AP STATISTICS Unit 2: Modeling Distributions of Data Enduring understanding (Big Idea): Students will understand how to determine the location of an observation in a set of data; and understand the normal distribution, including standardizing (transforming) the data. Essential Questions: 1. Given an overall pattern from a large number of observations, how can we describe it by a mathematical model? 2. What is a density curve and what information can it give us? 3. What is the normal distribution and how do we describe it? What are its key properties? 4. How can we describe the location (i.e. position) of an observation in a set of data? 5. What are a) Percentiles and b) z-scores? What is a common use for both? 6. What is standardizing data and why do we do it? 7. How do we transform data and why do we do it? BY THE END OF THIS UNIT: Students will know: (See the AP Statistics Course Description page 7 for full details) I. Exploring Data: Describing patterns and departures from patterns (20%– 30%) A Constructing and interpreting graphical displays of distributions of univariate data (… cumulative frequency plot) … B Summarizing distributions of univariate data: Measuring position…percentile, standardized scores (z-scores) & the effect of changing units on summary measures III Anticipating Patterns: Exploring random phenomena using probability and simulation (20%–30%) A See Unit 6 B. See Unit 7 C The normal distribution Properties of the normal distribution, using tables of normal distribution, as a model for measurements Unit Resources: Use of Fathom is highly recommended http://www.keycurriculum.com/products/fathom Use Applets from: http://www.whfreeman.com/tps4e http://www.rossmanchance.com/applets/ http://teachers.dadeschools.net/akoski/statsSyllabus1.htm Download the chapter glossary at (below) and give copies to your kids. http://bcs.whfreeman.com/tps4e/#628644__666335__ Students will be able to… 1. to locate individual values within distributions of data. 2. interpret a cumulative relative frequency graph 3. find the standardized value (Z – score) of an observation. Interpret Z scores in context 4. describe the effect of adding, subtracting, multiplying by, or dividing by a constant on the shape, center, and spread of a distribution of data 5. approximately locate the median (equal-areas point) and the mean (balance point) on a density curve Vocabulary: Cumulative Relative Frequency Graph (See OJIVE below), Density Curves, Empirical rule (68-95-99.7), Location in a distribution, Normal Curve, Normal Distribution, Normal Probability (Quantile) plot, OJIVE (See CRFG above), Percentile, Standard normal distribution, Standard normal table (Table A), Standardize Variable (see z-score), Standardizing, Transforming Data, z-score (see Standardize Variable) Mathematical Practices in Focus: 1. Make sense of problems and persevere in solving them 2. Reason abstractly and quantitatively 3. Construct viable arguments and critique the reasoning of others 4. Model with mathematics 5. Use appropriate tools strategically 6. Attend to precision 7. Look for and make use of structure Learning Tasks: homework - see page 2-6 of the Teacher's Edition Performance Task: end the chapter with a "FRAPPY" (see Formative Assessments and Problem Task suggestions below) 8. Look for and express regularity Project: "Characterizing Students II" Unit Review Game: Jeopardy and Millionaire (PowerPoints) http://www.apstatsmonkey.com/StatsMonkey/TPS3e.html Successive pages contain an unpacking of the standards contained in the unit. Standards are listed in alphabetical and numerical order not suggested teaching order. Teachers must order the standards to form a reasonable unit for instructional purposes. in repeated reasoning AP STATISTICS Unit 2: Modeling Distributions of Data CORE CONTENT Cluster Title: none Standards: (CCSS: none) NCSCOC 2.01 Construct and interpret graphical displays of univariate data AP Stats IA Constructing and interpreting graphical displays of distributions of univariate data (… cumulative frequency plot) … AP Stats IB3 Summarizing distributions of univariate data: Measuring position…percentiles, standardized scores(z-scores) AP Stats IB5 The effect of changing units on summary measures Concepts and Skills to Master (on paper and with technology) Section 2.1 [Describing Location in a Distribution] Measuring position: Percentiles Transforming Data Density Curves Cumulative Relative Frequency Graphs (Ojives) Measuring position: z-scores Describing Density Curves SUPPORTS FOR TEACHERS Critical Background Knowledge Previous Skills and concepts in this course from Chapter 1 Academic Vocabulary Cumulative Relative Frequency Graph (Also called an OJIVE), Density Curves, Location in a distribution, Percentile, Standardize Variable (see z-score), Standardizing, Transforming Data, z-score (see Standardize Variable) Suggested Instructional Strategies Rely on the Teachers' Edition and the Platinum Resource Binder The text is excellent and students should have their book (and their calculator) at each class. The challenge is how to inspire kids to read and study it. There should be class discussions during each class using material from the book and using the calculator. Consider assigning the next class' material as a prereading. Especially focus on the boxes labeled "AP Exam Common Error" in the margins (and also in Appendix A) With all students on their calculators and you on your projection calculator do Technology Corner 2.1 on page 16 using calculator lists (or other Technology) Do Activity "Where do I Stand" on page 84 Have a Class Discussion of Section 2.1's "Summary" on page 104 The College Board has posted tremendously helpful material http://apcentral.collegeboard.com/apc/public/courses/teachers_corner/2151.html in particular use: http://apcentral.collegeboard.com/apc/members/exam/exam_information/8357.html Useful directories for the released questions are at http://www.apstatsmonkey.com/StatsMonkey/AP_Review.html for FR look for AP Index 11_12.xls for MC look for MC_Index.xls - Daren Starnes Resources Textbook Correlation: Section 2.1 (pages 83 - 104) Most of the PowerPoint slides on the Instructor's CD are very helpful. Use resources at http://apstatsmonkey.com/StatsMonkey/Statsmonkey. html Monitor the AP Statistics List Serve [see Electronic Discussion Groups on http://apcentral.collegeboard.com/apc/public/course s/teachers_corner/2151.html ] soon to be an AP community see https://epl.collegeboard.org/epl/login.do Successive pages contain an unpacking of the standards contained in the unit. Standards are listed in alphabetical and numerical order not suggested teaching order. Teachers must order the standards to form a reasonable unit for instructional purposes. AP STATISTICS Unit 2: Modeling Distributions of Data Sample Formative Assessment Tasks Skill-based tasks Problem Tasks CHECK YOUR UNDERSTANDING (textbook pages 89, 91, 97-98, and 103) Use assessments at http://www.stats4stem.org/ Use Released Multiple Choice questions (see the last Suggested Instructional Strategy above for a link to the list of MC questions) The column "% correct " shows the global performance on the AP Exam for that question. Add a column to the spreadsheet to keep a record of the questions you used and when used. Students in groups should discuss and write down the solution of an AP Exam Free Response question, then compare it to the model solution, and [selected group(s)] should present their solutions to the class describing what they learned from their discussions See the last Suggested Instructional Strategy above for a list of released free response questions you can use (Do not use 2006 #1 until the end of Chapter 1.) Add a column to the spreadsheet to keep a record of the questions you used and when used. Successive pages contain an unpacking of the standards contained in the unit. Standards are listed in alphabetical and numerical order not suggested teaching order. Teachers must order the standards to form a reasonable unit for instructional purposes. AP STATISTICS Unit 2: Modeling Distributions of Data CORE CONTENT Cluster Title: Summarize, represent, and interpret data on a single count or measurement variables (S-ID) Standards S.ID.4 Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve. NCSCOS http://www.dpi.state.nc.us/curriculum/mathematics/scos/2003/9-12/72apstatistics NCSCOS 1.01 Summarize distributions of univariate data by determining and interpreting measures of center, spread, position,… NCSCOS 1.02 Analyze distribution of continuous univariate data (both normal and non-normal) NCSCOS 3.06 Use normal distributions as a model for distribution. a. Investigate the properties of the normal distribution. b. Use the table of standard normal distribution (Z) AP Stats IIIC The normal distribution - Properties of the normal distribution, using tables of normal distribution, as a model for measurements Concepts and Skills to Master (on paper and with technology) the 68 – 95 – 99.7 rule the standard normal distribution Section 2.2 [Describing quantitative data with numbers] normal distribution calculations assessing normality SUPPORTS FOR TEACHERS Critical Background Knowledge Previous Skills and concepts in this course from Chapter 1 through Section 2.2 Academic Vocabulary Empirical rule (68-95-99.7), Normal Curve, Normal Distribution, Normal Probability (Quantile) plot, Standard normal distribution, Standard normal table (Table A) Suggested Instructional Strategies Rely on the Teachers' Edition and the Platinum Resource Binder The text is excellent and students should have their book (and their calculator) at each class. The challenge is how to inspire kids to read and study it. There should be class discussions during each class using material from the book and using the calculator. Consider assigning the next class' material as a prereading. Especially focus on the boxes labeled "AP Exam Common Error" in the margins (and also in Appendix A) With all students on their calculators and you on your projection calculator do Technology Corners 2.2 on pages 118, 123, and 128 (or other Technology) Do the activity on page 111 Resources Textbook Correlation: Chapter 2 Section 2 (Pages 110 - 130) Most of the PowerPoint slides on the Instructor's CD are very helpful. Use resources at http://apstatsmonkey.com/StatsMonkey/Statsmonkey.html Monitor the AP Statistics List Serve [see Electronic Discussion Groups on http://apcentral.collegeboard.com/apc/public/courses/teach Successive pages contain an unpacking of the standards contained in the unit. Standards are listed in alphabetical and numerical order not suggested teaching order. Teachers must order the standards to form a reasonable unit for instructional purposes. AP STATISTICS Unit 2: Modeling Distributions of Data Have a class discussion of Section 2.2's "Summary" on page 130 The College Board has posted tremendously helpful material http://apcentral.collegeboard.com/apc/public/courses/teachers_corner/2151.html http://apcentral.collegeboard.com/apc/members/exam/exam_information/8357.html Useful directories for the released questions are at http://www.apstatsmonkey.com/StatsMonkey/AP_Review.html, for FR look for AP Index 11_12.xls and for MC look for MC_Index.xls - Daren Starnes Sample Formative Assessment Tasks Skill-based task CHECK YOUR UNDERSTANDING (textbook pages 114, 119 and 124 ) Use assessments at http://www.stats4stem.org/ Use Quizzes at http://bcs.whfreeman.com/tps4e/#628644__630756__ Do the Chapter 2 AP Statistics Practice Test on page 138 Use ARTIST SCALE - Normal Distribution http://ore.gen.umn.edu/artist/tests/index.html Use Released Multiple Choice questions (see the last Suggested Instructional Strategy above for a link to the list of MC questions) The column "% correct " shows the global performance on the AP Exam for that question. Add a column to the spreadsheet to keep a record of the questions you used and when used. ers_corner/2151.html ] soon to be an AP community see https://epl.collegeboard.org/epl/login.do Problem Task At the End of Unit 2 do FRAPPY #2 [which uses 2003 #3]: http://apstatsmonkey.com/StatsMonkey/FRAPPYs_files/Frappy2.pdf (Or as an alternate, see the last Suggested Instructional Strategy above for a list of free response questions that you could alternately use as your FRAPPY. Go to http://www.apstatsmonkey.com/StatsMonkey/AP_Review.html for the FR questions. Look for the link AP Index 11_12.xls. Add a column to the spreadsheet and keep a record of the questions you used and when used.) To Use Frappies: On the first page at http://apstatsmonkey.com/StatsMonkey/FRAPPYs.html click on the FRAPPY Presentation to learn about them and how to use them as Formative Assessments. (Click on the Frappy Presentation to Advance to a new slide. You may also download handout notes using the link to the right) Successive pages contain an unpacking of the standards contained in the unit. Standards are listed in alphabetical and numerical order not suggested teaching order. Teachers must order the standards to form a reasonable unit for instructional purposes.