JUN 8 – 10, 2015 Title Slide Introduction to Captive Investments www.bermudacaptive.bm Introduction to Captive Investments Speakers: • Brad Komenda, Vice President and Portfolio Manager, Pioneer Investments • Andrew Baron, CFA, Head of Group Fixed Income Butterfield Asset Management • Colleen McHugh, Corporate Investment Adviser, Vice President, Barclays Wealth & Investment Management • Robert Steinhoff, CFA, Investment Manager, Clarien Investments Limited Moderator: • Carl Terzer, Principal, CapVisor Associates, LLC Introduction to Captive Investments Agenda – Investment Plan Design – Strategic Asset Allocation – Tactical Plan implementation – Monitoring, Reviewing and updating Captive Investment Programs Introduction to Captive Investments • Investment Plan Design – Investment Planning Elements • Self assessment – Business objectives – Investment objectives – Risk tolerance – Regulatory requirements – Accounting considerations • Investment Policy Statement (IPS) Introduction to Captive Investments Investment Objectives The Continuum Income Maximization Insurers Liquidity Total Return Others Surplus Reserves Insurance Portfolio Segmentation: Liquidity, Reserves and Surplus Introduction to Captive Investments Defining Investment Program Risk • Traditional investment measure: – Standard deviation • Practical investment measures – Losing money, i.e. safety of principal – Not producing a targeted level of income – Not having sufficient liquidity to pay claims • Other insurance operational measures – Failing to preserve or attain an AM Best rating – Not growing surplus at desired rate – Underperforming competitors Introduction to Captive Investments Risk Tolerance Must recognize the existence of market risks in the investment portfolio Should also make clear what the priorities are in terms of: • • • • Volatility (can range between “don’t care” and “Low” Liquidity Asset Quality Diversification Within this section, some mention can be given to the following other items: • • • • Any specified and regular liquidity needs The Time Horizon of the investment portfolio (nearly always “long) The existence of taxes, whether things like withholding tax should be avoided, the Captive files as 953d, no Canadian Source Income, etc Other unique circumstances (green, ethical, etc) Introduction to Captive Investments The Basics Every Investment Policy Statement should have these building blocks: 1. Purpose Statement/Introduction/Overview 2. Portfolio Goals and Objectives 3. Definition of Duties 4. Investment Strategy and Asset Allocation 5. Liquidity and Collateral Considerations 6. Monitoring and Review Procedures 7. Investment Limitations Introduction to Captive Investments At a minimum, each of the relevant parties that has some responsibility for the IPS should be identified • The Board of the Captive • Has ultimate Fiduciary responsibility for the Captive company • If there are employees of the Captive Manager on the Board of the company, they should know and recognize that they have a fiduciary responsibility in this regard. • Should state whether monitoring the compliance to the IPS is the responsibility of an Investment Committee or the Board • Investment Committee • Common in Captive governance, but not required • Usually responsible for recommending investment strategies, service providers, brokers, custodians, etc to the full Board • • • • Investment Managers Investment Consultants Custodian Actuarial provider – may have an effect on Investment Policy Introduction to Captive Investments The Importance of Investment Philosophy Items that can be covered include: • Whether costs are important • Whether inflation is a concern • Whether any contrarian views are desired • The purpose of inclusion of Alternative asset classes • Whether Active Management is desired or if there is a belief that an active manager can add value • Whether any tactical shifts in asset allocation are going to be employed and who is responsible for those decisions • Whether equities should have any inherent size bias (small, medium, largecap • Whether equities should any kind of style tilt (Value, dividends, etc) Introduction to Captive Investments Step 1 - Define Allowable Asset Classes • “Equities” and “Bonds” is not an asset allocation • Specifically set the type of assets that are allowable, unless you want a “go anywhere” global manager • Set a strategic allocation that makes sense in the context of the objectives of the Captive – attempt to incorporate a forward Capital Markets assumption • Be Realistic • Set allowable ranges for the strategic or tactical allocation – this avoids the possibility of getting over-emotional and potentially acting without an Investment Committee vote Introduction to Captive Investments Strategic Asset Allocation Introduction to Captive Investments Terminology Strategic Asset Allocation • Intermediate to long term horizon typically 3-5 yrs. Measured in “business • Utilizes underwriting, claims, expected return projections • Incorporates customized risk and return measures • Governed by broad tax, statutory, and company- specific guidelines • Defines range of allocations cycles” Tactical Asset Allocation • Short to intermediate-term horizon – Typically 3-18 months measured in weeks, months & quarter • Utilizes actual underwriting results • Incorporates current capital market pricing and relative valuations • Governed by “temporary” modifications to portfolio based on market conditions • Defines specific allocation Introduction to Captive Investments Strategic Asset Allocation Determinants of long term investment results Sources: Ibbotson and Kaplan entitled "Does Asset Allocation Policy Explain 40%, 90% or 100% of Performance?" (2000). Introduction to Captive Investments Risk and Reward Captive Portfolio Optimizati on using Efficient Frontier Analysis 90% Core FI; 10% S&P 500 75% Core FI & 25% S&P 500 Return Core Fixed Income Int. Gov. Credit “Unoptimized” Client Portfolio 100% US Govt. Risk • Efficient Frontier line represents the best possible risk/reward portfolio combinations available in the marketplace • Captives investment portfolios should lie on the efficient frontier to improve performance within the same risk reward characteristics, i.e. increasing return at the same risk level (up arrow) or reducing portfolio risk for the same return (left arrow) Introduction to Captive Investments 10 year Asset Class Correlation Matrix Introduction to Captive Investments Strategic Asset Classes (lower correlation) • US bonds • High Yield bonds • Convertible bonds • US equities • International equities • Emerging market bonds/equities • Commodities, REITs, MPLS • Hedge Funds • Private equity, mezzanine debt Introduction to Captive Investments Tactical Plan Implementation Introduction to Captive Investments Tactical Asset Classes Fixed Income (Bonds) • Treasuries • Corporate Bonds • Asset Backed Securities • Mortgage backed securities • Municipals, etc. • High Yield Equities (Stocks) • Large Cap • Mid Cap • Small Cap • Growth vs Value • Country/industry Introduction to Captive Investments Security Level Risks- Bonds • Credit – Downgrade – Default • Interest rate (Duration) • Liquidity • Inflation • Prepayment • Reinvestment • Convexity • Currency Introduction to Captive Investments Bond Market Mechanics Interest Rates and Prices Interest Rates Bond Prices Interest Rates Bond Prices Introduction to Captive Investments Duration Defined: a measurement of the portfolio’s sensitivity to interest rate changes that approximates the % change in portfolio market value for a given % rate change Duration Portfolio Duration = 3.5 years 1% Interest Rate Changes 1% 3.5% Portfolio Market Value Changes 3.5% Introduction to Captive Investments Investment Manager Style Risks Equities- price volatility Tactical • capitalization • liquidity • sector Strategic • geographic • political • geographic Bonds–income volatility • Duration • Yield curve • Sector • Security Introduction to Captive Investments Bond Manager’s Style Risks Strategy Toolbox Duration Security Management Selection Yield Curve Probability of Success Potential Reward Sector Rotation Introduction to Captive Investments Manager Selection Criterion – Philosophy • “Total Return” or “Yield Maximization” • Active, passive or blended management – Process • Top down or bottom up • Alpha attribution: duration, yield curve, sector, security selection • Style analysis • Tax efficiency – Performance • MPT Statistical assessment (Risk-adjusted return analysis) • After-tax performance • Adherence to guidelines • Universe comparison – Personnel • Insurance asset management experience • Insurance regulatory, tax and accounting expertise • Insurance Accounting and reporting capabilities – Client-specific criteria • Execution of policy objective & adherence to guidelines and regulations • Fees/Value for service • Portfolio tax liability management • Client service and other administrative responsibilities • Accounting & Reporting efficacy • Overall relationship efficiency Introduction to Captive Investments Rolling Period Nominal Returns Introduction to Captive Investments Nominal Vs. RiskAdjusted Returns Introduction to Captive Investments Monitoring, Reviewing and Updating Captive Investment Programs Introduction to Captive Investments Annual Program Review • Incorporate changes in: – Operating conditions- underwriting, claims, premiums, reinsurance, fronting, etc. – Risk tolerance or investment objectives – Captive growth expectations, etc. • Review and modify planning documentation – IPS/guideline or asset allocation changes – Rebalancing rules – Benchmarks, etc. • Evaluation of manager performance • Evaluation of overall program efficacy Introduction to Captive Investments Evolving Strategic Asset Allocation New/Small Captive Cash 25% Advanced Captive Cash 5% Equities 10% Investment Grade Bonds 75% Mature Captive Cash 5% A lt. Investments 10% Investment Grade Bonds 85% Equities 25% B o nds 50% High Yield 10% 30