Implementation of the EED throughout the EU Dr. Stefan Thomas Felix Suerkemper Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, Germany Energy Cities Romania Annual Conference Brasov, 22-24 April 2015 Status of NEEAP presentation to the European Commission by April 2015 National Energy Efficiency Action Plans (NEEAPs) were due in June 2014! As of 21 April: 26 NEEAPs presented in national language (all, but HU and Sl) 24 NEEAPs presented in English (all, but GR, HU, RO, Sl) Romania: not presented yet in English! And only very recently in national language 23 April 2015 DR. STEFAN THOMAS page 2 Wuppertal Institute Energy Efficiency Policy: Harness the multiple benefits • Recent publication by the IEA (2014): Capturing the Multiple Benefits of Energy Efficiency 23 April 2015 3 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute Energy Efficiency Policy: Harness the multiple benefits – some examples Findings by the IEA (2014) for large-scale energy efficiency programmes: GDP: growth rate + 0.25 to 1.1% per year Employment: 8 to 27 job years per EUR 1 million invested; Romania’s Art. 4 strategy: up to 40,000 jobs from building renovation Public budgets: EE in buildings in the EU could bring revenues and savings of EUR 67 to 128 billion to public budgets Health and well-being impacts: may quadruple economic savings compared to energy cost savings alone Productivity improvements: may by worth 2.5 times the energy cost savings alone Energy poverty alleviation, Etc. Wuppertal Institute 2014: Thailand could limit the share of energy import costs in GDP to 20 % through energy efficiency (baseline projection: almost 30%) 23 April 2015 4 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute Multiple benefits of energy efficiency: Efficiency is cost-effective using life-cycle cost calculations Potential costs and benefits (present values) for enterprises and consumers per year of implementation of an illustrative portfolio of energy efficiency programmes in Germany (would achieve Art. 7 EED targets) Source: Wuppertal Institute 2013 23 April 2015 5 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute The role of NEEAPs Burden or Strategic Roadmap for harnessing the benefits of EE? Good practice for content of a NEEAP (1): Addressing energy efficiency targets (Art. 3, 4, 7) and clear structuring according to EED provisions Clear and comprehensive description of measures (incl. target groups, timeframe and operating mode) and changes compared to previous NEEAPs Clear distinction between energy efficiency measures and others (e.g. policies to promote PV installation) Include action by regional and local governments and support for these Description of measures taken to promote energy service markets 23 April 2015 DR. STEFAN THOMAS page 6 Wuppertal Institute The role of NEEAPs Burden or Strategic Roadmap for harnessing the benefits of EE? Good practice for content of a NEEAP (2): Quantification: Savings achieved with existing EE policies Baseline forecast for 2020 with existing EE policies and gap to targets Presentation of new EE policies planned and savings for each policy estimated ex ante prove they will be closing the gap (Basis: assessment of remaining potentials and gaps in sectoral policy packages) Good Practice NEEAPs: e.g. UK, Germany, Poland 23 April 2015 DR. STEFAN THOMAS page 7 Wuppertal Institute The NEEAP cycle: Interplay of targets, analysis, policy design, implementation, monitoring, and evaluation Required Savings (climate protection, energy security) Definition of quantitative target Revision of policy packages and target Definition of contributions to be made by sectors Evaluation of policies and services Potential (GWh or CO2eq/year), technically, economically Implementation and monitoring Ex ante analysis: implementation costs and achievable potential 23 April 2015 DR. STEFAN THOMAS Design of Policy Packages per technology and sector page 8 Wuppertal Institute Good practice in NEEAPs How EU Member States intend to implement Art. 7 (I) Source: Coalition of Energy Savings 2015 23 April 2015 DR. STEFAN THOMAS page 9 Wuppertal Institute Good practice in NEEAPs Member States compliance with EED Article 4 requirements Source: BPIE 2014 23 April 2015 DR. STEFAN THOMAS page 10 Wuppertal Institute Good practice in implementation Evolution of Denmark‘s savings targets for energy companies 2,4 % per year 23 April 2015 DR. STEFAN THOMAS page 11 Wuppertal Institute Example for a recommended sector-specific policy package: Buildings Source: Wuppertal Institute, www.bigee.net POLICY PACKAGE for ENERGY EFFICIENCY in BUILDINGS Governance framework for energy efficiency Energy efficiency targets & planning Energy efficiency infrastructure & funding Eliminating distortions Specific policies and measures for energy efficiency in new buildings Regulation 23 April 2015 Information 12 Incentives & financing Capacity building & networking Promotion of energy services page Dr. Stefan Thomas RD &D and BAT promotion Wuppertal Institute Energy Efficiency Conclusions (1) Energy efficiency has multiple benefits. It usually is a win-win-win option for all aspects of sustainability We need much more evaluation and communication of these multiple benefits – to citizens, companies, and politicians! Energy efficiency will still only to a part happen by itself - because of the manifold and strong market barriers Governance and policy packages for energy efficiency are needed to tap the full potential and develop energy efficiency markets Evaluation shows they can achieve around 2% per year of additional energy savings – we need more policy evaluation too 23 April 2015 13 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute Energy Efficiency Conclusions (2) How local authorities could be more strongly involved in NEEAP implementation A part of the specialised fund for investments could be set aside for local and regional governments to invest in their building stock (offices, schools, social housing, hospitals and other types of public buildings) Local authorities can play an important role in developing projects among their citizens and enterprises, in cooperation with e.g. banks and energy (service) companies => A special programme in the fund to support local authorities to hire energy efficiency (and RES) development managers, (net)working within their cities and villages with providers of energy audits and installation of energy-efficient technologies etc., with citizens and enterprises interested in investments, communicating the fund's programmes, supporting investors in applications, taking care of professional training, etc. 23 April 2015 14 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute Thank you for your attention! stefan.thomas@wupperinst.org felix.suerkemper@wupperinst.org Good practice in NEEAPs How EU Member States intend to implement Art. 7 (II) Source: ENSPOL 2015 23 April 2015 DR. STEFAN THOMAS page 16 Wuppertal Institute Why do we need governance for energy efficiency? To overcome the plethora of barriers Energy efficiency = many small to medium technical improvements lack of oversight (where to start?), lack of information (both consumers and technology providers!), sometimes small financial gains from an improvement => lack of priority sometimes lack of funds split incentives between investors and users or between technology/building providers and buyers => make energy efficiency easy, attractive, and eventually the default => policy packages with more information, practical guidance, regulation, and financing support needed („the sticks, the carrots, and the tambourines“) Source: Wuppertal Institute 23 April 2015 17 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute How instruments in the sector-specific package interact: Renovation of existing buildings Source: Wuppertal Institute, www.bigee.net 23 April 2015 18 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute Methodology for developing sector-specific policy packages Actor-oriented theoretical analysis Step 1 Analysis of actor-specific barriers and incentives Step 2 Developing implementation strategies to address the barriers and incentives Step 3 From implementation strategies to policy packages The empirical proof Step 4 Validate the resulting ‚recommended policy package‘ through empirical evidence of which instruments advanced countries have packaged together PLUS: The multi-criteria assessment scheme to evaluate single policies: are they ‘good practice’? Source: Wuppertal Institute 2012 23 April 2015 19 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute General Actor Constellation New Buildings Source: Wuppertal Institute, www.bigee.net 23 April 2015 20 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute How instruments in the sector-specific package interact: New buildings Source: Wuppertal Institute, www.bigee.net 23 April 2015 21 page Dr. Stefan Thomas Wuppertal Institute Step 4: Validate the resulting recommended package through empirical evidence • As the most advanced countries show, the policy package that we derived from our actor-centred analysis comes close to what countries have introduced to approach very high levels of energy efficiency Policy California China Denmark Germany Targets x x x x Energy Agency (x) (x) x x x Funds or DSM x (x) x (x) x MEPS x x x x x Labels (x) (x) x x (x) Advice/audits x x x x x Grants x (x) x (x) (x) Soft loans/PAYS x x x Training x x x 23 April 2015 22 x x page Dr. Stefan Thomas Tunisia Wuppertal Institute