JENSEN ROOFING INC Prepared For: Robert Jensen Prepared by: Mike MacKinnon Kevin Lee Evan Conrad Ryan Kehrig Olajumoke Oni Aeisha Caracciolo Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.0 Executive Summary 1.1 Introduction 1.1.1 Industry Overview 1.1.2 Company Overview 1.1.3 Value Proposition 1.1.4 Mission Statement 1.1.5 Goals 2.0 The Operations Plan 2.1 Business Structure 2.2 Management of the Business 2.3 Location of the Business 2.4 Services to be provided 2.5 Materials 2.6 Cost of Sales and Operating Expense 2.7 Typical day of Business at Jensen’s Roofing 3.0 The Human Resource Plan 3.1 Jensen Roofing Organizational Structure 3.2 Job Descriptions 3.2.1 Foreman 3.2.2 Roofer-Helper 3.2.3 Accountant/Financial Advisor 3.3 Wages and Training Costs 4.0 Market Plan 4.1 SWOT Analysis 4.2 Market Analysis Residential Roofing- New Homes under Construction 4.2.1 Potential Customers and Market Share 4.2.2 Pricing 4.2.3 Marketing Strategy 4.3 Market Analysis- Residential Roofing- Major Roofing Repairs 4.3.1 Potential Customers 4.3.2 Target Market 4.3.3 Pricing 4.3.4 The Opportunity 4.3.5 Marketing Strategy 4.4 Combined Market Analysis 4.4.1 Sales and Project Objectives 4.4.2 Select Markets and Service Mix 4.4.3 Service Features 4.4.4 Marketing Plan budget Prepared by Group 3 2 Jensen Roofing Inc 5.0 The Financial Plan 5.1 Economic Forecast 5.2 Five Year Financial Statements 5.3 Year One Monthly Cash Flow Statements 5.4 Revenue 5.5 Payroll 5.6 Working Capital 5.7 Capital And Financing Budget 5.8 Debt Amortization Schedule 5.9 Depreciation (CCA) Schedule) 5.10 Corporate Income Tax 5.11 Ratio Analysis 5.12 Investment Analysis 5.13 Risk Analysis 6.0 7.0 Conclusion Index to Exhibits Prepared by Group 3 Robert Jensen 3 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen 1.0 Executive Summary As a result of the current economic environment in Southern Alberta, Robert Jensen has come forward with a desire to establish his own roofing and repair business in the City of Lethbridge. This plan is driven by Robert’s desire to capitalize financially on his roofing skill set and his previous experience in the roofing industry. Currently these skills are in high demand in Lethbridge area making now the ideal time to establish this business. Operations Plan: Jensen Roofing will operate as a corporation out of Robert’s personal home. The company will be managed extensively by Robert as he has several years experience in the roofing industry. All necessary financial and management advice will be obtained from a consultant who will be paid on a needs basis. Jensen will focus on building new roofs as this is where the demand is highest, in addition, some roof repairs and replacement work will be done in the summer. Materials will be purchased on a job estimate basis thus eliminating the need to carry inventory. Human Resources Plan: The organization structure at Jensen Roofing is simplistic in nature. The entire organization will consist of a two person team: Robert Jensen as president and foreman, and a roofing helper to assist Robert in the day to day operations. Robert will have complete control of all aspects of running and managing the business while the roofing helper will primarily be engaged in performing routine physical labour. A secondary member of the Jensen Roofing team will be the business advisor/accountant hired by Robert. The wage rates used in the financial model projections are taken from the Alberta Building Trades Council of Unions in 2006 grown at 4% to arrive at the 2008 wage levels. The seasonal nature of the repairs business will require Jensen Roofing to lay off the helper in the winter months as Jensen Roofing does not have enough of the new home market share to keep both Robert and the helper busy in these months. Marketing Plan: The marketing mix of Jensen Roofing will consist of new home installations and existing home roof repairs. In order for Jensen Roofing to differentiate itself from all existing competitors in the marketplace Jensen will position itself as a premium quality installation company with a focus on timely service with minimal customer hassle. Initially the sales pricing of Jensen will be slightly above the market average as a pricing discount of 5% in year one is required for Jensen to attract initial jobs away from existing competitors. By year four Jensen’s sales pricing will be in the upper echelon of the market as the company’s reputation in the market will be second to none. The strength of the company’s marketing plan will lie in the ability of Robert to establish himself amongst the Lethbridge construction industry as a reputable man who performs quality work. It is through the establishment of this referral network and word of mouth from satisfied customers that Robert intends to solidify and grow the reputation and market share of Jensen Roofing in the Lethbridge market. Financial Plan: Prepared by Group 3 4 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen Jensen Roofing is going to implement a cost-plus pricing strategy for materials and labour in its business operations. The effect of doing this is that Jensen’s is insulated from any potential losses resulting from any material and labour cost overruns. This basically provides Jensen’s with a built in price floor that ensures the business maintains profitability. The financial model projections for the business highlight a growing net income figure from $43,280 in Year 1 to $181,645 in Year 5. This net income is in addition to Robert already drawing a wage from the business for the actual work he is performing. Capacity requirements are the primary constraint on revenue growth. By year five Jensen has minimal excess capacity hours which indicates that revenues have been maximized under the current business structure The business plan for Jensen Roofing demonstrates strong revenue and growth potential for this business idea. The original desire of Robert Jensen to increase his annual after-tax profits will be realized as well as providing Robert with the ability to run his own roofing business. 1.1 Introduction 1.1.1 Industry Overview The roofing market in Lethbridge consists of essentially every building with a roof. This includes residential, commercial, and industrial buildings. Roofs vary greatly in shape and design differentiating on pitch, slope and angles. Roofing in Lethbridge is going through a boom as part of the housing boom occurring throughout Alberta due in part to the thriving oil and gas economy. Demand for skilled labour is enormous in Alberta as well 1.1.2 Company Overview With the roaring Alberta and Lethbridge economies as a back drop, Robert Jensen’s extensive roofing experience at Charles Hill Roofing, the largest roofer in the Lethbridge area; and his Journeyman Roofing license present the opportunity to incorporate Jensen Roofing Inc. Jensen Roofing will in essence be a personal service business, enabling Robert to perform the same work he did as an employee while allowing him to reap the rewards that normally accrue to ownership. 1.1.3 Value Proposition The opportunity comes as a function of the aforementioned skilled labour shortage and the low start-up costs required for a roofing business. With a minimal capital investment and increasing demand for his services, the risks normally associated with ownership (ie. that of loss) are mitigated while the rewards thereof can be captured with focused effort. Production capacity will be met early and fixed costs are low. Even in the event of a down turn, the low capital intensity allow for easy exit from the business via liquidation. 1.1.4 Mission Statement Prepared by Group 3 5 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen Jensen Roofing aims to provide the customer with a quality constructed attractive roof at a fair cost and in a timely manner. It is Jensen’s desire that customers will have a positive experience and speak highly of Jensen Roofing towards their friends and neighbors. 1.1.5 Goals 1. Increase personal after tax income to a level not attainable by employment, by ensuring a target gross margin of 40%. 2. Maintain simple one roofing team business model 3. Earn and maintain the best reputation for quality workmanship in the market 4. Reach capacity quickly, but do not materially exceed sole operator capacity 2.0 The Operations Plan 2.1 Business Structure From inception, Jensen Roofing will be operated as a corporation. Robert Jensen will be the sole shareholder and will be responsible for all the business transactions and decision making, thus the decision making process will be quick and prompt action can be taken on any issues that might arise. The business will be incorporated for the following reasons: When a company is incorporated it acquires an independent existence, therefore it is separate and distinct from its shareholders and has an unlimited life expectancy. The corporation provides its shareholders with limited liability meaning shareholders cannot be held personally liable for the debts and liabilities of the company. Ownership interests in the company can be easily transferred through the sale or transfer of stock without affecting the corporation’s existence or continued operation. Additional capital can be raised through the sale of stock in the business. The major drawbacks of incorporation include the possibility of a second level of taxation and the additional administrative expenses of incorporation. The profits of the corporation are first taxed as income to the corporation, then as income in the hands of the shareholder as dividends are paid. Some of the effects of the second level of taxation will be mitigated as Jensen Roofing will be eligible for the small business deduction. Although the costs of incorporation are significant higher than the sole proprietorship form of business, Jensen Roofing is better incorporating because of the nature of the industry in which it operates as there is a high risk of injury and litigation. 2.2 Management of the Business Prepared by Group 3 6 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen The business will be managed by Robert as he has several years of experience in the roofing industry working for Charles Hill Roofing. In addition, he will be using the services of a consultant to obtain the necessary financial/accounting and business management advice; the consultant will be Robert’s adviser and will be paid on an hourly and as needed basis. 2.3 Location of the Business For the first five years the business will be operating out of Robert’s personal home. The business space will consist of a home office where he can choose to meet clients and his garage which will be used as storage space for all the necessary equipment, supplies and left over materials. This space will be adequate as the services are provided at the client’s location. Jensen’s will be focusing its services in the Lethbridge and surrounding areas. 2.4 Services to be provided Jensen Roofing will be focused on building new roofs as this is where the greatest demand and growth is within the Lethbridge market. The company will however perform some roof repairs and replacements as well during the year and will employ a labourer in the summer months to assist with these repairs and replacements. Robert is able to put on a new roof by himself in ten hours which is approximately one full day of work, a roof replacement will take Jensen and a labourer approximately two and a half days to strip and replace. Jensen’s will focus its business on residential or small commercial roofs. Due to labour capacity restraints, large industrial contracts will likely not be taken on in the first few years of the company operations. We expect there to be more than enough demand for residential and small commercial roofs to keep Jensen’s busy. 2.5 Materials Materials will be purchased on a job estimate basis. Robert will sit down with customers (home and business owners, or general contractors) and have them pick out their preferred materials based on samples and pictures that will be provided. These materials will then be purchased from big building supply stores such as Home Depot and Rona. To ensure lower material costs the company will set up a contractor account at these stores. Jensen’s will obtain a Home Depot or Rona credit card for no fee which will allow it to easily make large purchases at any time without consideration for cash constraints. Home Depot and Rona both deliver materials to job sites and will hoist the materials onto the roof with their boom trucks. 2.6 Cost of Sales and Operating Expense Costs of sales include direct labour and direct materials costs. All of the materials necessary to put on a new roof or replace an old roof can be found in schedule 3 of Exhibit 11. The cost per square foot ranges from Prepared by Group 3 7 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen approximately $0.89 using an asphalt shingle to approximately $10.34 per square foot when putting on a slate roof. Operating expenses can be seen in schedule 5 of Exhibit 11. The most significant operating expense for Jensen’s will be fuel costs. Robert will be using his half ton truck to get to and from the job sites. He will also use the truck for his sales meetings and trips to and from Home Depot/Rona to order supplies or pick up small tools or supplies. His three ton truck will also cost him several thousand dollars a year to run. In projecting out fuel costs we included an increase in fuel cost of 15% per year. 2.7 Typical day of business at Jensen’s roofing Robert Jensen will essentially do everything in the business. Aside from a labourer hired to do menial tasks and having a business consultant/accountant provide services on an as needed basis he will be the only full time staff person at Jensen’s roofing. Robert will spend most of his day actually building and repairing roofs as this is what will drive the revenues of the company. Robert’s day will begin between six and eight a.m. He will likely spend some of his time in the first few weeks of the business meeting with general contractors to get their business. Some time will also be spend initially setting up accounts at Rona and/or Home Depot but eventually Robert will just order materials over the phone and have them dropped off on the job site the day the job begins. Banking, paying of bills, collections calls and sorting of paperwork for the consultant will be done on in the evenings and weekends. Robert will also spend time in the evenings trying to find new business. He will drive around older neighborhoods looking for houses with older roofs. He will try making cold calls in peoples doorways asking them if they would be interested in a quote and either sit down with them then or make an appointment. This will be his way of breaking into the roof repairs market. He will also spend time in the evenings meeting with general contractors as he is vying for their business. 3.0 The Human Resource Plan The human resources required for operating Jensen Roofing follows a basic and simplified structure. During the first five years of operations Jensen’s will operate with a basic two person structure and a business consultant/accountant on the side to provide business advice (see below). Robert Jensen will operate as president and on-site foreman and will require one roofer-helper to assist him in the day to day duties of roof construction and repair of the summer repair season. This model will not require extensive human resource efforts on behalf of Robert Jensen which then allows him to dedicate additional time and effort to the marketing and daily operations. The accounting and bookkeeping duties required for Jensen Roofing will be handled by an outside accountant who will also prepare the personal tax return for Robert Jensen. Prepared by Group 3 8 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen 3.1 Jensen Roofing Organizational Structure Robert Jensen President Foreman Accountant / Financial Advisor Roofing Helper 3.2 Job Descriptions The position of foreman will be occupied by Robert Jensen. Below is the formal job description and duties for contractors and roofers as taken from the Human Resources and Social Development Canada website: 3.2.1 Foreman: Supervise, co-ordinate and schedule the activities of construction workers engaged in roofing who install and service prefabricated products in residential and commercial properties, as well as workers who repair a wide variety of products Establish methods to meet work schedules and co-ordinate work activities with other subcontractors Resolve work problems and recommend measures to improve productivity and product quality Requisition materials and supplies Train workers in job duties, safety procedures and company policies Recommend personnel actions such as hirings and promotions Prepare work progress reports Manage the operations of own company May also supervise, co-ordinate and schedule the activities of related apprentices, helpers and labourers. These job duties will solely be the responsibility of Robert Jensen as at startup he is the only person who will have the technical knowledge and experience to coordinate these activities. Additionally, since Jensen Roofing is a startup business a significant part of Robert’s time will need to be dedicated to marketing activities during the evening hours as the vast majority of the daytime hours will be dedicated to performing the actual roofing construction and repair duties. 3.2.2 Roofer-Helper: The role of roofer-helper is a labour intensive position which will require an individual that is able to perform routine physical tasks on a daily basis. Physical stamina and efficiency are the key characteristics need in this role. The roofer-helper will only assist the foreman on repair jobs as they require more physical labour than Prepared by Group 3 9 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen installing roofs on new homes. Typically repairs cannot be performed during the winter months (NovemberMarch) so the helper will be a seasonal position as the helper role will be eliminated during these months. The projected years 1-5 roofer helper hours required are as follows: Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 900 hrs. 1,025 hrs. 1,175 hrs. 1,350 hrs. 1,550 hrs. The increase in the estimated hours requirement is tied to Jensen Roofing projections of increasing their overall market share in the repairs market over the five year period. The requirement to lay off the helper in the winter months is unavoidable as Jensen’s will initially not have a large enough market share of new homes to provide constant employment for a two person team. Robert alone will be able to perform the work requirements during the winter months making the lay-off a necessary action. Since there are labour shortages in Southern Alberta, Jensen Roofing may have major difficulty in hiring a roofer-helper. However, the University of Lethbridge and Lethbridge Community College have a student population of approximately 15,000 providing Jensen Roofing with a target for annual unskilled labour needs. 3.2.3 Accountant / Financial Advisor: The day to day administrative tasks will be handled by Robert Jensen as it is his responsibility to ensure that payables and receivables are being dealt with in a timely manner. Robert will prepare his own bank deposits. Most purchase will be done via credit card, however, a small number of cheques (payroll et al) will be written directly by Robert. In order to facilitate the bookkeeping duties Robert will hire the services of an accounting/bookkeeping firm to enter the monthly transactions into an accounting program which can then be used to provide Robert with reports about the overall profitability and day to day operations of his business. The year-end financial statements and corporate tax return preparation will be prepared by the same chartered accountant firm to provide Robert with an independent analysis of the overall health of Jensen Roofing as a whole. Having a chartered accountant prepare the tax return will increase Jensen’s awareness and ability to utilize tax planning strategies intended to minimize overall taxes being paid by Robert. Additionally, the professional fees paid for the accounting duties are fully deductible against business revenues so the relative cost of this function is further reduced even without the value being added by a qualified accountant. 3.3 Wages and training costs The five year wage projections for Jensen Roofing are attached in the financial schedules. These figures include the applicable CPP, EI, and WCB deductions based on projected hours and wages for the business. The starting wage figures are based on the Alberta Building Trades Council of Unions 2006 wages for a Prepared by Group 3 10 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen journeyman and roofing helper grown at 4% annual inflation to reach the 2008 beginning hourly wage figures. Wages grow at a yearly growth rate of 3% which is equal to the projected inflation over the five year timeframe. The annual wage rates (before deductions) and hours worked based on the projections in the financial schedules are summarized in this table: Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Foreman hr. rate $31.63 $32.58 $33.56 $34.57 $35.61 (# hours worked) 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 Roofer helper hr. rate $16.87 $17.38 $17.90 $18.44 $18.99 (# hours worked) 900 1,025 1,175 1,350 1,550 The original 2006 wage figures taken from the Alberta Building Trades Council of Unions (ABTCU) include benefits and wellness programs for the foreman position. The roofer helper position will not receive any health or pension benefits but will receive paid vacation leave in accordance with the ABTCU wage figures. These figures are then grown at 4% inflation to arrive at the 2008 wage figures used. A 4% inflation rate was used because of the rapid growth in the Lethbridge economy during this period. 2008 Total Health & Training Breakdown Wage Wage Vacation Wellness Pension Costs Foreman $31.63 / h $27.18 $2.71 $1.19 $0.54 $0.01 Roofer -helper $16.87 / h $13.76 $1.37 $1.19 $0.54 $0.01 The full cost wage figures are used in costing out the operations plan so these costs have already been incorporated in Jensen’s business model. Jensen Roofing will not be training roofer apprentices because under the current organizational structure it is not financially feasible and does not meet Jensen’s goal of remaining an independent operator with no partners and a single team. In order for the business to reach maximum profitability, the roofer-helper role needs to be staffed with cheap unskilled labour. Potential helpers wishing to pursue their roofing apprenticeship will require additional on the job training and higher wages after their first year on the job which will increase the costs under Jensen’s staffing model. As mentioned earlier Jensen’s will be laying off the roofing helper during the winter months which is not conducive to potential apprentices who are looking to fulfill their hours requirements faster through full time employment. Additionally, the on the job training that apprentices require will take away from Robert’s productivity and efficiency, potentially undermining the profitability projections of the proposed business model. Prepared by Group 3 11 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen 4.0 Marketing Plan 4.1 SWOT Analysis Strengths: Robert Jensen has spent years working as a roofer for one of the largest roofing companies in Alberta. During that time he obtained his Journeyman Roofer license and made numerous contacts in the construction industry. These contacts will be the key asset for him as he attempts to enter the new home market. Lethbridge and all of Alberta is in the midst of a construction boom. Lethbridge economy continues to grow and the demand for skilled labour increases every day. Currently Lethbridge draws its skilled labourers in from as far away as Calgary and British Columbia. For the past few years the City of Lethbridge has initiated a “You Belong Here” Labour Force Initiative, in an effort to attract workers (City of Lethbridge, 2007). With the skilled labour shortage now is a prime opportunity for Jensen Roofing to enter the roofing market. Robert lives in Lethbridge so the company’s local roots will be used as an added selling feature when pitching to customers. Weaknesses: The labour shortage is also a threat. It may be difficult to attract unskilled labour as workers are in demand in all sectors of the Alberta economy. While Robert developed a strong reputation within the industry Jensen roofing is not yet a household name. This could make the initial push into the market for major repairs difficult as the company will have to build its credibility over time. Currently there are three to four large major competitors (total of seven) in the Lethbridge roofing market. If any of these major players see Jensen Roofing as a threat they may attempt to push Jensen out of the market. However due to the construction boom, and the labour shortage it is unlikely that this will happen. There is more roofing work in Lethbridge than roofing companies available to do it so there is no need to compete fiercely over customers. Opportunity: The roofing industry has very low barriers to entry. There are little start up costs required with the exception of a few fixed costs such as the purchase of trucks, marketing and small equipments. The majority of the costs are variable and are pushed onto the customer with a markup. Threats: There are seven main competitors based in Lethbridge (See Exhibit 10). An unexpected economic downturn before Robert has an opportunity to establish his reputation would impact both price and demand for his services. Due to Robert Jensen’s prior experience at Charles Hill Roofing, Jensen Roofing should focus on dwellings with low-slope roofs in Lethbridge and surrounding areas. The remainder of this section is split into two main parts: New Homes Under Construction, and major repairs. 4.2 Market Analysis Residential Roofing – New Homes under Construction The construction industry in Alberta has been booming for several years. In 2006, 700 single-family dwellings were constructed (Economic Basis, 2006). Although the breakneck pace of economic growth in the Prepared by Group 3 12 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen region has slowed due to the rising dollar, and oil prices, growth does remain and is expected to continue to be strong. New home construction is expected to continue to grow as a result. 4.2.1 Potential Customers and Market Share There are three main general contractors that build new homes in Lethbridge: Hunter Construction, Nyhoff Construction, and Silver Ridge Construction. These general contractors want quality workmanship and reliable service. As Robert Jensen has experience in the roofing industry, he will be able to offer these services. Due to the construction boom in Alberta, finding skilled labour is extremely difficult; currently Lethbridge has been attracting employees from a radius of over 100 km. By hiring a locally based subcontractor, the general contractors are able to lower their costs. This factor gives Jensen Roofing a competitive advantage, it is expected that this will enable the company obtain 11% of market share in the first year (approximately 1/3 of one of the general contractors work). 4.2.2 Pricing In this market segment, most general contractors will have already purchased the materials. The only markup will be labour for these contractors. For Robert’s own labour the markup will be 70% of wages, and for the roofer-helper the markup will be 50% of wages. 4.2.3 Marketing Strategy There will be no additional marketing needed in this segment, as there is more demand than the current labour market can supply. Jensen Roofing will focus on providing reliable service, and quality workmanship, in order to create a favorable reputation in the market and find it easy with obtaining jobs in the future. 4.3 Market Analysis - Residential Roofing – Major Roofing Repairs Per Statistics Canada in 2006 there were 30,700 dwellings, of which approximately 23,000 were dwellings with low-sloped roofs exhibit 3 for more detail (2006 Community Profiles, 2007). In 2006, 700 single-family dwellings were constructed. Assuming this continued in 2007, the total dwellings in 2008 would be approximately 32,100, using the same ratio of low sloped roofs to totally roofs, approximately 24,400 are dwellings with low-sloped roofs. Residential roofs are mainly made up of two types of material, asphalt shingles, which account for approximately 95% of roofs, and wood shingles, which accounts for the remainder of roofs. Asphalt shingles have a durable life of approximately 20-25 years; wood shingles have a durable life of at least twice that of asphalt shingles. This results in approximately 1,000 asphalt roofs and a handful of wood roofs needing major repairs each year, see Exhibit 4 for details. Prepared by Group 3 13 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen 4.3.1 Potential Customers The residential market is divided into owners that live in their own house (72%), and owners that rent the property to tenants (28%). Most roofers in Lethbridge promise to provide quality workmanship, however in addition to this, Jensen Roofing will also provide fast reliable service with the least amount of hassle to the consumer’s life. Thus, Jensen Roofing will target ‘Home Owners’ that live in their own homes, see Exhibit 5 for analysis of market segments. 4.3.2 Target Market The market segment ‘Owners that live in home’, can be broken down further into four categories: Couples with children (25%), Couples without children (31%), 1 person households (27%) and Other (17%). See exhibit 6 for detailed analysis of market segments. Jensen Roofing’s strategy of charging more for proving fast reliable service with least hassle to consumer’s life targets ‘Couples without children’ and ‘one person households’. Within the couples without children, because 45% of Lethbridge residents are under the age of 25, it is believed the ‘Young Couple’ category makes up the bulk of this segment (City of Lethbridge, 2007). In general, major roofing repairs occur during Mid-march to early November. The target market will require Jensen’s services when they realize their roofs needs to be repaired (may notice a leak of some kind), or a few years before a major repair is needed (it is brought to their attention that a major repair is needed). 4.3.3 Pricing In this market segment, there will be a markup for labour and materials purchased. For Robert’s own labour the markup will be 70% of wages, and for the roofer-helper the markup will be 50% of wages. Materials purchased for the customer will be marked up by 20%. Jobs will be bid for using these standard mark-ups and quoted on a per square foot basis (Estimated costs plus mark-up/Square feet). To remain competitive for the first three years there will be a general discount applied to each quotation. As Jensen’s reputation grows the discount will be reduced. The discount is forecasted to be 5, 4 and 2% in the first, second and third years respectively and the program is expected to be discontinued in the fourth year. 4.3.4 The Opportunity In first few years, Jensen Roofing will not have higher pricing in order to stay competitive and build its reputation. The market share will be a mix between all four segments. After the company has established a reputation, then it can start increasing its prices to incorporate high quality, timely repair and low hassle roofing. It is assumed that will occur in Year 3. (See Exhibit 7 for details). In the initial year, sales will be a mix of all four customer groups, in both owned and rented dwellings, and a mix of composite and wood shingles. It is assumed that Jensen will be able to obtain 1.65% of the market. Because charging a lower price, with good quality, combined with the information sessions initially will attract cost sensitive consumers including ‘Couples with children’ and dwellings which are rented out. Prepared by Group 3 14 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen In Year 2 Jensen Roofing will continue to charge competitive prices, but will reduce the discount from 5% to 4%. As prices start increasing Jensen’s will begin to lose price sensitive consumers. However, Jensen Roofing’s reputation and brand image in the community will be growing (hassle free roofing, dependable service, and quality workmanship) in target market areas (Couples without children, and one person households). The growing reputation throughout Lethbridge will lead to increased demand thereby negating the loss of the price sensitive market. In Year 3 Jensen Roofing will continue to charge competitive prices, but will decrease discount from 4% to 2%. It will continue to lose price sensitive consumers but as in Year 2 Jensen’s Roofing’s reputation and brand will continue to grow and attract more of the target market. In Years 4 & 5 Jensen Roofing will discontinue the discounts thereby losing all of the price sensitive customers. At this point Jensen Roofing’s reputation and brand will be firmly established throughout Lethbridge making Jensen Roofing the premier quality roofer in the Lethbridge market. 4.3.5 Marketing Strategy Jensen Roofing’s brand will focus on incorporating quality workmanship, timeliness, and low hassle. When current and potential customers think of Jensen Roofing, they should think: ‘Enhancing the quality of homes for our neighbours in our community’ ‘Jensen Roofing installs piece of mind over our heads, in a timely and hassle free manner’ This will be incorporated on signage, brochures and yellow pages advertisements. Information Sessions: As Jensen Roofing is a new company it will be important for Robert to talk directly to the people requiring roof repairs. For the first year, Robert will set up free information sessions on ‘How to take care of your roof’. Two weeks before the session he will post newspaper ad, and post flyers in the location the session will be held in. He can hold these seminars at the public library, community centres, and other public venues. During these sessions Robert will provide friendly tips on how to repair minor problems on a roof, and give tips on when a roof needs major repair. After the session people will be able to talk directly with Robert one-on-one about any roofing questions they may have. These forums will be an excellent way to connect Robert with home owners in a friendly and inviting environment. These seminars will most likely attract cost-sensitive consumers which will coincide with Jensen Roofing’s pricing strategy during the first few years. Drive-bys: In the evening hours Robert can drive through areas of town where houses were built more than 20 years ago. This will allow him to see when a roof needs a major repair. Robert can approach the residents of Prepared by Group 3 15 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen the house to notify them about the current state of their roof and provide them with a brochure and offer to provide an estimate if they appear genuinely interested. This will provide Robert with a medium to identify and communicate with potential customers. Advertising on Trucks: Two magnetic signs will be purchased for each truck. The signs will have the company name, logo, and phone number. As employees are working on houses those passing by will be able to identify and take note of who is performing the roof repairs. Yellow Pages & Yellow Pages.com Jensen Roofing’s target market relies heavily on looking in a phone book, or looking online for a roofer. It will be important to have half page print add in Lethbridge and surrounding areas phonebook, as well as an ad on yellow pages.com Of the competitors only a few have company websites, at this time it is not recommend for Jensen Roofing to have a company website. Real Estate Agent - Referrals In this industry when consumers do not know which roofing company to choose, they frequently ask their real estate agent. It is essential for Robert to meet real estate agents and set up some type of referral program where Robert pays the agent $100 for each referral that leads to a sale. 4.4 Combined Market Analysis The remaining analysis pertains to both New Homes under Construction, and major repairs. 4.4.1 Sales and Profit Objectives Jensen Roofing’s objective is to obtain financial stability by obtaining 10% market share of Residential Roofing – new homes under construction and 7% of market share of Residential Roofing – major repairs, by the fifth year of business. 4.4.2 Select Markets and Service Mix As it is easier to obtain jobs in the Residential Roofing Industry for new homes under construction, the first few years will have a heavy emphasis on this area. See Exhibit 8. Also as the construction boom begins to slow down and the number of homes being built each year decreases, the number of homes requiring major roofing repairs will be approximately the same each year. It is essential for Jensen Roofing to plan for this, and to have established itself in the major repairs market. To reflect this possibility Jensen Roofing will strive to increase the percentage of the service mix consisting of repairs. Prepared by Group 3 16 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen In year one the Residential Roofing Industry for new homes under construction is 11%. This is expected to grow with inflation. It is estimated that Jensen Roofing will be able to enter the Residential Roofing Industry, for major repairs at 1.65%. This is expected to grow to 7.50% at end of fifth year of operations. By the 5th year Jensen Roofing would like to be one of the major competitors in major roofing repairs, in its two selected target markets. Jensen Roofing’s service can be easily copied, however as the roofing market in Lethbridge for industrial, commercial, and residential has more capacity then skilled roofers, it is unlikely that competitors would copy Jensen Roofing’s strategy in the short term. However when the construction boom ends competitors may decide to copy Jensen Roofing’s strategy. 4.4.3 Service Features It’s a well known fact that consumers always complain about contractors. Jensen Roofing can be a company that offers customers what they need with the least amount of hassle. Quality Workmanship – Giving customers quality workmanship is a feature that essential every roofing company in Lethbridge provides. Jensen Roofing will need to also provide this to consumers. Reliable Service (Timeliness) – The target market wants reliable service, they want the roofer to come as soon as possible, and to come on the date the appointment is made for. As Jensen Roofing is a small business, when Robert goes to give an estimate he will know his work schedule for the next few weeks, and have an idea of the weather. On the bottom of each estimate he can say “if you call and book your appointment by XXX, I will guarantee the work will be done by XXX”. It is essential that Robert shows up to the job when he has said he would. Hassle free – The target market wants the work done with the least disruption to their lives. When Robert gives an estimate he can provide the potential customer with a list of shingles and their price. When the customer is ready, the customer can call Robert with the selection of shingles and Robert can call Rona and have the shingles delivered to the customer’s house. Per the Strategy Map, see Exhibit 12 there is one competitor, GR8 Roof Corporation, which has a similar strategy to Jensen Roofing; the only difference between Jensen Roofing is the timeliness factor. In order to differentiate Jensen Roofing from other roofing corporations it is essential for Jensen to provide no hassle, reliable service, but not at the expense of quality workmanship. Prepared by Group 3 17 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen Survey – It is important that Robert knows if he is meeting his customers needs. At the end of every job a quick 5-10 question survey can be given to the customer. The customer would rate the service, and provide Jensen Roofing with any negative feedback. Robert will have to adapt to the results. 4.4.4 Marketing Plan budget See Exhibit 9 for marking costs. 5.0 The Financial Plan 5.1 Economic Forecast The economy of the Lethbridge region should continue to be robust for the next five years for a number of reasons. First, Lethbridge participates in the Alberta Oil Economy, where labour is short and immigration continues to keep housing demand high. The price of oil is predicted to rise over our five year period. Further, the Lethbridge economy is also heavily invested in agriculture and commodity prices continue to rise. Due to the price of oil and other commodities inflation is expected to be at the high end of the Bank of Canada CPI range (1 – 3%) for core inflation of 3%. We expect the growth of new homes to grow at this rate. We also expect most costs and sales prices to grow at this rate. We expect demand for Jensen Roofing skills to remain far above supply. As a response to inflation at the high end of their targeted range, it is expected the Bank of Canada will begin raising rates in mid 2009 but then to level out for the remaining three years. 5.2 Five Year Financial Statements Please refer to Exhibits 11 – Financial Statements and supporting schedules for projected Balance Sheets, Income and Retained Earnings, and Cash flow. 5.3 Year 1 Monthly Cash Flow Statements Please refer to Exhibit 11 – Financial Statements and supporting schedules. 5.4 Revenue Bids and prices are quoted to the customer on the basis of dollars per square feet. Bids will be estimated using estimated labour hours and materials marked-up with standard rates. Prepared by Group 3 18 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen The number of units sold is constrained by the number of hours Jensen will have available and the product mix (ie. 10 hours for a new house, 25 for a replacement). Please refer to the financial schedules for detailed projections. 5.5 Payroll Direct wages are included in cost of sales. Workers compensation expense is a proportion of direct wages (7.86/hundred). Payroll deductions will consist of employer contributions to CPP (Jensen and Helper) and EI (Helper). 5.6 Working Capital To avoid risk Jensen will not be carrying inventory. The majority of sales will be to large general contractors building new homes. These customers will take longer to pay and accounts receivable days are estimated to be 45 for this customer. Repair customers will be individuals and will pay by credit card or cash (cheque) we estimate accounts receivable days to be up to 10 for these clients (this will depend on how often credit card receipts are deposited). The majority of materials and non-wage operating expenses will be purchased via credit card and thus payment will be delayed to 30 days. Wages will be paid every two weeks. Overall, the slow paying general contractors will require Jensen to maintain a large cash balance. 5.7 Capital and Financing Budget Major capital assets include a half ton and a three ton truck. Minor assets include ladders, cherry picker and computer. Capital outlays are estimated to cost 45,200 and working capital will require 15,000 to 20,000 in the first few months. The vast majority of the financing will be with debt (75,000), while only 2,000 of equity will be invested by Jensen. 5.8 Debt Amortization Schedule The debt will be obtained by way of line of credit from a major bank secured against Jensen’s personal residence. The recent up-swing in Lethbridge housing prices over the past several years has provided enough un-leveraged equity for this. With the line of credit secured by the personal residence, Jensen will be able to obtain the Prime lending rate of interest (4.75%). Jensen anticipates the replacement rate on the major assets purchased will be approximately 5 years. Therefore, Jensen will repay the line of credit at 20% of the original principal each year. The line of credit gives Jensen the flexibility to make interest only payments if cash becomes scarce. 5.9 Depreciation (Capital Cost Allowance) Schedules Prepared by Group 3 19 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen Capital assets will depreciated at a rate equal to the Canada Revenue agency capital cost allowance (CCA) pool rates. Please refer to Exhibit 11, Schedule 8. 5.10 Corporate and Personal Income Tax As a Canadian Controlled Private Corporation with 100% of its assets employed in Canada and 100% Canadian ownership, Jensen’s net income will always be below the small business limit. Please refer to Exhibit 11, schedule 10 for detailed breakdown of the component parts of the tax rate. 5.11 Ratio Analysis One of the most notable strengths of Jensen Roofing is its ability to generate large amounts of cash from its operation very early. Even though according to Schedule 12 the current ratio will gradually decline from 2008 to 2012, it is does not indicate that the company is having liquidity issues. In fact, this decline is largely due to Jensen’s ability to generate more than enough cash to make debt repayments. The cash generating ability of the company can also be depicted by the interest coverage, and cash flow to debt ratio in schedule 12. Another point to note is the significant decline in financial leverage over the course of the 5 year projection. Initially, the company will need to finance its capital budget with a mix of bank debt and equity. But as soon as the company is able to generate positive cash flows, it will be able to reduce the amount of debt, and thus financial risk, in the company. Please see schedule 12 for a comprehensive analysis of metrics and analysis to evaluate the profitability and sustainability of the business. 5.12 Investment Analysis (Sensitivity) According to Schedule 11 in Exhibit 11, the Net Present Value (NPV) of the equity investment for Jensen Roofing is $250,890, with an IRR of 66%. This means the investment will be able to generate positive economic profits, and should be pursued given the level risk currently expected from the project. The required rate of return on equity is assumed to be approximately 30%, accounting for risk factors that are unique to the roofing and construction industries, and the required return on similar private businesses. The terminal value at the end of year 5 assumes the company will grow at the rate of inflation, which is currently expected at the rate of 3%. The NPV analysis in schedule 11 is a rather conservative estimate of the equity value in the company, as it takes into account the opportunity cost of Jensen’s salary as a highly skilled employee in a relatively large roofing company. This opportunity cost is accounted for by assuming that Jensen could have earned $50,000 (inflation adjusted) for the next year 30 years. Please see schedule 11 for the detailed sensitivity analysis of the equity investment at different growth rates and risk levels. Prepared by Group 3 20 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen 5.13 Risk Analysis The critical risk variables for Jensen Roofing consist of the following: cost of labour availability of labour economic downturn in Lethbridge injury to Robert or his helper lawsuit liability stemming from poor construction work The underlying theme is that labour is the primary risk factor for the viability of the business. The nature of contract work and the cost plus pricing strategy employed assures that the business will always operate at a profit. In year one, the cost of labour being paid to the roofing helper would have to rise to $78.91/hr. to put Jensen Roofing in a loss position. The reality is that this is not going to happen and even if it somehow did, the increased costs would be transferred on to the customer protecting Jensen’s overall profitability. The real risk associated with labour is the availability of seasonal employees for the business. The fact that the U of L and LCC are situated in Jensen’s home market helps alleviate some of the availability risks, but all businesses in the region are experiencing the same labour shortage risks consequently increasing the competition for these seasonal workers The risk of a downturn in the Lethbridge economy poses a modest risk to Jensen Roofing. Because of the fact that skilled tradesman are in peak demand in Alberta, even a significant pullback in economic spending will have little effect on the ability of Jensen Roofing to secure work during this time. The likely consequence of a downturn is that the time delays encountered for construction projects will shrink as the demand for skilled tradesman will temporarily pull back allowing thereby reducing the backlog of construction projects on hold due to labour shortages. In any economic environment there will be work for Jensen Roofing. Even though Jensen Roofing pays Worker’s Compensation Premiums to the Alberta government, the corporation is still potentially liable if the roofer helper were to suffer a serious injury on a job site. If it can be proven that the operating environment at Jensen’s was not conducive to sound safety procedures and working conditions, it is possible that the roofing helper could allege that Jensen Roofing was negligent in its practices and subsequently file a statement of claim against the business. Notwithstanding the potentially high settlement amount if found negligent, the associated legal costs alone would provide huge financial strain on the resources and reputation of the business in the community. While it is not possible to guarantee a 100% safe working environment due to the nature of the roofing business, the probability of an injury occurring on the job can be significantly reduced if Jensen Roofing ensures that proper safety and workplace procedures are communicated and enforced on site. Prepared by Group 3 21 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen The most significant business risk for Jensen Roofing is reputation and quality risk. The cornerstone of Jensen’s business and marketing strategy is the assurance that a Jensen installed roof will be a superior quality roof, notwithstanding material limitations. If a Jensen installed roof fails, a customer and the cause can be traced back to the installation process; this could lead to a liability lawsuit being filed against Jensen. Notwithstanding the potential damages awarded, this would be a massive blow to Jensen’s reputation in the Lethbridge market. Through word of mouth this would spread throughout the construction industry, subsequently undermining the ability of Jensen’s to charge a premium price in exchange for a superior finished product. The entire pricing and differentiation strategy of the business would be in jeopardy. However the good news is that this risk can be mitigated so long as Robert remains committed to performing quality work as opposed to shifting the focus of Jensen Roofing towards quantity over quality. 6.0 Conclusion We conclude that Robert incorporates and begin operations as Jensen’s Roofing Inc. We recommend he focus on new homes and slowly increase roofing repairs over time. We recommend he stay simple and have only one team, consisting of himself and one part time employee. The business will attain the goals set out, increasing his personal after tax income. Prepared by Group 3 22 Jensen Roofing Inc Robert Jensen 7.0 Index to Exhibits Exhibits Number: 1 2 3 4 5) 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 COGS – Direct Materials (see Exhibit 11-Schedule 3) Operating expenses (see Exhibit 11-Schedule 5) Break down of dwellings in Lethbridge Number of residential roofs needing repairing Overall market segments – Residential homes Detailed breakdown of market segment Market share potential Service Mix Marketing plan budget Competitor Analysis Financial statements and supporting schedules External Analysis and Strategy Map Index for Supporting Financial Schedules for Exhibit 11: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Prepared by Group 3 Cash flow projections Revenues COGS Capacity Utilization Major Operating expenses Capital and financing budget Wages and benefits forecast Capital cost allowance Debt Amortization schedule Income tax rate Valuation Ratio analysis 23