Managerial Economics and Financial Analysis Dr. Ankisetti Ramachandra Aryasri © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies 1 Unit I – INTRODUCTION TO MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS Chapter 1 Nature and Scope of Managerial Economics © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies 2 INTRODUCTION TO MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS Imagine for a while that you have finished your studies and have joined as an engineer in a manufacturing organization. What do you do there? You plan to produce maximum quantity of goods of a given quality at a reasonable cost. On the other hand, if you are a sale manager, you have to sell a maximum amount of goods with minimum advertisement costs. In other words, you want to minimize your costs and maximize your returns and by doing so, you are practicing the principles of managerial economics. Managers, in their day-to-day activities, are always confronted with several issues such as how much quantity is to be supplied; at what price; should the product be made internally; or whether it should be bought from outside; how much quantity is to be produced to make a given amount of profit and so on. Managerial economics provides us a basic insight into seeking solutions for managerial problems. Managerial economics, as the name itself implies, is an offshoot of two distinct disciplines: Economics and Management. In other words, it is necessary to understand what these disciplines are, at least in brief, to understand the nature and scope of managerial economics. 3 Introduction to Economics Our activities to generate income are termed as economic activities, which are responsible for the origin and development of Economics as a subject. Originated as a Science of Statecraft. Emergence of Political Economy. 1776 : Adam Smith (Father of Economics) – Science ofWealth Economy is concerned with the production, consumption, distribution and investment of goods and services. 4 Introduction to Economics Economics is a study of human activity both at individual and national level. The economists of early age treated economics merely as the science of wealth. The reason for this is clear. Every one of us in involved in efforts aimed at earning money and spending this money to satisfy our wants such as food, Clothing, shelter, and others. Such activities of earning and spending money are called “Economic activities”. It was only during the eighteenth century that Adam Smith, the Father of Economics, defined economics as the study of nature and uses of national wealth’. 5 Introduction to Economics Dr. Alfred Marshall, one of the greatest economists of the nineteenth century, writes “Economics is a study of man’s actions in the ordinary business of life: it enquires how he gets his income and how he uses it”. Thus, it is one side, a study of wealth; and on the other, and more important side; it is the study of man. As Marshall observed, the chief aim of economics is to promote ‘human welfare’, but not wealth. The definition given by AC Pigou endorses the opinion of Marshall. Pigou defines Economics as “the study of economic welfare that can be brought directly and indirectly, into relationship with the measuring rod of money”. 6 Introduction to Economics Prof. Lionel Robbins defined Economics as “the science, which studies human behaviour as a relationship between ends and scarce means which have alternative uses”. With this, the focus of economics shifted from ‘wealth’ to human behaviour’. Lord Keynes defined economics as ‘the study of the administration of scarce means and the determinants of employments and income”. 7 What Economics is all about? Stages & Definitions of Economics Wealth Definition (Adam Smith) Scarcity Welfare Growth Need Definition Definition Oriented Oriented (L. Robbins) (Ayred Definition Definition Marshall) (Jacob (Samuelsons) Viner) 8 The Economic Problem - Robbins Unlimited Wants Scarce Resources – Land, Labour, Capital Resource Use Choices 9 Definition, scope and functions Microeconomics Macroeconomics Management Managerial Economics 10 Microeconomics The study of an individual consumer or a firm is called microeconomics (also called the Theory of Firm). Micro means ‘one millionth’. Microeconomics deals with behavior and problems of single individual and of micro organization. Managerial economics has its roots in microeconomics and it deals with the micro or individual enterprises. It is concerned with the application of the concepts such as price theory, Law of Demand and theories of market structure and so on. 11 Macroeconomics The study of ‘aggregate’ or total level of economics activity in a country is called macroeconomics. It studies the flow of economics resources or factors of production (such as land, labour, capital, organisation and technology) from the resource owner to the business firms and then from the business firms to the households. It deals with total aggregates, for instance, total national income total employment, output and total investment. It studies the interrelations among various aggregates and examines their nature and behaviour, their determination and causes of fluctuations in the. It deals with the price level in general, instead of studying the prices of individual commodities. It is concerned with the level of employment in the economy. It discusses aggregate consumption, aggregate investment, price level, and payment, theories of employment, and so on. Though macroeconomics provides the necessary framework in term of government policies etc., for the firm to act upon dealing with analysis of business conditions, it has less direct relevance in the study of theory of firm. 12 Management Management is the science and art of getting things done through people in formally organized groups. It is necessary that every organisation be well managed to enable it to achieve its desired goals. Management includes a number of functions: Planning, organizing, staffing, directing, and controlling. The manager while directing the efforts of his staff communicates to them the goals, objectives, policies, and procedures; coordinates their efforts; motivates them to sustain their enthusiasm; and leads them to achieve the corporate goals. 13 Managerial Economics - Introduction Managerial Economics as a subject gained popularity in USA after the publication of the book “Managerial Economics” by Joel Dean in 1951. Managerial Economics refers to the firm’s decision making process. It could be also interpreted as “Economics of Management” or “Economics of Management”. Managerial Economics is also called as “Industrial Economics” or “Business Economics”. As Joel Dean observes managerial economics shows how economic analysis can be used in formulating polices. 14 Managerial Economics – Meaning and Definition In the words of E. F. Brigham and J. L. Pappas Managerial Economics is “the applications of economics theory and methodology to business administration practice”. Managerial Economics bridges the gap between traditional economics theory and real business practices in two days. First it provides a number of tools and techniques to enable the manager to become more competent to take decisions in real and practical situations. Secondly it serves as an integrating course to show the interaction between various areas in which the firm operates. C. I. Savage & T. R. Small therefore believes that managerial economics “is concerned with business efficiency”. M. H. Spencer and Louis Siegelman explain the “Managerial Economics is the integration of economic theory with business practice for the purpose of facilitating decision making and forward planning by management”. 15 Managerial Economics – Meaning and Definition t is clear, therefore, that managerial economics deals with economic aspects of managerial decisions of with those managerial decisions, which have an economics contest. Managerial economics may therefore, be defined as a body of knowledge, techniques and practices which give substance to those economic concepts which are useful in deciding the business strategy of a unit of management. Managerial economics is designed to provide a rigorous treatment of those aspects of economic theory and analysis that are most use for managerial decision analysis says J. L. Pappas and E. F. Brigham. Managerial Economics, therefore, focuses on those tools and techniques, which are useful in decision-making. 16 Nature of Managerial Economics a) b) c) d) e) f) g) h) Close to micro economics Operates against the backdrop of macro economics Normative statements Prescriptive actions Applied in nature Offers scope to evaluate each alternative Interdisciplinary Assumptions and limitations 17 Nature of Managerial Economics Managerial economics is, perhaps, the youngest of all the social sciences. Since it originates from Economics, it has the basis features of economics, such as assuming that other things remaining the same (or the Latin equivalent ceteris paribus). This assumption is made to simplify the complexity of the managerial phenomenon under study in a dynamic business environment so many things are changing simultaneously. This set a limitation that we cannot really hold other things remaining the same. In such a case, the observations made out of such a study will have a limited purpose or value. Managerial economics also has inherited this problem from economics. Further, it is assumed that the firm or the buyer acts in a rational manner (which normally does not happen). The buyer is carried away by the advertisements, brand loyalties, incentives and so on, and, therefore, the innate behaviour of the consumer will be rational is not a realistic assumption. Unfortunately, there are no other alternatives to understand the subject other than by making such assumptions. This is because the behaviour of a firm or a consumer is a complex phenomenon. 18 Nature of Managerial Economics a) b) c) Close to microeconomics: Managerial economics is concerned with finding the solutions for different managerial problems of a particular firm. Thus, it is more close to microeconomics. Operates against the backdrop of macroeconomics: The macroeconomics conditions of the economy are also seen as limiting factors for the firm to operate. In other words, the managerial economist has to be aware of the limits set by the macroeconomics conditions such as government industrial policy, inflation and so on. Normative statements: A normative statement usually includes or implies the words ‘ought’ or ‘should’. They reflect people’s moral attitudes and are expressions of what a team of people ought to do. For instance, it deals with statements such as ‘Government of India should open up the economy. Such statement are based on value judgments and express views of what is ‘good’ or ‘bad’, ‘right’ or ‘ wrong’. One problem with normative statements is that they cannot to verify by looking at the facts, because they mostly deal with the future. Disagreements about such statements are usually settled by voting on them. 19 Nature of Managerial Economics d) e) Prescriptive actions: Prescriptive action is goal oriented. Given a problem and the objectives of the firm, it suggests the course of action from the available alternatives for optimal solution. If does not merely mention the concept, it also explains whether the concept can be applied in a given context on not. For instance, the fact that variable costs are marginal costs can be used to judge the feasibility of an export order. Applied in nature: ‘Models’ are built to reflect the real life complex business situations and these models are of immense help to managers for decision-making. The different areas where models are extensively used include inventory control, optimization, project management etc. In managerial economics, we also employ case study methods to conceptualize the problem, identify that alternative and determine the best course of action. 20 Nature of Managerial Economics Offers scope to evaluate each alternative: Managerial economics provides an opportunity to evaluate each alternative in terms of its costs and revenue. The managerial economist can decide which is the better alternative to maximize the profits for the firm. g) Interdisciplinary: The contents, tools and techniques of managerial economics are drawn from different subjects such as economics, management, mathematics, statistics, accountancy, psychology, organizational behavior, sociology and etc. h) Assumptions and limitations: Every concept and theory of managerial economics is based on certain assumption and as such their validity is not universal. Where there is change in assumptions, the theory may not hold good at all. f) 21 Scope of Managerial Economics Managerial decision problems Product price and output Make or buy Production technique Internet strategy Advertising media and intensity Investment and financing Economic concepts Decision making tools Theory of consumer behaviour Numerical analysis Theory of firm Statistical analysis Theory of market structures and pricing Forecasting Game theory Optimisation Managerial Economics Use of economics concepts and decision making tools to solve managerial decision problems Optimal solutions © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies 22 Scope of Managerial Economics The scope of managerial economics refers to its area of study. Managerial economics refers to its area of study. Managerial economics, Provides management with a strategic planning tool that can be used to get a clear perspective of the way the business world works and what can be done to maintain profitability in an ever-changing environment. Managerial economics is primarily concerned with the application of economic principles and theories to five types of resource decisions made by all types of business organizations. The selection of product or service to be produced. The choice of production methods and resource combinations. The determination of the best price and quantity combination Promotional strategy and activities. The selection of the location from which to produce and sell goods or service to consumer. 23 Main Areas of Managerial Economics 1. Demand Decision 2. Input-Output Decision 3. Price Output Decision 4. Profit Analysis 5. Capital or Investment analysis 6. Economic Forecasting and Forward planning 24 Demand Decision A firm can survive only if it is able to the demand for its product at the right time, within the right quantity. Understanding the basic concepts of demand is essential for demand forecasting. Demand analysis should be a basic activity of the firm because many of the other activities of the firms depend upon the outcome of the demand fore cost. Demand analysis provides: The basis for analyzing market influences on the firms; products and thus helps in the adaptation to those influences. Demand analysis also highlights for factors, which influence the demand for a product. This helps to manipulate demand. Thus demand analysis studies not only the price elasticity but also income elasticity, cross elasticity as well as the influence of advertising expenditure with the advent of computers, demand forecasting has become an increasingly important function of managerial economics. 25 Input-Output Decision Input-output decision or Production analysis is in physical terms. While the cost analysis is in monetary terms cost concepts and classifications, cost-out-put relationships, economies and diseconomies of scale and production functions are some of the points constituting cost and production analysis. 26 Price Output Decision Pricing decisions have been always within the preview of managerial economics. Pricing policies are merely a subset of broader class of managerial economic problems. Price theory helps to explain how prices are determined under different types of market conditions. Competitions analysis includes the anticipation of the response of competitions the firm’s pricing, advertising and marketing strategies. Product line pricing and price forecasting occupy an important place here. 27 Profit Analysis Profit making is the major goal of firms. There are several constraints here an account of competition from other products, changing input prices and changing business environment hence in spite of careful planning, there is always certain risk involved. Managerial economics deals with techniques of averting of minimizing risks. Profit theory guides in the measurement and management of profit, in calculating the pure return on capital, besides future profit planning. 28 Capital or Investment analysis Capital is the foundation of business. Lack of capital may result in small size of operations. Availability of capital from various sources like equity capital, institutional finance etc. may help to undertake large-scale operations. Hence efficient allocation and management of capital is one of the most important tasks of the managers. The major issues related to capital analysis are: I. II. III. The choice of investment project Evaluation of the efficiency of capital Most efficient allocation of capital Knowledge of capital theory can help very much in taking investment decisions. This involves, capital budgeting, feasibility studies, analysis of cost of capital etc. 29 Economic Forecasting and Forward planning Strategic planning provides management with a framework on which long-term decisions can be made which has an impact on the behavior of the firm. The firm sets certain long-term goals and objectives and selects the strategies to achieve the same. Strategic planning is now a new addition to the scope of managerial economics with the emergence of multinational corporations. The perspective of strategic planning is global. It is in contrast to project planning which focuses on a specific project or activity. In fact the integration of managerial economics and strategic planning has given rise to be new area of study called corporate economics. 30 Managerial economics relationship with other disciplines Many new subjects have evolved in recent years due to the interaction among basic disciplines. While there are many such new subjects in natural and social sciences, managerial economics can be taken as the best example of such a phenomenon among social sciences. Hence it is necessary to trace its roots and relation ship with other disciplines. 1. Economics 2. Operations Research 3. Statistics 4. Accountancy 5. Psychology 6. Organizational Behavior 31 Relationship with economics: The relationship between managerial economics and economics theory may be viewed form the point of view of the two approaches to the subject Viz. Micro Economics and Marco Economics. Microeconomics is the study of the economic behavior of individuals, firms and other such micro organizations. Managerial economics is rooted in Micro Economic theory. Managerial Economics makes use to several Micro Economic concepts such as marginal cost, marginal revenue, elasticity of demand as well as price theory and theories of market structure to name only a few. Macro theory on the other hand is the study of the economy as a whole. It deals with the analysis of national income, the level of employment, general price level, consumption and investment in the economy and even matters related to international trade, Money, public finance, etc. The relationship between managerial economics and economics theory is like that of engineering science to physics or of medicine to biology. Managerial economics has an applied bias and its wider scope lies in applying economic theory to solve real life problems of enterprises. Both managerial economics and economics deal with problems of scarcity and resource allocation. 32 Managerial Economics and Operations Research: Taking effectives decisions is the major concern of both managerial economics and operations research. The development of techniques and concepts such as linear programming, inventory models and game theory is due to the development of this new subject of operations research in the postwar years. Operations research is concerned with the complex problems arising out of the management of men, machines, materials and money. Operation research provides a scientific model of the system and it helps managerial economists in the field of product development, material management, and inventory control, quality control, marketing and demand analysis. The varied tools of operations Research are helpful to managerial economists in decision-making. 33 Managerial Economics and mathematics: The use of mathematics is significant for managerial economics in view of its profit maximization goal long with optional use of resources. The major problem of the firm is how to minimize cost, hoe to maximize profit or how to optimize sales. Mathematical concepts and techniques are widely used in economic logic to solve these problems. Also mathematical methods help to estimate and predict the economic factors for decision making and forward planning. Mathematical symbols are more convenient to handle and understand various concepts like incremental cost, elasticity of demand etc., Geometry, Algebra and calculus are the major branches of mathematics which are of use in managerial economics. The main concepts of mathematics like logarithms, and exponentials, vectors and determinants, input-output models etc., are widely used. Besides these usual tools, more advanced techniques designed in the recent years viz. linear programming, inventory models and game theory fine wide application in managerial economics. 34 Managerial Economics and Statistics: Managerial Economics needs the tools of statistics in more than one way. A successful businessman must correctly estimate the demand for his product. He should be able to analyses the impact of variations in tastes. Fashion and changes in income on demand only then he can adjust his output. Statistical methods provide and sure base for decision-making. Thus statistical tools are used in collecting data and analyzing them to help in the decision making process. Statistical tools like the theory of probability and forecasting techniques help the firm to predict the future course of events. Managerial Economics also make use of correlation and multiple regressions in related variables like price and demand to estimate the extent of dependence of one variable on the other. The theory of probability is very useful in problems involving uncertainty. 35 Management Economics and Accountancy: Managerial economics has been influenced by the developments in management theory and accounting techniques. Accounting refers to the recording of pecuniary transactions of the firm in certain books. A proper knowledge of accounting techniques is very essential for the success of the firm because profit maximization is the major objective of the firm. Managerial Economics requires a proper knowledge of cost and revenue information and their classification. A student of managerial economics should be familiar with the generation, interpretation and use of accounting data. The focus of accounting within the firm is fast changing from the concepts of store keeping to that if managerial decision making, this has resulted in a new specialized area of study called “Managerial Accounting”. 36 Managerial Economics and the theory of Psychology: The Theory of consumer decision-making is a new field of knowledge grown in the second half of this century. Most of the economic theories explain a single goal for the consumer i.e., Profit maximization for the firm. But the theory of consumer psychology or decision-making is developed to explain multiplicity of goals and lot of uncertainty. As such this new branch of knowledge is useful to business firms, which have to take quick decision in the case of multiple goals. Viewed this way the theory of decision making is more practical and application oriented than the economic theories. 37 Unit IV – INTRODUCTION TO MARKETS AND PRICING STRATEGIES Chapter 8 Markets © 2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies 38 Introduction Pricing is an important, if not the most important function of all enterprises. Since every enterprise is engaged in the production of some goods or/and service. Incurring some expenditure, it must set a price for the same to sell it in the market. It is only in extreme cases that the firm has no say in pricing its product; because there is severe or rather perfect competition in the market of the good happens to be of such public significance that its price is decided by the government. In an overwhelmingly large number of cases, the individual producer plays the role in pricing its product. 39 Introduction It is said that if a firm were good in setting its product price it would certainly flourish in the market. This is because the price is such a parameter that it exerts a direct influence on the products demand as well as on its supply, leading to firm’s turnover (sales) and profit. Every manager endeavors to find the price, which would best meet with his firm’s objective. If the price is set too high the seller may not find enough customers to buy his product. On the other hand, if the price is set too low the seller may not be able to recover his costs. There is a need for the right price further, since demand and supply conditions are variable over time what is a right price today may not be so tomorrow hence, pricing decision must be reviewed and reformulated from time to time. 40 Market Defined Market is a place where buyer and seller meet, goods and services are offered for the sale and transfer of ownership occurs. A market may be also defined as the demand made by a certain group of potential buyers for a good or service. The former one is a narrow concept and later one, a broader concept. Economists describe a market as a collection of buyers and sellers who transact over a particular product or product class (the housing market, the clothing market, the grain market etc.). For business purpose we define a market as people or organizations with wants (needs) to satisfy, money to spend, and the willingness to spend it. 41 Market Structure Market structure describes the competitive environment in the market for any good or service. A market consists of all firms and individuals who are willing and able to buy or sell a particular product. This includes firms and individuals currently engaged in buying and selling a particular product, as well as potential entrants. The determination of price is affected by the competitive structure of the market. This is because the firm operates in a market and not in isolation. In marking decisions concerning economic variables it is affected, as are all institutions in society by its environment. 42 Market Structure 1. Main Elements of Market Structure Seller Concentration b) Buyer Concentration c) Product Differentiation d) Barriers to Entry a) 2. Additional Elements of Market Structure Buyer Concentration b) High Sunk Costs or Barriers to Exit c) Growth Rate of Market Demand d) Import Competition a) 43 Market Structure 44 COMPETITION Perfect Competition= No control over price Imperfect Competition = Some control over price Price d Price d Quantity Quantity Characteristics of a Perfectly Competitive Market a) A large number of buyers and sellers: The number of buyers and sellers is large and the share of each one of them in the market is so small that none has any influence on the market price. b) Homogeneous product: The product of each seller is totally undifferentiated from those of the others. c) Freedom to enter and exit the market: Any buyer and seller is free to enter or leave the market of the commodity. d) Perfect information available to buyers and sellers: All buyers and sellers have perfect knowledge about the market for the commodity. Characteristics of a Perfectly Competitive Market e) Perfect mobility of factors of production: Factors of production must be in a position to move freely into or out of industry and from one firm to the other. f) Each firm is a price taker: An individual firm can alter its rate of production or sales without significantly affecting the market price of the product.No buyer has a preference to buy from a particular seller and no seller to sell to a particular buyer. Perfectly competitive market also assumes the non-existence of transport costs. 47 Perfect Competition Example Market garden Uses simple resources Land, seeds, water, fertiliser, equipment and labour Price determined by the market What will happen to the price if demand increases? What may happen to the price if the growing conditions have been favourable? NZ examples? -Dairy farming -Wool growing -Fishing Perfect Competition The concept of competition is used in two ways in economics. Competition as a process is a rivalry among firms. Competition as the perfectly competitive market structure. Competition as a Process Competition involves one firm trying to take away market share from another firm. As a process, competition pervades the economy. Competition as a Market Structure It is possible to imagine something that does not exist – a perfectly competitive market in which the invisible hand works unimpeded. Competition as a Market Structure Competition is the end result of the competitive process under highly restrictive assumptions. • A perfectly competitive market is one in which economic forces operate unimpeded. A Perfectly Competitive Market A perfectly competitive market is one in which economic forces operate unimpeded. The Necessary Conditions for Perfect Competition Both buyers and sellers are price takers. A price taker is a firm or individual who takes the market price as given. In most markets, households are price takers – they accept the price offered in stores. The Necessary Conditions for Perfect Competition Both buyers and sellers are price takers. – The retailer is not perfectly competitive. – A store is not a price taker but a price maker. The Necessary Conditions for Perfect Competition The number of firms is large. – Large means that what one firm does has no bearing on what other firms do. – Any one firm's output is minuscule when compared with the total market. The Necessary Conditions for Perfect Competition There are no barriers to entry. – Barriers to entry are social, political, or economic impediments that prevent other firms from entering the market. – Barriers sometimes take the form of patents granted to produce a certain good. The Necessary Conditions for Perfect Competition There are no barriers to entry. – Technology may prevent some firms from entering the market. – Social forces such as bankers only lending to certain people may create barriers. The Necessary Conditions for Perfect Competition The firms' products are identical. – This requirement means that each firm's output is indistinguishable from any competitor's product. The Necessary Conditions for Perfect Competition There is complete information. – Firms and consumers know all there is to know about the market – prices, products, and available technology. – Any technological advancement would be instantly known to all in the market. The Necessary Conditions for Perfect Competition Firms are profit maximizers. – The goal of all firms in a perfectly competitive market is profit and only profit. – Firm owners receive only profit as compensation, not salaries. The Definition of Supply and Perfect Competition If all the necessary conditions for perfect competition exist, we can talk formally about the supply of a produced good. This follows from the definition of supply. The Definition of Supply and Perfect Competition Supply is a schedule of quantities of goods that will be offered to the market at various prices. The Definition of Supply and Perfect Competition This definition requires the supplier to be a price taker (the first condition for perfect competition). • Since most suppliers are price makers, any analysis must be modified accordingly. The Definition of Supply and Perfect Competition Because of the definition of supply, if any of the conditions are not met, the formal definition of supply disappears. The Definition of Supply and Perfect Competition That the number of suppliers be large (the second condition), means that they do not have the ability to collude. The Definition of Supply and Perfect Competition Conditions 3 through 5 make it impossible for any firm to forget about the hundreds of other firms just itching to replace their supply. • Condition 6 specifies a firm's goal – profit. The Definition of Supply and Perfect Competition Even if we cannot technically specify a supply function, supply forces are still strong and many of the insights of the competitive model can be applied to firm behavior in other market structures. Demand Curves for the Firm and the Industry The demand curves facing the firm is different from the industry demand curve. A perfectly competitive firm’s demand schedule is perfectly elastic even though the demand curve for the market is downward sloping. Demand Curves for the Firm and the Industry This means that firms will increase their output in response to an increase in demand even though that will cause the price to fall thus making all firms collectively worse off. Market Demand Versus Individual Firm Demand Curve Market Firm Market supply Price $10 Price $10 8 8 6 6 4 Market demand 2 0 1,000 3,000 Quantity Individual firm demand 4 2 0 10 20 30 Quantity Profit-Maximizing Level of Output The goal of the firm is to maximize profits. When it decides what quantity to produce it continually asks how changes in quantity affect profit. Profit-Maximizing Level of Output Since profit is the difference between total revenue and total cost, what happens to profit in response to a change in output is determined by marginal revenue (MR) and marginal cost (MC). • A firm maximizes profit when MC = MR. Profit-Maximizing Level of Output Marginal revenue (MR) – the change in total revenue associated with a change in quantity. • Marginal cost (MC) -- the change in total cost associated with a change in quantity. Marginal Revenue Since a perfect competitor accepts the market price as given, for a competitive firm, marginal revenue is price (MR = P). Marginal Cost Initially, marginal cost falls and then begins to rise. Marginal concepts are best defined between the numbers. How to Maximize Profit To maximize profits, a firm should produce where marginal cost equals marginal revenue. How to Maximize Profit If marginal revenue does not equal marginal cost, a firm can increase profit by changing output. • The supplier will continue to produce as long as marginal cost is less than marginal revenue. How to Maximize Profit The supplier will cut back on production if marginal cost is greater than marginal revenue. • Thus, the profit-maximizing condition of a competitive firm is MC = MR = P. Marginal Cost, Marginal Revenue, and Price Price = MR Quantity Produced $35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 MC Marginal Costs Cost $28.00 20.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 17.00 22.00 30.00 40.00 54.00 68.00 60 50 40 30 A A C B P = D = MR 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Quantity The Marginal Cost Curve Is the Supply Curve The marginal cost curve is the firm's supply curve above the point where price exceeds average variable cost. The Marginal Cost Curve Is the Supply Curve The MC curve tells the competitive firm how much it should produce at a given price. • The firm can do no better than producing the quantity at which marginal cost equals price which in turn equals marginal revenue. The Marginal Cost Curve Is the Firm’s Supply Curve Marginal cost $70 C Cost, Price 60 50 40 A 30 B 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Quantity Firms Maximize Total Profit When we speak of maximizing profit, we refer to maximizing total profit, not profit per unit. Firms do not care about profit per unit; as long as an increase in output will increase total profits, a profit-maximizing firm should increase output. Profit Maximization Using Total Revenue and Total Cost Profit is maximized where the vertical distance between total revenue and total cost is greatest. At that output, MR (the slope of the total revenue curve) and MC (the slope of the total cost curve) are equal. Profit Determination Using Total Cost and Revenue Curves Total cost, revenue TC $385 350 315 Maximum profit =$81 280 245 210 $130 175 140 105 70 Loss 35 0 TR Loss 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Profit Quantity Total Profit at the Profit-Maximizing Level of Output While the P = MR = MC condition tells us how much output a competitive firm should produce to maximize profit, it does not tell us the profit the firm makes. Determining Profit and Loss From a Table of Costs Profit can be calculated from a table of costs and revenues. Profit is determined by total revenue minus total cost. Determining Profit and Loss From a Table of Costs The profit-maximizing position is not necessarily a position that minimizes either average variable cost or average total cost. • It is only the position that maximizes total profit. Costs Relevant to a Firm Profit Maximization for a Competitive Firm P = MR Output Total Cost — 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 40.00 68.00 88.00 104.00 118.00 130.00 147.00 Marginal Average Total Cost Total Cost Revenue — 28.00 20.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 17.00 — 68.00 44.00 34.67 29.50 26.00 24.50 0 35.00 70.00 105.00 140.00 175.00 210.00 Profit TR-TC –40.00 –33.00 –18.00 1.00 22.00 45.00 63.00 Costs Relevant to a Firm Profit Maximization for a Competitive Firm P = MR Output Total Cost 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 118.00 130.00 147.00 169.00 199.00 239.00 293.00 Marginal Average Total Cost Total Cost Revenue 14.00 12.00 17.00 22.00 30.00 40.00 54.00 29.50 26.00 24.50 24.14 24.88 26.56 29.30 140.00 175.00 210.00 245.00 280.00 315.00 350.00 Profit TR-TC 22.00 45.00 63.00 76.00 81.00 76.00 57.00 Determining Profit and Loss From a Graph Find output where MC = MR. The intersection of MC = MR (P) determines the quantity the firm will produce if it wishes to maximize profits. Determining Profit and Loss From a Graph Find profit per unit where MC = MR. • To determine maximum profit, you must first determine what output the firm will choose to produce. • See where MC equals MR, and then drop a line down to the ATC curve. • This is the profit per unit. Determining Profits Graphically MC MC MC Price Price Price 65 65 65 60 60 60 55 55 55 ATC 50 50 50 ATC 45 45 45 40 40 D A P = MR 40 P = MR Loss 35 35 35 P = MR Profit 30 30 30 B ATC AVC 25 25 C 25 AVC AVC E 20 20 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 Quantity Quantity Quantity (b) Zero profit case (a) Profit case (c) Loss case Zero Profit or Loss Where MC=MR Firms can also earn zero profit or even a loss where MC = MR. Even though economic profit is zero, all resources, including entrepreneurs, are being paid their opportunity costs. Zero Profit or Loss Where MC=MR In all three cases (profit, loss, zero profit), determining the profit-maximizing output level does not depend on fixed cost or average total cost, by only where marginal cost equals price. The Shutdown Point The firm will shut down if it cannot cover average variable costs. A firm should continue to produce as long as price is greater than average variable cost. Once price falls below that point it makes sense to shut down temporarily and save the variable costs. The Shutdown Point The shutdown point is the point at which the firm will gain more by shutting down than it will by staying in business. The Shutdown Point As long as total revenue is more than total variable cost, temporarily producing at a loss is the firm’s best strategy since it is taking less of a loss than it would by shutting down. The Shutdown Decision MC Price 60 ATC 50 40 Loss P = MR 30 AVC 20 $17.80 A 10 0 2 4 6 8 Quantity Short-Run Market Supply and Demand While the firm's demand curve is perfectly elastic, the industry's is downward sloping. For the industry's supply curve we use a market supply curve. Short-Run Market Supply and Demand In the short run when the number of firms in the market is fixed, the market supply curve is just the horizontal sum of all the firms' marginal cost curves, taking account of any changes in input prices that might occur. Short-Run Market Supply and Demand Since all firms have identical marginal cost curves, a quick way of summing the quantities is to multiply the quantities from the marginal cost curve of a representative firm by the number of firms in the market. Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium Profits and losses are inconsistent with long-run equilibrium. Profits create incentives for new firms to enter, output will increase, and the price will fall until zero profits are made. Only zero profit will stop entry. Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium The existence of losses will cause firms to leave the industry. • Zero profit condition is the requirement that in the long run zero profits exist. • The zero profit condition defines the long-run equilibrium of a competitive industry. Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium Zero profit does not mean that the entrepreneur does not get anything for his efforts. Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium In order to stay in business the entrepreneur must receive his opportunity cost or normal profits the owners of business would have received in the nest-best alternative. Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium Normal profits are included as a cost and are not included in economic profit. Economic profits are profits above normal profits. Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium Even if some firm has super-efficient workers or machines that produce rent, it will not take long for competitors to match these efficiencies and drive down the price. • Rent is an income received by a specialized factor of production. Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium The zero profit condition is enormously powerful. – It makes the analysis of competitive markets far more applicable to the real world than can a strict application of the assumption of perfect competition. Long-Run Competitive Equilibrium MC Price 60 50 SRATC 40 P = MR 30 20 10 0 2 4 6 8 Quantity LRATC Adjustment from the Long Run to the Short Run Industry supply and demand curves come together to lead to long-run equilibrium. An Increase in Demand An increase in demand leads to higher prices and higher profits. Existing firms increase output and new firms will enter the market, increasing output still more, price will fall until all profit is competed away. An Increase in Demand If the the market is a constant-cost industry, the new equilibrium will be at the original price but with a higher output. • A market is a constant-cost industry if the long-run industry supply curve is perfectly elastic. An Increase in Demand The original firms return to their original output but since there are more firms in the market, the total market output increases. An Increase in Demand In the short run, the price does more of the adjusting. • In the long run, more of the adjustment is done by quantity. Market Response to an Increase in Demand Market Price Price Firm S0SR $9 7 AC S1SR B C A SLR MC $9 Profit 7 B A D1 D0 0 700 840 1,200 Quantity 0 1012 Quantity Long-Run Market Supply Two other possibilities exist: Increasing-cost industry – factor prices rise as new firms enter the market and existing firms expand capacity. Decreasing-cost industry – factor prices fall as industry output expands. An Increasing-Cost Industry If inputs are specialized, factor prices are likely to rise when the increase in the industry-wide demand for inputs to production increases. An Increasing-Cost Industry This rise in factor costs would force costs up for each firm in the industry and increases the price at which firms earn zero profit. An Increasing-Cost Industry Therefore, in increasing-cost industries, the long-run supply curve is upward sloping. A Decreasing-Cost Industry If input prices decline when industry output expands, individual firms' marginal cost curves shift down and the long-run supply curve is downward sloping. A Decreasing-Cost Industry Input prices may decline to the zero-profit condition when output rises and when new entrants make it more costeffective for other firms to provide services to all firms in the market. A Real World Example Owners of the Ames chain of department stores decide to close over 100 stores after experiencing two years of losses (a shutdown decision). A Real World Example Initially, Ames thought the losses were temporary. • Since price exceeded average variable cost, it continued to produce even though it was losing money. A Real World Example After two years of losses, its prospective changed. • The company moved from the short run to the long run. A Real World Example They began to think that demand was not temporarily low, but permanently low. • At that point they shut down those stores for which P < AVC. A Real World Example: A Shutdown Decision Price MC ATC Loss AVC P = MR Quantity SLO: Describe characteristics of a perfectly competitive firm. Derive the demand curve for a perfectly competitive firm given market demand and supply. Calculate Total, Average and Marginal Revenue for firms. Imperfect Competition There are five different types of market structures that are imperfect Monopoly Monopolistic competition Duopoly Oligopoly Monopsony Duopsony Oligopsony Monopoly Has the following characteristics One firm known as a monopolist One firm supplies the whole market or nearly the whole market- has considerable influence on the price by varying quantity it supplies Very strong barriers to entry and exit The product it sells has only one or no close substitutes Monopoly KEY Market Firm Monopoly: Examples Tranz Rail Inter-island Ferry Postal delivery service: NZ post Monopoly A monopolist has a high degree over the price by restricting the quantity it sells. Price Therefore it faces a downwards sloping demand curve D Quantity Monopolistic Competition Has the following characteristics There are a large number of firms in the industry Each firm has some control over price because they can differentiate their product There are weak barriers to entry and exit Consumer and producer knowledge is imperfect Monopolistic Competition Examples Shops and other service providers. Dairies Takeaway shops Hairdressers Garages Monopolistic Competition Monopolistic firms have a small level of control over price or output (due to product differentiation) Price D Quantity Therefore they face a downwards sloping demand curve Oligopoly Has the following characteristics Few number of large sellers, that dominate the market Sells similar but differentiated products. Price is usually similar across the industry Firms have some control over price Firms prefer to use non-price competition to provide a competitive advantage Strong barriers to entry by new firms Often accused of collusion, as existing firms look as though they act together in their pricing decisions. Oligopoly: Example Petrol retailing companies Few large competitors BP SHELL Caltex Mobil Smaller players Challenge Gull Other Examples •New car market -Ford, Mitsubishi, Toyota, Honda •Fast Food market - McDonalds, KFC, Burger King •Retail banking market - BNZ, ANZ, Kiwibank, Westpac Sell a homogeneous product. These firms differentiate their product with powerful branding using heavy advertising logos sponsorship and other promotions Kinked Demand Curve d If producer reduces price (from P2 to P3) the competitors are likely to follow. The result is a smaller % increase in sales from q2 to q3. (inelastic demand). q1 q2 q3 If producer increases price (P2 to P1) the competitors are unlikely to follow. The result is a larger % fall in sales from q2 to q1 (elastic demand) p P1 P2 P3 q The risk of using Price Competition A price war may arise ( firms keep lowering prices to try and gain a greater market share. This may result in a firm or firms being unable to operate and might be forced to leave the market altogether. While the firms that survived, will have to settle for decreased profits (as prices are lower) until the price war is over. Due to this risk, Oligopolists prefer not to use price competition and stick to using non-price competition. Non-Price Competition Product Differentiation Product Variation Make the product appear different Make the product really different Product Differentiation Duopoly Has the following characteristics Market is dominated by two large producers Have considerable influence on price Produce differentiated products, with the use of non-price competition Strong barriers to entry of new firms Duopoly KEY Market Firm Duopoly Examples •Qantas Airways Limited is the national Mobile firm services airline of Australia. The name was Telecom and Vodaphone (one"QANTAS", company owns originally an 2 degrees) acronym/initialism for "Queensland and Northern Territory Aerial Services". Domestic airlines inNicknamed NZ "The Flying Kangaroo", the Quantas NZ and Airairline NZ is based in Sydney, with its main hub at Sydney Airport. Supermarkets Foodstuffs ( New World, Pak’ n’ Save) Woolworths Australia (Woolworths, Foodtown, Countdown) Duopoly Duoplolists have a big influence over price by differentiating their product using nonprice competition. Price D Quantity They therefore face a downwards sloping demand curve Monopsony Is the sole BUYER in a market The market is dominated by one large firm that purchases the whole market supply or nearly the whole market Able to have significant influence on the price by varying the quantity it purchases Example: Fonterra Fill in the gaps table Perfect imperfect Many, few, two, one Homogenous, differentiated, no close substitues None, weak strong Monopolistic Competition A monopolistically competitive industry has the following characteristics: A large number of firms No barriers to entry Product differentiation Monopolistic Competition Monopolistic competition is a common form of industry (market) structure in the United States, characterized by a large number of firms, none of which can influence market price by virtue of size alone. Some degree of market power is achieved by firms producing differentiated products. New firms can enter and established firms can exit such an industry with ease. Nine Industries with Characteristics of Monopolistic Competition Percentage of Value of Shipments Accounted for by the Largest Firms in Selected Industries, 1992 INDUSTRY DESIGNATION SIC NO. FOUR LARGEST FIRMS EIGHT TWENTY NUMBER LARGEST LARGEST OF FIRMS FIRMS FIRMS 3792 Travel trailers and campers 41 57 72 270 3942 Dolls 34 47 67 204 2521 Wood office furniture 26 34 51 611 2731 Book publishing 23 38 62 2504 2391 Curtains and draperies 22 32 48 1004 2092 Fresh or frozen seafood 19 28 47 600 3564 Blowers and fans 14 22 41 518 2335 Women’s dresses 11 17 30 3943 3089 Miscellaneous plastic products 5 8 13 7605 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 1992 Census of Manufacturers, Concentration Ratios in Manufacturing, Subject Series MC92-S-2, 1997. Product Differentiation, Advertising, and Social Welfare Total Advertising Expenditures in 1998 DOLLARS (BILLIONS) Newspapers 44.2 Television 48.0 Direct mail 39.5 Other 31.7 Yellow pages 12.0 Radio 14.5 Magazines 10.4 Total 200.3 Source: McCann Erickson, Inc., Reported in U.S. Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1999, Table 947. The Case for Product Differentiation and Advertising The advocates of free and open competition believe that differentiated products and advertising give the market system its vitality and are the basis of its power. Product differentiation helps to ensure high quality and efficient production. The Case for Product Differentiation and Advertising Advertising provides consumers with the valuable information on product availability, quality, and price that they need to make efficient choices in the market place. The Case Against Product Differentiation and Advertising Critics of product differentiation and advertising argue that they amount to nothing more than waste and inefficiency. Enormous sums are spent to create minute, meaningless, and possibly nonexistent differences among products. The Case Against Product Differentiation and Advertising Advertising raises the cost of products and frequently contains very little information. Often, it is merely an annoyance. People exist to satisfy the needs of the economy, not vice versa. Advertising can lead to unproductive warfare and may serve as a barrier to entry, thus reducing real competition. Product Differentiation Reduces the Elasticity of Demand Facing a Firm Based on the availability of substitutes, the demand curve faced by a monopolistic competitor is likely to be less elastic than the demand curve faced by a perfectly competitive firm, and likely to be more elastic than the demand curve faced by a monopoly. Monopolistic Competition in the Short Run In the short-run, a monopolistically competitive firm will produce up to the point where MR = MC. • This firm is earning positive profits in the short-run. Monopolistic Competition in the Short-Run Profits are not guaranteed. Here, a firm with a similar cost structure is shown facing a weaker demand and suffering shortrun losses. Monopolistic Competition in the Long-Run The firm’s demand curve must end up tangent to its average total cost curve for profits to equal zero. This is the condition for long-run equilibrium in a monopolistically competitive industry. Economic Efficiency and Resource Allocation In the long-run, economic profits are eliminated; thus, we might conclude that monopolistic competition is efficient, however: • Price is above marginal cost. More output could be produced at a resource cost below the value that consumers place on the product. Economic Efficiency and Resource Allocation In the long-run, economic profits are eliminated; thus, we might conclude that monopolistic competition is efficient, however: • Average total cost is not minimized. The typical firm will not realize all the economies of scale available. Smaller and smaller market share results in excess capacity. Oligopoly An oligopoly is a form of industry (market) structure characterized by a few dominant firms. Products may be homogeneous or differentiated. The behavior of any one firm in an oligopoly depends to a great extent on the behavior of others. Ten Highly Concentrated Industries Percentage of Value of Shipments Accounted for by the Largest Firms in HighConcentration Industries, 1992 INDUSTRY DESIGNATION SIC NO. FOUR LARGEST FIRMS EIGHT LARGEST FIRMS NUMBER OF FIRMS 2823 Cellulosic man-made fiber 98 100 5 3331 Primary copper 98 99 11 3633 Household laundry equipment 94 99 10 2111 Cigarettes 93 100 8 2082 Malt beverages (beer) 90 98 160 3641 Electric lamp bulbs 86 94 76 2043 Cereal breakfast foods 85 98 42 3711 Motor vehicles 84 91 398 3482 Small arms ammunition 84 95 55 3632 Household refrigerators and freezers 82 98 52 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 1992 Census of Manufacturers, Concentration Ratios in Manufacturing, Subject Series MC92-S-2, 1997. Oligopoly Models All kinds of oligopoly have one thing in common: The behavior of any given oligopolistic firm depends on the behavior of the other firms in the industry comprising the oligopoly. The Collusion Model A group of firms that gets together and makes price and output decisions jointly is called a cartel. Collusion occurs when price- and quantity-fixing agreements are explicit. Tacit collusion occurs when firms end up fixing price without a specific agreement, or when agreements are implicit. The Cournot Model The Cournot model is a model of a two-firm industry (duopoly) in which a series of output-adjustment decisions leads to a final level of output between the output that would prevail if the market were organized competitively and the output that would be set by a monopoly. The Kinked Demand Curve Model The kinked demand model is a model of oligopoly in which the demand curve facing each individual firm has a “kink” in it. The kink follows from the assumption that competitive firms will follow if a single firm cuts price but will not follow if a single firm raises price. The Kinked Demand Curve Model Above P*, an increase in price, which is not followed by competitors, results in a large decrease in the firm’s quantity demanded (demand is elastic). Below P*, price decreases are followed by competitors so the firm does not gain as much quantity demanded (demand is inelastic). The Price-Leadership Model Price-leadership is a form of oligopoly in which one dominant firm sets prices and all the smaller firms in the industry follow its pricing policy. The Price-Leadership Model Assumptions of the price-leadership model: 1. The industry is made up of one large firm and a number of smaller, competitive firms; 2. The dominant firm maximizes profit subject to the constraint of market demand and subject to the behavior of the smaller firms; 3. The dominant firm allows the smaller firms to sell all they want at the price the leader has set. The Price-Leadership Model Outcome of the price-leadership model: 1. The quantity demanded in the industry is split between the dominant firm and the group of smaller firms. 2. This division of output is determined by the amount of market power that the dominant firm has. 3. The dominant firm has an incentive to push smaller firms out of the industry in order to establish a monopoly. Predatory Pricing The practice of a large, powerful firm driving smaller firms out of the market by temporarily selling at an artificially low price is called predatory pricing. Such behavior became illegal in the United States with the passage of antimonopoly legislation around the turn of the century. Game Theory Game theory analyzes oligopolistic behavior as a complex series of strategic moves and reactive countermoves among rival firms. In game theory, firms are assumed to anticipate rival reactions. Payoff Matrix for Advertising Game B’s STRATEGY A’s STRATEGY Do not advertise Advertise Do not advertise A’s profit = $50,000 B’s profit = $50,000 A’s loss = $25,000 B’s profit = $75,000 Advertise A’s profit = $75,000 B’s loss = $25,000 A’s profit = $10,000 B’s profit = $10,000 • The strategy that firm A will actually choose depends on the information available concerning B’s likely strategy. Payoff Matrix for Advertising Game B’s STRATEGY A’s STRATEGY Do not advertise Advertise Do not advertise A’s profit = $50,000 B’s profit = $50,000 A’s loss = $25,000 B’s profit = $75,000 Advertise A’s profit = $75,000 B’s loss = $25,000 A’s profit = $10,000 B’s profit = $10,000 • Regardless of what B does, it pays A to advertise. This is the dominant strategy, or the strategy that is best no matter what the opposition does. The Prisoners’ Dilemma ROCKY GINGER Do not confess Confess Do not confess Ginger: 1 year Rocky: 1 year Ginger: 7 years Rocky: free Confess Ginger: free Rocky: 7 years Ginger: 5 years Rocky: 5 years • Both Ginger and Rocky have dominant strategies: to confess. Both will confess, even though they would be better off if they both kept their mouths shut. Payoff Matrix for Left/Right-Top/Bottom Strategies Original Game D’s STRATEGY C’s STRATEGY Left Right Top C wins $100 D wins no $ C wins $100 D wins $100 Bottom C loses $100 D wins no $ C wins $200 D wins $100 • Because D’s behavior is predictable (he will play the right-hand strategy), C will play bottom. • When all players are playing their best strategy given what their competitors are doing, the result is called Nash equilibrium. Payoff Matrix for Left/Right-Top/Bottom Strategies New Game D’s STRATEGY C’s STRATEGY Left Right Top C wins $100 D wins no $ C wins $100 D wins $100 Bottom C loses $10,000 D wins no $ C wins $200 D wins $100 • C is likely to play top and guarantee herself a $100 profit instead of losing $10,000 to win $200, even if there is just a small chance of D’s choosing left. • When uncertainty and risk are introduced, the game changes. A maximin strategy is a strategy chosen to maximize the minimum gain that can be earned. Contestable Markets A market is perfectly contestable if entry to it and exit from it are costless. In contestable markets, even large oligopolistic firms end up behaving like perfectly competitive firms. Prices are pushed to long-run average cost by competition, and positive profits do not persist. Oligopoly is Consistent with a Variety of Behaviors The only necessary condition of oligopoly is that firms are large enough to have some control over price. Oligopolies are concentrated industries. At one extreme is the cartel, in essence, acting as a monopolist. At the other extreme, firms compete for small contestable markets in response to observed profits. In between are a number of alternative models, all of which stress the interdependence of oligopolistic firms. Oligopoly and Economic Performance Oligopolies, or concentrated industries, are likely to be inefficient for the following reasons: They are likely to price above marginal cost. This means that there would be underproduction from society’s point of view. Strategic behavior can force firms into deadlocks that waste resources. Product differentiation and advertising may pose a real danger of waste and inefficiency. The Role of Government The Celler-Kefauver Act of 1950 extended the government’s authority to ban vertical and conglomerate mergers. The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) is a mathematical calculation that uses market share figures to determine whether or not a proposed merger will be challenged by the government. Regulation of Mergers Calculation of a Simple Herfindahl-Hirschman Index for Four Hypothetical Industries, Each With No More Than Four Firms PERCENTAGE SHARE OF: HERFINDAHLHIRSCHMAN INDEX FIRM 1 FIRM 2 FIRM 3 FIRM 4 Industry A 50 50 - - 502 + 502 = 5,000 Industry B 80 10 10 - 802 + 102 + 102 = 6,600 Industry C 25 25 25 25 252 + 252 + 252 + 252 = 2,500 Industry D 40 20 20 20 402 + 202 + 202 + 202 = 2,800 Department of Justice Merger Guidelines (revised 1984) ANTITRUST DIVISION ACTION HHI 1,800 1,000 Concentrated Challenge if Index is raised by more than 50 points by the merger Moderate Concentration Challenge if Index is raised by more than 100 points by the merger Unconcentrated No challenge 0