Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn The 2nd Biennial Conference of China Development Studies 第二届中国发展研究双年会 会议议程 China Shanghai 中国·上海 June 27th – 28th, 2015 Organizer Shanghai Institute for National Economy (SHINE) Antai College of Economics & Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Program 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn 2015-6-27(Saturday) 08:30 – 09:00 Venue: Lecture Hall Antai Building 地点:安泰 演讲厅 09:00 – 10:00 Opening Ceremony Keynote Address Chairman of Shanghai Jiao Tong University Lin Zhou, Dean of Antai College of Economics and Management Chairman: Ming Lu, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Keynote Speech Venue: Lecture Hall China's Great Leap Forward in Science and Engineering Antai Building (Richard Freeman, Harvard University and NBER) 地点:安泰 演讲厅 10:00 – 10:15 Coffee Break 10:15 – 12:15 Keynote Speech Venue: Lecture Hall Antai Building 地点:安泰 演讲厅 12:30 – 14:00 Rebalancing and Growth of China's Economy (YAO Yang, Dean, National School of Development; Director, China Center for Economic Research, Peking University) 14:00 – 15:30 Session A: Venue: Room 106 Effects of FDI Policies on Product Variety and Wage Inequality (Dennis Yang, University of Virginia and Shanghai Jiao Tong University) Lunch Parallel session Each paper: 20 mins for presentation, 10 mins for discussion Session A: Firm Development Chairman:Anthony Howell 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn North Building 地点:北楼 106 ‘Indigenous’ Innovation with Heterogeneous Risk and New Firm Survival in a Transitioning Chinese Economy (Anthony Howell, School of Economics, Peking University) State Capitalism and Labor Share Dynamics (Mouhua Liao, WISE,Xiamen University) The Births of New Private Firms in an Environment of State-owned Enterprises: Evidence from Agglomeration Economics? (Liang Zheng, Department of Urban and Real Estate School of Management Science and Engineering, Central University of Finance and Economics) Session B: Meeting China’s Environmental Challenges Chairman:Valerie J. Karplus Trans-boundary Air Pollution and Regional Decentralization in China Session B: (Feng, Hao, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh) Venue: Room 105 North Building 地点:北楼 105 Effects of Environmental Regulation in China: Water Pollution in the Yangtze River and Industrial Relocation (Chen, Zhao, China Center for Economic Studies, Fudan University) Firm Incentives and Environmental Control: Evidence from Chinese Cities (Valerie J. Karplus, MIT Sloan School of Management) Session C: Corporate Finance of Chinese Firms Chairman:Xu, Zhiwei Crony Banking and Local Growth in China Session C: (Chunyang Wang, Peking University) Venue: Room 104 North Building 地点:北楼 104 Modes of Foreign Bank Participation and Domestic Bank Efficiency: Evidence from China (Jun Wu, Shanghai Jiao Tong University) Interest Rate Liberalization and Capital Allocation (Xu, Zhiwei, Shanghai Jiao Tong University) Session D: Session D: Labor and Migration Chairman:Chunbing Xing Venue: 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn Room 101 North Building 地点:北楼 101 Network on job search of migrants (Yuanyuan Chen, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics) Bride Drain: Rising Female Migration and Declining Men’s Marriage Rates in Rural China (Lei Meng, Xiamen University) Are Skilled Workers More Mobile than the Unskilled in Response to Local Demand Shifts in China? (Chunbing Xing, Beijing Normal University) 15:30 – 15:45 15:45 – 17:15 Coffee Break Parallel session Each paper: 20 mins for presentation, 10 mins for discussion Session A: The Evolution of China’s State Enterprises Chairman:Mary E. Lovely Session A: Venue: Room 106 North Building 地点:北楼 106 Pressure to Reform: anti-corruption and state sector reform in China (Dimitar D. Gueorguiev, Political Science, Syracuse University) The Domestic Segment of Global Supply Chains in China under State Capitalism (Heiwai Tang, International Economics, Johns Hopkins University) State Enterprise Reform: What Determines the Choice of Ownership Form? (Mary E. Lovely, Syracuse University) Session B: Venue: Room 105 North Building 地点:北楼 105 Session B: Meeting China’s Environmental Challenges (2) Chairman:ChunZeng Fan Environmental Regulation and Industrial Performance: Evidence from China (Shinsuke Tanaka, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University) Air pollution treatment efficiency of industrial enterprises in China (ChunZeng Fan, Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiaotong University) Better Lucky Than Rich? Welfare Analysis of Automobile License Allocations in Beijing and Shanghai (Shanjun Li, Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Cornell University) 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn Session C: Banking and Financial Market Chairman:Zhang, Guoxiong Session C: Venue: Room 104 North Building 地点:北楼 104 SOEs Reforms and Chinese Industrial Firms' Leverage Ratios (Ninghua Zhong, Tongji University) Who Gains from Credit Granted between Firms? Evidence from Inter-corporate Loan Announcements Made in China (Liping Lu, VU University Amsterdam) Credit Constraint and Aggregate Productivity: Evidence from Chinese Firm Level Data (Zhang, Guoxiong, Shanghai Jiao Tong University) Session D: Labor and Urbanization Chairman:Lu, Ming Session D: Venue: Room 101 North Building 地点:北楼 101 The Second Generation Rural-urban Migrants and the Heterogeneous Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital (Dong Zhou, Department of Economics, University of California) Migration, Agricultural Production, and Liquidity Constraints: Impacts of Randomized Credit Access (Shu Cai, Department of Economics, the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) Skill Complementarities within Firms (Lu, Ming, Shanghai Jiao Tong University) 18:00 – 20:30 Welcoming Banquet (The Chinese Restaurant, Crowne Plaza) 2015-6-28(Sunday) 08:30 – 10:00 Parallel session Each paper: 20 mins for presentation, 10 mins for discussion 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn Session A: One-Child Policy Chairman: Xuebo Wang Session A: Venue: Room 106 North Building 地点:北楼 106 One-Child Policy, Interethnic Marriage and Marriage Gains (Huang, Wei, Harvard University) Population Control Policies and Human Capital Investment:China’s One-Child Policy Revisited (Xuebo Wang, Xiamen University) The One Child Policy and Promotion of Mayors in China (Shuang Zhang, University of Colorado Boulder) Session B: Development and Welfare Chairman:Robson Morgan Session B Venue: Room 105 North Building 地点:北楼 105 Well-Being After the Iron Rice Bowl: Life Satisfaction in Urban China from 2001 to 2012 (Robson Morgan, University of Southern California) The Price of Growth: Consumption Insurance in China 1989-2009 (Yu Zheng, City University of Hong Kong) Mandatory Retirement and the Consumption Puzzle: Prices Decline or Quantities Decline? (Dennis Yang, Darden School of Business, University of Virginia, and Shanghai Jiaotong University) Session C Venue: Session C: Institutions and Chinese Economy Chairman:Ting Ren 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn Room 104 North Building 地点:北楼 104 Firm Investment Dynamics and Misallocation in China (Wenya Wang, University of Western Ontario) Private Property Protection and Economic Performance (Danli Wang, The Chinese University of Hong Kong) Foreign Direct Investment, Institutional Environment, and the Establishment of P rivate Economy in China (Ting Ren, Peking University) Session D: Labor and Development Chairman: He Hui Session D Venue: Room 101 North Building 地点:北楼 101 Rusticated Youth: The Send-down Movement and Beliefs (Xie Huihua, Department of Economics, National University of Singapore) Deadly Discrimination: Implications of “Missing Girls” for Workplace Safety (Zhibo Tan, Fudan University) Rapid Aging and Pension Reform: The Case of China (He Hui, International Monetary Fund and School of Economics, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics) 10:00 – 10:15 Coffee Break 10:15 – 11:45 Session A: Venue: Parallel session Each paper: 20 mins for presentation, 10 mins for discussion Session A: Development Policies Chairman:Xiaojia Bao 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn Room 106 North Building 地点:北楼 106 State Capacity and Policy Orientation: China's Rural Development under the Communist Party (Yi Lu, National University of Singapore) Assessing Equity of Healthcare Utilization in Rural China: Results from Nationally Representative Surveys from 1993 to 2008 (Yanfang Su, Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard School of Public Health) Transfer for Disasters: Governmental Responsiveness to Typhoon Risks in China (Xiaojia Bao, Xiamen University) Session B: Regional & Urban Development Chairman:Ding Lu Session B: Venue: Room 105 North Building 地点:北楼 105 Provincial returns to human capital in urban China, inter-regional inequality and the implicit value of a Guangdong hukou (Jeffrey S. Zax, University of Colorado Boulder) Demography and Migration - Impact on Regional Development (Ding Lu, University of the Fraser Valley) Understanding Local Production and Consumption Agglomeration Economies: Evidence from the Opening of 120 Industrial Parks in China (Jianfeng WU, Fudan University) Session C: Trade, FDI and Firm Chairman: Sai Ding Session C: Venue: Room 104 North Building 地点:北楼 104 Foreign Entry Regulations, Trade and Service Liberalization, and Downstream Productivity in China (Sai Ding, the University of Glasgow) Trade Liberalization, Demand, and Markups of Multi-Product Firms (Fan, Haichao, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics) Identifying FDI Spillovers (Lianming Zhu, Yokohama National University) 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn Session D: Political Economy Chairman: Xiaohuan Lan Session D: Venue: Room 101 North Building 地点:北楼 101 Logrolling under Fragmented Authoritarianism: Theory and Evidence from China (Jiwei QIAN, East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore) Power struggle and government oversizing: unintended consequences of checks and balances in a one-party regime (Pinghan Liang, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics) Swiss Watch Cycles: Evidence of Corruption During Leadership Transition in China (Xiaohuan Lan, Fudan University) 11:45 – 13:30 13:30 – 15:00 Lunch Parallel session Each paper: 20 mins for presentation, 10 mins for discussion Session A: Political Economy (2) Chairman: Bingyong Zheng Session A: Venue: Room 106 North Building 地点:北楼 106 Competence versus Incentive: Evidence from City Officials in China (Zhang, Muyang, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics) Distributional Effects of Trade Protection: Evidence from China in the Early Twentieth Century (Cong Liu, University of Arizona) Bureaucratic Corruption and Economic Development (Bingyong Zheng, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics) Session B: Venue: Room 105 Session B: Health and Education Chairman: Liqiu Zhao 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn North Building 地点:北楼 105 Does Public Health Insurance Crowd Out Private Transfer? Evidence from China’s New Cooperative Medical Scheme (Liqiu Zhao, Renmin University of China) Health Consequences of Rural-to-Urban Migration: Evidence from Panel Data in China (Song, Yang, Renmin University of China) Parental Migration and Children's Educational Aspirations in Rural China (Li, Shaoping, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences) Session C: Trade, FDI and Firm (2) Chairman: Anthony Howell Session C: Venue: Room 104 North Building 地点:北楼 104 Sources of Relatedness between Industries and Revealed Comparative Advantage: Evidence from China (Linke Zhu, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics) Do Offshoring and Foreign Investment Influence Industrial Pollution Intensities in China? (Mary E. Lovely, Syracuse University) Anti-dumping Duty Circumvention through Trade Re-routing:Evidence from Chinese Exporters (Xuepeng Liu, Department of Economics & Finance, Coles College of Business, Kennesaw State University) Session D: Venue: Room 101 Session D: Labor Market Chairman: Wenjie Wu 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052 Address:No. 535, Fa Hua Zhen Road, Shanghai 200052, P. R. China Tel:(+86-21)54740000 / 6293 2592 Fax:(+86-21)54740000 www.acem.sjtu.edu.cn North Building 地点:北楼 101 Childcare, Public Service and Chinese Rural Married Women’s Non-farm Labor Participation: Evidence from CFPS Data in 2010 (Li, Huiwen, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics) The Effect of Economic Development on Intergenerational Income Mobility evidence from China (Renyu Li, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics) The Geography of Cultural Ties and Human Mobility Behaviors Evidence Based on Urban Big Data from China (Wenjie Wu, Heriot-Watt University) 15:00 – 15:15 15:15 – 17:30 Coffee Break Antai Policy Forum and Ending Ceremony Venue: Does China Have a Government-led Growth Model? Lecture Hall “是否存在政府推动发展的中国模式?” Antai (in Chinese and English, with simultaneous interpretation, 中英文,并有同声翻译) Building 地点:安泰 Chair: 演讲厅 Ming Lu (Shanghai Jiao Tong University) Speakers: Zhao Chen (Fudan University) , “Economic Upgrading: Has Chinese Government Played Right?” (经济升级换代:政府做对了吗?) Brandeis University Yingli Pan (Shanghai Jiao Tong University) , “The Transformation of Government-led Growth Pattern” (政府推动发展的模式转换) Wing-Thye Woo (UC Davis), "The Changing Nature of Economic Growth Requires a Changing Role for the Government" Mary Lovely (Syracuse University), "Evolution of Chinese State Led Growth?" Xian Chen (Shanghai Jiao Tong University), “The Transformation of the Role and Ability of Local Government” (关键是地方政府的职能转变和能力提高) 地 址:上 海 市 长 宁 区 法 华 镇 路 535 号 电 话: 021-54740000 传 真:021-54740000 邮 编:200052