Laurence Booth Sean Cleary 5 Time Value of Money LEARNING OBJECTIVES 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 Explain the importance of the time value of money and how it is related to an investor’s opportunity costs. Define simple interest and explain how it works. Define compound interest and explain how it works. Differentiate between an ordinary annuity and an annuity due, and explain how special constant payment problems can be valued as annuities and, in special cases, as perpetuities. Differentiate between quoted rates and effective rates, and explain how quoted rates can be converted to effective rates. Apply annuity formulas to value loans and mortgages and set up an amortization schedule. Solve a basic retirement problem. Estimate the present value of growing perpetuities and annuities. 5.1 OPPORTUNITY COST • Money is a medium of exchange. • Money has a time value because it can be invested today and be worth more tomorrow. • The opportunity cost of money is the interest rate that would be earned by investing it. Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 3 5.1 OPPORTUNITY COST • Required rate of return (k) is also known as a discount rate. • To make time value of money decisions, you will need to identify the relevant discount rate you should use. Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 4 5.2 SIMPLE INTEREST • Simple interest is interest paid or received only on the initial investment (principal). • The same amount of interest is earned in each year. • Equation 5-1: Value (time n) P (n P k ) Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 5 5.2 SIMPLE INTEREST EXAMPLE: Simple Interest The same amount of interest is earned in each year. Example Simple Interest You invest $500 today for five years and receive 10 percent annual simple interest. Annual interest = $500 × 0.1 = $50 per year Year Beginning Amount Ending Amount 1 $500 $550 2 $550 $600 3 $600 $650 4 $650 $700 5 $700 $750 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 6 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST • Compound interest is interest that is earned on the principal amount and on the future interest payments. • The future value of a single cash flow at any time ‘n’ is calculated using Equation 5.2. FVn PV0 (1 k ) n Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 7 USING EQUATION 5.2 • Given three known values, you can solve for the one unknown in Equation 5.2 FVn PV0 (1 k ) n • • • • • [5.2] Solve for: FV given PV, k, n (finding a future value) PV given FV, k, n (finding a present value) k given PV, FV, n (finding a compound rate) n given PV, FV, k (find holding periods) Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 8 COMPOUND VERSUS SIMPLE INTEREST • Simple interest grows principal in a linear manner. • Compound interest grows exponentially over time. $120,000 Compound interest Future Value $100,000 Simple interest $80,000 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 $0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 Year Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 9 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST EXAMPLE: Compounding (Computing Future Values) FVn PV0 (1 k ) n Example [5.2] Compound Interest You invest $500 today for five years and receive 10 percent annual compound interest. Year 1 2 3 4 5 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition Beginning Amount $500 $550 $605 $666 $732 Interest $500 × 0.1 = $50 $550 × 0.1 = $55 $605 × 0.1 = $60.50 $666 × 0.1 = $66.66 $732 × 0.1 = $73.20 © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Ending Amount $550 $605 $666 $732 $805 Page 10 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST Compounding (Computing Future Values) • Compound value interest factor (CVIF) represents the future value of an investment at a given rate of interest and for a stated number of periods. CVIFn?,k ? (1 k ) n • The CVIF for 10 years at 8% would be: CVIFn10,k 0.08 (1 0.08)10 2.1589 • $100 invested for 10 years at 8% would equal: FV10 $100 (1 0.08)10 $100 2.1589 $215.89 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 11 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST EXAMPLE: Using the CVIF Find the FV20 of $3,500 invested at 3.25%. FV20 P0 CVIFn 20,k 3.5% $3,500 (1 0.035) 20 $3,500 1.99 $6,964.26 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 12 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST Discounting (Computing Present Values) • The inverse of compounding is known as discounting. • You can find the present value of any future single cash flow using Equation 5.3. PV0 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition FV0 (1 k ) n [5.3] © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 13 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST Discounting (Computing Present Values) Present value interest factor (PVIF) is the inverse of the CVIF. PVIFn ?,k ? Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition 1 (1 k ) n © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 14 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST Discounting (Computing Present Values) EXAMPLE: Using the PVIF Find the PV0 of receiving $100,000 in 10 years time if the opportunity cost is 5%. PV0 FV10 PVIFn 10,k 5% 1 $100,000 (1 0.05)10 1 $100,000 1.629 $100,000 0.6139 $61,391.33 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 15 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST Solving for Time or “Holding Periods” Equation 5.3 is reorganized to solve for n: PV0 n Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition FV0 (1 k ) n [5.3] ln FVn / PV0 ln 1 k © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 16 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST EXAMPLE: Solving for ‘n’ How many years will it take $8,500 to grow to $10,000 at a 7% rate of interest? ln FVn / PV0 n ln 1 k ln $10,000 / $8,500 ln[1.17647 ] n ln 1 .07 ln[1.07] 0.1625 n 2.4 years 0.06766 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 17 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST Solving for Compound Rate of Return Equation 5.3 is reorganized to solve for k: PV0 FV0 (1 k ) n FV k n PV0 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition [5.3] 1/ n 1 © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 18 5.3 COMPOUND INTEREST EXAMPLE: Solving for ‘k’ Your investment of $10,000 grew to $12,500 after 12 years. What compound rate of return (k) did you earn on your money? FVn k PV 0 1/ n 1 1 12 $12,500 0.083 k 1 1 . 25 1 $10,000 k 0.01877 1.88% Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 19 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES • An annuity is a finite series of equal and periodic cash flows. • A perpetuity is an infinite series of equal and periodic cash flows. Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 20 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES • An ordinary annuity offers payments at the end of each period. • An annuity due offers payments at the beginning of each period. Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 21 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES The formula for the compound sum of an ordinary annuity is: (1 k ) n 1 FVn PMT k Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition [5.4] © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 22 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES EXAMPLE: Find the Future Value of an Ordinary Annuity You plan to save $1,000 each year for 10 years. At 11% how much will you have saved if you make your first deposit one year from today? FVA10 PMT FVIFAn ,k 1 k n 1 FVA10 $1,000 k 1.1110 1 FVA10 $1,000 0 . 11 FVA10 $1,000 16.722 $16,722.01 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 23 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES The formula for the compound sum of an annuity due is: (1 k ) n 1 FVn PMT (1 k) k Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. [5.6] Page 24 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES EXAMPLE: Find the Future Value of an Annuity Due You plan to save $1,000 each year for 10 years. At 11% how much will you have saved if you make your first deposit today? FVA10 PMT FVIFAn ,k 1 k 1 k n 1 FVA10 $1,000 (1 k ) k 1.1110 1 FVA10 $1,000 (1.11) 0.11 FVA10 $1,000 16.722 1.11 $18,561.43 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 25 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES The formula for the present value of an annuity is: 1 1 (1 k ) n PV0 PMT k Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. [5.5] Page 26 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES EXAMPLE: Find the Present Value of an Ordinary Annuity What is the present value of an investment that offers to pay you $12,000 each year for 20 years if the payments start one year from day? Your opportunity cost is 6%. PVA0 PMT PVIFAn 20,k 0.06 1 1 (1.06) 20 PVA0 $12,000 0 . 06 PVA0 $12,000 11.47 $137,639.06 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 27 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES The formula for the present value of an annuity is: 1 1 (1 k ) n PV0 PMT k Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition (1 k) © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. [5.7] Page 28 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES EXAMPLE: Find the Present Value of an Annuity Due What is the present value of an investment that offers to pay you $12,000 each year for 20 years if the payments start one today? Your opportunity cost is 6%. PVA0 PMT PVIFAn ,k 1 k 1 1 (1.06) 20 PVA0 $12,000 (1 .06) 0.06 PVA0 $12,000 11.47 1.06 $145,897.40 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 29 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES A perpetuity is an infinite series of equal and periodic cash flows. PV0 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition PMT k [5.8] © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 30 5.4 ANNUITIES AND PERPETUITIES EXAMPLE: Find the Present Value of a Perpetuity What is the present value of a business that promises to offer you an after-tax profit of $100,000 for the foreseeable future if your opportunity cost is 10%? PV0 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition P1 $100,000 $1,000,000 k 0.1 © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 31 5.5 QUOTED VERSUS EFFECTIVE RATES • A nominal rate of interest is a ‘stated rate’ or quoted rate (QR). • An effective annual rate (EAR) rate takes into account the frequency of compounding (m). m QR EAR k 1 1 m Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. [5.9] Page 32 5.5 QUOTED VERSUS EFFECTIVE RATES EXAMPLE: Find an Effective Annual Rate Your personal banker has offered you a mortgage rate of 5.5 percent compounded semi-annually. What is the effective annual rate charged (EAR)on this loan? QR m 0.055 2 ) - 1 (1 ) -1 m 2 EAR 1.02752 - 1 5.58% EAR (1 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 33 5.5 QUOTED VERSUS EFFECTIVE RATES EXAMPLE: Effective Annual Rates EARs increase as the frequency of compounding increase. Example Effective Annual Rates QR = 8% Frequency of Compounding Annual Semi-annual Quarterly Monthly Daily Continuous Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition Effective Annual Rate 8.0% 8.16% 8.24322% 8.29995% 8.32776% 8.32781% © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 34 5.6 LOAN OR MORTGAGE ARRANGEMENTS • A mortgage loan is a borrowing arrangement where the principal amount of the loan borrowed is typically repaid (amortized) over a given period of time making equal and periodic payments. • A blended payment is one where both interest and principal are retired in each payment. Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 35 5.6 LOAN OR MORTGAGE ARRANGEMENTS EXAMPLE: Loan Amortization Table Determine the annual blended payment on a five –year $10,000 loan at 8% compounded semi-annually. 1 1 (1 k ) n PV0 PMT k 1 1 (1 0.0816)5 $10,000 PMT 0 . 0816 $10,000 PMT $2,515.14 3.9759 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. [5.5] Page 36 5.6 LOAN OR MORTGAGE ARRANGEMENTS EXAMPLE: Loan Amortization Table The loan is amortized over five years with annual payments beginning at the end of year 1. Example 5 -4 QR = 8% EAR = 8.16% Period 1 2 3 4 5 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition Loan Amortization Table Principal Borrowed = $10,000 Amortization Period = 5 years (1) (2) (3) Beginning Principal PMT Interest $10,000 $2,515 $816 $8,301 $2,515 $677 $6,463 $2,515 $527 $4,475 $2,515 $365 $2,325 $2,515 $190 © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. (4) Principal Repayment $1,699 $1,838 $1,988 $2,150 $2,325 (5) Ending Principal $8,301 $6,463 $4,475 $2,325 $0 Page 37 5.6 LOAN OR MORTGAGE ARRANGEMENTS EXAMPLE: Mortgage • Determine the monthly blended payment on a $200,000 mortgage amortized over 25 years at a QR = 4.5% compounded semi-annually. Number of monthly payments = 25 × 12 = 300 0.045 2 ) 1 4.550625% 2 • Find EAR: (1 • Find EMR: 4.550625% (1 EMR)12 1 1.04550625 12 (1 EMR) 1 EMR 0.3715318% • Determine monthly payment: Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition PMT $200,000 $1,106.85 1 1 (1 0.003715) 300 0 . 003715 © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 38 5.6 LOAN OR MORTGAGE ARRANGEMENTS EXAMPLE: Mortgage Amortization The mortgage is amortized over 25 years with annual payments beginning at the end of the first month. Example 5 -5 Mortgage Amortization Table QR = 4.5% Principal Borrowed = $200,000 EAR = 4.55% Amortization Period = 25 years EMR =0.372% (1) (2) (3) Beginning Month Principal PMT Interest 1 $200,000 $1,107 $743 2 $199,636 $1,107 $742 3 $199,271 $1,107 $740 4 $198,905 $1,107 $739 5 $198,537 $1,107 $738 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. (4) Principal Repayment $364 $365 $366 $368 $369 (5) Ending Principal $199,636 $199,271 $198,905 $198,537 $198,168 Page 39 5.7 COMPREHENSIVE EXAMPLES • Time value of money (TMV) is a tool that can be applied whenever you analyze a cash flow series over time. • Because of the long time horizon, TMV is ideally suited to solve retirement problems. Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 40 COMPREHENSIVE EXAMPLE: Retirement Problem • Kelly, age 40 wants to retire at age 65 and currently has no savings. • At age 65 Kelly wants enough money to purchase a 30 year annuity that will pay $5,000 per month. • Monthly payments should start one month after she reaches age 65. • Today Kelly has accumulated retirement savings of $230,000. • Assume a 4% annual rate of return on both the fixed term annuity and on her savings. • How much will she have to save each month starting one month from now to age 65 in order for her to reach her retirement goal? *NOTE – these are ordinary annuities Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 41 COMPREHENSIVE EXAMPLE: Retirement Problem How much will the fixed term annuity cost at age 65? Steps in Solving the Comprehensive Retirement Problem 1. Calculate the present value of the retirement annuity as at Kelly’s age 65. 2. Estimate the value at age 65 of her current accumulated savings. 3. Calculate gap between accumulated savings and required funds at age 65. 4. Calculate the monthly payment required to fill the gap. Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 42 COMPREHENSIVE EXAMPLE: Retirement Problem Example Solution – Preliminary Calculations Preliminary calculations Required • Monthly rate of return when annual APR is 4% 4% (1 k m )12 1 1 km 1 .04 (1.04).083 1.00326 1 12 km 0.326% • Number of months during savings period n 25 12 300 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 43 COMPREHENSIVE EXAMPLE: Retirement Problem Time Line & Analysis Required to Identify Savings Gap GAP $1,533,728 $613,142 $920,586 30 year fixed-term retirement annuity = 30 ×12 =360 months $1,533,728 Additional monthly savings (1 k ) n 1 FVA25 PMT k FV25 P0 (1 k annual ) 25 $230,000(1.04) 25 Existing Savings $613,142 Age 40 65 25 year asset accumulation phase Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. 95 30 year asset depletion phase (retirement) Page 44 COMPREHENSIVE EXAMPLE: Retirement Problem Monthly Savings Required to fill Gap GAP $1,533,728 $613,142 $920,586 Monthly savings to fill gap? FVA25 $920,586 n (1 k ) 1 (1.00326)300 1 k 0.00326 $920,586 $1,813.46 507.64 PMT Additional monthly savings Your Answer FV25 P0 (1 k annual ) 25 $230,000(1.04) 25 $613,142 Existing Savings Age 40 65 25 year asset accumulation phase Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. 95 30 year asset depletion phase (retirement) Page 45 Appendix 5A GROWING ANNUITIES & PERPETUITIES Growing Perpetuity • A growing perpetuity is an infinite series of periodic cash flows where each cash flow grows larger at a constant rate. • The present value of a growing perpetuity is calculated using the following formula: PV0 Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition PMT0 (1 g ) PMT1 kg kg © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. [5A-2] Page 46 Appendix 5A GROWING ANNUITIES & PERPETUITIES Growing Annuity • An annuity is a finite series of periodic cash flows where each subsequent cash flow is greater than the previous by a constant growth rate. • The formula for a growing annuity is: n PMT1 1 g PV0 1 k g 1 k Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. [5A-4] Page 47 WEB LINKS Wiley Weekly Finance Updates site (weekly news updates): http://wileyfinanceupdates.ca/ Textbook Companion Website (resources for students and instructors): www.wiley.com/go/boothcanada Booth • Cleary – 3rd Edition © John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. Page 48 COPYRIGHT Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. All rights reserved. Reproduction or translation of this work beyond that permitted by Access Copyright (the Canadian copyright licensing agency) is unlawful. Requests for further information should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons Canada, Ltd. 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