BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS OF HEALTH BEHAVIOR Linh Bui Role of Choice “Choose a job. Choose a career. Choose a family…Choose good health, low cholesterol, and dental insurance. Choose fixed-interest mortgage repayments. Choose a starter home…Choose your friends. Choose your future. Choose life. But why would I want to do a thing like that? I chose not to choose life: I chose something else. And the reasons? There are no reasons. Who needs reasons when you’ve got heroin?? _TRAINSPOTTING (1996) [Screenplay adapted from the novel by IRVINE WELSH] Contents • Characteristics of behavioral economics • Forms of behavioral economics • Quantifying the Relative value of Addictive Drugs and other commodities • Demand curve • Expenditure curve • 2 strategies to assess demand for drugs/other commodities Behavioral economics • Understand decision making in population of unhealthy or at-risk individuals • Overconsumption (substance abuse, obesity, etc.,) • Health behavior linked to commodities (tangible consumable products) Characteristics of behavioral economics • Emphasis on individual person • With given the amount of time, money, effort, how we make choices and what factors affect our decisions Other resources • Understand the nature of rationality and irrationality in human behavior Homo economicus Homo irrationalis Game theory “Prisoner’s dilemma” Both remain silent 1st criminal 2nd criminal A 6-monthsentence A 6-monthsentence 1st criminal betrays Free the other A 10-yearsentence Both betray each other A 5-year-sentence A 5-year-sentence Prospect theory • Gambles (prospects) under conditions of risk are inconsistent in reference to whether there are gains or losses • More conservative preferences for gains but more risky preferences for losses Prospect theory Choice 1 Choice 2 50% chance to win $150 50% chance to lose $100 Definitely lose $100 50% chance of winning $50 and 50% chance of losing $200 • Preferences are a function of : – Absolute resources – Relative changes in resources Matching law • Matching between individual behavior and relative reinforcement available • With a finite resources (time, money), how individuals access to activities (eating, drinking, spending leisure time) • Study substance abuse, tobacco and food overconsumption: Relative value of alcohol, tobacco, food remains high in spite of escalating health and psychological costs (physical illness, financial burden,etc.,) • Commodity overvaluation • Impulsive temporal discounting • Risky probability discounting: Willingness to accept greater probabilities of negative outcomes to gain larger rewards Matching law :Example Overeating: • Commodity overvaluation: Food (cheeseburgers ,etc.,) is overvalued (at a certain price, consumption is higher and willingness to pay is also higher) • Impulsive temporal discounting: Overvaluation of immediate rewards (pleasure of eating, reduce stress, etc.) • Risky probability discounting: Willingness to accept greater probabilities of obesity and other related health problems Matching law: Example • Commodity overvaluation • Impulsive temporal discounting • Risky probability discounting: What might be the critical insight from matching law? The relative value of an outcome is jointly determined by the outcome itself and alternative sources of reinforcement Matching law: Example • Commodity overvaluation • Impulsive temporal discounting • Risky probability discounting: What might be the critical insight from matching law? The relative value of an outcome is jointly determined by the outcome itself and alternative sources of reinforcement Quantifying Relative value of Addictive Drugs and other commodities • Law of demand • Cocaine vs money (Higgins et al. 1994) • Relative value of a substance: Benefit-cost ratio applied to a substance at a given price Demand curve Demand curve Intensity of demand Demand curve Inelastic Pmax Elastic Demand curve • Elasticity : How consumption change relative to price changes • Inelastic vs elastic • Elasticity index: Overall cost-benefit ratio • Pmax (Price maximum): how far demand goes before it starts to be affected by costs Omax Expenditure curve • Omax (Output maximum) = maximum amount of money (or other resources) the individual was willing to spend on the commodity How much a person value a commodity or behavior Laboratory demand paradigms • In vivo consumption under escalating conditions of response to cost • Pharmacological studies of abuse liability and/or therapeutic viability • Avoid reliance on self-report • High experimental burden, ethical issues Purchase tasks • Estimate drug consumption at escalating levels of price • Support for hypothesis: substance dependence and overconsumption are characterized by overvaluation of the commodities • Self-report data but stable Purchase tasks • Dynamic changes in relative value of a drug: Subjective states (craving and stress) drive motivation for drugs • Study substance abuse in a person’s natural environment: measure the relative reinforcing efficacy (socializing, watching television, exercising,etc.,) Anhedonia: heavy drinkers and drug users report less reinforcement from a variety of nonsocial activities Conclusion • Characteristics of behavioral economics: Unit of analysis: individual person Understand the nature of rationality and irrationality in human behavior • Matching law : Theoretical framework to understand overconsumption of addictive commodities • Methods for demand assessment: Laboratory demand paradigms Purchase tasks • How does behavioral economics link to previous theories? THE THEORY OF TRIADIC INFLUENCE Levels of Causation Intrapersonal Stream Biological/Nature BIOLOGY/ PERSONALITY Ultimate Causes 1 Social/ Personal Nexus 2 Sense of Self/Control Distal Influences 7 13 8 h Skills: Social+General 14 Proximal Predictors b c B C Others’ Beh & Atts 9 i k j l m u d e n 16 SOCIAL NORMATIVE BELIEFS o 11 w 20 q Values/ Evaluations x v 6 Interactions w/ Social Instit’s p Perceived Norms 15 5 f 10 Motivation to Comply s CULTURAL ENVIRONMENT 4 Interpersonal Bonding 19 A Nurture/Cultural 3 SELF-EFFICACY t BEHAVIORAL CONTROL Affect and Cognitions Cultural/Attitudinal Stream SOCIAL SITUATION a Social Competence g Self Determination Expectancies & Evaluations Decisions Social/Normative Stream Information/ Opportunities Knowledge/ Expectancies 17 F 18 ATTITUDES TOWARD THE BEHAVIOR 21 DECISIONS/INTENTIONS D E 12 r I 22 H G Trial Behavior EXPERIENCES: Expectancies -- Social Reinforcements -- Psychological/Physiological Experiences 23 J K Related Behaviors 23