1. Find the mean for the given sample data. Unless indicated otherwise, round your answer to one more decimal place than is present in the original data values. The students in Hugh Logan's math class took the Scholastic Aptitude Test. Their math scores are shown below. Find the mean score. 536, 608, 344, 340, 596, 357, 343, 566, 470, 482 (Points : 4) 464.2 476.0 473.7 455.1 Mean = 536 + 608 + 344 + 340 + 596 + 357 + 343 + 566 + 470 + 482 10 Mean = 4642 10 Mean = 464.2 Solution: A. 464.2 2. Find the midrange for the given sample data. Listed below are the amounts of time (in months) that the employees of an electronics company have been working at the company. Find the midrange. 12, 21, 26, 37, 46, 53, 61, 66, 75, 76, 85, 91, 132, 155 W4T6 (Points : 4) 63.5 months 71.5 months 66.9 months 83.5 months The midrange is the average of the minimum and maximum values. The minimum value is 12, and the maximum value is 155. Midrange = Min + Max 12 +155 167 = = = 83.5 2 2 2 Solution: D. 83.5 months 3. Find the standard deviation for the given sample data. Round your answer to one more decimal place than is present in the original data. 20.0, 21.5, 27.4, 47.3, 13.1, 11.1 W4T7 (Points : 4) 4145.12 37.34 13.11 3285.46 Mean = 20.0 + 21.5 + 27.4 + 47.3 + 13.1 + 11.1 6 Mean = 140.4 = 23.40 6 Std. Dev. = ( 20.0 - 23.4 )2 + ( 21.5 - 23.4 )2 + ( 27.4 - 23.4 )2 + ( 47.3 - 23.4 )2 + (13.1 - 23.4 )2 + (11.1 - 23.4 )2 5 Std. Dev. = 13.1130 Solution: C. 13.11 4. Find the indicated probability. A bag contains 5 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 1 green marble. Find P(not blue). (Points : 4) 1/3 3/2 6 2/3 The total number of marbles is 5 + 3 + 1 = 9. The number of marbles that are not blue is 5 + 1 = 6 Then P(not blue) = (number of marbles that are not blue) / (total number of marbles) P(not blue) = 6 / 9 P(not blue) = 2/3 Alternatively, you could calculate P(blue), and then subtract that from 1 to get P(not blue): P(blue) = (number of blue marbles) / (total number of marbles) P(blue) = 3/9 = 1/3 P(not blue) = 1 – P(blue) = 1 – (1/3) = 2/3 5. Find the indicated probability. Round to the nearest thousandth. In a blood testing procedure, blood samples from 6 people are combined into one mixture. The mixture will only test negative if all the individual samples are negative. If the probability that an individual sample tests positive is 0.11, what is the probability that the mixture will test positive? (Points : 4) 0.00000177 1.000 0.503 0.497 The probability of a positive test is given as P(positive) = 0.11. The probability of a negative test, P(negative), is 1 – P(positive) = 1 – 0.11 = 0.89 The probability that all 6 samples test negative is: P(all 6 test negative) = (0.89)6 = 0.49698 The probability that the mixture tests negative is then also 0.497 The probability that the mixture test positive is then 1 – 0.497 = 0.503 Solution: C. 0.503 6. Evaluate the expression. 11C4 (Points : 4) 330 1980 5040 3 11C4 = 11! 11! 39916800 = = = 330 4!(11- 4 )! 4!7! ( 24 ) ( 5040 ) Solution: A. 330 7. Provide an appropriate response. Suppose you pay $3.00 to roll a fair die with the understanding that you will get back $5.00 for rolling a 1 or a 6, nothing otherwise. What is your expected value? (Points : 4) -$3.00 $3.00 -$1.33 $5.00 The probability of rolling a 1 or a 6, “winning”, is 2/6 = 1/3. The probability of rolling any other number, “losing”, is 1 – 1/3 = 2/3. Expected value = P(winning)($5) + P(losing)($0) - $3.00 Expected value = (1/3)($5) + (2/3)($0) - $3.00 Expected value = -$1.33 Solution: C. -$1.33 8. Assume that a researcher randomly selects 14 newborn babies and counts the number of girls selected, x. The probabilities corresponding to the 14 possible values of x are summarized in the given table. Answer the question using the table. W4T15 Find the probability of selecting 2 or more girls. (Points : 4) 0.999 0.006 0.001 0.994 Without the table showing the probability distribution, this problem cannot be answered. Here is how to go about solving it though: Use the values in the table, and subtract the probabilities for selecting 0 girls and for selecting 1 girl from 1.00. The result will be the probability of 2 or more girls. 9. Determine whether the given procedure results in a binomial distribution. If not, state the reason why. Choosing 10 marbles from a box of 40 marbles (20 purple, 12 red, and 8 green) one at a time with replacement, keeping track of the number of red marbles chosen. (Points : 4) Not binomial: there are more than two outcomes for each trial. Procedure results in a binomial distribution. Not binomial: the trials are not independent. Not binomial: there are too many trials. This scenario meets all of the criteria of a binomial experiment: 1. Each trial can have only two outcomes: red or not red 2. There are a fixed number of trials: 10 3. The outcomes of each trial are independent: The result of one draw does not affect the result of any other draw. 4. The probability of “success” (drawing a red marble) is the same for each trial: This is assured by replacing each drawn marble back into the box before the next draw. Since the scenario meets the criteria of a binomial experiment, the procedure will produce a binomial distribution. Solution: B. Procedure results in a binomial distribution 10. Assume that a procedure yields a binomial distribution with a trial repeated n times. Use the binomial probability formula to find the probability of x successes given the probability p of success on a single trial. Round to three decimal places. n = 4, x = 3, p = 1/6 (Points : 4) 0.015 0.023 0.012 0.004 3 æ 1ö æ 1ö P ( n = 4, x = 3) = C ( 4, 3) * ç ÷ * ç 1- ÷ è 6ø è 6ø 3 4! æ 1ö æ 5ö P ( n = 4, x = 3) = *ç ÷ *ç ÷ 3!( 4 - 3)! è 6 ø è 6 ø P ( n = 4, x = 3) = P ( n = 4, x = 3) = 0.015 Solution: A. 0.015 3 24 æ 1 ö æ 5 ö *ç ÷ *ç ÷ 6 è 6ø è 6ø 4-3 11. Use the Poisson model to approximate the probability. Round your answer to four decimal places. The probability that a call received by a certain switchboard will be a wrong number is 0.02. Use the Poisson distribution to approximate the probability that among 140 calls received by the switchboard, there are no wrong numbers. (Points : 4) 0.0608 0.1703 0.9392 0.8297 0.0669 The average number of wrong numbers received by the switchboard would be: l = ( 0.02 ) (140 ) = 2.8 Then, using the Poisson model, the probability of zero wrong numbers would be: P ( l, x ) = e- l l x x! e-2.8 ( 2.8 ) P ( l = 2.8, x = 0 ) = = 0.0608 0! 0 Solution: A. 0.0608 12. Given the linear correlation coefficient r and the sample size n, determine the critical values of r and use your finding to state whether or not the given r represents a significant linear correlation. Use a significance level of 0.05. r = 0.843, n = 5 (Points : 4) Critical values: r = ±0.878, significant linear correlation Critical values: r = ±0.950, no significant linear correlation Critical values: r = 0.950, significant linear correlation Critical values: r = ±0.878, no significant linear correlation From tables, with 5 – 2 = 3 degrees of freedom, the critical values are ±0.878. Since the r value is between the two critical values, the null hypothesis is rejected and the conclusion is that there is a significant linear correlation. Solution: A. Critical values: r = ±0.878, significant linear correlation 13. Find the value of the linear correlation coefficient r. The paired data below consist of the test scores of 6 randomly selected students and the number of hours they studied for the test. Hours - 5, 10, 4, 6, 10, 9 Scores - 64, 86, 69, 86, 59, 87 (Points : 4) 0.224 -0.678 0.678 -0.224 Complete the following table: Hours (x) 5 10 4 6 10 9 44 Scores (y) 64 86 69 86 59 87 451 x^2 25 100 16 36 100 81 358 xy 320 860 276 516 590 783 3345 The correlation coefficient is then calculated from: r= ( å xy) - ( å x )( å y) én ( x ) - ( x ) ù én ( y ) - ( y) ù å ûú ëê å å ûú ëê å n 2 r= 2 2 6 ( 3345 ) - ( 44 ) ( 451) é 6 ( 358 ) - ( 44 )2 ù é 6 ( 34699 ) - ( 451)2 ù ë ûë û Solution: A. 0.224 2 = 0.2242 y^2 4096 7396 4761 7396 3481 7569 34699 14. If z is a standard normal variable, find the probability. The probability that z is greater than -1.82 (Points : 4) 0.4656 0.9656 -0.0344 0.0344 Using a statistical calculator, the right tail area corresponding to z = -1.82 is 0.9656. (Note: You can “cheat” a little on this problem. Since the z-score is negative, and you want the area to the right, you know that the answer has to be greater than 0.5. The only answer that would work is B. 0.9656.) Solution: B. 0.9656 15. Solve the problem. A bank's loan officer rates applicants for credit. The ratings are normally distributed with a mean of 200 and a standard deviation of 50. If 40 different applicants are randomly selected, find the probability that their mean is above 215. (Points : 4) 0.0287 0.1179 0.4713 0.3821 Calculate the z-score: z= x - µ 215 - 200 = = 1.8974 s / n 50 / 40 Then, the probability that the mean is above 215 is equal to the probability that the z-score is greater than 1.8974: P ( x > 215 ) = P ( z > 1.8974 ) Using a statistical calculator, the probability of a z-score being greater than 1.8974 is 0.0289 (Note: The “exact” value of 0.0287 comes from rounding the z-score off to 1.9.) Solution: A. 0.0287 16. The given values are discrete. Use the continuity correction and describe the region of the normal distribution that corresponds to the indicated probability. The probability of no more than 75 defective CD's (Points : 4) The area to the right of 75.5 The area to the left of 75 The area to the left of 74.5 The area to the left of 75.5 Another way of saying we want the probability of “no more than 75” defective CD’s, is to say that we want the probability of “≤ 75” defective CD’s. To apply the continuity correction here, we need to include values up to 75.5. As a result, the probability will be the area to the left of 75.5. Solution: D. The area to the left of 75.5 17. Use the normal distribution to approximate the desired probability. Find the probability that in 200 tosses of a fair die, we will obtain at most 30 fives. (Points : 4) 0.1871 0.4936 0.2946 0.3229 We want the probability of “at most 30 fives”, which is the same as saying we want the probability of “less than or equal to 30 fives”. Applying the correction for continuity to this, we now want the probability of “less than 30.5 fives”. The probability of tossing a five on a single roll is 1/6. The z-score is calculated from: z= x - np npq with x = 30.5, n = 200, p = 1/6, and q = 1 – (1/6) = 5/6 The z-score is then: z= 30.5 - ( 200 ) (1 / 6 ) ( 200 ) (1 / 6 ) ( 5 / 6 ) = -0.5376 Then, the probability of a z-score being less than -0.5376 is: P ( x < 30.5 ) = P ( z < -0.5376 ) = 0.2954 Again, the “exact” value of 0.2946 comes from rounding the z-score off to -0.54. Solution: C. 0.2946 18. Assume that a sample is used to estimate a population proportion p. Find the margin of error E that corresponds to the given statistics and confidence level. Round the margin of error to four decimal places. In a random sample of 184 college students, 97 had part-time jobs. Find the margin of error for the 95% confidence interval used to estimate the population proportion. (Points : 4) 0.0721 0.00266 0.126 0.0649 The margin of error is calculated from: E = za /2 with p̂q̂ n za /2 = 1.96 for a 95% confidence interval, p̂ = and n = 184. Substituting those values gives: E = (1.96 ) Solution: A. 0.0721 æ 97 ö æ 87 ö çè ÷ç ÷ 184 ø è 184 ø = 0.0721 184 97 184 - 97 87 , q̂ = , = 184 184 184 19. Use the given degree of confidence and sample data to construct a confidence interval for the population proportion p. n = 125, x = 72; 90% confidence (Points : 4) 0.507 < p < 0.645 0.503 < p < 0.649 0.506 < p < 0.646 0.502 < p < 0.650 For a 90% confidence interval, use za /2 = 1.645 From the formula in Problem 18, with p̂ = 72 125 - 72 53 , q̂ = , and n = 125, the = 125 125 125 margin of error is: E = (1.645 ) æ 72 ö æ 53 ö çè ÷ç ÷ 125 ø è 125 ø = 0.0727 125 The lower limit of the confidence interval is then: LL = p̂ - E = 72 - 0.0727 = 0.5033 125 The upper limit of the confidence interval is: LL = p̂ + E = 72 + 0.0727 = 0.6487 125 The confidence interval is then 0.503 < p < 0.649 Solution: B. 0.503 < p < 0.649 20. Use the given data to find the minimum sample size required to estimate the population proportion. Margin of error: 0.015; confidence level: 96%; p̂ and q̂ unknown. 6669 3667 4519 4670 Since p̂ and q̂ are unknown, use the largest sample size. p̂ = q̂ = 0.5 as a conservative estimate, as this will produce The sample size is calculated from: æz ö n = p̂q̂ ç a /2 ÷ è E ø The value of With za /2 2 for a 96% confidence level is 2.05. p̂ = q̂ = 0.5 , za /2 = 2.054 , and E = 0.015, the minimum sample size is: 2 æ 2.05 ö n = ( 0.5 ) ( 0.5 ) ç = 4669.44 è 0.015 ÷ø Required sample size should always be rounded UP to the next whole number. Solution: D. 4670 21. Solve the problem. Round the point estimate to the nearest thousandth. 50 people are selected randomly from a certain population and it is found that 13 people in the sample are over 6 feet tall. What is the point estimate of the proportion of people in the population who are over 6 feet tall? (Points : 4) 0.50 0.26 0.19 0.74 The point estimate is: p̂ = number of people over 6 feet tall 13 = = 0.26 number of people surveyed 50 Solution: B. 0.26 22. Use the confidence level and sample data to find a confidence interval for estimating the population (mu). Round your answer to the same number of decimal places as the sample mean. A random sample of 130 full-grown lobsters had a mean weight of 21 ounces and a standard deviation of 3.0 ounces. Construct a 98% confidence interval for the population mean mu. (Points : 4) 21 oz < mu < 23 oz 20 oz < mu < 22 oz 20 oz < mu < 23 oz 19 oz < mu < 21 oz For a 98% confidence interval, use za /2 = 2.326 The confidence interval is calculated from: æ s ö æ s ö x - za /2 ç < µ < x + za /2 ç ÷ è nø è n ÷ø With x = 21, s = 3.0, and n = 130, the confidence interval is: æ 3.0 ö æ 3.0 ö 21- ( 2.326 ) ç < µ < 21+ ( 2.326 ) ç ÷ è 130 ø è 130 ÷ø 20.388 < µ < 21.612 Rounded off to the same number of decimal places as the mean, the confidence interval is: 20 < µ < 22 Solution: B. 20 oz < mu < 22 oz 23. Assume that the data has a normal distribution and the number of observations is greater than fifty. Find the critical z value used to test a null hypothesis. a = 0.05 for a left-tailed test. (Points : 4) -1.96 ±1.96 ±1.645 -1.645 The critical z-value for a left-tailed test at Solution: D. -1.645 a = 0.05 is z = -1.645 24. Find the value of the test statistic z using z = The claim is that the proportion of accidental deaths of the elderly attributable to residential falls is more than 0.10, and the sample statistics include n = 800 deaths of the elderly with 15% of them attributable to residential falls. (Points : 4) 3.96 -3.96 4.71 -4.71 Calculate the test statistic using the formula: z= with p̂ - p pq / n p̂ = 0.15 , p = 0.10 , q = 1- p = 1- 0.10 = 0.90 , and n = 800. The value of the test statistic is then: z= 0.15 - 0.10 ( 0.10 ) ( 0.90 ) / 800 = 4.71 Solution: C. 4.71 25. Use the given information to find the P-value. Also, use a 0.05 significance level and state the conclusion about the null hypothesis (reject the null hypothesis or fail to reject the null hypothesis). The test statistic in a right-tailed test is z = 1.43. (Points : 4) 0.1528; fail to reject the null hypothesis 0.1528; reject the null hypothesis 0.0764; fail to reject the null hypothesis 0.0764; reject the null hypothesis Using a statistical calculator, the p-value corresponding to a right-sided, one-tailed test with z = 1.43 is 0.0764. Since this value is greater than the significance level, the decision would be to fail to reject the null hypothesis. Solution: C. 0.0764, fail to reject the null hypothesis