Chapter 24 – Measuring Domestic Output and National Income Gross Domestic Product (GDP) • GDP is the primary measure of the economy’s performance • GDP is the market value of all final goods and services produced within a nation in a year (Dodge, 2005). • GDP measures Aggregate Spending, Income and Output. Counted or Not Counted? • GDP counts all final, domestic production for which there is a market transaction in that year. • Used and intermediate goods are not counted in order to avoid doublecounting. • Non-market production is not counted. • Underground or ‘black market’ activity is not counted. Nonproduction transactions • If there is no production – the transaction is excluded • Financial transactions – transfer payments (social security, welfare…) • Private transfer payments – money for your birthday… • Stock market transactions – they are a swap and create no production Counted or Not Counted? • Which of the following are counted or not counted in U.S. GDP and why? – New U.S. manufactured Goodyear tire sold to the General Motors Corporation – New U.S. manufactured Goodyear tire sold to a consumer – Child care services provided by you for the neighbor’s kid – The ingredients to a cherry pie for sale at a bakery – A new Boeing 787 – New Tundra pick-up truck manufactured in San Antonio by Japanese firm Toyota – You pay your stock broker to purchase 20 shares of GOOGLE stock Aggregate Spending The expenditure approach • GDP = C + IG + G + XN • C = Consumption • IG = Gross Private Investment • G = Government Spending • XN= Net Exports = Exports (X) – Imports (M) Consumption • Consumer spending on – Durable goods (cars, appliances…) – Non-durable goods (food, clothing…) – Services (plumbing, college…) • Consumer spending is the largest component of U.S. GDP. Gross and Net Private Investment • Gross Investment is spending in order to increase future output or productivity – Business spending on capital – New construction – Change in unsold inventories • Net Investment Gross investment minus depreciation (capital used up over the course of the year) If depreciation is more than gross investment, it is called disinvesting Government Spending • All levels of government spending on final goods and services and infrastructure count toward GDP. • Remember!! - Government transfer payments do not count toward GDP. Net Exports • Exports – Imports •X–M • Exports create a flow of money to the United States in exchange for domestic production. • Imports create a flow of money away from the United States in exchange for foreign production. Aggregate Income Income approach • GDP measures spending and income. • Income = r + w + i + p = factor payments • r = rent (payment for natural resources) • w = wages (payment for labor – largest share of national income) • i = interest (payment for capital, also includes interest on savings) • p = corporate profits (payment for entrepreneurship – dividends, corp income tax, undistributed corp profit – also call retained earnings) Figure 24.3 page 496 • Review this figure • US domestic output and the flows of expenditures and income Nominal vs. Real GDP • Nominal GDP is current GDP measured at current market prices – Nominal GDP may overstate the value of production because of the effects of inflation or understate due to deflation • Real GDP is current GDP measured with a fixed dollar – You must deflate GDP when prices rise and inflate GDP when prices fall **KEY POINT** – Use a reference year to do this – Real GDP holds the value of the dollar constant and is useful for making year to year comparisons • Real GDP is the IMPORTANT ONE!!! CPI compared to the GDP deflator Link to Video The adjustment process • Consumer Price Index – market basket of goods (collection of goods and services in a given year compared to an identical collection in the reference year) • PI = (price of the market basket in a specific year/price of the same basket in the base year) x 100 • cpi video • Real GDP = nominal GDP/Price index (in 100s) • Work through table 24.5 and worked problem Changes in GDP • GDP is a measure of a nation’s prosperity and economic growth • As GDP grows the burden of scarcity is lessened for a society • GDP per capita provides a better measure of individual well-being than GDP Shortcomings of GDP • Nonmarket activities – except the portion of a farmers output that he consumes is estimated and included • Leisure time, although increased in the last century, is ignored • Improved product quality – this improves economic well being but this is not reflected • Underground economy – this includes tips, off the books or cash transactions, barters • Environment – air pollution, water, etc. not counted so GDP may over state our national well being • Composition/distribution of GDP is not revealed (nuclear waste) • GDP doesn’t measure total well being – crime, war, reduction of addictive goods