2004 guidance update & 2005 targets Robert McFarlane EVP & Chief Financial Officer December 17, 2004 forward-looking statement This presentation and answers to questions contain forwardlooking statements about expected future events including a normal course issuer bid, dividends and financial and operating results that are subject to risks and uncertainties. TELUS’ actual results, performance, or achievement could differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. For additional information on potential risk factors, see TELUS’ 2004 Annual Information Form, and other filings with securities commissions in Canada and the United States. TELUS disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 2 all dollars in Cdn$ unless otherwise specified revised 2004 guidance - consolidated previous 2004 guidance1 on-track/ updated 2004 guidance $7.5 to 7.575B $3.025 to 3.075B $3.05 to 3.1B $1.40 to 1.50 $1.50 to 1.55 Capex approx. $1.3B Free Cash Flow $1.25 to 1.3B2 Revenue EBITDA EPS Net Debt : EBITDA 2.2X or less 1 Previously updated October 29, 2004. 2 See definition in December 17th, 2004 news release. Excludes US $125M from Verizon. 3 guidance changes reflect stronger profitability outlook at TELUS Mobility 2004 TELUS Communications guidance Revenue (external) Non-ILEC revenue EBITDA Non-ILEC EBITDA Capex High-speed net adds 1 Previously 4 previous 2004 guidance1 on-track/ updated 2004 guidance $4.725 to 4.775B $525 to 550M $545 to 555M $1.925 to 1.95B $(30) to (35)M $(20) to (25)M approx. $950M approx. 125K updated October 29, 2004. Non-ILEC guidance revised upwards revised 2004 guidance – Mobility previous 2004 guidance1 Revenue (external) $2.775 to 2.8B EBITDA $1.1 to 1.125B $1.125 to 1.15B Capex approx. $350M Wireless net adds 1 Previously 5 on-track/ updated 2004 guidance 425 to 475K updated October 29, 2004. wireless EBITDA revised upwards 2004 TELUS corporate priorities on track 6 Enhancing our leadership position in wireless Reaching a collective agreement Embracing continual cost efficiency Revitalizing wireline revenue growth on-going Growing brand through superior customer service Driving towards leadership position in high-speed on-going Internet deferred to 2005 2004 corporate priorities Enhancing our leadership in wireless TELUS Mobility ranked #1 throughout 20041 1. TELUS Mobility 2. Verizon Wireless 3. Nextel 1 7 Source: N. Moore Capital. TELUS Mobility named top operator in North America 2004 corporate priorities Growing brand value, superior customer service Strong and consistent brand across wireline and wireless Wireless best-in-class service levels as evidenced by low churn Wireline service levels substantially improved since the end of 2003 operating at superior levels of customer service 8 2004 corporate priorities delivering wireline operational efficiency Operational Efficiency Program (OEP) – 2001 to 2003 Cumulative annual savings of $530 to 535M YE 2004 & onward 2004 9 Consolidated IT operations from 15 to 2 locations Combining Business & Client Solutions $50M in restruct. & workforce reduction costs expected continued focus on institutionalizing cost efficiency 2004 corporate priorities revitalizing wireline growth consumer: “future friendly” home continued high-speed Internet growth Home Networking and HomeSitterTM launched Bundling & price increases bundling strategy put in place to protect legacy revenues LD plan administrative charges increased business: Geographic expansion Refocused on high quality, recurring, IP-based revenues in nonILEC to leverage Next Generation Network (NGN) leadership 10 recent wireline revenue performance superior to peers 2004 corporate priorities driving towards leadership in high speed Internet TELUS high-speed market share1 Total Internet subscribers 39% 37% 32% Q3-02 1 11 Q3-03 In ILEC operating areas Dial-up High Speed 31% 69% Q3-04 948K continued high speed market share growth - on track to achieve 2004 annual target of 125K net additions 2004 corporate priorities reaching a collective agreement Unionized employees in West without new contract Canada Industrial Relations Board (CIRB) required TELUS to offer binding arbitration to union & imposed a communications ban Waiting for CIRB reconsideration decision 12 CIRB separately ruled TELUS Mobility employees in East be swept into union 2005 targets 2005 guidance considerations economic growth consistent with Conference Board of Cda no workforce disruption increased competitive activity from IP telephony players wireless industry penetration expansion of about 4% points $100M of restr. & workforce reduction costs ($50M in 2004) pension expense increase of $15 to 25M in 2005 vs. 2004 (Discount rate 6.0% vs. 6.25%, return on plan assets 7.25% vs. 7.5%) effective tax rate of ~36% plus Large Corporations Tax average shares outstanding of 340 to 360M depending on NCIB NCIB effective December 20, 2004 14 Communications Segment 2005 Communications segment revenue target 4.79 2003 4.725 to 4.775 2004E 4.70 to 4.75 2005E Revenue ($B) 16 revenue flat as new sources offset by losses due to competitive erosion & technological substitution 2005 Communications segment EBITDA (before restructuring) 2.03 2003 1.975 to 2.00 1.95 to 2.00 2004E 2005E EBITDA (before restructuring costs, $B) 17 EBITDA essentially flat before restructuring costs 2005 Communications segment EBITDA target 2.00 2003 1.925 to 1.95 1.85 to 1.90 2004E 2005E EBITDA1 ($B) 1 Includes restructuring & workforce reduction costs of $28M in 2003, and $50M and $100M in 2004E and 2005E, respectively. 18 slight decline in EBITDA reflects restructuring costs 2005 Communications segment non-ILEC revenue target 600 to 650 555 545 to 555 2003 2004E 2005E Revenue ($M) 19 9 to 18% non-ILEC growth in Central Canada focused on recurring data and IP revenues in the business market 2005 Communications segment non-ILEC EBITDA target 2002 2003 2004E 0 to 10 2005E (29) (107) (20) to (25) EBITDA ($M) targeting positive non-ILEC EBITDA in 2005 20 2005 Communications segment Capex target 2005 target Capex Capex Intensity1 21 $0 to 50M $950 to 1,000M 18% 2003 1 Ratio change of capex to total revenues ~20% 20 to 21% 2004E 2005E 2005 Communications segment high-speed Internet net additions target 2005E Total Internet subs. (000s) Net additions Subscriber base 562 ~687 ~787 ~100 High Speed ~125 152 2003 22 Dial-up 2004E 2005E > 1M 100K target reflects obtaining continuing majority share of net adds in a maturing market Mobility Segment 2005 Mobility segment revenue target 3.20 to 3.25 2.775 to 2.80 2.36 2003 2004E 2005E Revenue ($B) 24 15 to 17% revenue growth driven by continued strong subscriber growth & premium ARPU 2005 Mobility segment subscriber net additions target (000s) Net additions Subscriber base 3,424 4,300 to 4,350 Target 3,850 to 3,900 425 to 475K 425 to 475 net adds 418 2003 25 2004E 2005E 2005 net additions consistent with 2004 2005 Mobility segment EBITDA target 1.35 to 1.40 1.125 to 1.15 0.82 2003 2004E 2005E EBITDA ($B) 26 19 to 23% EBITDA growth driven by strong revenue growth and continued cost containment 2005 Mobility segment capex target 2005 target Capex Capex intensity1 $350 to 400M $0 to 50M 15% ~13% 2003 1 Ratio change 2004E 11 to 12% 2005E of capex to total revenues Mobility cash flow increasing by 27% to ~$1B 27 2005 Mobility segment Operating cash flow yield 2004E1 2005E EBITDA margin (total revenue) ~40% 42 to 43% Capex intensity2 ~13% 11 to 12% Cash flow yield3 ~28% ~31% 1 2 3 28 Based on updated December 17, 2004 guidance Capex as % of total revenue EBITDA less capex, as a % of total revenue Attractive wireless cash flow yield 2005 Mobility segment North America comparison – cash flow yield 31% EBITDA less Capex / Total Revenue 24% 22% 19% 15% 6% (6)% 1 Includes AT&T Wireless Source: Morgan Stanley estimates targeted cash flow yield of 31% in 2005 is best in class 29 2005 Mobility segment Cash flow profile Mobility as % of total consolidated 53% 44% 42% 37% 29% 2003 29% 2004E EBITDA 30 2005E 2003 2004E 2005E EBITDA less capex Mobility expected to represent 53% of TELUS’ consolidated cash flow TELUS Consolidated 2005 consolidated targets – revenue & EBITDA 7.9 to 8.0 7.15 7.5 to 7.575 3.2 to 3.3 2.82 2003 2004E Revenue ($B) 32 2005E 2003 3.05 to 3.1 2004E 2005E EBITDA ($B) 5 to 6% revenue & 4 to 7% EBITDA growth driven by strong wireless performance 2005 consolidated targets – EPS 1.65 to 1.85 1.50 to 1.55 0.92 2003 2004E 2005E EPS1 ($) 1 Includes positive impacts from settlement of tax matters of approx. $0.20 in 2003, and $0.17 Sep. YTD 2004. 33 earnings growth of 8 to 21% driven by strong wireless performance 2005 consolidated targets – EPS continuity incremental change ($) 1.50 to 1.55 0.01 0.04 1.33 to 1.38 0.12 0.05 1.65 to to 0.07 1.85 0.09 0.36 to 0.45 tax interest EBITDA Restruct. Financing Other growth Costs Costs 2004E 2004E Settlement of tax normal. matters 34 Normalized EPS growth of 22 to 37% 2005E 2005 consolidated targets – capex 2005 target Capex change $1,300 to 1,400M $0 to 100M 18% ~17% 16 to 18% 2003 2004E 2005E Capex intensity1 1 Ratio of capex to total revenues capex intensity stable 35 2005 consolidated targets – free cash flow ($M) EBITDA (after rest. & workforce reduction costs) $3,200 to 3,300 Capital expenditures (1,300 to 1,400) Net cash interest paid ~(625) Net cash income tax (10) Cash restructuring pmts (in excess of 2005 expense) (35) Add back: option & RSU expense less RSU cash paid Free Cash Flow (per public guidance methodology) free cash flow generation remains strong 36 2005E 20 ~1,200 to 1,300 2005 consolidated targets – leverage Long-term Policy 2002 2003 Sept. 30 2004 Net Debt : Capital 57.1% 53.7% 49.7% 45 to 50% Net Debt : EBITDA 3.3x 2.7x 2.2x <2.2x Current leverage within long-term policy 37 recent shareholder value enhancing initiatives Quarterly dividend 33% to 20¢ for Jan. 1, 2005 New dividend payout ratio guideline of 45 to 55% of net earnings Normal Course Issuer Bid for 25.5M TELUS shares Effective Dec 20, 2004 38 Measures to restrict issue of TELUS shares Verizon transaction increases liquidity balanced approach to stakeholder interests 2005 consolidated targets summary 2005 targets Revenue $7.9 to 8.0B 5 to 6% EBITDA1 $3.2 to 3.3B 4 to 7% EPS $1.65 to 1.85 8 to 21% Capex $1.3 to 1.4B 0 to 8% Free Cash Flow 1 Includes 39 change $1.2 to 1.3B - ~$100M in restructuring & workforce reduction costs 2005 targets reflect solid revenue & earnings growth corporate priorities for 2005 Enhance our leadership position in wireless Grow brand value through superior customer experience (via leading IP services and customer care) 40 Embrace continual improvement in productivity Accelerate performance in Central Canada Leverage our investments in high speed Internet through Future Friendly home services Reach a new collective agreement that reflects competitive industry 2005 priorities consistent with 2004 summary 2004 earnings outlook revised upwards 2005 targets reflect: strong revenue growth driven by Mobility healthy wireless & high-speed Internet subscriber expansion good EBITDA growth despite increased restructuring charges strong EPS growth continued strong cash flows & attractive FCF yield 41 questions? investor relations 1-800-667-4871 telus.com ir@telus.com