The Political Environment Different governmental type, political parties, nationalism, animosity, and trade disputes can affect the environment for marketing in foreign countries The political risks of global business and the factors that affect stability The importance of the political system to international marketing and its effect on foreign investments The impact of political and social activists, violence, and terrorism on international business 6-2 A crucial reality of international business ◦ A government controls and restricts a company’s activities ◦ ◦ Both host and home governments are integral partners By encouraging and offering support By discouraging and banning or restricting its activities International law recognizes the sovereign right of a nation ◦ ◦ To grant or withhold permission to do business within its political boundaries To control where its citizens conduct business 6-3 Issues that can affect the stability of a government ◦ Radical shifts in government philosophy when an opposing political party ascends to power ◦ Pressure from nationalist and self-interest groups ◦ Weakened economic conditions ◦ Bias against foreign investment ◦ Conflicts between governments Five main political causes of international market instability ◦ Some forms of government seem to be inherently unstable ◦ Changes in political parties during elections can have major effects on trade conditions ◦ Nationalism ◦ Animosity targeted toward specific countries ◦ Trade disputes themselves 6-4 Circa 500 B.C – Ancient Greeks criticized three fundamental forms of government ◦ Rule by one (monarchy) ◦ Rule by few (aristocracy) ◦ Rule by many (democracy) Circa 1990 – Collapse of communism ◦ Free-enterprise democracy considered the best solution 200+ sovereign states on the planet ◦ In about 10% of the states voting is required, in the rest it is voluntary 6-5 Exhibit 6.1 6-6 In countries where two strong political parties typically succeed one another, it is important to know the direction each party is likely to take ◦ Great Britain The Labour Party vs. the Conservative Party Unpredictable and drastic shifts in government policies deter investments, whatever the cause of the shift A current assessment of a country’s political philosophy and attitudes is important in gauging their stability and attractiveness in terms of market potential 6-7 An intense feeling of national pride and unity ◦ An awakening of a nation’s people to pride in their country National interest and security are more important than international relations Countries use nationalism to protect themselves against intrusions ◦ Threats from outside forces ◦ Declines in the domestic economy Nationalism comes and goes ◦ As conditions and attitudes change ◦ Foreign companies welcomed today may be harassed tomorrow and vice versa 6-8 Marketers should not confuse nationalism with a widespread fear or animosity directed at a particular country ◦ Toyota in the U.S. (1980s) –threat to American ◦ Animosity toward the United States in France ◦ The unhappiness of citizens and politicians in many other countries concerning the war in Iraq No nation-state, however secure, will tolerate penetration by a foreign company into its market and economy ◦ If it perceives a social, cultural, economic, or political threat to its well-being Trade disputes 6-9 Risks of doing business abroad: Confiscation – the seizing of a company’s assets without payment Expropriation – where the government seizes an investment but makes some reimbursement for the assets-becomes gov. entity Domestication – when host countries gradually cause the transfer of foreign investments to national control and ownership through a series of government ruling ◦ Authorization local ownership ◦ Greater national involvement in a company’s management 6-10 Tax controls ◦ A political risk when used as a means of controlling foreign investments Price controls ◦ Essential products that command considerable public interest Pharmaceuticals Food Gasoline Labor problems ◦ Labor unions have strong government support that they use effectively in obtaining special consideration from business 6-11 One or a group of nations may boycott another nation ◦ Stopping all trade between the countries ◦ Issuing sanctions against trade of specific products U.S. boycotts of trade with Cuba US and Iran History indicates that sanctions are often unsuccessful in reaching desired goals ◦ Particularly when ignored by other major nations’ traders 6-12 Reasons: Iran’s support for international terrorism and active pursuit of weapons of mass destruction. Objective: To put gov. of Iran under pressure. Impact: Affect most transactions that would be done, many cannot invest in Iran. Not usually government sanctioned Example: Greenpeace and GM food (protest, lobbying) Can interrupt the normal flow of trade Range from those who seek to bring about peaceful change to those who resort to violence and terrorism to effect change ◦ Malaysia boycott of Dutch products after anti-Islam movie The Internet has become an effective tool of PSAs to spread the word ◦ Protest rallies against the U.S. – Iraq War 6-14 Nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) are increasingly affecting policy decisions made by governments ◦ Protests ◦ Lobbying ◦ Collaborations with governmental organizations Many also are involved in mitigating much of the human misery plaguing parts of the planet ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Red Cross Red Crescent Oxfam MERCY Care 6-15 Exhibit 6.3 6-16 The State Department reported 3,200 terrorist incidents worldwide in 2004 Goals of terrorism against multinationals ◦ To embarrass a government and its relationship with firms ◦ To generate funds by kidnapping executives ◦ To use as collateral in political or social disputes ◦ To inflict terror within a country as did September 11 In the past 30 years, 80% of terrorist attacks against the U.S. have been aimed at American businesses 6-17 Exhibit 6.4 6-18 The internet is a vehicle for terrorist and criminal attacks to inflict damage on a company with little chance of being caught ◦ By foreign and domestic antagonists It is hard to determine if a cyber attack has been launched ◦ By a rogue state ◦ A terrorist ◦ A hacker as a prank 6-19 Each wave of viruses ◦ Gets more damaging ◦ Spreads so rapidly that considerable harm is done before it can be stopped Tools for cyberterrorism ◦ Can be developed to do considerable damage To a company, An entire industry A country’s infrastructure 6-20 Politically sensitive products ◦ Perceived to have an effect on the environment, exchange rates, national and economic security, and the welfare of people ◦ Are publicly visible or subject to public debate Health is often the subject of public debate, and products that affect or are affected by health issues can be sensitive to political concern The European Union has banned hormonetreated beef for more than a decade 6-21 Political risk assessment ◦ An attempt to forecast political instability ◦ To help management identify and evaluate political events ◦ To predict their potential influence on current and future international business decisions Government failure is greatest risk to international marketers ◦ Causing chaos in the streets and markets Risk assessment of investments ◦ Used to estimate the level of a risk a company is assuming ◦ Helps determine the amount of risk a firm is prepared to accept 6-22 Exhibit 6.5 6-23 Most important reason to encourage foreign investment ◦ To accelerate the development of an economy U.S. government motivated for economic as well as political reasons ◦ Encourages American firms to seek business opportunities in countries worldwide including those that are politically risky Department of Commerce International Trade Administration Agencies that provide assistance to U.S. companies ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Export-Import Bank (Ex-Im Bank) Foreign Credit Insurance Association (FCIA) The Agency for International Development (AID) The Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) 6-24 Different governmental type, political parties, nationalism, animosity, and trade disputes can affect the environment for marketing in foreign countries The political risks of global business and the factors that affect stability The importance of the political system to international marketing and its effect on foreign investments The impact of political and social activists, violence, and terrorism on international business 6-25 Why would a country domesticate that expropriate? How can a change in the political party in “power” affect an investor? Discuss and give examples based on the Malaysian context. What are the most common causes of instability in governments? Discuss. Thank you