MACROECONOMICS United States Fiscal Policy & International Trade Fiscal Policy Spending, taxing, and borrowing policies of the United States government within a 12-month period of time Types of Taxes • Proportional • Progressive • Regressive How does the government collect taxes? • Individual Income Tax • Corporate Income Tax • Social Security Tax • Excise Tax • Estate & Gift Tax • Customs Duties Supply-Side Economics • • • • Say’s Law, law of markets Laissez-faire Reduce government regulations Supply-side economics Fiscal Policy Problems 1. To invest or not to invest? 2. What budget areas get cut? Demand-Side Economics • • John M. Keynes Government involvement 1. Government spending 2. More production 3. Lower unemployment 4. Newly employed spend, create more demand for production • Employment Act of 1946 Five Tools of Fiscal Policy 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Marginal Tax Rates Tax Incentives Government Spending Public Transfer Payments Progressive Income Taxes Marginal Tax Rates 1. Lowering taxes: increases individual and business spending power, unemployment rates decrease 2. Raising taxes: decreases individual and business spending power, limiting inflation Tax Incentives Tax breaks given to businesses in the hope that they will invest in new capital goods Government Spending 1. Decrease in spending: slows down business activity and reduces inflation 2. Increase in spending: reduces unemployment and increases business activity Public Transfer Payments 1. Unemployment checks 2. Welfare checks 3. Social Security checks 4. Veteran’s benefits 5. Medicare and Medicaid coverage Progressive Income Taxes 1. People and businesses naturally fall into lower tax brackets during a recession 2. Conversely, they move up into higher tax brackets during a time of prosperity Limitations of Fiscal Policy 1. 2. 3. Timing and Unpredictability: Difficult to predict what the economy will do Political Pressure: Voters will remove elected officials if they feel the economy is not proceeding down a positive path Lack of Coordination: Government agencies cannot always work together quickly enough to get an economic policy in place How Is the Federal Budget Created? 1. The President consults with • Advisers • Office of Management & Budget (OMB) • Council of Economic Advisers • Department of the Treasury 2. President sends proposed budget to Congress for review 3. Congress passes it with changes and sends it back to the President for his signature Budget Deficits • • • Deficits: Occur when more money is spent than is taken in than tax revenues Deficit Spending: The government spends more money on its programs than its tax revenues can cover Four reasons for deficit spending: 1. Promote economic stability 2. Stimulate the economy 3. Provide public goods 4. Provide help during national emergencies The National Debt The term “National Debt” refers to how much the government has borrowed. It includes money carried over from previous years. Debt to the Penny: Examples 08/19/2004 08/18/2004 08/17/2004 08/16/2004 08/13/2004 08/12/2004 08/11/2004 08/10/2004 $7,343,012,590,769.26 $7,337,786,947,237.37 $7,341,461,448,755.40 $7,335,563,157,880.75 $7,312,230,696,984.50 $7,312,306,434,333.71 $7,305,246,621,955.51 $7,308,629,683,239.34 International Trade 1. Specialization 2. Absolute advantage 3. Comparative advantage International Trade Foreign Exchange Rates August 20, 2004 Country Monetary Unit August 16 August 17 August 18 August 19 August 20 Australia Dollar 0.7169 0.7148 0.7145 0.7245 0.7238 Brazil Real 3.0155 2.9960 2.9890 2.9780 2.2780 Canada Dollar 1.3076 1.3080 1.3074 1.2964 1.2980 China, P.R. Yuan 8.2768 8.2767 8.2767 8.2768 8.2767 Denmark Krone 6.0305 6.0330 6.0470 6.0165 6.0270 EMU Members Euro 1.2333 1.2329 1.2299 1.2368 1.2324 Balance of Payments • Keeps track of money invested in the U.S. by other nations and vice versa Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. Country and Industry Detail for Capital Inflows, 2003 [Millions of dollars; not seasonally adjusted; outflows(-)] Year 2003 I II III IVr All countries, all industries ............. 29,772 29,635 -1,191 -4,145 5,473 Europe ................................................ 6,572 30,932 -7,176 -11,583 -5,602 Latin America and other Western Hemisphere .............. 3,525 481 3,606 637 -1,199 Africa ...................................................... -50 -116 138 42 -113 Middle East ........................................... 522 380 -78 377 -157 Asia and Pacific ............................... 10,086 -1,755 1,363 4,431 6,048 European Union (15)/1/ .................... 11,516 25,392 -9,818 -10,501 6,443 Balance of Trade • The difference between imports and exports U.S. Balance of Trade 30.0 Quantity 25.0 20.0 Exports 15.0 10.0 Imports 5.0 0.0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1992-2002 8 9 10 11 Trade Barriers • • • Tariffs: taxes on imports 1. Revenue tariffs 2. Protective tariffs Import quotas Voluntary trade restrictions International Trade Cooperation • • Reciprocal Trade Agreements Regional Trade Organizations 1. European Union 2. Caribbean Community & Common Market 3. Association of Southeast Asian Nations • International Trade Agreements 1. General Agreement on Tariffs & Trade 1947 2. World Trade Organization 1995 North American Free Trade Organization (NAFTA) • Signed in 1992 by the Canada, the U.S., and Mexico • Reduced, then eventually eliminated tariffs NAFTA Effects 1. U.S. agricultural exports worldwide 2. U.S. farm and food exports to NAFTA partners 3. Increases MICROECONOMICS Demand and Supply through Market Structures Microeconomics is the study of… • • • • Individuals Households Businesses Industries Microeconomics revolves around two very important concepts: • Demand • Supply Demand • The desire and ability to purchase a good or a service • Demand represents the consumer’s point of view You may desire to purchase a… Scarcity • A lack of resources • The desire to purchase the Corvette may be strong, but the ability may not be there due to a scarcity of… Trade Off & Opportunity Cost OR • Trade Off: choosing between two things • Opportunity Cost: the thing given up in order to attain the other thing Law of Demand As the price of an item goes down, demand goes up; as the price of an item goes up, demand goes down. EXAMPLE: If the price of flip flops is $5 per pair, 50 people would go to buy them. If the price went up to $50 per pair, there would only be five people who would buy them. Demand Curves & Schedules 50 Quantity Price Quantity Demanded $5 50 $25 25 $50 5 D 25 5 $5 $25 Price $50 Curve Schedule Supply • The desire and ability to sell a good or service to people • Supply represents the producer’s point of view Law of Supply As the price of an item goes up, supply goes up; as the price of an item goes down, supply goes down. EXAMPLE: If the price of flip flops is $5 per pair, 50 people would go to buy them; however, the store might only have 5 pairs on the shelves. If the price went up to $50 per pair, there would only be five people who would buy them; however, the store would want to make a lot of money so they would make sure they had 50 pairs on the shelves. Supply Curves and Schedules S 50 25 Quantity 5 $5 $25 Price Price Quantity Supplied $5 5 $25 25 $50 50 $50 Benefits of the Price System • • • • • Information Incentives Choice Efficiency Flexibility Limitations of the Price System • Externalities • Public Goods • Instability Demand and Supply Curves and Schedules 50 D S Quantity Surplus 25 Quantity Demanded Price Quantity Supplied 50 $5 5 25 $25 25 5 $50 50 Equilibrium Shortage 5 $5 $25 $50 Price Curve Schedule Government Regulations and the Price System D S Surplus Price Floor Quantity • Price Ceilings • Price Floor $50 Equilibrium $25 Price Shortage Ceiling $5 $5 $25 Price $50 Productivity • The amount of goods and services produced per unit of input • Productivity has an impact on what producers can supply at various prices Production Schedule and Curve: Vanilla Mint Cookies 300 Total Product 0 0 Marginal Product 0 1 36 36 2 72 36 3 108 36 4 144 36 5 170 36 6 206 36 7 254 48 8 278 24 9 265 -13 10 258 -7 11 245 -13 12 240 -5 13 238 -2 275 250 Number of Cookies Produced Labor Input 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Labor Input Marginal Product and Costs: Vanilla Mint Cookies Labor Input Total Product Marginal Product 0 Fixed Costs $500 Variable Costs 0 Total Costs $500 Marginal Costs -- 0 0 1 36 36 $500 $150 $650 $1.39 2 72 36 $500 $253 $753 $2.86 3 108 36 $500 $400 $900 $7.03 4 144 36 $500 $527 $1,027 $3.53 5 170 36 $500 $672 $1,172 $4.03 6 206 36 $500 $785 $1,285 $3.14 7 254 48 $500 $889 $1,389 $2.17 8 278 24 $500 $994 $1,494 4.38 9 265 -13 $500 $1,079 $1,579 -6.54 10 258 -7 $500 $1,198 $1,698 -17 11 245 -13 $500 $1,874 $2,374 -52 12 240 -5 $500 $2,326 $2,826 -90.4 13 238 -2 $500 $2,868 $3,368 -271 Market Structures Four types of competition and market structures: • Pefect Competition • Monopolistic Competition • Oligopoly • Pure Monopoly Perfect Competition 1. 2. 3. 4. Characteristics of a market that has perfect competition: Many buyers and sellers All the products are identical There are no price regulations in the market Sellers/Producers can enter and exit the market very easily Monopolistic Competition 1. 2. 3. 4. Characteristics of a market that has monopolistic competition: Many buyers and sellers Product differentiation is necessary because the products essentially do the same thing Non-price competition exists because buyers will purchase their favorite product regardless of price Sellers/producers can enter and exit the market easily Oligopoly 1. 2. 3. 4. Characteristics of a market that has an oligopoly: There are only a few sellers/producers Products can be identical or very similar The market is very difficult for other producers to enter into Non-price competition exists among buyers of the products Monopoly 1. 2. 3. 4. Characteristics of a market that has a monopoly: There is only one seller/producer There is no substitute for the product No other sellers/producers can enter into the market easily The seller/producer has complete control over the price of the product Four Main Types of Monopolies • • • • Natural Geographic Technological Government MICROECONOMICS Part II Businesses, Unions, Saving, and Investing Three main types of business organizations • Sole Proprietorship • Partnership • Corporation Sole Proprietorship A business owned and controlled by one person. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Easy to start 1. Unlimited liability 2. Total control 2. Total responsibility 3. Keep all profits 3. Limited growth 4. Limited life Partnership A business owned by two or more people. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Easy to start 1. Unlimited liability 2. Partner specialization 2. Potential partner conflict 3. Shared decisions 3. Limited life 4. Shared losses 4. Limited growth Corporation A company owned by many stockholders, each of whom share limited liability. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Limited liability 1. Expensive to start 2. Separation of owners and managers 2. Government regulations 3. Easy fund raising 4. Unlimited life 3. Slow decision making 4. Double taxation Steps in Forming a Corporation • • • • Articles of incorporation Board of directors Corporate charter Stocks and bonds Corporate Combinations • • • Horizontal mergers Vertical mergers Conglomerates The U.S. Labor Force • • • • • • Six factors affecting the U.S. labor force: Wages Skills Working conditions Work location Intrinsic rewards Market trends Long-Term Changes Affecting the Labor Force Labor-Intensive Economy (pre-Industrial Revolution) Capital-Intensive Economy (Industrial Revolution to the present) History of Labor Unions • Knights of Labor • American Federation of Labor (AFL) • Congress of Industrial Organizations (CIO) • AFL-CIO Types of Unions Local Unions National Unions Example: plumbers in a certain county, group of counties, or a state Example: the AFL-CIO Independent Unions Example: the NEA (National Educators Association) Key Labor Legislation • Clayton Antitrust Act (1914) • Norris-La Guardia Act (1932) • Wagner Act (1935) • Fair Labor Standards Act (1938) • Taft-Hartley Act (1947) • Landrum-Griffin Act (1959) Senator Robert F. Wagner Senator Robert A. Taft Union Bargaining Contract Issues • Wages and fringe benefits • Working conditions • Job security • Union security • Grievance procedures Negotiating Techniques • Collective bargaining • Mediation • Arbitration Labor Tactics Union Tactics • Striking • Picketing • Boycotting • Coordinated campaigning Management Tactics • Hiring scabs • Lockouts • Injunctions Scabs being driven through a picket line Saving • Savings accounts • Money-market accounts • Time deposits - Certificates of deposit - Savings bonds Investments Financial Plans • Budgets • Investment plans • Retirement accounts • Estate plans Stocks Trading Investing 1. Profit and loss 1. Brokers - Dividends 2. Investment banks - Capital gains and losses 3. Stock exchanges 2. Stock splits -NYSE -AMEX 4. Over-the-counter markets -NASDAQ Investments Stock Prices Weekly 52 Week Hi Lo Name PacSun Tom WalM Ko Div Yield PE Vol Wkly Hi Lo Last Charge YTD Fri % Chng Wkly Bonds • Yields • Corporate bonds • Municipal bonds • Government bonds Bills Bonds Notes Short-term investment Long-term investment Long-term investment Matures 3 months to 1 year Matures 1–10 years Matures 10–30 years Minimum order $10,000 Minimum order $1,000–$5,000 Minimum order $5,000 Credit • Credit bureau - Credit rating • Credit terms - Finance charges - Annual Percentage Rate (APR) • Credit abuse - Bankruptcy Credit as a Stimulant for the Economy A lot of people and businesses deposit their money in bank accounts The banks loan this money out to businesses, people, and the government Businesses buy new equipment with the borrowed money The people who borrow the money buy different things The government spends the borrowed money on public goods All of the spending of this borrowed money causes DEMAND to increase When Demand increases SUPPLY increases too