Points in Distributions Up to now describing distributions Comparing scores from different distributions Need to make equivalent comparisons z scores standard scores Percentile, Percentile rank ~ Standard Scores Convert raw scores to z scores raw score: value using original scale of measurement z scores: # of standard deviations score is from mean e.g., z = 2 = 2 std. deviations from mean z = 0 = mean ~ z Score Equation z = X-m s Areas Under Distributions Area = frequency Relative area total area = 1.0 = proportion of individual values in area under curve Relative area is independent of shape of distribution ~ 0.5 0.5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Total area under curve = 1.0 Using Areas Under Distributions Given relative frequency, what is value? e.g., the hottest 10% of days the temperature is above ____? find value of X at border ~ Areas Under Normal Curves Many variables normal distribution Normal distribution completely specified by 2 numbers mean & standard deviation Many other normal distributions have different m & s ~ Areas Under Normal Curves Unit Normal Distribution based on z scores m =0 s =1 e.g., z = -2 relative areas under normal distribution always the same precise areas from Table B.1 ~ Areas Under Normal Curves f .34 .34 .02 .02 .14 -2 .14 -1 0 +1 standard deviations +2 Calculating Areas from Tables Table B.1 (in our text) The Unit Normal Table Proportions of areas under the normal curve 3 columns (A) z (B) Proportion in the body (C) Proportion in the tail Negative z: area same as positive ~ Calculating Areas from Tables Finding proportions z < 1 = (from B) z > 1: (from C) ~ f -2 -1 0 z +1 +2 Calculating Areas from Tables Area: 1 < z < 2 find proportion for z = 2; subtract proportion for z = 1 ~ f -2 -1 0 z +1 +2 Other Standardized Distributions Normal distributions, but not unit normal distribution Standardized variables normally distributed specify m and s in advance e.g., IQ test m = 100; s = 15 ~ Other Standardized Distributions m = 100 s = 15 f z scores 70 85 100 115 130 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 IQ Scores Transforming to & from z scores From z score to standardized score in population X = zs + m Standardized score ---> z score z = X-m s Normal Distributions: Percentiles/Percentile Rank Unit normal distributions 50th percentile = 0 = m z = 1 is 84th percentile 50% + 34% Relationships z score & standard score linear z score & percentile rank nonlinear ~ Percentiles & Percentile Rank Percentile score below which a specified percentage of scores in the distribution fall start with percentage ---> score Percentile rank Per cent of scores a given score start with score ---> percentage Score: a value of any variable ~ Percentiles E.g., test scores 30th percentile = (A) 46; (B) 22 90th percentile = (A) 56; (B) 46 ~ A 58 56 54 54 52 50 48 46 44 42 B 50 46 32 30 30 23 23 22 21 20 Percentile Rank e.g., Percentile rank for score of 46 (A) 30%; (B) = 90% Problem: equal differences in % DO NOT reflect equal distance between values ~ A 58 56 54 54 52 50 48 46 44 42 B 50 46 32 30 30 23 23 22 21 20 IQ Scores f .34 .34 .02 .02 .14 .14 IQ 70 85 100 115 130 z scores -2 -1 0 +1 +2 16th 50th percentile rank 2d 84th 98th Supplementary Material Determining Probabilities Must count ALL possible outcomes e.g. of flipping 2 coins outcomes 1 2 3 4 coin A: head tail tail head coin B: head tail head tail Determining Probabilities Single fair die P(1) = P(2) = … = P(6) Addition rule keyword: OR P(1 or 3) = Multiplication rule keyword AND P(1 on first roll and 3 on second roll) = dependent events ~ Conditional Probabilities Put restrictions on range of possible outcomes P(heart) given that card is Red P(Heart | red card) = P(5 on 2d roll | 5 on 1st roll)? P = 1st & 2d roll independent events ~ Know/want Diagram X=zs+m Raw Score (X) z = Table: column B or C z score X-m s area under distribution Table: z - column A Percentage raw score Percentile rank percentile Or probability raw score What is the 43d percentile of IQ scores? 1. Find area in z table 2. Get z score 3. X = zs + m