Spending and Total Expenditures Aggregate Demand – The total of all planned expenditures in the economy Aggregate Supply – The total of all planned production in the economy Slide 10-1 Spending and Total Expenditures Questions – What determines the total amount that individuals, governments, firms, and foreigners want to spend? – What determines the equilibrium price level? Slide 10-2 The Aggregate Demand Curve Aggregate Demand Curve – A curve showing planned purchase rates for all goods and services in the economy at various price levels, all other things held constant Aggregate demand = C + I + G + X Slide 10-3 The Aggregate Demand Curve As the price level rises, real GDP demand declines Price Level 140 120 A 100 AD 0 6 7 8 9 10 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 11 12 Slide 10-4 The Aggregate Demand Curve Price Level 140 B 120 A 100 AD 0 6 7 8 9 10 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 11 12 Slide 10-5 The Aggregate Demand Curve C Price Level 140 B 120 A 100 AD 0 Figure 10-4 6 7 8 9 10 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 11 12 Slide 10-6 The Aggregate Demand Curve What happens when the price level rises? – The Real-Balance Effect (wealth effect) – The Interest Rate Effect – The Open Economy Effect Slide 10-7 The Aggregate Demand Curve The Real-Balance Effect – The change in the real value of money balances when the price level changes Slide 10-8 The Aggregate Demand Curve The Interest Rate Effect – Higher price levels indirectly increase the interest rate. Slide 10-9 The Aggregate Demand Curve The Open Economy Effect – Higher price levels result in foreigners’ desiring to buy fewer American-made goods while Americans desire more foreign-made goods (i.e., net exports fall). Slide 10-10 Aggregate Demand versus Demand for a Single Good When the aggregate demand curve is derived, we are looking at the entire circular flow of income and product. When a demand curve is derived, we are looking at a single product in one market only. Slide 10-11 Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve Any non-price-level change that increases aggregate spending (on domestic goods) shifts AD to the right. Any non-price-level change that decreases aggregate spending (on domestic goods) shifts AD to the left. Slide 10-12 Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve Any non-price-level change that increases aggregate spending (on domestic goods) shifts AD to the right. Any non-price-level change that decreases aggregate spending (on domestic goods) shifts AD to the left. Slide 10-13 Factors Increasing Aggregate Demand A drop in the foreign exchange value of the dollar Increased security about jobs and future income Improvements in economic conditions in other countries A reduction in real interest rates (nominal interest rates corrected for inflation) not due to price level changes Tax decreases An increase in the amount of money in circulation Slide 10-14 GDP Deflator Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve 120 90 AD 0 1 2 3 4 5 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 6 7 Slide 10-15 GDP Deflator Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve 120 90 AD 0 1 2 3 4 5 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 6 7 Slide 10-16 Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve GDP Deflator Increase in aggregate demand 120 90 AD 0 1 2 3 4 5 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 6 AD1 7 Slide 10-17 Factors Decreasing Aggregate Demand A rise in the foreign exchange value of the dollar Decreased security about jobs and future income Declines in economic conditions in other countries A rise in real interest rates (nominal interest rates corrected for inflation) not due to price level changes Tax increases A decrease in the amount of money in circulation Slide 10-18 GDP Deflator Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve 120 90 AD 0 1 2 3 4 5 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 6 7 Slide 10-19 GDP Deflator Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve 120 90 AD 0 1 2 3 4 5 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 6 7 Slide 10-20 Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve GDP Deflator Decrease in aggregate demand 120 90 0 1 2 3 4 AD1 AD 5 6 Real GDP per Year ($ trillions) 7 Slide 10-21 The Aggregate Supply Curve The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve – Real output at full employment – A vertical line representing real output based on full information and after full adjustment has occurred Slide 10-22 Long-Run Equilibrium and the Price Level Figure 10-5 Slide 10-23 Long-Run Equilibrium and the Price Level Long-run equilibrium occurs at the intersection of the LRAS curve and the AD curve – Equilibrium price level is determined – Planned real expenditures for the economy are equal to total planned production along the economy’s trends growth path Slide 10-24 The Effects of Economic Growth on the Price Level Figure 10-6, Panel (a) Slide 10-25 The Effects of Economic Growth on the Price Level Figure 10-6, Panel (b) Slide 10-26 The Effects of Economic Growth on the Price Level Secular Deflation – An increase in LRAS will, ceteris paribus, result in a decrease in the price level. Avoiding Secular Deflation – If the AD curve shifts outward by the same amount as the LRAS curve, the price level remains constant. – The AD curve can be shifted outward by increasing the money supply. Slide 10-27 Inflation Rates in the United States Figure 10-7 Source: Economic Report of the President; Economic Indicators, various issues Slide 10-28 Causes of Inflation: Supply-Side Inflation • When LRAS1 shifts to LRAS2, the price level rises from 120 to 140 • Inflation is caused by a decrease in LRAS. Figure 10-8, Panel (a) Slide 10-29 Causes of Inflation: Demand-Side Inflation An increase in AD from AD1 to AD2 causes the price level to rise from 120 to 140. An increase in AD causes inflation. Figure 10-8, Panel (b) Slide 10-30 Causes of Inflation: Economic Growth and Inflation Figure 10-9 Source: Economic Report of the President; Economic Indicators, various issues Slide 10-31