A data-assimilated circulation model of the Northwestern Atlantic Ocean using the new mpi-version of the Princeton Ocean Model (mpiPOM) Fanghua Xu and Lie-Yauw Oey Princeton University OSM on Feb, 20, 2012 Goal: Present mpiPOM: to analyze loop current shedding dynamics Middle Atlantic Bight Study Region Xu & Oey, 2011: The Origin of Along-Shelf Pressure Gradient in the Middle Atlantic Bight. J. Phys. Oceanogr 41, 1720-1740 Highlights of Model Used in This Study (http://www.aos.princeton.edu/WWWPUBLIC/PROFS/) mpi-Princeton Ocean Model (http://www.imedea.uib.es/users/toni/sbpom/) Grids: horizontal: ~5km, vertical: 25 levels CCMP (1988-2009) & NCEP/GFS wind (after 2009) Data assimilation SSHA A forecast experiment, 2011/07/01 Eddy shedding time SSH Black: model SSH=0; Pink: AVISO SSH=0 Forecast 2011/Jul/22 Observed 2011/Jul/22~29 A free model run, starting from 2011/05/16 Hindcast run Free model run Eddy shedding time X Wind stress in Carib Sea Yucatan transport - Ci 03/26 1st order dynamics: Qi < Ci = - βRo2, (Nof 1995 JPO) can “peel” a portion of the Loop’s mass – i.e. a warm eddy – westward. Qi: Yucatan influx Ci: the 1st mode baroclinic Rossby wave velocity Ro = (g’h(t))1/2/f 05/16 07/08 There exists a close connection between Yucatan transport and winds in Caribbean and in GOM: Chang & Oey, 2012, GRL, in press: Why does the Loop Current tend to shed more eddies in summer and winter? Eda’s talk on Thursday 14:30 session 30. Chang & Oey, 2011, JPO Free model run Shedding ssh (m) Convergence divergence Hindcast run Loop Formation Eddy shedding time There is coupling with the deep layer; the coupling can be inferred from basic mass conservation as indicated in the above sketch. If Yucatan inflow and Rossby wave dynamics alone – it will take roughly 2 months. i.e. mid-August – instead of Jul/08, for the Loop to shed – the acceleration is through baroclinic instability & upper-lower coupling BCI (m2 /s3) @ z=-750m 05/16 - 06/15 06/01 – 06/30 Growth rate 1/40d ~ 1/10d Oey, 2008, JPO The Campeche Bank The Loop Current eddy-shedding is primarily due to an imbalance between YUC influx & westward baroclinic Rossby wave, and shedding is accelerated by baroclinic instability and the upper-lower & east-west coupling. SSH Latitude ζ/f Latitude 05/16 03/26 05/16 07/08 07/08 ζ/f : vorticity over the west Yucatan channel Latitude: edge of Loop Currents The decrease of ζ/f induces an anticyclonic circulation, which retract the loop currents Total transport in YUC, FL straits, and 90w Comparison of model transports in middle Atlantic with available observations Comparison of 1-day average SSHA of hindcast simulation with 1-day average of tide gauge data 1994 1994 2004 2004 Depth averaged currents What drives the along-shelf circulation? Momentum Balance: x wind gh bx ru x o Along-shelf pressure gradient (ASPG) 10-8~10-7 drives mean along-shelf flow towards the southwest (Stommel and Leetmaa,1972; Csanady, 1976; Lentz, 2008); (Lentz, JPO, 2008) Xu & Oey, JPO, 2011 Elevation The origin of the mean along-shelf pressure gradient (ASPG) Distance from Cape Hatteras ASPG×108 = RIV + (7×UA+1.3)×Hv(UA-UAcritical) – WIND- GS RIV=2; UAcritical=1; WIND=1; GS=6 Cross-shelf circulation A schematic sketch of the cross-shelf section circulation illustrating 3-layer structure from mid- to outer shelves, and 2-layer from coast to mid-shelf, as well as mid-shelf near-bottom divergence, from Lentz [2008; his fig.2]. hcastT Fig. Daily-averaged SSH (colors in m), surface currents (squiggly black lines) and wind stress vectors (blue) shown for the 15th day of each month from Jan-Dec in 2010 for the hindcast experiment with tides. Magenta contour=AVISO SSH=0 and white contour=200m isobath. (A) SSHA (B) (Ug,Vg) Fig. 4 Comparison between AVISO and modeled (a) SSHA (anomaly) and (b) surface geostrophic velocity (Ug,Vg). The “(a)” panels on left show top: spatial correlation coefficient between the model and AVISO SSHA’s in the region north of 23oN and west of 84oW, and over water region deeper than 500 m in the Gulf of Mexico for time period Jan-Dec/2010; and bottom: the corresponding RMS error for the same region. The “(b)” panels on right compare the corresponding (Ug,Vg): top & middle are magnitude and angle of the complex correlation and bottom is the RMS error. In each case, the 2010-mean’s are also shown. See Table1 for experiment names. R=Correlation; S=95% Significance Mean R /S R /S (Sv) Jan-Dec Apr-Dec Obs. 30.5 - - Exp.1 31.2 .32/.16 .52/.17 Exp.2 30.7 .34/.12 .57/.12 Exp.3 30.2 .39/.14 .71/.19 Exp.4 30.9 .38/.13 .60/.13 Exp.1= hcastNoT Exp.2= hcastT Exp.3= hcast.horcon0p2 Exp.4= hcastT.horcon0p2 Fig. 5 Comparison between modeled transport at the Straits of Florida off the eastern coast of Florida between West Palm Beach, FL to Eight Mile Rock, Grand Bahama Island and cable-estimated observed transport (http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/floridacurrent/data_access.php) for the time period Jan-Dec/2010. Note that model was not forced by wind from Jan/01 through Mar/15. The Table on left shows the 2010-mean’s for observed and modeled transports, and their zero-lag correlations and 95% significances computed for the entire 2010 from Jan-Dec (3rd column in the Table) and for Apr-Dec only (4th column in the Table). Comparison of hindcast simulation with drifters Comparison of hindcast simulation with ADCP currents Goal: Present mpiPOM: to analyze loop current shedding dynamics Xu and Oey, 2011,JPO Middle Atlantic Bight Data assimilation: SST, ADCP, Drf, &T/S IC Grids wind mpiPOM BC Highlights of the mpi-version of the Princeton Ocean Model tides River output Highlights of the mpi-version of the Princeton Ocean Model Princeton’s Circulation & Wave Model of the Northwestern Atlantic Ocean (http://www.aos.princeton.edu/WWWPUBLIC/PROFS/) Model engine: mpi-Princeton Ocean Model – 3D currents, T/S, SSH, turbulence KE (TKE) & length w/wavebreaking and Stokes drift TKE production; waveenhanced BBL; 4th-order pressure grad scheme; Grids: horizontal: ~5km, vertical: 25 levels; Topography: Etopo2+NOS digitized map on shelves; Open BC@55W: Transport and climatological T/S + radiation & FRS [Oey & Chen, 1992a,b; JGR]; Surface fluxes: CCMP wind (1987-2009); NCEP/GFS 2010-present; supplemented w/hurricane winds from AOML’s HRD; Heat & salt fluxes: monthly climatology or daily NCEP; 51 Rivers: daily, 34 in GOM, 17 east coast; Data assimilation: SSHA, SST, Drifters, bred-ensemble; Tides: M2, S2, K1 & O1; Wind-waves, w/option to couple with currents; Inundation Nesting