al. Vol. 1. ed. (New York: Holmes & Meier Publishers, 1982), 145. 29 Ibid., 149, 30 Ibid., 147-8. 31 Karpat, 158-9. 32 Ibid., 162-3. 33 Charles Issawi, “The Transformation of the Economic Position of the Millets in the Nineteenth Century” in Christians and Jews in the Ottoman Empire. ed. B. Braude et al. Vol. 1. (New York: Holmes & Meier Publishers, 1982). 274-5. 34 George A Bournoutian, A Concise History of the Armenian People, (California: Mazda Publishers, 2003), 271-273. 28 The Millet System 30 Greeks and Armenians over the course of the 19th century effectively removed a substantial class of merchants and administrators from the state. The hope was that the economic and political vacuum would be filled by Turkish askeris and reayas, thereby assuring a certain degree of synchronization between the state’s institutions and those directing the capital flow. This was, of course, after the Tanzimat secularisation, an era of reform that allowed these minorities to rise to unprecedented prominence - to such influential positions that their participation in the government may have ultimately transformed it to reflect the interests of those controlling capital.35 By drastically reducing the number of minorities in the empire, the Ottomans managed to undo much of the progress the economy had seen while consolidating Turkish institutions to govern and direct Turkish capital. This conforms to the pattern we have seen whereby pressing economic changes fail to bring about commensurate changes in the state. Various historians have different views regarding the start of Ottoman decline; some place it at the end of Suleyman’s reign in the sixteenth century, while others date it much later. European expansion is often cited as a main factor, as is the lack of understanding of economics on the part of the state.36 From the above analysis, I hope to have shown that these and other factors were all incidental in this decline narrative, which in reality was caused by a rigid state structure that was unwilling to adapt to a changing economy. The exploitation and revolts in the countryside are direct results of this, as are the nationalist movements and massacres on the fringes during the late nineteenth century. At the heart of the conflict between the tradespeople and the government was a system that divided the reayas into locally uniform ethnolinguistic and cultural groups while giving them control of state capital. The millet system was a volatile and variable feature of the Ottoman Empire that concentrated the capital relation in the hands of communities whose interests changed with the very relation they directed. If one were to expand this hypothesis to other historic Islamic empires, the following considerations may prove useful as starting points for analysis: the empires’ attitudes towards their subjects, their philosophy of political organization (the ‘cycle of equity’ 35 36 Karpat, 162-65. Shaw, History of the Ottoman Empire, 108. above), transformations in their modes of production, the nature of ethnic diversity in the empire and their political adaptability. The history of the Ottoman empire unfolded due to a particular configuration of these variables; it is not unreasonable to suggest that other Islamic imperial histories could be studied and interpreted with these same factors in mind. A Siren Song: Canada’s National Policy Scuttles the Maritimes’ Merchant Marine DAVID STANLEY In the mid-nineteenth century the Maritimes controlled one of the largest shipping fleets in the world. However, once Nova Scotia and New Brunswick joined the Canadian Confederation they became subject to the policies of the federal government. These soon thereafter promoted land-based and westward-looking industrial development behind a curtain of domestic market protection and at the expense of the hard fought for international sea trade. Within this cloistered environment, Maritime ship owners and other controllers of capital in the region were offered numerous, apparently superior, investment opportunities onshore that the wind was taken from the sails of the sea. Consequently, the new technologies and high returns offered by steam power and metal hulls for ocean-going vessels were all but ignored. In just two decades, the Maritime shipping industry was starved of new capital and, consequently, rapidly liquidated. Yet the land-based industrialization of the region proved to be a short-lived and pyrrhic success. Had the Maritimes remained outside of any transcontinental confederation, it might have developed into be one of the globe’s pre-eminent shipping regions.1 The Maritimes and Norway – Two Sides of the Same Atlantic Coin Canada enjoyed an ‘age of progress’ from the mid-nineteenth century as industrialization, immigration, and urbanization prompted the development of new industries, economic growth and expanding trade. Nowhere was this better exemplified, at least initially, than in its shipping industry. The Canadian shipping sector grew to become the fourth most important in world trade for a short period around 1880, with the Maritimes leading the way.2 The Canadian confederation or annexation by the United States, would likely have led to broadly similar outcomes. The United States had even more rigid domestic protection policies than those of Canada. 2 Keith Matthews, “The Shipping Industry of Atlantic Canada: Themes and Problems,” in Ships and Shipbuilding in The North Atlantic Region, ed. Keith Matthews and Gerald Panting (St John’s: Memorial University of Newfoundland, 1978), 3. 1 tonnage of ships registered to owners in the Maritimes and Newfoundland together equated to 78 percent of the total for Canada. 3 Atlantic port towns “were for a generation or two, able to expand their merchant marine so far as to not only capture a large proportion of Canadian foreign trade, but to engage in far flung cross [traffic] competing on the [commercial] routes of the world, on equal terms with all comers”.4 Yet, the industry declined rapidly from the 1890s, and by 1909 Canada ranked just tenth on the table of leading maritime nations.5 The decline in the Maritimes was even more dramatic and in the three decades preceding 1910, registered tonnage fell a whopping 72 percent.6 In contrast, another great seafaring nation of the age, Norway, both retained and later built on its position in global shipping. At the turn of the twentyfirst-century, Norway controlled the world’s third largest merchant fleet, the same ranking it held in the late nineteenth century.7 The demise of the Atlantic Canadian shipping industry has been the subject of numerous in-depth studies, including a roundtable series of conferences hosted by the Maritime History Group, Memorial University of Newfoundland, from the 1970s onward.8 Two key conclusions – the loss of comparative advantage in shipping, and the concurrent development of alternate opportunities - is presented by Eric Sager and Gerry Panting in their contribution to the Sixth Conference of the Atlantic Canada Shipping Project in 1982: Keith Matthews, “The Shipping Industry of Atlantic Canada: Themes and Problems” (1978) 3, 10. While Newfoundland did not join the Canadian confederation until 1949, historical studies of the shipping industry of the region often include it in any analysis. 4 Ibid., 3. 5 Ibid. 6 Ibid., 10, 11. 7 Helle Hammer, “The Norwegian Shipping Industry,” (Oslo: Norway Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2000), http://odin.dep.no/odin/engelsk/norway/economy/032001-990368/dokbn.html, accessed 12 March 2005. 8 The proceedings of each conference have been published as edited collections under various titles. Key sources for this investigation are: Matthews and Panting eds., Ships and Shipbuilding, Lewis R. Fischer and Eric W. Sager eds., Merchant Shipping and Economic Development in Atlantic Canada: Proceedings of the Fifth Conference of the Atlantic Canada Shipping Project June 25 – June 27, 1981 (St John’s: Memorial University Group, 1982)., Lewis R. Fischer and Gerald E. Panting eds., Change and Adaptation in Maritime History: The North Atlantic Fleets in the Nineteenth Century: Proceedings of the Sixth Conference of the Atlantic Canada Shipping Project April 1 – April 3, 1982 (St John’s: Memorial University Group, 1985). 3 A Siren Song 34 It does appear that the staple industries [of the Atlantic Canadian region] and shipping were mutually self supporting until the 1860s at least, and that this was no little part of Atlantic Canada’s comparative advantage in shipping. The new industries of the late nineteenth century did not afford the same comparative advantage. When in the 1860s and 1870s the shift to iron and steam might have been made, the local iron industry was not sufficiently advanced to afford a comparative advantage in shipbuilding. … Thus when capital, entrepreneurial talent, and expectations for growth shifted away from the old staple trades, this was a sufficient condition for the decline of the shipping industry that grew from these trades. … Maritimers chose a particular path towards industrialization, a path which often departed from the traditional industries which they knew best. … The alternatives foregone by Maritimers before the First World War included the modernization of their shipping industry, the modernization of fishing fleets, and the development of pulp and paper mills, any of which might have benefited from local resources or local skills.9 These themes of relative competitive advantage and alternative opportunity are clearly relevant factors in what occurred, but as Sager and Panting contend, the industry’s precipitous decline is “a complex historical phenomenon, still inadequately understood”.10 Extensive investigations have been undertaken into the specifics of the Atlantic Canadian economy, the extent of linkages between landward and seaward industries and returns on capital invested in sailing ships. However, there has been relatively little work undertaken to assess the economics of why the shipping industry in Atlantic Canada failed while that of Norway prevailed. This is particularly relevant as there is no evidence that economic returns in shipping were so low as to justify this desertion of an industry by which the region still defines itself. In this report the similarities in, and differences between, two Atlantic regions—the Canadian Maritime Provinces and Norway—are investigated to determine how such divergent outcomes arose. Both regions are located towards the northern Eric W. Sager and Gerry Panting, “Staple Economies and the Rise and Decline of the Shipping Industry in Atlantic Canada, 1820-194,” in Change and Adaptation, ed. Fischer and Panting, 36. The opportunities Sager and Panting note as being foregone by the Maritimes are notable as being amongst those grasped by Norway into the twentieth century. 10 Ibid. 9 periphery of major economic engines—North America and Western Europe respectively—and both developed major merchant marines based principally on the transport of commodities for more and more third party countries. In addition, both were slow to adopt the new technology of steam and iron in the late nineteenth century; yet their shipping industries showed no positive correlation in activity after 1880. In 1879, Norwegian registered vessels had a combined capacity of 1.5 million tons ranking the nation third behind Britain and the United States, with Canada in fourth position. Atlantic Canada alone would have ranked just behind fifth placed Germany in the global league tables.11 Table 1: Tonnage in the Merchant Marines in 187912 Country/Region Tonnage (x1000) Britain 6,833 1 Norway 1,526 3 Maritimes 951 Newfoundland 83 “Atlantic Canada” 1,034 Canada1,322 4 World Rank Despite the similar positions held by these two regions early in the last quarter of the nineteenth century, their paths diverged dramatically thereafter. Today Norway “is a superpower of the seas, controlling 10 percent of the world’s merchant fleet”, nearly twice that of a century earlier, while Atlantic Canada’s role in the sector is almost negligible.13 Canada’s Atlantic Region Evolves in a Maritime Realm In the mid-nineteenth century, the Atlantic colonies of British North America were “classic staple producing regions … [depending] …overwhelmingly upon the production and export of Sarah Palmer, “The British Shipping Industry, 1850-1914,” in Change and Adaptation, ed. Fischer and Panting, 96. The term “Atlantic Canada” is employed loosely as Newfoundland did not become part of the federation until 1949. 12 Keith Matthews, “The Shipping Industry of Atlantic Canada: Themes and Problems,” (1978), 10; Helge W Nordvik, “The Shipping Industries of The Scandinavian Countries, 1850-1914,” (1982), 122. 13 Hammer, “The Norwegian Shipping Industry.” 11 A Siren Song 36 unfinished or semi-processed natural resources”.14 In this preConfederation and largely pre-industrial age, two significant industries emerged to support the primary sector: the provision of shipping services and the manufacture of ships to supply it.15 This was an era when the primary sector was perceived as “the great engine of development”.16 Consequently, at first, these shipping related enterprises were probably seen more as adjuncts to bolster this ‘engine’ than as being viable in their own right. Such a view would likely have been paralleled in Norway where timber made up at least 50 percent of total freight earnings until the 1870s.17 Numerous articles by twentieth-century historians argue that the weakening in forward and backward linkages were essential pre-conditions for the subsequent demise of both the Maritime shipping and shipbuilding sectors. The initially strong forward linkage in terms of the development of both endeavours is well supported. However, the linkage argument does not represent a critical factor in the later expansion of ship ownership, nor its eventual demise, as the Norwegian experience proves. Similarly, the highly visible shipbuilding industry was important to the Maritimes economy and the well-being of the shipping sector, but was not an essential determinant of later outcomes. Two commodities were of particular importance to the economies of early Nova Scotia and New Brunswick: fish and forest products respectively, as indeed they were for Norway.18 Fish exports accounted for around 40 percent of the value of Nova Scotia’s exports in the five years prior to confederation and timber for 70 percent of exports from New Brunswick.19 Nova Scotia was also exporting sizable volumes of timber and agricultural products.20 Britain, its Caribbean colonies and the United States Eric W. Sager and Gerry Panting, “Staple Economies and the Rise and Decline of the Shipping Industry in Atlantic Canada, 1820-1914,” in Change and Adaptation, ed. Fischer and Panting, 3. 15 Ibid. 16 Ibid., 10. 17 Helge W. Nordvik, “The Shipping Industries of the Scandinavian Countries, 1850-1914,” in Change and Adaptation, ed. Fischer and Panting, 143. 18 S. A. Saunders, “The Economic History of the Maritime Provinces,” in Sources in the History of Atlantic Canada No.3, ed. P. A. Buckner and E. R. Forbes (Saint John: Acadiensis Press, 1984), 19. 19 Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” 5. 20 Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” 5. Agricultural products accounted for 17 percent of Nova Scotian exports in the five years to confederation and lumber another 11 percent. 14 were the most important export markets. The British West Indies and the United States were the largest markets for fish, while timber exports were destined primarily for Britain, and to a lesser extent the Caribbean.21 Shipbuilding also emerged during this period as a major industry supporting the expansion of both the fishing and timber industries, as well as colonial trade in general. In addition, there was a rapid growth in demand for ships to supply the rest of eastern British North America and overseas markets, especially Britain.22 For timber exporters in particular, this latter aspect initially provided a natural forward linkage. Wood merchants could have ships built of timber from their own holdings to carry lumber across the Atlantic to Britain and then sell the unloaded vessels to British businesses as well.23 However, ship ownership became an increasingly popular option in its own right from the mid-1850s, nearly a decade before the marked decline in British demand for sailing vessels, and this lasted until the end of the 1870s.24 During this period, a distinct ship-owning class emerged in the Maritimes as “the proportion of capital invested in shipping relative to investment in staple production expanded rapidly”.25 Thus, the extent of the growth in the industry was far greater than could be explained by local cargoes alone, and by the mid1860s, Maritime-registered ocean-going ships “operated infrequently from Canadian ports”.26 The majority of voyages by vessels such as those registered at Halifax, St John, and Yarmouth were, by then, on American-British and American-European trade routes.27 Sager and Panting suggest that this growth phase may be explained by two events: “first, the sustained high level of freight rates in major Atlantic carrying trades in the first half of the [1850s], and second, the beginnings of a decline in returns from the Saunders, “Economic History,” 19. Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” 6. The authors report that Richard Rice estimated that between 51 percent and 69 percent of the ships built in British North America between 1809 and 1864 were sold in the British market. 23 Ibid. 24 Ibid., 16. 25 Ibid. 26 Eric W. Sager and Lewis R. Fischer, “Atlantic Canada and the Age of Sail Revisited,” Canadian Historical Review, 63 (2), (1982), 133, 134. 27 Eric W. Sager and Lewis R. Fischer, “Patterns of Investment in the Shipping Industries of Atlantic Canada, 1820-1900,” Acadiensis, 9 (1), (1979), 40. 21 22 A Siren Song 38 staple industries of New Brunswick and Nova Scotia”.28 The decline in timber prices may well have been a factor, sliding an average of 2.7 percent per annum between 1853 and 1864.29 This drop in returns was probably due to the continued growth in volume of lumber coming into the economic powerhouse Britain from North America and Baltic countries just as shifts away from lumber were beginning to occur in some sectors.30 The Norwegians were responsible for the bulk of shipments from the Baltic following the relaxation of trade restrictions mid-century, and as such were affected by a similar return-on-cargoes equation to that of Maritime shippers.31 Yet their modus operandi on a national basis does not appear to have been severely dented by these circumstances. Late in the 1850s, there was also a sharp decline in demand and prices for sail vessels in Britain which improved the relative attractiveness of ship retention by Maritime businesses.32 However, as will be shown, such investment was justified on its own merits. Maritime ship owners diversified their trade routes and commodities carried with the international trade to and from the United States being a major focus for growth.33 The principal commodities carried through to the 1870s were timber, cotton, petroleum products, grains, tobacco, and fish.34 Freight rates for these key cargoes were highly variable over time, as were the prices achieved in international markets for the commodities themselves. For example, Sager and Panting report that “freight rates for American cotton and grain increased rapidly from about 1856 to 1862 or 1863, then declined sharply in the late 1860s, rising to new Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” 19. Ibid. 30 For example steamships accounted for 19.5 percent of Britain’s total tonnage by 1870 displacing timber and sail vessels. 31 Ibid. 32 Ibid., 17. 33 Ibid., 22; Sager and Fischer, “Patterns of Investment,” 40. Preliminary analysis reported by various historians “reveals the primary importance of the AmericanBritish and American-European traffic in bulk commodities such as wheat, cotton and petroleum. Analysis by David Alexander concluded that “the United Kingdom, the United States and Europe accounted for 76 percent of all entrances into port by Yarmouth ocean-going vessels.’” The same regions “accounted for 63 percent of all port entrances by Saint John vessels and 60 percent of all tonnage entering ports.” In addition Sager and Fischer, in “Age of Sail Revisited,” 134, noted a 70 percent rate for Halifax vessels. 34 Ibid., 25, 26. 28 29 levels in the early 1870s”.35 However, this variability in commodity freight rates and the Maritime shipping industry’s focus on the transportation of staples are unlikely to have been the primary reasons for the coming decline in terms of their involvement in the sector. The Maritimes focused on international markets from the outset, and its businessmen were well seasoned in terms of international economic cycles. Across these cycles world trade was continuing to grow rapidly. In fact, shipments by sea increased 56 percent between 1870 and 1900.36 In addition, the United States— virtually on the Maritimes’ doorstep—represented an enormous growth opportunity for the owners of ocean going vessels. It was one which was initially taken up wholeheartedly by the Canadians. By the early 1880s, as much as 39 percent of the Canadian merchant marine was engaged in the United States export trade.37 The outbreak of the Civil War in 1861 prompted a sharp withdrawal of American capital from its shipping sector. The American-owned portion of the rapidly growing international sea trade to and from the United States was thereafter in sustained decline.38 Between the 1840s and 1880 the share of American imports and exports carried by American ships fell from 70 percent to less than 20 percent.39 This was by no means due entirely to the Civil War itself, which ended in 1865. The principal culprit was the restrictive government registry law which required American ship owners to purchase their ships from American builders despite the industry’s lack of competitiveness.40 Federal policies protected coastal shipping within the United States, and so the Americans concentrated on these routes leaving the international trade open to foreign players.41 This provided an ideal platform for the Maritime industry, until the Canadian government’s National Policy skewed the economic equation away from the sea. It was the Norwegians instead who wrested the greatest long term advantage Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” 25. Eric W. Sager and Gerald E. Panting, Maritime Capital: The Shipping Industry in Atlantic Canada, 1820-1914, (Montreal: McGill-Queen’s University Press, 1990), 126. 37 Ibid., 102. Sager and Fischer, “Patterns of Investment,” 40. 38 Jeffrey J. Salford, “The Decline of the American Merchant Marine: 1850-1914: An Historical Appraisal,” in Change and Adaptation, ed. Fischer and Panting, 58. 39 Sager and Panting, Maritime Capital, 99. 40 Salford, “The Decline of the American Merchant Marine,” 58, 59. 41 Salford, “The Decline of the American Merchant Marine,” 58, 59. 35 36 A Siren Song 40 as a result of the myopic political decisions of the United States’ and Canadian governments. The Vi-Kings of the High Seas The history of the Scandinavian peoples in general, and those of Norway in particular, has been closely tied to the sea since ancient times.42 Indeed, there is a body of evidence that the ancient Vikings even ventured as far as Labrador and Newfoundland by 1000 AD.43 From those early and somewhat violent times the Norwegians evolved extensive shipping activities, carrying cargoes for their own and other nations. Up until the mid-nineteenth century, this trade was based primarily on the shipping of timber between Northern and Western Europe.44 After the repeal of Britain’s Navigation Laws in 1849, Norway expanded and improved its fleet, and diversified into other raw materials and foodstuffs.45 However, timber remained the industry’s mainstay until the twentieth century.46 Total registered tonnage increased 460 percent between 1850 and 1880 and by 1879, Norwegian vessels accounted for 5.6 percent of fleet capacity on the world seas.47 While steam vessels were added rapidly from the 1870s, the Norwegian shipping industry was relatively slow to industrialize. In 1879 steam-powered ships still represented less than 20 percent of the nation’s total tonnage and seven years later Norway’s metal-hulled steam capacity made up just 5.4 percent of its total fleet, a tenth that of Britain.48 A. N. Kiaer, “Historical Sketch of the Development of Scandinavian Shipping,” The Journal of Political Economy 1 (3) (Jun., 1893), 329. 43 William Bakken, “Vikings in the New World: Overview,” (Dec. 28, 1998), http://www.mnsu.edu/emuseum/prehistory/vikings/oview.html, accessed March 13, 2005. 44 Kiaer, “Historical Sketch,” 346. Nordvik, “The Shipping Industries,” 119, 120. Nordvik records that the fundamental basis for the Norwegian shipping industry in 1850 was “1: the export of foodstuffs and raw materials to Western Europe; 2: inter-Scandinavian trade [particularly Norwegian herring, foodstuffs and timber]; 3: Baltic Trade (Norwegian herring to Prussia and Russia, bringing return cargoes of rye); and 4: domestic (coastal) shipping.” 45 Ibid. 46 Ibid. The reduction in duties on timber imported into Britain further improved Norwegian trade opportunities. As a result of relaxed trade laws, Norway also entered the British North American timber trade. 47 Nordvik, “The Shipping Industries,” 120, 121. 48 Nordvik, “The Shipping Industries,”124. At Jan 1, 1879, the registered tonnage of British sailing vessels was 43.75 million tons, and for steam 11.11 million tons. Palmer, “British Shipping,” 96, 97. 42 Nordvik records several factors as contributing to the growth in Norway’s merchant marine during this period: The favourable location factors shifted from access to raw materials for shipbuilding and a steady local labour force, to access to larger capital markets and proximities to centres of communication, and trade, organizational expertise, and reliance on a well educated, national labour force.49 Was Atlantic Canada bereft in these respects? Historians have not suggested any such shortcomings. Indeed, the trade of the growing American powerhouse was hardly unobtainable. In addition, it should be noted that the evolution of steam- and metal-ship technology at first suited coastal trade. It was not until after 1880 that economics began to favour the new technology over sailing vessels for longer transport routes on the high seas. Thus, in the early days of the ‘transition’, Norway’s shipping industry was probably more vulnerable than that of the Maritimes as a higher proportion of its trade was oriented to short-runs in Europe. While the Norwegians rapidly lost market share in coastal Europe, Britain, and the Baltic Sea, they more than made up for this on longer trade routes, trans-Atlantic voyages being a critical component of their redeployment. By the 1880s, 44 percent of the cargoes carried by Norwegian ships were between American and European ports, including those of Britain.50 Growth in international trade slowed sharply in the 1880s due to a downturn in the major world economies and, as did commodity prices and freight rates. However, in contrast to the Atlantic Canadians, the Norwegians continued to expand their fleets, albeit at a much slower pace.51 In part, this increase was due to Norwegian ship owners purchasing ‘pre-owned’, rather than new sailing vessels, as prices for these dropped rapidly in the secondary market.52 Their own shipbuilding industry was by then imploding. Ibid., 124, 125. Lewis and Fischer, “Change and Adaptation,” 25. 51 Ibid., 130. Norway’s world tonnage increased from 10.0 percent to 10.5 percent of sailing ships and 1.1 percent to 2.0 percent of steam powered vessels between 1880 and 1890. 52 Lewis and Fischer, “Change and Adaptation,” 139. 49 50 A Siren Song 42 A major source of second-hand vessels was Atlantic Canada.53 Indeed, the move out of the shipping industry by Maritimers was probably triply beneficial for the Norwegians: firstly, a competitor was exiting the sector; secondly the Norwegians acquired good sailing vessels cheaply, thereby ensuring solid economic returns on investment even during a period of low freight rates for commodities and lost markets; and thirdly, these purchases enabled Norwegian ship owners to defer their purchases of steam and metal vessels until the technology and economics for these improved further. Thus, many Norwegian ship owners avoided the move into steam and metal in the 1880s, and instead sought alternative profitable routes and conveyances for their sailing vessels. Shipping was seen by most as an essential component of Norwegian society and economy. However, some businesses still regarded shipping primarily as a service supporting other activities in which they were engaged, such as the exploitation of often extensive timber interests. 54 This paralleled the attitudes of some of New Brunswick’s ship owners. During the ‘Age of Sail’, ownership of ships in Norway was mainly by way of merchant partnerships, as it was in the Maritimes, and there was a close co-operation between the ship builders and owners.55 By 1890, however, the main issue for the industry was continued access to sufficient capital in order to finance the building or purchase of vessels with new technology.56 Nordvik records that the creation of limited liability companies was only part of the solution and determines that it was changes to the Shipping Registry Act in 1901, allowing mortgages to be secured against ships, that enabled the Norwegian shipping industry to remain viable.57 However, it is evident that Norway’s ship owners were able to compete internationally without, at least initially, an advanced, technological ship building industry of their own.58 The Sager and Panting, Maritime Capital, 127. Nordvik, “The Shipping Industries,” 138. 55 Ibid., 130, 132. 56 Ibid., 134. Nordvik records that “the growth in shipping after 1850 was made possible by the capital accumulated in the timber trade (southern coastal towns), the herring trade (Stavenger), and the shellfish and stockfish trade (Bergen). Ibid., 132. 57 Ibid. 58 Nordvik, “The Shipping Industries,” 143. Norwegian ship owners initially purchased new technology vessels from British shipyards as they had no 53 54 major commercial centres were, for the most part, reasonably well supplied with entrepreneurial capital and, in a critical difference to the situation in the Maritimes, were “limited in their scope for alternative investments”.59 Norway’s shippers continued to focus on a narrow group of bulky commodities into the late 1800s, although this was changing by the turn of the century.60 During the last two decades of the century, one of the most dramatic changes was a doubling in trade captured between the United States and third countries, chiefly in basic commodities such as lumber, grain and petroleum.61 This was driven in part by a need by the Norwegians to offset their declining competitiveness against steam in coastal Europe.62 By the 1890s, new and expanding trades included the West Indian and Central American fruit routes, utilizing specially built and well ventilated steam ships, and coastal traffic in East Asia, most notably China, on time charter to British companies.63 There appears to have been no impediment to Maritime involvement in such Asian trades. Thus, the Norwegian industry not only survived, but eventually thrived, despite a period of low profitability in the 1880s and 1890s.64 This was achieved despite that country’s great similarities to the Canadian Maritimes where the outcome was so dramatically different. Such divergent outcomes appear to have been a consequence of choice. Following the election of the Macdonald Conservative government in Canada in 1878, new investment alternatives burgeoned on land for Maritime entrepreneurs behind the protective barriers erected as a result of the National Policy tariffs. As David Alexander noted, there arose “a reversal of investment opportunities” as a direct result of the steam/metal shipbuilding industry of their own. However, Nordvik reports that the building of sailing vessels was an integral part of the Norwegian economy and “the comparatively cheap Norwegian and Swedish raw materials, together with the low labour costs in shipbuilding meant that Scandinavian owners could obtain newly built sailing tonnage at very competitive prices, often without having to finance the entire cost of the vessel if the shipbuilder took shares.” Ibid., 132. This situation is strikingly similar to that in the Maritimes. 59 Ibid., 138. Consequently, the industry was able to draw “on the combined resources of local savings banks, emerging private commercial banks and insurance companies, but first and foremost on private capital.” 60 Ibid., 142, 143. 61 Ibid., 142. 62 Ibid. 63 Ibid., 143. 64 Ibid., 145. A Siren Song 44 Canadian government’s policy of “heavily protected industrialization”.65 In contrast, the Norwegians had little choice but to continue doing what they did best. The Maritimes Effectively Becomes ‘Land-locked’ Sager et al. point out that Canadian ship owners were still making positive returns in shipping in the 1880s, despite a general decline in freight rates, and that they possessed the capital for investment in steam and iron.66 These writers point to arguments by earlier historians that the shifts in supply and demand for economically competitive carrying capacity in the North Atlantic may have been a critical factor in the sector’s declining attraction.67 However, the Norwegian experience appears to negate the explanatory power of this changing aspect in the nature of trade. Maritime businessmen had also long been exposed to the winds of international change and were capable of understanding and coping with economic cycles. Thus, the essential difference between the Maritimes and Norway appears to have been the surge in new investment opportunities in Canada onshore. In the 1870s and 1880s ship owners in Nova Scotia, and elsewhere in the Maritimes, were being presented with “a plethora of alternative options in their own communities”.68 These ranged across banking, financial services, transportation, mining, and other tertiary sectors.69 Investment in the Maritimes accelerated in the 1880s and 1890s and became increasingly industrial. Iron, steel and glass works, woollen mills, cotton factories, and sugar refineries were established and expanded.70 Meanwhile, the total tonnage of vessels registered in the Maritimes, which peaked in 1878, fell precipitously over the next 20 years.71 Eric W. Sager, Lewis R. Fischer and Rosemary E. Ommer, “Landward and Seaward Opportunities in Canada’s Age of Sail,” in Merchant Shipping and Economic Development, ed. Fischer and Sager. 22, 23. 66 Ibid., 19, 20. 67 Ibid., 19. 68 Ibid., 25. 69 Ibid. 70 Saunders, “Economic History,” 29, 30. 71 Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” 18. The authors’ graph showing ‘Tonnage on Registry in Seven Ports (Saint John, Yarmouth, Halifax, Windsor, Pictou, Miramichi, Sydney,” from 1825 to 1900 provides a vivid illustration of the industry’s rise and fall. 65 The 1878 election of the Conservative Government led by John A. Macdonald played a major role in this ‘reversal of fortunes’. A cornerstone of the Conservative’s election policy platform was high tariffs to stimulate the rapid development of the manufacturing sector in Canada.72 In 1879, the existing tariff level of 15 percent was raised to between 17.5 percent and 35 percent on various goods.73 Tariffs were further increased throughout the 1880s, “with [Macdonald] reportedly relying on casual billiard room discussions with entrepreneurs to determine the appropriate level of protection”.74 Such an environment offered virtual certainty of profits on landward investment regardless of efficiency. This was in stark contrast to the situation in world trade markets struggling with economic recession, especially given that this was a time when investment in new technology was essential to retain a competitive position in shipping. Land-based industrialisation may have come relatively late to the Maritimes, but once it did, substantial new capital formation onshore came at the expense of the shipping sector. It is beyond the scope of this paper to determine the rates of return expected on these new investments. However, it would later transpire that more than a few of these enterprises were unproductive in the longer term and would fail.75 What we can do is assess the importance of the shipping industry to the Maritimes, its profitability, and the opportunity forgone as a result of its demise. Merchant Marine and the Maritime Economy The evidence suggests that shipping was extremely important to the Maritimes economy in the late nineteenth century, despite arguments to the contrary by historians such as Peter McClelland as reported by Sager and Panting: It is unlikely that shipbuilding or shipping contributed as much to final demand in the Maritimes as the size of such industries might suggest. By 1870, 7.4 percent of the industrial Alvin Finkel and Margaret Conrad, History of the Canadian Peoples: 1867 to the Present, Volume II, Third Edition (Toronto: Addison Wesley Longman, 2002), 43. 73 Ibid. 74 Ibid. 75 Sager et.al., “Landward and Seaward,” 27. 72 A Siren Song 46 labour force, and [just] 1.6 percent of the entire labour force, were employed in shipbuilding … [and] … “mariners” accounted for [only] 2.4 percent of New Brunswick’s labour force, and 6.6 percent of Nova Scotia’s labour force. … The multiplier effects from shipbuilding were likely to have been limited.76 Sager and Panting merely extrapolated the conclusions McClelland reached in his extensive 1966 doctoral thesis on “The New Brunswick Economy in the Nineteenth Century,” to state the case for the Maritimes as a whole.77 However, in this report attempt will be made to expand the accepted sphere. As the table below shows, shipping was more important to Nova Scotia, the largest province of the region, than it was to New Brunswick. Table 2: The Relative Importance of Shipping to Nova Scotia and New Brunswick78 Selected Statistics in 1871 Tonnage of all Registered Vessels* Vessels Built Propn. “Mariners” in Labour Force Population (000s) Nova Scotia Total (000t) 428 44 6.6% 388 Per Capita 1.103 0.113 New Brunswick Total (000t) 253 34 2.4% Per Capita 0.885 0.119 286 Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” 27. The authors record that: “These are McClelland’s conclusions [in his 1966 doctoral thesis ‘The New Brunswick Economy in the Nineteenth Century’] and so far no one has questioned them.” This essay does not specifically dispute his findings, but attempts a more academic regional approach than has been applied to date. 77 Ibid. 78 Keith Matthews, “Shipping Industry,” (1976), 10, 11. Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” (1985), 27. Saunders, “The Economic History” (1984), 105. 76 In 1871, the Nova Scotian shipping registry recorded 69 percent more tonnage than New Brunswick and Nova Scotia had a population that year 36 percent greater. Thus, there were 1.1 tons registered for every Nova Scotian compared with under 0.9 tons per capita in New Brunswick. In addition, mariners made up 6.6 percent of the Nova Scotian labour force, compared with just 2.4 percent in New Brunswick. Recognition of these differences is essential in order to ascertain the true importance of the shipping sector to the Maritime economy. Fischer, Sager and Ommer investigated the profitability of the Saint John shipping industry in an article presented in 1981.79 Their mid-range estimates for the profitability of the ocean-going sector in 1871 and 1881 and the return on un-depreciated assets are included in the table below.80 In an article published in 1985, Sager and Panting, related their estimates of industry profitability to McClelland’s estimates of New Brunswick Gross Provincial Product (GPP).81 These findings are also summarized in the table below, after modifying the assumption for provincial profitability as a percentage of GPP.82 Table 3: Estimated Profitability of New Brunswick Shipping and Contribution to GPP83 Estimates for New Brunswick By Year Mid-range Estimated Ocean Going Profits ($m) 1871 1.21 1881 0.48 Lewis R. Fischer, Eric W. Sager, Rosemary E. Ommer, “The Shipping Industry and Regional Economic Development in Atlantic Canada, 1871-1891: Saint John as a Case Study,” in Merchant Shipping and Economic Development, ed. Fischer and Sager, 35-53. 80 Ibid., 44. 81 Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” 27. 82 Ibid., Sager and Panting assumed provincial profits could be “as much as ten percent” of GPP. However, making an arbitrary allowance for the impact of economic cycles on provincial profitability I have applied a rate of twelve percent for economically buoyant 1871 and nine percent for 1881. This results in a more conservative estimate of the relative of importance of shipping to the New Brunswick economy than would otherwise be obtained. Sager and Panting are conservative in their approach by using their “lower limit” estimates of profitability: “Even if we take the lowest available estimates of net returns from [St. John registered] shipping in 1871, profits in ocean shipping may have accounted for a fifth of [New Brunswick] profits if we assume that profits were as much as ten percent of Gross Provincial Product.” 83 Sager Fischer and Ommer, “The Shipping Industry,” (1982), 44. Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” (1985), 27. David Stanley, 2005. 79 A Siren Song 48 Return on Capital Invested in Ocean Vessels Gross Provincial Product ($m) Assumed Provincial Profits @12%/9% ($m) Ocean Shipping Profits as Percent of Prov. Profits 17.1% 35.70 4.28 28.3% 6.8% 38.07 3.43 14.0% The estimates presented above suggest that New Brunswick ocean shipping may have generated returns on capital invested (return on investment) of around 17 percent in 1871 and accounted for about 28 percent of provincial profits that year.84 A decade later these returns had declined but a return on investment of around 6.8 percent near the cyclical economic low compared favourably with the average rate the nearby Bank of Nova Scotia was charging on loans the same year.85 Furthermore, ocean shipping may still have accounted for around 14 percent of provincial profits in New Brunswick in 1881. It has already been established that shipping was probably even more important to the Nova Scotian economy in the 1870s, and return on investment is unlikely to have been materially inferior to New Brunswick’s. Consequently, it is reasonable to assume that the Nova Scotian shipping industry accounted for around 33 percent of that province’s profits from business activities in 1871, and at least 16 percent in 1881. And it is reinvested profits, not ‘linkages,’ that provide the fuel for the engine of economic growth over time. 86 If we consider 1871 and 1881 as being close to the cyclical high and low respectively for ocean-going contributions to the economy, then on average this one industry directly produced nearly a quarter of the business profits of the Maritimes during the period. This was definitely not an industry to be ignored, especially given its downstream service and The returns for the Norwegian shipping industry were probably only marginally higher, based on a study of the profitability of Stavanger registered vessels which determined a range of ROCIs from 11.5 percent to 22.8 percent in the mid 1870s, with an average ROCI of 18.1 percent. Nordvik, “The Shipping Industries,” 144, 145. 85 James D. Frost, “The ‘Nationalization’ of the Bank of Nova Scotia, 1880-1910,” in Industrialization and Underdevelopment in the Maritimes, 1880-1930 ed. T. W. Acheson, David Frank, James D. Frost (Toronto: Garamond Press, 1985), 41. The average rate of interest charged on loans by the Bank of Nova Scotia in 1881 was 6.82 percent. 86 The multiplier effect for profits comes in part from their direct re-investment or indirectly through financial intermediaries, and the repetition of such effects over time, even when key capital inputs need to be imported. The economics of this are evident in the ‘globalization’ trends occurring in business today. 84 support aspects for other economic activities, including its direct and indirect employment implications within the region. Historical scholars seem to agree that scarcity of capital was not an issue for the Maritime shipping sector per se. However, this might be worthy of further investigation given that Nordvik points to it as being a problem for some Norwegian centres in the 1880s.87 For example, the population of the Maritimes was less than half that of Norway, whilst registered tonnage in the two regions amounted to 1.09 tons per capita and 0.83 tons per capita respectively in 1879. Thus, the Nova Scotian and New Brunswick commitment to shipping was over 30 percent greater on a per capita basis than that of Norway. Even without the plethora of landward opportunities referred to earlier, some degree of diversification by the Maritime business sector was probably in order. Furthermore, total capital requirements may indeed have been an issue. However, there is a strong countervailing argument against the contention by Sager and Panting that: It is a paradox of no little importance to the decline of the shipping industry that as the industry expanded in the 1860s and 1870s its linkages with the local economy decreased. The vital linkage with shipbuilding remained, of course, as did the service which coastal shipping performed within the local economy. But it is increasingly difficult to argue that either shipping or shipbuilding was the “lynch pin” of the economy, or part of what Harold Innis called “a magnificent achievement,” an integration of capital and labour, or lumbering, fishing and agriculture, on which rested a progressive community life.88 For example, in their 1982 article Sager et al. contended that “it is clear that Maritimers lacked neither the talent, the capital nor the resources to embark upon a major industrializing effort in these decades,” Sager, Fisher and Ommer, “Landward and Seaward,” 10. In contrast, Nordvik states in his 1985 article that “in the major shipping region of southern Norway, the depression of the early 1880s meant that by the end of the decade, capital had indeed become a serious problem. The wooden shipbuilding industry collapsed after 1880, and in a series of local financial crises discouraged investment in shipping.” Nordvik, “The Shipping Industries,” 138. 88 Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” in Change and Adaptation, 27. 87 A Siren Song 50 The importance of a forward or backward linkage with the land-based economy is over-emphasized, and probably misleading. 89 It did not much matter, for example, if the nation of Canada ended up shipping 90 per cent of its grain exports through the United States as some feared possible.90 The huge and growing international trade of the United States was as easily obtainable for Maritime shippers as it was for the Norwegians, and far more so than for the American merchant marine which had been locked into an uncompetitive position by federal government legislation. Similarly, it was not immediately necessary to develop a modernised shipbuilding industry to remain competitive in shipping services, as the Norwegians proved. Businessmen pursue profits, not linkages and there were definitely profits to be had in ocean shipping services. International shipping was, for the most part, a highly profitable industry and one which justified Maritimes investment in new technology if, as most historians contend, the funds were available to do so. World trade as measured by tonnage increased 56 percent between 1870 and 1900 and freight rates also recovered towards the end of the century once the wheat boom began.91 In addition, the prospective returns on steam powered and metal hulled vessels were much greater than for sailing ships, even if these were purchased from Britain.92 Maritime ship owner Thomas Kenny observed in 1888: “We, who wish to continue in the shipping business, have discovered that the iron ship is a more profitable investment than our wooden ships.”93 However, such There are few who would make the same argument against the Swiss banking sector for example. 90 Sager and Panting, Maritime Capital, 165. 91 Ibid., 126. Sager et al., “Landward and Seaward,” in Merchant Shipping, 28. 92 While the new technology ships cost about twice that of sailing vessels, the effective returns on investment may have been up to 50 percent greater based on work undertaken by A. N. Kaier and noted by Nordvik in “The Shipping Industries,” 120-122. 93 Ibid., 159. According to Sager and Panting, N. M Smith, the New Brunswick Controller of Customs and Registrar of Shipping observed that two “classed spruce vessels of similar size” could be acquired for the price of one iron ship. Sager and Panting, “Staple Economies,” 22. However, Kaier estimated in 1893 that “one of the best means of ascertaining [the] relative importance [of steam versus sail] in the general shipping trade is to calculate their total effective carrying power, each ton of steam vessels being computed at the usual rate of 3 to 1,” Kiaer, “Historical Sketch,” 360. This implies that returns on investment in steam could have been up to 50 percent greater than for sail. Over time it is 89 investment was not forthcoming despite its economic justification. Even more disturbing was the fact that Maritime ship owners began to liquidate their investment in sailing vessels, selling them to the Norwegians and others at a fraction of their replacement cost. This represented a major opportunity cost for the Maritimes, and the percentage return foregone must have measured well into the teens. Given that businessmen usually act rationally, they must have anticipated extremely high returns from their new land-based investments. For a period these expectations may have been realized, but in the long run they were not. Sager and Panting point out that the Maritimes shipping industry was “doomed not by the inevitable advance of technology nor by impersonal market forces but by the [decisions of the] Maritimers themselves,”94 However, this conclusion understates the over-riding role the Canadian federal government played in the decision-making process. The Maritimes’ Opportunity Missed The decision by Maritime businesses to invest in new landbased industrial opportunities in the latter part of the nineteenth century is understandable given the apparent certainty of high and sustained returns under the protection of National Policy tariffs. However, the Maritimes failed to become “the industrial workshop of Canada” some sought it to be.95 At the same time, it also squandered the region’s one true internationally competitive advantage—shipping. Investment in steam powered and iron hulled ships could have been justified on an economic return basis, and retention of existing vessels even more so as part of the full package. The practical, or opportunistic, desire of Maritime businessmen to diversify was probably merited at the time, and might have meant that there was insufficient capital available to remain a top-five ranked merchant marine in the region into the twentieth century. However, the shipping industry could still have been an internationally competitive and highly profitable contributor to the Maritimes’ economy had the pitch not been so severely skewed by the land-based, westward-looking political and likely that the relative returns on metal hulled, steam powered ships would have improved further as the technologies developed. 94 Sager and Panting, Maritime Capital, 127. 95 Sager, Fischer and Ommer, “Landward and Seaward,” 27. A Siren Song 52 economic initiatives promoted by the federal government in Ottawa. In the final analysis, the almost complete capitulation of Maritime capital away from shipping into landward industries from the late nineteenth century was perhaps the greatest misallocation in the region’s history. Setting the Record Straight: Churchill, Appeasement and the Italo-Abbysinian Crisis B. GAYLE CORMIER Winston Churchill is known by most historians and others as having been unequivocally opposed to the policy of appeasement that was followed by his government in the 1930s. The House of Commons is commonly perceived as having been polarised as aggressive nations made territorial and other demands. The ‘appeasers’ were those who were inclined to conciliate Japan, Italy, and Germany as they sought to expand into neighbouring sovereign states. The ‘anti-appeasers’ were those who wanted to maintain the Treaty of Versailles against Hitler’s attempts to violate it, and stand up to Mussolini and Japanese leaders as they invaded other independent nations. Historian Neville Thompson has argued, on the other hand, that “practically everyone was in favour of appeasement, if not of Germany then of Italy and certainly of Japan, at one time or another.”1 Although there is near consensus on Churchill’s position against appeasement, a few have questioned the purity of his record. The Italo-Abyssinian crisis of 1935-36, and Churchill’s policy toward Mussolini’s expansionist ambitions are interpreted by some as evidence that Churchill was not as consistent in his opposition to appeasement as is so often thought.2 This paper will demonstrate that this argument is based on a selective interpretation of evidence. Churchill’s critics have taken in isolation statements made over the course of years, without allowing for differences in time period, context, and individual situations. When all of the factors are taken into account, and everything is put into its proper context, it becomes clear that Churchill was as strongly against the appeasement of Mussolini in his conquest of Abyssinia as he was against Hitler’s attempts to dominate Eastern Europe. He wanted to take a consistently hard line against Italian aggression, for many reasons. When Mussolini broke the Stresa Neville Thompson, The Anti-Appeasers: Conservative Opposition to Appeasement in the 1930s (London: Oxford University Press, 1971), 2. 2 Richard Powers, “Winston Churchill’s Parliamentary Commentary on British Foreign Policy, 1935-1938,” The Journal of Modern History 1954 26(2): 179-182, and J. N. Thompson, “Prophet Without Honour: Winston Churchill and The Gathering Storm,” Queen’s Quarterly 1968 75(2): 229-246, and Neville Thompson, Anti-Appeasers. 1 Setting the Record Straight 54 Front, the 1935 agreement between Britain, France and Italy to resist all future attempts by the Germans to defy the Treaty of Versailles, Churchill knew there was little chance that he would work with the Allies against Hitler. Imposing the sanctions prescribed in Article 16 of the Covenant of the League of Nations would debilitate Mussolini’s war-making capacity, rendering his usefulness to Hitler minimal. He wanted to take a consistently strong stand against the aggression of all of the dictatorships, and to back down to Mussolini would send the wrong message to potential allies against Hitler and Japanese leaders.3 Most importantly, he wanted to preserve the strength and prestige of the League of Nations. It had already suffered from the Japanese invasion of Manchuria, but was “the instrument that might in future be chiefly effective as a deterrent to German aggression.”4 Churchill was out of office for most of the 1930s. He called this period his “wilderness years” and although he did not have any direct control over the policies and actions of his government, he did not allow the time to be wasted. Besides writing, painting, brick-laying, and digging lakes, Churchill kept himself busy writing letters and memoranda to those who were determining government policy. He also maintained an active role in parliamentary debates. The main foreign policy issue of that decade was dealing with the dictators of Europe. The spread of communism was still a grave concern, and new problems arose from Germany, Italy, and Spain, threatening the balance of power and political status quo. One of Churchill’s most vehement critics on the consistency of his policy toward appeasement is historian Richard Powers. He surveys all of the points when the British government was accused of “appeasing” dictators. Along with Hitler’s demands, he presents the British policies surrounding Mussolini’s aggression against Abyssinia, and the problems presented by the Fascist revolutionary, Franco, in Spain. Powers examines them all separately to demonstrate alleged inconsistencies in Churchill’s policy across these crises. According to Powers’ analysis, Churchill stood out in W. Mommsen and L. Kettenacker, The Fascist Challenge and the Policy of Appeasement (London: G. Allen and Unwin, 1983), 375. 4 Sir Samuel Hoare: Record of a Conversation between Sir Samuel Hoare, Anthony Eden and Winston Churchill, 21 August 1935, in Winston S. Churchill, ed. Martin Gilbert (London: Heinemann, 1981), vol. 5, companion part 2, 1239-40. 3 opposition to the policies of the pacific government only at the point of Austrian independence: “the Anschluss had done for Churchill what even Poland could not quite accomplish for Chamberlain.”5 Before Hitler became Chancellor, Chancellors Bruning and von Papen managed to get war reparations drastically reduced at the 1932 Lausanne Conference.6 Even then, Churchill was outspoken in expressing his disapproval of the agreement. In the House of Commons, he complained that, “within less than 15 years of the Great War Germany has been virtually freed from all burden of repairing the awful injuries which she wrought upon her neighbours.”7 The Treaty of Versailles was further weakened when the British and French allowed Hitler to rebuild the German military, and introduce conscription. Churchill protested as Prime Minister Ramsay MacDonald entered the Anglo-German Naval Agreement, and increased the ‘acceptable’ size of the German army. He was furious when Hitler remilitarized the Rhineland8 and urged Chamberlain to put a stop to the Austrian Anschluss and the annexation of the ‘Sudeten Germans’. When the German dictator marched on Prague and occupied the Czech provinces of Bohemia and Moravia, Churchill’s warnings were vindicated. Finally, the reality of Hitler’s ambitions became clear to Chamberlain and he laid down the tripwire: aggression against Poland would mean war with the rest of Europe. Churchill and Austen Chamberlain led a strong campaign against making concessions to Hitler from day one. The evidence is unambiguous in its indication that where Hitler was concerned, Churchill had no soft spot. The common starting point for analyses of the appeasement policy is with the abrogation of the clauses of Versailles. In fact, to abrogation did not even start with Germany. The first test showed itself in 1931 when the Japanese invaded Manchuria. The League suffered a major set-back when it failed to stand up to Japanese aggression against China, largely in fear of its members of starting a war with Japan. The League was given a chance to redeem itself in Richard Powers, “Winston Churchill’s Parliamentary Commentary on British Foreign Policy, 1935-1938,” The Journal of Modern History 1954 26(2): 181. 6 Churchill, House of Commons Speech, 11 July 1932, Winston Churchill: His Complete Speeches, ed. Robert Rhodes James (New York: Chelsea House Publishers, 1974), vol. 5, 5193. 7 Ibid. 8 Churchill, Speech, 6 April 1936, Ibid., vol. 6, 5726. 5 Setting the Record Straight 56 December of 1934 when Mussolini stockpiled arms, equipment, and men in Italian Somaliland. He began to make allegations of Abyssinian aggression and to threaten to ‘put them down’ with a pre-emptive invasion. The Italians had, only forty years earlier, suffered crushing humiliation when an Abyssinian force, presumed to be inferior, destroyed the invading Italian army at the Battle of Adwa.9 In the context of late nineteenth century colonialist mentality, this was a devastating blow. Mussolini’s motives were of course diverse and complex, but they have been offered as one of the long-term causes of Italian aggression in 1935. Churchill added as another “the real or supposed military and naval weakness of Great Britain”.10 Mussolini would not have dared make such a bold move if not for his judgment of the reduced size and strength of the Royal Navy, weakened from two decades of arms limitations conferences and stretched between three potential theatres of war. Article 16 of the League of Nations Covenant stated: Should any Member of the League resort to war in disregard of its covenants . . . it shall ipso facto be deemed to have committed an act of war against all other Members of the League, which hereby undertake immediately to subject it to the severance of all trade or financial relations... It shall be the duty of the Council in such case to recommend to the several Governments concerned what effective military, naval or air force the Members of the League shall severally contribute to the armed forces to be used to protect the covenants of the League.11 Churchill stood behind this one hundred percent. He and Austen Chamberlain fought together in the House for the enforcement of this principle, demanding that Baldwin and Neville Chamberlain, Chancellor of the Exchequer, impose economic sanctions against Italy. Churchill took this principle one step further. He believed that the Royal Navy was the reason that the League of Nations was Frank Hardie, The Abyssinian Crisis (London: B. T. Batsford Ltd., 1974), 13. Churchill, Speech to the House of Commons, 24 October 1935, Parliamentary Debates, Commons, 5th ser., vol. 306 (1935), cols. 358-9. 11 “Article 16,” The Covenant of the League of Nations, in The Avalon Project of Yale Law School, <http://www.yale.edu/lawweb/avalon/leagcov.htm#art16>, 1924, posted in 1996. 9 10 so successful in asserting itself.12 As far was he was concerned, the League and rearmament went hand in hand; a show of force was required to get the necessary effect of the League. Churchill was “deeply incensed at the Italian action and more than once pressed strongly for the reinforcement of the Mediterranean fleet”.13 He consistently admonished Sir Samuel Hoare, the Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, to be “on [his] guard against the capital offence of letting diplomacy get ahead of naval preparation”.14 Shortly after the government made a public declaration that it was committed to upholding Britain’s League obligations in the event of the Italian invasion, he expressed his concern to Hoare in a letter that “naval preparations were not sufficient to sustain the policy.”15 He had opposed all attempts at disarmament since the First World War, and in the face of this new crisis, he thought it “damnable that for 6 years we should have had to disarm and on the seventh are likely to have to go to war.”16 As the title of his book suggests, Churchill trusted in “Arms and The Covenant.” The debate in the House of Commons was heated and polarised parliamentarians into pro-sanction and anti-sanction camps. Sir Austen Chamberlain was a strong supporter of Churchill. Neville Chamberlain and Sir John Simon, home secretary, backed Prime Minister Baldwin’s policy. Powers cites the vote of 11 July 1935, the one that would determine the House’s policy toward Mussolini, as evidence that even Churchill “was not anxious to antagonize Mussolini with a policy of sanctions.”17 Churchill did, in fact, vote “nay” to sanctions against Italy, but Powers’ conclusion takes this out of context. In order to have an accurate picture of Churchill’s policy, it is necessary to know the nature of the proposition put forward by the government. Looking at the debate on foreign policy that took place that day, one can see that ‘sanctions’ were not the real issue: whether or not they should Churchill, Speech, Parliamentary Debates, 24 October 1935, vol. 306, col. 275. Sir Samuel Hoare, “Record of a Conversation between Sir Samuel Hoare, Anthony Eden and Winston Churchill”, 21 August 1935, in Winston S. Churchill, ed. Martin Gilbert, vol. 5, companion part 2, 1239. 14 Churchill to Sir Samuel Hoare, 25 August 1935, in Winston S. Churchill, ed. Martin Gilbert, vol. 5, companion part 2, 1248. 15 Ibid. 1249. 16 Colin Thornton-Kemsley: diary, 20 September 1935, in Winston S. Churchill, ed. Martin Gilbert, vol. 5, companion part 2, 1264. 17 Powers, “Parliamentary Commentary,”179. 12 13 Setting the Record Straight 58 be imposed before Britain could be assured of the support of the League of Nations was the question. This is what Churchill opposed. He did not want to create the impression that Britain was “coming forward as a sort of bell-wether or fugleman to gather and lead opinion in Europe against Italy’s Abyssinian designs”.18 Churchill also suggested that “[it was] not strong enough to be the law-giver and spokesman of the world.”19 This was Churchill’s view throughout the entire Abyssinian crisis: the power and confidence of the League of Nations, in the face of German aggression, outweighed Italy’s estrangement. In a newspaper article in the spring of 1936, he wrote, Europe alone is overwhelmingly strong compared to any single member of its family. But there must be Concert and Design guided by far-sighted unselfishness and sustained by inexorable resolve. This is no task for France; no task for Britain; . . . no task for small Powers nor for great; it is a task for all.20 If sanctions against Italy were to be undertaken, it should be by the entire League, not Britain alone.21 Churchill had a thin line to walk. He was certainly not in favour of giving Mussolini a free hand in Abyssinia, but at the same time, he wanted to be sure that with every step the British took, the French were on board. Even though Churchill did not agree with it, he sympathized with their hesitation. Many of the British, such as Sir Robert Vansittart, took the French line and placed great emphasis on the importance of the Stresa Front. They “wished to have Britain and France organized at their strongest to face this major danger [of the German threat], with Italy in the rear a friend and not a foe.”22 Churchill felt that the British government was responsible for French reluctance: Britain’s lack of resolve was not reassuring to the French. In light of the growing strength of Churchill, Speech, Parliamentary Debates, 11 July 1935, Commons, 5th ser., vol. 305(1934-1935): col. 545. 19 Churchill, Speech, col. 545. 20 Winston S. Churchill, “Stop it Now!: 3 April 1936,” in Step by Step (London: T. Butterworth Ltd, 1939), 19. 21 Winston S. Churchill, The Gathering Storm (London: Houghton Mifflin, 1948),166-7. 22 Gilbert, Winston S. Churchill, v. 5, 694. (my emphasis) 18 Hitler’s power and German armaments, the French could hardly be expected to take any action before they were assured of British support. Churchill claimed that “it was on the basis of German rearmament and French apprehension that the Italo-Abyssinian war and the dispute between Italy and the League of Nations could alone be considered.”23 In a conversation with Hoare and Anthony Eden, Baldwin’s Foreign Secretary, Churchill was asked, “Should we . . . use every possible pressure with the French to bring them up to the application of sanctions?”24 His answer was that the government needed to be sensitive to the fragile position in which the French found themselves, and that they must be careful not to make “impossible requests” to the French foreign minister, Pierre Laval. Not only did Churchill want all reaction to Mussolini’s belligerence to be a joint effort, he also wanted to be sure that the British were not taking too prominent a role. Indeed, the League Covenant suggests that members of the League should be mutually supportive of one another economically and militarily in order to “minimise the loss and inconvenience resulting from the above measures.”25 He did not want to allow Mussolini to “speak of ‘fifty nations led by one,’”26 and take measures accordingly, because of the “shocking plight” in the condition of the British defences, wrought by “past neglect.”27 Churchill had constantly advocated British rearmament since the beginning of the decade, but disarmament conferences and arms limitation had seriously impaired Britain’s ability to answer all of the threats to its own interests and that of the League. This also made the British too weak to commit and unwilling to take the lead in containing Italy. The League of Nations was of great importance to Churchill and others who argued in favour of defending Abyssinia. Certainly Churchill, Speech, Parliamentary Debates, 24 October 1935, vol. 306, cols. 360-61. Sir Samuel Hoare: Record of a Conversation between Sir Samuel Hoare, Anthony Eden and Winston Churchill', 21 August 1935, in Winston S. Churchill, ed. Martin Gilbert, vol. 5, companion part 2, 1239-40. 25 “Article 16,” The Covenant of the League of Nations, in The Avalon Project of Yale Law School, <http://www.yale.edu/lawweb/avalon/leagcov.htm#art16>, 1924, posted in 1996. 26 Churchill to Lord Cranborne, 22 April 1936, in Winston S. Churchill, ed. Martin Gilbert, vol. 5, companion part 3, 111. 27 Churchill to Lord Cranborne, 8 April 1936 in Winston S. Churchill, ed. Martin Gilbert, vol. 5, companion part 3, 93. 23 24 Setting the Record Straight 60 few would have wanted to risk war in the Mediterranean over the independence of Abyssinia alone. Powers argues that Churchill felt that the real grievance was Abyssinia’s admission to the League in the first place and that they should by no means risk war for the barbarous state.28 This estimation is largely correct. The British had opposed the admission of Abyssinia into the League, and it was, ironically, the Italians who had pushed for it. It is also true that under normal circumstances, Churchill probably would not want Britain to go to war in defence of a “barbarous state,” but international events determined that the circumstances were all but normal. As MP Kinsley Griffith said in his defence of sanctions, it was the reputation of the League that was at stake.29 The threat from Germany dominated Churchill’s thoughts since Hitler came to power in 1933. This was reflected in all of Churchill policies. He agreed with the British consensus that the treaty of Versailles was unjust, and felt that the best thing for Europe was a strong and free Germany that could act as a barrier to the spread of communism.30 He, therefore, did not oppose a moderate rearmament program in Germany.31 What he did object to was the prospect of a rearmed Germany with Hitler at the helm and before any of its other grievances was dealt with: as surely as Germany acquires full military equality with her neighbours while her own grievances are still unredressed and while she is in the temper which we have unhappily seen, so surely should we see ourselves within a measurable distance of the renewal of general European war.32 It was the timing and circumstances to which Churchill objected. Those who wanted to yield to Mussolini had strong reason to do so. Those who subscribed to the appeasement policy realized, along with everyone else, that Hitler was going to demand the reversal of the Versailles treaty. They also predicted that images of Powers, “Parliamentary Commentary,” 180. Churchill, Speech, Parliamentary Debates, 11 July 1935, vol. 305, col. 612. 30 Winston S. Churchill, “24 October 1935” in Arms and the Covenant Speeches (London: G. G. Harrap, 1938), 270. 31 Churchill, House of Commons Speech, 13 April 1933, Complete Speeches, vol. 5, 5262. 32 Churchill, The Gathering Storm, 76. 28 29 Verdun and the Somme would be too vivid for the French to easily agree to the revival of Germany as a great nation. They too were looking at the growing army and mounting number of aircraft next door. Chamberlain was looking ahead to such a time that the British might be asking the French to be lenient toward Germany. They understood that if they reacted harshly toward Mussolini, the French would be much less willing to conciliate to German demands.33 The peril facing France was clearly more vital than anything with which the Italians could threaten the British, and memories of the First World War were there to prove it. Also, Baldwin and his supporters knew that the Mediterranean Sea was the “key to Imperial Defence in the Far East,” and a key site for naval bases in order to safeguard British interests in the area.34 They were concerned that if they aggravated Mussolini, he may seize these strategic positions. The perception of the state of public opinion also played an important role in the considerations of those who resisted challenging Mussolini. The Peace Ballot was quoted by the pacific politicians to argue that the country did not wish to go to war. The ballot indicated that 58 per cent of British public were in favour of military sanctions against an unrepentant aggressor, and 90 per cent approved of economic sanctions as a means of preventing war.35 At the same time, however, the majority did not support a vast rearmament plan, which of course was a prerequisite for any meaningful military sanctions. Most importantly, many in Britain and France felt that it would be strategically advantageous to keep Italy friendly, and so were reluctant to antagonize Mussolini. Keeping the two dictators apart was critical in order to coerce Hitler into maintaining the peace. For this reason, Hankey, and others, thought that “the British should grasp the hand held out by Signor Mussolini, however repugnant it might be.”36 In his description of Neville Chamberlain’s perspective, Keith Feiling says, “for the peace of W. Mommsen and L. Kettenacker, The Fascist Challenge, 25. Ibid., 371. 35 North Ayershire Council, “Public Opinion,” Higher History Supported Study Project: Appeasement and the Road to War <http://www.ers.northayrshire.gov.uk/History/Publicopinion.htm>, 27 January 2004. 36 Stephen Roskill, Hankey: Man of Secrets (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1974), vol. 3, 240. 33 34 Setting the Record Straight 62 Europe the danger was Germany and nothing could be worse then the elimination of Italy from the anti-German camp.”37 Churchill could think of something that was worse. He considered that there could not have been a more complete and perfect catalogue of how not to do it than has been presented by the events which have taken place . . . It seems . . . as if there were 4 or 5 different policies at work inside the Cabinet, and that now one and now the other gain ascendancy according to the incidents of the hour of the events of the day bring these or those considerations for our attention.38 This he said in the summer of 1935. Churchill summarized these policies as he later perceived them: “the Prime Minister (Baldwin) had declared that Sanctions meant war; secondly he was resolved there must be no war; and thirdly he decided upon Sanctions.”39 Little did he know at the time that the sanctions his colleagues did pursue would be as ambiguous and as much a ‘fiasco’ as they were. The pro-sanction faction did not disregard any of these issues: in fact, Churchill and Austen Chamberlain had the same reasons for advocating a strong reaction to Mussolini as the ‘appeasers’ did for hesitating. Churchill did not want to stand in Mussolini’s way for the sake of protecting trivial British interests in the North African region. His reason was to maintain the strength of collective security in order to prevent having to ask the French to be lenient toward German demands. To impede Mussolini would keep Britain and France individually, and collectively, strong enough to obstruct Hitler. As far as the Peace Ballot was concerned, Churchill did not have much regard for public opinion; he pursued the policies that he thought would be in the best interest of the nation. He did not believe that the public had been fully informed of the nature of the threat, or that they would necessarily grasp the gravity of the Keith Feiling, The Life of Neville Chamberlain (London: MacMillan and Co. Ltd., 1946), 265. 38 Churchill, Speech, 11 July 1935, Parliamentary Debates, vol. 305, col. 548. 39 Churchill, Gathering Storm, 133. 37 situation if they had.40 At the same time, he contended that, regardless of what they knew or understood about the nature of the situation, the public had voted in favour of standing up to Italian hostility. He interpreted it, persuasively, as an indication that the public was “willing, and indeed resolved to go to war in a righteous cause provided that all necessary action was taken under the auspices of the League of Nations.”41 Churchill recognized the significance of Italy’s loyalty in the context of a hostile Germany as well as anyone. Rather than wooing him, however, Churchill thought it likely that in the face of extremely oppressive economic and financial privation, the Italian people might depose Mussolini, making way for a government more favourable to the West. Failing that, if the sanctions were as crippling as Churchill thought they should be, Italy’s war machine would be utterly impaired, and the aid it could provide to Hitler and his designs would be negligible. The main selling point for Churchill was the maintenance of the power of the League of Nations. If the coalition of “more than 50 states” could be held intact, which side Italy took would not matter. This was why it was so crucial that if sanctions were imposed on Italy, it was under the principle of collective security: “There is safety in numbers,” he said, “and I believe also that there may be peace in numbers.”42 If the British did this alone or even appeared to be playing too prominent a role in pressuring other League members the effect would be disastrous. This would do nothing for the League, Britain would be at war with Italy if Mussolini meant what he said, and the Italians would be ostracized and would likely join Hitler. As Churchill said, the British were not strong enough to resist him militarily while maintaining home security against the German and Japanese threats. Also, if the British alone were to impose sanctions, they would be ineffective, as other nations could continue to provide Italy with what it needed. In hindsight, he was proven right. When all was said and done, in the spring of 1936, and the nature of the imposed sanctions was made public, Winston Churchill, “Recollections,” 27 June 1935, in Winston S. Churchill, ed. Martin Gilbert, vol. 5, companion part 2, 1202. 41 Churchill, “Recollections,” 1202. 42 Churchill, Speech, 6 April 1936, Complete Speeches, vol. 6, 5728. 40 Setting the Record Straight 64 [he] spoke critically of sanctions; they had failed to save Abyssinia, now being destroyed and subjugated; they had roused the antagonism of Italy, so that in future years Britain would need to maintain larger forces throughout the Mediterranean; and they had involved costly naval expenditure.43 Collective security was the only way to take action and ensure that it would work, and would not be debilitating to one nation more than any other. Mussolini explicitly stated that he did not care if the League took measures in protest against his actions, but if these measures were such that they impeded his plans, it would have meant war. Prime Minister Stanley Baldwin, Chamberlain and others had two goals: not to estrange Mussolini from the “anti-German camp,” and to maintain the power of the League of Nations. This was expressed by Sir John Simon in a letter to the King: Italy is at present occupied with the Abyssinian question, as to which Sir John greatly fears that a serious outcome is probable; but this must be handled in a way which will not affect adversely Anglo-Italian relations.44 These two concerns were shown to be mutually exclusive. The solution for the Conservatives was to put an injunction on Italian imports that would appear to be severe, but would not in fact weaken Mussolini’s advance; in other words, the “sanctions conformed docilely to the limitations prescribed by the Aggressor.”45 The Italians needed aluminium, and this was strictly prohibited. However, this was one of the few metals that Italy could produce on its own in quantities that exceeded domestic demand. Iron ore was interdicted, but was not needed; especially since finished steel was not included in the banned items. Oil was Martin Gilbert, Winston S. Churchill (London: Heinemann, 1976), 720. R. A. C. Parker, “Great Britain, France, and the Ethiopian Crisis 1935-1936,” The English Historical Review 1974 89(351): 296. 45 Churchill, Step by Step, 42. 43 44 the main point of contention. It was essential to the Italian war effort, yet imports of it were by no means reduced.46 When the League of Nations finally did impose sanctions on Italy for the invasion of Abyssinia, Churchill was delighted. He expressed exultantly in the House on 24 October 1935 that Mussolini had responded “remarkably” well to the sanctions imposed on him for his aggression was indicative of the rule of international law.47 Its power had been saved. This idea has been used to support the hypothesis that Churchill’s position on the appeasement of Italy was “obscure.” It appears from this statement alone that he fully supported the government in these “halfmeasures.”48 This is based on the false assumption that Churchill knew the true nature of the so-called ‘sanctions.’ One must remember, however, that at this time, he was not included in the Cabinet; so although he was free to express his concerns and recommendations to ministers, he was told very little in return. On 24 October, he declared, “No one has suggested that we could do more than we have done.”49 This is clearly inconsistent with everything he had said before and after, and by early 1936, months after the general election, he was irate that they had not in fact done all that they could.50 Churchill claimed that it was then that he learned the half-hearted spirit of the ‘sanctions.’51 In February, he took up the navy’s side in advocating sanctions “in respect of oil.”52 Powers claims that Churchill meant that they should not risk war by oil sanctions, but the evidence is clearly not on his side. As early as the fall of 1935, Churchill declared, “If asked ‘How far will you go in support of the Covenant of the League of Nations?’ I shall say we ought to go the whole way with the whole lot.”53 This was how Churchill approached every problem: he abhorred “halfmeasures.” Had decision-making power been his, he “would either Ibid. Churchill, Arms and Covenant, 274. 48 Churchill, The Gathering Storm, 176. 49 Churchill, Arms and the Covenant, 277. 50 Churchill, “Why Sanctions Failed,” 26 June 1936, Step by Step, 43. 51 Churchill, The Gathering Storm, 176. 52 Churchill, Parliamentary Debates, Commons, 5th ser., vol. 309 (1936-1937): col. 189. 53 Churchill, Arms and the Covenant, 275. 46 47 Setting the Record Straight 66 have gone much further at the very beginning, or nothing like so far.”54 Pre-war Conservative leaders had a propensity for compromising the worst of both worlds. The war itself was fought on the worse possible terms because, in his attempt to prevent it, Chamberlain conceded territories of great advantage to Hitler, strengthening his strategic position. Similarly, in his attempt to keep Mussolini “in the anti-German camp,” he went just far enough in opposing aggression to both defeat the League of Nations and ensure that Mussolini would abandon the Allied cause. In Churchill’s words: We have managed to secure the disadvantages of all the courses without the advantages of any. We have pressed France into a course of action which did not go far enough to help the Abyssinians, but went far enough to sever her from Italy, with the result that the occasion was given to Herr Hitler to tear up treaties and reoccupy the Rhineland.55 In the first case, the war was still fought, only against a much stronger and more expanded Germany. In the second, Italy was still lost only along with it the respect of the British government, domestically and internationally, and the force of the League was destroyed. In the early summer of 1936, the crisis was over, Mussolini had declared the King of Italy the Emperor of Abyssinia, and the members of the League had shown that they would not act to stop him. “The League has made its first essay in action,” Churchill remarked, “Let us hope that next time, it will either go in with overwhelming force, or stand clear.”56 Churchill felt that, at every turn, the pre-war governments had backed Britain and its Allies into a corner. MacDonald and Baldwin had failed to maintain the arms needed to meet all of the threats to Britain and its overseas interests. Meanwhile, Germany was allowed to become a major military power. Baldwin then proceeded to destroy the only means by which the major European nations could work together under the principle of collective Churchill to Lord Cranborne, Martin Gilbert, vol. 5 companion pt. 3, 8 April 1936, 92. 55 Churchill, Speech, 1 April 1936, Complete Speeches, vol. 6, 5724. 56 Churchill, Step by Step, 44. 54 security. In the process, he managed also to estrange a potential ally who, if pushed into the arms of Hitler could also present a vital threat. Chamberlain then went on to guarantee that the war against Germany would be fought on the most unfavourable terms, with not only the well-trained German army and other expanded forces, but also against the armies of those nations the Prime Minister had ‘given’ him. These leaders, in their hesitation, had left Great Britain with one choice, “the old grim choice our forbears had to face, namely, whether we shall prepare to defend our rights, our liberties, and indeed our lives.”57 In order to seek out “obscurity” in Churchill’s opposition to the policy of appeasement, one must take individual actions and statements out of their context. Churchill never wavered in his opposition to the idea of giving in to dictators out of apparent weakness. Although one may argue that he may not have been as committed to the autonomy of small, particularly “barbarous” states, Churchill always advocated keeping Britain and its allies, and the ties between them, strong enough to protect the vital security of his country. Recognizing the very real threat from Germany, whereas others reacted with a panicked willingness to turn a blind eye to all potential threats, Churchill believed that the only way to be victorious was to meet all challenges head-on, and confront all those who stood in his, or Great Britain’s way. 57 Churchill broadcast speech of 16 November 1934, Complete Speeches, Vol. 5, 5435. Brinksmanship and Backfire: Nasser and the Six-Day War NOAH B. SHACK At 7:10 AM on 5 June 1967, the Israeli Air Force began its historic attack on Egyptian air bases, marking the beginning of a war that lasted just six days but resulted in a dramatic Arab defeat and the reshaping of the modern Middle East. There exist a wide variety of alternative, often contradictory, narratives regarding the causes of this war, which all the parties involved seemingly wished to avoid. On the occasion of the twenty-fifth anniversary of the June 1967 Arab-Israeli war, a conference was held to discuss the various perceptions and misconceptions about the origins of the conflict. At the conclusion of this conference, which featured panels of experts from the various states involved, one crucial question remained without a satisfactory answer: what made Egyptian president Gamal Abd al-Nasser act as he did?1 There has been much debate regarding this question, with many authors concluding that Nasser behaved in an irrational and reckless manner. However, on close examination of the domestic, regional, and Cold War realities facing the Egyptian President, the opposite appears true. This paper will argue that Nasser in fact acted rationally, did not seek war, and that it was his misperceptions regarding the other actors involved that ultimately created the conditions for the June war of 1967. The confrontation brewing between Syria and Israel set the stage for the crisis. The Syrian government had been supporting guerrilla raids on Israeli territory, and steady escalation of hostilities served to increase tensions. It appeared that a large-scale military confrontation between the two countries was not far off, as “Israel seemed increasingly preoccupied with the problems outstanding between herself and Syria”.2 There had been multiple Soviet warnings in 1966 and early 1967 of Israeli troops amassing along Richard B. Parker, “Conclusions,” in The Six Day War: A Retrospective, ed. Richard B. Parker (Gainesville, Florida: University Press of Florida, 1996), 289. 2 Robert Burrowes and Douglas Muzzio,“The Road to the Six Day War: Towards an Enumerative History of Four Arab States and Israel, 1965-67,” The Journal of Conflict Resolution: Research Perspectives on the Arab-Israeli Conflict: A Symposium 16 (1972): 216. 1 Brinksmanship & Backfire 70 the Syrian border, all of which were vehemently refuted by Israel.3 As late as 8 May 1967, reports concerning Israeli mobilisations in the north were being related to Nasser from Syrian and Lebanese sources.4 However, “not a great deal of credence had been attached to the Syrian reports”,5 and as a result Nasser remained on the sidelines, refusing to involve Egypt (also known as the United Arab Republic, or UAR) in the conflict. He rejected proposals from his own top military officials urging him to reoccupy Sinai, evict the UNEF peacekeeping force that was deployed there, and impose a blockade on the Straits of Tiran in order to “deny Israel manoeuvrability in attacking either Jordan or Syria”.6 However, a massive shift must have occurred in Nasser’s attitude, as these are precisely the actions he decided to undertake on 13 May 1967. Nasser perceived the Israeli threat to be increasingly credible beginning 11 May 1967, when Israeli General Yitzhak Rabin allegedly stated: “the moment is coming when we will march on Damascus”.7 Whether Rabin actually said this is highly contested, but the truth in this matter is hardly significant for the purposes of this study. What is important is that Nasser believed this statement to have been made by Israel, and accepted it as an authentic threat. Therefore, when the Soviets reported yet another massive Israeli troop mobilisation along the Syrian border, Nasser was more inclined to believe them. His proclivity was further bolstered by the claims of his chief military commander, General ‘Amer, that he had seen aerial reconnaissance photographs that confirmed the troop build up.8 The conspicuous absence of heavy military equipment in Israel’s Independence Day parade attributed further significance to the Soviet warnings. According to Eric Rouleau, Le Monde’s Cairo correspondent at the time, Nasser believed that an Israeli attack was imminent, and would likely take place by 17 May.9 As a result, on 14 May 1967, Egyptian forces were redeployed in Sinai, ending the era of post-1956 demilitarisation. Michael B. Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967 and the Making of the Modern Middle East (New York: Ballantine Books, 2003), 43. 4 Hisham Sharabi, “Prelude to War,” in The Arab-Israeli Confrontation of June 1967: An Arab Perspective (Evanston: Northwestern University Press, 1970), 49. 5 Mohamed Heikal, The Sphinx and the Commissar: The Rise and Fall of Soviet Influence in the Middle East (New York: Harper & Row, 1978), 174. 6 Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967, 39. 7 Carl L. Brown, “Origins of the Crisis,” in The Six-Day War: A Retrospective, 30.b 8 Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967, 55. 9 Sharabi, “Prelude to War,” 50. 3 The shift in Nasser’s position from passivity to activity in the 1967 Arab-Israeli conflict was motivated by a number of factors. The Soviet Union played an influential role in Nasser’s decision to mobilise his forces, as it was their prognostication of impending Israeli aggression that served as a catalyst for Egyptian involvement. The Soviets were determined to protect the Syrian government—and later the Nasser regime in Egypt—from a complete military defeat that would not only be another humiliation for Soviet arms and credibility as an ally, but might lead to the collapse of their major Arab allies; Soviet expulsion from Egypt, Syria, and perhaps elsewhere in the Middle East; and the unilateral domination of the area by the United States.10 Despite the false nature of their reports regarding Israeli troop movements, the Soviets were convinced that armed conflagration was only a matter of time. For this reason they set out to involve Egypt in the emerging crisis, hoping that the movement of Egyptian troops into the Sinai would deter any potential Israeli actions against Syria.11 Nasser was in agreement with this strategy of deterrence, as he was also concerned about the toppling of Soviet aligned states in the Middle East. Nasser feared that “the toppling of the Ba’th could generate the fall, dominostyle, of ‘progressive’ regimes throughout the region – beginning in Iraq and Yemen and ending possibly in Egypt itself… The entire Eastern front could collapse”.12 However, it was not Soviet influence or the imperilment of Syria alone that motivated Nasser to increase Egyptian involvement in the conflict with Israel. The enumerative historical account provided by Robert Burrowes and Douglas Muzzio displaces the presumption that the increased likelihood of Israeli attack was the most crucial motivating factor for Nasser. Enumerative analysis of the events leading up to the Six-Day War asserts that the Syrian fears of Israeli invasion and reprisal were justified, as Syrian-Israeli Jerome Slater, “The Superpowers and an Arab-Israeli Political Settlement: The Cold War Years,” Political Science Quarterly 105 (1990-1991): 566. 11 Ibid., 566. 12 Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967, 57. 10 Brinksmanship & Backfire 72 interaction was characterized by escalation in the period between November 1966 and April 1967, with Israel as the source more than the target of conflict with Syria during this time.13 In comparison, within the UAR-Israeli relationship “conflict for a long period had been deescalating to near extinction”.14 The question that remains is how the escalatory relationship between Israel and Syria led to conflict between Israel and the UAR. Deterrence alone cannot account for the solution, as Nasser did not demonstrate his commitment to this strategy in the case of the at least equal likelihood of a strike against Syria by Israel in early November 1966.15 Upon final analysis, “[t]here seems to have been no new input into the Arab-Israeli domain in early 1967 which rendered it imperative that Nasser restrain Israel from her likely course of action against Syria”.16 The solution to this puzzle can only be pieced together with a closer examination of the Inter-Arab sphere, which was characterised by a great deal of conflict and disunity. By the end of 1966, Jordan and Saudi Arabia were in a virtual alliance against the UAR. The nature and intensity of their diplomatic offensive presents an interesting link between the inter-Arab domain and Nasser’s decision to change his policy regarding Israel.17 Relations had deteriorated between Nasser and his neighbours to such an extent that in a speech delivered in February 1967 Nasser called King Hussein of Jordan the “whore (‘ahir) of Jordan, a pun on the Arabic word for king (‘ahil)”.18 Thus, even more important to Nasser’s decision-making than Cold War dynamics and deterrence strategies were concerns related to inter-Arab relations and his own domestic political standing. Nasser had been sitting on the sidelines of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and as such had drawn a great deal of criticism at home and from neighbouring Arab states. The Syrians accused Nasser of going soft on Israel, while Jordanian Prime Minister Wasfi al-Tall accused him of hiding “behind UNEF skirts”.19 Burrowes and Muzzio conclude that being “on the receiving end of a rather Burrowes and Muzzio, “The Road to the Six Day War,” 216. Ibid., 225. 15 Ibid. 16 Ibid. 17 Ibid. 18 Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967, 37. 19 Ibid., 19. 13 14 brilliant campaign to discredit him, Nasser had every reason to conclude that the maintenance of his position of leadership in the Arab world required that he either deter or respond with force to any new Israeli reprisal against Syria”.20 Nasser’s prestige and his position as a strong regional leader were suffering, and the situation continued to grow worse with each display of passivity. To truly understand the predicament facing Nasser in terms of his status within the Arab world, one must examine this factor in light of the ideology of pan-Arabism and the Free Officers movement through which he ascended to power in Egypt. Governing on a platform of pan-Arab nationalism, the ruler must work, or rather appear to the populace to be working, to achieve the goals of that value system; and he needs to be seen as successful in achieving those goals, if he is not, then his survival in power cannot be guaranteed.21 In this position, Nasser was obliged to pursue certain goals in line with the popular slogans he represented, namely “the pursuit of Arab unity, expulsion of foreign influence, the destruction of Israel, strength, progress and social justice”.22 By May 1967 it was overwhelmingly clear that Nasser had not succeeded in securing any of these goals. Under his leadership the Egyptian economy fell into a state of acute crisis, the military was severely weakened by budget cuts and the quagmire of a war being waged in Yemen, a foreign presence of UN peacekeepers were stationed on Egyptian soil in Sinai, infighting was rampant among the Arab states, and Israel was perceived to be on the brink of invading Syria. Nasser’s situation was certainly untenable, and foreign diplomats began writing of the regime’s downfall, or the possibility “in which the military would try to restore Egypt’s pride by plunging the region into war”.23 Nasser was unsure whether his rule could survive another failure to come to Syria’s defence in the common Arab Burrowes and Muzzio, “The Road to the Six Day War,” 226. Barry Rubin, “Pan-Arab Nationalism: The Ideological Dream as a Compelling Force,” Journal of Contemporary History: the Impact of Western Nationalisms: Essays Dedicated to Walter Z. Laqueur on the Occasion of His 70th Birthday 26 (1991): 540. 22 Rubin, “Pan-Arab Nationalism,” 540. 23 Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967, 37. 20 21 Brinksmanship & Backfire 74 cause against Israel.24 Although he did not seek war, Nasser mobilised his army in an attempt to rejuvenate an Egyptian sense of pride, not for irrational romantic or idealistic reasons, but rather to ensure the survival of his own position of power both regionally and domestically. While Egyptian troops were being deployed to Sinai, General Fawzi was sent to Damascus to gather information regarding the alleged Israeli troop deployment along the border and to assure the Syrians of the Egyptian resolve “to destroy Israeli’s air force and occupy its territory”.25 However, this promise was little more than words, and the Egyptian mobilisation little more than a show. As Mohamed Heikal recounts, “Egypt’s moves were meant to be interpreted as a strong warning, not as a declaration of war”.26 In the afternoon of 14 June, as thousands of soldiers paraded through the centre of Cairo in a theatrical display, a “near festive mood was generated by blatant broadcasts reporting every move of Egyptian troops in Sinai”.27 Had Egypt actually been planning an attack, they would have proceeded towards the Israeli border with more stealth and certainly less pomp. This was a public relations display on the one hand and a symbolic gesture of deterrence on the other, with no ambition for war. In fact, the troops were being deployed without orders, being told to go to Sinai, but not what to do upon arrival.28 There was no objective other than a symbolic show of force, demonstrating that despite 50,000 of the army’s finest fighters bogged down in Yemen, the Egyptian army still posed a formidable threat. In reality the opposite was true, and all parties involved knew it. With 50,000 of its best troops in Yemen, Egypt was in no way prepared to engage Israel in combat. With his army visibly deterring the Israelis and restoring Egyptian pride, Nasser sought to win the propaganda war without having to fire a single shot,29 presuming “that if Egypt signalled its intention to support its ally, Israel would probably prefer to abstain from attacking Syria than risk confrontation”.30 Ibid., 57. Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967, 57. 26 Mohamed Heikal, Secret Channels: the Inside Story of Arab-Israeli Peace Negotiations (London: HarperCollins Publishers, 1996), 126. 27 Sharabi, “Prelude to War,” 52. 28 Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967, 59. 29 Ibid., 59. 30 Ben D Mor, “Nasser’s Decision-Making in the 1967 Middle East Crisis: A Rational-Choice Explanation” Journal of Peace Research 28 (1991), 365. 24 25 Just as Nasser had calculated, no strong response followed the Egyptian mobilisation from either the United States or Israel. Both parties assumed that Nasser was averse to bloodshed and was merely displaying a show of force to fulfil his role as the leader of the Arab world. The Israeli Prime Minister at the time, Levi Eshkol, believed that at the very worst this was a repeat of the behaviour displayed by Nasser when he remilitarised Sinai in 1960, a situation that did not lead to war. General Yitzhak Rabin set out to devise a reaction strategy, and saw two possibilities before him: Had we failed to act—giving the Egyptians the impression that we were either unaware of their moves or complacent about them—we might be inviting attack on grounds of vulnerability… On the other hand, an overreaction on our part might nourish the Arabs’ fears that we had aggressive intentions and thus provoke a totally unwanted war.31 Given the assessment of a low probability of Egyptian aggression at this point, Eshkol opted for the former option, and refused to mobilise the reserves. But as the number of Egyptian troops in Sinai grew, and the UN peacekeeping forces were eventually evicted, the Israeli leadership began to grow concerned. Their decision not to take decisive action to deter Egyptian troop build up would prove to be a mistake. Rather than pursue a reckless path toward war fuelled by nationalist rhetoric and visions of glory, Nasser’s actions in the crisis of 1967 can be explained as being based on strategic rationality. As Ben D. Mor explains: The essence of strategic rationality is that, in choosing a maximizing action, actors take into account the alternatives, preferences, and possible strategy choices of other relevant actors. The relevance of other actors derives from the fact that in an interdependent environment, outcomes are the result of the interaction of individual choices.32 31 32 Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967, 62. Mor, “Nasser’s Decision-Making,” 364. Brinksmanship & Backfire 76 In calculating his actions in Sinai in 1967, Nasser’s main consideration was Israeli response. As Meir Amit, head of the Mossad in 1967 recounts: “When I’m Nasser, and I’m making one move, it depends what the response is on the other side, because wherever you get to a cross-point, you have two or three options and then you act accordingly”.33 Nasser sought to engage Israel, in order to strengthen his position, and to alter the status quo in his favour, but was loath to go to war. Thus each of Nasser’s actions was undertaken in light of a likely Israeli reaction, and the escalation of tensions in May and June 1967 followed this path. Given that Israel was the status quo power in the region, Nasser perceived Israel “to prefer some level of escalation along the Egyptian-Israeli border to war between the two countries”.34 This presumption that Israel wished to avoid war was the fundamental element underlying Nasser’s strategy. Granted, after a certain level of escalation, this prerogative could change and war would become a preferable option for Israel, but at this point “Nasser could choose to face the risk inherent in a gamble or opt out (i.e. stabilise or end the crisis), either by abstaining from further escalation or by de-escalating”.35 For each provocative action taken to which Israel failed to respond, Nasser concluded logically that he would “get yet another chance to stabilize the crisis by de-escalating” at the next juncture. 36 Up to this point, Israel’s dealings with its hostile Arab neighbours had followed a specific pattern of action, a doctrine of retaliation, wherein military reprisals were preceded by warnings from political or military leaders.37 Israel felt that if “harassment were allowed to continue unanswered, that it would gradually erode their strategic credibility and viability”.38 In the case of Nasser’s mobilisation of forces in Sinai, the Israelis strayed from their normal pattern of Arab relations, failing to provide deterrence for continued or escalatory harassment by Nasser. It was largely this lack of deterrence that prompted Nasser, upon learning that the Bernard Reich, “The Israeli Response,” in The Six-Day War: A Retrospective ed. Richard B. Parker (Gainesville, Florida: University Press of Florida, 1996): 137. 34 Mor, “Nasser’s Decision-Making,” 366. 35 Ibid. 36 Ibid., 369. 37 Brown, “Origins of the Crisis,” 24-25. 38 Ibid., 24. 33 allegations of Israeli troop deployments along the Syrian border were in fact erroneous, to continue his militarization of Sinai. As far as Nasser was concerned, “Egypt could remilitarize Sinai, and reap the credit for it, without actually risking a war”.39 Based on the established pattern of Israeli reaction, Nasser could rely on the verbal warning as the first act of deterrence and react accordingly without ever having to engage the Israelis in battle. The continuing build up would serve to dramatically enhance Nasser’s status, and no measure of Israeli deterrence he had nothing to lose. After evicting the UNEF from Sinai, Nasser announced on 22 May that Israeli ships would no longer be permitted safe passage through the straits of Tiran—an action the Israelis had previously stated would be considered an act of war. Eight days had passed without significant deterrence from the Israelis and without a word reaching Nasser from Washington regarding the crisis. As a result, Nasser judged that he had room to manoeuvre without getting too close to the brink.40 As Israel had not taken immediate action in September 1955 when Egypt had closed the straits, there was no reason to believe that their reaction in 1967, with the Egyptian army poised on their borders, would be any different.41 Two days following his announcement of the blockade, Nasser began listing his demands and opening the door for negotiations. His aggressive actions in the straits were not demonstrating a will to wage war, but rather, were aimed at strengthening his position in the diplomatic negotiations that he was certain would ensue. Neither Israel nor the United States had attempted to restrain him thus far and, in his estimation, would not resort to war without first pursuing diplomatic means. At this juncture, “Nasser had achieved a diplomatic victory and was ready to negotiate a political settlement”.42 As late as one day prior to the eventual Israeli offensive, United States Special Envoy to Cairo, Charles Yost, noted “there does not seem to have been any intention in Cairo to initiate a war”,43 an assessment confirmed by Nasser on 2 June in a conversation with a British MP, in which Nasser stated that if the Israelis do not attack “we will leave them Oren, Six Days of War: June 1967, 65. Sharabi, “Prelude to War,” 53. 41 Mor, “Nasser’s Decision-Making,” 371. 42 Sharabi, “Prelude to War,” 54. 43 Ibid. 39 40 Brinksmanship & Backfire 78 alone. We have no intention of attacking Israel”.44 Nasser did not seek armed confrontation in blockading the straits of Tiran. Rather, he sought to further strengthen his position in any future diplomatic negotiations that would follow. Nasser’s conviction that his actions would not provoke a military response from Israel was further reinforced by UN Secretary General U Thant’s visit to Cairo on 23 May. Thant proposed a moratorium on activity in the straits of Tiran to circumvent confrontation, which was backed by both the United States and the Soviet Union. In a further communication, received by Nasser on 29 May, Thant led the Egyptian president to believe that no offensive action was going to be undertaken by Israel before 14 June “to allow the [Security] Council to deal with the underlying causes of the present crisis, and to seek solutions”.45 Nasser believed that this proposal had superpower backing and thus would be imposed on Israel by the United States given the patron-client relationship that existed between those two countries. This gave Nasser the confidence he needed to pursue yet another escalatory act, signing an alliance with King Hussein of Jordan on 30 May. The failure of this further escalatory action to trigger a shift in Israeli policy, and the continuing restraint displayed by Israel further reinforced Nasser’s conviction that he would still be afforded a chance to de-escalate. When the Israeli Air Force mobilized on 5 June, Nasser was under the impression that they were being restrained by the United States and the United Nations and would not attack, as “both superpowers were actively trying to prevent war”.46 When Israel struck, and the Egyptian Air Force was destroyed before they could scramble a response, Nasser’s miscalculations and misperceptions were made all too clear. Throughout the crisis of 1967, Israeli response, and the lack thereof, was characterised by restraint for fear of provoking Nasser to war, as elucidated in Rabin’s comment cited earlier. This policy of cautious restraint was one vehemently advocated by the United States, who wanted to avoid confrontation with the Soviet Union in the Middle East as they already had their hands full in Vietnam. Ephraim Evron, counsellor at the Israeli Embassy in Washington, D.C. during the crisis in 1967 recounts: Ibid., 55. Heikal, Secret Channel, 128. 46 Ibid. 44 45 What dominated U.S. activity was restraint on Israel—don’t do this, don’t do that, don’t send the ships through the strait, don’t test the blockade, don’t provoke Nasser. That was the view that prevailed at the same time, and after all, you would say, how foolish could you be, just accepting that and letting things deteriorate.47 As American defence secretary Robert McNamara recalls, “the Israelis had intended to strike out against Nasser on 23 May, but had been persuaded not to do so by the American ambassador, Waldorf Barbour”.48 Barbour had threatened that any such action would result in the withdrawal of Western support, and therefore Israel was obliged to allow Nasser to enforce his blockade despite their declaration of this being an act of war: Israeli Foreign Minister Abba Eban argued that Israel could not passively accept these Egyptian moves, lest Israel’s deterrent power and international credibility be destroyed. However, he noted the importance of taking international repercussions into account, especially U.S. desires to defuse the crisis and avoid war. Going to war against the diplomatic tide might mean winning the war militarily but losing the victory politically.49 Therefore, in lieu of American policy demands, Levi Eshkol asserted: “the IDF will not attack before the political options have been exhausted”.50 As far as the Israelis were concerned, their restraint in the face of Nasser’s aggression and submission to American demands was conditional upon the United States living up to commitments made in 1957 to keep the Straits of Tiran open for Israeli shipping.51 It was clear to the Western powers that “Israel would Reich, “The Israeli Response,” 129. Robert McNamara, “Britain, Nasser, and the Outbreak of the Six Day War,” Journal of Contemporary History 35 (2000): 627. 49 Dan Reiter, “Exploding the Powder Keg Myth: Preemptive Wars Almost Never Happen,” International Security 20 (1995): 17. 50 Ibid. 51 Reich, “The Israeli Response,” 125. 47 48 Brinksmanship & Backfire 80 only be deterred from war if she felt sure that her oil supplies would be allowed through the Straits”.52 This would require either an American or British led naval expedition, an action that could potentially bring the Soviet Union into direct conflict, and as such was not considered an attractive option. On the other hand, “the consolidation of the UAR victory could lead to the rapid undermining of the Arab states where [Western] economic interests are concentrated and expanding”,53 shifting the regional balance of power overwhelmingly in favour of the Soviet aligned Arab states. Something had to be done, and as the pursuit of diplomatic solutions appeared to be increasingly fruitless and exhausted, Israel took action. The issue of whether Israel received some measure of approval for its 5 June attack is highly contested and will not be discussed in this paper at any length. The important factor in Israel’s departure from the established American policy of restraint are the implications that policy shift had in terms of evaluating Nasser’s decision-making. The sudden shift from restraint to attack was devastating for Nasser and the framework for decision-making he had adapted to this crisis. Based on the perceived assurances of Secretary General U Thant that all hostilities were being postponed until 14 June and observations regarding the dominance of American policy on Israeli decision-making, Nasser presumed quite rationally that while each of his actions brought the situation closer to war, sufficient constraints still existed that would provide him enough time to de-escalate and avert armed confrontation. Nasser did not escalate irrationally, pushing Israel until it had no recourse but that of pre-emptive attack. Instead, he pursued a course of incremental escalation, and in the absence of Israeli deterrence, reasonably calculated that he could proceed without provoking war. Ben Mor describes this phenomena as follows: By failing to attempt to teach the challenger where the red line will be drawn, a defender traps itself in an attribution error. It attributes the challenger’s boldness to the latter’s preferences and concludes there-from that a defense of the status quo requires nothing less than war.54 McNamara, “Britain, Nasser, and the Outbreak,” 631. McNamara, “Britain, Nasser, and the Outbreak,” 632. 54 Mor, “Nasser’s Decision-Making,” 372. 52 53 Nasser did not seek to provoke Israel to attack, but due to the nature of his escalation, incremental and tempered in his mind but sudden and extreme in the Israeli perception, war became a virtual inevitability. Nasser did not see the looming war on the horizon, as his actions were carefully calculated to avoid such an occurrence. However, the unseen tensions between Israel, who fearfully sought deterrence, and America, who sought to impose restraint, skewed Nasser’s criterion for evaluation, thus producing a gross misperception about the likelihood of armed confrontation. From Nasser’s perspective, rational escalation of the crisis was met with irrational pre-emptive war pursued by Israel, while in contrast, the Israelis perceived Nasser’s aggression as an irrational provocation. While in June 1967 not a single state actor wanted war, due to these misperceptions and miscalculations, the conflict that ensued seems to have been unavoidable. Tormenting the Bear: The Russian Defeat in Chechnya, 1194-1996 PETER MCGUIRE On 11 December 1994, Russian President Boris Yeltsin ordered Federal troops into the break-away republic of Chechnya in order to quell the growing violence and instability. Less than two years later the Russian military, defeated and humiliated, was forced to withdraw after signing a peace agreement with the secessionist Chechen forces. The ability of the numerically smaller and meagrely supplied Chechen forces to inflict such a catastrophically humiliating defeat on a larger and better equipped professional army hinges on three primary factors. The Russian military was unable to defeat the Chechen forces militarily, due to deficiencies in leadership, training, and morale. The Russian state was unable to garner popular support from within Chechnya because of the actions of the military which pushed the vast majority of the Chechen population to support the insurgents. Finally, both the Russian military and the politicians in the Kremlin underestimated the fighting capabilities of the Chechen separatists, as well as misunderstood the culture and history of the Chechen people. Analysing and understanding these three factors leads to an explanation of how one of the largest and most powerful militaries in the world could be brought to its knees by such a small and loosely organized insurgent force. The origin of the 1994-1996 war in Chechnya has its roots deep in the history of the Russian occupation and colonization of the North Caucasus, as well as the Chechens’ experience with the Soviet government. Resistance to Russian rule in Chechnya began in the late eighteenth century, when Chechen insurgents, led by the Muslim cleric Sheikh Mansur waged a guerrilla war against Russian imperial forces bent on colonizing the North Caucasus region.1 Although Mansur was defeated in 1791,2 Chechen resistance to the Russian occupation continued despite the brutal occupation overseen by General Alexi Yermolov, the Russian commander Alec Rasizade, “Chechnya: The Achilles Heel of Russia- Part I,” Contemporary Review 286 (2005): 193-197. 2 John B. Dunlop, Russian Confronts Chechnya: Roots of a Separatist Conflict (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1998), 11-12. 1 appointed to quell the resistance in the North Caucasus.3 Yermolov’s main tactic consisted of subjugating the Chechen population through terror, and his methods included wholesale massacres and destruction of villages which left thousands of Chechens dead.4 These savage tactics would be used again by Russian forces more than a hundred years later in the 1994-96 war, as they attempted to terrorize the Chechen population into denying support to the separatist fighters. Yermolov’s general attitude on Chechnya can be summed up in one of his more infamous statements, still remembered by many Chechens today: “I desire that the terror of my name should guard our frontiers more potently than chains or fortresses, that my word should be for the natives a law more inevitable than death”.5 The haunting memory of Yermolov is still very much alive in Chechnya. The capital city of Grozny was founded by the General in 1818 (Grozny literally means “terrible” in Russian) and the memory of his brutal treatment can be summed up in the inscription written on a statue of Yermolov, erected in Grozny in 1949. The inscription reads: “There is no people under the sun more vile and deceitful than this one”.6 The memory of Russian subjugation and brutality in Chechnya is very much part of Chechen culture, and the injustices of the past have never been forgotten by the Chechen people.7 The high morale of the Chechen fighters in the 1994-96 war can be attributed to their collective memory of 200 years of Russian subjection, and is a significant aspect of their fierce defence of their culture and independence during the war. Perhaps the most famous and celebrated hero of Chechen resistance is the legendary Imam Shamil, who led a guerrilla war against Russian forces in the mid-nineteenth century, which ended Thomas De Waal & Carlotta Gall, Chechnya: A Small Victorious War (London: Macmullin Publishing Ltd., 1997), 39. 4 Dunlop, Russia Confronts Chechnya, 15. 5 Brian Glyn Williams, “Commemorating ‘The Deportation’ in Post-Soviet Chechnya: the Role of Memorialization and Collective Memory in the 19941996 and 1999-2000 Russo-Chechen Wars,” History and Memory 12 (2000): 101. 6 The statue of Yermolov was repeatedly bombed and attacked by the Chechen population in Grozny until it was finally removed in the late 1980’s. Timothy L. Thomas, “The Battle for Grozny: Deadly Classroom for Urban Conflict,” Parameters 29 (1999): 87-102. 7Anatol Lieven, Chechnya: Tombstone of Russian Power (New Haven & London: Yale University Press, 1998), 306. 3 Tormenting the Bear 84 with his capture in 1859.8 Shamil is remembered for his devastating attacks on Russian forces, as well as his achievement of creating a virtually independent state in the North Caucasus.9 The example of Imam Shamil is very descriptive of the character of Chechen resistance to Russian subjugation and occupation since Russian forces set foot in the North Caucasus region. The anger and hatred of the Chechen people for their Russian occupiers is made evident in a description of a Russian attack on a Chechen village, written by Leo Tolstoy in 1852. No one spoke of hatred for the Russians. The feeling which all Chechens felt, both young and old, was stronger than hatred. It was not a hatred but a refusal to recognize these Russian dogs as people and such a revulsion, disgust, and bewilderment at the senseless cruelty of these beings, that the desire to destroy them, like a desire to destroy rats, poisonous spiders, and wolves, was as natural as the instinct of self-preservation.10 Chechnya has had a long history of fighting and resisting the Russians, but one event is most remembered and reviled by the Chechen people: the deportations of 1944. The Chechen experience with the Soviet Union was characterized by violence, resistance, and promises of autonomy which were never fully realized.11 However, the most horrendous episode of Soviet brutality was the decision in 1944 by Soviet dictator Josef Stalin to uproot and deport the entire Chechen and Ingush nations. On 23 February 1944, the NKVD (the precursor to the KGB) herded nearly 500,000 Chechens and Ingush into cattle cars and deported them to Kazakhstan, Siberia, and Kyrgyzstan on the charge that the Chechens had supported the German army during the Second World War.12 The deportations were an obvious attempt to destroy the Chechen people and were accompanied by the “Russification” of Chechen place names and the destruction of Chechen mosques and graveyards, as well at the Rasizade, “Achilles Heel, Part 1,” 193-197. De Waal & Gall, Chechnya, 46. 10 Ibid., 49. 11 Rasizade, “Achilles Heel-Part I,” 193-197. 12 Williams, “Commemorating,” 101. 8 9 settlement of thousands of ethnic Russians in former Chechen villages.13 Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev allowed the Chechens to return in 1957, only after an estimated 150,000 had perished in exile.14 The memory of the 1944 deportations is a significant aspect of the Chechen national consciousness, in the context of 200 years of brutal Russian subjugation. In planning the 1994 invasion, Russian leaders overlooked the Chechens’ powerful memory of Russian oppression, and underestimated the extent to which the Chechen secessionist fighters would oppose the Russian forces to insure their independence. One Chechen fighter, when asked why he continued to fight against the Russian forces answered: “It is better to sleep on the ground than to live on your knees”.15 Chechen history and culture was a significant aspect of the conflict; the popular support to the fighters that the Russian forces faced in 1994 was based on a history and culture dominated by the memory of fierce Chechen resistance to Russian rule. The Republic of Chechnya proclaimed its independence in the summer of 1991 and in October of the same year elected Jokhar Dudayev, a former Soviet Air Force general as the president of the autonomous Republic of Chechnya.16 For almost three years the small republic survived independently of the Russian Federation, although the fledgling state was beset by widespread drug and weapon trafficking, corruption, and violence between pro and anti-Dudayev forces.17 Throughout the three year period of independence, Moscow had been directly or indirectly supporting the opposition to President Dudayev, and after a failed assault on the capital city of Grozny by opposition forces in November of The burial of the dead is a very important facet of Chechen culture, so much so that many of the returnees in 1957 were bringing the remains of their dead relatives back from Kazakhstan with them in order to bury them in their own villages. Williams, “Commemorating,” 101. 14Dunlop, Russia Confronts Chechnya, 70. 15 John Colarusso, “Chechnya: The War Without Winners,” Current History 94 (1995): 329-336. 16 Vera Tolz, “The War in Chechnya,” Current History 95 (1996): 316-321. 17 “First Chechnya War- 1994-1996,” Global Security.org, April 24, 2005, November 18, 2005, <http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/war/chechnya1.htm> 13 Tormenting the Bear 86 1994, Russian president Boris Yeltsin decided to launch a full-scale war on the break-away republic on 11 December.18 The Russian leadership claimed that its intervention in Chechnya was aimed at combating the rising level of crime and violence in the region, and showing the upstart regime in Grozny that the integrity of the Russian Federation would not be tested.19 However, evidence suggests that the decision to go to war in Chechnya was made for the purely political reason of boosting Yeltsin’ flagging popularity within Russia.20 Whatever the reasons, under Yeltsin’s orders, Russian forces invaded Chechnya from three directions on 11 December and immediately ran into problems. The Russian military defeat in Chechnya was an unprecedented disaster, and highlighted the state of decay that had grown in the Russian military after the fall of the Soviet Union.21 The poor quality of the training and equipment of the troops sent into Chechnya was brutally revealed in the assault on the Chechen capital of Grozny on 31 December 1994. Fully confident that a strong show of force could convince the Chechen fighters to surrender, the Russian leadership, with Defence Minister Pavel Grachev at its head, ordered the Russian forces surrounding Grozny to advance into the city and secure the Presidential Palace, which was the center of the Chechen opposition.22 Grachev is quoted as making the prediction that he could take Grozny with a single airborne regiment in two hours.23 Grachev’s statement could not be further from the truth. Within hours, the assault had turned into a bloodbath for the Russian forces, with entire armoured columns wiped out and hundreds of Russian casualties taken.24 Russian columns were repeatedly surrounded, isolated, and destroyed in ambushes coordinated by determined, lightly armed Chechen fighters.25 The Alec Rasizade, “Chechnya: The Achilles Heel of Russia- Part II,” Contemporary Review 286 (2005): 277-284. 19 De Waal & Gall, Chechnya, 171. 20 Valery Tishkov, Chechnya: Life in a War Torn Society (Berkley & Los Angeles: University of California Press, 2004), 127. 21Robin Knight, “Soldiers of Misfortune,” U.S. News & World Report 121 (1996): 32-35. 22 Thomas, “The Battle of Grozny,” 87-102. 23 Ibid. 24 De Waal & Gall, Chechnya, 4. 25 Lieven, Tombstone, 110. 18 reasons for the humiliating defeat of the 31 December assault are only too clear. The bulk of the Russian troops sent into the city were barely trained conscripts rather than professional soldiers, which resulted in a complete lack of proper military coordination and efficiency.26 To make matters worse, virtually none of the troops used in the assault had any training in urban combat and panicked when attacked, running for whatever cover they could find, leaving their dead and wounded comrades lying in Grozny’s streets, where they stayed for weeks.27 Coordination and communication between individual units was virtually non-existent, and many times a unit sent to reinforce another would find itself embroiled in a fierce firefight with the unit they were meant to reinforce.28 Even the professional “elite” units of the Interior Ministry were formed from individual soldiers all across the Russian Federation only days before going to the front, without even a day to train together.29 To make things even more disastrous for the Russian forces, the Chechen fighters were operating in a city that they knew well, and it was often all too easy for them to ambush and brutalize unit after unit of poorly trained, unprepared Russian conscripts.30 Poor coordination between the Russian leadership was also a significant factor in the Russian defeat in Chechnya. Troops from three “Power Ministries” (Defence, Internal Security, and Internal Affairs) were all involved in the conflict, but integration between them was minimal at best.31 The lack of communication between the ministry’s forces became blatantly apparent when Interior Ministry troops were unprepared to take over defensive positions in Grozny when Army forces withdrew from them in February 1995.32 The lack of effective communication and coordination were significant aspects of the Russian defeat, made even more “First Chechnya War- 1994-1996,” Global Security.org, <http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/war/chechnya1.htm> April 24, 2005, November 18, 2005. 27Lieven, Tombstone, 110. 28 De Waal & Gall, Chechnya, 209. 29 Anatol Lieven, “Russia’s Military Nadir: the Meaning of the Chechen Debacle,” The National Interest 44 (1996): 24-30. 30 Calorusso, “The War Without Winners,” 329-336. 31 Thomas, “The Battle of Grozny,” 87-102. 32 Knight, “Soldiers of Misfortune,” 32-35. 26 Tormenting the Bear 88 apparent by the effective communication and organization of mainly volunteer separatist Chechen units.33 The slaughter of the Russian forces inside Grozny caused their already teetering morale to hit rock bottom. One Russian soldier, after experiencing the fighting in Grozny, remarked to a journalist: “Right from the beginning we were saying, ‘Why are we fighting?’ No one knew what we were doing there. No one was fighting for anything concrete”.34 The low morale of the Russian soldiers was endemic in all of the Russian units in Chechnya and made the scenario of a Russian defeat all the more possible. The morale and bravery of the Chechen separatists was just the opposite of the Russian soldiers. Chechen fighters were fully aware of the war they were fighting and were more than ready to sacrifice themselves for the cause of national independence, which led them to fully commit themselves to the battle and to compel the Russian forces to fight for every inch of ground they took.35 Russian tactics in Chechnya were far from refined. The widespread use of air strikes and artillery transformed the center of Grozny into a lunar surface, pockmarked with hundreds of craters and shell holes.36 The ceaseless and indiscriminate bombardment flattened the center of the city and killed hundreds, if not thousands of Chechen civilians.37 This strategy was repeated again in many other villages and cities in Chechnya, highlighting the failure of Russian forces to meet and defeat the Chechen separatists without the advantages of heavy artillery and airpower. 33Tishkov, Life in a WarTorn Society, 95. De Waal & Gall, Chechnya, 211. 35 Tishkov, Life in a War Torn Society, 144. 36 Anthony Lloyd, a war correspondent who was inside Grozny during the January and February fighting described the impact of the bombardment thusly: “A concrete killing zone, it was as if a hurricane of shrapnel had swept through every street, leaving each perspective bearing the torn, pitted scars, the irregular bites of high-explosive ordinance. The remaining trees were shredded and blasted horizontal, while the snow on the pavement became covered in a crunching carpet of shattered glass. Anthony Loyd, My War Gone by, I Miss it so (New York, Atlantic Monthly Press, 2000): 244. 37 It is helpful here to compare the scale and destruction of the winter bombing in Grozny with the siege of the Bosnian city of Sarajevo during the countries civil war in the early and mid-nineties. During the heaviest shelling of Sarajevo, an estimated 3,500 detonations were reported in the city daily while the rate of Russian bombardment in Grozny during the winter of 1995 was estimated at 4,000 detonations an hour. David Remnick, Resurrection: The Struggle for a New Russia (New York: Random House, 1997): 264. 34 The Russian leadership was again humiliated on 14 June 1995, when Shamil Basayev, one of the top Chechen commanders, along with 100 fighters, launched a daring raid on the southern Russian city of Budyonnovsk.38 Shamil’s forces took nearly 1,000 hostages and demanded a safe return for his forces and an immediate cease-fire in Chechnya.39 The same scenario was repeated in January, when another Chechen commander, Salaman Ruduyev, led a raid on the Russian city of Kizliar, and after taking nearly 2,000 hostages, fought a prolonged battle with Russian forces in the village of Pervomaiskoye before making his eventual escape.40 The failure of the Russian forces to ensure the security of their citizens was a serious humiliation for the Russian military and political leadership, and proved that the Chechen separatists were far from being defeated. In fact, Basayev’s raid ensured a short cease-fire in Chechnya, giving the insurgency a much needed break from the fighting, which they used to reorganize and re-equip their forces.41 The importance of these operations is made evident by the fact that within months of the hostage raids, the Chechen fighters who had previously been pushed into mountain strongholds in the south of the country had begun to launch offensives in the northern plains and cities, highlighting the failure of Russian troops to hold onto ground that was thought secure.42 The fact that both of the raids took place hundreds of miles from where the Chechen insurgency was located suggests that the Russian forces were extremely unprepared to deal with the aggressive and well organized attacks of the Chechen insurgency, let alone securing Russian territory.43 Moreover, even with extensive air and artillery resources, Russian forces were hard pressed to inflict easy defeats on the Chechen fighters, and when meeting the Chechen forces Matthew Evangelista, The Chechen Wars: Will Russia go the Way of the Soviet Union? (Washington, Brookings Institution Press, 2002), 40. 39 Tolz, “The War in Chechnya,” 316-321. 40 Lieven, Tombstone, 138-139. 41 Evangelista, The Chechen Wars, 40. 42 De Waal & Gall, Chechnya, 305. 43 In his comments after the raid, Basayev is quoted as saying that his original intention was to push even further into Russian territory, perhaps even to Moscow, but had to stop because he ran out of money with which to bribe Russian troops at checkpoints. Lieven, Tombstone, 124. 38 Tormenting the Bear 90 face to face the Russian troops were usually unable to isolate or destroy them without taking heavy casualties of their own.44 The final humiliating defeat of the Russian forces in Chechnya came on 6 August 1996, the same day that Boris Yeltsin was being inaugurated for his second term as President.45 At dawn, 1500 Chechen fighters assaulted the city of Grozny, quickly isolating and surrounding Russian outposts and establishing defensive positions to repel Russian counter attacks.46 Within 48 hours three quarters of Grozny was in Chechen hands, and the Russian military faced the possibility of virtually starting the entire campaign over again. The retaking of Grozny was a devastating end to Russia’s poorly coordinated and planned campaign. The 6 August attack pitted 12,000 Russian Interior Ministry and Army troops with access to heavy artillery, helicopter gun ships, and bomber support against fewer than 4,000 Chechen fighters, armed with Kalashnikovs and rocket propelled grenades; the Russian forces lost badly.47 The Russian military had waged a poorly led, planned, and coordinated campaign, and had been savagely beaten by a relatively small group of largely volunteer fighters who waged war for the dream of Chechen independence, not for the political aims of men in the Kremlin. The final aspect of the Chechen war which cinched Russian defeat was the widespread and immediate loss of popular support for the Russian troops within Chechnya. When Russian columns crossed the border into independent Chechnya on 11 December 1994 they were immediately met by crowds of thousands of people who swarmed the columns of armoured vehicles and forced them to stop. In several of the instances Russian soldiers were attacked and their vehicles burned by crowds of demonstrators pledging their support to an independent Chechnya.48 The immediate and widespread popular support that the majority of the Chechen population had for their independence was shown in the first few 44Lieven, “Russia’s Military Nadir,” 24-30. Tombstone, 141. 46De Waal & Gall, Chechnya, 331. 47 The Chechen fighters had acquired their weapons by seizing the KGB arsenal in Grozny in 1992. Estimates on the amount of weapons seized included hundreds of vehicles and weapons systems, aircraft, and nearly 40,000 light arms. During the war, Chechen forces actually purchased a large amount of their weapons and ammunition from corrupt elements of the Russian military; the weapons were then used to kill Russian troops. Dunlop, Russia Confronts, 165-168. 48 Lieven, Tombstone, 103. 45Lieven, hours of the Russian invasion, and this support only multiplied as the campaign dragged on. Although the support that the fighters received from the civilian population in Chechnya was at first spontaneous and unprovoked, the actions of the Russian military were often counterproductive to their intended goals, and pushed the Chechen population to support the rebels. The bombardment of Grozny in January and February of 1994 did little to win the “hearts and minds” of the Chechen population in the city, as they watched their homes, businesses, family members, and neighbourhoods literally blown apart underneath the weight of the barrage.49 Despite the fact that the Russian bombardment left tens of thousands homeless and nearly 25,000 dead, it also distanced ethnic Russians living in Grozny from the military.50 Once Russian forces were able to exert control over Grozny’s center, the war took on a particularly brutal nature, as Russian forces began a savage “cleansing” operation in the city.51 Drunken Russian troops ran rampant in Grozny, indiscriminately robbing and killing Chechen and ethnic Russian civilians, with little or no thought as to what effect their actions would have on the civilian population in the city.52 The effect of treating every civilian in Grozny as an enemy was that any support that the Russian forces may have garnered for themselves by a humane and ethical treatment of the Chechen population vanished immediately. If the orgy of violence and looting that accompanied the Russian forces into Grozny put a wedge between the civilian population and the Russian military, the infamous “filtration camps” that the Russians created to pick out suspected fighters only drove the wedge deeper. Chechen men were arbitrarily picked out and detained at Russian checkpoints and then sent to “filtration camps” where they would be brutally interrogated by Russian forces.53 The arbitrary and indiscriminate nature of the filtration camps can be explained by the fact that they were primarily used by the Russian forces as a tool to terrorize the Chechen population into refusing support to the separatist fighters. Ultimately, the savagery of the filtration camps only succeeded in provoking the Rasizade, “Achilles Heel-Part II,” 277-284. Calorusso, “The War Without Winners,” 329-336. 51 De Waal & Gall, Chechnya, 229. 52 Evangelista, The Chechen Wars, 40. 53 Calorusso, “The War Without Winners,” 329-336. 49 50 Tormenting the Bear 92 Chechen population into retaliating against the Russian forces by lending more support to the separatist fighters.54 As the war moved out of Grozny and into the Chechen countryside, the actions of the Russian forces caused a further loss of popular support from the Chechen population. Villages suspected of harbouring or supporting fighters were punished by heavy air and artillery bombardments on their civilian populations.55 With their heavy handed approach, the Russian forces pushed the civilian population to support the fighters. To the Chechen population, the Russian forces were ultimately seen as an occupying force, and even though Chechnya was full of political cleavages, the brutal actions of the Russian troops solidified Chechen anger at the invasion and made popular support for the Chechen fighters even more prevalent than it had been previously.56 The indiscriminate and arbitrary violence that the Russian forces employed to terrorize Chechen civilians was counter-productive at best. Moreover, villages had extensive family and community ties to individual fighters or units, and provided them with significant support, regardless of their political affiliation or attitude on the war.57 After the 6 August assault on Grozny, the Russian leadership decided that the Chechen war was not worth winning. Public opinion of the war in Russia was extremely poor, and the morale of the troops in Chechnya had hit rock bottom.58 The 1994-96 Chechen war ended with the humiliating defeat of the Russian military. After almost two years of heavy fighting, one of the world’s most powerful militaries had been torn to pieces by a small, loosely organized, and overwhelmingly volunteer force which had The brutality and inhumane conditions of the Russian filtration camps is widely documented and rarely questioned. Torture and murder appear to have been commonplace in the filtration camps, which has led to the high number of Chechen civilians who have ‘disappeared’ without a trace. It is assumed that the ‘disappearances’ are the result of the arbitrary detention and subsequent execution of hundreds of Chechen civilians in the filtration camps. Lieven, Tombstone, 132. 55 Often the bombings were accompanied by massacres, such as the actions of the Russian forces in the village of Samashki, in April 1995. By all reports, hundreds of Civilians were massacred by rampaging Russian forces as punishment for an attack by separatist forces on the Russians as they moved into the town. Lieven, Tombstone, 122. 56 Williams, “Commemorating,” 101. 57 Lieven, “Russia’s Military Nadir,” 24-30. 58 De Waal & Gall, Chechnya, 341. 54 none of the heavy artillery or air-strike capabilities of the Russian military. The roots of Russia’s defeat are evident in three main aspects of the war. Firstly, the Russian leadership failed to recognize the cultural and historical context of the Chechen war. From the standpoint of the Chechen separatists, this war was merely an extension of a 200 year struggle to regain independence from Russian occupation. Most Chechen fighters did not join the war in support of a particular leader or political party, but were instead fighting for their independence and homeland, which provided them with a strong source of morale and inspired them to commit acts of personal bravery and sacrifice. The military aspects of the Russian defeat in Chechnya are also very important in understanding how the Russian forces were so decisively beaten. The troops used in the Chechen campaign were predominantly conscripts who had little experience, and virtually no training in urban combat or counter-insurgency tactics. To compound this, the coordination between the three ministries involved in the conflict was virtually nil, which made planning coordinated attacks nearly impossible.59 Exacerbating the challenges facing the Russian leadership, the morale of the average Russian soldier was so low that the troops were unprepared to risk their lives for a war that most believed had nothing to do with them. Lastly, the brutality that the Russian forces showed toward the civilian population in Chechnya caused the Chechens to overwhelmingly support the separatists. Russian forces relied exclusively on threats and terror in their attempts to pacify the Chechen population, but their tactics were so counterproductive that in nearly every village and town in Chechnya the separatist fighters were assured food, shelter, and support from the inhabitants, making it nearly impossible for the Russian forces to secure any area for too long.60 The eventual Russian defeat left nearly 7,500 Russian soldiers dead inside Chechnya, and left the world with an image of the Russian military broken and humiliated by a small, fiercely determined insurgent force.61 Lieven, “Russia’s Military Nadir,” 24-30. Calorusso, “The War Without Winners,” 329-336. 61 Rasizade, “Achilles Heel-Part II,” 277-284. 59 60