The WISE Study: The NHLBI-Sponsored Women’s Ischemia Syndrome Evaluation Methods and Findings B. Delia Johnson, Ph.D. Research Associate, EDC Epidemiology Seminar Series, October 6, 2005 Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh 1 Outline • • • • Background WISE Overview Key Findings Implications / Impact 2 Background 3 Women and Heart Disease - 1 4 Women and Heart Disease - 2 520 500 480 460 440 420 400 01 99 97 95 93 91 89 87 85 83 81 380 79 Deaths in Thousands Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Trends for Males and Females United States: 1979-2002 Years Males Females 5 Women and Heart Disease - 3 Prevalence of Obstructive CAD at Angiography in Women 100 80 60 50 59 52 40 40 20 0 CASS 1982 Sullivan Bell 1995 1994 WISE 1998 6 What is Myocardial Ischemia? • Insufficient amount of oxygen reaching the heart muscle; • Often exercise or anxiety induced; • Reversible dysfunction or prolonged & severe; • Chest pain or “silent;” • Transient ECG abnormalities; • Over time, the affected heart tissue may die; • Many possible causes: – Obstructed coronary arteries (CAD) – Endothelial dysfunction – coronary vasoconstriction – Microvascular insufficiency. 7 WISE Overview The Women’s Ischemia Syndrome Evaluation 8 WISE Goals 1. Develop accurate diagnostic approaches for CAD detection in women. 2. Determine the frequency, pathophysiology, and significance of myocardial ischemia in the absence of significant CAD in women. 3. Evaluate the influence of hormones on pathophysiology and diagnostic test response. 9 In Brief • A four-center NHLBI-sponsored study • 936 women undergoing clinically ordered coronary angiography • Observational study 10 Observational Study • A type of study in which individuals are observed or certain outcomes measured; • No attempt to affect the outcome (e.g. no treatment); • Advantage: natural setting; • Drawbacks: - Hawthorne effect; - Association vs. causality; • Low in “Hierarchy of Evidence” - ???* *Concato 2004, NeuroRx 1:341-7. 11 Data Collection - 1 1. All Sites: WISE Core Data • • • • • • • • • • • • • Core lab quantitative angiographic analysis Demographics (age, race) CAD risk factors (smoking, diabetes) Medical hx (comorbidities, meds) Reproductive hx (hysterectomy, HRT use) Physical exam (weight, BP) DASI (functional capacity) Symptom history Psychological inventories (Beck, Spielberger) Block dietary data Baseline ECG Annual follow-up (adverse events, resource use) Study termination (lost to FU, withdrew consent). 12 Data Collection - 2 2. All Sites – Core Lab Blood Assays • Lipids (HDL, triglycerides) • Reproductive hormones (estradiol, FSH) • Androgens (testosterone, androsteindione) • Inflammatory markers (hs-CRP, SAA) • Phytoestrogens (genistein, daidzein) • Insulin, fasting glucose. 13 Data Collection - 3 3. Site-Specific Diagnostic Tests (# done) • • • • • • • • • • • Provocative coronary reactivity (coronary diameter change, flow reserve) (166) Brachial artery ultrasound (381) Exercise ECG (289) Pharmacological ECG (289) Dobutamine stress echo (171) SPECT (radionuclide perfusion) (452) MRI perfusion (177) LV mass (107) Holter monitoring (163) P-31 (MRI spectroscopy) (292) PROCEDURAL SYMPTOM QUESTIONNAIRE 14 WISE Organization Steering Committee NHLBI DSMB Core Laboratories P&P Committee Subcommittees Symptoms & Psychosocial Hormones Mortality classification P31 Ischemia Coordinating Center Angiographic Hormones, androgens, insulin, glucose Coronary reactivity Clinical Centers Brachial Artery Univ. Alabama Medical Center Birmingham ECG Univ. Florida, Gainesville Lipids UPMC, Pittsburgh Phytoestrogens Allegheny General Hosp. Pittsburgh Inflammatory markers P31 15 WISE Timeline - 1 Sept. 1996 Oct. 8557 women screened 22% eligible; 50% of these enrolled (N=936) 2005 2000 WISE Extension: Annual Follow-Ups WISE Extension Goals: • Determine incremental prognostic value of novel WISE tests • Determine prognostic value of female reproductive variables • Determine cost effectiveness of WISE tests • Genetics 16 • Inflammatory markers WISE Timeline - 2 Sept. 1996 Oct. 8557 women screened 22% eligible; 50% of these enrolled (N=936) 2005 2000 WISE Extension: Annual Follow-Ups ARIC FemHRT IVUS QWISE WTH Sildenafil WISE Ancillary Studies EWISE YWISE 17 Population Characteristics - 1 Age – years [mean + SD (range)] 58 + 12 (21-86) Postmenopausal (%) 76 Ethnic minority (%) 19 Chest pain or other symptoms (%) 94 CAD (50%+ stenosis) (%) 39 Prior MI or revascularization (%) BMI [mean + SD (range)] 29 29.7+6.6 (14.0-57.2) Obese (BMI > 30) (%) 41 Metabolic syndrome (%) 47 18 Population Characteristics - 2 Rx: Lipid Lowering (%) 29 Rx: Anti-Hypertensive (%) 48 Rx: Psychoactive (%) 30 Hx smoking (%) 53 Current smoking (%) 20 Diabetes (%) 25 Hx hypertension (%) 59 Hx dyslipidemia (%) 55 19 Reasons for Catheterization Chest pain 92% Shortness of breath 58% Abnormal stress test 45% Syncope 10% Preoperative clearance 4% Unknown 1% Other (e.g. fatigue, dizziness, nausea, EKG changes) 12% 20 Key Findings 21 WISE Goals 1. Develop accurate diagnostic approaches for CAD detection in women. • Is classic angina diagnostic for CAD in women? 2. Determine the frequency, pathophysiology, and significance of myocardial ischemia in the absence of significant CAD in women. 3. Evaluate the influence of hormones on pathophysiology and diagnostic test response. 22 Chest Pain / Angina • 481 WISE women • Symptomatic in prior year • No prior MI or procedure • 26% with CAD 23 Angina Determination Ask: are your symptoms • Substernal • Exertional / strong emotion • Relieved w/in 10 minutes by rest/nitroglycerin Definitions of Angina: • Typical Angina: all 3 present • Atypical Angina: 2 out of 3 present • Nonanginal chest pain: 1 present • “Asymptomatic:” 0 present 24 Probability* CAD by Anginal Classification and Age in Women 100 100 Age 35-45 80 60 80 60 45 40 3 1 0 20 7 2 NA Asymp 0 TA 100 32 40 16 20 Age 45-55 68 AA 84 NA Asymp Age 55-65 TA 100 AA 95 Age 65-75 80 80 60 54 60 46 40 40 13 20 5 20 17 12 NA Asymp 0 0 TA AA NA Asymp TA *Data from Diamond (1980 J Clin Invest. 65:1210-21) AA 25 Probability vs. WISE Prevalence* of CAD by Anginal Classification and Age 50 45 80 40 Age 45-55, n=141 60 30 16 20 10 32 40 12 10 22 12 3 1 0 0 20 18 20 7 2 8 0 TA 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 68 Age 35-45, n=57 AA NA Asymp TA 84 Age 55-65, n=137 100 AA NA Asymp 95 Age 65-75, n=114 80 46 60 34 21 24 13 51 36 40 5 7 54 30 17 20 12 22 0 TA AA NA Asymp TA AA NA Asymp * Adjusted for diabetes, dyslipidemia, smoking, SBP 26 Source: Johnson et al. Chapter 10 in Shaw & Redberg (Eds.) Contemporary Cardiology: Coronary Disease in Women. Humana Press 2004. Angina - Conclusions • Overall, typical angina is not a good diagnostic indicator of CAD in women; • After age 55, classic angina classification is moderately predictive of CAD. 27 WISE Goals 1. Develop accurate diagnostic approaches for CAD detection in women. 2. Determine the frequency, pathophysiology, and significance of myocardial ischemia in the absence of significant CAD in women. – Is metabolic dysfunction in the heart predictive of cardiovascular outcomes? 3. Evaluate the influence of hormones on pathophysiology and diagnostic test response. 28 P-31 Spectroscopy: Metabolic Dysfunction Spectra from Woman Volunteer: A) LV chamber B) Interventricular septum C) LV anterior wall • Phosphorus-31 nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS); • Normal PCr/ATP ratio ≈ 1.6 • 74 WISE women w/o CAD. • PCr/ATP ratio measured before & after handgrip stress • Abnormal defined <20% change • Measure of metabolic function in heart muscle 29 P-31 Normal vs. Abnormal Normal MRS n=60 Abnormal MRS n=14 (23%) p 56 (50-63) 57 (48-65) 0.72 <20% Stenosis 63 64 0.91 Diabetes 18 7 0.44 BMI > 30 30 50 0.21 Hx HTN 59 36 0.11 Fam Hx CAD 78 43 0.02 Hx Dyslipidemia 49 25 0.13 Ever Smoked 48 78 0.04 Current HT Use 52 64 0.43 Medians (IQ Range) or % Age No consistent relationship of CAD risk factors in normal vs abnormal MRS 30 P-31 Spectroscopy & Outcomes 1 No CAD/Normal MRS (n=60) No CAD/Abnormal MRS (n=14) CAD (n=352) Freedom from Events 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 Risk adjusted p=0.02 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 6 12 18 24 Months to First Event 30 36 Source: Johnson, Circulation 2004 31 P-31 Spectroscopy - Conclusion • Abnormal MRS spectroscopy results are found in about 20% of women with chest pain but no CAD; • This abnormality is predictive of cardiovascular events – ischemiarelated hospitalization. 32 WISE Goals 1. Develop accurate diagnostic approaches for CAD detection in women. 2. Determine the frequency, pathophysiology, and significance of myocardial ischemia in the absence of significant CAD in women. 3. Evaluate the influence of hormones on pathophysiology and diagnostic test response. – Is there a relationship between endogenous reproductive hormones and CAD? 33 Hypothalamic Hypoestrogenemia • 95 premenopausal WISE women • No exogenous hormones (OC) • HypoE defined as: E2<50 pg/mL + FSH<10 mlU/mL + LH<10 mlU/mL • 13 (14%) had CAD • 33 (35%) had hypoE • 26% non-white (mostly AA) 34 HypoE & CAD 100 % With HypoE 80 p=0.01 69 60 40 29 20 0 No CAD N=82 CAD N=13 35 HypoE & CAD Reproductive Hormones 36 HypoE & CAD Multivariate Models Independent Predictors of CAD HR 95% CI p HypoE 7.4 1.7, 33.3 0.008 Asp. Use 7.6 1.7, 33.7 0.008 ATPIII Risk>3% 8.3 1.2, 59.6 0.04 c = 0.86 NS variables: age, race, HTN, diabetes, BMI, WHR, smoking, family Hx, lipids, Beck depression, stress, typical angina. Independent Predictors of HypoE HR 95% CI p Anti-Anx. Meds 4.6 1.3, 15.7 0.02 Anti-Dep. Meds 0.1 .01, .92 0.04 Diabetes 3.4 1.1, 10.2 0.03 c = 0.70 37 Hypoestrogenemia - Conclusions • Premenopausal women with obstructive CAD are highly likely to have hypothalamic hypoestrogenemia; • This condition is related to anxiety (as suggested by anti-anxiety medications) and diabetes. 38 Summary of Key Findings • Diagnostic approaches for CAD Detection: – Chest pain is not a good indicator of CAD in women; • Myocardial Ischemia: – Coronary metabolic dysfunction occurs in about 20% of women with chest pain and no CAD; – It is highly predictive of CV events in these women; • Influence of Hormones: – Angiographic PRE women with CAD are highly likely to have hypothalamic hypoestrogenemia. 39 Publications / Publicity - 1 57 peer-reviewed publications. Additional topics: – – – – – – – – – – – Markers of ischemia Psychosocial / socioeconomic / ethnicity Obesity / metabolic syndrome Functional capacity Inflammatory markers / biomarkers Genetics Quality of care Cost assessment Renal insufficiency / anemia / diabetes WISE menopausal algorithm Novel risk factors 40 Publications / Publicity - 2 • WISE workshops: – AHA Scientific Conference on Molecular, Integrative and Clinical Approaches to Myocardial Ischemia, August 2001. – Women’s Ischemic Syndrome Evaluation. Current Status & Future Research Directions (NIH/NHLBI), October 2-4, 2002. 41 Publications / Publicity - 3 • 118 abstracts at scientific meetings: – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – American Heart Association American College of Cardiology Society for Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance International Congress on Coronary Artery Disease North American Menopause Society Inter-American Society of Hypertension American Psychosomatic Society AHA Forum on Quality of Care and Outcomes Research in Cardiovascular Disease and Stroke European Society of Cardiology International Society for Magnetic Resonance in Medicine Society for Cardiac Angiography and Interventions AHA Council on Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology International Symposium on Women’s Health and Menopause American Society for Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics Heart Failure Society of America First International Conference on Women, Heart Disease and Stroke 42 World Congress of Cardiology Publications / Publicity - 4 43 Impact 44 Future Plans • WISE 3 – – A new cohort – Apply new knowledge – Learn from past mistakes – Validate our findings – generate new hypotheses • Clinical Trials 45 WISE Women and Men • • • • • • • • • Sherry Kelsey, PhD Kevin Kip, PhD Richard Holubkov, PhD Marian Olson, MS Genevieve Barrow, MS Candace McClure, BS Gretchen Gierach, MPH Angela Pattison, BS Joe Bondi, BA 46 Back-Up Slides 47 WISE Exclusion Criteria • Comorbidity compromising 1-year follow-up; • Pregnancy; • Contra-indications to provocative diagnostic testing; • Cardiomyopathy; • NY Heart Association functional Class III-IV congestive heart failure; • Recent MI; • Significant valvular / congenital heart disease; • Language barrier to questionnaire testing. 48