InIInfo RARE EARTH WEEKLY REVIEW OCT 8-11,2014 Oct.11,2014 |Published by Info-RE|www.info-re.com A Weekly Highlight of the Rare Earth Market Table of Contents Market Summary……………………………………………P2 China Highlights……………………………………………..P3 Global Highlights…………………………………………….P4 Contact us Author: Margaret Xue End user Highlights…………………………………………P6 Email: margaret@info-re.com Pricing Highlights……………………………………………P6 Tel: +86 -10-56 49 01 77 Rare Earth Outlook for Next Week…………………P12 Mobile: +86 13 69 13 25 40 1 2 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 Market Summary The rare earth market has continued to see a lack of downstream consumer buying after China’s weeklong National Day holiday. Many suppliers become more bearish about the market outlook in the coming weeks and some suppliers who are in a hurry to recoup cash flow are keen to further lower prices to drum up business. Some buyers want to restock material in small quantities and they also depress prices to much lower levels. Praseodymium/neodymium prices have seen marked drop in the past few days due to the persistent lack of restocking from downstream NdFeB manufactures. And prices for many other rare earth elements, such as neodymium and gadolinium have also been heading south following praseodymium/neodymium prices. Dysprosium prices have also edged down because of without motivated buyers even though suppliers are holding steady offer prices and are reluctant to accept lower prices. Meanwhile, much lower prices for oxides of terbium and europium have been reported as some suppliers are engaging to selling off stocks. However, prices for cerium and lanthanum have been relatively steady over the past few days due to their already low prices. The continuously sluggish markets for rare earth oxides and metals have dragged down prices for rare earth concentrates in both southern and northern markets, which leads market players to become more cautious about the rare earth market direction in the coming weeks. Export markets for some rare earths have been depressed by a lack of overseas demand against large supply with prices still drifting lower. Downstream rare earth consuming sector, such as NdFeB market, usually sees growing orders in late September and early October, which will also improve their demand for praseodymium/neodymium. Nonetheless, there has been no improvement seen so far, leading to their sluggish consumption for rare earth materials. Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market China’s Rare Earth Prices over Oct 8-11, 2014 Product Price on Oct 8 Price on Oct 11 Unit Change Pr/Nd Pr/Nd metal 99% min 373,000-378,000 369,000-374,000 RMB/t -4,000 Pr/Nd metal 99% min FOB 83-88 80-85 $/kg -3 Pr/Nd oxide 99% min 287,000-292,000 285,000-290,000 RMB/t -2,000 Pr/Nd oxide 99% min FOB 62-67 60-65 $/kg -2 Dy Dy metal 99% min 1,850-2,050 1,850-2,050 Dy metal 99% min FOB 420-460 400-440 Dy oxide 99% min 1,390-1,420 1,380-1,410 Dy oxide 99% min FOB 310-330 300-320 Fe-Dy Dy 80% min 1,410-1,440 1,400-1,430 Fe-Dy Dy 80% min FOB 310-340 310-330 RMB/kg = $/kg -20 RMB/kg -10 $/kg -10 RMB/kg -10 $/kg -5 RMB/t = $/kg = RMB/t = $/kg = RMB/t = $/kg = RMB/t = $/kg -0.1 RMB/t = $/kg = RMB/t = $/kg = La La metal 99% min 37,000-39,000 37,000-39,000 La metal 99% min FOB 9-10 9-10 La oxide 99.9% min 14,500-16,000 14,500-16,000 La oxide 99.9% min FOB 4.3-4.8 4.3-4.8 La oxide 99.999% min 38,000-40,000 38,000-40,000 La oxide 99.999% min FOB 8-9 8-9 Ce Ce carbonate 45% REO 6,500-7,000 Ce carbonate 45% REO FOB 2.5-3.0 Ce metal 99% min 38,000-40,000 Ce metal 99% min FOB 10-12 Ce oxide 99.9% min 13,500-14,500 Ce oxide 99.9% min FOB 4.2-4.5 6,500-7,000 2.5-2.8 38,000-40,000 10-12 13,500-14,500 4.2-4.5 Nd Nd metal 99% min 368,000-373,000 363,000-368,000 RMB/t Nd metal 99% min FOB 82-85 79-83 $/kg -5,000 -2.5 Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 3 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 China Highlights Chalco Guangxi Guosheng rare earth separating project approved by MIIT The project of Jiangsu Guosheng’s updated rare earth separating production line in Chalco Guangxi Nonferrous Rare Earth Development Co has recently been approved by China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. China’s Rare Earth Prices over Oct 8-11, 2014 Product Price on Oct 8 Price on Oct 11 Unit Change Nd oxide 99% min 280,000-285,000 270,000-275,000 RMB/t -5,000 Nd oxide 99% min FOB 58-61 58-61 $/kg = Tb Tb metal 99% min 3,500-3,700 Tb metal 99% min FOB 780-830 Tb oxide 99.99% min 2,500-2,600 Tb oxide 99.99% min FOB 570-620 3,450-3,650 RMB/kg -200 780-830 $/kg -20 2,500-2,600 RMB/kg = 570-620 $/kg = RMB/t = $/kg = Pr Located in Congzuo city, Guangxi province, the total investment of the project is RMB479 million($78.2 million), with the annual rare earth separating capacity of 5,500 tonnes (REO). There will be two rare earth separating plants in Guangxi when the project is to be completed in the future and then Guangxi’s rare earth separating capacity will be enlarged to 9,000 tpy. The project aims to become a rare earth separating demonstration base in southern China, a center for rare earth production technology research and application and rare earth trading center to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Near 10,000 tonnes rare earths traded on Baotou Rare Earth Products Exchange Pr metal 99% min 630,000-650,000 630,000-650,000 Pr metal 99% min FOB 145-155 145-155 Pr oxide 99% min 490,000-500,000 490,000-495,000 Pr oxide 99% min FOB 110-115 110-115 RMB/t $/kg -2,500 = Eu Eu oxide 99.99% min 2,200-2,400 Eu oxide 99.99% min FOB 620-670 2,150-2,350 RMB/kg -50 620-670 $/kg = Gd Fe-Gd Gd 73% min 108,000-111,000 108,000-110,000 RMB/t Gd oxide 99% min 95,000-97,000 95,000-97,000 RMB/t Gd oxide 99% min FOB 21-26 21-26 $/kg Gd oxide 99.99% min 165,000-175,000 165,000-175,000 RMB/t Gd oxide 99.99% min FOB 40-45 37-42 $/kg = = = = -3 Y There have been over 9,700 tonnes rare earths traded on Baotou Rare Earth Products Exchange since the opening date of March 28 and by the end of September the total turnover has reached around RMB1.7 billion($278 million), according to a report by Xinhua Agency. "The latest data is sufficient proof that the exchange has been in good operation," said Gu Ming, general manager of the Baotou-based exchange. Located in Baotou City, north China's Inner Mongolia Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Y metal 99.9% min 230,000-260,000 230,000-260,000 RMB/t Y oxide 99.999% min 35,000-38,000 35,000-38,000 RMB/t Y oxide 99.999% min FOB 11.7-12.7 11.7-12.7 $/kg = = = Er Er oxide 99% min 263,000-273,000 260,000-270,000 RMB/t Er oxide 99% min FOB 56-61 56-61 $/kg La/Ce mischmetal La/Ce mischmetal (La 35%, Ce 65%) 33,000-36,000 33,000-36,000 RMB/t -3,000 = = Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 4 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 Autonomous Region, the exchange was initiated by Baotou Steel Rare Earth (Group) Hi-Tech Co (BSRE), China's leading rare earth producer, and another 12 firms and institutions with a registered capital of RMB120 million($19.6 million). Zhang Zhong, general manager of BSRE, praised the exchange for its significance and influence in the industry, as its initiators could obtain 80 percent of China's total rare earth ore and products each year respectively. Liangshan set to establish rare earth industrial technology institute China’s Rare Earth Prices over Oct 8-11, 2014 Product Price on Oct 8 Price on Oct 11 Unit Change La/Ce mischmetal (La 35%, Ce 65%) FOB 8.7-9.2 8.5-9 $/kg -0.2 Sm Sm metal 99% min 90,000-100,000 90,000-100,000 RMB/t Sm metal 99% min FOB 21-24 21-24 $/kg Sm oxide 99% min 16,000-17,000 16,000-17,000 RMB/t Sm oxide 99% min FOB 4-5 4-5 $/kg Mischmetal(Battery Grade) with low Zn & low Mg Mischmetal 130,000-140,000 130,000-140,000 RMB/t with low Zn & Mg Mischmetal 28-30 28-30 $/kg with low Zn & Mg FOB The establishment of Liangshan Rare Earth Industrial Technology Institute, a nonprofit organization, has been officially launched recently, according to a report by a local media. = = = = = = The total investment for the institute is expected to be RMB200 million. And the construction work is tried to be completed before 2015. It will mainly rely on private enterprises in the local areas, such as Wankaifeng Rare Earth New Energy Science And Technology Co and Sichuan Jiangxi Copper Rare Earth Co to develop new products, technology and equipment related to rare earths. A Sharp drop seen in Guangdong’s rare earth exports in August The export amount of rare earths in Guagndong was only 19.3 tonnes in August, falling 73.6% and 83.3% from August 2013 and July 2014 respectively, and the export value in August was RMB8.087 million, down 23.1% from the same month of 2013, according to customs statistics. The markets of the US, European Union and Japan were Guangdong rare earths’ main export destinations in August, with seven tonnes exported to the US, 6.7 tonnes to European Union and three tonnes to Japan. Guangdong exported 741.8 tonnes rare earths in the first eight months of 2014, up 23.5% year on year and the total export value in January – August was RMB95.99 million, up 2.6% from the corresponding months of 2013. Baotou to eliminate 34,610 tpy of outdated rare earth capacity in 2014 Sources from Baotou’s local authority said that Baotou is to eliminate 34,616 tonnes of outdated rare earth capacity this year, with nine companies involved. All the nine companies involved have been suspended, with five companies’ production equipment already demolished, representing a total 21,910 tpy capacity. And the demolishing work for the rest four companies is expected to be completed towards the end of the month. Global Highlights Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 5 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 7,050 tonnes HREO estimated by Namibia Rare Earths PEA Namibia Rare Earths has recently released a preliminary economic assessment (PEA) of the Lofdal Rare Earths project, giving an estimate of 2.88 Mt of indicated mineral resources yielding 9,230 tonnes of rare earth oxides (REO), of which 7,050 tonnes are estimated to be HREO, according to a report by the website of Investing News. The inferred resource stands at 3.28 Mt of mineral resources yielding 8,970 tonnes of REO, of which 6,700 tonnes are estimated to be HREO. The remainder of the REO is made up of Light Rare Earth oxides (LREO). Capital costs for the lifespan of the mine is listed as USD $156 million for a 2,500 tonnes per day mine (equivalent to 840,000 tonnes per year). Not a megaproject – like Quest Minerals’ billion dollar Strange Lake development – by any stretch of the imagination, but the company says the estimated tonnes per day could provide up to 15 percent of the four rare earth heavy metals needed around the world. “The PEA confirms the strengths of the project in terms of its favourable rare earth distribution and amenability to conventional mining and processing, and demonstrates its financial strengths in terms of the low capital costs and significant cash flows,” said Donald Burton, president and CEO, in a press release. An important aspect of the project is the possibility of extending its lifetime. In the PEA, the life of mine (LOM) is given as seven years but the company believes that with additional drilling, that time could be easily expanded. “We will target additional drilling to significantly expand mineral resources and to establish mineable reserves thereby extending the life of mine,” said Burton. The project will be developed as an open pit with a depth of 200 metres. The mine isn’t large enough to support the creation and funding of a separation plant meaning the final product will be delivered to a third-party facility. Namibia Rare Earths Inc. is developing a portfolio of mineral exploration projects in Namibia and is currently focused on the accelerated development of the Lofdal Rare Earths Project in northwestern Namibia. IAMGOLD to sell niobium and rare earths for a total of $530 million A report on the website of IAMGOLD Corporation said that the company reached an agreement to sell its Niobec mine, one of the world’s three niobium producers to a group f companies led by Magris Resources Inc. for cash proceeds of $500 million after tax upon closing. The sale of Niobec, which is located in Saint-Honoré-de-Chicoutimi in the Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean region, Quebec, is to include the adjacent rare earth element ("REE") deposit. The total consideration of $530 million for the transaction is comprised of a cash payment of $500 million payable on closing, as well as an additional $30 million when the adjacent REE deposit goes into commercial production. A 2% gross proceeds royalty will be payable on any REE production. "This sale unlocks the value of Niobec for our shareholders, positions IAMGOLD as a pure gold play and significantly improves our liquidity, which provides us with the opportunity to further improve the grade and cost structure of our portfolio of gold assets," said the company's president and CEO, Steve Letwin. Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 6 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 IAMGOLD is a mid-tier gold producer with five operating gold mines (including current joint ventures) on three continents and one of the world’s top three niobium mines. A solid base of strategic assets in Canada, South America and Africa is complemented by development and exploration projects and continued assessment of accretive acquisition opportunities. New technology expected to help Russia return to rare earth market In the next three years, the Urals will launch production using new technology to extract rare earth metals from uranium ore. Scientists expect the project to help Russia return to a market that not so long ago was completely dominated by China, according to a report covered by the website of rbth.com. The report said that Scientists from the Ural Federal University have developed a unique technology to extract rare earth metals from uranium ore. Their scientific acumen lies in the creation of a sorbent that makes the extraction possible. Pilot production will be set up using this technology in the near future. According to the scientists, this will slash the Russian market’s need for rare earth metals by a third, reduce the dependence of many industrial sectors on imports and put pressure on China, which has a monopoly on the world rare earth metals market. Sergei Kortov, a professor of innovation at Ural Federal University, is confident that this unique technology will play a crucial role in import substitution for both raw materials and finished products, an important issue for Russia these days. It will also keep rare earth metals prices at bay on the world market. “There really isn’t this type of production in Russia right now, even though these materials are needed in many industries,” Kortov told RBTH. “Russia would find it economically beneficial to resume its own production of rare earth metals so that prices for the final product don’t increase.” In the next three years scientists need to create a formula for pilot production of rare earth metals using a unique uranium-leaching technology. End User Highlights Hunan Corun gains RMB35.48 million government subsidy for related new energy vehicle projects Hunan Corun New Energy Co announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary –-- Hunan Copower EV Battery Co has recently gained a total of RMB35.48 million government subsidy. The subsidy is used for new energy vehicle projects, with RMB11.78 million for the project of the annual 48,000 units rare earth hydrogen storage alloy batteries and RMB23.7 million for the plan of NI-MH battery for Hybrid Electric Vehicle. Hunan Corun New Energy Co was established in January 1998 and listed on Shanghai stock exchange in September 2003. It is an advanced technology enterprise specialized in new energy material, advanced batteries, BMS and their extension products researching, manufacturing and sale. Corun group consists the following subsidiary companies. They are Changsha Lyrun New Materials Co., LTD, Lanzhou JinChuan Corun Battery Co.,LTD, YiYang Corun Battery Co.,LTD, Hunan Copower EV Battery Co.,LTD, Shanon Corun Energy Co.,Ltd (Japan), Corun Trading Co.,Ltd(US), Societe Corun New Energy SAS(EUROPE). Furthermore, the group is also involved into the establishment of Hunan Rare Earth Industrial Group, Corun PEVE(CHINA) Automotive Battery Co.,LTD. Pricing Highlights Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 7 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 Pr/Nd prices continue falling Much lower prices of about RMB367,000-368,000/tonne for 99% praseodymium/neodymium metal are being reported in the market, compared to offers of about RMB375,000/tonne quoted by many suppliers. In the meantime, lower prices of about RMB285,000/tonne for 99% praseodymium/neodymium oxide and RMB240,000250,00/tonne before duty for the rare earth oxide have also been reported in the market. 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 Pr/Nd oxide (RMB/t) Pr/Nd metal (RMB/t) 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Dysprosium prices softened on persistently lacking demand 99% dysprosium oxide prices have softened to about RMB1,390/kg recently and lower prices of about RMB1,380/kg are also reported in the market. Some suppliers have decreased their offer prices for ferro-dysprosium (Dy 80%) to about RMB1,420-1,430/kg from RMB1,440-1,450/kg seen in late September, and prices of about RMB1,410-1,420/kg are accepted. Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 8 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 1500 1480 1460 1440 1420 Dy oxide(RMB/kg) 1400 Fe-Dy(RMB/kg) 1380 1360 1340 Praseodymium oxide prices still weak on sluggish Pr/Nd market Suppliers maintained 99% praseodymium oxide at about RMB490,000/tonne and higher prices of about RMB500,000/tonne are unaccepted by buyers now, even though some small activities have been reported at RMB500,000-510,000/tonne. Compared to offers of about RMB490,000/tonne quoted by some producers, low prices of about RMB470,000480,000/tonne are also being reported in the market at the moment. Pr oxide (RMB/t) 550000 540000 530000 520000 510000 500000 Pr oxide (RMB/t) 490000 480000 470000 460000 Europium oxide prices down amid stagnant sales Europium oxide prices have been on the downward track in response to so stagnant business due to its very limited downstream application. Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 9 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 Lower prices of RMB2,150-2,200/kg for 4N europium oxide have been seen in the market over the past few days even though some suppliers are still quoting RMB2,400-2,500/kg at the moment. Eu oxide(RMB/kg) 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 Eu oxide(RMB/kg) 1000 500 0 Erbium oxide prices weak on falling prices across rare earth complex 99% erbium oxide is currently available at about RMB265,000/tonne, and lower prices of about RMB260,000/tonne are also being reported in the market. However, some small activities for the rare earth oxide have been reported at about RMB270,000/tonne recently. China’s rare earth concentrate prices fall in both southern and northern markets China’s rare earth concentrate prices have seen marked reductions in both southern and northern markets in the past days dragged down by the persistently flat downstream rare earth markets. Prices for medium yttrium and rich europium rare earth concentrates in southern China are reported at around RMB150,000/tonne at the moment, compared to about RMB160,000-170,000/tonne for September published by Ganzhou Rare Earth Association. Meanwhile, some rare earth carbonate (Pr+Nd>=20%) has been concluded at RMB20,500/tonne before duty in the past few days, down from RMB21,000-22,000/tonne before duty seen in the mid of last month. Prices for rare earth concentrate in Baotou have also moved down to about RMB275/mtu before duty from about RMB285290/mtu before duty in view of falling prices for lanthanum, cerium and praseodymium/neodymium. The drop in rare earth concentrate prices have aroused more bearish market sentiment and some market players warned that prices for some rare earth elements, such as praseodymium/neodymium might head further down in the days to come. Neodymium oxide prices fall on Pr/Nd 99% neodymium oxide is currently available at RMB270,000-275,000/tonne, compared to about RMB285,000/tonne in the past few weeks. Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 10 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 Nd oxide(RMB/t) 300000 295000 290000 285000 280000 275000 Nd oxide(RMB/t) 270000 265000 260000 La/Ce mischmetal prices move down again Lanthanum/cerium mischmetal prices have moved down again with a lack of strong consumer buying as well as weakening prices for lanthanum and cerium. Lanthanum/cerium mischmetal (La 35%, Ce 65%) is currently available at about RMB33,000-34,000/tonne, compared to about RMB36,000-37,000/tonne seen one month ago. La/Ce mischmetal (RMB/t) 39000 38000 37000 36000 35000 La/Ce mischmetal (RMB/t) 34000 33000 32000 Export prices for lanthanum/cerium mischmetal have moved down again during the past days in response to the still entrenched smuggling problem as well as recently falling domestic prices. Lanthanum/cerium mischmetal (La 35%, Ce 65%) is available at about $8.5-9/kg at the moment, compared to offer prices of about $9-9.5/kg in the past few weeks. Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 11 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 Overseas buyers have been restocking material depending on their orders. However, there have been ample availability seen around the market and much cheaper prices of $7-7.5/kg reported. La/Ce mischmetal FOB($/kg) 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.2 9 8.8 La/Ce mischmetal FOB($/kg) 8.6 8.4 8.2 Gadolinium prices down in line with Pr/Nd Ferro-gadolinium (Gd 73%) is available at about RMB108,000-109,000/tonne at the moment, compared to about RMB112,000-113,000/tonne towards the end of September. Meanwhile, gadolinium oxide prices are holding at about RMB95,000-96,000/tonne at the moment even though some offers are being quoted at about RMB100,000/tonne. 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 Gd oxide(RMB/t) FeGd(RMB/t) 40000 20000 0 Cerium carbonate export prices move down on weak domestic prices Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd 12 Rare Earth Weekly Review Oct 8-11,2014 Export prices for cerium carbonate (Ce 45%) are currently holding at about $2.5-2.6/kg, down from about $2.8-3/kg in the past few weeks. Nonetheless, some suppliers are still quoting close to $3/kg for the carbonate but few overseas buyers are keen to restock material at the pricing level. Ce carbonate($/kg) 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 Ce carbonate($/kg) 1 0.5 0 Rare Earth Outlook for Next Week The rare earth market is full of bearish sentiment at the moment and most market players are concerned that prices might continue down in the days to come in view of the unimproved downstream markets, such as the main consuming field NdFeB magnet industry. Info-RE believed that buyers would not return to the market in the near future because of the falling prices and they would not take risk in restocking material now. However, as some producers are reluctant to further decrease selling prices due to high production cost, prices would not sharply head down next week. Praseodymium/neodymium prices might head further down in the coming week, while prices for europium, dysprosium, and terbium might keep relatively steady because of their relatively low prices as well as supported by prices for ion-absorption rare earth concentrate. Prices for lanthanum and cerium are also expected to hold generally steady next week because of their already low prices. Export prices would continue to be under pressure because overseas buyers might not come back to the market in the near future and some of them have been trying to depress purchase prices despite for small business. Oct 8-11, 2014 A weekly highlight of the rare earth market Copyright©Beijing Easy Information Technology Co., Ltd