Partnership Project Promotion of Sustainable Development in the Context of Regional Economic Integration – Strategies for Environmental Sustainability and Poverty Reduction – United Nations Environment Programme-Trade and Economics Branch (UNEP-ETB) McGill University Korea Environment Institute (KEI) National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES) Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES) Under the Framework of United Nations Environment Programme Network of Institutions for Sustainable Development (UNEP-NISD) 2nd NISD Meeting Geneva, 19 September 2005 1 Outline of Presentation Rationale for the research partnership: Policy Context Process of initiating the Partnership Project Project Design • • • • Objectives Outcomes Activities Work Plan Implementation Arrangements • Institutional Arrangements • Financial Arrangements 2 The Policy Context Asia-Pacific region the world’s fastest growing trading region Since 1999, a new wave of FTAs and economic integration Future creation of an East-Asian community by the year 2020 >>> East-Asia Summit to take place in December 2005, Malaysia China, Japan, the Republic of Korea, and the ten countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Need for comprehensive policy responses to the accumulative environment effects 3 Policy Context Current web of FTAs concluded or under negotiation in Asia-Pacific region (Not exhaustive) East Asian Economic Community ASEAN +3 Korea-Japan (under negotiation) China-ASEAN India-ASEAN (framework agreement) (framework agreement) Thailand-Japan Japan-ASEAN (framework agreement) Malayasia-Japan Singapore-Japan AFTA framework agreement under negotiation FTA concluded 4 Asian and Pacific Merchandise Exports, GDP, and Number of Preferential Trade Agreements, 1960-2000 Asian Development Bank, Asian Development Outlook 2002, Figure 3.2. 5 Process of initiating the Partnership Project Establishment of NISD in Jeju, Rep. of Korea, March 2004 As a follow-up, four proposals facilitated by UNEP-ETB Meeting at TNO (Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Applied Research) in Delft, The Netherlands, 10-11 December 2004 (IGES, Institute for Sustainable Futures (ISF), KEI, McGill University and UNEP-ETB IGES proposed to facilitate the working group on promotion of sustainable development in the context of economic integration Meeting hosted by IGES in Hayama, Japan on 18 February 2005 (IGES, KEI, McGill University, and UNEP-ETB) MOU drafted and agreed upon by IGES, McGill University, KEI, NIES and UNEP-ETB 6 Objectives Evaluating the implications of FTAs and regional economic integration for the environment Assessing the capacity of existing environmental policies and institutions to deal with environmental effects of economic integration at both national and regional levels Proposing relevant policies and institutions for mitigating potentially negative impacts while enhancing positive ones 7 Is there a set of policies and mechanisms that will promote synergies between economic integration and environmental quality in East Asia? Starting hypotheses 1. As economic integration proceeds, there will be a "race to the bottom" in East Asia, if no proper response measures (i.e. environmental policies) are taken. 2. At the same time, there will be more opportunities for countries in East Asia to promote resource efficiency and eco-industry, as (i) the current resources use in the region has ample room to improve, and (ii) transfer of resource efficient technologies will be promoted. 3. Neither the strong harmonization observed in the EU nor the flexible mechanisms established in North America can provide a complete solution for East Asia. 4. Policies and mechanisms effective to promote synergies between economic integration and the environment will include nurturing eco-industries, labelling, certification, subsidies, taxes, and other soft measures to promote the emergent environmental goods and services industry. 5. Policies to be identified to prevent the race-to-the-bottom, and to nurture ecoindustry, will have only marginal impact on economic growth (thus poverty alleviation as well), but will contribute to long-term sustainable use of natural resources and improved environmental quality in the region. 8 Outcomes • Analysis of a few packages of plausible environmental policies in terms of effectiveness, efficiency, and equity • Analysis of economic implications of different sets of identified policies • Identification of needs for regional policies to promote environmentally sustainable development • Identification of environmental policies contributing to poverty reduction Tangible outcomes • Main report • Executive summary • Summary for policy makers 9 Activities Scenario analysis Policy analysis and trend review Modelling based on GTAP 10 Scenario analysis Strong Scenario B Scenario A Likely Scenario (Country-Based or Sector-Based) Likely Scenario for the Region Strong Weak ENVIRONMENTAL CONTROL Scenario C Scenario D Weak 11 Policy analysis and Modelling Model Analysis Model development and data collection Policy Analysis Policy review and trend analysis Scenario development at national and regional levels Evaluation of Economic Impacts (positive and negative) Evaluation of Environmental Impacts (positive and negative) (story lines, policies and indicators) Analysis of a few packages of environmental policy National and regional consultations Comprehensive analysis of different policy scenarios -Regional policy harmonization -Economic efficiency -Poverty reduction Set of policies for: - Mitigation of adverse environmental effects - Enhancement of positive effects 12 Work Plan Year 1 (Apr. 2005 – Mar. 2006) Inception workshop, 26-28 October 2005. Work on analytical framework and methodologies. Drawing of scenarios. Initiation of activities under the policy and modelling groups. 1st progress review workshop, March 2006. Year 2 (Apr. 2006 – Mar. 2007) Continuation of activities under the policy and modelling groups. Formulation of policy proposals. Thematic workshops. National and regional policy dialogues. 2nd progress review workshop, March 2007. Year 3 (Apr. 2007 – Mar. 2008) Synthesis of activities under the policy and modelling groups. Refinement of policy proposals and feed-back to modelling exercise. Thematic workshops. National and regional policy dialogues. Concluding workshop, March 2008. 13 Institutional Arrangements Core Group: UNEP-ETB, IGES, McGill University, KEI, NIES Partner Institutes: Policy Research Center for Environment & Economy, State Environment Protection Administration of China Indonesian Institute of Sciences Thailand Environment Institute Institute of Environmental Science and Technology, University of Hanoi Resource Persons and Institutions: Keio University, Seikei University, ASEAN Secretariat and others 14 Financial Arrangements Core Group: Provide for the cost of activities under their responsibilities Provide financial support to partner institutes in developing countries Partner Institutes: Provide in-kind and intellectual contribution Receive financial support from the core group for directs costs of research Resource Persons and Institutions: Provide intellectual contributions Receive financial support from the core group as may be required 15 Thank you for your attention! Hideyuki Mori, Project Leader, Long-term Perspective and Policy Integration Project, IGES For further information, please contact: h-mori@iges.or.jp 16