Why study international trade?

10-1

10-2

Recent examples

Outsourcing (offshoring) – a new form of international trade

Reduces costs of production (labour cost)

Which kinds of jobs are affected?

Which countries are affected?

The case of India – advantages

What is the extent of outsourcing?

Government economic policy in cases of outsourcing?

10-3

International trade, working conditions in developing countries and child labour

Does international trade help improve working condition in LDCs?

Does international trade contribute to an increase in child labour?

Should we boycott imports from countries/companies that allow child labour

How can we resolve the problem?

10-4

The European Union

The euro – a supranational currency

Advantages of a common currency

Disadvantages?

The experience of using the euro

The geographic expansion of the European Union

Requirements for joining the EU

Benefits of joining the EU

Costs?

10-5

China’s revalues its currency

China’s fixed exchange rate was below market value, making Chinese imports cheaper and contributing to a trade deficit of the US with China

To maintain the fixed exchange rate the Chinese government bought US dollars and sold yuan.

These US $ were used to purchase US government bonds

Was the yuan overvalued?

China has a small trade surplus overal

Saving rates in China are very high suggesting a surplus

10-6

Why is int’l economics different

No-one is in charge of the whole world economy in the sense that governments are in charge of the national economy

Each country has its own currency and currency values fluctuate

Each country has its own fiscal policy which causes movement of capital

The factors of production are mobile across countries

10-7

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS

14

th

Edition

Thomas A. Pugel

McGraw-Hill Education

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Peter H. Lindert

Professor of Economics

University of California, Davis

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Thomas A. Pugel

Professor of Economics and Global

Business

Stern School of Business

Chapter 1

Introduction

What ?

Why ?

Contents

Study guide

10-11

1.1 International

Economics

1.1.1 Economics

1.1.2 International Economics

Economics for international economic relations

International trade

International Finance

10-12

1.2 Importance of the Subject

Help us understand

International economic relations

10-13

10-14

World trade value in 2008

Merchandise: US$16070 billion

Services: US$3780 billion

10-15

World Trade Growth 2000-2008

Trade volume

World Merchandise Export: 5%

World Merchandise Production: 2.5%

Trade value

World Merchandise Export: 12%

China’s Merchandise Export: 24%

World Export in commercial services: 12%

China’s Export in commercial services: 22%

10-16

Trade in goods

Primary goods

初级产品

Manufactured products

工业制成品

10-17

What services are traded?

Modes of supplying services:

Cross-border Supply

跨境提供

Consumption Abroad

境外消费

Commercial Presence

商业存在

Presence of Natural Persons

自然人流动

10-18

What services are traded?

Business services (including professional services and computer services)

Communication services

Construction and related engineering services

Distribution services

Educational services

Environmental services

10-19

What services are traded?

Financial services (including insurance and banking)

Health-related and social services

Tourism and travel-related services

Recreational, cultural and sporting services

Transport services

Other services not included elsewhere

10-20

China’s ranks in world trade

Leaders in world merchandise trade, 2005

Rank Exporter

1 Germany

2 USA

3 China

4 Japan

5 France

6 Netherlands

7 UK

8 Italy

9 Canada

10 Belgium

Share % Rank Importer

9.3

1 USA

8.7

7.3

2 Germany

3 China

5.7

4.4

3.9

3.6

3.5

3.5

4 Japan

5 UK

6 France

7 Italy

8 Netherlands

9 Belgium

3.2

10 Canada

Share %

16.1

7.2

6.1

4.8

4.7

4.6

3.5

3.3

3.0

3.0

10-21

Top Goods Exporters (2009 estimates)

1 People's Republic of China $1,194 bln

2 Germany

3 United States

4 Japan

5 France

6 Netherlands

7 Italy

8 South Korea

9 United Kingdom

Hong Kong

10 Canada

$1,187

$994

$516

$457

$398

$369

$355

$351

$327

$299

10-22

China’s ranks in world trade

Leaders in world service trade, 2005

Rank Exporter

1 USA

2 UK

3 Germany

4 France

5 Japan

6 Italy

7 Spain

4.7

4.4

3.9

3.8

8 China 3.4

9 Netherlands 3.1

10 India

Share % Rank Importer

14.6

1 U S

7.6

5.9

2 Germany

3 UK

2.8

4

5

6

7

10

Japan

France

Italy

China

India

Share %

12.2

8.4

6.4

5.8

4.4

3.9

3.6

8 Netherlands 2.9

9 Ireland 2.9

2.9

10-23

Top Traders in Services 2008

Rank Exporters

1 United States

2 United Kingdom

3 Germany

4 France

5 China

6 Japan

7 Spain

8 Italy

9 India

10 Netherlands

146.4

146.4

142.6

121.9

102.6

101.6

Value Share Rank

521.4

13.8

1

283.0

7.5

2

241.6

160.5

6.4

3

4.2

4

3.9

5

3.9

6

3.8

7

3.2

8

2.7

9

2.7

10

Importers

United States

Germany

UK

Japan

China

France

Italy

Ireland

Spain

Korea

158.0

139.4

131.7

106.2

104.3

91.8

Value

367.9

283.0

196.2

167.4

3.0

3.0

2.6

4.5

4.0

3.8

Share

10.5

8.1

5.6

4.8

10-24

1.3 International Trade :

Contents

Part One

The Theory of International Trade

Chapters 2 – 6

Part Two

International Trade Policy

Chapters 7 – 14

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Part One Trade Theories

Chapter 2

The Basic Theory Using Demand and Supply

国际贸易的供求分析

2004 China shoe industry

Production : 7 billion pairs

Consumption: 2 billion pairs

Exports: 5 billion pairs

2004 Crude oil 原油

Production : 1.75 亿吨

Consumption: 2.9

亿吨

Imports: 1.17

亿吨

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Chapter 3

Why Everybody Trades:

Comparative Advantage

贸易的动因:比较优势

 Comparative Advantage

What is China’s Comparative Advantage?

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Chapter 4

Trade: Factor Availablity and Factor

Proportions Are Key

贸易的关键 : 要素可获得性与要素比例

More Factors of Production

H-O Theorem

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

China’s Comparative Advantage

Labor-intensive products

劳动密集型产品 √

Capital-intensive products

资本密集型产品 ?

Technology-intensive products

技术密集型产品

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Imports and Exports of China 2005

商品类别

初级产品

工业制成品

有色金属

钢铁

化学产品

其他半成品

机械及运输设备

纺织品

服装

其他制成品

出口金额

( 亿美元 )

490.4

进口金额

( 亿美元 )

1,477.1

7,129.6

109.4

5,124.1

170.9

192.8

357.7

578.5

263.4

777.4

222.3

3,522.6

410.5

741.7

1,216.3

2,906.3

155.0

16.3

612.5

10-30

Can China produce and export large civil aircraft?

Boeing

Airbus

10-31

Chapter 5

Who Gains and Who loses from Trade?

国际贸易对福利的影响

Factor owners in exporting industries?

Or those in importing industries?

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Chapter 6 Scale Economies, Imperfect

Competition, and Trade

规模经济、不完全竞争与贸易

 Intra-Industry Trade

产业内贸易

 Product differentiation

产品差异

 Economies of scale

规模经济

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

10-34

Chapter 7 Growth and Trade

经济增长与国际贸易

Immiserizing Growth

贫困化增长

Terms of Trade

贸易条件

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Chapter 8 Analysis of a Tariff

关税分析

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

中国进口税率示例

商品编码 商品名称

22083000 威士忌酒

22051000 小包装味美思酒

及类似酒

87032334 汽油型中马力小

轿车

90064000 一次成相照相机

91052900 机械挂钟

优惠税率 普通税率

10

65

180

180

25

5

20

270

70

100

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

中国汽车进口关税的调整

 1994: 110 - 150%

 1997: 80 - 100%

 2002: 43.8 - 50.7%

 2003: 38.2

% - 43 %

 2004: 34.2

% - 37.6

 2005: 30%

 2006: 28%; July 1: 25%

10-38

Chapter 9

Nontariff Barriers to Imports

非关税贸易壁垒

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

10-40

Chapter 10

Arguments for and against Protection

支持和反对贸易保护的理由

 Infant industries

幼稚产业

 Sunset industries

夕阳产业

 Non-economics arguments

非经济理由

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Chapter 11 Pushing Exports

出口促进措施

 Dumping 倾销

 Subsidies 补贴

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

WTO Antidumping 1995-2005

Exporter Dumping

Charges

China 469

Korea

United

States

Chinese

Taipei

218

162

160

Japan

WTO Total

Exporter Antidumping

Measures

China

Korea

Chinese

Taipei

United

States

125 Japan

2840 WTO Total

338

127

99

95

89

1804

10-43

10-44

Chapter 11

Trade Blocs and Trade Blocks

贸易集团与贸易禁运

Some trade blocs

 The European Union 欧盟

 NAFTA 北美自由贸易区

 ASEAN 东南亚国家联盟

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Map of the EU

10-46

Map of NAFTA

10-47

Map of ASEAN

10-48

Chapter 13

Trade and the Environment

贸易与环境

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

10-50

10-51

Chapter 13

Trade Policies for Developing Countries

发展中国家的贸易政策

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

10-53

Chapter 15

Multinationals and Migration:

International Factor Movement

跨国公司与移民:生产要素的国际流

 Multinational Enterprise (MNE)

跨国公司

 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

对外直接投资

 Intra-firm Trade

公司内贸易

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Fortune Global 500 Top 10 (2006)

Rank Company Revenues

($ blns)

1 Exxon Mobil 339.9

4

5

2

3

Wal-Mart Stores

Royal Dutch Shell

BP

General Motors

315.7

306.7

267.6

192.6

8

9

6

7

Chevron

DaimlerChrysler

Toyota Motor

Ford Motor

10 ConocoPhillips

189.5

186.1

185.8

177.2

166.7

10-55

Fortune Global 500 Top 10 (2010)

Rank

3

4

5

1

2

BP

Company

Wal-Mart Stores

Royal Dutch Shell

Exxon Mobil

Toyota Motor

6

7

Japan Post Holdings

Sinopec

8

9

State Grid

AXA 法国安盛

10 China National Petroleum

10-56

Fortune Global 500: China Top 10 (07)

Rank

17

24

29

170

180

192

215

230

237

275

Company

Sinopec

China National Petroleum

State Grid

Industrial & Commercial Bank of China

China Mobile Communications

China Life Insurance

Bank Of China

China Construction Bank

China Southern Power Grid

China Telecommunications

10-57

Fortune Global 500: China Top 10 (2010)

Rank

7

8

10

77

87

116

118

133

137

141

Company

Sinopec

State Grid

China National Petroleum

China Mobile Communications

Industrial & Commercial Bank of China

China Construction Bank

China Life Insurance

China Railway Construction

China Railway Group

Agricultural Bank of China

10-58

Migration

 United States

Net Migration: 6,333,941 (April 2000 - July 2005 )

 Canada

Permanent Residents by Categories

Category

Family class

Economic immigrants

Refugees

Other immigrants

Total

2003 2004 2005

65,129 62,260 63,352

121,047 133,745 156,310

25,984 32,687 35,768

9,191 7,132 6,796

221,352 235,824 262,236

10-59

1.4 Study

Guide

Preview the textbook

Take notes

Think about it

Read articles or news reports

Do homework

Review

10-60

参考资料

阅读

期刊

1

、《国

际贸

问题

》,

经济贸

易大学主

2

、《国

际贸

易》,商

部国

际经济

易合作研究院主

3

、《

财贸经济

》,中国社科院

财贸

所主

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

大卫 · 李嘉图:《政治经济学及赋税原理》,商务印书馆

亚当 · 斯密:《国民财富的性质和原因的研究》,商务印书馆

保罗 · 克鲁格曼,茅瑞斯 · 奥伯斯法尔德:《国际经济学》,第三

章“规模经济、不完全竞争和国际贸易”,中国人民大学出版

彼得 · 林德特:《国际经济学》 经济科学出版社 http://www.wto.org

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright  2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.