Chapter 9 Information, Decision Support… Please discontinue use of cell phone and turn off ringer Succeeding with Technology Decision Making and Problem Solving Management Information Systems Decision Support Systems Group Decision Support Systems Artificial Intelligence and Special-Purpose Systems 9.1 Decision Making and Problem Solving Key Terms • • • • • • Decision making Problem solving Programmed decisions Nonprogrammed decisions Optimization model Heuristics Succeeding with Technology Decision Making & Problem Solving Process Intelligence Stage Potential Problems and opportunities are identified and defined Design Stage Alternative solutions to the problem are developed Choice Stage Select a course of action Decision Making Problem Solving Implementation Solution put into effect Monitoring Evaluate the implementation Succeeding with Technology Decision Types Programmed decisions MIS Structured situations with well defined relationships Quantifiable Non-programmed decisions DSS Ill-structured situations with vague or changing relationships between variables Not easily quantifiable in advance Succeeding with Technology MIS vs. DSS A MIS sheds light on a wide-range of common, day-to-day business decisions. Succeeding with Technology A DSS supports decision making for specific unique and difficult decisions. Optimization and Heuristic Approaches An optimization model finds the best solution, usually the one that will best help individuals or organizations meet their goals. Heuristics, often referred to as “rules of thumb”—commonly accepted guidelines or procedures that usually find a good solution, but not necessarily the optimal solution—are often used in the decision-making process. Succeeding with Technology 9.2 Management Information Systems Key Terms • • • • Management Information System (MIS) Scheduled report Demand report Exception report Succeeding with Technology Management Information Systems (MIS) MIS: an information system designed to provide routine information to managers and decision makers Example: Search for a car on edmunds Succeeding with Technology MIS Input and Output Succeeding with Technology Reports, Reports, Reports www.cognos.com/products/business_intelligence/reporting_sapbw/ Succeeding with Technology Reports Scheduled Reports are produced periodically on a schedule; daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, annually, etc. Demand Reports are developed to get certain information at a person’s request. Exception Reports are automatically produced when a situation is unusual or requires action. Succeeding with Technology 9.3 Decision Support Systems Key Terms • Decision Support System • What-if analysis • Goal-seeking analysis Succeeding with Technology Decision Support Systems A decision support system (DSS) is an information system used to support problem-specific decision making. www.epocrates.com Succeeding with Technology What-if? What-if analysis is the process of making hypothetical changes to problem data and observing the impact on the results. Succeeding with Technology What-if is used in projecting paths of hurricanes Goal-seeking Goal-seeking analysis is the process of determining what problem data is required for a given result. What must be done in order to safely withdraw troops within a year? What if??? Excel Grade Individual Activity Succeeding with Technology 9.4 Group Decision Support Systems Key Terms • Group decision support system (GDSS) • Groupware Succeeding with Technology Group Decision Support Systems (GDSS) A GDSS or computerized collaborative work system is designed to provide effective support in group decision-making settings. A GDSS is flexible, supports anonymous input, and reduces negative group dynamics Succeeding with Technology Groupware GDSS software, called groupware, helps with joint work group scheduling, communication, and management. www.lotus.com Succeeding with Technology 9.5 AI and Special-Purpose Systems Key Terms • • • • • • Robotics Vision systems Natural language processing Learning systems Neural network Fuzzy logic Succeeding with Technology • • • • • • Genetic algorithm Intelligent agent Expert system (ES) Virtual reality Geographic information system (GIS) Game theory An Overview of AI AI systems simulate human thought and behavior. www.cyc.com Succeeding with Technology Interesting Statistics It has been estimated that computers that can exhibit humanlike intelligence – including musical and artistic aptitude, creativity, the ability to move physically through the world, and emotional responsiveness – require processing power of 20 million billion calculations per second (petaflops). Succeeding with Technology Succeeding with Technology Robotics Robotics involves developing mechanical or computer devices to perform tasks that require a high degree of precision or are tedious or hazardous for humans. ASIMO Demo Succeeding with Technology Other Forms of AI Vision systems permit computers to capture store and interpret visual imaged and pictures. Natural language processing, or speech recognition, allows a computer to understand and react to statements and commands made in a natural language. Learning systems allow the computer to change how it functions or reacts to situations based on feedback it receives. Succeeding with Technology Specialized Systems A geographic information system (GIS) is capable of storing, manipulating, and displaying geographic or spatial information including maps of locations or regions around the world. Google Earth Zillow Succeeding with Technology Specialized Systems Game theory involves developing strategies for people, organizations, or even countries that are competing against each other. Informatics combines traditional disciplines, like science and medicine, with computer systems and technology. Succeeding with Technology Chapter 9 Questions? Don’t forget to turn your phone on!! Succeeding with Technology