Introduction to the Pharmaceutical Industry Presented by Gillian Woollett, MA, D.Phil., Avalere Health LLC Avalere Health LLC | The intersection of business strategy and public policy Session Objectives Introduction and context Overview of the players and their roles – academia, industry, regulators, consumers The Products - drugs, biologics, devices The make up of the industry Conclusions © Avalere Health LLC Page 2 The US is a Leading Biopharmaceutical Market but Must be Considered in a Global Context Europe 0.50 Largely have and expect access Brazil US 0.19 0.31 Russia 0.14 ICH plus others (1st World) India Canada 1.14 0.03 China Japan 0.13 1.13 Australia 0.02 World Population Total 6.7 See products and want greater access ROW (Largely 3rd World) Limited health care infrastructure BRIC plus others (2nd World) Little knowledge and even less access ICH: International Conference on Harmonisation © Avalere Health LLC Page 3 The Pharmaceutical Industry’s Market Global Pharmaceutical Sales, by Region (in billions $) $800 $700 $600 $500 2009 $400 773 664 $300 312 $200 837 2008 2007 324 305 $100 206 248 264 107 62 91 $0 North America Europe Asia, Africa, Australia 59 77 95 Japan 32 47 48 Latin America Total Largest commercial health sector Global industry, consolidated players Highly regulated industry (FDA, Patent and Trademark Office) Source: Standard & Poor’s. Industry Surveys Healthcare: Pharmaceutics. November 25, 2010. IMS Health Inc. © Avalere Health LLC Page 4 Progress in Emerging Markets Offsets Slow Growth in Developed Regions Pharmaceutical Spending Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2006 to 2010, By Region 70 60.6 CAGR (%) 60 48.8 Global Pharmaceutical Sales (BIL $) in 2010 US 310.6 40 EU* 147.4 30 Japan 96.5 20 China 41.1 Tier II** 48.8 Tier III*** 60.6 50 10 41.1 4.5 4.1 2.6 0 US EU* Japan Developed Regions China Tier II** Tier III*** Emerging Regions *Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and UK **Brazil, India, Russia ***Mexico, Turkey, Poland, Venezuela, Argentina, Indonesia, S. Africa, Thailand, Romania, Egypt, Ukraine, Pakistan, and Vietnam Source: Standard & Poor’s. Industry Surveys Healthcare: Pharmaceutics. December 1, 2011. © Avalere Health LLC Page 5 Global versus Regional Considerations for the Development of any Medicinal Product GLOBAL REGIONAL/NATIONAL ACCESS Patients are everywhere (albeit Dx and healthcare infrastructure vary) SCIENCE Essentially global Some variation in patients Companies develop and manufacture for the leading markets, ideally global standards (inconsistent requirements lead to requirements for different products) Regulations are regional with some harmonization for drugs, and innovator biologics (cost of getting to market less if can use a single data set) IP varies, and getting a little better harmonized, but barely (certain global free-trade norms are emerging but limited) Healthcare systems vary (affects reimbursements and ROI, primary & secondary markets) Patient access is determined by regulatory approval, market viability by purchase/reimbursement system AVAILABILITY = APPROVAL & REAL COMPETITION ON PRICE © Avalere Health LLC Page 6 The Standard Model of Drug Development Generics offer: High quality drugs for established treatments Affordable costs and thereby free up healthcare funds for new innovative drugs Patents Expire Innovative drugs offer: Net Progress Radical New Therapies and Iterative Improvements Improved treatment Less side effects New therapeutic options and thereby replace older and/less effective medications Obsolescence © Avalere Health LLC Page 7 The Terminology of Drug Development Clinical Trials Phase II Phase III FDA Years 6.5 1.5 2 3.5 1.5 Test Population Laboratory and animal studies 20 to 100 healthy volunteers 100 to 500 patient volunteers 1,000 to 5,000 patient volunteers Evaluate effectiveness, look for side effects Confirm effectiveness, monitor adverse reactions from long-term use Purpose Asses safety, biological activity and formulations Success Rate 5,000 compounds evaluated Determine safety and dosage 5 enter trials File NDA/BLA at FDA Phase I File IND at FDA Discovery / Preclinical Testing Review process / approval Phase IV Additional postmarketing testing required by FDA 1 approved Source: PhRMA © Avalere Health LLC Page 8 The R&D Process Takes Time and Resources Source: Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, Drug Discovery and Development: Understanding the R&D Process. http://www.phrma.org/research-development-process © Avalere Health LLC Page 9 Overview of the Players and their Roles The intersection of business strategy and public policy © Avalere Health LLC Page 10 Ultimate Driver is an Identified Patient Need Unmet medical need: » Debilitating or fatal; temporary or lifelong » Diagnosed routinely by physicians – may need specific associated diagnostics, and specialist support Affected population of sufficient size to support the development of a commercial product (average cost of development $1.4 billion per product) Viable payment model needs covered populations: » Government programs such as Medicare/Medicaid » Privately Insured patients, largely still through employers » Uninsured patients often have more limited access, but some medicines have PAP programs © Avalere Health LLC Page 11 Source of Candidate Medicines – this step is highly technology and research dependent The fundamental scientific research enterprise received significant Federal funding: » Academia – universities and researchers in every state » National labs, such as NIH, NAS, CDC, FDA Industry – pharma, biotech and related innovative industries such as computation, modeling support ongoing research through ROI Disciplines are basic research, as well as epidemiology, statistics, clinical/regulatory science, and manufacturing All contribute to the global scientific literature and the basic understanding of disease, and this generates the candidate drug target and drugs for further development as therapeutic interventions/cures © Avalere Health LLC Page 12 Creation of Candidate Medicines The ideas for a drug target/medicine must be taken, developed into a candidate that can be tested for safety and efficacy in animals, then man, and converted into a product. This can be initiated in academia, developed in science parks and facilitated small business environments, but ultimately manufacturing requires major biopharma industry support (sponsorship and investment, or acquisition) All sorts of relationships occur between stakeholders: » Licensing of patents, products for small or all indications between individuals, academia, biotechs, pharma » Deals limited to US and specific ex-US markets (with different licenses to different sponsors), some with specific milestone payments » Investments by angels, VCs, or outright purchase of the asset » Patient groups funding specific research targeted at their disease VC: Venture Capitals © Avalere Health LLC Page 13 PhRMA Member Company and Public R&D Spending PhRMA Member Company R&D and NIH Operating Budget: 1995–2011 $60 Expenditures (Billions of Dollars) $50.7 $47.9 $47.4 $50 $49.5* $45.8 $43.4 PhRMA Member Companies’ R&D Expenditures $39.9 $40 $37.0 $34.5 $29.8 $30 $26.0 $21.0 $20 $31.0 $28.5 $28.5 $29.0 $29.3 $27.1 $27.9 $22.7 $19.0 $15.2 $30.6 $31.2 $30.9 Total NIH Budget $23.3 $16.9 $20.5 $17.8 $10 $12.7 $13.7 $11.3 $11.9 $15.6 $0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 *Estimated for CY 2011. Source: PhRMA, NIH Office of Budget10 © Avalere Health LLC Page 14 Biopharmaceuticals are a Source of Projected Growth in US Manufacturing Jobs Projected Change in Employment from 2006 to 2018* Employment Losses -58 Chemical -58 Computer Equipment Employment Gains -54 Machinery -31 Motor Vehicle -20 Steel -16 Food C -2: Aerospace Wood Product: 9 Biopharmaceuticals: 18 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Change in Manufacturing Jobs (in Thousands) * Selected illustrative sectors. The government projects increases in manufacturing employment in only one fifth of the sectors or subsectors it defines. Source: PhRMA, adapted from Bureau of Labor Statistics 3 © Avalere Health LLC Page 15 FDA’s Evolving Policy Role Will Affect Market Access for Medical Technologies, Necessitating Strategic Refinement FDA Regulatory Strategy Pre-clinical/clinical trial design Regulatory applications Evidence submission and evaluation Market Access Strategy Value Proposition Novel FDA Policy Initiatives CMS/FDA parallel review Investment in CER infrastructure Post-market data collection & surveillance Evidence standards harmonization Regulation of communication Reimbursement Quality Measurement © Avalere Health LLC Page 16 FDA’s Approval Process FDA governs market access and product promotion » An FDA approval/license is necessary but not sufficient for product viability » Indications can be added to currently marketed products after the initial approval – expands potential market, but requires FDA review of additional data and negotiation for any label changes » Issues of off-label use, expanded access (formerly called compassionate use), progressive approval will be discussed later. All can impact date of approval and time patients can access medication » Post approval, brand/innovator/originator products gain sales through marketing. Generics, approved when patents/exclusivity has expired gain market share through competition on price. © Avalere Health LLC Page 17 US Regulatory Pathways Statute Pathway New Drug Application (NDA) 505(b)(1) and 505(b)(2) Devices: Pre-Market Authorization (PMA), 510ks U.S. Food Drug & Cosmetic Act Abbreviated NDA (505(j) or ANDA) Biologic License Application (BLA) 351(a) U.S Public Health Service Act BIOSIMILAR 351(k) (Can Be Interchangeable) © Avalere Health LLC Page 18 Some Medicines Get Priority at FDA New drugs may undergo an expedited review* process Drugs classified as a real advance over available treatments undergo a 6 month “priority review” instead of the 10 month “standard review” Drugs that treat a range of serious diseases and fill an unmet need may request and receive a “fast track” designation at any point during drug development Fast track drugs are eligible for accelerated approval or rolling review Accelerated approval uses findings that are likely to predict clinical benefit rather than direct measurements & results Rolling review allows companies to submit completed NDA sections individually rather than the entire application all at once, allowing earlier resolution to potential problems *Accelerates review but does not guarantee approval © Avalere Health LLC Page 19 The Products - Drugs, Biologics, Devices The intersection of business strategy and public policy © Avalere Health LLC Page 20 Global Market: Development of Medicines by the Geographic Region Number of Compounds in Development, by Geographic Region4, 1997–2011 3500 3000 Different countries also have different health priorities – dependent on demographics and disease prevalence U.S. 3091 All Other 2465 2500 2000 EU 1449 1500 1000 Japan 556 500 0 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Source: Adis R&D Insight Database5 © Avalere Health LLC Page 21 In the US the Greatest Proportion of Drugs and Biologics in Development are Oncology-related Biopharmaceuticals in Development by Therapeutic Category, 2009 932 Cancer Related 460 Rare Diseases Arthritis and Related Conditions 198 88 HIV/AIDS Related 383 Respiratory Disorders Cardiovascular Disorders Mental and Behavioral Disorders 245 250 200 Diabetes Melitus Alzheimer's and Other Dementias Parkinson's and Related Conditions 98 36 0 200 400 600 *Reflects number of compounds in clinical trials or under review by the FDA for approval through New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologic License Application (BLA) pathways. Medicines with multiple indications may appear in more than one category but are counted only once for total (3,091). Source: PhRMA 800 1000 © Avalere Health LLC Page 22 While Companies Have Spent More on Research, This Has Not Led to More Drug Approvals Research and Development Spending, and New Drug Approvals (NDAs) and New Biologic License Applications (BLAs) by the U.S. FDA, 1998-2008 60 $40,000 Number of Approved NDA and BLAs* $30,000 40 $25,000 30 $20,000 $15,000 20 $10,000 10 Domestic R&D Spending (in millions) $35,000 50 $5,000 $0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004* 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 0 Drug Approvals Domestic R&D Spending *Beginning in 2004, figures include BLAs. Sources: PhRMA, Profile 2011, Pharmauetical Industry. http://www.phrma.org/sites/default/files/159/phrma_profile_2011_final.pdf FDA, CDER Approval Times for Priority and Standard NMEs and New BLAs CY 1993 – 2008. FDA, NMEs Approved by CDER. © Avalere Health LLC Page 23 Biologics are Now a Major Component of the Originator Pipeline, but Approvals Lag Behind Investments Biologic Drugs in Development (Cumulative)2 Biologic Drug Approvals Per Year (NDA and BLA)1 1000 14 900 10 8 6 4 2 800 Number of Products Number of Products 12 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 0 As drugs in development move through the pipeline, the expansion of the biologic drug market is expected to dramatically increase the total costs of biologics 1. FDA. “Drug and Biologic Approval Reports.” http://www.fda.gov/Drugs/DevelopmentApprovalProcess/ HowDrugsareDevelopedandApproved/DrugandBiologicApprovalReports/default.htm 2. PhARMA. “Biotechnology Research Promises to Bolster the Future of Medicine with More Than 900 Medicines and Vaccines in Development.” 2011. © Avalere Health LLC Page 24 Generic Drugs Took a While to Take Off After the Enactment of Hatch Waxman in 1984, But Now Market Penetration is Rapid But by 2008, generics accounted for 14/15 most commonly prescribed meds, and 13/15 of those most commonly used by Medicare Part D beneficiaries (seniors pharmacy benefits) Generic Share of Prescriptions Filled 1984-2009 80% 71% 75% 70% 60% 52% 50% 43% 40% 33% 30% 20% 19% 10% 0% 1984 1990 http://www.phrma.org/sites/default/files/159/phrma_chart_pack.pdf Source: PhRMA 1996 2002 2008 2009 © Avalere Health LLC Page 25 Generic Small Molecule Drugs have Created Savings When Patents Expire Generic medicines account for 69% of all prescriptions dispensed in the United States, and only 16% of all dollars spent on prescriptions. (source: IMS Health) Brand sales of $228 billion compared to Generic sales of $58.5 billion (2007), and have saved consumers and the American health care system $931 billion over the last 10 years. In 2010, generics saved $158 billion — a savings of more than $3 billion every week. 10,072 of the 12,751 drugs listed in the FDA's Orange Book have generic counterparts (source: FDA, MedAd News). Similar hopes and expectations are being applied to biologics, which, through the chance of history, did not have an explicit regulatory pathway in the US until 23 March 2010 Source include http://www.gphaonline.org/about-gpha/about-generics/facts © Avalere Health LLC Page 26 Will Biosimilars Be the New Generics in the US Market? Congress included Title VII, Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act (BPCIA)* in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act because of the expectations for savings, as well as the hope for expanded access. » Using the new 351(k) pathway, applications can be for biosimilars and also for interchangeable biosimilars Legislation was enacted 23Mar2010, and the new biosimilars pathway was available the day of enactment While FDA has held ~21 PreIND meetings (~35 meeting requests for 11 reference products) there have as yet been no applications filed for biosimilars in the US Draft guidances were published mid-Feb12, another FDA Public Meeting 11May12, transparent and on-going discussions; user fees negotiated and proposed (BsUFA) in parallel Payors/ reimbursers are waiting… * Source FDA: http://www.fda.gov/downloads/Drugs/GuidanceComplianceRegulatoryInformation/UCM216146.pdf © Avalere Health LLC Page 27 Medical Devices Are Classified into One of Three Classes According to Level of Risk Class l devices are subject to the least regulatory control » Examples include elastic bandages, examination gloves, hand-held surgical instruments Class II devices are those for which general controls alone are insufficient to ensure their safety and effectiveness » Examples include powered wheelchairs, infusion pumps, surgical drapes Class III devices are life-sustaining, life-supporting, and implantable devices, or new devices not substantially equivalent to legally marketed devices, that must receive premarket approval to ensure safety and effectiveness » Examples include heart valve replacements, implanted cerebellar stimulators, breast implants Intended use of a device is a significant factor in determining its classification © Avalere Health LLC Page 28 Most Devices Are Regulated by the Center for Devices and Radiological Health Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research (CBER) Center for Devices and Radiological Health (CDRH) Blood collection devices 510 (K) Premarket notification Substantially equivalent to an existing, predicate device PMA Premarket approval application Device regulation includes more specific requirements for individual classes of products than drug regulations; as a result, it may appear more fragmented and confusing *Until 1976, Congress had never enacted specific legislation governing the regulation of medical devices. The 1976 Medical Device Amendments (Pub.L.No. 94-295, 90 Stat. 539), vastly expanded FDA’s statutory authority over devices, creating a comprehensive regulatory scheme. Medical devices available on the market before May 28, 1976, “preamendment devices”, were permitted to remain on the market, pending FDA classification, without any FDA review. Prior to this, FDA’s authority to regulate medical devices was limited to action against adulterated or misbranded devices. © Avalere Health LLC Page 29 The Make Up of the Industry The intersection of business strategy and public policy © Avalere Health LLC Page 30 US Public Biopharma Companies by Region, 2006 Region Number of Public Companies San Francisco Bay Area 69 New England 60 San Diego 38 New Jersey 28 Mid-Atlantic 23 Southeast 19 New York State 17 Pacific Northwest 15 Pennsylvania Delaware Valley 12 Los Angeles/Orange County 11 Texas 11 North Carolina 9 Mid-West 8 Other 8 Colorado 6 Utah 2 Source: Ernst & Young LLP Biotechnology companies are defined as those whose primary activity is to use biological processes to develop health care products, and other companies whose primary activity is to supply health biotechnology companies with technology-based research products. (Source: Biotechnology Industry Organization, Guide to Biotechnology 2008) © Avalere Health LLC Page 31 US Public Biopharma Companies by Region, 2006 WA ME MT ND VT NH MN OR WI ID NY SD MI WY PA IA NE San Francisco Bay Area NV IL WV UT CA OH IN CO KS MO VA NC San Diego AZ OK NM SC AR MS TX AK RI NJ DE MD D.C. KY TN Los Angeles / Orange County MA CT AL GA 60-69 30-39 20-29 LA FL HI Number of Public Companies 10-19 0-9 No data or info Source: Adapted from Ernst & Young LLP Biotechnology companies are defined as those whose primary activity is to use biological processes to develop health care products, and other companies whose primary activity is to supply health biotechnology companies with technologybased research products. (Source: Biotechnology Industry Organization, Guide to Biotechnology 2008) © Avalere Health LLC Page 32 The Biopharmaceutical Sector is the Most R&D-intensive in the US Biopharmaceutical companies invested more than ten times the amount of R&D per employee than manufacturing industries overall. R&D Expenditures per Employee, by Manufacturing Sub-sector and Industry, 2000–2007 Biopharmaceuticals* $105,428 Communications equipment* $62,995 $40,341 Semiconductors* Computers and electronics $37,980 Chemicals $34,978 Navigational, measuring equipment* $22,262 Aerospace products* $21,162 Motor vehicles, trailers, parts* $15,704 Transportation equipment $15,693 Petroleum, coal $13,319 All Manufacturing $9,956 Electrical equipment, appliances $6,411 Machinery Paper, printing $5,663 $2,238 * Asterisks indicate manufacturing subsectors. Source: Adapted from N.D. Pham, © Avalere Health LLC Page 33 Global Leaders in Biotechnology Research U.S. biotechnology firms account for 80% of the world’s research development in biotechnology. 2008 Biotechnology Statistics* USA Europe Asia/Pacific Canada Total Annual R&D $24B $5B $0.6B $0.9B $30B Total Companies 1,450 1,600 760 400 4,210 Total Employees 140,000 65,000 15,000 6,000 226,000 Publicly Held Corporations 336 150 160 67 693 * Biotechnology companies are defined as those whose primary activity is to use biological processes to develop health care products, and other companies whose primary activity is to supply health biotechnology companies with technology-based research products. Source: Burrill and Company6 © Avalere Health LLC Page 34 Biotechnology: Who’s providing the money? Biotechnology Financing (in millions $) Venture Funding, $6,230 , 25% Other Financings of Public Companies, $13,419, 54% Public Offerings, $5,125. , 21% Total = $24,773.8 Million Source: Biotechnology Industry Organization, Guide to Biotechnology 2008 © Avalere Health LLC Page 35 Global Biopharmaceutical Intellectual Property The intellectual property related to more than half of new medicines resides in the U.S. U.S. Biopharmaceutical Patents 1990–2002, by Location of Inventors India (1.1%) China (0.2%) Other (2.8%) Other OECD (6.0%) Japan (10.7%) U.S. (64.4%) E.U.4 (24.8%) Source: J.T. Macher and D.C. Mowrey5 © Avalere Health LLC Page 36 The Ripple Effect of High-Value Biopharmaceutical Jobs The biopharmaceutical sector supported 4 million jobs across the economy in 2009, including about 3.3 million in other sectors. Each direct biopharmaceutical job supports 5 additional jobs in other sectors Biopharma Jobs Total Jobs Supported More than 650,000 Jobs in the U.S. Biopharmaceutical Sector 4 million total U.S. Jobs Supported by the Biopharmaceutical Sector Source: Battelle Technology Partnership Practice2 © Avalere Health LLC Page 37