R&D: How much, by whom? 3.5 3 Percentage 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 1983 1981 Year 0 In decreasing order of terminal (1998) values: Japan, Germany, U.S. (in bold), France, U.K., Canada, Italy Public sponsorship: E.U. 44% U.S. 26% (down from about 35%) Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica and Mexico: substantially over half © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed Who patents, and where? • • • • • • • (EU = the 15 EU states in 2002) Almost all patents are issued to Japanese, European, US inventors The “trilateral block” are about 13% of world population Relative populations Japan (16%) EU(47%) US (37%) Relative GDPs: Japan (18%) EU (36%) US(46%) What would we expect? Patents in these proportions In fact, there is a slight domestic bias. --About half of patents in the U.S. are non-American. --About half of patent applicants to the European Patent Office are non-European There is also a Japanese bias. About 80% of Japanese patents are to Japanese inventors, and Japanese inventors patent disproportionately in EU/US. © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed National Treatment, Reciprocity, Harmonization (A Short History of Treaties) • Paris Convention 1884 (patents) • Berne Convention 1886 (copyrights) – Included some harmonizations • NAFTA and TRIPS 1990s • SCPA 1984 : demanded reciprocity • EU Database Directive 1996 : reciprocity © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed Observations • We cannot study the efficacy of IP regimes by comparing countries. No heterogeneity in inventors’ incentives even if there is heterogeneity in national IP regimes. • Domestic innovations create externalities abroad, whether they are in the public domain or patented. • International profit flows affect domestic IP policies. (The literature on patent design ignores this.) • Domestic policies may turn to IP instead of public science, to recover some of the externalities as profit. • Thus, arguments that TRIPS went too far has a basis “in theory.” © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed Questions • What might we mean by “optimal” international protections? • What is the incentive to join treaties for national treatment? • Within the national-treatment regime, what protections will countries choose “independently.” • Will harmonization increase or decrease these protections? • Which types of countries will prefer harmonized stronger protections? © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed A simple Model • Size of market: va The ratio or profit and deadweight loss is fixed, even if the market are different size mva • Two regions: a,w • Innovations differentiated by cost of innovation c • Public sponsors are inefficient. Public cost is kc, k>1 va p va va © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed • A multipart question (1) IP or public sponsorship? compare DWL to inefficiency of the public sector (2) geographic extent of protection. (3) level of innovation (do inefficiencies outweigh value?) Efficiency • Test (1): (k-1) c >< d (va+vw) ? • Test (2) Ratio test: minimize ratio of deadweight loss to profit. For linear demand curves, the ratio is ½. No (global) efficiency consequences to extending protection • Test (3). The standard one. DWL has two parts. Duplication in patent races. Reduction of DWL on inframarginal innovations © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed Three regimes • These regimes are equally efficient in the sense of deadweight loss, provided the level of profit is the same. • Three regimes 1. Autarky (reciprocal externalities) before the Berne and Paris Conventions 2. All inventors protected in all jurisdictions (post-TRIPS). 3. All inventors protected in one jurisdiction Pre-TRIPS, for some subject matters © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed The Political Economy Perspective • National treatment: There is no incentive to provide it if a country can free-ride. However treaties are reciprocal. The reason to join is to get profit in foreign markets. • Independent choices: Profit flows are two-sided (in and out). In view of this, will domestic choices be “too strong” or “too weak?” • Harmonization: Will it strengthen protections? • Harmonization: Which types of countries will argue for stronger protection? Source of following material: JLEO 2004 Political Economy of Intellectual Property Treaties. © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed Pathologies with independent choices • “Free-riding” and inequity: Country “a” refuses to protect a subject matter because protection in country “w” gives enough incentives. (Why is this “free-riding”?) • Unilateral protection by “wrong” country • Bilateral failure to protect. Neither country protects because unilateral protection does not suffice. Countries fail to coordinate on protection. • Too much IP, too little public sponsorship. Social test (compares costs, not profit flows) (k-1) c < d (va+vw) or (k-1) c < d va Domestic test (profit flows): va > ca and va - kca > (va+vw) With public sponsorship, there is no way to repatriate the benefits conferred abroad. © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed First Best (coordinated) protections of subject matters (assume ca<cw) va dca (k-1) πca πcw d(ca+cw) (k-1) IPa IPw fa fw π(ca+cw) (ca+cw) k IPa +IPw Public Sponsorship © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed Independent Choices of what subject matters to protect va No public sponsorship in equilibrium π(ca+cw) f No IP No IP fa fw IP in both regions or neither © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed What can harmonization accomplish? • Can only strengthen protections, and will typically do so. • Can solve the bilateral coordination problem (at least when there is no disagreement) • Cannot remedy the unilateral failures (there is always disagreement over “free riding”) Harmonization may occur where public sponsorship would be better. • Cannot remedy the failure to provide public sponsorship when domestic benefits are less than cost. © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed Harmonization: How do disagreements depend on asymmetries? • Two asymmetries: size and innovativeness • Size & innovativeness: correlated? • Conflicting Effects: -- Size: larger countries want more public sponsorship abroad, and less IP -- Innovativeness: More innovative countries want more global IP © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed Is the public sector an orphan? • • • • Space station: Mostly Russia and U.S. CERN nuclear physics facility Various telescopes around the world. Various research efforts of the World Health Organization (very limited) © Suzanne Scotchmer 09/14/2004 Contents May Be Used Pursuant to Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs-NonCommercial Common Deed