Agriculture Technology
and
The Future of Farming
It’s Not Your Grandfather’s Farm, Anymore
Robert Tse
USDA Rural Development
Embassy Suites Hotel
Monterey, CA
January 29, 2015
It’s Not Your Grandfather’s Farm,
… Anymore!
Global Demographic Drivers
Global Ag Challenges
Global Ag Opportunities
Global Demand Drivers to 2050
•
•
•
•
Global Population Increase
Rapid Urbanization
Growing Middle Class
Climate Change Impact
•Rising Food Prices
•Rising Global Trade of Food
•Rising Demand for Protein, Fruits and
Vegetables
•Agriculture Adapts to Climate Change
Global Impact: Tourism
• International Tourism (2013)
• Arrivals: Reach 1.09 Billion Persons
• Receipts: $1.159 Trillion 2013
• Forecast: 1.8 Billion Persons by 2030
• US International Visitors (2013)
 Arrivals 69.8 Million Persons
 Receipts: $139.6 Billion
 Forecast to Rise to 77 Million Persons by 2016*
• CA International Visitors – 15.6 Million Persons (2013)
All CA Tourism $110 Billion Total Direct Spending
• Monterey County (2012) $2.3 Billion in Direct Spending
• $147 Million in Direct Tax Receipts
• $704 Million in Food & Beverage Services
Rank
Monterey is California’s 4th Most
$ Billion
County
Productive County
1
Fresno
2
Kern
3
Tulare
4
Monterey
5
Merced
$6.59
$6.21
$6.21
$4.14
$3.28
Top Five Counties
$26.43
Rest of State
California Gross
State Total
$28.97
Monterey Accounts for 8% of
California Agricultural Production
Monterey
$55.39
CA Ag Commissioner’s Report 2012
FARM GATE
Monterey County Farm Gate: $4.4 Billion
Vegetables and Fruits Dominate Categories
Leafy Greens
$1.6 Billion
36%
Monterey County Ag
Report 2013
$Million
FARM GATE
Monterey County Farm Gate: $4.4 Billion
Leafy Greens and Strawberries Dominate
$1 Million
Leafy Greens
$1.6 Billion
36%
Monterey
County Ag
Report 2013
Monterey County Ag Production
Overall Decade Growth to $4.4 Billion
AG.CO.MONTEREY.CA.US
* Revised numbers used for 2004 and 2012 crop
#4 Nursery Products $2.8 Billion
Monterey
2012 USDA NASS CA
$ Million
Top 5 Counties
Gross Value
Monterey is Largest Producer of Two of
Top Ten California Crops
#6 Strawberries: $2.4 Billion
#7 Lettuce: $2 Billion
Monterey
Monterey
$ Million
$ Million
California Ag Exports Pass $18 Billion
California Agricultural Statistics Review 2013-2014
Global Recession
$ Billion
Continue Growth and Nearly Triple
U.S. Agricultural Trade
FY 2014 sets record exports, imports, and surplus
Declining bulk export prices & greater export competition lower FY 2015 forecast
$152.5
Records
$143.5 F
$109.2
$116 F
Exports
Imports
Office of Global Analysis/FAS
Export Outlook for Horticulture Products
Revised FY 2015 Forecast: $37.0 Billion
Unchanged
2015 Key Developments
•
Long-term growth trend
continues
Strong exports to Canada,
Europe and China
Tree nut exports higher due
to strong demand in China
and Europe for almonds,
pistachios and walnuts
Wild Cards
China’s continued growth,
particularly for tree nuts,
fresh fruit and wine
Office of Global Analysis/FAS
China Grows to #1 U.S. Agricultural
Export Market Over Quarter Century
1985
$ Million
U.S. Agricultural Exports, USDA, FAS
Robert Tse USDA CA Rural
Development
Global Agriculture Challenges
Limited availability of more arable
land for production without high
environmental costs
Double Productivity on farm land
already in production
Adapt to Global Climate Change
Meet Local Disruptive Events
Invasive Species
Invasive Species
DROUGHT
2014 Drought Impact
• Greatest absolute reduction in water available … for
California agriculture ever seen …
• State wide Impact:
–
–
–
–
Crop Revenue Loss:
$810 Million
Additional Pumping Cost
$454 Million
Livestock / Dairy Revenue Loss$203 Million
TOTAL DIRECT LOSSES
$1.5 BILLION
• TOTAL ECONOMIC COST: $2.2 BILLION
• TOTAL JOB LOSSES: 17,000
Economic Analysis of the 2014 Drought for California Agriculture
UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences July 15, 2014
Impact on Farming
 Produce More with Less Labor
 New plant hybrids, and animal
breeds
 New agricultural production
practices
 Greater efficiency in agricultural
utilization of water
New Ag Technology
LABOR SAVING
REGULATORY
Production
Food
Safety
Energy
Water
Ag
Tech
Environment
Disruptive Technology
Your Future 21st Century
Agriculture Technology
Ag Drones
Precision Input Application
Food Safety
New Data Driven Technology
Production Side of Agriculture
Technology is Here!
Auto Steer No operator in the cab. Fully
automatic tractor and planter.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8dBOG
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nXO6b1y
AfUIk
pZMc
Technology is Here!
Future of AG: Precision Ag UAV
Quadcopter UAV
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1UYXN
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_97Yd8
a6AcE
BotFw
DISRUPTIVE PERSON
Steve Jobs
RURAL WIRELESS BROADBAND
RURAL WIRELESS BROADBAND
NEW AGRICULTURE TECHNOLOGY
PRODUCTION
ENVIRONMENT
WATER
ENERGY
FOOD SAFETY
RURAL TELE-HEALTH / TELE-MEDICINE
Distance Learning
Public Libraries
TRANSPORTATION & LOGISTICS
PUBLIC SAFETY
DIRECT MARKET ACCESS TO GLOBAL MARKETS
Rural Agro Tourism & Recreation
Importance of Broadband
“Ag Tech will locate where the high capacity
broadband exists. Just as railroads brought
economic growth to communities that were
connected to the rail lines in the 19th century,
and water ports provided the same
connectivity to cities in the centuries before,
broad band offers the same access to
prosperity in the 21st century.”
Robert Tse, USDA, CA, RD
Hackathon comes to the Farm...
Come code and have fun on the Farm of the Future in Coalinga.
February 20 – 22, 2015 West Hills Coalinga Community College
For More Information:
http://www.apps-for-ag.com