Process Analysis Introduction of Process www.ePowerPoint.com Agenda Process Analysis What is a process Three basic performance measures Finding the bottleneck Little’s rule Labor productivity measures The product-process matrix Inventory turns/Inventory costs Buffer or suffer Multiple flow units What is a process? Process: Is any part of an organization that takes inputs and transforms them into outputs (products or services) by using various of resources Transformation Process System Primary Resources Inputs Primary Transformatio n Function(s) Nurses, medical Health care supplies, equipment Restaura Hungry Food, chef, wait st Well-prepared, w aff, environment ell-served food nt customer s Hospital Automo bile fact ory Patients Sheet ste el, engin e parts Tools, equipment, workers Fabrication and a ssembly of cars ( physical) Typical Desired Output Healthy individuals Satisfied custome rs High-quality cars Process Analysis The Product-Process Matrix A Process Flow Structure refers to how a factory organizes material flow using one or more of the process technologies. Job shop Production of small batches of a large number of different products, most of which require a different set or sequence of processing steps. (e.g., Commercial printing firms, airplane manufacturers, machine tool shops, and plants that make custom-designed printed circuit boards) (lowvolume/high-variety) A typical example would be a machine shop who makes specialized components for the aerospace industry. Such parts are made in relatively small quantities compared to components such as standard bolts or rivets. Job Shop Scheduling (JSS): dealing with the assignment of jobs on machines subject to precedence constraints, NP-hard (nondeterministic polynomial time) problem Batch shop. Essentially, a somewhat standardized job shop. Such a structure is generally employed when a business has a relatively stable line of products, each of which is produced in periodic batches, either to customer order or for inventory. Most of these items follow the same flow pattern through the plant. (ex. Copy center making 10,000 copies of an ad piece for a business) Assembly Line. Production of discrete parts moving from workstation to workstation at a controlled rate, following the sequence needed to build the product. (ex. Automobile manufacturer) When other processes are employed in a line fashion along with assembly, it is commonly referred to as a production line. Assembly Line Continuous Flow. As on assembly lines, production follows a predetermined sequence of steps, but the flow is continuous rather than discrete. Such structures are usually highly automated and, in effect, constitute one integrated “machine” that must be operated 24 hours a day to avoid expensive shutdowns and start-ups. (ex. Petroleum manufacturer, chemicals, beer, iron and steel enterprise) The material flow for an integrated iron and steel enterprise From: Tang and Wang, Decision support system for the batching problems of steelmaking and continuous-casting production, Omega, 2008, 36(6):976-991 Product-Process Matrix Few High Low Multiple Major Volume, Volume, Products, Products, High One of a Low Higher StandardKind Volume Volume ization I. Job Shop II. Batch III. Assembly Line IV. Continuous Flow Flexibility (High) Unit Cost (High) Commercial Printer French Restaurant These are the major stages of product and process life cycles Heavy Equipment Automobile Assembly Burger King Sugar Refinery Flexibility (Low) Unit Cost (Low) Process Analysis Three Performance Measures KFC– Sitting in Front of the Store Sitting in Front of the Store Source: Cachon, Gerard, Christian Terwiesch, Matching Supply with Demand: An Introduction to Operations Management, 2nd edition, Irwin - McGraw Hill, 2009 Processes: The Three Basic Measures • Flow Unit: Customer or Sandwich •Flow rate / throughput: number of flow units going through the process per unit of time • Flow Time: time it takes a flow unit to go from the beginning to the end of the process • Inventory: the number of flow units in the process at a given moment in time Process Analysis: The Three Measures Immigration department Champagne Auto company Applications Bottle of champagne Car Approved or rejected cases Bottles sold per year Sales per year Time in the cellar 60 days Content of cellar Inventory Processing time Pending cases Those three are the most important performance measures in any operations In the US economy alone, in a typical year, we have about 1 trillion dollors inventory, this is just the manufacturing section, because this is the accounting inventory Inventory happens whenever the miss match happens between supply and demands Understanding the inventory, flow rate, flow time, are indeed the most important issues, not just in our operations, but in management in general Process Analysis Finding the bottleneck Process Analysis In this session, we will take you INSIDE the black box Specifically, you will learn how to: 1. Create a process flow chart (diagram) 2. Find the bottleneck of the process and determine the maximum flow rate 3. Conduct a basic process analysis Inside the Store Flowchart Process Flow Diagram Purpose and Examples Tasks or operations Decision Points Storage areas or queues Flows of materials or customers Examples: Giving an admission ticket to a customer, installing a engine in a car, etc. Examples: How much change should be given to a customer, which wrench should be used, etc. Examples: Sheds, lines of people waiting for a service, etc. Examples: Customers moving to a seat, mechanic getting a tool, etc. Drawing a Process Flow Diagram Customers Station 1 Station 2 Station 3 Difference between project management and process management Basic Process Vocabulary • Processing times: how long does the worker spend on the task? • Capacity=1/processing time: how many units can the worker make per unit of time If there are m workers at the activity: Capacity=m/processing time • Bottleneck: process step with the lowest capacity • Process capacity: capacity of the bottleneck Basic Process Vocabulary (Cont’d) Flow rate =Minimum{Demand rate, Process Capacity) Utilization =Flow Rate / Capacity Flow Time: The amount of time it takes a flow unit to go through the process Inventory: The number of flow units in the system Illustration of the calculation in EXCEL Process Analysis Labor productivity measures Labor Productivity Measures Processing Time Bottleneck a4 a2 a1 Review of Capacity Calculations Number of Resources i • Capacityi = Processing Time i a3 • Process Capacity=Min{Capacityi} • Flow Rate = Min{Demand, Capacity} 1 2 =Idle Time 3 4 =Processing time • Utilizationi= Flow Rate Capacity i Labor Productivity Measures • Cycle time(takt time) CT= 1/ Flow Rate Direct Labor Content=p1+p2+p3+p4 If one worker per resource: Direct Idle Time=(CT-p1) +(CT-p2) +(CT-p3) • Average labor utilization labor content labor content direct idle time • Cost of direct labor Total wages per unit of time Flow Rate per unit of time Example: Assembly Line with Six Stations 3 min/unit 5 min/unit 2 min/unit 3 min/unit 6 min/unit 2 min/unit Insert Excel analysis of KFC line here The Role of Labor Costs in Manufacturing: The Auto Industry 100% Other Overhead Warranty Quality 90% 80% 70% Assembly and other Labor costs 60% 50% Purchased parts and assemblies 40% Parts and material costs Logistics costs 30% 20% Material costs 10% 0% Final Assembler’s cost Including Tier 1 Costs Including Tier 2 Costs Rolled-up Costs over ~ 5 Tiers • While labor costs appear small at first, they are important - look relative to value added - role up costs throughout the value chain • Implications - also hunt for pennies (e.g. line balancing) - spread operational excellence through the value chain Process Analysis Little’s Law Processes: The Three Key Metrics Little’s law: It’s more powerful than you think... What it is: Ave. Inventory (I) = Ave. Flow Rate (R) * Ave. Flow Time (T) Throughput time = work-in-process Throughput rate Implications: • Out of the three fundamental performance measures (I,R,T), two can be chosen by management, the other is GIVEN by nature • Hold throughput constant: Reducing inventory = reducing flow time •Given two of the three measures, you can solve for the third: • Indirect measurement of flow time: how long does it take you on average to respond to an email? •You write 60 email responses per day •You have 240 emails in your inbox Examples for Little’s Law Applications In a large Philadelphia hospital, there are 10 births per day. •80% of the deliveries are easy and require mother and baby to stay for 2 days •20% of the cases are more complicated and require a 5 day stay What is the average occupancy of the department? Source: Graves and Little Little’s law: Some remarks Not an empirical law Robust to variation, what happens inside the black box Deals with averages – variations around these averages will exist Holds for every time window Shown by Professor Little in 1961 Process Analysis Inventory Turns / Inventory costs Inventory Turns Cost of Goods sold: 20,000 mill $/year Inventory: 391 mill $ Inventory Turns Computed as: Inventory turns= Cost of Goods sold: 25,263 mill $/year Inventory: 2,003 mill $ COGS Inventory Based on Little’s law Careful to use COGS, not revenues Inventory Turns At Dell 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Inventory Cost Calculation Compute per unit inventory costs as: Per unit Inventory costs= Annual inventory costs Inventory turns Example: • Annual inventory costs=30% • Inventory turns=6 Per unit Inventory costs= 30% per year 5% 6 turns per year Process Analysis Buffer or Suffer Simple Process Flow – A Food Truck Food Truck Every five minutes: - You get 0, 1, or 2 orders with equal probability - You have a capacity of 0, 1, or 2 with equal probability - It is not possible to make a sandwich before the order - Customers are not willing to wait How many sandwiches will you sell per five minute slot? Variability Will Be a Key Factor in Waiting Time Why variability does not always average itself out Buffer-or-suffer strategy Buffering is easier in production settings than in services (make to order vs make to stock) Two different models: Queue and Newsvendor Difference Between Make-to-Order and Make-to-Stock McDonald’s 1. Make a batch of sandwiches 2. Sandwiches wait for customer orders 3. Customer orders can filled immediately Sandwich waits for customer Subway 1. Customer orders 2. Customer waits for making of sandwich 3. Customer orders can filled with delay Customer waits for sandwich Which approach is better? Make-to-Stock advantages include: + Scale economies in production + Rapid fulfillment (short flow time for customer order) Make-to-Order advantages include: + Fresh preparation (flow time for the sandwich) + Allows for more customization (you can’t hold all versions of a sandwich in stock) + Produce exactly in the quantity demanded Examples of Demand Waiting for Supply Service Examples ER Wait Times: 58-year-old Michael Herrara of Dallas died of a heart attack after an estimated 19 hours in the local Hospital ER Some ER’s now post expected wait times online / via Apps It takes typically 45 days do get approval on a mortgage; Strong link between wait times and conversion Waiting times for drive-through at McDonald’s: 159 seconds; Long queues deter customers to join Production Examples • Buying an Apple computer • Buying a Dell computer Make-to-order vs Make-to-Stock http://www.minyanville.com/businessmarkets/articles/drive-thrus-emissions-fast-food-mcdonalds/5/12/2010/id/28261 Five Reasons for Inventory Pipeline inventory: you will need some minimum inventory because of the flow time >0 (Little’s Law) Seasonal inventory: driven by seasonal variation in demand and constant capacity (dismatching between supply and demand) Cycle inventory: economies of scale in production (purchasing drinks) (created due to a cost motivation) Safety inventory: buffer against demand (Mc Donald’s hamburgers), especially for the stochastic demand. Decoupling inventory/ buffers: buffers between several Source: De Groote internal steps Process Analysis Multiple flow units The two most common complications of multiple flow units are: (1)The flow of the unit moving through the process breaks up into multiple flows. (2)There are multiple types of flow units, representing different customer types or product mix. Implied utilization =Capacity requested by demand(workload)/Available capacity Processes with Multiple Flow Units Foreign Dep. m=2 20 min/app Contact faculty/ other persons Foreign acc. 3 cases per hour Regular 11 cases per hour 4 cases per hour EZ form File m=1 File 3 min/app Department Contact prior m=3 employers 1 15 min/app Department Benchmark gradesm=2 8 min/app 2 Print invoice m=1 Confirmation 2 min/app letter Approach 1: Adding-up Demand Streams Unlike utilization, implied utilization can exceed 100 percent The fact that a resource has an implied utilization above 100 percent does not make it the bottleneck. The bottleneck is the resource where the implied utilization is the highest. It is important to keep in mind that in the case of a capacity expansion of the process, it might be worthwhile to add capacity to these other resources as well, not just to the bottleneck. Approach 2: A Generic Flow Unit (“Minute of Work”) Demand can be expressed in terms of number of “Minute of Work” it requests from the resource. Steps for Basic Process Analysis with Multiple Types of Flow Units For each resource, compute the number of minutes that the resource can produce 2. Create a process flow diagram, indicating how the flow units go through the process 3. Create a table indicating how much workload each flow unit is consuming at each resource 4. Add up the workload of each resource across all flow units. 5. Compute the implied utilization of each resource as Implied utilization = Result of step 4/(result of step 1) 1. The resource with the highest implied utilization is the bottleneck Note: you can also find the bottleneck based on calculating capacity for each step and then dividing the demand at this resource by the capacity