Filippo Sona Director | Head of Hotels MENA Colliers International IN A NUTSHELL (OCT 2015) 11 YEARS PAYBACK 64,775 UNITS 15-17% IRR 15,997 NEW UNITS US$ 160200k/Key Cost 20-30% BRANDED Source: Colliers International 11 DAYS AVR STAY 78.4% OCC 60-65% GOP BUSINESS MODEL REVENUE MIX DYNAMICS Serviced Apartments APART HOTELS CORPORATE HOUSING BRANDED RESIDENCES ROOMS 90-96% 7-9 DAYS 30-90 DAYS 6-7 DAYS 4– 8% F&B 4-8% Source: Colliers International • Grab & Go F&B options & minimarts • Retail connected to properties to increase appeal GOP 2–4% 65% Future Trends • Increase in duplexes & maid's rooms to attract GCC families • Efficient room designs – loft inspired ANCILLARY • Moving to suburban areas but offer shuttles to city centre and access packages to affiliated hotel ROOMS 80-85% 4– 8% F&B 11-14% ANCILLARY 4-6% GOP 60% Supply NUMBER OF KEYS & SHARE OF INTERNATIONALLY BRANDED SUPPLY - 2015 30 42% 25 Thousands 50% 47% 36% 20 40% 30% 31% 15 19% 10 2% 5 20% 20% 15% 10% 7% 2% 0% - -10% Dubai Abu Dhabi Riyadh Sharjah Madinah Al Khobar Jeddah & Dammam No. of Keys Manama % of Internationally Branded Doha Kuwait City Muscat Makkah Supply NUMBER OF KEYS & SHARE OF INTERNATIONALLY BRANDED FUTURE SUPPLY - 2020 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 - 120% 100% Thousands 101% 74% 68% 19% 22% 31% 80% 60% 40% 8% 3% 29% 27% 5% 20% 15% 0% Dubai Abu Dhabi Riyadh Sharjah Madinah Al Khobar & Dammam Jeddah Manama Doha Kuwait City No of Keys % Increase of Internationally Branded Muscat Makkah NO. OF PROPERTIES & AVERAGE KEYS HIGH NUMBER OF PROPERTIES Dubai Riyadh Dammam & Khobar LOW AVERAGE KEY COUNT Abu Dhabi Jeddah Sharjah HIGH AVERAGE KEY COUNT Muscat Madinah Kuwait City Manama Doha Makkah Cairo Marrakesh LOW NUMBER OF PROPERTIES Source: Colliers International SERVICED APARTMENT UNIT SIZE AVERAGE IN m² Riyadh Khobar & Dammam Jeddah Studio 35 35 41 N/A N/A 70 1 BR 56 60 60 35 35 135 90 2 BR 100 90 103 50 50 151 174 3 BR 126 134 139 75 75 Abu Dhabi Dubai Sharjah Studio 35 50 35 63 45 1 BR 65 68 65 75 2 BR 105 124 93 3 BR 127 173 105 Source: Colliers International Doha Kuwait Manama Muscat GCC Avg. Singapore Avg. London Avg. Studio 40 50 43 43 28 1 BR 70 80 62 68 36 2 BR 147 130 101 95 50 3 BR 162 140 132 126 N/A Makkah Madinah Demand Segmentation GCC SERVICED APARTMENT DEMAND SEGMENTATION (2012) 100% 13% 4% 80% 60% 8% 4% 14% 11% 10% 7% 20% 16% 27% 48% 54% 46% 52% 34% 74% 72% 65% 39% 43% 42% 61% 60% 82% 40% 20% 46% 38% 15% 33% 0% Makkah Madinah Jeddah Damman & Al Khobar < 1 Month Source: Colliers International Manama Muscat 1 - 6 Months Doha Kuwait City > 6 Months 18% 75% 21% 11% Riyadh 5% 20% 12% Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Demand Segmentation GCC SERVICED APARTMENT DEMAND SEGMENTATION (2015) 100% 10% 3% 5% 8% 11% 11% 7% 80% 87% 96% 94% 89% 85% 12% 16% 16% 15% 72% 72% 73% Kuwait City Dubai Abu Dhabi 89% 88% 20% 12% 80% 15% 11% 0% Riyadh Makkah Madinah Jeddah Dammam & Manama Al Khobar < 1 Month Source: Colliers International 12% 74% 60% 40% 12% Muscat 1- 6 Months Doha > 6 months Sharjah Performance GCC SERVICED APARTMENT PERFORMANCE, 2014 300 100% 250 80% 200 60% 150 40% 100 20% 50 0 0 Manama Abu Dhabi Doha Jeddah Kuwait City ADR (USD) Source: Colliers International Dubai Dammam & Khobar Occupancy % Riyadh Makkah London 2014 Occ% Sharjah Muscat Madinah Singapore 2014 Occ% London Avg ADR Singapore Avg ADR Branded Residences PHYSICAL ATTRIBUTES BRANDED RESIDENCES PREMIUM Over standard residential units World Famous Ultra Luxury Branded HIGH PREMIUM •New construction building •Unique features •Very good accessibility 41+% premium Luxury Branded Developments High- end Branded Developments 21-40% 10-20% premium premium Source: Colliers International PRICE PREMIUM Developments SERVICES & AMENITIES IMAGE & ASSOCIATION •Five-star hotel services •High-end restaurants •Extensive luxury leisure facilities •Luxury spa •Luxury brand •Iconic building design •Star Architect •Famous building name •High floor •Exclusive development •Prime neighborhood MEDIUM PREMIUM •High-end finishing •Branded quality white goods and electronics •Easy accessibility •Hotel amenities •Health club •Spa •Valet parking •Boutique/lower tier brand •Unique building design •Recognized architect •Desirable views •Renowned location/neighborhood LOW PREMIUM •Conversion building •Communal facilities (e.g. garden) •Private parking •24 h security •Limited leisure facilities •Professional architect •Good location/neighborhood •Low floor How to calculate premium 1 Identify four categories of key factors that drive premium 3 2 1. Situation and Overall Appeal 45% 2. Facilities and Amenities 10% 3. Design and Specifications 15% 4. Branding 30% 4 Identify sub-factors for each of the four categories (drivers of premium) Weight the importance of each category based on: • Key factors commonly driving premiums for condo developments (based on white papers and primary/secondary research) • Local residential experts opinions. 5 Score all subfactors with the following scoring: Low: 0 points Mid: 10 points High: 20 points Prime: 25 points Convert final score into premium likely to be achieved. Guest Experience Index 81% 74% Beirut 68% Amman 72% Creek & 82% 80% 81%Dubai Festival City Kuwait City Alexandria 77% 73% 77% Cairo Aqaba Manama 82% Hurghada 79% Sharm El Sheikh Jeddah Sharjah 73% 77% Al Khobar Dubai 75% Ras Al Khaimah 72% Fujeirah 73% Riyadh 70% 70% 72% Madinah Source: Olery; Colliers International Marina JBR Sheikh Zayed Road & DIFC 58% Makkah 75% Doha 71% 82% Doha Airport & City Centre West Bay & Diplomatic Area 82% 76% Abu Dhabi Muscat SUMMARY: KEY FINDINGS ONLINE RATINGS (AUG 2015 ONLINE RATING: SERVICED APARTMENT BY TYPE OF BRANDING (AUG 2015) Overall Unbranded Locally Branded Regionally Branded Internationally Branded Guest Experience Index (GEI) Room Rating Value Rating Service Rating Location Rating Cleanliness Rating 74.9 83.1 82.0 81.8 83.4 80.3 73. 1 73.1 80. 7 80.7 79. 3 78.5 78.5 83.6 74. 5 74.5 78.6 82.0 85.2 82.6 79.9 79.9 80.2 78.1 81.4 74. 7 74.7 83.0 87.7 87.7 90. 3 90.3 84.0 84. 0 89.7 89.7 87.6 87. 6 88.3 88. 3 84.5 88.2 Best and worst by type of rating Source: Olery, Colliers International Note: Ratings are out of 100 Connected to a hotel provides higher guest rating Top Rated Brands Poor Cleanliness Int’l Brands Offer Good Value Six of the 8 highest rated brands with serviced apartment units were hotel brands, or connected to a hotel. In August 2015, top rated brands for serviced apartments were Rosewood Residences, Residence Inn, Jumeirah, W Hotels, Grand Hyatt, Mercure, Staybridge Suites and Shangri-La. In KSA, UAE and Egypt, serviced apartments have a lower cleanliness rating than 3, 4 and 5-star hotels, mostly due to poor management. Internationally branded serviced apartments are rated as higher value than branded 3, 4 and 5star hotels. Thank You