Presented by
Ahmed Ali Al-Hasawi
INTRODUCTION
ADVANTAGES OF BOT PROJECTS
BOT PROJECTS RISKS
BOT PROJECTS FINANCING STRATEGIES
CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS FOR BOT
PROJECTS
CONCLUSION
Q & A
What does BOT mean?
Main participants in BOT projects
Why do we need BOT projects?
Build-Own-Operate (BOO)
Build-Transfer-Operate (BTO)
Build-Operate and Renewal of the concession
(BOR)
Build-Lease-Own (BLO)
Build-Lease-Transfer (BLT)
Public projects will be built faster
Private sector is more efficient than public agencies
BOT projects assist in transferring new technology
The high experience of the private sponsor and his team lead to an excellent project feasibility.
Political Risks
It is related to the stability situation in the host country and any action of the government that might endanger the project.
Example: tax code revisions, export restrictions
Financial Risks
This risk is related to the inflation, interest rates and exchange rates.
Construction Risks
Time and cost.
Technical difficulties & poor management.
Operation Risks
The cost of operation & maintenance for the completed facility
Market Risks
It is needed to evaluate the demand and price risk.
Force Majeure Risks
This risk is related to the phenomena beyond the host government or private sponsor control.
Concession Period Risk
Long concession period indicates more benefit for private sponsor.
Short concession period consequences.
AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING SOURCES & FINANCING STRATEGIES
The possibility of using local market or international sources.
PROJECT CONDITIONS & FINANCING STRATEGIES
There are several conditions for BOT projects such as government involvement, concession periods, technical requirements and others.
The long concession period has advantages and disadvantages
PROJECT RISKS & FINANCING STRATEGIES
The overall project risks were calculated for each project in the case studies
PR, FR and MR = 8 or less, the project was evaluated as low risk project.
Table 2. Risk Level of BOT Transportation Projects in North America
Project
Highway 407 Express Toll Route
Dulles Greenway
State Route 125 South Tollway
Political Risk Financial Risk Market Risk
1 1 2
2 2 3
2 1 3
Table 3. Risk Level of BOT Transportation Projects in Asia
Project
Cross Harbour Tunnel
Western Harbour Crossing
North-South Highway
Second Stage Expressway System
Bangkok Mass Transit System
Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Zhuhai Superhighway
Political Risk
3
3
5
5
4
5
Financial Risk
3
2
4
4
4
4
Market Risk
2
4
3
4
4
5
Table 4. Risk Level of BOT Power Generation Projects in Asia
Subic Power Plant
Paiton I Power Plant
Project
Shajiao B Power Station
Rizhao Power Plant
Political Risk Financial Risk Market Risk
3 4 1
5 4 2
4
4
3
3
2
1
HIGH POLITICAL RISK
There were several political risks such as changed policies, delays and instability of the government.
To avoid breaking the agreement, involving international investors or lenders.
HIGH FINANCIAL RISK
In three projects in South East Asia, projects sponsors obtained the required loan from international lending institutions as these sources offer low interest rates.
Currency exchange fluctuations is another risk which impacting BOT projects. To mitigate this risk, private sponsors approached local lenders for financing their projects.
HIGH MARKET RISK
Transportation projects & traffic volume.
The consequences will be less revenue compared to what is expected.
In power plants, the host government pay a fixed capacity fee during the concession period.
Highlight the practices or actions taken which normally assist in the success of BOT projects.
The quality of the service during & after the concession period.
To provide adequate training to the owner's personnel to maintain the same level of quality.
Short period of construction allow private investor in getting early revenues.
Sharing the largest revenue of profit with government.
Safest method for construction and most innovative solution.
Advantages of BOT projects were highlighted.
There are different types of risks associated with BOT projects. The most critical ones are PR, FR & MR.
Risks mitigations have been proposed based on an analysis of different case studies
There are some risks which might happen in the project with no control on them (force majeure risks).
Finally, the selection of the right concession period is essential.
Q & A