Final Project Ivan Ardemagni Diego Diaz Hussein Nasreddin Meg Robinton Henrique Thielen Luis Gonzalez Introduction: Background Bluetooth is a wireless technology standard that connects devices in close proximity. Bluetooth technology was first developed in 1994 by Ericsson in Lund, Sweden. Ericsson’s engineers were looking for a way to enrich the functionality of the mobile phone.1 In the process they found more uses to their development than that of the mobile phone and decided to bring more companies on board the project. In 1998, the Bluetooth Special Interest Group (SIG) was formed between five companies (Ericsson, IBM, Intel, Toshiba, and Nokia) that brought different expertise to the table in order to dictate and overview the Bluetooth technology specifications and standards. The number of member companies in SIG has been increasing ever since and has reached a base of 17,000 members as of today2. As it will be noted throughout the analysis, SIG is one of the main reasons why Bluetooth technology still exists today. The SIG is divided into 5 Bluetooth Ecosystem Teams: Automotive, Consumer Electronics/PC, Health and Fitness, Mobile Phone, Smart Technology. The technology itself has experienced dramatic growth since its launch, reaching 7 billion cumulative shipments of Bluetooth devices by the end of 2011. The technology is expected to continue to grow quickly as evidenced by the projections below3: 1 “Presenting the (economic) value of patents nominated for the European Inventor Award 2012”, epo.org, http://documents.epo.org/projects/babylon/eponet.nsf/0/39F611EACF119B21C12579F30036D7E4/$File/haartsen _en.pdf 2 “SIG Membership Introduction”, Bluetooth.org, http://www.bluetooth.org/Membership/introduction.htm 3 “SIG Membership”, Bluetooth.com, http://www.bluetooth.com/Pages/sig-membership.aspx Value Proposition The first intention for Bluetooth technology was to create a wireless connection between two devices (specifically PCs and mobile devices) in order to exchange data and get rid of cables. Since its original development, the number of devices and applications of the technology has dramatically increased. In the beginning, it was mainly used to synchronize data between computers and mobile phones/PDAs as well as connect PC peripherals (e.g., mouse, keyboard, printers) to PCs. Now, the technology has spread to many consumer electronic goods such as wireless speakers, hands-free headsets, gaming console controllers, and health sensor communication (to name a few). Competitive Landscape Bluetooth technology was originally meant as a replacement for the serial port cable. The serial port cable had been out since the 1980s and was the most used form of communication between a computer and any I/O device. The data rate speed of the serial port cable was very limited (below 0.5 Mbit/second). At the same time that Bluetooth technology was being developed, a group of seven technology companies was also developing a substitute for the serial port cable. Their solution was the Universal Serial Bus cable or USB. USB technology brought faster data transfer rates and promised to be the replacement for not only the serial port cable but most other computer I/O ports (i.e., PS/2, parallel port, etc.) as well.4 At the time of Bluetooth’s introduction, Bluetooth had a transfer rate of 1 Mbit/s, which was faster than the serial port cable but slower than the USB standards of 1.5Mbit/s and 12Mbit/s. Although Bluetooth offered the convenience of wireless connectivity, faster data transmissions were possible through USB and thus USB was preferred by many. Another wireless standard was under development before the introduction of Bluetooth: the IEEE 802.11 standard, which is more commercially known as Wi-Fi. Although it was created to replace 4 “USB brief overview, history and specifications” Usblyzer.com, http://www.usblyzer.com/brief-usb-overviewand-history.htm the ethernet cable, the IEEE 802.11 standard could have potentially overlapped with Bluetooth as a wireless solution as it could communicate between further distances at a faster data transfer rate (11Mbits/s). However, the main difference between these two technologies is that Wi-Fi communicates to a network and Bluetooth connects to another device. Bluetooth technology was in a tough spot with all these competing technologies surrounding it but it had its advantages. The USB port was faster but Bluetooth gave you the option of a wireless connection. Wi-Fi was also faster than Bluetooth but Bluetooth offered greater security in the connection and also was more power efficient. Frameworks: Ecosystem Analysis Bluetooth Special Interest Group (SIG) The SIG owns the Bluetooth word mark, figure mark and combination mark. These trademarks are licensed out for use to companies that are incorporating Bluetooth wireless technology into their products or that are developing the technology. To become a licensee, a company must become a member of the Bluetooth SIG. Therefore, Bluetooth SIG consisted of a variety of players: chip manufacturers, application developers, device makers, service providers, etc.5. The membership requirement is critical as it creates mandatory interaction between all parties who use Bluetooth technology in their products or services. It is important to understand the importance of SIG in this whole process as there is no single company that “owns” this technology. The SIG and all of its members are responsible for management, development, and standardization of Bluetooth technology meaning that any company can have access to Bluetooth specifications by becoming a member of SIG at one of the various levels of membership: Promoters, Associates, Adopters, Individuals and Universities. Depending on the level of membership, members have the right to participate in the various groups (study groups, expert groups, working groups, committees) that SIG uses as structure to manage the technology. Distributors In this ecosystem, the largest retailers buy directly from OEMs/producers, but smaller retailers purchase the products through distributors, such as Avnet, Arrow, etc. Retailers Bluetooth devices reach the final user through a multitude of ways: PC & Mobile retailers: Bluetooth devices are made available to the end-user across the full spectrum of hardware and mobile shops. From large chains such as Best Buy and RadioShack to small shops and online vendors.6 Health & Wellness: Hospitals and healthcare facilities widely utilize Bluetooth technology for devices that operate in a sensitive to interference environment, in order to offer to their patients a safe medical treatment.7 5 “SIG Membership Introduction”, Bluetooth.org, http://www.bluetooth.org/Membership/introduction.htm http://www.bluetooth.com/Pages/Consumer-Electronics-Market.aspx 7 http://www.bluetooth.com/Pages/Sports-Fitness-Market.aspx 6 Automotive: Auto manufacturers offer Bluetooth connectivity in certain models in order to facilitate the connection between the stereo system and devices such as mp3 readers and phone headsets.8 Sport & Fitness: Gyms offer their clients heart-rate monitors that connect to a Bluetooth phone or a treadmill, elliptical machine, or other exercise equipment at the gym. The heart-rate monitor displays the heart rate during the work-out and sends performance metrics wirelessly to a Bluetooth-enabled phone, where the end-user can analyze it after their work-out. This fitness niche is expanding to other fitness-related devices such as Bluetooth-enabled sports watches that can connect wirelessly to a heart-rate strap, foot pod, or phone9. Smart Home: The vast network of Bluetooth devices includes phones, tablets, PCs, and TVs in use worldwide. These devices can not only talk to each other, but also communicate with Bluetooth enabled appliances, heating and cooling systems, and other devices in the smart home. Companies commercialize this emerging market by selling smart home devices with Bluetooth technology offer their clients a so called Bluetooth network effect, ensuring their products can work with the phones, tablets, PCs and TVs homeowners already own.10 End Users The Bluetooth end-user includes a multitude of individuals and companies. The largest market is composed of individuals that use Bluetooth to connect their personal devices to each other, but also auto buyers (who benefit from the car connectivity offered) and homeowners (who want their home devices remotely connected). Other end-users include companies and small businesses such as, restaurants that utilize devices to take orders and track inventory. 8 http://www.bluetooth.com/Pages/Automotive-Market.aspx http://www.bluetooth.com/Pages/Sports-Fitness-Market.aspx 10 http://www.bluetooth.com/Pages/Smart-Home-Market.aspx 9 Stoplight Analysis Ecosystem Players Main Players Developers (SIG) Ericsson, Arm OEMs/Producers (SIG) Ericsson, Intel, Motorola Distributors Avnet, Arrow Retailers Best Buy, RadioShack Stoplight End User Developers All the developers of Bluetooth technology have to be part of the SIG. Promoter members and Associate members of SIG participate in the Expert Groups, which deals with issues of technical importance to all aspects of Bluetooth development and in Working Groups, which develop new Bluetooth specifications and enhance adopted specifications11. They are responsible for the vast majority of published standards and specifications. We think these hard-core developers deserve a green light in the flow of the ecosystem as it is composed of believers in the technology since its inception. OEMs/Producers Producers have to be part of SIG as well but we assigned a yellow light for OEMs within SIG (e.g., PC & peripherals and mobile device manufacturers) as they had a variety of competing technologies to choose from (e.g., serial port cable, USB, Wi-Fi) and may be hesitant from completely investing in emerging Bluetooth technology as the risk in investing too much in a dead-end technology could be devastating for their future.12 11 12 http://www.bluetooth.org/Membership/overview.htm http://www.pcworld.com/article/101942/article.html Distributors We don’t see any concern regarding distribution, as, this market is mainly driven by consumer demand and the distributors’ interests are generally aligned with the end-users’. Retailers As we saw before, retailers in this industry are of a diversified nature. We assigned them a green light as we think that the technology has low cost for certain niche services and that retailers will be eager to offer their customers the connectivity enhancements offered by Bluetooth. End User Despite the initial buzz around Bluetooth, we assigned the end-user a yellow light due to the initial difficulties in matching the device and the poor reliability of the first versions13. One of the factors that slowed down the adoption of Bluetooth in the first years was the complexity of the technology, in which the Bluetooth specification defines basic connectivity but specific uses require separate "profiles." Not all Bluetooth-enabled devices supported all the profiles, which led to confusion for buyers who expected a Bluetooth PC adapter, for example, to do things it wasn't set up for. Therefore, due to the potential adoption-risks with the end-user we believe this player in the ecosystem is a yellow light for SIG. Analysis: “There is much scope for Bluetooth to literally make a clean sweep. Avenues for various kinds of applications do exist and the potential is huge. Wireless communication is the basis of tomorrow’s world. The stage is set. But does Bluetooth have it in it to be the invisible link? Or is it just hype – full of sound and fury - about technology that just won’t work? Just as there is a lot going for Bluetooth, there is much that can be said against it… Bluetooth still has miles to go before it can be accepted as the standard of wireless communication in tomorrow’s world14.” - Jayanthi Kamalaratnam, July 2002 13 http://www.pcworld.com/article/113404/article.html Kamalaratnam, Jayanthi. “Bluetooth – Teething Problems?” http://www.frost.com/sublib/display-marketinsight-top.do?id=JRAN-5JXCYV 14 A decade ago, the jury on Bluetooth technology was still out. Sure, there was potential for impressive market growth, but was this emerging technology going to be a fad? Would the technology be surpassed by a competing technology? As evidenced by the “yellow lights” in the Stoplight Analysis above, Bluetooth faced no shortage of challenges. This analysis will discuss the risks that Bluetooth SIG faced when launching Bluetooth technology and the steps that were taken to manage these risks. Co-Innovation Risk and Management Given Bluetooth’s main value proposition of wirelessly connecting two separate devices, one would assume that there was substantial co-innovation risk at play given the need to coordinate the development and implementation of the technology between independent device manufacturers. However, the first players in the Bluetooth industry (Ericsson, Intel, Nokia, Toshiba, and IBM) greatly reduced the co-innovation risk by deciding to reconfigure the ecosystem and form the cooperative alliance, Bluetooth SIG. Despite having already developed competing technologies on their own, the original founders of Bluetooth SIG realized that greater success would come to all if they standardized the technology in order to prevent the technology from becoming fragmented. Therefore, rather than have each developer coordinate with the individual OEMs (who likely would have been mutually exclusive given the different technologies and standards used by each developer), the developers decided to combine the ecosystem and form Bluetooth SIG to create a single, standard Bluetooth technology that would be compatible with all of the various OEMs. This reconfiguration reduced the co-innovation risk in several ways. First, creating a single, standard technology made innovation using the technology easier. Because the standards are documented and enforced, OEMs that enable their devices with Bluetooth technology can feel confident that it will work with other Bluetooth-enabled devices without having to coordinate development with each individual device manufacturer on their own. The Bluetooth SIG goes as far as to require anyone who “uses Bluetooth technology in their products, uses Bluetooth technology to offer goods and services, or rebrands products that use Bluetooth technology”15 become a member of the organization. By having the upfront commitment from all parties to cooperate, the co-innovation risk for each individual member is greatly reduced. Second, because both the Bluetooth developers (e.g., chip and software developers) and the OEMs make up the Bluetooth SIG, they are each involved throughout the process of setting and implementing the standards. This gives each party the opportunity to influence the standards to ensure that their individual requirements are met before the standards are finalized. Another element that reduced the co-innovation risk was the technology itself. Because Bluetooth is an open specification, rather than a product, it is relatively easy for OEMs to enable the technology in their own products. Furthermore, the technology is publically available and royalty-free. The only requirement is to be a member of the Bluetooth SIG and the basic membership is free16. 15 16 http://www.bluetooth.org/Membership/introduction.htm “What is Bluetooth?”, InformIT.com, http://www.informit.com/articles/article.aspx?p=27656 Adoption Risk and Management At the launch of Bluetooth, Bluetooth SIG faced significant adoption risk from both OEMs and end-users. Bluetooth SIG needed to both convince the non-member OEMs to build Bluetooth technology into their products and offer a unique value to the end-user that would motivate them to purchase Bluetooth-enabled products despite the higher cost17. Unfortunately, the initial Bluetooth technology (v1.0 and v1.0B) had two critical issues as far as OEM adoption: interoperability between devices and security (hardware device address transmission was a requirement for pairing)18. Fortunately, Bluetooth SIG learned of these critical issues through a testing event for member manufacturers, called “UnPlugFest”. As a result of the feedback, they updated the specifications and released v1.1 (the first main-stream version) which resolved these issues19. It is unlikely that these issues would have come to light as early in the process without the structure of Bluetooth SIG, which regularly brings the OEMs together in a cooperative environment. Even after the first main-stream release, Bluetooth SIG continued to stay engaged with the market by listening to complaints from end-users. In response to the complaints, they released subsequent versions of the technology (i.e., v1.2, v2.0, v2.1, v3.0) with improvements: increased data transmission speed; diminished power consumption; improved security options; improved pairing ability/interoperability; backwards compatibility. Not only were these improvements essential for enduser adoption, they also were important for continued OEM adoption as well. Because the Bluetooth technology was built into their own products, OEMs faced the risk of damaging their own brands and reputation if the Bluetooth technology had deficiencies that caused their own product to be less valuable to the end-user. 17 “The History of Bluetooth”, GSMFavorites.com, http://www.gsmfavorites.com/documents/bluetooth/history/ Bluetooth® in the Warehouse Environment.” May 2010. http://www.intermec.com/vocollect/public-files/whitepapers/wp-Bluetooth-in-the-Warehouse-Environment.pdf 19 “Why Bluetooth 1.1?”, informit.com, http://www.informit.com/articles/article.aspx?p=21323 18 In addition to taking a reactive approach (listening to complaints and improving the technology in subsequent versions), Bluetooth SIG also took a proactive approach to building both OEM and enduser adoption by forming industry-specific “ecosystem teams”. Formed in 2010, these teams set out “to focus on developing and expanding these key markets: Consumer Electronics/PC, Health and Fitness, Smart Energy, Automotive, and Mobile Phone.20” Each one of these ecosystem teams is led by industry leaders who are focused on ensuring that the subsequent versions of Bluetooth are compatible and relevant to their respective markets21. By forming structured groups around these end-consumer markets, Bluetooth SIG is able to leverage the knowledge and resources of partner SIG companies in order to set specifications that align with the consumer need and ensure that Bluetooth technology continues to innovate within these consumer markets. In summary (and as depicted in the chart below), Bluetooth SIG reduced adoption risk by continually improving the technology (through version releases) and expanding to new markets (through “ecosystem teams”). The constant technology updates improves end-user satisfaction which ultimately leads to increased adoption-rates of both the end-user and the OEMs (who are then more likely to want to build Bluetooth-enabled products). The expansion into new markets also increases adoption-rates in the sense that the larger the network of Bluetooth-enabled devices, the more useful and valuable the technology is to the end-user. For OEMs that offer products to a variety of markets, the expansion to new markets also increases their ability to offer Bluetooth-enabled products (which allows them to offer a more compelling value proposition to their customers). 20 Bluetooth 2010 Annual Report, http://www.bluetooth.org/About/AnnualReport/AnnualReport10/Specification_Advancement.htm 21 “Bluetooth Technology Bringing Unprecedented Functionality to Wireless Devices in Fitness, Health, Home and Automotive.” March 2011. http://www.bluetooth.com/Pages/Press-Releases-Detail.aspx?ItemID=126 Future Outlook As Chris Hansen, chairmen of the Bluetooth SIG board of directors stated last month: “Bluetooth technology is experiencing its second wave of growth, moving into devices and markets where wireless technology previously had no foothold.22” The latest version of Bluetooth (v4.0, “Bluetooth Smart”), that features minimal power consumption, has pushed the technology into new dimensions, from creating new markets (mobile advertising, smart-home builders) to new applications (pedometers, heart rate monitors). In addition to increasing products’ longevity, this newfound low power consumption allows them to break into new markets. More specifically, these improvements open up new doors in the world of healthcare and sports/fitness. With the ability to safely transmit biometric information, Bluetooth v4.0 has allowed SIG member companies to innovate in the growing portable health tech market23. From thermometers to heart rate monitors to NikeFUEL bands, the presence of the Bluetooth 22 23 Hansen, Chris. October 2012. http://www.bluetooth.com/Pages/Press-Releases-Detail.aspx?ItemID=158 “The Future of Bluetooth.” June 2011. http://mail2web.com/blog/2011/06/future-bluetooth/ name, logo and technology is growing daily. With the stated goal of shipping five billion devices by 201524, the technology is well on its way. In addition to expanding markets, the usability of Bluetooth technology could be further improved in the future by an emerging technology, called Near Field Communication (NFC). NFC would make it possible for two Bluetooth-enabled devices to be paired together after just a simple tap. Fortunately, NFC just enables the connection between devices at a single point in time and therefore is not a substitute for Bluetooth technology25. As the markets and usability for Bluetooth technology increase and the size of Bluetooth SIG inevitably grows (beyond its current base of 17,000 members), it is possible that the group could run into the challenge of having “too many cooks in the kitchen”. Bluetooth SIG has tried to combat this by forming special mini-groups within the organization and also setting up different levels of memberships (which have different levels of power). However, as the organization continues to grow, it is possible that even these smaller groups could become unwieldy. Similarly, there may come a time when a single standard may not be able to meet the requirements of all of the various members within the group as they may have competing goals (speed, power consumption, price, etc.). Conclusion In conclusion, Bluetooth technology has been able to grow quickly, much to the credit of the original founders who made the wise decision to reconfigure the ecosystem. Had Bluetooth SIG not been established, it is likely that the technology would not have been able to withstand the coinnovation risks and adoption-risks it would have faced from the OEMs and the end-users. The unique structure of Bluetooth SIG, which includes both developers and OEMs, helps ensure continued improvements and proliferation of the technology. 24 Bluetooth Press Release. June 2011. http://www.bluetooth.com/Pages/Press-Releases-Detail.aspx?ItemID=132 “Near Field Communication versus Bluetooth”, Nearfieldcommunication.org, http://www.nearfieldcommunication.org/bluetooth.html 25