Rainwater, Inc ET CitySmart Smart Irrigation for the Future [Karen Cheng] [Eddy Fong] [Paras Gandhi] [Julia Pashin] Background – Water Conservation Austin Key Measures Total Usage/Peak Day Outdoor summer water use Water Conservation Task force Conservation initiatives Goal: 1% water use reduction Grant $500,000 Solution for outdoor water use BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Background - Rainwater, Inc 4th: irrigation industry Products: sprinkler/drip irrigation systems, basic controllers Develops, manufactures and markets Goal: product differentiation Pursue enhanced technology Utilize strategic conservation strategy Grant competition as launching pad Assume Existing research/production facilities BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Strategy The Genesis Way Current Technology Competitive Environment BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Overall Strategy – The Genesis Way Rainwater Consumers Rebates BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY City of Austin IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Overall Strategy: Current Tech Basic controllers – timer feature ET ‘smart’ controllers: Calculate optimal water need creates watering schedule Methods to adjust original schedules Solar/rain/soil moisture sensors Real-time weather data Proven successful SWAT testing Experimentation BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Data Source Communication Weather matic WeatherSet Company AccuWater ET Water Systems HydroPoint Data Systems Irrisoft, Inc. Sensors Weather Stations Broadband/ Satellite Aqua Conserve Company Overall Strategy – Competitive Environment • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Phone Line Initial Cost After Rebate Annual Subscription BACKGROUND STRATEGY $99-459 $349 $170-230 $400-600 $299 $480 $485 $0-359 $249 $70-130 $300-500 $199 $380 $385 - - - $180 $48 $48 $100-350 SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Our Solution The ET CitySmart Competitive Environment BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Our Solution – The ET CitySmart Expand into the smart controller market Best available technology Differentiate: Utilize LCRA water usage data Emphasize low cost to customers Bigger rebates Using phone line Using minimal sensors BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Data Source Communication Weather matic WeatherSet Company AccuWater ET Water Systems HydroPoint Data Systems Irrisoft, Inc. Rainwater, Inc Sensors Weather Stations City Water Info Broadband/ Satellite Aqua Conserve Company Our Solution – Competitive Environment • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Cost After Rebate Annual Subscription BACKGROUND STRATEGY • • • Phone Line Initial • • $99-459 $349 $170-230 $400-600 $299 $480 $485 $249 $0-359 $249 $70-130 $300-500 $199 $380 $385 $49 - - - $180 $48 $48 $100-350 $36 SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Technology ET Healthy Range How It Works Database NRE Costs BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Technology - ET Current ET algorithms combine Sensors Weather forecasts Landscape information Calculates optimal level of water needed BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Rainware ET CitySmart BACKGROUND Customize your Water Zone STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE 1. Data is collected at home 1 Solar Sensor Homeowner Profile City Water Data 2 Weather Forecast Rainwater Servers 3 4 BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE 1. Data is collected at home 2. ET CitySmart sends data to servers 1 Solar Sensor Homeowner Profile City Water Data 2 Weather Forecast Rainwater Servers 3 4 BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE 1. Data is collected at home 2. ET CitySmart sends data to servers 1 Solar Sensor 3. Rainwater servers are updated hourly Homeowner Profile City Water Data 2 Weather Forecast Rainwater Servers 3 4 BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE 1. Data is collected at home 2. ET CitySmart sends data to servers 1 Solar Sensor 3. Rainwater servers are updated hourly 4. Rainwater sends customized water schedule to household Homeowner Profile City Water Data 2 Weather Forecast Rainwater Servers 3 4 BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Technology: Database tblCustomer PK CustomerID FK1 ZipCode LocationID Username Password Subscription Algorithm tblZone PK ZoneID FK1 PlantType GrassType SoilType LandSlope SunnyType CustomerID tblSensor PK SensorID Sensor Time RadiationIndex tblLocation PK,FK1 tblAlgorithm ZipCode City State PK PenmanID FK4 FK2 FK1 CustomerID Forecast ID SensorID Air Density Irradiance Heat capacity Conductance Vapor Pressure Latent Heat LakeID tblZipMaster PK ZipCode City State BACKGROUND STRATEGY FK3 tblForecast PK Forecast ID Temperature Humidity Wind UV Radiation tbWaterLevel PK LakeID LakeTravis LakeAustin LakeBuchanan SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Plant Watering Levels underwater Jan Feb BACKGROUND Mar Apr STRATEGY May SOLUTION optimum level Jun Jul TECHNOLOGY overwater Aug Sep IMPLEMENTATION Oct RISK Nov Dec BOTTOM LINE Plant Watering Levels underwater Jan Feb BACKGROUND Mar Apr STRATEGY May SOLUTION optimum level Jun Jul TECHNOLOGY overwater Aug Sep IMPLEMENTATION Oct RISK Nov Dec BOTTOM LINE Technology - NRE Costs Software engineering: Algorithm revisions $115,000 Web interface $65,000 Mechanical engineering: Engineering/Circuit Development $85,000 Prototype Development $35,000 Testing: $37,500 IBM Server: $17,500 LCRA Link: $25,000 Training: $112,500 BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION Total NRE: $492,500 TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Implementation Timeline Partnerships Marketing/Distribution Sustainability Scalability BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Implementation - Timeline Months 2 4 6 8 10 15 20 25 30 35 Partner with LCRA/Austin R&D: Design, Build and Test Prototype Manufacture Controllers Sell Controllers Target High-Water Users Widespread Advertising Year 1 BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY Year 2 IMPLEMENTATION Year 3 RISK BOTTOM LINE Implementation – Partnerships Partner with the City of Austin City provides: $200 rebates Utilities bill mailings Access to usage database Rainwater provides: Water consumption decrease of over 1% by 2011 Partner with Home Builders/Landscapers/Irrigators Target new homes BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Implementation - Marketing Marketing High vs. General users High users consume over 25,000 gallons a month Target High users initially Extend advertising to general public after 2 years Pricing Controller: $249 After rebate: $49 Annual subscription fee: $36 BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Implementation - Distribution Sales Channels BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY Hardware stores Website Landscapers Irrigation Installers IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Implementation - Sustainability Short-Term Low price Quickly and aggressively penetrate market Long-Term New Homes: Maintain home builders partnership Communication: Include broadband/wireless BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Implementation - Scalability Expand into other cities Las Virgenes, CA (76.2% outdoor) Scottsdale/Tempe, AZ (66.5%) Walnut, CA (63.9%) San Diego, CA (62.8%) Denver, CO (59.7%) Phoenix, AZ (58.7%) BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Risk Analysis City of Austin Partnership LCRA Partnership Price Match BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Risk Analysis No City of Austin Partnership Unlikely because Rainwater saves water and money for Austin Marketing Rebates Contingency (No Partnership) Higher Prices = Lower Market Share (3%) 2008: 151% ROI 2011: 254% ROI BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Risk Analysis No LCRA Partnership - minimal risk LCRA statistics are a core component Publicly available Competitors Price-Match Low price is competitive advantage City Partnership: Cost below Manufacture No Partnership: Cost still below Manufacture BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Bottom Line Rainwater City of Austin Consumers BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Bottom Line: Rainwater Year ROI 2008 271% 2009 306% 2010 351% 2011 410% Net Income 2011: $2,000,000 Cash Flows 2011: $1,300,000 BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Bottom Line: City of Austin Year Total Water Saved 2008 2009 2010 2011 BACKGROUND STRATEGY 0.78% 0.86% 0.97% 1.11% SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Bottom Line: Consumers Consumer Years to Break Even High 1.01 General 1.55 BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE The Genesis Result Rainwater City of Austin Consumers BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE The Genesis Result Rainwater Consumers Rebates BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY City of Austin IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE The Genesis Result 2011 ROI: 410% Consumers Rebates BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY City of Austin IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE The Genesis Result 2011 ROI: 410% Consumers Rebates BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY 1.11% by 2011 IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE The Genesis Result 2011 ROI: 410% 1.5 years to break even BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION Rebates TECHNOLOGY 1.11% by 2011 IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Thank you. Appendices BACKGROUND STRATEGY SOLUTION TECHNOLOGY IMPLEMENTATION RISK BOTTOM LINE Appendix: Rainwater Projected Financials Income Statement Operating Revenue Total Revenue Controller Sales Subscription Sales Total Operational Expenses Cost of Goods Sold Maintenance Net Income Free Cash Flow Valuation Discounted Cash Flows Low Mid High ROI: Ave rage (525.31%) Net Income Investment Capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 4,258,199 3,720,321 537,878 2,612,193 2,477,724 134,469 625,432 510,432 7,622,657 3,720,321 537,878 4,676,121 2,477,724 134,469 1,336,774 1,344,774 8,582,640 6,659,795 962,862 5,265,023 4,993,992 271,031 1,507,566 1,512,066 9,837,635 7,498,517 1,084,123 6,034,900 5,724,238 310,662 1,729,594 1,731,094 11,475,705 8,594,987 1,242,649 7,039,775 6,677,384 362,391 2,018,348 2,019,098 13,619,329 10,026,142 1,449,563 8,354,781 7,924,697 430,084 2,395,369 2,395,619 2007 472,623 464,030 455,743 2007 205.06% 625,432 305,000 2008 2009 1,152,927 1,200,326 1,111,383 1,136,037 1,072,045 1,076,258 2008 2009 438.29% 494.28% 1,336,774 1,507,566 305,000 305,000 2010 1,272,406 1,182,361 1,100,142 2010 567.08% 1,729,594 305,000 2011 1,374,164 1,253,701 1,145,691 Total 52,253,961 40,156,522 32,995,775 2011 661.75% 2,018,348 305,000 2012 785.37% 2,395,369 305,000 Appendix: Water Conservation and Costs Total Saved Water Saved Austin M uncipal Water Demand Projections % of Total Austin Water Saved Govt Costs New Buyers Cost to Govt Existing Govt Budget Watered Saved by RW H20 Cost Saving for Govt Water Facility Savings Net Costs to Govt % of Budget 2007 208,616,295 2008 378,193,307 2009 426,039,510 2010 488,585,695 2011 570,229,810 2012 677,089,762 47,588,476,467 48,455,586,097 49,338,495,331 50,237,492,055 51,152,869,398 52,084,925,831 0.44% 0.78% 0.86% 0.97% 1.11% 1.30% 2007 14,941 2,988,210 2008 4,017 803,410 2009 4,071 814,210 2010 4,126 825,189 2011 4,181 836,249 2012 4,237 847,490 6,200,000 208,616,295 36,813 62,688 6,200,000 378,193,307 66,736 111,611 6,200,000 426,039,510 75,179 123,481 6,200,000 488,585,695 86,216 139,075 6,200,000 570,229,810 100,623 159,410 6,200,000 677,089,762 119,480 185,896 2,888,709 46.59% 625,063 10.08% 615,550 9.93% 599,898 9.68% 576,215 9.29% 542,114 8.74% Appendix: Consumer Costs and Savings Consumer Costs Initial Costs Rebates Cost to Consumer Net Savings High Regular 249 200 49 Monthly Consumer Breakeven Months Time High Regular Yearly 4.04 2.63 48.50 31.60 Years 12 19 1.01 1.55 Appendix – Water Assumptions -Percent Households – High Water vs. General: normalized distribution graph of water use by frequency (16,000 household sample); sample from Austin Green Building Program Database March 2001-2003 - Average Water Use –180 gallons per day (TWDB Water Use Survey X 3 ppl per household (US Census data) X % High Use/General water use growth rate equal to household growth rate -58% Outdoor Water Use – given in case -12% Outdoor Water Saved - Study Appendix – Market Assumptions Number of Austin households: City of Austin data for 2005 and 2010, annualized for growth rate) Market penetration estimates General: 5%, 9, 10, 11, 12; growth rate in teens High: 5%, 9, 10, 11, 12, 15; growth rate in teens Appendix – Product Cost/Price Assumptions Product cost: $165 cost comparison of competitor products (based on 80% mark-ups) closest product from ET Water save about $30 from using only a phone line (no broadband) for internet access Selling price: $249; 50% markup of cost Appendix – City Cost Assumptions Amount of rebate: $200: existing rebate is $100 for replacing residential controllers with smart controller equivalents Justification: cost analysis to city of Austin: percent of water conservation budget that will go toward rebates net of savings in water bought (under 10% after 2007) cost of gallon by acre-foot: $57.50 (LCRA website – rate for pre-bought water) 1 acre foot ~ 281K gallons Austin water conservation budget: Austin Statesman article: With conservation, city could delay $330 million water plant, 2/12/2007 Appendix: Rainwater Assumptions Rainwater has existing, and the new product will make use of: Research facilities Production facilities Labor Website Sources Irrigation Controller Report for Orange County Water Conservation Task Force – City of Austin Water Use Survey 2004, Water for Texas 2007 http://www.twdb.state.tx.us/home/index.asp Smart controller company websites: 2007 Water Conservation Strategies Summary, rebate info. http://www.ci.austin.tx.us/watercon/taskforce.htm Texas Water Development Board US Department of the Interior – Bureau of Reclamation http://www.accuwater.com/app http://www.weathertrak.com/ http://www.irritrol.com/ http://www.etwater.com/public/index.html Irrigation Association – conservation and SWAT industry info http://www.irrigation.org/SWAT/Industry/