[Draft Book Chapter] South Asia in transition: India-Sri Lanka relations in the twenty-first century Arijit Mazumdar, PhD Assistant Professor of Political Science University of St. Thomas, MN Minnesota International Relations Colloquium (MIRC) University of Minnesota Minneapolis, MN October 8, 2012 1 South Asia in transition: India-Sri Lanka relations in the twenty-first century Abstract: Although India’s relations with the other countries of the South Asian region have been the subject of study for decades most of these studies have been limited to exploring single-issue areas. In addition, they do not address recent developments like the impact of India’s economic rise, developments such as 9/11 and the democratic transitions in several countries in the region. As a result, they present an incomplete picture of India’s relations with these countries. The purpose of this chapter is to provide a comprehensive overview of India’s relations with its South Asian neighbor Sri Lanka in light of these recent developments. Introduction South Asia is assuming increasing importance in world politics in the post-Cold War era. Its significance has grown considerably since 9/11. It is host to one of the world’s most intractable bilateral disputes, the India-Pakistan conflict over Kashmir. It has a substantial Muslim population residing in Pakistan, Bangladesh and India. It has embraced economic liberalization programs leading to stronger links with the rest of the world. Finally, its biggest country India is the world’s largest democracy, the second-most populous country in the world, a nuclear weapons state with one of the world’s largest military force and the third largest economy in the world after the US and China in terms of GDP (PPP). By virtue of its size and population, India enjoys a position of regional dominance. Since its independence, India’s goals visà-vis South Asia have included: (1) maintenance of regional supremacy & stability, (2) denying extraregional actors a military foothold in South Asia, and (3) peaceful settlement of conflicts within the region through talks between the domestic actors involved (Sen Gupta 1983: 20). India has displayed a willingness to undertake coercive action whenever it felt that outside actors threatened its influence or regional stability was threatened. Examples include: military intervention in East Pakistan (Bangladesh) in 1971, annexation of Sikkim in 1975, embargo on Nepal during 1989-90 and peace-keeping operations in Sri Lanka during 1987-90. Given India’s size, power and actions its smaller neighbors are understandably apprehensive and suspicious of India’s intentions. As a result of these two factors, India’s relations with its South Asian neighbors (i.e., Pakistan, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal) have been affected by several disputes and problems. India’s relations with Pakistan have been marked by conflict and mistrust since the two countries became independent in 1947. The dispute over the status of Kashmir is the major sticking point in relations between the two countries. In recent times, there have been renewed efforts to 2 arrive at a settlement on the most important disputes between the two sides, including Kashmir. The transition from military to civilian rule in Pakistan in 2008 represent a new chapter in India’s relations with Pakistan. However, impediments to peace continue to exist. Afghanistan has long been treated as a country that is not part of South Asia. However, it is impossible to understand India’s relations with South Asia, especially Pakistan, without reference to Afghanistan. Over the past few decades, India had only limited influence in Afghanistan. In the aftermath of the fall of the Taliban regime in Afghanistan, India has tried to raise its profile in the country by increasing contacts at both the official and civilian levels in order to promote its interests there. Its primary goal in Afghanistan is to undercut Pakistan’s influence over the nascent regime, which has contributed to increasing tensions between the two rivals. The independence of Bangladesh in 1971 was hailed in India as the birth of a secular, friendly ally on its eastern border. However, celebrations soon became muted as India’s relations with the country rapidly deteriorated in the background of disputes involving water sharing, illegal influx of Bangladeshis into India and Bangladesh’s alleged support to insurgents groups active in north-eastern India. Today, these issues continue to affect relations between India and Bangladesh as the latter attempts to consolidate representative democracy based on multi-party elections. Recent political changes in Bangladesh and developments in the region provide an opportunity for the two countries to address bilateral issues bedeviling relations. Nepal has been witness to dramatic developments during the past decade including a civil war, usurpation of political authority by the monarchy, abolishment of monarchy and restoration of democratic rule and subsequent political impasse associated with the process of writing a new constitution. These developments have been anxiously watched by India. Although a friendship treaty between India and Nepal sets the basis for a unique political and economic relationship, Nepal’s attempts to pursue an independent and neutral foreign policy has created tensions with its larger southern neighbor (Garver, 1991). India’s overt and covert attempts to influence the political developments in Nepal have frequently drawn the ire of Nepalese nationalists. India faces many challenges in attempting to build a new relationship with Nepal as the latter attempts to create a stable democracy. Finally, India’s relations with its southern neighbor Sri Lanka have been primarily conducted under the shadow of the two-decade long civil war in that country (Bose 1994). The conflict has strained relations between the majority Sinhalese community and the minority Tamil community of Sri Lanka. The main 3 parties to the conflict included the Sinhalese-dominated Sri Lankan government and the rebel Tamil Tigers, who were fighting for self-determination for the Tamil community. After its failure to enforce a peace agreement between the two sides during the late-1980s, India has consistently rejected calls for intervention and mediation. The ethnic strife in Sri Lanka has harmed regional peace and stability. The end of the civil war provides an opportunity for India and Sri Lanka to take their relationship to a new level. Although India’s relations with the other countries of the South Asian region have been the subject of study for decades, most of these studies have been limited to exploring single-issue areas and do not discuss the impact of recent developments on India’s relations with other South Asian countries (Chiriyankandath 2004; Grover 2001; Hilali 2001; Mehta 2009; Mohan 2004; Pant 2008; Tanham 1992; Thornton 1992). These developments include India’s economic rise, developments like 9/11 and the recent democratic transitions in several countries across the region. This chapter focuses on Sri Lanka. The goal of this chapter is to answer the three-fold research question: What is the nature of the relationship between India and Sri Lanka? What patterns are observed in the historical interactions between India and Sri Lanka? Has India’s economic rise and developments such as 9/11 and the recent political transition in Sri Lanka affected the nature of the relationship and altered the historical patterns of interactions? Sri Lanka: A Brief History Britain granted Ceylon (Sri Lanka) independence in 1948, a year after India and Pakistan gained their independence. The transfer of power was relatively peaceful compared to the violent events surrounding the Partition of British India. During the first two decades after independence, Sri Lanka maintained its erstwhile links with Britain, inheriting the British Westminster model of government, adopting English as the official language, maintaining dominion status and signing a bilateral defense agreement. Apart from India, Sri Lanka is the only country in South Asia that has a long tradition of civilian governments directly elected by the people. However, the poor treatment of the island’s minority Tamil community at the hands of the majority Sinhalese community has tarnished Sri Lanka’s claims of being a representative democracy (Embree 1997). It has strained relations between the Sinhalese, who are primarily Theravada Buddhists and the Tamils, who are primarily Hindus. The Tamils residing in the island’s north and central provinces, have long complained of being treated as ‘second-class’ citizens. Using their numerical majority, the Sinhalese created a unitary state that was pro-Sinhalese and pro-Buddhist, while systematically ignoring the 4 legitimate political, social and economic grievances of the Tamils (Bose 1994). Political exclusion and a deepening sense of alienation felt by the Tamils within the country ultimately led to a brutal and destructive civil war beginning in 1983 and lasting until 2009. The civil war ended in the defeat of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) or Tamil Tigers who were fighting for an independent state for the Tamils of Sri Lanka. As fighting intensified, Sri Lanka’s closest neighbor India intervened in the conflict in 1987. Home to more than 50 million Tamils at the time, India had an important stake in the ongoing conflict on the island. India was also unhappy about Sri Lanka seeking military assistance and training from extraregional actors, like the US, China and Israel during the civil war (Kodikara 1995). Ultimately, it was able to pressure Sri Lanka to call off its military offensive against the Tamil Tigers and offer a political package, which included the devolution of power to the Tamils in the northeast. In order to facilitate the peace process it offered to send an Indian Peace-keeping Force (IPKF) to the island. However, the IPKF soon became engaged in a firefight with the Tamil Tigers, who refused to disarm. India’s actions against the Tamil Tigers upset the Tamils in both India and Sri Lanka. Sinhalese nationalists were also unhappy with India’s unwelcome intervention in what they regarded was Sri Lanka’s internal affairs. Taking advantage of this nationalist sentiment, the Marxist-Leninist Janatha Vimukti Peramuna (JVP) launched an armed struggle against the Sri Lankan state, plunging the country into further instability. Previously, the JVP had launched a failed insurrection in 1971. This time too, the government was able to subdue the JVP. Today, the JVP is a legitimate political party, which has participated in democratic elections. In March 1990, the deeply unpopular IPKF was withdrawn having failed to enforce the peace. Following this debacle, India consistently rejected calls emanating from the island for intervention and mediation to bring the conflict to an end. Bilateral relations were strained during much of the 1990s. Tamil Nadu-based political parties also pressured successive central governments in India to limit ties with Sri Lanka. However, relations have improved substantially over the past decade due to the burgeoning economic relations between the two countries. The end of the civil war is an opportunity for India to deepen its engagement with Sri Lanka and push for national reconciliation. New economic linkages, political transition in Sri Lanka and greater US interest in the South Asian region, including Sri Lanka, provide India with the opportunity to further consolidate its relationship with Sri Lanka. Following a background section highlighting political developments in Sri Lanka, this paper attempts to examine these three new developments that have the potential to reshape ties between the two countries. 5 India-Sri Lanka Relations: Background The Sinhalese, who constitute 74% of the total population, and Tamils, who constitute 18% of the total population, are the two major ethnic communities in Sri Lanka.1 The other prominent community, the Moors (7%), trace their lineage to the early Arab traders who settled in Sri Lanka prior to the sixteenth century. They are Muslims, who primarily speak Tamil even though they are not ethnically Tamils. Sinhala (official and national language) is spoken by 74% of the population, while Tamil (official and national language) is spoken by 18% of the population. Buddhism (65%) and Hinduism (15%) are the major religions. There are also a sizeable number of Muslims living on the island. Neither the Sinhalese nor the Tamils are indigenous to Sri Lanka. The ancient Buddhist chronicles, Dipavamsa and Mahavamsa, claim that the Sinhalese are descendants of Prince Vijaya and his followers who arrived on the island during the 5th century BCE from West Bengal, India (DeSilva 1981). The first Tamil speakers are also believed to have arrived in Sri Lanka around the same time. The indigenous people of the island, the Veddas, have largely been assimilated over time. Sri Lanka saw a succession of Sinhalese and Tamil kingdoms until the arrival of the Portuguese in the sixteenth century CE. The Portuguese established their control in the coastal areas and aggressively proselytized the locals (Little 1994: 11-12). They were replaced by the Dutch during the seventeenth century CE, who controlled the coastal areas and some interior regions. The Dutch were in turn replaced by the British during the end of the eighteenth century CE. Sri Lanka was then known as Ceylon. The Crown assumed direct control of the island in 1802. The British extended their rule throughout the island finally defeating the Kingdom of Kandy, which was the last Sinhalese stronghold, in 1815. They ruled the island until its independence in 1948. The roots of the ethnic conflict in modern Sri Lanka may be traced back to the colonial period. The British colonial administration did not hide its belief in the superiority of Western culture and tradition. English replaced Sinhala as the language of government and commerce. The island’s Buddhist Sangha (community) believed that British colonial rule had broken the traditional links between Buddhism and the State (Little 1994). Ancient myths and colonial-era resentment contributed to a Buddhist revival movement in Ceylon. Beginning in the 1860s, anxiety about the future of Buddhism on the island led some Buddhist leaders, like Anagarika Dharmapala, to respond aggressively to the spread of Western ideas and religion. The movement fostered an ethnic consciousness among the island’s majority community. The leaders argued that Sri Lanka was the last bastion of Buddhism in South Asia and it was up to Sinhalese to don the mantle of ‘defenders of the faith’. Buddhism soon became an integral part of 6 modern Sinhalese nationalism. Even today, Buddhist monks are actively involved in politics through parties like the Jathika Hela Urumaya (JHU) (Deegalle 2004). The revival movement also portrayed Sinhalese and Tamils as adversaries locked in power struggle throughout their history. The expansion of South Indian Tamil kingdoms into Sri Lanka and ancient tales of heroic battles fought by the Sinhalese against Tamil rule were used to justify the argument that Sinhalese culture had always been under threat. Many Buddhist leaders alleged that Tamils were receiving preferential treatment from the British government. They were over-represented within the lower rungs of the colonial administration, despite their minority status. This was because the Tamils were more receptive to Western education and their knowledge of English (as a result of attending missionary schools) helped them secure positions in the colonial administration. Cultural insecurity, loss of privileges and Tamil success angered many Sinhalese (Kaplan 2010; Sabhlok 2002). The import of Indian Tamils by the British government during the nineteenth and twentieth century, to work as indentured laborers on the tea and rubber plantations of central Sri Lanka, made Sinhala nationalists and Buddhists even more anxious that they would one day become a minority on the island. Despite these developments, educated middle-class Sinhalese and Tamils united under the banner of the Ceylon National Congress (CNC) to seek constitutional reforms from the British. The CNC was established in 1919 under the leadership of Tamil leader Ponnambalam Arunachalam. However, as time progressed, differences between the Sinhalese and Tamil communities complicated matters. The Tamils favored communal representation, while the Sinhalese favored territorial representation. In 1931, the Donoughmore Commission set up by the British ushered in constitutional reforms in Sri Lanka. The Commission created a new constitution that remained in force from 1931-1947. The constitutional reforms repudiated the demands of communal representation, established universal franchise on the island and created a new State Council to replace the existing legislative council. Following these reforms, it was inevitable that the Sinhalese community had the largest number of representatives in the State Council. The insecurity regarding their status led some Tamils to establish the All-Ceylon Tamil Congress (ACTC) in 1944, under the leadership of G.G. Ponnambalam. The ACTC demand equal representation in the State Council, which was rejected by the British. During the same year, the Soulbury Commission was established to carry out a second set of constitutional reforms. Britain accepted a draft constitution submitted by the D.S. Senanayake-led Board of Ministers (who were members of the State Council) (Wilson 1999). This later became the constitution of the independent country of Ceylon in 1948. Ceylon inherited a set of majoritarian institutions from the British: a 7 Parliament with a bicameral legislature and single-member district plurality electoral system. It lacked substantive minority guarantees. The issue of minority rights was to be settled through talks between the leaders of the two communities once the British left. The first government of Sri Lanka was headed by D.S. Senanayake, the leader of the center-right United National Party (UNP), which had a majority in Parliament. It did not take long for Sinhalese nationalists to assert their dominant status. In 1948, the new Parliament passed the controversial Ceylon Citizenship Act, which denied citizenship rights to over 700,000 Indian Tamils making them stateless. These Tamils had been brought to work on tea and rubber plantations. The Sinhalese believed that this action would correct the ethnic imbalance on the island. However, it caused much anguish among the Sri Lankan Tamils. Later, the government reached an agreement with India to repatriate a limited number of Tamils to India. The failure of the ACTC to prevent this action led to a section of its members breaking away to form the Illankai Tamil Arasu Kachchi (ITAK) or the Federal Party. The Federal Party, under the leadership of S.J.V. Chelvanayakam, demanded a federal system in the country with constitutional protection for Tamil language. However, Sinhalese nationalists were in no mood to concede to the demands of the Tamils. In 1956, Solomon Bandaranaike’s center-left Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP) won the elections. The SLFP had never been happy with the 1948 Soulbury Constitution, claiming that it was imposed by the British on Ceylon. Fulfilling its election pledge, it passed the Sinhala Only Act in 1948, which declared Sinhala as the sole official language of Ceylon. English would no longer be the official language of the country as it was deemed to be a remnant of Ceylon’s colonial past (DeVotta 2005). The declaration of Sinhala as the official language was welcomed by the Sinhalese nationalists and Buddhist leaders. However, this action further alienated the Tamils. Their language had yet to receive official status and English was no longer the ‘bridge’ language. In 1972, a new constitution was adopted, which changed the name of the island to Sri Lanka and declared it a republic with a unicameral legislature. At the same time, Buddhism was accorded a special status in Sri Lanka. Although freedom of religion was recognized, the State was supposed to take an active interest in supporting Buddhism and Buddhist institutions. During the 1970s, affirmative action policies favoring the entry of Sinhalese in colleges and universities across the country further served to anger the Tamils. The lack of concern on the part of the government for their plight increased ethnic tensions within Sri Lanka. 8 Frustrated by Sinhalese obduracy, a group of Tamil parties (including the ACTC and the Federal Party) established the Tamil United Liberation Front (TULF) in 1976. During the same year, a separatist, militant organization known as the LTTE was established, under the leadership of Velupillai Prabhakaran. Both organizations, representing moderate and extremist elements, demanded an independent state for the Tamils of Sri Lanka. However, while the TULF favored negotiations with the Sinhalese leadership, the LTTE believed that only by resorting to violence could the dream of an independent state be achieved. The Tamil Tigers began attacking not only attacking government forces and Sinhalese citizens, but also Tamil civilians who disagreed with their policies and tactics. Members of the moderate Tamil political parties, including TULF, were also attacked by the Tamil Tigers. It was not long before the Tamil Tigers were able to suppress opposition within the Tamil community and claim that they were the sole representatives of the Tamil people. After 1977, India-Sri Lanka relations worsened as Sri Lanka, under President Jayewardene, began to actively engage with the West. This represented a threat to India’s regional hegemony. In order to put pressure on Sri Lanka, India allowed the LTTE to set up training camps in Tamil Nadu. Indian intelligence agencies provided training and logistical support to the LTTE. Pressure exerted by its own domestic Tamil constituency was also responsible for India’s support to the LTTE. In 1978, Sri Lanka transitioned from a Parliamentary system to a Semi-Presidential system.2 The UNP, under the leadership of J.R. Jayewardene, used its two-third electoral majority in Parliament to make this change possible. Arguing that the previous system was flawed, a new constitution was drafted for the country by the government. The new political system was characterized by a strong executive, having the power to appoint a Prime Minister and his cabinet from the majority party in Parliament. A proportional representation electoral system replaced the single-member district plurality electoral system. The new constitution created an even more centralized system. In the event that the President came from the same party that had a majority in Parliament, he/she could easily control Parliament. The President could control members of his/her party, through powers to nominate and remove members from Parliament. He/she could also dissolve Parliament and call for fresh elections. This intense concentration of power at the Center was completely at odds with Tamil demand for the decentralization of power (Wilson 1999). In July 1983, following a Tamil Tiger ambush in which thirteen Sri Lankan soldiers died, Sinhalese mobs went on a four-day rampage against Tamil civilians across the country. Hundreds of Tamils died in countrywide rioting between 23-26 July, while thousands fled the country. The riots came to be described as ‘Black July’. The authorities were slow to respond to the riots, which led many Tamils to allege that 9 there was some degree of collusion between the government and the rioters (Kumaratanga 1996). Black July was the immediate trigger for the civil war that was to engulf the country for the next 26 years. The LTTE was able to wage its armed struggle through the financial support of the Tamil diaspora settled in the US, Canada, UK, Australia and Scandinavian countries (La 2004; Fair 2005). The Tigers also indulged in weapons smuggling, human trafficking, money laundering and provided assistance to other insurgent groups around the world. The primary reason for the descent into civil war was the intense ethnic polarization within the country due to the treatment of Tamils (Adeney and Wyatt 2004; Bose 2004; DeVotta 2005; Embree 1997; Kumaratunga 1996). Sinhalese politicians often competed with each other in projecting a hawkish position towards the Tamil issue. Aggressive and uncompromising stands during campaigning were rewarded by votes from the electorate. The majority community had used its dominant position to marginalize the minority community. Political institutions within the country favored the Sinhalese, disregarding minority interests. This undermined minority confidence in the institutions and eroded their faith in democracy. No unifying idea of Sri Lankan nationhood emerged. In such an environment, mobilization along ethnic lines was natural. In South Asia, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka face similar problems with majoritarian institutions, but ethnic polarization in the latter has complicated the problem and led to violent conflict.3 The Sinhalese believe that despite their majority status on the island, they are in fact a minority when compared to the Tamils. This is because of the presence of more than seventy million Tamils in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu. A complex mix of history, religion and ethnicity pushed the country towards civil war. The LTTE was the result of the frustration felt by the younger generation of Tamils, who had suffered socio-economic discrimination and political exclusion at the hands of the Sinhalese-dominated polity (Embree 1997). Black July demonstrated that Tamils could never expect to be treated fairly by the Sinhala-dominated government. Only an independent state of their own could protect their nation. Violence appeared to be the only means to achieve this objective. The first phase of the Sri Lankan civil war began in 1983. Many Tamils fled to India where they were housed in government-run camps. By June 1987, Sri Lankan government forces had closed in on the main Tamil Tiger stronghold in Jaffna peninsula in the north. Many Tamil civilians were in danger of being caught in the crossfire between government forces and the Tamil Tigers. Faced with the possibility of a humanitarian crisis, the Indian government requested the Sri Lankan government to halt military operations. India was already concerned about the fact that Sri Lanka had drawn progressively closer to 10 the West during the 1980s and even invited military and intelligence personnel from other countries to advise its security forces during the civil war. However, bolstered by domestic support for the successful offensive, Jayewardene refused to order a ceasefire. When India sent relief supplies through transport ships, they were blocked by the Sri Lankan navy. Exasperated, Rajiv Gandhi’s government authorized the Indian Air Force (IAF) to air drop supplies into the besieged town of Jaffna. This blatant violation of Sri Lanka’s sovereignty forced Jayewardene to halt military operations and request talks with the Indian government. The two countries signed the Indo-Sri Lankan accord in July 1987 (See Appendix A). Under the terms of the agreement, the Sri Lankan government would enter into talks with the Tamil Tigers aimed at establishing a permanent ceasefire, devolve powers to provincial councils, merge the northern and eastern provinces (subject to a national referendum) and grant official status to the Tamil language. These measures would be incorporated into the thirteenth amendment to the Sri Lankan constitution (Bajoria 2009). In an exchange of letters, the Sri Lankan government also agreed to consult India prior to inviting foreign military personnel to advise/train its security forces and assured it that extra-regional actors would not be allowed to establish a military foothold in Sri Lanka (See Appendix B). In return, India would end its support to the Tamil Tigers and send the IPKF to help disarm the Tamil militant groups, including the LTTE. However, the IPKF failed in its mission to enforce the peace. Both the Sinhalese and Tamil community were unhappy about India’s growing involvement in Sri Lanka. Ultimately the troops were withdrawn in March 1990 by the new government that came to power in India. In May 1991, a female Tamil suicide bomber assassinated Rajiv Gandhi in Sriperumbudur, Tamil Nadu, India during election campaigning. India listed the LTTE as a terrorist organization in 1992. Others, including the US (1997), UK (2000) and Canada and the EU (2006) have done the same. India’s declaration meant that it could not serve as a neutral third party to facilitate talks between the Sri Lankan government and LTTE in later years. Hence, it was not in favor of becoming directly involved in the peace process in Sri Lanka during 2002-06. The thirteenth amendment to the constitution was meant to be a blueprint of a political settlement in Sri Lanka. Although it was passed by the Sri Lankan parliament in November 1987, the amendment was not fully implemented and Sinhalese nationalists have long called for its repeal. Although completed, there was no nationwide referendum to approve the merger of the northern and eastern provinces. In 1990, following a motion in the council calling for an independent Tamil state (Eelam), President Ranasinghe Premadasa dissolved the northeastern provincial council and imposed central rule on the province. In 11 October 2006, the country’s Supreme Court ruled Jayewardene’s proclamations enabling the ‘temporary’ merger of the northern and eastern provinces null and void. In January 2007, the government de-merged the North and East. Over the years, talks between successive Sri Lankan government and LTTE failed to bring an end to the violence. Each side blamed the other for refusing to compromise. During her second term, President Chandrika Kumaratunga invited the Norwegian government to facilitate talks between the two warring sides. The process began in 2002 but lack of progress forced the Norwegians to withdraw in 2006. President Mahinda Rajapakse, who came to power in 2005, led Sri Lanka during the last phase of the conflict. The civil war finally came to an end in May 2009 with the military defeat of the LTTE and the death of Prabhakaran, but not before several thousand Tamil civilians died in the final days of fighting. New Trends and Transformations Rajapakse came to power through the support of the JHU and the JVP. A nationalist hardliner, he soon advocated a military solution to the Tamil insurgency. Currently, Rajapakse is basking in the glory of the victory over the LTTE. The international community is trying to persuade the government to respond to the historical grievances of the Tamils but the government has shown little inclination to do so. What is unmistakable though is that Sri Lanka is a country in transition. The end of the civil war is an opportunity for India to deepen its engagement with Sri Lanka and push for national reconciliation. Following the IPKF debacle, India decided to adopt a ‘hands-off’ policy to the conflict on the island. Later, through trade and investment, India has attempted to rebuild relations. New economic linkages, political transition and greater US interest in the South Asian region provide India with the opportunity to further consolidate its relationship with Sri Lanka. The focus of this section is to examine the new developments that have the potential to reshape ties between the two countries. Economic Linkages Sri Lanka has been witness to the longest civil war in South Asia. The experience of countries that have been affected by civil war during the Cold War period suggests that domestic conflicts have a very destructive impact on economic development. However, Sri Lanka appears to be an anomaly in this regard. The average annual growth rate during the civil war (1983-2009) was about 4.86% (World Bank 2012). Since its independence, Sri Lanka has achieved remarkable success on most human development indices. Successive governments have wisely invested in education and healthcare (Pradhan 2001). Today, Sri Lanka has a better record in human development than its larger neighbor India. The civil war did not appear to have a substantial impact on the economy. Trade with the international community has 12 expanded in recent times. India and Sri Lanka have seen a substantial increase in bilateral commercial relations over the past two decades. The civil war did not hamper growth of trade ties between the two countries. Trade between the two countries can be traced back to ancient times. During the colonial period, British India and Ceylon traded with each other but the nature of trade revolved around the requirements of Empire and the needs of the colonial power (Weerakoon and Thennakoon 2006). After independence, both India and Sri Lanka adopted inward-looking economic policies. Both countries engaged in limited trade with each other. Like many other post-colonial countries, India and Sri Lanka wanted to achieve a degree of self-reliance. Socialist policies were implemented and the government was to play a major role in the management of the economy. The public sector would be the engine of growth. Through the use of import-substitution industrialization (ISI) strategies the two countries hoped to develop their economies. However, economic growth stalled by the mid-1970s. The limitations of ISI forced a rethink among the Sri Lankan elite regarding their autarkic economic policies. In 1977, under the leadership of Jayewardene, Sri Lanka became the first country in South Asia to embark on the path of economic liberalization. The economic liberalization policies included opening up to foreign trade and investment, deregulation, privatization, reduction in currency controls and tax reforms. India was not entirely happy with the reorientation of the Sri Lankan economy. Sri Lanka’s greater economic engagement with the rest of the world was deemed a threat to India’s interests in South Asia. Although the economic policies it adopted resulted in lower domestic and foreign investment and limited trade with the West, India still persisted with ISI. Sri Lanka’s move towards an outward-oriented economy also created other problems for India. During the 1980s, there was a marked reduction in bilateral trade. Indian goods were less competitive compared to goods imported from the Far-East and South-East Asia. Also, Sri Lanka began to look to the West as markets for its exports (Weerakoon and Thennakoon 2006). The weakening economic links between the two countries during the 1980s contributed to the strain in political relations as well. Economic ties are therefore an important element in India’s relations with its neighbors. India could not leverage economic ties to persuade the Sri Lankan government to halt military operations in Jaffna Peninsula in 1987. The Sri Lankan establishment believed that its links with countries outside the region would provide the country some protection from Indian hegemony. Under the circumstances, India had to resort to coercion (violate Sri Lanka’s airspace) in order to convince Sri Lanka to halt the offensive. 13 India began its own economic liberalization program during the early-1990s. Trade between the two countries slowly began to pick up. In 1994, the countries of South Asia signed the South Asian Preferential Trade Agreement (SAPTA) to promote trade and economic cooperation in the region. However, the Sri Lankan business community was frustrated with the slow progress on implementing SAPTA measures. This was primarily due to the acrimonious relations between India and Pakistan and fear among some of the smaller regional countries that trade with India may destroy their economies. The Sri Lankan government and business community believed that there was scope for expansion of exports to India, beyond what was envisaged in SAPTA (Harilal and Joseph 1999). As a result, the two countries signed a bilateral free trade agreement (FTA) in December 1998. The FTA was implemented in March 2000. The FTA was meant to provide duty-free and duty-preferential access to goods produced in two countries. Import tariffs would be gradually eliminated over a period of eight years. India and Sri Lanka would both maintain negative lists to protect certain sensitive domestic industries. India had 429 items on the negative list, while Sri Lanka had 1180 items on its negative list. Each country would extend concessions/preferences to all other commodities. The FTA also articulated the Rules of Origin (ROO) content to ensure a minimum local content in goods being imported by a country. This was to avoid the prospect of third-party goods being imported through each other’s territory. However, the terms for Sri Lanka were liberal. Only 35% local content was sufficient (reduced to 25% if Indian content). There were also safety clauses that would protect certain domestic industries, especially the agricultural industry. Also, India agreed to relax tariffs on Sri Lanka’s major exports like textile items, tea and ready-made garments. India-Sri Lanka trade has grown in recent times (See Table 1). Both countries have benefitted from the FTA. India faces less competition from other countries in exporting to Sri Lanka due to its duty-free and duty-preferential access. India also hopes to demonstrate to the other countries of South Asia that economic linkages represent the basis for a strong relationship and it is possible for smaller countries to trade with India. At the same time, Sri Lanka benefits from its trade and association with the larger economy of India. Sri Lanka was able to export a number of products to the hitherto protected Indian market (Harilal and Joseph 1999). A number of Sri Lankan companies have successfully entered the Indian market. These companies sell industrial and commercial products like tea, biscuits, furniture, footwear, machinery, herbal products, etc. 14 Table 1: India-Sri Lanka Trade Statistics, 2006-2011 (in US$ million) S. no. Year Indian exports Indian to Sri Lanka Total trade India’s trade imports from balance Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 1. 2006-07 2,258.3 470.33 2,728.63 +1787.96 2. 2007-08 2,830.43 634.96 3,465.39 +2,195.47 3. 2008-09 2,425.92 356.57 2,782.49 +2,069.35 4. 2009-10 2,188.01 392.19 2,580.2 +1,795.81 5. 2010-11 4,039.90 501.73 4,541.62 +3,538.17 with Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Government of India, 2012 Most of the trade between the two countries has been in goods and not services. The bulk of India’s exports to Sri Lanka include petroleum products and transport equipment, while India imports tea, coffee, edible oil, spices and electrical machinery. India has emerged as one of the most important trading partner of Sri Lanka. It is the largest importer to Sri Lanka and among the top export destinations for Sri Lankan products. The trade pattern in goods has also changed since the signing of the FTA. Prior to the 1990s, agricultural products, food and beverages, cotton, machinery, etc. were the main Indian imports into Sri Lanka. In recent times, motor vehicles parts, mineral fuel, pharmaceutical and cement are the major imports. In 2010, India was Sri Lanka’s largest trading partner. It was the fourth largest export destination, constituting 5.5% of Sri Lanka’s total exports (Central Bank of Sri Lanka 2012). It is the largest importer of goods to Sri Lanka, constituting 19.1% of the latter’s total imports. The success of the FTA has encouraged the two countries to negotiate a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) to further boost trade in services and investment (Muralidhar Reddy 2008). Preliminary discussions between the two countries involve reducing the number of items on the negative list. India has offered to reduce the number of items on its negative list from 429 to 315, while Sri Lanka has offered to reduce the number of items on its negative list from 1180 to 1148. More sectors of the economy will be opened up for trade. The ROO criteria will be further relaxed. India will also remove non-tariff barriers (NTBs) like port restrictions, sales tax, laboratory testing, certification and phytosanitary regulations. There have been concerns expressed by some sections of the business community in Sri Lanka regarding the CEPA, which has slowed the progress of talks. Trade in services 15 and liberalization of investment regulations may harm some domestic sectors and companies. However, it is expected that these concerns will be addressed in the near future and the CEPA will be signed soon. Expansion of bilateral trade has also facilitated Indian investment in Sri Lanka. In 2010, India was the largest source of foreign direct investment (FDI) to Sri Lanka with $110 million (Central Bank of Sri Lanka 2011). Indian investors are eager to utilize Sri Lanka’s preferential duty access to Indian markets. India has emerged as one of the largest investors in Sri Lanka. Major investments are concentrated in the steel, cement, tourism and tourism-related infrastructure, information technology, telecom, textiles and garments, food products, rubber products, financial services and retail petroleum sectors. Majority of investment is in the services sector in Sri Lanka (Kelegama and Mukherji 2007). Indian companies like Indian Oil Corporation (through its Sri Lankan subsidiary Lanka Indian Oil Corporation), Apollo Hospitals, TATA group, CEAT, State Bank of India (SBI) and ICICI have a strong presence in Sri Lanka. More than 50% of Indian investments in South Asia are in Sri Lanka. Many of these companies make products in Sri Lanka which are then exported to India. Sri Lanka has emerged as both a destination for Indian products as well as a manufacturing center for Indian companies. In the ten years since the signing of the FTA, both bilateral trade and Indian investment in Sri Lanka have increased substantially (Daniel 2010). It is expected that the CEPA will further boost bilateral trade and Indian investment in the services sector of Sri Lanka. In the post-civil war period, India has provided development assistance to Sri Lanka (Weerakoon and Thennakoon 2006). The assistance includes infrastructure projects and humanitarian assistance. India has provided development credit for rail infrastructure in Sri Lanka. It is also undertaking the development of Kankesanthurai harbor and Jaffna airport, both in northern Sri Lanka. Improving electricity connectivity between the north and the rest of the country is another important project. It is also involved in small projects related to education, health and transport connectivity. On the humanitarian side, it has provided $110 million worth of family relief packs, emergency medical units, medicines, material to construct temporary housing for displaced persons, tractors and other machinery, agricultural implements and seeds and financing de-mining teams to help rebuild the north and east, which have been devastated by the civil war. It has also expanded the number of educational scholarships to Sri Lankan students to study in Indian colleges and universities. Tourism in Sri Lanka has received a huge boost as a result of closer ties between the two countries (Kelegama and Mukherji 2007). In 2011, Sri Lanka recorded its highest ever tourist arrivals of 855,975, an increase of over 30% compared to the previous year (Central Bank of Sri Lanka 2011). The largest 16 number of these arrivals was from India (171,374). The economic rise of India has led to the growth of a large middle class with disposable incomes, contributing to these high numbers. The decision of Sri Lanka to grant ‘visa-on-arrival’ to Indian tourists and a bilateral agreement to increase the number of flights from Indian cities to Sri Lanka has made it easier for Indians to travel Sri Lanka. The greater number of tourist arrivals has necessitated development of the tourism-related infrastructure. This has brought Indian investment in the hospitality sector and created jobs for locals. One of the few problems in the economic relationship involves the dispute over fishing by Indian trawlers in Sri Lankan northern waters. Over time, fishing stocks in the Indian territorial waters have become depleted, forcing Indian fishermen to venture deeper into Sri Lankan waters. In the past, the Sri Lankan navy and coast guard did not assert its rights to territorial waters. It was primarily concerned with tracking LTTE attack boats and supply ships rather than arresting Indians who had inadvertently crossed into its territorial waters to fish. Also, not many ships ventured out into these waters for fear of being attacked by LTTE attack boats. Sri Lankan fishing stocks are now under threat, forcing the Sri Lankan authorities and fishermen to pay more attention to the problem. In addition, the Sri Lankan government is keen to ensure that there is no resurgence of violence in the north and therefore carrying out intensive patrolling to interdict any LTTE vessels that may be carrying supplies to Jaffna peninsula. The intensive patrolling has posed problems for Indian fishermen. Mechanical failures or weather-related problems can sometimes take them accidently across into Sri Lankan territorial waters. There have been several instances of Indian fishermen being arrested by the Sri Lankan coast guard and naval authorities, including some instances of firing that has resulted in injuries and deaths. Most of the casualties happen to be from the state of Tamil Nadu across the Gulf of Mannar and Palk Bay. This has become an emotive issue for Tamil Nadu and the state government has asked the central government to demand a stop to such attacks. In response, both countries have established a Joint Working Group (JWG) on Fisheries to sort out the matter (Radhakrishnan 2011). Solutions include coordinated patrolling, installing GPS devices on fishing boats and talks between fishermen of the two countries. Good relations between the two countries have opened up the possibility to address thorny issues through diplomacy. Despite the economy’s steady growth during the civil war, the conflict did create problems for Sri Lanka’s economy. Lower investment, disruptions in trade and commerce and lower revenues from tourism were observed during the civil war period (Pradhan 2001). The militarization of the economy was inevitable. However, since the end of the war, even these challenges are no longer obstacles to Sri Lanka’s economic development. India is in a position to benefit from the improvement and re-orientation 17 of the Sri Lankan economy. Trade, investment and economic assistance to Sri Lanka are the backbone of the developing relationship. Indo-Sri Lankan bilateral economic ties represent an excellent model of how a larger country can develop a productive relationship with a smaller country. Regional integration in South Asia has been hampered by territorial disputes and insecurity about India’s intentions and actions. The bilateral relationship between India and Sri Lanka was not immune to such problems. However, the two countries have shown that it is possible to push aside contentious bilateral issues and work towards building a strong economic partnership. This in turn helps the two countries better understand each other’s concerns, fears and vulnerabilities. The ‘trust deficit’ is reduced and it is possible to address issues like the firing on Indian fishermen through talks, instead of passionate outbursts. It is no surprise that a downturn in bilateral relations accompanied weak economic relations between the two countries during the 1980s. President Jayewardene felt he could ignore India’s calls for halt in military operations in 1987 because a downturn in relations would not have a significant impact on Sri Lanka’s economy. Contrast this with India’s vote in favor of a US-sponsored resolution at the UN Human Rights Council (UNHRC) in Geneva, which called for Sri Lanka to investigate allegations of human rights abuses and war crimes during the last days of the civil war. Even though Sri Lanka railed against the West accusing it of interference in its internal affairs, its criticism of India was muted. It was clear that the Rajapakse government did not want to alienate an important economic partner like India. Today, even Sinhalese nationalists who were up in arms against Indian intervention in 1987 welcome India’s involvement in Sri Lanka. India’s prompt assistance to Sri Lanka during the 2004 Asian Tsunami also earned it the goodwill of the people. The perception of India as ‘big brother’ insensitive to Sri Lanka’s concerns is slowly disappearing. Economic linkages have contributed to the transformation of bilateral ties. Political Transition4 Fareed Zakaria (2007) has argued that democracies around the world may be classified according to ‘liberal’ or ‘illiberal’. He argues that democracy involves both the process of selection of government by the people and the tradition that seeks to protect the individual and/or minority groups from coercion by state, church or society. Illiberal democracies lack the latter quality. They are characterized by strong (elected) rulers, weak political parties, weak system of checks and balances and arbitrary use of power. It is a system in which the forces of communism, fascism, nationalism, religion and ethnicity threaten liberalism and use the democratic process to attain political power. The introduction of democracy in 18 divided societies with intense ethnic preferences forments conflicts because it is easy to mobilize people on the basis of identity, particularly because there is space available for indulging in this kind of mass politics. As mentioned before, Sri Lanka has a long tradition of civilian rule and representative democracy. However, Sri Lanka is not a model democracy. In fact, it is more accurate to use the term ‘illiberal democracy’ to describe the political system of the country. The high degree of centralization of power, executive dominance, state repression, long-standing deprivation of the country’s Tamil minority and systematic intimidation of opposition parties, ordinary citizens and media persons have posed questions about the quality of democracy in Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka has faltered in the task of state-building and nation-building because of a lack of unifying national identity. The unequal treatment of Tamils in the allocation of government resources and dominance of the government, bureaucracy and military by the Sinhalese has alienated the minority community (Embree 1997). The classification of Sinhalese as the ‘permanent majority’ and Tamils as the ‘permanent minority’ has polarized the country along ethnic lines. Discrimination on the basis of religion and language and weak redressal mechanism for grievances has worsened the problem. The legitimacy of the state in diverse societies depends upon its ability to accommodate this diversity by building a multi-layered identity for its citizens (Sabhlok 2002). The goal is to link the citizens of diverse groups with each other as well as link citizens with the state. However, the state in Sri Lanka has been fashioned by the interests and preferences of the majority group, without due consideration to minority groups. The imposition of a unitary Sri Lankan nationhood (based on Sinhalese aspirations and identity) has encouraged Tamil mobilization, which in turn has contributed to ethnic conflict. The orderly transfer of power without any violence and the adoption of democracy provided little indication that the country would be engulfed by civil war within a few decades. However, the limited constitutional safeguards for minority rights and the creation of a unitary and centralized state sowed the seeds of future conflict. The emergence of Sinhalese nationalism, supported by the masses and the Buddhist clergy during the 1950s contributed to insecurity among the Tamils. Adeney and Wyatt (2004) have claimed that if dominant groups create a political system in which all groups have the opportunity of effective representation then the process of democratic consolidation is easier. It is the responsibility of political parties to integrate the population by cutting across social cleavages. Unfortunately, this has not happened in Sri Lanka. In fact, far from articulating a unified 19 national ideology the two major political parties of the country, the UNP and SLFP, have competed with each other to prove to the electorate that they are the party capable of protecting the Sri Lankan nation (and Sinhalese-Buddhist interests). A majoritarian, exclusionary system has been perpetuated. There is consensus within the majority community regarding the identity of the state and no substantive guarantees are provided to the minority community (Imtiyaz and Stavis 2008). Political institutions have failed to fulfill their basic functions, i.e., encourage trust between groups and allow for effective representation of interests of different groups within society (DeVotta 2005). The majority community has usually disregarded minority interests and grievances. This is contrary to the arguments of democratic theorists that all stake-holders (including minorities) must be involved in the decision-making process before decisions become binding on them (Dahl 1989; Dryzek 1996; Young 2000). Even when the representatives of the majority community have promised to address the grievances of the Tamil community, they have backed down due to opposition from within the more militant sections of their own constituency. In addition, the electoral rules have also contributed to ethnic polarization. First, the proportional representation electoral system prevents any one party from emerging with a majority in Parliament. Fringe parties can play the role of ‘kingmaker’ in Sri Lanka through their support to one of the two larger parties within a coalition government. Ultra-nationalist and pro-Buddhist parties, who opposed any kind of concession to Tamils, play an important role in government formation. It is no surprise that under these circumstances, the larger political parties are not interested in antagonizing these groups for fear of losing power. Second, in the national elections, people choose not only a party but also candidates. Individual candidates from the same party sometimes run against each other. In order to set themselves apart, each candidate attempts to project a more hawkish stance on the question of Tamil rights. An environment of intense ethnic polarization provides incentives for politicians to engage in ‘ethnic outbidding’ (DeVotta 2005). During the long civil war within the country, the state imposed draconian laws to maintain public order. The colonial-era Public Security Ordinance and the Prevention of Terrorism Act (1978) provided security forces with broad powers to search, arrest, and detain suspects (Wedagedara 2011). The liberal use of these laws has tarnished Sri Lanka’s human rights record. They have been used not only against Tamil militants, but also suspected Tamil sympathizers, ordinary citizens (both Tamils and Sinhalese), media persons and opposition members. The declaration of a state of emergency in Sri Lanka in 1971 further eroded civil rights within the country. Although, the state of emergency was finally withdrawn in 20 September 2011, some of the emergency laws continue to be in force. Emergency laws have been retained and used to control/suppress political dissent. The recent attacks against protesting trade union workers and media personnel, allegedly by individuals connected to the regime, point to a disturbing trend. There have been several abductions and killings of opposition members and ordinary civilians since Rajapakse took over power (Kaplan 2010: 204-205). As such, Sri Lanka has seen the development of a weak democracy. Since the end of the civil war, there were hopes that the Rajapakse government would take steps to strengthen democracy within the country and initiate the process of national reconciliation by addressing historical Tamil grievances. However, there appears to be a drift towards greater authoritarianism in Sri Lanka instead of greater liberalization (Goodhand 2012). Rajapakse’s government has embarked on a program of political centralization and regime consolidation in Sri Lanka. Rajapakse’s SLFP-led United People’s Freedom Alliance (UPFA) government has an almost two-thirds majority in Parliament. In September 2010, it was able to pass the eighteenth amendment to the Constitution in Parliament, which removed the sentence that mentioned term limits for the President. It also proposed the appointment of a parliamentary council that would decide the appointment of independent posts like commissioners of election, human rights, and Supreme Court judges. This parliamentary council would work under the direction of the President giving him power over appointment of such officials.This ongoing process of centralization of power has been deemed necessary to address the enormous challenges associated with economic reconstruction and national reconciliation. The Rajapakse government believes that the roots of Tamil alienation lie in the absence of economic opportunities for young Tamils living in the north and east. In their opinion, the Tamil Tigers were terrorists and bandits, masquerading as freedom fighters. The Tamil question is an economic issue not a political problem. As such, the government has begun an economic reconstruction project in the north to prevent a resurgence of the militancy. It believes that this project will help it gain Tamil support. The Rajapakse government has made some concessions like conducting elections to choose members of the provincial council in the demerged Eastern province and the establishment of the Lessons Learnt and Reconciliation Committee (LLRC), but these measures have been largely limited in effecting political change within the country. The eastern provincial council created in 2008 lacks substantive powers, including jurisdiction over law and order and land rights. Three years after the end of the civil war there is still no provincial council in the Tamil-majority northern province. The LLRC was established to investigate allegations of human 21 rights violations by security forces and Tamil Tigers during the conflict, especially allegations that the military engaged in indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas in the final days of the civil war. These actions were believed to have led to the death of thousands of Tamils who were caught in the crossfire between the government forces and the Tamil Tigers. The LLRC report blamed the Tamil Tigers for the deaths of Tamil civilians accusing them of using the latter as human shields, while largely exonerating government forces. The report angered not only the Tamils but also the international community. Flush with success derived from the elimination of the Tamil Tigers, Rajapakse is at the height of his power. A new political dynasty, dominated by President Mahinda Rajapakse and his brothers Gotabhaya Rajapakse (retired army officer and current defense secretary), Basil Rajapakse (cabinet minister of economic development) and Chamal Rajapakse (speaker of Parliament), has emerged during the postcivil war period (Dukkipati and Schaffer 2010). The post-war economic boom and the end of the LTTE as an insurgent organization have led most Sinhalese to turn a blind eye to the curtailment of civil rights within the country. The majority seems to have accepted that certain repressive measures continue to be necessary to consolidate the gains made by the Government of Sri Lanka (GoSL) and to prevent the resurgence of violence within the country. The concentration of power in the hands of the Rajapakse family, a divided opposition, a fearful media and an apathetic citizenry has meant that any impetus for change has to come from outside the country. The slow progress in investigating allegations of deliberate shelling against Tamils during the last days of the civil war has earned Sri Lanka the ire of the international community. Donor countries have attempted to put pressure Sri Lanka to address this issue. In March 2012, the UNHRC adopted a US-sponsored resolution calling on the Sri Lankan government to take follow-up action on the LLRC recommendations regarding allegations of extra-judicial killings by security forces during the civil war, demilitarize the north and initiate the process of finding a political settlement to ensure lasting peace in Sri Lanka (Hariharan 2012). Previously, a UN advisory panel had submitted a report alleging that thousands of civilians caught in the crossfire perished during the last days of the civil war due to shelling by the Sri Lankan military. The UNHRC resolution passed with western countries and India supporting it, while China and Russia opposed it. The Sri Lankan government reacted strongly to what it called interference in its own affairs. The government claimed that Sri Lanka had already done quite a lot in terms of investigating human rights allegations. The government pointed out that it faced huge challenges in the north. The development of infrastructure, demining of large areas and the rehabilitation and resettlement of around 300,000 22 internally-displaced individuals (IDPs) were the priority (Samarasinghe 2009). The government had expected that the victory against the Tamil Tigers would be seen as a red letter day in the global war against terrorism. It felt that it had shown the international community how to wage against terrorism. As such, it was stung by western criticism of its human rights record. Anger was particularly directed against the West, while there was praise for China’s support to Sri Lanka. India’s support for the resolution came as a surprise to many. Some in Sri Lanka felt that domestic compulsions, i.e., pressure from Tamil Nadu-based political parties, including the government’s coalition partner the DMK, forced it to vote in favor of resolution (Radhakrishnan 2012). However, the reasons are not so simple. India wanted to see the demise of the LTTE because it felt that the organization was an impediment to reconciliation. However, the issue of Tamil security and political rights has always been of central concern to India (Jain 2010). It has favored the devolution of power to regional units within the framework of a united Sri Lanka. Unlike the Rajapakse government, India believes that the reconciliation process should not be delayed in favor of economic reconstruction. It is also not just a domestic problem of Sri Lanka since more than 100,000 Sri Lankan Tamils, who fled the civil war, continue to live as refugees in India. The Indian government had become increasingly frustrated by its failure to persuade the Rajapakse government to initiate a genuine process of reconciliation (Pattanaik 2012). The vote was a signal to Sri Lanka that although India understood the challenges that Sri Lanka faced, it would not tolerate Rajapakse’s efforts to sweep the issue under the carpet. In fact, India’s vote in favor of the resolution was not just out of concern about human rights violations but based on the belief that such a declaration would assist the process of reconciliation and facilitate dialogue in Sri Lanka (Sultana 2012). In addition, India was upset about the fact that despite promising that the thirteenth amendment to the Constitution would be the basis of national reconciliation, the government had done little to implement it. In fact, Rajapakse himself was talking about a vague ‘home-grown’ solution to the Tamil question (Dayaratne 2011). The government appeared to be appeasing ultra-nationalist and religious forces both inside and outside Parliament. It was not impressed by claims that the SLFP could not achieve a consensus among the parties in Parliament. The Rajapakse government had also refused to engage in substantive talks with the Tamil National Alliance (TNA), a coalition of Tamil parties, which India believed was the genuine representative of Tamil people in Sri Lanka. Finally, the support for the resolution was also meant to convey India’s displeasure at the slow progress of finalizing the CEPA. Nevertheless, India was able to successfully modify the language of the resolution so as not to offend Sri Lanka too much. Support to the resolution was consistent with India’s traditional stand on the ethnic conflict in Sri Lanka. 23 Sri Lanka has escaped the fate of countries like Pakistan and Bangladesh, by remaining a representative democracy even through the darkest days of the civil war. But Sri Lanka shows all the characteristics of an illiberal democracy. The civil war eroded civil rights and weakened democracy within the country. In the post-civil war period, India’s engagement with Sri Lanka is necessary in order to arrest the movement towards authoritarianism in Sri Lanka and another possible downturn in relations. Both the West and India have a shared interest in seeing peace and stability in Sri Lanka, and by extension the South Asian region. India has signaled that it would not turn a blind eye to the situation in Sri Lanka and expects that the government will relax emergency laws and effect genuine national reconciliation in Sri Lanka. The situation in Sri Lanka appears grim at present. However, there are reasons to be positive about the prospects of the development of a ‘liberal’ democracy in Sri Lanka. The increasing spotlight on nepotism and corruption under the Rajapakse government, media scrutiny regarding the government’s human rights record, western pressure, the end of the civil war, the participation of Tamil parties in national elections, the break-down of war-time alliance between Sinhalese parties and India’s insistence that national reconciliation become a priority for the Sri Lankan government are having a positive effect (Uyangoda 2010). The Indian government believes that the end of the civil war represents the best opportunity for Sri Lanka to not only work towards national reconciliation, but also address the challenges facing democracy within the country. In the past, the civil war adversely affected relations between the two countries. Even though there was some improvement during the 1990s, the scope of the relationship remained limited. Today, bilateral ties can finally be conducted free from the shadow of the civil war. Both countries are now in a position to pursue a comprehensive political, economic and security relationship, which was difficult during the civil war. India wants to see a united, democratic, peaceful and stable Sri Lanka, which is crucial for regional stability. In pursuit of this objective, India should continue to persuade Sri Lanka to undertake political liberalization and work towards addressing Tamil grievances. United States in South Asia During the Cold War, Sri Lanka was part of the non-aligned world and hence had limited interactions with the US. It did not loom large in US security calculations. With respect to South Asia, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India were priority states for the US during the Cold War. However, after economic liberalization during the late-1970s, Sri Lanka began to cultivate a strong relationship with the West, including the US. The US soon became an important export destination for its garment products. In 2011, 24 total bilateral trade amounted to $2.4 billion up 13.4% over the previous year (Office of the United States Trade Representative 2012). Sri Lanka enjoyed a positive trade balance with the US in 2011 as it exported $2.1 billion worth of goods, while importing $307 million worth of goods. In order to address the trade deficit, the US government is in the process of negotiating with the GoSL to reduce the high tariffs on US agricultural products, open the Sri Lankan market for agricultural biotechnology products, provide transparency in government procurement and enforce intellectual property rights. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from the US amounted to $130 million in 2010 (Office of the United States Trade Representative 2012). Greater market access for US companies is expected to lead to higher volumes of investment. The US government has provided development assistance through USAID and was one of the major contributors to the international tsunami aid in 2004. During the civil war, the US refused to supply lethal military weapons to the GoSL because of concerns regarding its human rights record and the fear that such weapons could cause more civilian casualties (Mumtaz 2004). In 1997, the US Department of State designated LTTE as a foreign terrorist organization. Following 9/11, the US and other western countries placed restrictions on the ability of the LTTE to raise funds through the Tamil diaspora. This factor was crucial in choking off arms and ammunition for the LTTE leading to its military defeat. Since Sri Lanka’s independence, the US has always supported the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the country. It wants to see a solution to the ethnic conflict within the framework of a united Sri Lanka. It has supported the reconstruction process in the island. It has encouraged the GoSL to take measures to resettle the IDPs of the civil war at the earliest. It has voiced its support for the process of ethnic reconciliation on the island. The US has also expressed concern about the continuing Sri Lankan military presence and lack of a functioning provincial council in the north. In recent times, the alleged human rights violations related to the final stages of the civil war have been of primary concern for the US (Vaughn 2011). Following the UN advisory panel report in 2011 calling for investigations into alleged war crimes committed by both the GoSL forces and the Tamil Tigers, the GoSL established the LLRC. However, the LLRC’s recommendations have yet to be implemented. Frustrated by the lack of progress on the issue, the US sponsored a resolution in the UNHRC calling upon the GoSL to implement the recommendations (Schaffer 2012). This action has strained bilateral relations. Rajapakse’s government suspects that the US wants to divide the island. For Sinhalese nationalists and Buddhist leaders, the actions of the US feed into the narrative that the majority community in the island is under siege. 25 Through the UNHRC resolution, western countries have indicated that there can be no reconciliation without accountability. A few have suggested an independent investigation into the allegations of human rights violations during the last days of the civil war. In July 2010, the EU suspended preferential treatment for Sri Lankan imports because the GoSL had yet to properly investigate human rights violations. The loss of the “Generalized System of Preferences (GSP)-plus” benefits would mean higher tariffs on imports from Sri Lanka, which are worth about $1.56 billion annually. Sri Lanka’s garment and fisheries industries would be hurt the most with some tariffs jumping from zero or near zero to as high as 18 percent (Bajaj 2010). The GoSL believes that economic development, not a political settlement will lead to lasting peace on the island (Schaffer 2012). It believes that the primary reason for the ethnic conflict is the lack of economic development in the northern and eastern provinces. Therefore, addressing the economic issues will reduce alienation among Tamils. Responding to political grievances is subordinate to the larger task of economic development. The GoSL is also aggrieved by US insistence on addressing the human rights and reconciliation issues. It believes that the US should be lauding Sri Lanka’s successful prosecution of its war on terrorism and would project it as a model for other countries. It finds it difficult to understand why the US would be voicing support for what it believes are pro-Eelam forces within the country. The Rajapakse government’s belligerence has strained relations with Western countries. Some countries have called for an independent investigation, but if the government continues to stonewall then there may even be calls for an international probe. The government cannot afford to be isolated by the international community, especially the US. The interests of the US and India coincide to a large degree with regard to Sri Lanka. In recent times, the US has recognized that India is a major player in South Asia and accepted its hegemony over the region (except when it comes to Pakistan). It has coordinated with India to achieve its objectives in South Asia, including Sri Lanka. It is dependent on India’s support to maintain pressure on the GoSL to address human rights concerns. It has attempted to articulate its concerns utilizing both bilateral and multilateral forums. Like India, the US has also supported the unity and territorial integrity of Sri Lanka but wants to see measurable progress in the reconciliation process and greater accountability regarding human rights. The US wants the GoSL to act with a sense of urgency to deal with the growing problems in the northern province. It is also concerned about the growing authoritarianism on the island and continuing attacks on media persons and journalists. It is concerned about the lack of access to individuals settled in government-run camps and the relatively slow process of their resettlement (Vaughn 2011). For the most 26 part, it has attempted to use quiet diplomacy, instead of public condemnation to encourage the GoSL to respond to its concerns. The US does not want to seem to be coercing Sri Lanka because this may alienate the populace. It wants to remain engaged in Sri Lanka and no let any single issue dominate the agenda. Sri Lanka has already suffered from the loss of the EU ‘GSP-plus’ treatment. It was in danger of losing the GSP trade benefits provided by US as well due to concerns about worker rights in Sri Lanka. However, following a review of practices in Sri Lanka in 2012 the Office of US Trade Representative declared that the government had made noteworthy efforts to address worker rights issues over the past few years. Apart from an interest in the human rights accountability, ethnic reconciliation and the resettlement and reconstruction process in the post-civil war period, the US is drawn to Sri Lanka because of its strategic location of the island in the Indian Ocean (Mumtaz 2004). Maritime trade routes between Persian Gulf and South-East Asia pass through Sri Lanka’s Colombo port. A majority of India’s imports from the Persian Gulf pass through Colombo port. In addition to India, China has also expanded its presence in Sri Lanka leading both the US and India to adopt a more conciliatory approach to Sri Lanka. The two countries fear that pushing Sri Lanka too hard on the issue of human rights violations and national reconciliation would be counter-productive since it would drive the country into the arms of China. Already, press reports in Sri Lanka have hailed China as a ‘true friend’ of the country for its vote against the UNHRC resolution (De Alwis 2010). In recent times, China has emerged as the largest supplier of military weapons and equipment to Sri Lanka (International Crisis Group 2011). During the civil war, China supplied fighter-aircrafts, air surveillance radars and anti-aircraft guns to Sri Lanka. When India refused to provide military aid to Sri Lanka, China stepped in to help Sri Lanka out. The GoSL has more than once expressed its gratitude for this support, even as India and the US refused to supply lethal weapons and equipment to it. China has enhanced its profile in Sri Lanka (Jain 2010: 149). Chinese cover allowed the GoSL to bring the civil war to a successful conclusion despite western pressure to halt the military offensive. After the civil war ended, China prevented the UNSC from considering a resolution regarding allegations of human rights violations by Sri Lankan forces (De Alwis 2010). It strongly opposed the UNHRC resolution in March 2012. China has provided development assistance to the island country in terms of grants and loans. In 2009, China emerged as the largest aid donor to Sri Lanka. It is an important trading partner and lender for Sri Lanka. Unlike the West, China did not tie the expansion of commercial relations to progress on human rights and political settlement. 27 China is engaged in rebuilding the infrastructure of the war-ravaged country. The primary hub of Chinese activity in Sri Lanka today is Hambantota port located in the south of the island (Das 2010). It is the closest port to commercial shipping routes between the Persian Gulf and South-East Asia. The Chinese government has sanctioned over $300 million for the development of the first phase of the project, which include building oil and gas terminals and berth and terminal facilities. China is believed to be interested in developing Hambantota port because it would provide refueling and docking facilities for Chinese merchant ships traveling along the shipping routes (Kaplan 2010: 195). However, Chinese involvement in this project has raised concerns in India. This project is seen as an essential element of China’s ‘string of pearls’ strategy that involves the development of ports across the South-East and South Asian region (Kaplan 2010). The Hambantota project appears similar to other Chinese port development projects like Gwadar (Pakistan), Chittagong (Bangladesh) and Sittwe and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar). Some sections of India’s strategic community believe that China is attempting to ‘encircle’ India through these projects and undermine its regional hegemony. Instead of serving as refueling and docking stations for merchant ships, these ports are expected to be utilized by the Chinese navy. India is also concerned about the possibility of the Chinese navy gaining access to Trincomalee harbor on the eastern side of the island. The harbor has been coveted by many foreign navies in the past because of its large size and all-weather access to all types of ships. Using the harbor as a base, any large navy could easily project force and monitor maritime traffic throughout the Indian Ocean. Growing Sri Lanka-China relations has accelerated India’s engagement with Sri Lanka. Fears about being ‘outflanked’ by the Chinese have forced India to pay greater attention to its South Asian neighbor. However, there is little reason for India to be excessively worried about Chinese influence in Sri Lanka. In reality, China has a legitimate interest in ensuring the security of its maritime trade routes to the Persian Gulf (Kaplan 2010). Although Chinese investment, equipment and personnel are helping develop Hambantota port, once the project is complete there will not be any Chinese presence. India needs to understand that unlike Afghanistan, Pakistan (through Pakistan-administered Kashmir), Nepal and Bhutan, Sri Lanka does not share a land border with China. It is thousands of miles away, with no direct road or rail access. As such, China’s influence on Sri Lanka would therefore be relatively limited (Hariharan 2012). Sri Lanka cannot afford to depend solely on China for its needs. India is after all the largest investor and trade partner. The Sri Lankan tourism sector is dependent on tourists arriving from India in large numbers. India is also the only neighbor of Sri Lanka. Unlike China, Sri Lanka and India share language, 28 ethnic and cultural ties, beyond commercial ties (Das 2010). In addition, the US and EU are important trading partners. Since Rajapakse’s government is interested in rebuilding Sri Lanka, support from India and the Western countries is crucial. It should be understood that China would also not want to unduly provoke India as its own commercial relations with that country are stronger than ever. China is India’s largest trading partner and as the relationship grows, it is expected that China will be mindful of India’s sensitivities regarding its regional interests. The US is also apprehensive about China’s growing influence in Sri Lanka. At present, the US is in the process of trying to persuade Sri Lanka to respond to its concerns. It has also declared support for the growth of a strong democracy in Sri Lanka. For India, US engagement in Sri Lanka serves to keep the pressure on the Rajapakse government to respond to human rights accountability and national reconciliation issues. In conjunction with the US, India hopes to persuade the Rajapakse government to reverse the recent trend of centralization of power in Sri Lanka. It also hopes that US engagement will help it to maintain influence in Sri Lanka and be a counter-weight to China. It is true that India is to some degree wary about growing US influence in South Asia, but since the regional interests of the two countries coincide to a large degree US presence has been welcomed. Both the US and India can work together to usher in change in Sri Lanka. The US could pressure Sri Lanka to respond to allegations of human rights violations and initiate a national reconciliation process, while India can appear supportive and sympathetic to Sri Lanka’s concerns (essentially both countries can play the ‘good cop/bad cop’ routine). A ‘carrot-and-stick’ approach may help bring about changes in Sri Lanka. However, both the US and India must take care not to marginalize or isolate Sri Lanka. As mentioned before, the GoSL could seek Chinese assistance to deflect pressure, but geographic and political realities will mean that whatever Chinese assistance that comes will be limited in nature. The US and India should understand that even if they don’t push Sri Lanka, the latter may still pursue greater engagement with China. As such, both the US and India should support the process of democratic consolidation in Sri Lanka. There is little possibility of alienating Sri Lanka because the latter would not want to jeopardize its traditionally close ties with the US and India. The two countries should support the emergence of a strong civil society in Sri Lanka. The strong state in the country can only be ‘balanced’ through an active civil society that can hold the government accountable. Ethnic reconciliation will be a slow process but the two countries should insist that Sri Lanka stay the course and not brush the issue under the carpet. 29 Reversing the process of centralization of power, assisting in reconstruction and rebuilding and initiating national reconciliation is necessary for India to develop a comprehensive relationship with Sri Lanka. The recent US involvement in Sri Lanka’s affairs is a positive development for India. It is expected to give a push to the Rajapakse government to reform. It would also be a hedge against greater Chinese influence in the South Asia region. Much like US involvement in other countries, its interactions with Sri Lanka are likely to produce changes within the domestic political system (not just democratic transition) of the country and assist in the process of re-orientation of India’s ties with its southern neighbor. Greater US engagement in Sri Lanka serves India’s interests through encouragement of national reconciliation, support for democratic norms, and controlling Chinese influence. This is expected to contribute to further growth in bilateral ties between India and Sri Lanka. Summary and Conclusion Since ancient times, India and Sri Lanka have shared deep cultural and economic ties. Dravidian culture and Buddhism spread to the island from India. Two distinct ethnic groups, the Sinhalese and Tamils have made the island home. Although there are records of historical battles between Sinhalese and Tamil kingdoms, the relationship between the two groups have been relatively cordial through the centuries. During the nineteenth century, a strong Buddhist revival movement and Sinhalese nationalism strained relations between the majority community and the Tamils. After independence, successive Sinhalesedominated governments implemented laws that favored the majority community, while ignoring the interests of the Tamils. The marginalization and frequent pogroms against Tamils set the stage for the civil war in Sri Lanka. After thousands of deaths, the twenty-six year-long war finally came to an end in 2009. Both India and Sri Lanka gained independence from the British around the same time. They inherited political institutions and democracy from the British. However, the paths of the two countries diverged significantly during the decades after independence. In Sri Lanka, the Tamils struggled to receive a fair treatment from the state. India could not remain immune to the events taking place in Sri Lanka. The political status of the Tamil minority in Sri Lanka soon became an issue of concern for India. India’s acceptance of some plantation Tamils inadvertently set the stage for continuing Indian involvement in the ethnic conflict on the island. Relations between the two countries were cordial until the late-1970s, when Sri Lanka began to pursue an economic liberalization program and drew closer to the West. Around the same time, militant Tamil groups, including the LTTE, began a campaign of violence against the state. Uneasiness about Sri Lanka’s growing links with extra-regional actors and concerns about the 30 plight of Sri Lanka’s Tamil citizens forced India to intervene in 1987. However, the intervention proved a failure and strained bilateral relations. Later, India adopted a ‘hands-off’ policy towards the ethnic conflict on the island. Bilateral trade grew during the first decade of the twenty-first century, but India refused to supply arms to the Sri Lankan military or mediate in the civil war. India welcomed the end of the civil war not least because it was happy at the military defeat of the LTTE, which it felt was not representative of the Tamils and was a stumbling block towards achieving national reconciliation in Sri Lanka. The end of the civil war provides both countries an opportunity to reshape ties. There are several reasons for this. First, there is less fear about the ethnic conflict spilling over into Tamil Nadu. Second, the military defeat of the LTTE is a victory against international terrorism in the region. Third, India is now in a position to engage Sri Lanka without the baggage of the civil war. Tamil Nadu-based political parties can no longer pressure India to restrict ties with Sri Lanka claiming that Indian economic and military assistance would contribute to more deaths among Sri Lankan Tamils. Fourth, there is greater opportunity to develop economic ties now. The FTA provides both countries with the framework to enhance trade and investment links. When the CEPA is finalized, it would help Indian investors gain access to more services sectors in Sri Lanka. The end of the civil war would also lead to less disruption in trade and create a better investment climate in Sri Lanka. Fifth, India can now explore the possibility of defense cooperation with Sri Lanka. The Indian Navy is particularly interested in gaining access to Trincomalee harbor, but this would only be possible after the development of strong ties between armed forces of the two countries. This was not possible during the civil war, again because of opposition from Tamil Nadu-based political parties. Sixth, there is less opportunity (or need) for Sri Lanka to develop military links and/or alliances with extra-regional actors. India’s refusal to provide weapons and equipment to the Sri Lankan forces during the civil war forced the GoSL to look to other states. This was one of the major concerns of India and contributed to the downturn in bilateral relations. Seventh, the pressure exerted by the US on Sri Lanka regarding human rights violations and reconciliation serves India well. Together with the US, India is in a position to persuade the Sri Lankan government to reverse the trend of centralization of power and relax emergency laws. The strengthening of democratic forces on the island will have a positive impact on bilateral ties. Finally, the Indian government can finally pressure the GoSL to fully implement the provisions of the thirteenth amendment, which represents a possible blueprint for securing political and economic rights for the Tamil minority. In the past, the GoSL could claim that it was engaged in a civil war and any political settlement would have to wait until the LTTE was defeated. Now that the war is over, the GoSL has no excuse but to seriously consider the full implementation of the thirteenth amendment. 31 Majoritarian institutions in Sri Lanka have failed to cater to the demands of the minority/opposition groups within these countries. A ‘winner-takes-all’ system has contributed to a situation where there is little consensus on issues like national ideology, the nature of the state, economic policy and foreign relations. In Sri Lanka, majoritarian institutions contributed to ethnic polarization between the majority Sinhalese and minority Tamils, resulting in violent conflict. Since the 1990s, Sri Lanka has attempted to build a strong economic relationship with India. This is the result of greater capacity and dynamism of the Sri Lankan economy. The challenge for India and Sri Lanka is to now craft a bilateral relationship that builds on the existing economic links. Currently, India-Sri Lanka relations are better than they have ever been. However, it will require political will on both sides to ensure that bilateral political issues, sidelined earlier in favor of economic ties, are addressed to mutual satisfaction. If this is the case then it is quite likely that India-Sri Lanka relations may become a model for India’s relations with other South Asian countries in the future. Notes 1 The civil war in Sri Lanka has hampered the process of carrying out census in the Tamil-dominated North and East. The 2001 census was therefore deemed to have grossly understated the number of Sri Lankan Tamils. As such, the Government of Sri Lanka revised the Tamil population estimate. They were believed to constitute 18% of the total population of the island, as reported by the CIA World Factbook (2012). 2 The semi-presidential system includes a president and a prime minister who work together to govern the country. The President is directly elected by the people. He/she appoints the Prime Minister, who is the leader of the party with the majority in Parliament, and therefore responsible to the legislature. Sometimes, the President and Prime Minister may come from different political parties, a situation known as ‘cohabitation’. 3 Gurr (1993, 2000), Horowitz (2000) and Linz and Stepan (1996) have argued that political exclusion of cultural groups may lead to erosion of democracy and ethnic conflict. 4 Unlike the other smaller countries of South Asia, Sri Lanka has a long tradition of civilian rule and representative government. There has not been a break in civilian rule since independence. However, with the conclusion of the civil war Sri Lanka is a country undergoing change. As such, this section is titled ‘political transition’ instead of ‘democratic transition’. Nevertheless, some of the challenges that Sri Lanka’s democracy faces today are not altogether different from the challenges facing the fledgling democracies of Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Nepal. 32 Appendix A Agreement between the Government of India and the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka Colombo, 29 July 1987 The President of the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka, His Excellency Mr. J.R. Jayawardene, and the Prime Minister of the Republic of India, His Excellency Mr. Rajiv Gandhi, having met at Colombo on July 29, 1987. Attaching utmost importance to nurturing, intensifying and strengthening the traditional friendship of Sri Lanka and India, and acknowledging the imperative need of resolving the ethnic problem of Sri Lanka, and the consequent violence, and for the safety, well being, and prosperity of people belonging to all communities in Sri Lanka. Have this day entered into the following agreement to fulfill this objective. IN THIS CONTEXT, 1.1 Desiring to preserve the unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Sri Lanka: 1.2 Acknowledging that Sri Lanka is a "multi-ethnic and a multi-lingual plural society" consisting, inter alia, of Sinhalese, Tamils, Muslims (Moors) and Burghers: 1.3 Recognising that each ethnic group has a distinct cultural and linguistic identity which has to be carefully nurtured: 1.4 Also recognising that the Northern and the Eastern Provinces have been areas of historical habitation of Sri Lankan Tamil speaking peoples, who have at all times hitherto lived together in this territory with other ethnic groups: 1.5 Conscious of the necessity of strengthening the forces contributing to the unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Sri Lanka, and preserving its character as a multi ethnic, multi lingual and multi religious plural society in which all citizens can live in equality, safety and harmony, and prosper and fulfill their aspirations: 2. Resolve that 2.1 Since the government of Sri Lanka proposes to permit adjoining provinces to join to form one administrative unit and also by a referendum to separate as may be permitted to the Northern and Eastern Provinces as outlined below: 2.2 During the period, which shall be considered an interim period (i.e. from the date of the elections to the Provincial Council, as specified in para 2.B to the date of the referendum as specified in para 2.3) the Northern and Eastern Provinces as now constituted, will form one administrative unit, having one elected Provincial Council. Such a unit will have one Governor, one Chief Minister and one Board of Ministers. 33 2.3 There will be a referendum on or before 31st of December 1988 to enable the people of the Eastern Province to decide whether: A) The Eastern Province should remain linked with the Northern Province as one administrative unit, and continue to be governed together with the Northern Province as specified in para 2.2 or: B) The Eastern Province should constitute a separate administrative unit having its own distinct Provincial Council with a separate Governor, Chief Minister and Board of Ministers The President may, at his discretion, decide to postpone such a referendum. 2.4 All persons who have been displaced due to ethnic violence or other reasons, will have the right to vote in such a referendum. Necessary conditions to enable them to return to areas from where they were displaced will be created. 2.5 The referendum when held will be monitored by a committee headed by the Chief Justice, a member appointed by the President, nominated by the Government of Sri Lanka, and a member appointed by the President, nominated by the representatives of the Tamil speaking people of the Eastern Province. 2.6 A simple majority will be sufficient to determine the result of the referendum. 2.7 Meetings and other forms of propaganda, permissible within the laws of the country, will be allowed before the referendum. 2.8 Elections to Provincial Councils will be held within the next three months, in any event before the 31st December 1987. Indian observers will be invited for elections to the Provincial Council in the North and East. 2.9 The Emergency will be lifted in the Eastern and Northern Provinces by August 15, 1987. A cessation of hostilities will come into effect all over the Island within 48 hours of the signing of this Agreement. All arms presently held by Militant Groups will be surrendered in accordance with an agreed procedure to authorities to be designated by the government of Sri Lanka. Consequent to the cessation of hostilities and the surrender of arms by Militant Groups, the Army and other security personnel will be confined to barracks in camps as on 25th May 1987. The process of surrendering of arms and the confining of security personnel and moving back to barracks shall be completed within 72 hours of the cessation of hostilities coming into effect. 2.10 The government of Sri Lanka will utilise for the purpose of law enforcement and maintenance of security in the Northern and Eastern Provinces the same organisations and mechanisms of government as are used in the rest of the country. 2.11 The President of Sri Lanka will grant a general amnesty to political and other prisoners now held in custody under the Prevention of Terrorism Act and other Emergency Laws, and to Combatants, as well as to those persons accused, charged and/or convicted under these Laws. The government of Sri Lanka will make special efforts to rehabilitate militant youth with a view to bringing them back into the mainstream of national life. India will co-operate in the process. 2.12 The government of Sri Lanka will accept and abide by the above provisions and expect all others to do likewise. 2.13 If the framework for the resolutions is accepted, the government of Sri Lanka will implement the relevant proposals forthwith. 34 2.14 The government of India will underwrite and guarantee the resolutions, and co-operate in the implementation of these proposals. 2.15 These proposals are conditional to an acceptance of the proposals negotiated from 4.5.1986 to 19.12.86. Residual matters not finalised during the above negotiations shall be resolved between India and Sri Lanka within a period of six weeks of signing this Agreement. These proposals are also conditional to the government of India co-operating directly with the government of Sri Lanka in their implementation. 2.16 These proposals are also conditional to the government of India taking the following actions if any Militant Groups operating in Sri Lanka do not accept this framework of proposals for a settlement, namely, A) India will take all necessary steps to ensure that Indian territory is not used for activities prejudicial to the unity, integrity and security of Sri Lanka. B) The Indian Navy/Coastguard will co-operate with the Sri Lanka Navy in preventing Tamil Militant activities from affecting Sri Lanka. C) In the event that the government of Sri Lanka requests the government of India to afford military assistance to implement these proposals the government of India will co-operate by giving to the government of Sri Lanka such military assistance as and when requested. D) The government of India will expedite repatriation from Sri Lanka of Indian citizens to India who are resident here, concurrently with the repatriation of Sri Lankan refugees from Tamil Nadu. E) The government of Sri Lanka and India will co-operate in ensuring the physical security and safety of all communities inhabiting the Northern and Eastern Provinces. 2.17 The government of Sri Lanka shall ensure free, full and fair participation of voters from all communities in the Northern and Eastern Provinces in electoral processes envisaged in this Agreement. The government of India will extend full co-operation to the government of Sri Lanka in this regard. 2.18 The official language of Sri Lanka shall be Sinhala. Tamil and English will also be official languages. 3. This Agreement and the Annexures thereto shall come into force upon signature In witness whereof we have set our hands and seals hereunto. Done in Colombo, Sri Lanka, on this the twenty ninth day of July of the year one thousand nine hundred and eighty seven, in duplicate, both texts being equally authentic. Junius Richard Jayawardene, President of the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka Rajiv Gandhi, Prime Minister of the Republic of India Source: Tamilnation.org Annexure to the 1987 India-Sri Lanka Agreement 1. His Excellency the President of Sri Lanka and the Prime Minister of India agree that the referendum mentioned in paragraph 2 and its sub-paragraphs of the Agreement will be observed by a representative of the Election Commission of India to be invited by His Excellency the President of Sri Lanka. 35 2. Similarly, both Heads of Government agree that the elections to the Provincial Council mentioned in paragraph 2.8 of the Agreement will be observed and all para military personnel will be withdrawn from the Eastern and Northern Provinces with a view to creating conditions conducive to fair elections to the Council. 3. The President, in his discretion, shall absorb such para military forces, which came into being due to the ethnic violence, into the regular security forces of Sri Lanka. 4. The President of Sri Lanka and the Prime Minister of India agree that the Tamil Militants shall surrender their arms to authorities agreed upon to be designated by the President of Sri Lanka. The surrender shall take place in the presence of one senior representative each of the Sri Lanka Red Cross and the India Red Cross. 5. The President of Sri Lanka and the Prime Minister of India agree that a Joint Indo Sri Lankan Observer Group consisting of qualified representatives of the government of Sri Lanka and the government of India would monitor the cessation of hostilities from 31 July 1987. 6. The President of Sri Lanka and the Prime Minister of India also agree that in terms of paragraph 2.14 and paragraph 2.16 (C) of the Agreement, an Indian Peace Keeping Contingent may be invited by the President of Sri Lanka to guarantee and enforce the cessation of hostilities, if so required. Source: Tamilnation.org Appendix B Exchange of letters between the President of Sri Lanka and the Prime Minister of India July 29, 1987 Excellency, Please refer to your letter dated the 29th of July 1987, which reads as follows:Excellency, Conscious of the friendship between our two countries stretching over two millennia and more, and recognising the importance of nurturing this traditional friendship, it is imperative that both Sri Lanka and India reaffirm the decision not to allow our respective territories to be used for activities prejudicial to each other's unity, territorial integrity and security. 2. In this spirit, you had, during the course of our discussion, agreed to meet some of India's concerns as follows:I) Your Excellency and myself will reach an early understanding about the relevance and employment of foreign military and intelligence personnel with a view to ensuring that such presences will not prejudice Indo Sri Lanka relations. II) Trincomalee or any other ports in Sri Lanka will not be made available for military use by any country in a manner prejudicial to India's interests. 36 III) The work of restoring and operating the Trincomalee Oil Tank will be undertaken as a joint operation between India and Sri Lanka. IV) Sri Lanka's agreement with foreign broadcasting organisations will be reviewed to ensure that any facilities set up by them in Sri Lanka are used solely as public broadcasting facilities and not for any military or intelligence purposes. 3. In the same spirit, India will: I) Deport all Sri Lankan citizens who are found to be engaging in terrorist activities or advocating separatism or secessionism. II) Provide training facilities and military supplies for Sri Lanka security services. 4. India and Sri Lanka have agreed to set up a joint consultative mechanism to continuously review matters of common concern in the light of the objectives stated in para 1 and specifically to monitor the implementation of other matters contained in this letter. 5. Kindly confirm, Excellency, that the above correctly sets out the Agreement reached between us. Please accept, Excellency, the assurances of my highest consideration. Yours sincerely, sgd Rajiv Gandhi His Excellency, Mr. J.R. Jayawardene, President of the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka, Colombo. This is to confirm that the above correctly sets out the understanding reached between us. Please accept, Excellency, the assurances of my highest consideration. sgd J.R. Jayawardene President. His Excellency, Mr. Rajiv Gandhi, Prime Minister of the Republic of India, New Delhi. 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