Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 1 Contents The Million Dollar Question………………………………………………………………………2 The Possible Solution……………………………………………………………………………..2 Definitions…………………………………………………………………………………………3 Terrorism………………………………………………………………………………….4 Counter-terrorism…………………………………………………………………………4 Hard Power………………………………………………………………………………..5 Soft Power…………………………………………………………………………………6 Counter-insurgency………………………………………………………………………..6 Research Methodology……………………………………………………………………………7 Literature Review………………………………………………………………………………….9 Liberation Tigers of Tamil Elam (LTTE) Background………………………………………………………………………………12 Terrorist Activity…………………………………………………………………………13 Government Action………………………………………………………………………16 Lessons Learned…………………………………………………………………………19 Front de Libération Nationale (FLN) Background………………………………………………………………………………21 Terrorist Activity…………………………………………………………………………22 Government Action………………………………………………………………………26 Lessons Learned…………………………………………………………………………31 Policy Implications, Lessons, and Recommendations…………………………………………..32 Conclusion……………………………………………………………………………………….34 Bibliography……………………………………………………………………………………..35 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 2 The Million Dollar Question Today, decision makers are faced with difficulty in addressing irregular forces. These irregular forces may be anything from an organized terrorist organization to a rebel insurgency to a violent non-state actor. The U.S. military has dealt with unconventional warfare often in the past two decades in Somalia, Afghanistan, and Iraq. In all three theatres, our military was faced with irregular forces. In Afghanistan and Iraq, these forces utilized terrorism in an attempt to achieve political goals. Should the military be used to end such threats to national security? The Possible Solution The purpose of this project is to examine the utility of a strategy of counter-terrorism (CT) in achieving a nation’s foreign policy objectives by examining how counter-terror was used in the Algerian War by the French military against the Front de Libération Nationale (FLN) and in Sri Lanka against the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Elam (LTTE). In Algiers, the French failed and the FLN prevailed. In Sri Lanka, the Tamil Tigers admitted defeat in 2009. The focus of this thesis will be to draw out underlying themes in both historical case studies, determine which objectives were met and which objectives failed. These lessons will be applied back to contemporary debate on whether or not counter-terrorism is a viable option for a state to exercise foreign policy and how policy may need to change to deal with future threats. While CT hard power may be sufficient to check an immediate national security threat, the following case studies suggest that military action is insufficient to resolve the underlying causes upon which insurgent movements and terrorist organizations are based. The research question for this thesis is what CT lessons are learned from historical studies of Sri Lanka and Algeria? My hypothesis is that CT hard power was effectively used to strain irregular forces, but not sufficient to ultimately defeat them. Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 3 The Sri Lankan and Algerian cases point to several key similarities in combating terrorism. For instance, propaganda and media attention proved to be crucial for the victorious combatant in both conflicts. Front de Libération Nationale (FLN) political leaders desperately sought international attention to alleviate the pressure being applied to the organization by the French military. The FLN accomplished this by staging attacks and worker strikes in time to coincide with UN General Assembly meetings. Likewise, the Sri Lankan government capitalized on international attention brought about by the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Elam (LTTE) assassinations on key Sri Lankan and Indian leaders by isolating LTTE financial assets and safe havens abroad. Another learning point gained from Sri Lanka and Algeria was the use of concentrated military might by the government. The LTTE was utterly crushed when the government applied heavy pressure with determined military offenses which were clearly designed to destroy the rebels. Similarly, the French army enjoyed much success by employing mobile hunting teams in rural areas to pursue FLN rebels. Both cases also illustrate one glaring fact: CT hard power is necessary, but insufficient. This is not a comprehensive, historical view of CT. However, both case studies do illustrate that CT hard power is effective at limiting terrorist activities, but CT hard power cannot be applied to solve political problems that are the root of all insurgencies or terrorist organizations and a combination of hard and soft power is often the most effective way to end modern conflicts. Definitions Several terms must be defined to avoid confusion due to the fact that varying and contrasting ideas exist on terrorism and counterterrorism. Therefore, the next segment will describe terrorism, counterterrorism, and irregular forces in context for the case studies. The Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 4 foundations of this essay rely on one’s understanding of exactly what terrorism, counterterrorism (CT), and CT alternatives entail. Terrorism In the wake of the September 11, 2001 attacks in New York and Washington DC, the phrase “terrorism” has become a buzzword that evokes an emotional response within the U.S. The world community has dealt with terrorism before and the American population reached the same conclusions as the rest of the world: terrorism is politically heated, often effective, and very deadly. Terrorism is largely considered a dirty method of warfare and those who utilize terror as a strategy to achieve a political goal are illegitimate brigands. In reality, terrorism is simply a part of warfare.1 Dr. Bruce Hoffman, the director of the Centre for the Study of Terrorism, states that the US Department of Defense defines terrorism fairly clearly in saying that terrorism is “the unlawful use of- or threatened use of- force or violence against individuals or property to coerce or intimidate governments or societies, often to achieve political, religious, or ideological objectives.”2 I will rely on this definition, because it is the most comprehensive description of terror. Counter-terrorism (CT) Several definitions exist on how to classify on CT, but many experts3 can agree that CT consists of two types of power: hard and soft power. CT utilizes hard and soft power to eliminate terrorist organizations through negotiations, military action, or economic sanctions. The average 1 John Lynn. Battle: A history of Combat and Culture. Boulder: Westview Press, 2003. Epilogue. Bruce Hoffman. Inside Terrorism. New York: Columbia University Press, 1998. 38. 3 Specifically, Joseph Nye, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, and Brigitte L. Nacos 2 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 5 American today would probably classify counter-terrorism as military strikes, but in reality the hard power capability is a only small part of the total spectrum of CT operations. Hard Power Military hard power is the a-typical response when counter-terrorism options are assessed. Hard power options vary and should be carefully considered when choosing the correct response to irregular forces (terror organizations, insurgencies, guerrillas, etc.). Military reprisal attacks can be undertaken when the enemy is in control of a nation-state or significant regions in a state.4 Military preemption strikes are undertaken to destroy the enemy in advance to avoid an imminent attack.5 Elite commando units can also be utilized to attack terrorist training grounds and hunt down terrorists.6 Assassinations, or targeted killings, are attacks carried out to eliminate leaders of terrorist organizations or irregular forces.7 Nonmilitary hard power is also an option. This consists of economic sanctions imposed on states that support irregular forces or violent non-state actors. Economic or financial sanctions are used to strangle irregular forces’ financial assets. This includes prohibiting the exportation or importation of goods to or from targeted regions, stopping financial and other assistance, and freezing financial accounts.8 4 Brigitte L. Nacos. Terrorism and Counterterrorism. 4th Edition. 191 Carlotta Gall. “Evidence Points to Civilian Toll in Afghan Raid,” New York Times, September 9, 2008. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/08/world/asia/08afghan.html?_r=1&hp=&oref=slogin&pagewanted=print 6 Nacos, 195. 7 Deborah Sontag, “Israel Acknowledges Hunting Down Arab Militants.” New York Times, December 22, 2000, A12. 8 Nacos, 199. 5 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 6 Soft Power Soft power is a more subtle alternatives to military or economic hard power options. Examples of soft power include deterrence, diplomacy, conciliation, and peace.9 Deterrence is simply dissuading terrorist organizations from action if the government can put the terrorists’ political goals at risk.10 Diplomacy is almost necessary to analyze the views of terror groups. This involves third party negotiations and helps solve specific terrorist situations.11 Like hard power, soft power options must be closely examined in order to determine the course of action most likely to lead to positive results. Counter-insurgency (COIN) The most popular alternative to CT is counter-insurgency operations (COIN). COIN is an approach designed to solve the underlying political, social, and economic problems of an insurgency by separating the population from insurgent forces, building political infrastructure, and eliminating insurgent forces (CT). A primary difference between COIN and any form of CT is the concentration on the population. COIN forces tend to give attention to winning the support of the population while CT forces usually fixate on the irregular forces using terrorism. David Galula, a successful French commander in the rural regions of Algeria, notes that population support is key and it is gained through an active minority siding with the governmental power.12 By this definition, COIN and CT share considerable overlaps, particularly with key COIN aspects and CT soft power. The problem with COIN is that it is extremely costly and time 9 Nacos, 200-207. Ibid, 200. 11 Ibid, 201. 12 David Galula. “Counterinsurgency in the Hot Revolutionary War,” Chewing Sand, 2nd Edition. New York: Learning Solutions. 2008. 213-214. 10 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 7 consuming, often taking years or even decades to bear fruit, all the while draining public patience and possibly damaging the state’s image in the world community. Research Methodology I will use a historical case study as my research methodology to explore the possibilities of counter-terrorism as a viable foreign policy stance. These case studies will be analyzed in a historical context including a brief history of the situation, terrorist actions, government (CT) actions, and the lessons learned each case study. The underlying themes in both case studies will be underscored and examined in the recommendations section. As argued by candidate Joe Biden during the 2008 Democratic primary debate, counterterrorism can be a viable method to eliminate terrorism through direct military action against terrorist organizations. Combating terrorism is an inherently difficult progress, made even more difficult by a lack of suitable metrics to gauge success and failure that policy makers need to justify such action. The metrics for the two case studies are based on the definitions of hard and soft power. Specifically, these case studies analyze whether or not the government troops ultimately defeated the irregular forces opposing them. The types of questions that need to be asked are: did the government effectively use soft power to bring the irregular forces to the peace table? Was hard power effectively used to defeat the armed branches of the irregular forces? Who did the international community side with? These questions all help illustrate how the governments of Sri Lanka and France dealt with irregular forces using terrorism. The two case studies I have chosen are the French in the Algerian War and the Sri Lankan forces fighting against the LTTE (Tamil Tigers) in Sri Lanka. Both cases have what I believe to be clear-cut examples of strategic level CT: one successful (Sri Lanka) and one failure Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 8 (Algiers). These cases are interesting because both the Front de Libération Nationale (FLN) and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Elam (LTTE) were unconventional armed forces in pursuit of political goals. These political aspirations by both the FLN and LTTE were not sought after exclusively by terrorist strategies, but knowingly used terror to mobilize their respective populations. Other cases that I decided not to pursue include Sendero Luminoso in Peru, Chinese communists in the Chinese civil war, and the Vietcong in Vietnam. The Vietcong utilized terror to control the population, but the Vietnam War has too much American influence for my purposes as I wanted case studies with virtually no American footprint. The Chinese civil war was eliminated simply because I found it to be much more of an insurgency and terror tactics did not seem to be part of an overall strategy. The Sendero Luminoso model was thrown out because it is still ongoing. The Peruvian government has come close to destroying Sendero in the mid1990s, but the government has proved inept at ending the conflict in the foreseeable future. In both cases, the historical background must be described and any outlying factors unique to the individual case need to be identified. It is also important to note that what worked in Algiers will not necessarily work in Sri Lanka as each case is uniquely different. The cultural landscape and political climate all dictate the viability of proposed solutions. The perspective for this thesis will be that of the CT forces, so any success or failure will be relative to the CT forces. In Algiers, French forces attempted to quell the violence started by the FLN with force. In the city itself, the French were tactically successful. Rebel leaders were killed or captured en masse and the FLN body count was rising. However, tactical success could not be translated to strategic progress in achieving the French goals of maintaining Algeria as an extension of the Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 9 French state in northern Africa. This case will be interesting because CT worked extremely well on the tactical level (according to Alexander’s framework), but failed to defeat the FLN politically. Sri Lanka is a case in which the government ultimately won, forcing the rebels into submission with a massive military offensive. The infamous Tamil Tigers fought for decades against the Sri Lankan government, utilizing suicide bombers and assassinations to intimidate government officials. Of note, the Tamil Tigers only bombed military or political targets and attempted to avoid civilian casualties when possible.13 This study will help in looking at the possible reasons for strategic success in thwarting a terror-based insurgency. Literature Review The common themes in this essay will be centered on the successful/unsuccessful usage of CT techniques as well as successful/unsuccessful countermeasures taken by different terror organizations to combat CT forces. These CT techniques can include targeted killings, innovative tactics, international coordination, and increasing intelligence gathering assets. The definitions piece will supply the foundation and focus for the research on both case studies in order to prevent gaps in the theory of CT. While this is a CT-centered essay, COIN must also be addressed as an alternate method of achieving similar results. In most situations dealing with irregular forces, insurgencies, and terrorist organizations the population is divided. Usually somewhere between 10-20% of the population is active in supporting the irregular force, 60-80% is a passive middle ground, and 10-20% are die hard government supporters. The difference between CT and COIN is what aspect of the population is addressed. CT focuses on 13 Kledja Mulaj. Violent Non-state Actors in World Politics. New York: Columbia UP, 2010 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 10 limiting the 10-20% of the active population supporting the irregular force through a combination of hard and soft power. COIN is concentrated on the 60-80% of the passive middle ground. COIN seeks to alienate the passive middle ground from the active supporters of the irregular force. Terror organizations and insurgencies that utilize terror tactics vary from country to country. However, they can usually be classified by their ruthless acts of violence and dedication to their particular cause. Oftentimes, as in Sri Lanka, Algiers, and current US operations, these terror organizations take the form of guerrillas fighting in the frontiers. In Afghanistan, the Taliban fighters currently engaging US troops are deeply entrenched in their ideals. This is no different than the FLN fighting for an Algeria free from French occupation or the Tamil Tigers rising up against the Sinhalese majority for an independent Tamil state. These thoughts and ideas drove these groups to terrorist tactics, even suicide attacks, to achieve their strategic goals. These organizations are able to place a huge amount of pressure on the local government. According to Robert Taber, “Guerrillas who know their trade and have popular support cannot be eliminated by the means available to most governments. And on the other hand, few governments can stand the political, psychological, and economic stresses of guerrilla warfare…”14 This is put in this thesis merely to emphasize the importance of choosing an appropriate strategy that will be effective at combating irreconcilable zealots. Common themes of CT operations include, but are not limited to, targeted killings against cell leadership, intense intelligence gathering operations, direct action raids on strong points, and reducing the number of terrorist attacks on the government and population. In keeping with the chosen definition of CT operations for this thesis, all of these themes have the singular purpose 14 Robert Taber. The War of the Flea. London: Paladin. 1970. 14-33. Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 11 of diminishing a terror group’s ability to operate. This is done by both whittling away at infrastructure and manpower. This is why CT is often referred to as “hard power” due to its tangible, kinetic nature.15 CT operations are also focused on the group itself rather than the population within the state. COIN themes include nation building, population cooperation, and direct action against military branches of terror cells. COIN operations are focused more on the population in an attempt to indirectly influence support for an insurgency or terror cell. The main idea of COIN is to win the support of the population; thereby destroying the insurgency’s recruiting pool. In theory, this will result in a united stand against the insurgency led by the people.16 In order to build infrastructure and protect the people from the terror group, the government must conduct kinetic operations against the insurgency to prevent any massed groupings and disrupt coordination between cells. This research falls much closer to the CT side when comparing CT and COIN. CT hard and soft power are quite different, but used to achieve the same goal of eliminating a terrorist threat. The LTTE and FLN cases show many striking lessons and will be revealed at the end of each study. 15 James J. F. Forest. Countering Terrorism and Insurgency in the 21st Century: International Perspectives. Westport, CT: Praeger Security International, 2007. Xvi. 16 David Galula. “Counterinsurgency in the Hot Revolutionary War,” Chewing Sand, 2nd Edition. New York: Learning Solutions. 2008. 213-214. Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 12 Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) Background The LTTE, more commonly known as the Tamil Tigers, was a Sri Lankan insurgency organization that engaged the Sri Lankan government in armed conflict from the early 1970s until it was militarily defeated in 200917. Velupillai Prabhakaran, the founder of the LTTE, chose the tiger as the symbol of the resistance because of the similarities between the tiger and the Tamil people. The LTTE adopted a strategy of terrorism that included suicide bombings, assassinations, and attacks on military, political, and government targets.18 This eventually led to condemnation by the world community and the downfall of the LTTE. Sri Lanka, a small island south of India in the Indian Ocean, was under colonial British control until February 4, 1948.19 The Tamils received preferential treatment under British rule although the Sinhalese made up the vast majority of the Sri Lankan population. This obvious favoritism created an ethnic schism that would manifest itself once the Sinhalese majority took control after the British departure. In 1956, the ruling Sinhalese majority passed laws that included forcing Tamils to learn Sinhalese, restrictions on higher education institutions, and civil service.20 The Tamils believed that these laws were acts of discrimination and in the early 1970s, violence erupted in the form of Velupillai Prabhakaran. Prabhakaran was a young, idealistic Tamil who attempted to assassinate a moderate Tamil mayor in Jaffna from February 1971 until his success in July 1975, which was a marked beginning to Tamil violence in Sri Lanka.21 With 17 18 19 Mulaj, 381. Ibid, 384. Alexander, 152. Alexander, 152. 21 Ibid 153. 20 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 13 his success, Prabhakaran established the LTTE as the militant wing of the Tamil United Liberation Front (TULF)22 and so began the armed struggle for an independent Tamil state. Terrorist Activity While Prabhakaran was engaging in small-scale terror attacks, the Sri Lankan government sought to negotiate with the Tamils in order to bring an end to the rising levels of violence. In January 1984, Sri Lankan President J.R. Jayewardene convened the All Party Conference in the capital of Colombo. Indira Ghandi, then the Indian Prime Minister, was set to mediate between the ruling United National Party (UNP), Sri Lankan Freedom Party (SLFP), TULF, and five smaller Tamil political groups.23 This in and of itself sets the LTTE apart from many other terrorist organizations in that it was a direct part of several peace talks with the Sri Lankan government.24 The conference resulted in a failure, as the Tamils demanded one-third of the land and two-thirds of the coastline of Sri Lanka for itself which the government promptly refused.25 During the actual conference, the LTTE began a massive and unfortunate wave of ethniccleansing against Sinhalese farmers in the rural northern regions of Sri Lanka. On November 30, 1984 the Tigers attacked two Sinhalese farming villages (the Dollar and Kent farms) killing more than one hundred civilians while they slept.26 These villages were in the areas desired by the Tamils for demarcation and marked the first regular attack on a Sinhalese community. The Sri Lankan government vowed vengeance after the LTTE shot and killed one hundred twenty 22 The TULF was, at the time, the political party which represented the Tamil people in Colombo’s political structure. 23 Alexander, 154. 24 Mulaj, 386. 25 Alexander, 153. 26 Ibid, 155 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 14 Sinhalese Buddhist pilgrims and injured eighty-five others in the May 14, 1985 attack on the sacred precincts of the Sri Maha Bodhi in Anuradhapura.27 The purpose of these terrorist attacks, and later suicide attacks, was to cause panic and chaos among civilians and also to confirm “the inefficacy of the administration, demoralize law enforcers, and boost morale among the Tigers and their followers.”28 For the next fourteen years, the LTTE carried out their violent terror campaign by murdering government ministers, local politicians, and moderate Tamil leaders.29 The LTTE attacked naval vessels, oil tankers, the Colombo airport, the Colombo World Trade Center and Central Bank, the Sri Lankan Joint Operations Command, and even the most sacred Sri Lankan Buddhist shrine.30 Perhaps the most controversial tactic employed by the LTTE was the invention of the suicide belt and introducing women as suicide bombers.31 While the statistics on the number of suicide attacks vary depending on the source, there were somewhere between 143 and 191 suicide attacks from 1987 to 200132. The Sri Lankan president was assassinated by a Black Tiger suicide squad in 199333 and the Tigers were even successful in assassinating former Indian Prime Minister Rajiz Ghandi in 1991.34 The LTTE struggle can be broken down into several phases. The first phase (1983-1987) consisted of six insurgent groups that utilized terror tactics and the Sri Lankan military35. During this time, the LTTE trained cadres, gathered weapons and equipment, established means of 27 Ibid, 155 Senadhira Sugeeswara. “Suicide Bombings: The Case of Sri Lanka,” in Security and Terrorism: Suicide Bombing Operations, Vol. 5, 2007, p. 34. 29 Ibid, 36. 30 Mulaj, 384. 31 FBI-Taming the Tamil Tigers. http://www.fbi.gov/news/stories/2008/january/tamil_tigers011008 32 Mulaj, 385. 33 Ibid 405 34 Alexander, 160-162. 35 Mulaj, 402 28 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 15 income through expatriates, and made valuable ties with the Indian government.36 During the second phase (1987-1990) the LTTE shifted its focus from building infrastructure and support to an offensive organization. The 1987 Indo-Sri Lanka Peace Agreement brought 70,000 Indian peacekeepers to Sri Lanka to combat the LTTE through counterinsurgency operations, which the LTTE vowed to defeat.37 By the time of the Indian withdrawal, nearly 10,000 LTTE fighters were mobilized and established control over the north and east of Sri Lanka as a result of the Indian departure.38 The third phase (1990-1995) brought about the assassination of Rajiv Ghandi, the former Indian Prime Minister, by a suicide bomber. This led to an Indian ban on the LTTE and labeled it as a terrorist organization.39 Later, in 1993, the Sri Lankan president was assassinated by a Black Tiger suicide squad.40 From 1995 to 2002, the LTTE boosted its military campaign by dedicating itself to guerrilla warfare during the fourth phase of armed conflict, once again supplemented with terror attacks on military and government assets. From 2002 until 2008, the LTTE called for and broke several cease fires in order to buy time and space from the government onslaught set at ending the war through military means. However, in 2008 the Sri Lankan government officially denounced the Cease-fire Agreement and utterly defeated the LTTE through an extended military campaign in the north.41 This campaign resulted in 4,318 LTTE cadres killed after 1 January 2008 which was drastically more than the 3,345 cadres killed 36 Ibid 402-403. Ibid 403; See also “Statistics on civilians affected by war from 1974-2004.” (PDF). NorthEast Secretariat On Human Rights (NESOHR). January 2006. 38 Ibid 405 39 Ibid 405; See also “Suicide terrorism: a global threat.” Jane’s Information Group. 20 October 2000. 40 Ibid 405 41 Ibid 408 37 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 16 in all of 2007 and the 2,319 fatalities in 2006.42 On 17 May 2009, what was left of the LTTE surrendered to the Sri Lankan Army in Vellamullaivaikkal.43 Government Action The Sri Lankan government undertook several different methods in order to halt the conflict with the LTTE. Various presidential administrations attempted numerous techniques ranging from political negotiations to cease-fire agreements to direct military action against LTTE strongholds. With mounting tensions, sparked by communal uprisings in Tamil neighborhoods, the Sri Lankan government called for the All Party Conference (APC) in Colombo in January 1984.44 The APC considered several proposals that were centered on appeasing both the Sri Lankan government and the Tamil minority. The proposals centered on creating separate regional councils in the northern and eastern provinces of Sri Lanka, which were populated primarily by Tamils.45 The government was willing to grant autonomy to the country’s districts by creating district councils at the local governmental level.46 Ultimately, the Tamil delegates rejected these suggestions of the APC because the eastern and northern provinces were separated.47 This separation between the north and east was important because it would weaken Tamil power in the central government of Colombo. Plans to resume the talks in 1985 were made, but never carried out due to a genocidal campaign executed by the LTTE against Sinhalese civilians in late 42 Ajit Kumar Singh, “Locked in Carnage,” South Asia Intelligence Review, 49, 16 June 2008, p. 3. Emily Wax, “Sri Lankan rebels admit defeat, vow to drop guns,” Washington Post, 18 May 2009. 44 Counterterrorism strategies, p. 154 45 Ibid, 154. 46 Ibid 47 Ibid 43 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 17 1984.48 As a result of the failed APC and the ethnic cleansing, Colombo escalated its kinetic strikes against the LTTE and sought foreign aid from pro-Western states including Israel49, South Korea, and others in Southeast Asian.50 Peace talks again resumed in July and August 1985, again with Indian mediators but this time held in Thimpu, Bhutan. These negotiations were conducted directly with Colombo and the LTTE, but to no avail when the LTTE and TULF leaders walked out of the meeting.51 Negotiations continued to fail when the TULF put forward a set of proposals on January 30, 1986. In January 1987, the Sri Lanka government placed an embargo on northern and eastern provinces. This embargo prevented the transport of fuel, food, and other essentials coupled with an escalation of attacks by Sri Lankan security forces in LTTE-held northern and eastern sectors.52 Between May 26 and June 2, 1987 the government undertook Operation Liberation, a concentrated military offensive combining land, air, and naval units, and was successful in taking control of Vadamarachy and parts of LTTE-controlled Jaffna.53 The government attempted to use Indian peace keeping forces to suppress the LTTE with the signing of the Indo-Lanka Peace Accord on July 29, 1987.54 At its peak, the Indian Peace Keeping Force (IPKF) numbered 70,000 and closed Tamil safe havens in Indian territory.55 The 48 Ibid 154-155 Israel specifically provided counterterrorism advisors to the Sri Lankan Army in order to provide expert guidance on effective techniques for combating the LTTE. 50 Alexander, p. 155 51 Ibid 52 Ibid; See also D. Hellmann-Rajanayagam. The Tamil Tigers: Armed Struggle for Identity. Franz Steiner Verlag, 1994. 164. 53 ibid 54 Ibid 158 55 Ibid; See also “History of Organisation.” University Teachers for Human Rights (Jaffna) UTHR(J). 49 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 18 IPKF authorities declared that “If any military groups operating in Sri Lanka do not accept this framework (Indo-Lanka Peace Accord) of proposals for a settlement, India will take all necessary steps to ensure that Indian territory is not used for activities prejudicial to the unity, integrity, and security of Sri Lanka.”56 By 1990, the IPKF had withdrawn from Sri Lankan soil. When Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga came to power following the assassination of President Premadasa, she began an attempt at more peace talks. In her attempt to build “a society without any discrimination where all the minority communities would enjoy equal rights as equal citizens,”57 Kumaratunga announced a cease-fire. The LTTE broke the cease-fire in a declaration on April 19, 1995 and subsequently attacked military personnel around the country, killing over 250 people.58 Kumaratunga declared these attacks a “temporary setback” and sought to bring the LTTE to the negotiating table. However, by June 1995, even Kumaratunga declared that the government would militarily defeat the LTTE.59 While the Sri Lankan military was tactically successful in many counterterrorist operations against LTTE strongholds, Colombo won impressive political victories when foreign states began declaring the LTTE as a terrorist organization. The Indian ban on May 14, 1992 following the assassination of former Prime Minister Rajiv Ghandi and the US labeling the LTTE as a “Foreign Terrorist Organization” (FTO) on October 8, 1997 froze key LTTE assets abroad.60 The UN Security Resolution 1373, enacted on September 28, 2001, advised all UN members to suppress financial aid to several terrorist organizations, the LTTE listed prominently 56 Quoted in Rohan Gunaratna and Arabinda Acharya, “India’s Role in Ethnic Crisis in Sri Lanka,” p. 641. Avta Singh Bhasin, India in Sri Lanka, p. 266. 58 Alexander, p. 162 59 Ibid 163 60 Ibid 165 57 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 19 among them.61 The 9/11 attacks on the United States in New York and Washington DC led to intense international attention focused on terrorist organizations and insurgent groups that utilized terror tactics. The government was directly involved with forcing a lull in violence by applying political pressure on the LTTE that lasted from 2002 until the assassination of Foreign Minister Lakshman Kadirgamar on August 12, 2005. Kadirgamar was essential in coordinating bans on the LTTE and freezing LTTE assets with foreign powers and his death galvanized the international community as well as strengthened the resolve of Colombo to end the LTTE influence. Mahinda Rajapaksa was elected president in November 2005 with the promise of revisiting the Cease-fire Agreement (CFA) brokered by Norway in February 2002.62 The CFA called for a “federal solution to the crisis in Sri Lanka with the creation of a semi-autonomous province under Tamil leadership.”63 However, after six years of no results, Colombo abrogated the CFA and pursued a strict military strategy until the LTTE was defeated in 2009. Rajapaksa ordered a full-scale military offensive that drove the LTTE from the east and continued pursuing the LTTE remnants into its northern strongholds. This offensive eventually led to the surrender of the LTTE and an end to large-scale civil strife in Sri Lanka. Lessons Learned The Sri Lankan government was eventually successful in destroying the LTTE through military means. However, a combination of hard and soft power was used throughout Colombo’s campaign to eliminate the LTTE. Sir Lanka certainly used methods that coincide with classic CT hard power, namely kinetic operations against rebel strongholds, intelligence operations against 61 UN Security Resolution 1373 Mulaj, 407. 63 Ibid 62 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 20 the LTTE, and economic sanctions on LTTE-held areas. These economic sanctions pressured the LTTE leadership to call for a cease-fire. Unfortunately, the government did not take advantage of the pressure the sanctions caused and the LTTE rebuilt and outfitted itself for a new campaign against the government. This does not take away from the effectiveness of the economic sanctions. The LTTE was totally destroyed through kinetic military action in early 2009. This speaks well for the effectiveness of the Sri Lankan military when given a clear mission to destroy LTTE leadership and strongholds in the northern and eastern territories of Sri Lanka. Sri Lankan strategy also involved many soft power methods, though not always effective. Several Sri Lankan leaders attempted to negotiate the Tamil minority throughout the existence of the LTTE. The reason these negotiations failed was clearly because the LTTE was asking for such a large piece of land for such a small portion of the population. Denying LTTE-held sectors essential supplies caused LTTE leadership to call for numerous cease-fires, which ended terrorist activity for short spurts of time, but never permanently. The government was also quite effective at denying the LTTE its assets abroad. By having the world community label the LTTE as a terrorist organization, Colombo won de facto support from the UN and essentially outlawed the LTTE in other states. This action led to many states freezing LTTE assets and critically limited the LTTE’s ability to continue operations. The main lessons highlighted from the Sri Lankan case study are that there is no replacement for military hard power. If a government is able to wholly destroy an irregular force through kinetic operations, then this must be the course of action taken by the government. This course of action is the only sure way to ensure the total destruction of irregular forces and no concessions need occur. This study also illustrates the utility of limiting resources available to the irregular force. The LTTE was much more active before Colombo applied economic and Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 21 international pressure. Economic hard power, diplomacy, and deterrence were effective at limiting the LTTE but were insufficient to end operations. Front de Libération Nationale (FLN) Background The Front de Libération Nationale (FLN) was a military-politico organization that fought the French authority in Algeria from 1954-1962. The FLN adopted a strategy of terrorism that included kidnapping, mass murder, torture, mutilation of captured French military personnel, raids on key military or political targets, and assassinations.64 This overall strategy caused the already war weary65 French government to abandon hope for a French solution and directly led to Algerian independence. The war for Algerian independence began in 1954, but several key events throughout the French occupation help understand both the French standpoint in holding Algeria and the native Algerian’s desire for freedom through any means. The newly restored French monarchy was in crisis in 1830 and needed popularity boost. Foreign conquest was the easy answer and as a result, the French invaded Algeria after an unsuccessful naval blockade.66 Moderate leaders soon took power in the French monarchy, establishing a parliament, and attempted to withdraw from Algeria. However, a parliamentary commission examined the Algeria situation and concluded that although French policy, behavior, and organization in Algeria were failures, the occupation 64 Armed Conflict Events Data: Algerian War of Independence 1954-1962. http://www.onwar.com/aced/data/alpha/algeria1954.htm 65 The French were engaged in the First Indochina War from 1946-1954. This manifested itself by stiffening French resolve to hold on to Algeria at first, but eventually the population grew tired of nearly consistent conflict from 1940-1962. 66 Country Studies: France in Algeria, 1830-1962. http://countrystudies.us/algeria/18.htm Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 22 of Algeria should continue for “the sake of national prestige.”67 France annexed the occupied areas of Algeria as a colony in 1834 and immediately began colonization.68 Tensions arose in Algeria between French colonists and Algerian nationals with the conclusion of World War II. A 5,000-strong parade in the market town of Setif to celebrate the German surrender on May 8, 1945 turned into a violent struggle when French gendarmeries69 attempted to seize banners attacking French colonial rule.70 As a response, Algerians slaughtered 103 European settlers in the neighboring countryside and wounded a hundred more.71 The French military and police finally restored order on May 13, but subsequently carried out several reprisals including summary executions, bombing inaccessible Muslim villages with French aircraft, and shelling Kerrata with a naval cruiser.72 Pied noir73 vigilantes lynched local Algerian prisoners and randomly shot Muslims not in compliance with army orders to wear white arm bands.74 These reprisals killed somewhere between 1,02075 (French estimate shortly after the massacre) and 45,000 people (as claimed by Radio Cairo). Alistair Horne states that 6,000 was the number settled on by moderate historians, but is only an estimate.76 The Setif massacre altered the Franco-Algerian relations beyond the point of repair and paved the way for revolution and open war. Terrorist Activity 67 Ibid. Ibid. 69 Gendarmeries are French military police force charged with police duties of keeping the peace. 70 Ted Morgan. “My Battle of Algiers.” P 26. 71 Alistair Horne. A Savage War of Peace: Algeria 1954-1962. New York: The Viking Press, 1977. 27. 72 Morgan, 26. 73 The term literally means “black feet” and is of unknown origin, but was slang for French settlers. 74 Morgan, 26. 75 Tubert Report. 76 Horne, 27. 68 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 23 The FLN was a conglomeration of several different nationalists groups who joined together under the FLN guise in order to engage the French colonial government in armed resistance for the independence of Algeria.77 The FLN was not the only political party in Algeria demanding reform, but quickly eliminated any rivals through violence and assassinations.78 The FLN began its attack on the government on November 1, 1954 when several maquisards (guerrillas) launched coordinated attacks across Algeria on military installations, police posts, warehouses, communications facilities, and public utilities.79 The attack was carried out in conjunction with a statement released by the FLN from Cairo which called for a “restoration of the Algerian state, sovereign, democratic, and social, within the framework of the principles of Islam.”80 A major turning point in the conflict occurred in the August 1955 Phillippeville massacre in which 123 civilians, including old women and babies.81 FLN policy before this attack was to only engage military and government-related targets, but the local FLN commander of the Constantine region deemed a drastic escalation in force was needed.82 The government responded by killing a claimed 1,273 guerrillas.83 According to the FLN, 12,000 Muslims were killed in retaliatory attacks by the police, armed forces, and vigilante groups.84 The FLN’s top leadership met in Algeria’s Soummam Valley in the summer of 1956 to assess the source of the revolution. FLN strategy was largely unsuccessful at this point and 77 Library of Congress Online. A Country Study: Algeria; War of Independence, FLN. http://lcweb2.loc.gov/cgibin/query/r?frd/cstdy:@field(DOCID+dz0037) 78 Ibid. 79 Library of Congress Online. A Country Study: Algeria; War of Independence. http://lcweb2.loc.gov/cgibin/query/r?frd/cstdy:@field(DOCID+dz0036) 80 Ibid. 81 Ibid. 82 Ibid. 83 Ibid. 84 Ibid. Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 24 progress was poor throughout 1954 and 1955. At the time, the FLN was engaged in poorly coordinated and inconsequential rural guerrilla attacks that the French simply dismissed as “traditional banditry.”85 This meeting was called the Soummam Congress and founded Le Comité de Coordination et d'Exécution (CCE).86 The CCE was an executive congress to coordinate the affairs of the conflict and determined to take the conflict to the capital city of Algiers for a campaign of urban terrorism.87 A key motive for this new direction was vengeance for two key events. The first was the decision made in June 1956 by Robert Lacoste, the French resident minister in Algiers, to guillotine condemned FLN prisoners.88 The second event was a bombing attack carried out by European extremists on a house in the Casbah of Algiers, resulting in nearly one hundred casualties.89 The CCE determined that urban terrorism, carried out by the Zone Autonome d'Alger (ZAA)90, was the best response to give legitimacy to the newly installed CCE leadership. Terrorism then became a way to mobilize and control action.91 The CCE thought of urban terrorism as a “fundamentally political strategy” that was a sound demonstration of “the supremacy of politics over military strategy, which was a second premise agreed to at Soummam.”92 The two key figures in devising and implementing an urban terrorism strategy were Larbi Ben M’Hidi and Ramdane Abane. M’Hidi believed that “only urban terrorism could win popular support in Algeria and recognition abroad.”93 Abane’s convictions were similar, desiring to base 85 Martha Crenshaw. The Effectiveness of Terrorism in the Algerian War. 488. Ibid. 485. 87 Ibid. 88 Ibid. 89 Ibid. 90 The ZAA was the FLN underground network in Algiers which was led by Yacef Saadi. 91 Ibid. 486. 92 Ibid. 486-487. 93 Yves Courrière. La guerre d'Algérie, vol. 2, Le temps des léopards (Paris : Fayard, 1969), 394-395. 86 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 25 the struggle on mass participation and unite all Algerians.94 On terrorism and the media, Abane famously observed, “Is it preferable to our cause to kill ten enemies in an oued (dry river bed) of Telergma when no one will talk of it, or a single man in Algiers which will be noted the next day by the American press?”95 Abane also wanted to begin urban terrorism operations to “accelerate repression”, which is to say provoke a counterterrorism response from the French.96 He understood that a provocation of French repression was a necessary evil which would ultimately force the population into the arms of the FLN. Both Abane and Ben M’Hidi felt that victory was close, that terrorism would mobilize the masses, and that terrorism would accelerate the end to the war by intimidating the French and result in an independent Algeria.97 The FLN also knew that garnering international attention was key to gaining independence and incorporated this into part of its strategy. The FLN called for a general strike of all Muslim businesses in Algiers in January 1957 to coincide with a meeting of the UN General Assembly.98 Lacoste quickly called on the French Tenth Paratroop Division under General Jacques Massu to take control of the situation. Massu was an ardent defender of torture techniques used to gain intelligence from Algerian operatives.99 The French government’s indirect endorsement of torture, coupled with the public outcry of conscription and distress over the cost of the conflict, contributed to the growing unpopularity of the war in France.100 . International pressure was also mounting to grant Algeria independence. The unpopularity of the 94 Crenshaw, 487. Quoted in Roland Gaucher, Les Terroristes (Paris: Editions Albin Michel, 1965). 262. 96 Khalfa Mameri. Rambane Abane: Héros de la guerre d'Algérie. (Paris : L’Harmattan, 1988). 132-138. 97 Crenshaw, 488. 95 98 Mohammed Harbi. Le F.L.N. mirage et réalité: origines à la prise de pouvoir (1945-1962) (Paris : Editions Jeune Afrique, 1980). 197. 99 General Jacques Massu. La vraie bataille d'Alger. (Paris : Plon, 1971). 166-170. 100 Bernard Droz and Evelyne Lever. histoire de la guerre d'Algérie, 1954-1962. (Paris : Editions du Seuil, 1982). 148. Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 26 war at home brought General Charles de Gaulle back to power in 1958.101 At first, de Gaulle embodied the hopes of Europeans and the professional military element in Algeria by stating “long live French Algeria” at a speech in Mostaganem.102 However, de Gaulle later changed his stance in 1959 by stating that the future of Algeria would be “self-determination,” essentially meaning that France was willing to give up Algeria.103 In 1961, de Gaulle reopened negotiations with the FLN at Evian in May 1961. The French called for a cease-fire on March 19, 1962. During the Evian Accords called for all European colonists in Algeria to become full-fledged Algerian citizens or be classified as aliens.104 The decisions made at Evian were subsequently approved by the French electorate in a 91 percent vote in a referendum in June 1962.105 On July 1, 1962, 6 million Algerians out of 6.5 million cast votes for independence. De Gaulle announced Algeria’s independence on July 3, 1962 marking an end to the conflict. 106 Government Action The government’s counterterrorism response to the violence in Algeria gradually moved from government-sponsored reprisals to targeted killings, torture during interrogations, and helicopter raids. The return of de Gaulle to French politics restored a relative moderate to the hardliners who had once been in charge of the French presence in Algeria. De Gaulle paved the way for an independent Algeria and the fruition of FLN efforts since 1954. 101 Nuenlist, Christian, Anna Locher, and Garret Martin. Globalizing De Gaulle: International Perspectives on French Foreign Policies, 1958-1969. Lanham, MD: Lexington, 2010. 227. 102 Library of Congress Online. A Country Study: Algeria; War of Independence: de Gaulle. http://lcweb2.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/r?frd/cstdy:@field(DOCID+dz0041) 103 Ibid. Ibid. 105 Ibid. 106 Ibid. 104 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 27 The November 1, 1954 FLN attacks prompted the French minister of interior, François Mitterrand, to respond with the statement, “the only possible negotiation is war.”107 This was an echo of Premier Pierre Mendès’ policy towards losing Algeria. Mendès declared on Novermber 12, 1954 in front of the National Assembly that “One does not compromise when it comes to defending the internal peace of the nation, the unity and integrity of the Republic.”108 These statements epitomize the all-important French perspective when discussing Algeria: Algeria is a part of France and must be kept in order to preserve French honor.109 The recent loss of Indochina in 1954 and the eventual losses of Morocco and Tunisia in 1956 strengthened French resolve to maintain Algeria as an integral piece of France.110 The politicians called for war and the FLN answered by slaughtering hundreds of piednoirs at Phillippeville.111 In response to FLN attacks on European settlers, the French colonial government began several reprisals that resulted in yet more needless deaths, most of which had not been involved in the initial FLN attack. The Phillippeville massacre also gave Governor General Robert Lacoste an excuse to abolish the Algerian Assembly. Lacoste went on to rule Algeria by decreelaw and granted the French military presence immense power.112 The arrest of several external FLN political leaders in October 1956 caused the remaining leaders to harden their stance in the conflict. Lacoste also increased military operations and began to guillotine 107 Library of Congress Online. A Country Study: Algeria; War of Independence. http://lcweb2.loc.gov/cgibin/query/r?frd/cstdy:@field(DOCID+dz0036) 108 Ibid. 109 Crenshaw, 479. 110 Ibid. 111 Library of Congress Online. A Country Study: Algeria; War of Independence. http://lcweb2.loc.gov/cgibin/query/r?frd/cstdy:@field(DOCID+dz0036) 112 Library of Congress Online. A Country Study: Algeria; War of Independence: Phillippeville. http://lcweb2.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/r?frd/cstdy:@field(DOCID+dz0038) Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 28 convicted FLN members in Algiers.113 This political decision made by Lacoste led to the FLN adoption of urban terrorism in 1956-1957. The combat from 1956-1957 was extremely one-sided, seeing the demise of the ZAA.114 Lacoste instated General Jacques Massu in response to the general strike. Massu’s Tenth Paratroop Division were given freedom by Lacoste to pacify Algeria by any means possible.115 Paratrooper units sealed off Muslim quarters of Algiers and began to systematically interrogate and register or arrest Muslim inhabitants.116 Colonel Yves Godard designated himself the chief of police in the city and seized police records. On Godard’s first day as police chief, paratroopers arrested fifteen hundred suspects.117 However, only fifty of these suspects were turned over to the police to be charged with crimes.118 The paratroopers also engaged in torture in order to extract information. Crenshaw states that “Although torture was common in Algeria from the beginning of the rebellion, the method assumed a critical importance in the French response to urban terrorism.” Massu actually institutionalized the use of torture into a systematic form of interrogation. 119 The use of torture was highly effective from a tactical perspective, resulting in the annihilation of the ZAA in Algiers. The French intelligence network relayed the information garnered from torture interrogations to the paratroopers, who totally dismantled the ZAA leadership.120 113 Crenshaw, 488. Harbi, 199. 115 Crenshaw, 489-490. 116 Ibid. 117 Jacques Delarue, “La police en paravent et au rampart,” in La guerre, ed. Rioux, 260. 118 Ibid. 119 Massu, 166-170. 120 Harbi, 199. 114 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 29 In fact, French military intelligence seized an opportunity to finish off the ZAA during the ZAA’s flight from Algiers into the countryside. While the ZAA was fleeing into the countryside, French counterintelligence convinced the rural FLN leaders that all of the FLN students and intellectuals fleeing from the city were actually French agents.121 This resulted in the rural FLN leaders enacting widespread torture and a bloody purge on the alleged “traitors.”122 The CCE was not even safe, with the French capturing and executing Ben M’Hidi in February 1957.123 The other mastermind behind FLN’s urban terrorism campaign, Ramdane Abane, was forced to flee Algeria due to persistent French pressure and was assassinated by rival FLN members in Morocco in 1957.124 France also sought to dissuade outside foreign powers from supporting the FLN. Egyptian President Gamel Abdel Nasser earned the scorn of the French government for openly supporting the FLN with material and political assistance to fulfill his view of “pan-Arabism.”125 This manifested itself with French involvement in the Suez Crisis of November 1956 in an effort to topple Nasser from power and cut off Nasser’s support, which some French analysts believed to be “the most important element in sustaining continued rebel activity in Algeria.”126 French military units were also stationed at the Moroccan and Tunisian borders to guard against infiltration by the 30,000 trained FLN fighters poised at the border.127 The best known of these lines was designed and implemented by General Raoul Salan, the commander of the French 121 Droz and Lever, 209. Ibid. 123 Crenshaw, 489. 124 Harbi, 205. 125 Library of Congress Online. A Country Study: Algeria; War of Independence: Phillippeville. http://lcweb2.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/r?frd/cstdy:@field(DOCID+dz0038) 126 Ibid. 127 Ibid. 122 Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 30 army in Algeria. This line was called the “Morice Line” and consisted of an electrified fence, barbed wire, and mines stretching over a 320 kilometer portion of the Tunisian border.128 In late 1957, Salan instituted a system of quadrillage.129 Quadrillage divided the country into sectors, each permanently garrisoned by troops. Within each quadrillage, the garrisoned troops were responsible for suppressing rebel operations within their particular sector.130 Salan’s strategy was successful in reducing FLN terrorism, but tied down large numbers of troops in a static defense. The French also concentrated segments of the rural population in large camps under military supervision. In an official capacity, this was done to protect the villagers from FLN extortion but was also to prevent sympathetic villagers from aiding FLN rebels.131 1958 saw the reinstatement of de Gaulle as the French leader as well as a shift in tactics by the French military in Algeria. The army switched from a dependence on quadrillage to using mobile forces to deploy on massive search and destroy missions against FLN military strongholds.132 The next year, Salan was replaced by General Maurice Challe, who greatly suppressed major rebel resistance. Challe landed serious blows on the FLN military establishment by deploying extremely mobile “hunting commandos” in American helicopters to effectively sweep the countryside region by region.133 Though effective, this strategy consumed massive amounts of resources. Over 600,000 troops were stationed in Algeria in 1959.134 French reports guess that between 1958 and 1960, the FLN military cadre had been cut in half.135 The 128 Library of Congress Online. A Country Study: Algeria; War of Independence: Conduct of War. http://lcweb2.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/r?frd/cstdy:@field(DOCID+dz0039) 129 Ibid 130 Ibid. 131 Ibid. 132 Ibid. 133 Locher, Nuenlist, and Martin. 228. 134 Ibid. 135 Ibid. Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 31 FLN’s own reports note the grave reduction in both combat potential and organizational structure.136 Challe’s air mobile units pounded FLN rebels, but the surviving members of the cells merely evaporated back into the rural population and were nearly impossible to root out once assimilated into the population. As early as 1959, Challe realized that the French could not militarily defeat the FLN because the FLN’s mission was political. De Gaulle gradually made successions to the FLN since his return to office in 1958, culminating in the cease-fire in 1961 and subsequently granted the Algerians independence following the Evian Accords in the summer of 1962. After popular elections voted overwhelmingly for an independent Algeria, the French pulled out and the FLN had won. Lessons Learned The French carried out a successful counterterrorism strategy against the FLN. The French military, despite brutal tactics in gaining information and reprisal attacks, completely dismantled the ZAA in Algiers and executed the Challe Plan in the rural areas to deny the FLN a safe haven. Despite these tactically successful endeavors, the French military was never able to gain the population’s support. A failure to identify the population as essential to success doomed the French military to defeat. Implementation of a COIN strategy would have alleviated this and possibly led to a French success. A COIN strategy would have focused on the population rather than the FLN. Due to the violent actions of the FLN towards neutral Algerians, the government had an opportunity to alienate the population from the FLN. In hindsight, it was the FLN who was successful at alienating the French government from the population. Constant tension between European settlers and Muslim Algerians led to several atrocities on both sides, but the 136 Ibid. Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 32 colonial government did nothing to keep the peace and usually added fuel to the fire with reprisal attacks on the Muslim population. Torture interrogation tactics led to unrest in France and the international community, leading to more supporters of the rebel cause. The French were quite successful utilizing hard power methods. The helicopter commando raids harried the FLN close to the brink of destruction. In fact, the ZAA was virtually destroyed through kinetic military action in Algiers and was forced to leave the city. However, the resiliency of the FLN prevented the French military from completely destroying the FLN leadership and infrastructure. The FLN strongholds in neighboring states allowed the FLN leadership sanctuary that remained out of French reach. The French showed little to no use of soft power techniques until the end of the conflict. Once de Gaulle took power, French objectives in Algeria gradually shifted towards selfdetermination. The peace talks during the cease-fire were successful and led to peace. This shows that soft power can lead to a successful CT campaign. However, due to one of the America’s bedrock international relations policy of negotiating with terrorists this does not seem a viable option for US foreign policy. Policy Implications, Lessons, and Recommendations Given the announced troop withdrawals from both Afghanistan and Iraq, new strategies must be analyzed to keep up with current foreign policy objectives. The strategic decision made by the Obama administration could easily define his entire presidency: will he continue to pursue a COIN-oriented method or switch to a purely counter-terror approach to continue the Global War on Terror and ensure security for the US? The main question here is to determine whether or not the US can effectively carry out its foreign policy through a strictly counter-terror Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 33 approach. This question is invaluable to US policy makers because of its strategic implications on future military training and operations, foreign relations, and budgeting. The implications of a counter-terror based approach could be immense. Militarily, new training programs would need to be implemented in order to prepare for more kinetic operations. Expensive training methods of foreign internal development (FID) could be abandoned by conventional units, but the ability to conduct FID operations must not be wholly abandoned. More funds would need to be routed to existing special operations forces already outfitted for counter-terror missions, but the overall budget would be less. If our military is significantly decreased in size and capability, the question should be poised as to whether or not the US has the means to continue its current foreign policy standard of dealing with terrorists. Should CT operations indeed prove to be insufficient, then our sphere of influence could significantly decrease due to our inability to project power. Limiting our current foreign policy objectives is a viable option for policy makers. However, we also need to take into account the soft power aspects of CT. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates urges current and future policy makers to resurrect America’s soft power capabilities, arguing that “military force alone cannot defend America’s interests around the world.”137 Hillary Clinton, the current Secretary of State, also acknowledges a return to a soft power approach towards terror and using the phrase “smart power”: The president-elect and I believe that foreign policy must be based on a marriage of principles and pragmatism, not rigid ideology. On facts and evidence, not emotion or prejudice. Our security, our vitality, and our ability to lead in today’s world oblige us to recognize the overwhelming fact of our interdependence. 137 Defense Secretary Robert Gates made these remarks in his Landon Lecture at Kansas State University, November 26, 2007. The text of the lecture is available at http://www.defenselink.mil/speeches/spech.aspx?speechid=1199, accessed March 22, 2011. Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 34 We must use what has been called “smart power,” the full range of tools at our disposaldiplomatic, economic, military, political, legal, and cultural- picking the right tool, or combination of tools, for each situation. With smart power, diplomacy will be the vanguard of foreign policy.”138 This shift from hard power to soft power would reopen negotiations with Iran, North Korea, Syria, Lebanon and more. The Sri Lankan case study offers insight into the benefits of negotiations, peace talks, cease-fires, economic sanctions, and condemnation by the international community. Conclusion The proponents of CT offer alluring evidence and ideas, but CT can be quite problematic. The two case studies analyzed, while not definitive by any means, offer several key lessons to be learned. Once again, it is imperative to understand that not all lessons are universal. While negotiations eventually worked in Algeria, they were never successful in Sri Lanka. This is because the political climate in both states was very different. The LTTE were simply asking too much of the Sri Lankan government. In contrast, the French government shifted its goals and negotiated with the FLN that resulted in self-determination. The international community’s role is also important. The Sri Lankan government was very effective at bringing the UN on board and labeled the LTTE as a terrorist organization. This led to frozen LTTE assets and the denial of safe havens in India for LTTE cadre to rest and refit. Likewise, the FLN was quite effective at gaining popular support in the world community. The FLN framed itself as the victims of French imperialism that the UN was sympathetic towards. 138 Secretary of State Hillary R. Clinton made these remarks during her testimony at secretary of state designee before the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee’s confirmation hearing on January 13, 2009. For transcript, see http://www.npr.org/templates/story.php?storyId=99290981, accessed March 22, 2011. Combating Terrorism in Irregular Forces: Lessons from Algeria and Sri Lanka Clark 35 This research concludes that hard military power will only rarely solve the underlying problems of irregular forces. Hard military power will only work as a strategy if the irregular forces can be completely destroyed. Soft power remains quite helpful in impacting irregular groups, but remains largely insufficient to make lasting effects. The current administration appears to be on the pathway to soft power in order to end future conflicts with irregular forces, but hard power should never be wholly abandoned. A balance must be maintained in order to effectively use CT methods to achieve our foreign policy goals. 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