Question 1 of 8 A researcher on crime performs a regression of crime on unemployment. Burglaries = a + b unemployment + epsilon The estimated coefficient b is 0.279 with a standard error of 0.0022. The number of observations is N=2949. Provide the t statistic. Is the coefficient b significant ? At what confidence level(s)? Build a 95% confidence interval for b. Answer given: t = b/se =0.279/0.0022 = 126.81 The coefficient is significant because |126.81| >1.65, 1.96, and 2.58. 0.279 – 1.96*(0.0022), 0.279 + 1.96*(0.0022) Question 2 of 8 A researcher on crime performs a regression of crime on unemployment. Burglaries = a + b unemployment + epsilon The estimated coefficient b is 0.279 with a standard error of 0.0022. The number of observations is N=2949. The standard deviation of burglaries is 2313, and the standard deviation of unemployment is 7985. Find the correlation of Burglaries and Unemployment. Is the correlation of Burglaries and Unemployment significant? At what level(s)? Answer given: 𝑠 7985 𝑟 = 𝑏 𝑠𝑥 = 0.279 2313=0.963 𝑦 𝑡= 𝑟 √(1 − 𝑟 2 )/(𝑁 − 2) = 0.963 √(1 − 0.927)/(2949 − 2) = 193.98 The correlation between burglaries and unemployment is significant at all levels (90, 95, and 99%) because |t| > 1.65, 1.96, and 2.58. Question 3 of 8 Consider the example done in the lecture relating the price of a Burger King Entree (the classic hamburger) to the level of poverty in the ZIP code of the outlet. The sample size is N=167. The regression is: Price = a + b * Fraction in Poverty in ZIP code + epsilon where we find that b = -0.189. The standard error on b is 0.1506. The variable "Fraction in Poverty in ZIP code" ranges between 0 and 1. The price is in $. Find the 95% confidence interval on b without looking at the slides. Interpret the coefficient b : A 10 percentage point increase in the fraction in Poverty in ZIP code lowers the price by how many $ ? How many degrees of freedom should we use for the t score? (do not reply infinity). Answer given: CI = (-0.189 – 1.96*0.1506, -0.189 + 1.96*0.1506) A 10 percentage point increase in the fraction in Poverty in ZIP code lowers the price by 10*(-0.189)=-1.89$ dF = N – k – 1 = N – 2 = 165 where k is the number of independent variables. Question 4 of 8 The R squared of a regression is the ratio of the SSE to the TSS. True or False? Answer given: False. R squared = ESS/TSS Question 5 of 8 We reject the null hypothesis that the slope of a regression is 0 at 95% confidence level if and only if the p value is greater than 0.05. True or False? Answer given: False. We reject the null hypothesis that the slope of a regression is 0 at 95% confidence level if and only if the p value is SMALLER than 0.05. Question 6 of 8 The t statistic is always of the same sign as the slope coefficient. True or False? Answer given: True. T = b/se and we know se is always positive. Question 7 of 8 The correlation between two variables y and x is statistically different from 0 if and only if the slope of the regression of x on y is statistically different from 0 (at the same confidence level). True or False? Answer given: True. 𝜎 Note that 𝜌 = 𝜎𝑥 𝛽, hence r = 0 if and only if b = 0. 𝑦 Question 8 of 8 A medical researcher analyzes the relationship between height (cm) and weight (kg), particularly during the child's and young adult's growth period. He has a sample of 8462 individuals and the weight variable is bmxwt. The height variable is bmxht. He regresses weight (y) on height (x). The output of the regression is as follows: Is the slope coefficient significant at 95%? 99%? 90%? How do you obtain the t statistic in this output without knowing it? Also find the 95% confidence interval as a function of the other elements of the output. Same question with the R squared? It is given there, but how would you compute the r squared from this output? Answer given: Yes, the slope coefficient is significant at all levels because the p value is smaller than 0.01 and the t statistic is greater than 2.58. t = b/se. CI = (b – 1.96*se, b + 1.96*se) = (0.9580879 – 1.96*0.0080152, 0.9580879 + 1.96*0.0080152) R squared = ESS/TSS