McGraw-Hill/Irwin
International Business, 11/e
Copyright © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Discuss environmental analysis and two types of market screening
Explain market indicators and market factors
Describe some statistical techniques for estimating market demand and grouping similar markets
Discuss the value to businesspeople of trade missions and trade fairs
15-3
Discuss some of the problems market researchers encounter in foreign markets
Explain the difference between country screening and segment screening
Identify sources of information for the screening process
Discuss the utility of the Internet as a source of market research data
15-4
Assessing and Analyzing Markets
•
– A version of environmental scanning in which the firm identifies desirable markets by using the environmental forces to eliminate the less desirable markets
•
– A procedure in which a firm scans the world for changes in the environmental forces that might affect it
15-5
•
Permits management to identify a small number of desirable by eliminating those judged to be less attractive
15-6
•
Two Types of Screening
Country Screening
•
Using countries as the basis for market selection
Segment Screening
•
Using market segments as the basis for market selection
15-7
• Basic Need Potential
– If the need is lacking, then no reasonable expenditure of effort and money will enable the firm to market its goods and services
– Easier for producers of specialized industrial materials or equipment than for widely consumed products
15-8
• Imports Don’t fully measure market potential
• Resources to establish need potential
– International Trade Administration site on the
Internet ( www.ita.doc.gov
)
– U.S. Exports of Merchandise on the National
Trade Data Bank
– U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services
(FT900) by the Department of Commerce
– Annual Worldwide Industry Reviews and
International Market Research Reports prepared by various U.S. embassies
15-9
• Measures of market demand based on economic and financial data
– Market indicators
– Market factors
– Trend analysis
– Cluster analysis
15-10
• Market Indicators
– Economic data used to measure relative market strengths of countries or geographic areas
– Possibilities:
• Market size
• Market growth rate
• E-commerce readiness
15-11
• Market Factors
– Economic data that correlate highly with market demand for a product
– Estimation by analogy
15-12
• Trend Analysis
– Statistical technique by which successive observations of a variable at regular time intervals are analyzed to establish regular patterns that are used for establishing future values
15-13
• Cluster analysis
– Statistical technique that divides objects into groups so that the objects within each group are similar
15-14
Third Screening:
Political and Legal Forces
• Entry Barriers
– Import restrictions, local participation requirements, local content restrictions, government-owned competition
• Profit Remittance Barriers
– Undue restrictions on repatriation of earnings, limits to FDI, inability to provide foreign exchange
• Policy Stability
– Political climate, government stability, public unrest
15-15
Fourth Screening:
Sociocultural Forces
Screening on the basis of sociocultural factors is challenging
Sociocultural factors are fairly subjective
Data are difficult to assemble, particularly from a distance
15-16
Fifth Screening: Competitive Forces
• The number, size, and financial strength of the competitors
• Their market shares
• Their marketing strategies
• The apparent effectiveness of their promotional programs
• The quality levels of their product lines
15-17
Fifth Screening: Competitive Forces, cont’d.
• The source of their products--imported or locally produced
• Their pricing policies
• The levels of their after-sales service
• Their distribution channels
• Their coverage of the market
15-18
• P ersonal visit to potential markets is essential
– Field Trip, unhurried
– Government-Sponsored Trade Missions
– Trade Fairs
15-19
cont’d
•
– Face-to-face interviews reveal information that would never be written
– Hire local research group
• Person in charge of the project must have experience in that country or culturally similar one in same geographic area
15-20
• Cultural
– Language
– Literacy
– Social desirability bias
• Technical
– No up-to-date maps
– Streets have different names
– Houses not numbered
– Only wealthy have telephones
– Mail delivery issues
15-21
•
Less research performed
•
Often a seller’s market
•
Competition is frequently less intense in developing nations because
• fewer competitors
• management struggling with problems other than marketing
15-22
• Segment Screening
– Definable: identify and measure
– Large: to be worth the effort needed
– Accessible: for promotion and distribution
– Actionable: have control of marketing programs
– Capturable: potential exists
15-23