13e Chapter 05: National Income Accounting McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Learning Objectives • 05-01. Know what GDP measures – and what it doesn’t. • 05-02. Know the difference between real and nominal GDP. • 05-03. Know why aggregate income equals aggregate output. • 05-04. Know the major submeasures of output and income. 5-2 Measures of Output • Each good and service produced and brought to market has a price, which serves as a measure of its value. • Gross domestic product (GDP): the total dollar value of all final output produced within a nation’s borders in a given time period, usually one year. 5-3 Why “Final Output”? • GDP measurements exclude intermediate goods. – Intermediate goods: goods or services purchased for use as an input in the production of final goods or in services. – Value added: the increase in the market value of a product that takes place at each stage of production. • The value added by each intermediate good is captured in the market price of the final good produced. 5-4 International Comparisons • GDP is geographically focused: output produced within a nation’s borders. – This makes it easier to make international comparisons of economic activity. • For more vivid comparisons, we construct GDP per capita: average GDP, or the total GDP divided by total population. 5-5 GDP per Capita • GDP divided by population. – Average output per person. – Used as a measure of a country’s standard of living. – Does not indicate the disparity of output distributed to high-income earners and lowincome earners in that country. – Low GDP per capita reflects a lot of deprivation in that country. 5-6 Measurement Problems • Nonmarket activities: GDP measures exclude most goods and services produced but not sold in the market. • Production not included: – Unpaid production done at home or by volunteer workers. – Unreported production done “off the books” or in the underground economy. • The official GDP measurement significantly understates actual production in the country. 5-7 Real GDP and Nominal GDP • A significant use of GDP is to measure how production changes from year to year. • Price changes from year to year make it difficult to compare one year’s GDP with the next year’s GDP. – Both output levels and prices can change. – We want to see only the change in output levels. – Because of this, we must remove the effects of price changes from the GDP measurements. 5-8 Real GDP and Nominal GDP • Nominal GDP: the value of final output produced in a given period, measured in the prices of that period (current prices). – The effects of price changes are included. • Real GDP: the value of final output produced in a given period, adjusted for changing prices. – The effects of price changes are removed. • The current year market values are recalculated in base year dollars. 5-9 Computing Real GDP • Base year: the year used for comparative analysis; the basis for indexing price changes. – We arbitrarily set a price index in the base year to equal 100. • The GDP for any other year is recalculated into base year dollars, using the price index for that year. 5-10 Computing Real GDP • The general formula for computing real GDP is Nominal GDP in year t Real GDP in year t = Price index • The price index represents a price level percentage change from the base of 100. 100 + Percentage change Price index = 100 5-11 Exercise 1 • Convert nominal GDP to real GDP: Nominal GDP in year t Real GDP in year t = Price index • Where (for 1991) – Nominal GDP = $5,677.5 billion – Price index = 117.8/100 or 1.178 • Real GDP (1991) = $5,677.5/1.178 = $4,819.9 billion 5-12 Exercise 2 • Convert nominal GDP to real GDP: Nominal GDP in year t Real GDP in year t = Price index • Where (for year t) – Nominal GDP = $15 trillion – Price index = 150/100 or 1.5 • Real GDP in year t =$15/1.5 =$10 trillion 5-13 Net Domestic Product • Net domestic product (NDP): GDP less depreciation. NDP = GDP - Depreciation • When we produce, we wear out some of our capital, which must be replaced. – Depreciation measures the value of capital we use up. • NDP is the amount of output we could consume without reducing our stock of capital. 5-14 Net Domestic Product • The distinction between GDP and NDP is mirrored in the difference between gross investment and net investment: – Gross investment: total investment expenditure in a given time period. – Net investment: gross investment less depreciation. • When net investment is positive, the economy grows. • When net investment is negative, the economy declines. 5-15 The Uses of Output • The users of output indicate what mix of output has been selected (answering WHAT to produce): – Consumption (C): goods and services used by households (about two-thirds of GDP). – Investment (I): plant, machinery, and equipment produced (about 15% of GDP). – Government spending (G): resources purchased by the public sector (about one-fifth of GDP). – Net exports (X - M): the value of exports (X) minus the value of imports (M). 5-16 Net Exports • Imports (M): goods and services made in foreign lands but purchased in the United States. • Exports (X): goods and services produced in the United States but purchased in foreign lands. • We add exports to our GDP, but subtract imports from our GDP. • The difference between exports and imports is called net exports (X – M). 5-17 GDP Components • The value of GDP can be computed by adding up these expenditures: GDP = C + I + G + ( X – M ) where: C = consumption expenditure I = investment expenditure G = government expenditure X = exports M = imports 5-18 Measures of Income • There are two ways to measure GDP: – Measure expenditures (demand side). – Measure income (supply side). • The total value of market incomes must equal the total value of final output, or GDP. • By tracking income in the economy, we see FOR WHOM the output is produced. 5-19 The Equivalence of Expenditure and Income 5-20 Measures of Income • Output = Income. • The spending that establishes the value of output also determines the value of incomes. • We can track the distribution of funds from GDP to disposable income. 5-21 From GDP to Disposable Income • GDP – Depreciation = Net domestic product (NDP) • NDP + Net foreign factor income = National income (NI) • National income (NI) is the total income earned by U.S. factors of production. 5-22 From GDP to Disposable Income • There are several adjustments that have to be made to national income in order to get to personal income. • Subtract – – – – Indirect business taxes. Corporate profits. Interest and miscellaneous payments. Social Security taxes. • Add – Transfer payments. – Capital income. • This yields personal income (PI). 5-23 From GDP to Disposable Income • Personal income (PI) is pretax income received by households. • Disposable income (DI) is what remains of personal income after taxes are paid. – PI – Personal taxes (T) = DI. • We can do two things with our DI: spend it or save it. – DI = Consumption (C) + Saving (S). • Saving: that part of DI not spent on C. 5-24 Income Summary • Households receive personal income (PI) as payment for the resources they own and provide. • How do households dispose of their Income? – They spend: consumption (C). – They save: saving (S). – They pay taxes: taxes (T). Personal income (PI) = C + S + T 5-25 The Flow of Income • GDP, on the income side, ends up distributed in this way: – To households, in the form of disposable income. • Returned to GDP as consumer spending. – To businesses, in the form of retained earnings and depreciation allowances. • Returned to GDP as business investment spending. – To government, in the form of taxes. • Returned to GDP as government spending. 5-26