Beyond Technology: Improving Energy Efficiency through SocialPsychological Approaches Chien-fei Chen, Ph.D. Research Professor & Director of Education and Diversity NSF-DOE Engineering Research Center, CURENT University of Tennessee, Knoxville Focus of Environmental Sociology 1-2 Research Methodology • Qualitative vs. Quantitative (focus group, interviews) • Survey technique asks questions of large numbers of persons to gain information on attitudes and behaviors Reliability and validity: • Test – retest, internal, inter-rater, … • Face, convergent & discriminant, predictive… Advantages of survey approach: • Cheap and fast • Go beyond behavioral level Common issues: • Sample representativeness • Low response rate or careless answers • Social desirability • Basically a correlational study The Experimental Research Process Consider and control confounding variables © 1999 John Wiley and Sons, Inc. Summary of main research methods in environmental psychology SETTING METHOD STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES USE Environment independent setting Questionnaire studies High external validity Costeffective method for reaching large populations No manipulation of variables No causal inferences Describing Artificial setting Laboratory experiments High internal validity Control of variables Low external validity Artificiality Testing theories or hypotheses Identifying causal relationships Simulation studies Good balance between external/ internal validity Realistic visualisation Requires advanced skills and equipment Often perceived as ‘fictitious’ Study complex humanenvironment dynamics Visualise and evaluate future developments Case studies High external Low internal Descriptions Real setting populations or practices Studying relationships among variables Social Psychological Factors and Energy Behaviors 1. Why behaviors matter? 2. Decisionmaking models 3. Factors influencing public acceptance of energy-efficiency measures & renewables 6. Energy efficiency in office buildings Content 5. Promoting Demand Response 4. Interventions (feedback, norms, framing, etc.) 6 U.S. Energy Consumption in 2010 Transportation -other, 16.90% Industry, 29.80% Residential & personal transport account for 34% Residential, 22.40% Personal Transport, 11.40% Commercial, 19.40% Source: EIA 7 Traditional Economic & Engineering Models Typical responses to energy crisis: • Find new energy resources • Develop technologies – engineers’ job • Provide financial incentives for people to reduce consumption, to adopt more efficient technologies Assumption of rationality People are instrumental and self-interested, consistent, cost-benefit based. But it is often not true. 8 Creating an Energy Revolution “A revolution doesn’t happen when society adopts new tools, it happens when society adopts new behaviors” (Glay Shirky, Digital Guru). “Mitigate future climate change will be made by energy consumers, rather than suppliers… not a straightforward and easily achievable goal” (EIA, 2009). 9 Your Behaviors Matter Behavioral Change Potential Savings: Various types of household behaviors 22% reduction in household & personal transportation energy use over a 5-8 year period (Laitner & Ehrhardt-Martinez, 2009) In crisis situations Community-level electricity savings could be 25% in 6 weeks & post-crisis savings of 8-10% (Leighty & Meier, 2010) Feedback programs & devices Save electricity 4-12% (Ehrhardt-Martinez, et al. 2010) Real-time feedback with smart programs + social science insights Save electricity 20-35% 10 Social Psychological Factors and Energy Behaviors 1. Why behaviors matter? 2. Decisionmaking models 3. Factors influencing public acceptance of energy-efficiency measures & renewables 6. Energy efficiency in office buildings Content 5. Promoting Demand Response 4. Interventions (feedback, norms, framing, etc.) 11 Assumptions of Human Behaviors Without Deliberation • In-output model • Behaviors controlled by environment Not Empathizing: • Internal judgments • Cognitive process • Interpersonal relationships With Deliberation • Emphasize human agency • Mindful or cognitive process Empathizing: • Attitudes • Perceptions • Motivations (Asch, 1951, Sherif, 1935) Actors are mindless robots Actors are mindful 12 Theory of Planned Behavior (Icek Ajzen, 1991) 13 Norm Activation Model (Schwartz, 1977) Awareness of consequences Ascription of responsibility Personal Norms Pro-social or environmental behaviors 14 Social Psychological Factors and Energy Behaviors 1. Why behaviors matter? 2. Decisionmaking models 3. Factors influencing public acceptance of energy-efficiency measures & renewables 6. Energy efficiency in office buildings Content 5. Promoting Demand Response 4. Interventions (feedback, norms, framing, etc.) 15 Social-psychological Factors Influencing Energy Saving at Workplace • Sampled 584 employees from 9 electricity companies in Jiangsu Province, China. • Investigated the relationships among social norms, behavioral control, attitudes, energy concern influence energy saving intention and energy behavior at workplace. • Based on the Theory of Planned Behavior. Chen, C.F., & Knight, K. (2014). Energy at work: social psychological factors affecting energy conservation intentions within Chinese electric power companies. Energy Research & Social Science, 4, 23-31. 16 Social-Psychological Factors Affecting Electricity Saving Behaviors at Work (China) Attitudes .35*** .47*** Energy Concern .04 .38*** Behavioral Control .61*** Intention to Save .43*** Group Norms 17 Social Psychological Factors Affecting Support of Renewable Energy (U.S.) Electricity saving behaviors (-0.22)** Energy conservation attitudes (0.18)* Energy concern (0.24)* Global warming consequences(0.18)* Economic benefits (-0.10) Support of Renewable Energy Personal norms (0.34) Social rewards (-0.08) Familiarity with renewable(0.05) Political orientation (0.20) * * P<0.05; ** p<0.01, green boxes on the left were not significant 18 Social Psychological Factors Affecting Intention to Use SWH and AFV (China) * p < 0.05; ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001 19 Factors Influencing Acceptance of Smart Meter Useful1 Useful2 Useful3 Useful4 Useful5 Useful6 .89 Priv4R .51 Money2 Money6 Environ1 Environ2 Environ3 Environ4 .91 Priv7R Price2 .94 Price3 .93 .85 Price privacy .52, p < .001 .88 .84 -.14, p < .001 -.093, p = .001 .76 .61 .70 .56 -.059 HabitE 1 Money Money3 Money4 .92 Usefulness Useful8 Money1 Priv6R .74 .89 .87 .80 Priv5R -.018 HabitC 1 -.007 .091, p = .01 .83 .014 .035 .83 HabitCH .80 .84 .87 Support Environ .73 .68 Habit7 Habit6 .95 .95 Trust1 • • Trust .89 Trust2 Sampled 817 U.S. residents across the U.S. Based on the Extended Technology Acceptance Theory. .83 Trust3 .92 Trust4 20 Social Psychological Factors and Energy Behaviors 1. Why behaviors matter? 2. Decisionmaking models 3. Factors influencing public acceptance of energy-efficiency measures & renewables 6. Energy efficiency in office buildings Content 5. Promoting Demand Response 4. Interventions (feedback, norms, framing, etc.) 21 Intervention/Strategies to Change Behaviors • Feedback programs (direct vs. indirect) • Social norms: descriptive and injunctive norms shape people’s behaviors; developing strategies in a social context • Goal setting: define what people are trying to attain and be able to evaluate their progress • Message framing: emphasizing a particular aspect of an object/activity while limiting emphasis on other aspects • Commitments: help people to sure their actions are consistent with their ideals 22 Average Household Electricity Savings of Historical Program by Feedback Type Potential Resource Savings: 20-35% Real-Time Plus Feedback w/Smart Program Plus Smart Application of S.S. Insights 23 Social Norms Approach: Opower 24 25 Social Psychological Factors and Energy Behaviors 1. Why behaviors matter? 2. Decisionmaking models 3. Factors influencing public acceptance of energy-efficiency measures & renewables 6. Energy efficiency in office buildings Content 5. Promoting Demand Response 4. Interventions (feedback, norms, framing, etc.) 26 Message Framing and Electricity Saving • RQ1: Which type of messages are effective to 1) change attitudes toward electricity saving? 2) to boost perceived efficacy (“whether can I make a difference”) on saving electricity? • RQ2: Do individuals with difference on environmental concern react to messages differently? • Design: Four (2 x 2) manipulations on benefit message framing of saving electricity Benefit framing: Environmental vs. Financial Temporal framing: Long-term vs. Short-term 27 Condition 1/2: Financial, Long-term/Short-term 28 Condition 3/4: Environmental, Long-term/Short-term 29 29 Results of Message Framing • 292 US residents • Environmental messages, in general, are more effective than the financial benefits in producing positive attitudes toward energy saving. • Short-term benefits boost perceived efficacy among people with lower environmental concern. 6.5 6.04 5.88 6 5.5 5.13 Low NEP High NEP 5 4.5 4.36 4 3.5 Long-term Short-term 30 Recycling Towels in Hotels: Evidence of Descriptive Norms Below “Please reuse your towels” Control: HELP SAVE THE ENVIRONMENT. You can show your respect for nature and help save the environment by reusing your towels during your stay Social Norm: JOIN YOUR FELLOW GUESTS IN HELPING TO SAVE THE ENVIRONMENT. Almost 75% of guests who are asked to participate in our new resource savings program do help by using their towels more than once. You can join your fellow guests in this program to help save the environment by reusing your towels during your stay. Goldstein, Cialdini, & Griskevicius (2008, J of Consumer Research) 31 Financial Incentives -> Customer Segmentation • Traditional approach to promoting demand response (DR): economic approach – peak & off-peak pricing, dynamic pricing, additional financial incentives, etc. Will desired behavioral change disappear after incentives are removed? • To what extent financial incentives help customers accept DR and energy saving programs? Same for everyone? • Money is often less of a motivator than other social psychological variables (Stern et al., 1986). 32 • RQ: Are the requested incentives for different DR behaviors predictable by energy use, demographic variables, and socialpsychological variables? • Impact: more accurate estimation of adjustable loads as a function of financial incentives • Method: Online survey across 48 states, 754 valid responses collected How much monetary rewards do you expect in exchange for… ? • • • • Adjusting AC setting by 2-3oF when at home Adjusting heater by 2-3oF when at home Adjusting AC setting by > 5oF or shutting AC down before leaving home Adjusting heater setting by > 5oF or shutting heater down before leaving home 33 Factors Affecting Requested Incentives Energy Use Info Demographics Social-Psychological Monthly Bill_Ave Age Energy Concern Stay Home (9-5) Gender Bill Consciousness Light Use Income Frugality Computer Use Education Need for Comfort Thermostat Settings Political Orientation Need for Convenience Night Adjustments House Sqft Need for Control Household Size Trust Weather Region Subjective Norm Perceived Control Block 1 Block 2 Block 3 34 Financial Incentives and HVAC Behaviors 25.00% no incentive Acceptance rates in respondents <5% of montly bill 20.70% 5%-10% of monthly bill 20.00% 18.30% 17.20% would not do it 15.00% 14.10% 13.30% 12.60% 10.00% 9.90% 11.30% 11.70% 12.10% 10.50% 11.00% 10.70% 9.80% 9.10% 8.00% 7.80% 12.30% 11.00% 9.00% 7.10% 5.30% 6.00% 5.80% 5.00% 0.00% Adjust AC for 23°F_at home Adjust heater for 23°F_at home Adjust AC for >5°F_away Adjust heater for >5°F_away Automation_AC Automation_Heater 35 Financial Incentives and HVAC Behaviors • Finding 1: The amount of the incentives requested does not have a linear relationship with some factors E.g. Small homes -> smaller amount of requested incentives to lower thermostat setting in winter, large homes is not associated with higher requested incentives. • Finding 2: Social-psychological variables enhance the predictive power of the model Heater_Home Block 1 Block 2 Block 3 No rewards χ2(7)=9.23 (p=.236) χ2(16)=35.01 (p=.004) χ2(29)=58.37 (p=.001) Would not do χ2(7)=19.53 (p=.007) χ2(16)=19.60 (p=.020) χ2(29)=64.06 (p<.001) Total ΔF=2.75 (p=.008) ΔF=1.88 (p=.060) ΔF=2.53 (p=.002) 36 Factors Affecting Amount of Requested Incentives (Adjust 2-3oF Heater at Home) Energy Use Info Demographics Social-Psychological Age Energy Concern Monthly Bill Ave Gender Bill Consciousness Stay Home (9-5) Income Frugality Lights Use Education Need for Comfort Computer Use Political Orientation Need for Convenience Thermostat Settings House Sqft Need for Control Night Adjustments Household Size Trust Weather Region Subjective Norm Perceived Control Block 1 Block 2 Block 3 37 Analysis of Customer Segmentation (1) • Raising AC thermostat setting for 2-3oF in summer Features of the most cooperative group (no incentives) • • • • • Smaller homes Lower electricity bills More frugal Lower comfort needs Lower needs for convenience Features of the least cooperative group (won’t do it anyway) • Won’t put PC in sleep • Lower thermostat settings generally • Older • Higher comfort needs • Poorer energy-saving attitudes • Lower level of subjective norms 38 Analysis of Customer Segmentation (2) • Accepting automation at home in summer Features of the most cooperative group • Higher thermostat settings generally • Lower electricity bills • More Democrats • Higher energy concerns • More frugal • Lower comfort needs • Lower needs for convenience • Positive energy-saving attitudes Features of the least cooperative group • Lower thermostat settings generally • Higher income • Lower energy concerns • Lower money consciousness • Lower trust • Poorer energy-saving attitudes 39 • How attractive are current DR programs in the market? Automatic A/C cycling Automatic A/C shut down Automatic thermostat adjustment Voluntary A/C adjustment • How specific features of DR programs affect attractiveness? Frequency, duration, etc. Level of control Amount of rewards • Predictable by energy use habits, demographics and socialpsychological variables? 40 41 Social Psychological Factors and Energy Behaviors 1. Why behaviors matter? 2. Decisionmaking models 3. Factors influencing public acceptance of energy-efficiency measures & renewables 6. Energy efficiency in office buildings Content 5. Promoting Demand Response 4. Interventions (feedback, norms, framing, etc.) 42 Future Work: Triple Levels of Integration Technology • Design of building office setting •Visibility of behaviors, human interaction & control Structural Individual • Company culture& policy • Personality & Profiles •Leadership •Attitudes (Frugality) •Group norms •Self-efficacy •Reward systems •Habits 43 Energy Use in Office Buildings Social Dilemmas • Social dilemmas: a collective action dilemma, where individual interests and collective interests are at odds (Dawes, 1980; Van Lange, et al., 2013). • Public goods dilemma: each member must decide whether or not to contribute to a public good (or a resource) from which all may benefit regardless of whether or not they contributed. • Diversity of social dilemmas: Cooperation forms (giving or contributing vs. not taking or consuming), time span (short vs. long), or scale (small vs. large) (Van Lange et al., 2013). 44 Mechanisms of Increasing Cooperation Potential Effects Influencing Payoff Structure in Social Dilemmas Making Free-riding Less Appealing Reducing Fear of Free-Ridership Increasing Sense of Responsibility Factors Personality (Pro-social vs. Pro-self) Social rewards/punishment Emotion (shame vs. guilt) Group size Group member’s identity Group cohesion Cooperative culture Trust Communication Self-efficacy Group identity Other members’ decision to cooperate (may diffuse responsibility) Building Technology 45 Conclusions • Human beings are not always rational. • Information programs may be effective in changing attitudes but may not be effective in changing behaviors in specific situations. • There is potential in applying social norm and framing approaches. • Energy use in public domain relates largely to social matters, not individual ones. • Social-technological approaches are needed for persistent behavioral change and reducing free-riding: • Making cooperation in public domain easier • Changing the payoff structure of social dilemmas (in a more friendly way) • Increasing the transparency for the situation 46