Is Criminal Justice Just?
1
Score
141133-140
125-132
116-124
109-115
102-108
95-101
88-94
81-87
74-80
67-73
150 possible
Grade
A
AB+
B
BC+
C
CD+
D
D-
Number
3
14
16
29
23
14
7
6
4
4
2
122/123
Econ 160
Midterm
W 2011
Median=116
2
2
2011 Midterm Score Distribution
Histogram Econ 160 Midterm W '11
35
31
28
Frequency
30
25
21
20
16
15
9
10
5
8
4
0
1
Bin
70
3
0
80
90 100 110 120 130 140 150
score out of 150
3
Outline
Equity or fairness issues in criminal justice
 Equity and fairness in society: deep
background
 A measure of inequity

The Lorenz Curve
 The Gini Coefficient


Private Goods and Public Goods
4
Criminal Justice System Equity Issues
5
Variation of Victimization with
Income
6
Average Annual Rate of Violent
Victimizations Per 1000
Females
Family Income
Less than $10,000
$10,000 - $14,999
$15,000 - $19,999
$20,000 - $29,999
$30,000 - $49,999
$50,000 or more
Total
57
47
42
38
31
25
Intimate
20
13
11
10
5
5
Phillips’ Lecture 4
7
Victimization Rates by Income
Class
Source: Report to the Nation on Crime and Justice, Second edition
8
Questions
Why are victimization rates higher for poor
women than for affluent women?
 Why do victimization rates vary more with
income for robbery than for burglary?

9
Issues in the Operation of the CJS
False Imprisonment: police officers and
district attorneys conspiring to railroad
 Are there injustices by race, ethnicity,
social class for victims?

10
Los Angeles Times

Wednesday, November 10, 1999-p. A1


“Garcetti Seeks to Overturn 4 Cases Tainted
by LAPD”`
Thursday, November 11, 1999- p. A1

“Inmate Freed in LAPD Probe”
 LAPD

Ramparts station
Officers Rafael Perez and Nino Durden
11
12
U.S. News and World Report: 119-98
 “The Wrong Men on Death Row”
3517 inmates on death row
 since 1976, 486 executions
 75 known cases of persons wrongly
condemned to die



probability about 2 per 100
States with mistakes
Florida: 19
 Illinois: 9
 Texas: 7
 Georgia: 6

13
Are the risks of mistakes too
high?
 Three
factors in wrongful
convictions
 perjured
testimony
 faulty eyewitness identification
 false confessions
#
1 reason for wrongful convictions
 incompetent
 in
legal representation
1996 Congress stopped funding legal
aid centers in 20 states
14
15
16
17
18
Deep Background: Equity in Society
The distribution of income
 The distribution of wealth
 Poverty
 Education trends

19
The Economic Report of the
President 2011
20
21
This graphic shows the distribution of gross
annual household income. The building's
thirty exposed floors are easily divided into
quintiles, each income quintile represented
by six floors. Each floor represents the tenth
of a third (3.33%) of households in the US,
and each section of 10 floors represent
roughly one third of American society. The
floors above the top black line represent
those households with incomes of or
exceeding $100,000. The floors below the
bottom black line, however, represent those
households who fell below the poverty
threshold. In order to live on the top floor of
the American income strata, a household's
annual gross income needs to exceed
$200,000.
22
Distribution of Income by Quintile
2005
23
Distribution of Income, 2005
- $ 10K
$20K-$30K
$10K – $20K
$90K -$100K
$100K-$150K
$150K-$200K
24
Median Income By Education
25
26
Economic Report of the President 2011
27
The Rich Get Richer, 2003 $, 67-03
28
Real Median Household Income 67-05
29
30
The Glass Ceiling
31
32
33
34
Why is Income Distributed So
Unevenly?
Labor Income is Unevenly Distributed
 Part-time work

less than 50 weeks per year
 less than 36 hours per week

35
h school graduate Some college Associates degree Bachelor's degree Bachelor's
520
$46,296
$52,289
$64,150
$68,845
979
$44,153
$49,622
$64,537
$70,349
609
$44,537
$50,485
$63,357
$69,584
607
$45,734
$51,726
$67,487
$72,338
322
$48,588
$54,282
$70,925
$76,958
468
$47,605
$53,166
$69,796
$75,116
835
$45,854
$51,970
$68,728
$73,446
620
$46,109
$51,934
$66,997
$72,376
36
37
SB News-Press Feb 25, 2007
38
Out of 16 million, 1.9
million live in CA
39
15 States with Lowest Median Income
40
Counties with lowest per capita income,
2000
41
Poverty, Crime and Imprisonment: 1959US Offenses Per Capita, Prisoners Per Capita & Fraction of People Below Poverty
05
20
03
20
01
20
99
19
97
19
95
19
93
19
91
19
89
19
87
19
85
19
83
19
81
19
79
19
77
19
75
19
73
19
71
19
69
19
67
19
65
19
63
19
61
19
19
59
1
Rate
0.1
0.01
0.001
USOFPC
USPRPC
FRbelPOV
0.0001
Year
42
19
5
19 2
1953
5
19 4
5
19 5
1956
5
19 7
5
19 8
5
19 9
1960
6
19 1
6
19 2
1963
1964
6
19 5
1966
6
19 7
6
19 8
1969
1970
7
19 1
7
19 2
1973
7
19 4
7
19 5
7
19 6
1977
7
19 8
7
19 9
1980
8
19 1
8
19 2
8
19 3
1984
8
19 5
8
19 6
1987
8
19 8
1989
9
19 0
1991
9
19 2
9
19 3
1994
9
19 5
9
19 6
1997
9
19 8
9
20 9
0
20 0
2001
0
20 2
0
20 3
2004
0
20 5
06
USOFPC
0.07
0.06
0.04
0
0.03
0.01
0
Annual Change
FBI Index Offense Rate and Annual
Change in Offense rate
FBI Index Offenses Per Capita & Annual Change in This Rate: 1952-2006
USOFPC
0.015
DUSOFPC
0.01
0.05
0.005
0.02
-0.005
-0.01
-0.015
Year
43
Actual Fitted and Residual, DUSOFPC Vs..
0.015
0.010
0.005
0.010
0.000
0.005
-0.005
0.000
-0.005
-0.010
60
65
70
75
Residual
80
85
90
Actual
95
00
05
Fitted
44
Change in Annual FBI Index O ffenses Per Capita Vs.
0.015
0.010
0.005
0.010
0.000
0.005
 = 10
Imprison: $30,000/year
$30,000/10 = $3,000
incapcitation only
reduces the offenses
that would be committed by that
Inmate. Does it pay?
-0.005
0.000
-0.005
60
65
70
75
Residual
80
85
90
Actual
95
00
05
Fitted
45
46
The Great Recession
Unemployment Rates: 1962-2009
30
All Civilians
Males 16-19
25
Rate
20
15
10
5
0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Year
47
Labor Market: Long Run
Unemployment Rates: 1962-2009
30
All Civilians
Males 16-19
Linear (Males 16-19)
25
Linear (All Civilians)
Rate
20
15
10
5
0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Year
48
16-19 Year olds
Unemployment Rates and Participation Rates
70
Males 16-19
Male&Female Participation Rate 16-19
60
50
Rate
40
30
20
10
0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Year
49
16-19 Year Olds
Participation Rates Vs. Unemployment Rates
70
60
Participation Rate
50
40
2007
2008
2009
30
20
10
0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Unemployment Rate
50
Cost to Victims in US, 1993
Offense
Robbery
Loss Rate Reported Damages,
Offenses Billions $
$13,000
659,757
$8.6
Auto
Theft
Burglary
$4,000
1,561,047
$6.2
$1,500
2,834,808
$4.3
Larceny
$370
7,820,909
$2.4
Total
$21.5
Source: National Institute of Justice, Victim Costs and Consequences (1996)
51
State and Local Criminal Justice System Expenditures Per Capita Vs. FBI Index Offenses
Per 100,000, 2005
FBI Index Offenses Per 100,000
7000
DC
6000
5000
4000
CA
3000
2000
South Dakota
1000
0
$0.00
$200.00
$400.00
$600.00
$800.00
$1,000.00
$1,200.00
$1,400.00
Expenditures Per Capita
52
FBI Index Offenses Per 100,000 = -563755/CJS Exp. Per Cap.+80.5*Child Poverty
+ 3620
FBI Index Offenses Per 100, 000 =-563755/$531.16 +80.24*16.4% + 3620
3800
= 3880
53
A Measure of Inequity

Tools:
Lorenz Curve
 Gini Coefficient


Benchmarks
Everybody has the same income
 Each income between 0$ and $100,000 is
equally likely

54
Benchmark: Frequency Distribution for Equal .
0.1
0.09
0.08
Frequency
0.07
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
33000
0.01
0
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
Income
55
Equal Distribution of Income
% Population % Income
0
0
20
20
40
40
60
60
80
80
100
100
Lorenz Curve: Equal Distribution of Income
.
120
100
% Income
80
60
40
20
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
% Population
56
Benchmark: Frequency Distribution for Uniform
.
0.01
0.009
0.008
Frequency
0.007
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002
0.001
0
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
Income
57
Uniform Distribution of Income
% Population % Income
0
0
20
4
40
16
60
36
80
64
100
100
Lorenz Curves: Equal and Uniform Distributions
.
120
100
% Income
80
60
40
Equal
Uniform
20
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
% Population
58
US Family Income, 1994
% Families % Income
0
0
20
4.2
40
14.2
60
29.9
80
53.2
95
79.9
100
100
Lorenz Curve: United States Families, 1994
.
120
100
% Income
80
60
40
Equal
Uniform
Family
20
0
0
Source: US Statistical Abstract
20
40
60
80
100
120
% Families
59
Figure . Lorenz Curve and Gini Index=Pink Area/0.5
Equal:Gini = 0
Unequal: Gini =1
60
http://www.census.gov/hhes/income/histinc/h04.html
US Household Income Gini Index, 1972-2003
0.47
0.46
1993
Gini Index
0.45
0.44
0.43
0.42
0.41
0.4
0.39
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
Year
61
Households includes singles and unrelateds
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Gini_supplement.html
62
63
64
Victimization Rates by Income
Class
Income Class Burglary Rate* Robbery
Rate†
-$7500
86
9
7,500-9,999
60
7
10,000-14,999
67
5
15,000-24,999
59
5
25,000-29,999
54
5
30,000-49,999
58
4
50,00056
3
* Per 1000 Households
† Per 1,000 Persons
Source: Report to the Nation on Crime and Justice, Second edition
65
Lorenz Curves For Robbery and Burglary Victims
.
120
100
% Victims
80
Burglary
Robbery
Equal
60
40
20
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
% Families
66
Public Goods and Private
Goods

Private Goods

consumption uses them up
 what

you eat is not available to nourish others
Public Goods

consumption does not use them up
 national
defense
 safe streets
 educated citizenry
67
How Much Government Should There Be?
What is the right mix of public goods and private goods?
Private
Goods
Too Few Public Goods
Optimal Mix
Slope of the
Production PossibilityFrontier:
Marginal Cost of Public Goods
÷ Marginal Cost of Private Goods
Public Goods
68
Questions
Should safety be provided publicly or privately?
 How about safe streets?

69
Questions

What happens when public order breaks
down?

Colombia
Colombia: Kidnap capital of the world
Rebels held Alistair Taylor
for two years
70
Columbia Monthly # Kidnappings
200
100
0
1991
1999
71
Killing
plan
LA Times Feb 8, 2007
Mother of
5 led 800
Displaced
families
“Fighting the paramilitaries is like a burro
going up against a tiger” --Displaced
Farmer
72
Questions

What happens when public order breaks
down?

Middle Ages
 Roaming
bands
 Viking raiders
 Peasants owed fealty and three days of labor a week
to the lord in return for protection within the walls
73
Encyclopedia Britannica
This was a necessity in the midst of the civil disorders,
enfeebled governments, and barbarian invasions that wracked
Europe in the 5th and 6th centuries AD. In such conditions,
small farmers and landless labourers exchanged their land or
their freedom and pledged their services in return for the
protection of powerful landowners who had the military strength
to defend them.
74
Questions

What happens when public order breaks
down?

Other examples
 Mafia
provides protection
 Insight towards gangs: sections of cities where the
community does not trust the police, gangs fill the
vacuum
 Iraq: weak central government, Shia militias fill the
vacuum, and protect against rival Sunni marauders,
exhibit “A” – Sadr City
75
Questions; How About Other Public
Goods?

College education? Should it be private or
public?
UC or Stanford?
 Cal State?

76
????: Safety? Higher Ed? Health Care?
LA Times Feb 15, 2007
77
How Much Government Should There Be?
What is the right mix of public goods and private goods?
Private
Goods
Too Few Public Goods
Optimal Mix
Social Welfare Function
Slope of the
Production PossibilityFrontier:
Marginal Cost of Public Goods
÷ Marginal Cost of Private Goods
Public Goods
78
Question

In a democracy, who determines the mix of
private and public goods, i.e. social welfare?
79
Gini 0.26
Gini 0.45
Gini 0.33
Gini 0.31
80
81
82
How Much Government Should There Be?
What is the right mix of public goods and private goods?
US
Private
Goods
Too Few Public Goods
Optimal Mix
Social Welfare Function
Canada
Slope of the
Production PossibilityFrontier:
Marginal Cost of Public Goods
÷ Marginal Cost of Private Goods
Public Goods
83
Essay Questions – Final Exam

The California Criminal Justice System could be
described as a “train wreck”.




Briefly explain why this may be true for enforcement and
adjudication
Expand on why this seems to be the case for CA
corrections. Draw on recent current events for examples.
Describe at least four policy recommendations you could
make that would improve the situation.
The United States has one of the highest levels of
GDP per capita in the world. Yet we may not have the
highest level of social welfare. Explain
84
Recommendations
John Kenneth Galbraith, The Affluent Society
 Albert O . Hirschman, Exit, Voice and Loyalty

85