Chapter 2 Measurement Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Topics • Measuring GDP • Nominal and real GDP and price indices • Labor market measurement Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-2 GDP • The dollar value of final outputs produced during a given period of time within the borders of a country. • Example: published in the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) in U.S. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-3 Measuring GDP: The National Income and Product Accounts • GDP Measured Using: (i) the product approach; (ii) the expenditure approach; (iii) the income approach. • Three approaches yield the same value of GDP. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-4 National Income Accounting Example • Fictional Island Economy • Coconut Producer, Restaurant, Consumers, Government Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-5 Table 2.1 Coconut Producer Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-6 Table 2.2 Restaurant Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-7 Table 2.3 After-Tax Profits Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-8 Table 2.4 Government Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-9 Table 2.5 Consumers Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-10 Measuring GDP Using the Product (Value-added) Approach • Sum of value added to goods and service in production across all productive units in economy. • Add the value of all goods and service, and subtract the value of all intermediate goods and service used in production. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-11 Table 2.6 GDP Using the Product Approach Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-12 Expenditure Approach • Total spending on all final goods and service in economy. • Total expenditure = C + I + G + NX I: expenditure on goods that are produced, but not consumed as consumption goods. For example, machinery in plants. NX=Exports – Imports. Exports are produced within a country, while imports are produced abroad. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-13 Table 2.7 GDP Using the Expenditure Approach Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-14 Income Approach • Add up all incomes received by all economic agents contributing to production in an economy. • Income includes: – – – – Wage incomes Interest incomes Corporate incomes (profits) Taxes net of subsidies on products or factors of production Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-15 Table 2.8 GDP Using the Income Approach Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-16 Inventory Investment • Def: goods produced in the current period, but not consumed. • Components: – Finished goods – Goods in process – Raw materials. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-17 Inventory Investment • Back to coconut economy: – If harvest 13M instead of 10M coconuts, and put 3M in warehouse as inventory, how is GDP affected? – Product approach: 3M*2 – value added in coconut production. – Expenditure approach: I = 3M*2 – Income approach: 3M*2 - after-tax profits received by coconut producers increase since assets rise. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-18 GNP (gross national product) • The value of outputs produced by domestic factors of production, no matter whether or not the production takes place within a country. • Difference from GDP: – Within a country for GDP, no matter who owns the production unit. – Chinese plants in the U.S. (GNP, not GDP) – American plants in China (not GNP, GDP) Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-19 Nominal and Real GDP and Price Indices • Price index: price of a set of goods and service produced in an economy over a period of time. A general measure of price level. • Inflation rate: the rate of change in the price level. • Growth in nominal GDP = Growth in real GDP + Inflation Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-20 Table 2.10 Data for Real GDP Example Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-21 Chain-Weighting Approach • Use rolling base year. • g3= sqrt ( (1+g1)(1+g2) ) - 1 – A geometric average of the growth rates calculated by using year 1 and year 2 as base year. Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-22 Figure 2.1 Nominal GDP (black line) and Chain-Weighted Real GDP (colored line) for the Period 1947–2006 Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-23 Table 2.11 Implicit GDP Price Deflators, Example Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-24 Figure 2.2 Inflation Rate Calculated from the CPI (blue line), and Calculated from the Implicit GDP Price Deflator (black line) Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-25 Figure 2.3 The Price Level as Measured by the CPI and Implicit GDP Price Deflator, 1947–2006 Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-26