The Law of Increasing Opportunity Cost Unit 1: Scarcity and Opportunity Cost I. Bridge Old Idea: The production possibilities curve shows the maximum potential mixes of output for any two goods in an economy. New Idea: II. The production possibilities curve has an outward bend because opportunity costs increase as resources are shifted from the production of an original good to the production of a new good. Standard Assumptions of the Production Possibilities Curve 1. Only two goods, or categories of goods, can be produced. 2. Resources are fixed in the short run and cannot be increased, but their use can be shifted from the production of an original good to the production of a new good. III. Production Possibilities Curve Example: Part Two Specific Assumptions and Analysis: Assume the following resources are available and are fixed in the short run: Land – 1 factory, with 1 courtyard in the middle, containing 1 apple tree Capital – 5 cigarette machines and 5 apple bushels Labor – 5 workers, each capable of producing 1 carton of cigarettes per day Assume the workers are currently producing cigarettes. How will opportunity cost change as we shift labor toward apple production (A to F)? Production Possibilities Schedule 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 Loss in Apple Opportunity Workers Cigarette Workers Gain in Cigarette Mix of Bushels Cost per Producing Cartons Producing Apple Cartons Output per Apple Cigarettes per Day Apples Bushels (Opportunity Day Bushel Cost) A 5 5 0 0 B 4 4 1 2 2 1 .5 C 3 3 2 3 1 1 1 D 2 2 3 3.8 .8 1 1.3 E 1 1 4 4.5 .7 1 1.4 F 0 0 5 5 .5 1 2 1 6 Production Possibilities Curve 6 Cartons of Cigarettes 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Bushels of Apples IV. The Law of Increasing Opportunity Cost law of increasing opportunity cost – opportunity cost increases as resources are shifted from the production of an original good to the production of a new good in the short run V. The Law Applied to the Example Example Explained: We lost constant amounts of cigarettes (Column 7), but gained decreasing amounts of apples (Column 6). Therefore, the opportunity cost per apple bushel increased (Column 8) Perhaps the law is better illustrated traveling the other way on the curve (F to A). We lost increasing amounts of apples (Column 6), but gained constant amounts of cigarettes (Column 7). 2 VI. The Law Explained Again Stated Two Simple Ways that Both Mean the Same Thing: Constant amounts lost yield decreasing amounts gained (A). Increasing amounts lost yield constant amounts gained (B). A=B Reason for the Law: Labor becomes decreasingly productive as it is shifted from one industry to another when the other resources are fixed in the short run. Hypothetical Application: Sketch a production possibilities curve if the law was called the law of constant opportunity cost: Sketch a production possibilities curve if the law was called the law of decreasing opportunity cost: VII. Guns vs. Butter The Classic Production Possibilities Curve Example: The classic production possibilities curve example used by economists is not cigarettes and apples, but rather guns and butter: Guns = Defense Goods Butter = Nondefense Goods It shows the opportunity cost of producing defense goods in an economy. 3