Thomson Greenhouse Business Plan Prepared for: The Thomson Family & Marv Painter / Associates Prepared by: Allison Gerhardt Tim McMillan Reid McBride Daisy Yan Iain Smith Table of Contents 1.0 Executive Summary 1.1 The Opportunity………………………………………………………... 3 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 Description of Products and Services……………………………………… 3 Differentiation…………………………………………………………….... 3 Key Market Drivers………………………………………………………... 3 Management……………………………………………………………….. 3 Key Financials……………………………………………………………… 4 2.0 Industry Overview………………………………………………. .…………. 5 3.0 The Company 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 Company Overview……………………………………………………….. Market Characteristics…………………………………………………….. Mission Statement…………………………………………………………. Vision Statement…………………………………………………………... 6 6 7 7 4.0 Operations Plan 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 Site Development Plan……………………………………………… 8 Organizational Structure……………………………………………. 8 Hours of Operations………………………………………………… 9 Service Providers/Suppliers…………………………………………. 9 Operating Expenses, Cost of Goods Sold, Capital Assets…………... 10 5.0 Human Resources Plan 5.1 Proposed HR Strategy……………………………………………….. 11 5.2 Expected Cost of Compensation…………………………………….. 12 5.3 Training Programs…………………………………………………… 13 6.0 Marketing Plan and Competition Analysis 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 SWOT Analysis……………………………………………………… 14 The Marketing Mix…………………………………………………... 17 Segmentation of Greenhouse Industry………………………………..19 Competition Analysis………………………………………………… 22 7.0 Financial Statements Analysis 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 Financial Overview………………………………………………………….. 24 Critical Success Factors………………………………………………………28 Sensitivity Analysis…………………………………………………………..28 Income Taxes………………………………………………………………....29 8.0 Recommendations……………………………………………….......................30 2 1.0 Executive Summary 1.1 The Opportunity The Canadian Horticulture and Greenhouse Industry recorded revenues of $2.2 billion in 2007, encompassing more than seven major revenue streams. Thomson Greenhouse, further referred to as “the Company”, participates in only two revenue streams, resulting in an opportunity to expand current operations and diversify into other markets. This expansion will require an operational change from a part-time to a full-time business and a large capital investment in additional greenhouses to increase both the capacity and variety of the products offered. 1.2 Description of Products and Services Thomson’s Greenhouse is a small 800 square meter family run business. The Company focus is on the sale of annuals, perennials, house plants and vegetables to mass market chain stores and direct public. To stay competitive, sales to the chain stores result in modest margins on products sold. Sales to the general public show increased margins as the Company has differentiated itself on quality of goods and service. This has allowed it to obtain, and maintain, a solid market share in the Regina area. 1.3 Key Market Drivers Overall, the demand for nursery and greenhouse products is shaped by a broad array of market forces. A combination of factors such as wellness, fashion/design, home ownership, convenience, value, ethnicity, indulgence and demographic structures, acting interdependently or independently influence consumption patterns and demand for nursery and greenhouse products. 1.4 Management Thomson is being run as a side business to generate secondary income. It is currently comanaged by Earl and Lisa Thomson, who purchased the business from Lisa’s parents and relocated it to Regina. The small family run greenhouse plays right into the current market trend of small owner operated facilities. The family’s goal is to pass the greenhouse business over to the youngest son, Ryan, so that he can pursue a full time career with the company. 3 1.5 Key Financials A financial analysis is performed on three options in order to assess which alternative bests suits the qualitative and quantitative needs of our client. One option consists of expanding the Company to a total of five greenhouses; three commercial and two retail. Under this option, the Company is projected to operate with significant losses and negative cash flows for the next five years. Option two consists of keeping the old greenhouse and building an additional new greenhouse. One greenhouse will sell to the commercial market, and the other will sell to the retail market (individual public). The Company is also projected to operate with losses and negative cash flow for the next five years, with the net losses and cash flow deficiencies becoming worse from year to year. The final option consists of replacing the current greenhouse that is becoming outdated, with a brand new greenhouse. Under this option, the Company is forecasted to operate with losses and negative cash flow for the next five years, with losses and cash flow improving marginally from year to year. In conclusion, only the full expansion option meets our client’s objective to carry the business on to the youngest son, Ryan, however does not provide enough cash flow and net income to be considered a viable option. Recommendation Our recommendation is for the Thompson family to slowly wind-up the greenhouse operation. This will be a five year process which inevitably leaves the greenhouse as a hobby greenhouse rather than income producing company. It is suggested that the family either continues to rent out the farm land, to earn income that can be used to help pay for the son(s) education or provide additional income. As land is appreciating in value substantially in Saskatchewan another option is to sell the land in year 5 and recognize the capital gain on the investment. 4 2.0 Industry Overview The Horticulture and Greenhouse industry is a $2.2 billion dollar industry in Canada (see Appendix E) encompassing more than seven major revenue streams and 21,000,000 square meters of space (5,200 acres). Revenue streams include sales to retail florists, domestic wholesalers, mass market chain stores, other greenhouses, and the general public. Revenues even extend to a large export market, with the growth and sale of greenhouse vegetables being surprisingly the largest revenue generator. The industry is expansive consuming Canada with a total number of 3,475 greenhouses that employ just over 41,000 full and part-time staff. The industry experiences an average growth rate of 4% to 7% annually, which exceeds the average growth rate of 3% experience by mature industries. The industry is currently going through an interesting phase as the number of greenhouses continues to rise year to year, while the square meters of greenhouse space steadily decreases. All the while revenue grows. One would then have to assume that the trend of the industry is towards more efficient, smaller, owner managed greenhouses, as opposed to the larger corporate run structures. This trend is very important when considering the business plan for Thomson’s Greenhouse. 5 3.0 The Company 3.1 Company Overview As Earl and Lisa Thomson approach retirement and begin planning for the future, it is clear that they desire to keep Thomson Greenhouse, further referred to as “the Company”, within their family. The family members of the household have taken an active role in the operations and they continue to be the salient reason for the success of the business. Lisa’s parents work part-time which allows the Company to meet the demand of its customers in the busy season. The three Thomson boys (Derek, Russel, and Ryan) have an attachment to the greenhouse, but as they mature and graduate they will likely not continue to work for a minimal wage (less than $3,500/year between the three of them). There is a large capital investment required in order to maintain the Company in the current year, Earl and Lisa need to choose a course of action for their family business. The Thomson’s three options: 1. Replace the existing greenhouse and maintain the business; 2. Repair the current greenhouse, construct a new greenhouse, and slowly increase operations; or 3. Repair the current greenhouse, begin a slow expansion by constructing four new greenhouses over the next five years, and continue to diversify operations in the future. 3.1.1 Option 1 The Thomson’s would encounter significant financial difficulties as a result of the large capital cost of a new greenhouse. With current operations currently turning a meager profit before taxes of nine-thousand dollars, simply maintaining operations would not produce an adequate amount of money in order to cover the fifty-thousand dollar cost of a new greenhouse. As a result, the business would fail to sustain operations for five years and the Thomson’s would be unable to provide their son(s) employment during the summers. 3.1.2 Option 2 The second option would not give rise to a viable business. Revenues would increase in correlation with greenhouse capacity however, not quickly enough to cover the rising costs. 6 Currently, the Company is able to survive due to minimal labor costs; the wages reported on the income statement are much lower than labor market standards. Unfortunately, revenues will simply not increase enough to cover the repairs to the existing greenhouse, the large capital cost of the new greenhouse, and the increased labor costs to replace the boys. Therefore, the goals of the Thomson’s would not be achieved under Option Two. 3.1.3 Option 3 The remaining option is to expand the Company at a pace which is quick enough to offset the increasing capital and operational costs through an increase in growing capacity and revenue. It is proposed that the Company first repair the existing greenhouse and subsequently construct an additional four greenhouses over the next five years. Our business plan below will expand on assessing this Option. 3.2 Mission Statement: Thomson Greenhouse endures to enrich the lives of its customers by providing friendly gardening expertise and high quality flowers, plants, and vegetation. We strive to improve your day, by improving the world, one flower at a time. 3.3 Vision: To become the largest provider of Greenhouse products in Saskatchewan. 7 4.0 Operations Plan 4.1 Site Development Plan The Company currently owns a twenty acre plot of land and is using less than half of an acre for their greenhouse. Over a five year period, the business will expand operations to a level that is more than five times the current capacity by constructing four additional 800m2 greenhouses. In year one, the old greenhouse will be repaired to extend its useful life an additional five years and construction of a new greenhouse that will be used solely for commercial operations will commence. In year two, The Company will be using the existing greenhouse (636.47 m2 of shelf space and an additional 41.34 m2 of storage room) solely for retail sales. The first new greenhouse will be complete, which will add 873.75 m2 of shelf space dedicated to commercial contracts. The shelf space is much larger than the original greenhouse as the new commercial greenhouses will not contain a separate storage room or customer service counter. Each year a new greenhouse will be built, thus expanding the total capacity to 3,894.19m2 by year five, which includes two retail and three commercial greenhouses. See Appendix A for Site Plans for the Retail Greenhouse and Commercial Greenhouses 4.2 Organizational Structure Currently, The Company is a partnership with Earl and Lisa at the top splitting up the management decisions by expertise . Between the two of them, they complete the vital tasks of the organization (accounting, orders, etc.) and oversee the daily operations of the business. The only other individuals within the organization include their three sons and Lisa’s parents, Morris and Anna Slemko, who all work part-time. This structure has been effective in the past, however, as the company expands and changes, so too must the structure. (See Appendix B for current and proposed Organizational Structure) The organizational structure will undergo a change over a five-year period in which the end result will be The Company as a corporation owned by Earl and Lisa, but being overseen by their second-oldest son Ryan. As Ryan desires a more active hand in the business, he will become more involved as he matures. He is currently going into university and will work part time during the year as well as working full-time over the summers as he works towards a business degree. With some formal education 8 and business experience with the greenhouse, Ryan will be completing university in year 5 and ready to move into a full time role. This will occur as all five new greenhouses become operational and moves into smoothing the seasonality of their revenues by selling vegetables during the winter months. Earl and Lisa as common shareholders will also act as advisors to the business. The other two boys, Derek and Russel, will continue to be involved in the direction of the family business by means of consulting. This role will be completed in addition to the individual career paths chosen by the boys, as they will have a vested interest in the family business as preferred shareholders. New roles within the organizational chart will include University of Saskatchewan and University of Regina horticulture and agriculture co-op students, and staff members, see HR section for details. The move to incorporate The Company should occur once it begins to turn a profit, as these amounts will be subject to tax at the small business rate and can be reinvested in the company as opposed to being distributed amongst the partners and taxed at their individual rates. In addition, it will facilitate the gradual transfer of the family business to the three boys as desired by Earl and Lisa with numerous options regarding the transfer of common vs. preferred, or voting vs. nonvoting shares depending on their wishes. 4.3 Hours of Operations During the busy season (May to August), the retail store will be open to the public from 10 am to 6 pm Monday, Tuesday, Saturday and Sunday. On Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, the store will be open from 10am to 9pm to provide more flexibility for the busy consumers. During slow season, retail operations hours will be 10am to 6pm Tuesday to Sunday. The store will have extended hours on Thursday evenings by opening until 9pm. Mondays will be designated as an off day, in addition, stores will be closed on all provincial and federal holidays. 4.4 Service Providers/ suppliers The company will continue to employ previous service providers and suppliers in maintaining its new greenhouses. Earl and Lisa will continue with their current process of inventory ordering system and supplier quality monitoring as it has proved to be successful in the past. 9 4.5 Operating Expenses, Cost of goods Sold, Capital Assets See Financial Statement Analysis Section 10 5.0 Human Resources Plan The Company has traditionally been a family-run operation, during the busy season, Thompsons’ three sons work in the business and their earnings are used to help finance their schooling. During the busy season, Lisa’s parents, Morris and Anna also help out. Current wage expenses are $6,150, these are paid to the three sons and Anna and Morris for their work during the summer. Our business plan calls for a slow expansion with the addition of one greenhouse a year for the next five years. These include three new commercial greenhouses in year two, three and four; one new vegetable greenhouse in year five along with renovation of the existing greenhouse to take place in year five. Since most of the addition involves moving towards the commercial market, retail sale to individual customers is expected to remain consistent with prior years. The addition of wholesale greenhouses will result in the need for additional staff to meet increased demand and workload. The greenhouse industry attracts horticultural enthusiasts, who enjoy working in a horticultural environment. Starting salaries will be slightly avove minimum wage, while raises and small bonuses will be offered with annual performance reviews. Our proposed HR strategy is outlined below: 5.1 Proposed HR Strategy: Year 1 No additional Staff Year 2 2 Additional co- op Student Additional full-time Staff member Year 3 2 Additional co- op Student Year 4 Additional full-time Staff member Year 5 2 Additional co- op Student Ryan to work full Time Note: Co-op students explained below Proposed Staffing Plan: Title Owner Manager (Lisa & Earl, Ryan) Staff member (family help) Co-op Students Staff member (Full-time) Total Number of employees Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 2 4 0 0 2 4 2 1 2 4 4 1 2 4 4 2 3 1 6 2 7 9 11 12 12 11 There will be no need for additional staff in year one as the first of the greenhouse additions will be operational in year two. It is assumed Derek will no longer work in the greenhouse as it is likely he will pursue a career after graduation from University and he has not shown interest in managing the Company. We have kept Derek in the organizational chart as he will be a valuable member of the business as he could be called upon to offer consulting advice. The Company will continue employing Ryan, Russell, Anna and Morris to continue to work part-time to help out with the business, however as the grandparents are approaching old age, we will assume that they will be less involved in the business starting year 4 and stop by year 5. The primary responsibilities of Lisa will be overseeing the daily operational functions; these will include overseeing the horticultural harvesting, nutrition and greenhouse environment. Earl will continue to look after financial matters of the business. Both will share the responsibilities of supervision. 5.1.1 Horticulture/Agriculture Co-op Program We propose the Company hire co-op students currently/interested in enrolling in the college of agriculture within the University of Regina and University of Saskatchewan; these students will be knowledgeable about horticulture and will be eager to work in an environment that can offer them a valuable experience. Co-op terms will be 4 months long: from April to August. Co-op students combined with full-time staff members will be employed in Years two to five to fill the work demands. They will be expected to perform a variety of jobs from harvesting, planting, servicing customers, clean-up etc. Discussions with both Universities have already begun to take place and there has been great interest in pursuing this business arrangement by all parties. In year five, Ryan will graduate from the University and begin working full-time at the Greenhouse, through his experiences in prior years, he will be able to take on a managing role in the daily operations of the Greenhouse, thereby leaving more free time to Lisa and Earl, who will continue to oversee the business, especially the financial aspect. The financial position will continue be run by Earl until the time he is ready to pass the business onto his sons. 5.2 Expected Compensation Plan: Co-op Students Staff members $6,400 $20,000 /summer /year Ryan - Operations Manager $50,000 /year 12 Projected Costs Year 1 Owner Manager (Lisa & Earl) Finance/accounting personnel Staff member (family help) Co-op Students Staff member (Full-time) Total - Year 2 - - - Year 5 50,000 6,150 - 9,344 12,800 20,000 9,420 26,240 20,500 11,641 26,896 43,076 8,623 41,353 44,153 6,150 Year 3 42,144 Year 4 56,160 81,613 144,128 - Wages were adjusted for inflation @ 2.5% per year Wages will be determined as above, we did not take into consideration CPP, EI and workers compensation as the amount would not materially affect the business plan. Lisa & Earl will not be given annual wages as they will be able to draw dividends from the after tax income earned in the year. Families working during the summer has been traditionally been paid minimum wage, given the labour shortage, we need to allocate a more reasonable wage to the sons helping during the summer, therefore, we have raised wages to bring it closer to the industry average by the end of year four, this is desirable in retaining the sons help as the grandparents will begin to phase out their help in year four. 5.3 Training Program New employees will receive basic training from Lisa and Earl; these will include basic work place safety, daily operations and expected duties/responsibilities. Since Thompsons Greenhouse is a small operation, employees will be encouraged to seek help if they have any questions or concerns, and they will be able to get timely feedbacks from Lisa and Earl. Performance evaluations will be reviewed on an annual basis; at which time raises will be considered. Employees will also be able to work in both wholesale division and retail division, which will provide job rotation and add variety to their job experience. 13 6.0 Marketing Plan 6.1 SWOT Analysis An analysis of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats (SWOT) must first be assessed in order to determine the marketing plan to be implemented. 6.1.1 Strengths The Company is a family owned and operated business, founded 17 years ago by Earl and Lisa Thompson. The Company has been successful in establishing a name for quality products and good customer service. The Company has therefore projected a strong sense of brand recognition and loyalty to its customers. This leads to consistently strong sales, due to the returning customer base. The Company is therefore able to charge a premium price as compared to industry averages on sales per square meter, at $55 per square meter for individual sales, and $21 per square meter per commercial as noted in Appendix L. Industry averages were $44 and $18 respectively (Government of Ontario, 2008). Even though the business was founded as a second source of income for the family, it has been successful in operating with a profit, and is viable as demonstrated by a favorable current ratio of 3.6:1 (current assets divided by current liabilities) and debt to equity ratio of 0.01:1 (liabilities divided by equity) (Balderson & Clark). This indicates that the company is in a favorable liquidity position, and is able to repay its current obligations without difficulty. A final strength is that The Company has been able to diversify into numerous product areas, such as bedding plants, vegetables, annuals, perennials, and specialty plants and arrangements. This enables customers to choose from a wider array of product, therefore increasing their chances of making a purchase. It also attracts customers with various preferences; such as those who wish to plant shrubs and trees as opposed to purchasing indoor flower arrangements. 6.1.2 Weaknesses One weakness that currently exists at the Company is that Ryan, who is interested in taking over the family run business, is currently in Grade 12 and will therefore not be able to manage the business until the fifth year. This is a concern for The Company, given that Ryan may change his mind about his future career aspirations as he continues his education in University, thus making it difficult to keep the business within the family. This is also a concern for the Company, since 14 Lisa will need to take a leading role in the business until Ryan is ready to take over, and Lisa has never before the Company as a full time business – especially through an expansion. A final weakness is that The Company is a small, family owned business that earns income on the side. Salaries paid to the family are very low, and profits are also rather low. Therefore, in order to make a sustainable living solely from this business, significant organizational changes will be required. 6.1.3 Opportunities Research has shown that individuals between the ages of 55 to 65 spend more on horticulture than any other age group (Francese, 2002). With the baby boomers aging (individuals born in the post-World War II period between 1945 and 1965), spending on plants and flowers will surge in the next few years (Wikipedia, 2008). This is an opportunity for The Company, since it will be able to capitalize on this opportunity by increasing profitability and allowing for larger salaries to be paid. Another opportunity for The Company is the strength of the Saskatchewan economy. In 2007, Saskatchewan was one of the leading provinces in Canadian GDP (Gilbert, 2008). This strength in the Saskatchewan economy has led to the fastest growing real estate market in Canada for the 2007 year (Calder, 2008). Combined, this resulted in an increase in residential homes, and an elevated level of income. Both are opportunities for The Company given that additional funds can be spent on new homes purchased by Saskatchewan residents. Currently, The Company is selling its product to mass market chain stores such as Wal-Mart and Canadian Tire, and directly to the public. As shown below, a vast market exists in Canada for greenhouse sales, comprised of seven streams of revenue, totaling $1.5 billion dollars, not including vegetable sales (Government of Ontario, 2008). The Company is only selling to two of those seven areas, thus only tapping into 42% of the market. An opportunity therefore exists with respect to all the other un-targeted revenue streams. The Company could capitalize on this opportunity by targeting additional segments of the market that are currently being neglected. 15 6.1.4 Threats One threat that is present for the Company is the threat of competition. As shown in Appendix D, there are numerous competitors in the industry, consisting of other greenhouses, cross-national chain stores, and retail florists. The numerous competitors make it difficult for the company to secure sales to the general public, and to obtain contracts with commercial consumers. The threat of competition is therefore assessed at a high level, thus decreasing potential sales. Another threat for The Company is unfavorable weather patterns. Regina, Saskatchewan is a city that experiences rather extreme weather patterns, ranging from negative 30 to positive 30 degrees Celsius. There are few plants that can succumb to such temperatures. This is a threat for The Company, given that some product will be grown outside the greenhouse itself, therefore being directly exposed to the climate. Unfavorable or unpredictable weather patterns can damage the product, thus resulting in high spoilage and decreased sales. Note that a spoilage factor was considered in our financial analysis to account for this threat. An increase in direct costs, such as soil, fertilizer, and pesticide costs are also a threat to The Company, especially in a very strong economy such as that of Saskatchewan. If suppliers raise their prices as a result of the favorable economic situation, profit margins will suffer. A final threat is that of disease or pests. Plants and vegetables are prone to being destroyed by numerous indoor and outdoor diseases, and by rodents and insects. This risk can be mitigated by pesticides and therefore is not considered a serious threat unless pesticide prices increase and The Company reduces their usage. In addition, plants and vegetables will be inspected daily in order to prevent infestation. 16 6.2 The Marketing Mix In response to the SWOT analysis above, we have formulated a marketing mix that capitalizes on The Company’s strengths and opportunities, while mitigating its risks and threats. 6.2.1 Products Over the course of the next five years, The Company is going to build an additional four greenhouses, and repair the old existing greenhouse. There will be two greenhouses that sell directly to the general public, and three greenhouses that sell to mass market chain stores, domestic wholesalers, and florists in order to capitalize on the un-tapped revenue streams identified in the SWOT analysis. Out of the two greenhouses that sell to the general public, one will be a vegetable greenhouse open all year round in order to generate some sales throughout the winter months. The greenhouse will sell tomatoes, cucumber, peppers, broccoli, lettuce and other leafy vegetables, basil, oregano, dill, coriander, mint, chives, and other spices. The other greenhouse will consist of full service garden centers selling annuals, perennials, small trees and shrubs, pots, and other gardening accessories. The three greenhouses that will sell to mass market chain stores, domestic wholesalers, and florists will sell the same product as the greenhouses that sell to the individual public (annuals, perennials, small trees and shrubs, pots, and other gardening accessories). All products sold will be of premium and high quality. Organic soils, high quality fertilizers, automated watering systems and fertilizing systems, brand new greenhouse facilities, and educated, friendly, up-beat and fun staff members all will enable The Company to charge a premium price. Customers will pay a premium price for high quality product with exceptional service. 6.2.2 Pricing The prices charged by the Company will be approximately 25% higher than those in the industry. As noted in Appendix E, the sales price per square meter is $55, as compared to $44 for the industry. Higher prices will be charged given that The Company will be positioning itself as a premium product provider with high quality sales service. Refer to Appendix D for a competitive analysis including pricing for The Company’s competitors. Customers will also be willing to pay a higher price, given that currently there is an absence of premium-positioned greenhouses in Regina, Saskatchewan. A newly premium-positioned greenhouse, in combination with a strong 17 economy, increased disposable income, and an aging baby boomer population will appeal to consumers, and therefore they will be willing to pay a higher price than that of competitors. 6.2.3 Promotion Our promotion strategy will be focused on our high quality product and sales service approach. The Company will develop a website outlining company information, product offered, and current events to be attended by the Company. This website will help promote The Company’s new image, given that previously, word of mouth was the main source of promotion. In addition, flyers and advertisements in the local newspapers will also be featured. This method of advertising will properly target the aging baby boomers, who prefer traditional forms of advertising as opposed to website or virtual advertising. See Appendix F for our proposed Website. With regards to current events, The Company will increase its image and presence in the community by attending events such as the Lilac Festival, and other charity functions. The Company will also participate in gardening workshops at The Company’s premises, in order to promote, encourage, and teach individuals gardening and gardening tips. Again, this will help endorse The Company’s new image. In order to have a high energy, fun, but yet educated staff base, The Company, together with the University of Regina and the University of Saskatchewan will partake in a Horticultural cooperative educational program (co-op program). The co-op program will enable Horticulture students from both Universities to work full time with The Company during the busy summer months. This way, The Company will be employing young, energetic, enthusiastic individuals who are also knowledgeable in the horticulture field. 6.2.4 Place The Company’s location in Regina is favorable, given that there are numerous small town and municipalities that surround it. It is also a government city with a high percentage of individuals close to retirement age, therefore hitting the prime age group for horticultural spending as identified in the SWOT analysis. As noted above in the “products” section, there will be a total of five greenhouses selling to numerous market segments in order to capitalize on the un-tapped revenue streams. Products will 18 be sold either directly to the general public, or to mass market chain stores, domestic wholesalers, and florists. The website will be for advertising purposes only; no sales will be generated online. The target market will be segregated into the primary, secondary, and tertiary segments as further noted in this business plan. 6.3 Segmentation of Greenhouse Industry The Greenhouse industry can be segmented into providing services to the market through the following channels: Sales to retail florists, sales to domestic wholesalers, sales to mass market chain stores, sales to other greenhouses, exports, direct sales to public and other channels. The Company, in the past, has earned revenue primarily through direct sales to public and secondarily through sales to mass market chain stores. This market diversification was suitable to the volume produced. Three options have been presented as to how the Company could continue running its business. Options 1 and 2 would continue to focus on the two revenue streams addressed above. Option 3 aims to diversify the revenue streams further to take advantage of additional opportunities available; such as increasing the contracts with mass market chain stores, begin selling to local florists and selling to domestic wholesalers. 6.3.1 Demographics of Regina, Saskatchewan Location of Thompson Greenhouse: Regina, Saskatchewan (Wikipedia, 2008). Population of Regina: 179,246 Age Structure: 0-14 years: 20% 15-64 years: 67.5% 65 and over: 12.5% Mean Household Income: $46,487 Median Age: 35.8 years An analysis of the age structure (above) shows that the majority of individuals are between the ages of 15-64, with a median age of 36 years old. This shows potential for the Company due to the following: Target market exists of individuals from the age of 40 – 65 19 When the full expansion of the Company is complete (5 years) the median age will have increased to 41 years old, resulting in an increased number of potential customers Saskatchewan is going through an economic “boom” period which the end result will be increased population base Beyond Regina there are numerous farm towns surrounding the city. Appendix D shows a map of Regina and the surrounding area to visually present the additional segments Thompson Greenhouse can market to including: Deer Valley, Zehner, White City, Richardson, Kronau, Drinkwater and Belle Plaine; all of which are within 50km’s of Regina. 6.3.2 Positioning The Company has been a provider of high quality bedding plants. Vegetables, annuals, perennials, and specialty plants and arrangements, the business also offers a two acre tree nursery and garden offering a wide range of trees from pines to fruit trees. The potential to increase all of these products exists as Thompson Greenhouse is positioned with the resource of an additional 15 acres of land. The Thompson family has the ability, knowledge and customer base to increase marketing efforts and capture greater market share in the greenhouse industry surrounding Regina, Saskatchewan. The concerns addressing the family are the eventual transition of the business to son(s), financing difficulties and obtaining additional commercial contracts. The transition to the son(s) is a simple tax matter that can be discussed at a later date, the financing issues have been addressed in the Financial Plan presented in this business plan and obtaining additional commercial and individual customers can be done through a re-branding exercise to help distinguish what the Company is to their customers, a positioning statement and website to open up Thompson’s to the worldwide internet. Please see website extracts in Appendix F. It is important for the Company to increase sales to commercial/wholesaler distributers. The Thomson family will continue to market to their existing commercial customers and add additional contracts through continuing market efforts in and around Regina. There will be a special login on the Company’s website for commercial customers which will show the different price points of products and contact information. 6.3.3 Re-Branding Thompson Greenhouse A positioning statement will allow your customers to know what the company is, what it offers and the integrity of its owners. Thompson will likely be perceived differently by its different 20 target market, i.e. individual vs. commercial customers. To this extent two different positioning statements have been created: (1) Thompson Greenhouse: To individual consumers, Thompson Greenhouse is a destination that will provide a beautiful variety of gardening products and supplies, accompanied with the knowledge to help even the “greenest” individual create their ideal garden. (2) Thompson Greenhouse: To commercial customers, Thompson Greenhouse is a supplier of premium quality gardening products and supplies, whose management has a commitment to service, timely delivery and possess a passion for horticulture. The Brand Promise of the Company will enable cliental to know the general positioning statement in a single sentence. It should communicate the commitment Thompson’s has to providing excellent product, service and knowledge. Brand Promise: “Your Growth. Your Success. It’s all we think about!” 6.3.4 Projections of Revenues and Marketing Expenses Development of Website: A graphic designer and web developer have been contacted and the estimated cost for the website is $2,000. The company performing this branding work for Thompson Greenhouse is RFX brand and communications. An example of our webpage can be seen in Appendix F. The annual website maintenance has been estimated to be an additional $500 a year. Brochures: Brochures will be distributed to Big Box stores of which we have contracts and various florists around the city. RFX Brand Communications will be creating the advertising brochures for us as well as the website. Additional costs for the brochures have been quoted at $1,000. This will provide Thompson Greenhouse with 2,500 brochures. 21 Flower and Garden Shows: There are annual Flower and Garden shows in Saskatoon and Regina. The cost to set up a booth at these shows is $1,000. It is assumed that the Company will only attend the Regina shows as the Saskatoon greenhouse and nursery market is not our target market; and the competition in Saskatoon is greater than that of Regina. Gift Certificates (Prizes): To get the marketing program off the ground we have allocated $500 to gift certificate prizes that can be given out to customers for purchasing items and bring a friend. Gift Certificates will result in a promotional boost to the company to kick off the expansion and generate growing interest in the Company. The financial cost of the marketing initiatives should not exceed our projected budget of $5,000. 6.4 Competition Analysis 6.4.1 Primary Competition Wascana Greenhouse & Nursery The competitive environment facing the Company in the area surrounding Regina is a moderate risk. There is one primary competitor, Wascana Greenhouses; the business provides nearly all services offered by Thompson plus a landscaping service. This does not present itself as a weakness as landscaping is not a core competency of Thompson and as such there would be little value in trying to copy Wascana’s business model. Some critical identifying factors of Wascana have been presented below. Market Share: Wascana has the largest market share in the Regina region as it is the largest greenhouse company. With 30,000 square feet of area (2,787 sq meters) Wascana is substantially bigger than Thompson Greenhouse at its present operational capacity. Upon consultation with Regina citizens the most commonly visited greenhouse/nursery is Wascana; the reason provided was the diversity of their selection of products. Strengths/Weaknesses: Products and services of Wascana are of high quality and well diversified. The management team is a husband/wife combination who has been running the Greenhouse since 1975. This signifies the durability, credibility and viability of this business. 22 Sherwood Greenhouses – this greenhouse is of small proportions no greater than 15,000 square feet of growing area (1,400 square meters). The operation focuses primarily on Perennials, Geraniums, and Petunia’s. The management team is new as the previous owners retired and sold the greenhouse in 2000. Management had no prior experience in the greenhouse industry prior to the purchase. 6.4.2 Secondary Competition Big Box Stores & Wholesalers: Big Box Stores and Wholesalers are considered secondary competition. Although they will supply plants at a discount, the employees will not have the knowledge nor premium products. The following secondary competitors in Regina are: Canadian Tire Real Canadian Superstar Wal-Mart Home Depot 6.4.3 Tertiary Competition Surrounding Farms – there are a number of farms surround the Regina area that offer various arrangements of plants and offer different services, however their core competencies are around farming and the sale of greenhouse products is of secondary nature. These farms hold a low proportion of the greenhouse consumer market share. 6.4.4 Differentiation The Company has operated for many years in the Regina area, over these years they have generated a significant following and hold a small share of the Regina greenhouse industry. The Company seeks to differentiate its product offerings through the following unique attributes: High quality, award winning products Unparalleled commitment to service Creative branding techniques – website, brochures, charity events, festivals etc. Consistent and timely distribution to commercial customers Experienced and consultative sales force Management believes that the Company compares favorably to the competition in key service areas such as product quality, accessibility and customer support and floral knowledge. 23 7.0 Financial Statement Analysis 7.1 Financial Overview We have adjusted the financial statements for items that were not reflective of current market conditions. With current revenue at $37,000, and assuming a new greenhouse provides $30,000, we assumed that the land rental revenue per year is $7,000. With respect to cost of goods sold, fertilizer, water, soil and truck costs have been increased to reflect current market pricing. Other costs remain the same, with the exception of building repairs due to the high costs of labour in today’s economy. Based on our preliminary research, the costs of building a new greenhouse are approximately $50,000 for the square footage that you require, as opposed to $12,000 as initially estimated. We projected revenues to grow at a rate of 3% per year. This figure includes real growth rate of 2.5%, plus inflation of 2.5%, which gives us a nominal rate of 5%. This is between industry standards of 4 to 7%. In order to adjust for spoilage, we have decreased our growth rate by 2%, for a total nominal rate of 3%. With regards to working capital analysis, please refer to the monthly projected cash flow statement (Appendix S) that shows changes in working capital on a month to month basis. Please note that higher levels of inventory are required for the busy months. Working capital is also kept at a minimum due to our capital purchases required in order to run the business. Option Three This option involves an expansion totaling five greenhouses over the next five years, as shown in table below: 1 2 3 Commercial Retail 24 4 5 In year one, total long term debt of $75,000 will be needed to finance the new greenhouse, as well as the repairs and maintenance for the old greenhouse. In years two, three, and four, additional debt of $55,000, $60,000 and $65,000 respectively will be required to build the additional greenhouses. It is assumed that the original greenhouse will be scrapped in year five, and therefore a new greenhouse will need to be constructed to replace it during year five. This will result in additional debt required of $70,000. Total debt over the five years will therefore total $325,000. With respect to our marketing plan as described previously, total advertising costs will be $5,000 per year. To reflect today’s market cost of labor, we have replaced the selling and direct labor costs provided, based on our human resources plan described previously. Total labor costs over the five year period are approximately $330,000. There is large capital costs totaling approximately $103,000 associated with this option including: o A new truck in year four for $30,000; we are assuming the current truck will need to be replaced within the next few years. o A new computer system in year one for $3,000, and a new computer every two years costing $2,000. In addition, software upgrading costs of $500 every second year will be incurred. o Three additional garden tractors costing a total of $9,000 ($3,000 each) in order to keep up with the additional greenhouse operations. o Four additional cash registers costing a total of $4,000 ($1,000 each) given that we have one additional retail outlet that requires cash registers. o There are also additional miscellaneous capital costs of $10,000 per greenhouse including garden tools and other devices. As shown in the income statement (Appendix Q), the net loss increases from $3,000 in year one, to $270,000 in year five. This is mainly due to the increased interest and labor costs associated with the expansion. Given that this is a cyclical business, we have provided a monthly cash flow projection in order to ensure that The Company has enough cash to continue its operations throughout its busy and slow months. As shown on the monthly cash flow statement, the cash position continues to deteriorate on a monthly basis. At the end of the year one, The Company is at a cash deficit position of 25 approximately $10,000. Unfortunately, this continues to worsen as the years go by. At the end of year five, the projected cash deficit amounts to approximately $437,000. Even if the capital costs are not required, this option is not viable because The Company would still operate with significant losses, as well as significant cash deficits. In conclusion, although this option achieves the objectives of providing Ryan with a full time career opportunity, it is not financially viable and should therefore not be pursued. Option Two This option involves keeping the old greenhouse, and building a new greenhouse in year two. In year one, the percentage ratio between individual and commercial contracts will remain the same, at 75% and 25% respectively. In years two through five, following the completion of building the new greenhouse, there will be one greenhouse selling directly to individuals, and one selling to commercial consumers. There is an increase in long term debt of $25,000 going from $50,000 to $75,000 as required for the repairs and maintenance for the old greenhouse. In addition, building repairs have increased substantially, due to the existence of the old greenhouse which needs to be frequently maintained and upgraded. The capital costs for this option are similar to option three, except for the following: o One less garden tractor is required o No cash register costs are to be incurred as there is no additional retail greenhouse o Miscellaneous garden tools and devices are only being incurred for two greenhouses rather than for five o Total capital costs under this option are projected to be $69,000 In year one, The Company will operate with a net loss of approximately $4,400. This net loss position will continue until year five, with a net loss of approximately $8,000. With respect to the cash flow statement (Appendix N), cash flow from operations is positive. However, due to the high cost of capital items, the cash deficit at the end of year one is approximately negative $11,500. The Company’s cash deficit will continue to decrease throughout the years, resulting in a total deficit of approximately $25,000 at the end of year five. 26 In conclusion, the capital costs are creating losses and negative cash flow for this option. In addition, this option does not address the objectives of our client of providing Ryan with an adequate return on investment, and a full time career opportunity. Option One Option one involves replacing the current greenhouse with a new greenhouse, at a cost of $50,000, financed entirely through long term debt. This greenhouse will be sold 75% to individual sales, and 25% to commercial contracts, which is the same sales mix as currently being undertaken by The Company. It should be noted that direct selling and labor costs remained at a nominal amount in this option and were not adjusted for market prices. The capital costs for this option are similar to option two, except for the following: o One garden tractor o Miscellaneous garden tools and devices are only needed for one greenhouse o Total capital costs under this option are $57,000. In year one, the company will operate at a loss of approximately $55,000; mainly attributable to writing off the old greenhouse. By year five, assuming a net growth factor of 3% of revenue, the net loss will decrease to $5,000. With respect to cash flow statement, the cash flow from operations is not providing sufficient cash for the business to operate on a day to day basis. In year one, there is a cash deficit of approximately $6,400 which fluctuates for the next couple years, resulting in a deficit in year five of approximately $24,000. In conclusion, the capital costs are creating losses and negative cash flow for this option. In addition, this option does not address the objectives of our client of providing Ryan with an adequate return on investment, and a full time career opportunity. 27 7.2 Critical Success Factors One critical success factor (CSF) that The Company needs to understand is the ability to secure contracts with commercial consumers. Given that three out of five greenhouses will sell to commercial consumers, the ability of The Company to achieve the projected level of sales is dependent on this factor. A second CSF pertains to The Company’s ability to obtaining financing. Given that an additional five greenhouses are being built, extensive capital is required to finance this expansion. This financing cannot be obtained through equity issuances, therefore debt is essential. A third CSF relates to The Company’s ability to charge a premium price. This factor is dependent on the consumer’s perception of The Company’s product as “premium”, and service as high quality. If consumers believe that the product is not worth the premium price, sales will suffer and The Company will no longer be a going concern. Due to the threat of unpredictable weather patterns, and extreme weather conditions present in Saskatchewan, maintaining a consistent climate within the greenhouses is essential to grow high quality product. These weather patterns will have a high impact on costs of operations, and can drastically affect the bottom line. A final CSF involves Ryan remaining actively involved in the business, so that it can be carried down to future generations and therefore remains in the family. If Ryan decides to change his future career aspirations, the objectives of our client will no longer be met, as there are no other family members who could run this business full time. 7.3 Sensitivity Analysis Given that all three options are not viable, we have computed a sensitivity analysis based on how many square meters (or number of greenhouses) is required to break even. As shown in Appendix V, we presented worst case, base case, and best case scenarios by selling prices and direct costs per square meter. The results of this analysis are as follows: 28 In conclusion, with the current project financials, the company will require to build 16 greenhouses over the next five years. This is not possible for The Company, given that the bank will not extend additional credit since the debt to equity ratio will be far too unfavorable. In addition, building an additional four greenhouses per year is an overly aggressive expansion plan as it will put a large strain on daily operations. The best case scenario is overly optimistic and therefore highly unlikely to occur for this business. We therefore recommend that you do not base your decisions on this best case scenario. Finally, The Company is unable to break even in the worst case scenario, given that the contribution margin per unit is negative, therefore increasing quantities of sales will not produce any excess profits. 7.4 Income Taxes The current partnership structure at Thomson Greenhouse means that income taxes will be allocated to each of the partners – Lisa and Earl. Income or losses from the partnership would be taxed at the personal rates of the owners; losses can be used to reduce their personal tax liabilities from other sources of income. By incorporating Thomson Greenhouse, it can benefit from the lower tax rates as a result of the small business deduction. This could mean a tax savings of 10% on the first $400,000 income as the lowest personal tax rate in Canada is 26% (15% federal and 11% provincial) while the small business rate is $15.5% (11% federal and 4% provincial). Any income over $400,000 is subject to the normal rate, which is calculated to be 31.5% for 2008 (19.5% federal and 13% provincial), however this liability can be reduced through deducting bonus payments. Incorporation of the company would provide many tax advantages due to the favorable tax treatment of small private businesses, however, these benefits are only advantageous when there is positive income; any losses within the corporation are limited to be used within the corporation, and cannot be used to reduce personal income as in the case of the partnership. Therefore, we recommend the Company to remain as a partnership structure until the company is able to bring in positive net income. 29 8.0 Recommendations 8.1 Recommendation / Contingency Plans We see an opportunity for the Company to diversify into tree farming. At the current time there are fifteen acres of land that you are renting out each season to your neighbor. The ability to turn a profit with this venture is quite high. The initial capital costs for a five acre parcel would be about $100,000, which would cover irrigation equipment, fencing, grading of the land, and independent water well. An acre of land can accommodate 800 trees; therefore, total trees on five acres would amount to 4,000. The purchase price of a tree with a maturity time frame of 3-5 years would vary from $20 to $30. The selling price upon maturity would vary from $135 to $155. The input costs per year equal $2 per tree per year for labor, and then costs of water. As you can see the margins are quite strong, as long as you can overcome the initial financial strain due to the start-up costs. A second viable plan would be to cease the current business, or slowly discontinue operations over the next few years until the current greenhouse is no longer useable for retail or commercial sales. It is important to note that just because a business is no longer a viable option to operate, it can still have value. In the case of the Company, there is 20 acres of land. Land in Saskatchewan is constantly rising, and either selling the 15 acres not in use, or subdividing the land is an option. Through subdividing the land and giving a 5 acre parcel to each of your sons it will provide them with future income either immediately if sold or incrementally if rented. Both options are strong alternatives, or contingency plans, if it is determined that continuing with the greenhouse business are not a viable option. 30 Appendix A – Site Plan Current Thomson Greenhouse (Retail Greenhouse) Loading Dock 8m Storage Facility 5m 32m 16.5m P l a n t s 2m 2m Desk 2m 20m Main Greenhouse = 636.47 m2 of Shelf Space Storage Facility = 41.34 m2 of Shelf Space 31 New Thomson Greenhouses (Commercial Greenhouse) Loading Dock 40m 17.75m P l a n t s 2.5m 20m Capacity = 873.75 m2 of Shelf Space 32 Appendix B – Organization Structure Thomson Greenhouse Year 2008 33 Thomson Greenhouse Year 2013 34 Appendix C – Map of Regina & Surrounding Area 35 Appendix D – Competition Analysis Thomson Greenhouse: Competitors Below is a list of the main competitors for Thomson Greenhouse. Please note that there are other greenhouses in Regina, along with other commercial stores. However, we feel that the competitors below are of most significant importance for The Company Location Wascana Greenhouse & Nurseries Sherwood Greenhouses Sweet Pea’s Greenhouse Canadian Tire The Real Canadian Superstore Rona Home and Garden Wal-Mart Home Depot Various Retail Florists Attraction Full service garden centre, tree nursery, and landscaping company. Family owned and operated run business selling fruits, vegetables, trees, annuals, and perennials. Family owned and operated garden center. Home and garden chain store selling annuals, trees, shrubs, garden supplies. Home and garden chain store selling annuals, trees, shrubs, garden supplies. Home and garden chain store selling annuals, trees, shrubs, garden supplies. Home and garden chain store selling annuals, trees, shrubs, garden supplies. Home and garden chain store selling annuals, trees, shrubs, garden supplies. Annuals, indoor plants and flowers 36 Price Marginally lower prices Marginally lower prices Marginally lower prices Significantly lower prices – chain store with numerous locations nation-wide Significantly lower prices – chain store with numerous locations nation-wide Significantly lower prices – chain store with numerous locations nation-wide Significantly lower prices – chain store with numerous locations nation-wide Significantly lower prices – chain store with numerous locations nation-wide Higher prices Appendix E – Industry Information (Government of Ontario, 2008) 37 Appendix F – Proposed Website 38 References Alberta Agriculture and Rural Development. (2008). Starting a Commercial Greenhouse Business in Alberta. Retrieved on July 5, 2008 from http://www1.agric.gov.ab.ca/$department/deptdocs.nsf/all/opp11207 Balderson, D. W., Clark, J.D. (2008). Canadian Entrepreneurship and Small Business Management (7th ed.). Canada: McGraw-Hill Ryerson. Calder, Kari. (2008). 2007 Saskatoon Real Estate Market in Review. Active Rain Real Estate Network. Retrieved July 8, 2008 from http://activerain.com/blogsview/371481/2-7Saskatoon-Real Francese, Peter. (2002). Horticulture is Hot. Business Library. Retrieved July 8, 2008 from http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m4021/is_2002_May_1/ai_88679442 Gilbert, Richard. (2008). As Saskatchewan economy booms, labour and infrastructure challenges abound. Journal of Commerce. Retrieved July 8, 2008 from http://www.joconl.com/ article/id28207 Government of British Columbia Ministry of Agriculture and Lands. (2008). Business Planning Guide: Greenhouse Vegetable Example. Retrieved on July 5, 2008 from http://www.agf.gov.bc.ca/busmgmt/bus_guides/green_guide.htm Government of Ontario, Ministry of Agriculture Food and Rural Affairs. (2008). Greenhouse Industry Statistics, Ontario and Canada, 2005 to 2007. Retrieved July 8, 2008 from http://www.omafra.gov.on.ca/english/stats/hort/greenhouse1.htm Wikipedia. (2008). Baby Boomer. Retrieved July 8, 2008 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ Baby_ boomer Wikipedia. (2008). Regina, Saskatchewan. Retrieved http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regina%2C_Saskatchewan 39 July 8, 2008 from