www.imacs.in Automotive September 2006 www.imacs.in Contents • Market Overview • Government regulations & policy • India Advantage and business opportunities AUTOMOTIVE www.imacs.in Market Overview • Market Overview • Government regulations & policy • India Advantage and business opportunities AUTOMOTIVE www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Market Overview Profile: Indian Automotive Industry • The industry has grown at a CAGR of 14% p.a over the last 5 years, with sales of 9 million vehicles in 2005-06 • With the potential to emerge as one of the largest in the world. Presently, India is • 2nd largest two wheeler market in the world • 4th largest commercial vehicle market in the world • 11th largest passenger car in the world and is expected to be the 7th largest market by 2016 • The industry has emerged as a key contributor to the Indian economy Vehicle sales in India in 2005 - 06 ( in mil) Size of around US$ 34 billion in 2006 0.36 7.05 0.35 1.14 0 2 Cars Source : SIAM 4 CVs Two wheelers 6 Three Wheelers 8 www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Market Overview Auto components industry has also grown at a rapid pace ... • The Indian auto components Size of Component Industry (US$ mn) 10000 8700 17% 6730 3849 3965 FY00 FY01 Source : ACMA 4470 FY02 • Market breakup: OEM demand 5430 FY03 industry has grown at 17% CAGR over the last few years to reach a size of around US$ 10 billion in 2005-06 ~ 54%, replacement market ~30%, exports ~16% FY04 FY05 FY 06 FY refers to Financial Year – April to March www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Market Overview Players: Indian auto industry • • • • • • • • • GM Toyota Ford Hyundai Maruti Suzuki Honda Skoda Volvo Mercedes • • • • • • Delphi Visteon Bosch Denso Valeo Thyssen Krupp Indian Auto Industry Global OEM Indian OEM Global Suppliers Indian Suppliers Engineering & Development Companies The Indian auto industry is highly competitive with a number of global and Indian auto companies present • • • • • • • Tata Motors Mahindra & Mahindra Bajaj Auto TVS Motors Hero Honda Bajaj Tempo Ashok Leyland • • • • • • Bharat Forge Sundram Fasteners Rane Group Shriram Pistons RICO Auto Sono Koyo Steering www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Market Overview Automotive clusters in India Delhi-Gurgaon-NoidaGhaziabad Ludhiana Haridwar Pitampur Jamshedpur Rajkot-Halol Mumbai-Pune-Nasik Aurangabad Kolkata Hyderabad Chennai Bangalore Hosur Source: SIAM, IMaCS analysis North / Central South Ashok Leyland Force Motors Hindustan Motors Honda SIEL Kinetic Majestic Piaggio Swaraj Mazda Ashok Leyland Ford Hindustan Motors Mahindra & Mahindra Toyota Kirloskar Volvo Eicher Hero Honda Honda ICML LML Maruti Suzuki Yamaha Tata Motors East West Hindustan Motors Tata Motors Ashok Leyland Bajaj Auto FIAT GM Greaves M&M Skoda Enfield Greaves Hyundai Tatra TVS Motors Atul Auto Daimler Chrysler Force Motors Kinetic Premier Tata Motors Major automotive clusters - Mumbai-Pune-NasikAurangabad (West), Chennai -Bangalore-Hosur (South) and Delhi-Gurgaon-Faridabad (North) www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Market Overview Exports are rising - India has the potential to become the global outsourcing hub 600000 60 500000 50 400000 40 300000 30 Export of auto components (USD million ) 1,800 25% % Units Vehicle Exports from India 456 200000 20 100000 10 FY00 0 625 578 760 FY01 FY02 FY03 1400 1020 FY04 FY05 FY06 0 CV Cars Exports (2005-06) 2 Wheelers 3 Wheelers Growth rate ( 4 year CAGR) Indian vehicle exports have grown at a scorching rate of over 40 % over the last few years, while component exports have grown at around 25 % per annum. Key exporters include: • Maruti, Tata Motors, M & M and Hyundai for Passenger Cars and MUVs • Tata Motors and Ashok Leyland for LCV / M & HCVs • Bajaj, TVS Motors and Hero Honda for 2 wheelers www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Market Overview Growth drivers for the Indian automotive industry Overall economic growth Lower duties & taxes Government Policies Contemporary products Shorter life cycle New product launches Indian Automotive Industry Export Competitiveness Reduced cost to consumer India emerging as a manufacturing hub Cost Competitiveness Increasing consumer demand Growth in Income levels Easier financing www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Market Overview Growth potential of the Indian automotive industry Projected size of Auto Components industry - 2015 Potential Vehicle sales in India in 2015 - 06 ( in mn) 0.87 27.8 USD 13 - 15 bn Domestic Components 2015-16 0.64 2.65 USD 20 - 25 bn Components Exports 0 0 5 10 15 20 $ Billion • The Indian auto component industry is well positioned to capitalise on the growth in outsourcing to low cost countries • Exports would lead the growth in the component industry, which is expected to be around USD 33- 40 bn by 2015 Source: AMP Vision, ACMA Vision 10 20 30 25 Cars CVs Two wheelers Three Wheelers • The size of the Indian automotive industry is expected to grow at 13% p.a over the next decade to reach around USD 120 - 159 bn by 2016. • The total investments required to support the growth is estimated at around USD 35 - 40 bn www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Government regulations and policy • Market Overview • Government regulations & policy • India Advantage and business opportunities www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Government regulations & policy Policies relating to the sector: Auto Policy • In 2002, the Indian government formulated an auto policy that aimed at promoting integrated, phased, enduring and self-sustained growth of the Indian automotive industry • allows automatic approval for foreign equity investment upto 100% in the automotive sector and does not lay down any minimum investment criteria. • lays emphasis on R & D activities carried out by companies in India • Weighted tax deduction of upto 150% for in-house research and R & D activities • Formulation of an appropriate auto fuel policy to ensure availability of adequate amount of appropriate fuel to meet emission norms • confirms the government’s intention on harmonising the regulatory standards with the rest of the world www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Government regulations & policy Automotive regulations in India Indian automotive regulations are closely aligned to the ECE regulations. The table below shows the level of alignment of the Indian regulations with the ECE regulations Status of Indian Regulation Number of regulations Fully / Partially aligned 43 In process of being aligned 32 Items / Regulations to be covered 39 Total 114 The key regulations that are likely to impact the auto industry in the future are: • Crash Related Regulations • Introduction of Bharat Stage IV norms Source: IMaCS Analysis www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Government regulations & policy Trends in future regulations – Safety and Emission related Regulation Road Map Targets Approach • Industry challenges to development • Better vehicles: safer and more • Harmonization with ECE standards • Homologation and Certification environment friendly 2004 2005 • Crash requirements aligned with EU • Mandatory Airbags • Bharat Stage IV in Metros and Bharat Stage III in rest of the country testing agencies and centres 200 6 200 7 200 8 2009 2010 • India is expected to align its crash requirements and emission standards with European standards in the 2008 / 09 timeframe • Presently Bharat Stage III ( Equivalent to Euro III) is mandated in Metros and other large cities and Bharat Stage II ( Equivalent to Euro II) for the rest of the country • Bharat Stage IV ( equivalent to Euro IV) is expected to be introduced in the large Indian metros around 2009 and Bharat Stage III in the rest of the country www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE Government regulations & policy State-of-the-art test facilities will support the growth of the auto industry • The Government of India is promoting National Automotive Testing and R&D Infrastructure Project (NATRIP) to support the growth of the auto industry in India • NATRIP envisages setting up of five independent and up gradation of existing test centres • Testing centres at Manesar (Haryana), • • • Chennai (Tamil Nadu), Pune (Maharashtra) Proving ground at Indore (MP) Tractor testing facility at Rae Bareilly (UP) Hill Driving Training Centre at Silchar (Assam) New testing & homologation center at MANESAR Hill Area driving training center and Regional InUse vehicle management center at SILCHAR New testing center for tractors & offroad vehicles, accident data analysis and specialised driving training at RAE BAREILLY Up-gradation of VRDE at AHMEDNAGAR Up-gradation of ARAI at PUNE New complete proving ground at INDORE New test & homologation center near CHENNAI www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE India Advantage and business opportunities • Market Overview • Government regulations & policy • India Advantage and business opportunities www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE India Advantage and business opportunities Attractiveness of the Indian automotive industry Large and growing domestic demand • Demand growth expected to be around 10 % CAGR making India one of the fastest growing markets Export Potential • Increased outsourcing has led to a large potential to export components and vehicles to other markets Proven product Development capabilities • Capabilities to develop complete vehicles and systems • More than 125 Fortune 500 (including large auto companies) have R&D centres in India • Companies can leverage India’s Indian Auto Industry High quality standards • 12 Indian component manufacturers have won the Deming Prize for quality • Most leading component manufacturers are QS and ISO certified acknowledged leadership in the IT industry Stable economic policies • Continuity in reforms and policies • India targets to emerge as the “manufacturing hub” for small cars Competitive manufacturing cost •Implementation of VAT, has positioned India as one of the leading low cost manufacturing sources www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE India Advantage and business opportunities Opportunities in the Indian automotive sector Domestic Opportunities • Participate in domestic growth opportunities Indian Automotive Sector Global outsourcing Opportunities • Exports of vehicles • Exports of components • Engineering and Design Services • Potential investors can capitalise on opportunities both in the domestic and export oriented segments Investment potential of upto USD 35 - 40 bn in this sector over the next 10 years • • Investments in the Indian automotive industry can be in various forms • 100 % subsidiary - 100 % FDI through automatic route allowed in this sector • JVs with local firms • Technology support or sharing agreements www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE India Advantage and business opportunities Key players in the Indian auto industry Passenger Cars and CVs The largest player in the Indian industry. Plans to launch new and exciting products in the Indian markets, including the ‘100,000’ car Suzuki’s JV in India and the largest passenger car manufacturer in India The third largest passenger car manufacturer in India and one of the largest exporters of vehicles. Has established India as one of its manufacturing bases in the world. Is planning to invest heavily to boost exports from India Has vision of capturing 10 % share of the Indian passenger car market by 2010 One of the leading players in the Indian premium cars segment One of the leading players in the Indian premium cars segment www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE India Advantage and business opportunities Key players in the Indian auto industry - Passenger Cars and CVs One of the leading players in the Indian premium cars segment. Plans to enter the small car segment by re-launching the Matiz One of the largest players in the UV / MUV segment The 2nd largest CV manufacturer in India Other global players who are in India / have plans for India include Volvo, Daimler Chrysler, BMW and Nissan Motors www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE India Advantage and business opportunities Key players in the Indian auto industry - Two wheelers The largest 2 wheeler manufacturer in the world The 2nd largest 2- wheeler manufacturer in India and the largest 3 wheeler manufacturer. Has plans for establishing a manufacturing facility in Indonesia The third largest 2 wheeler manufacturer in India. Has plans for establishing a manufacturing facility in Indonesia Has recently entered the Indian market through its direct subsidiary ( in addition to its JV – Hero Honda) Has recently entered the Indian market through its direct subsidiary www.imacs.in The India Brand Equity Foundation is a public-private partnership between the Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India and the Confederation of Indian Industry. The Foundation’s primary objective is to build positive economic perceptions of India globally India Brand Equity Foundation c/o Confederation of Indian Industry 249-F Sector 18, Udyog Vihar Phase IV Gurgaon 122015, Haryana, INDIA Tel +91 124 401 4087, 4060 - 67 Fax +91 124 401 3873 Email j.bhuyan@ciionline.org Web www.ibef.org AUTOMOTIVE www.imacs.in AUTOMOTIVE ICRA Management Consulting Services Limited Disclaimer This publication has been prepared by ICRA Management Consulting Services (IMaCS) for the India Brand Equity Foundation (“IBEF”). All rights reserved. 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