Chapter 7 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition The Capital Asset Pricing Model Slide 7-1 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Chapter Summary Objective: To present the basic version of the model and its applicability. Slide 7-2 Assumptions Resulting Equilibrium Conditions The Security Market Line (SML) Black’s Zero Beta Model CAPM and Liquidity Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Demand for Stocks and Equilibrium Prices Imagine a world where all investors face the same opportunity set Each investor computes his/her optimal (tangency) portfolio – as in Chapter 6 The demand of this investor for a particular firm’s shares comes from this tangency portfolio Slide 7-3 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Demand for Stocks and Equilibrium Prices (cont’d) As the price of the shares falls, the demand for the shares increases The supply of shares is vertical, fixed and independent of the share price The CAPM shows the conditions that prevail when supply and demand are equal for all firms in investor’s opportunity set Slide 7-4 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Summary Reminder Objective: To present the basic version of the model and its applicability. Slide 7-5 Assumptions Resulting Equilibrium Conditions The Security Market Line (SML) Black’s Zero Beta Model CAPM and Liquidity Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) Equilibrium model that underlies all modern financial theory Derived using principles of diversification with simplified assumptions Markowitz, Sharpe, Lintner and Mossin are researchers credited with its development Slide 7-6 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Assumptions Individual investors are price takers Single-period investment horizon Investments are limited to traded financial assets No taxes, and transaction costs Slide 7-7 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Assumptions (cont’d) Information is costless and available to all investors Investors are rational mean-variance optimizers There are homogeneous expectations Slide 7-8 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Summary Reminder Objective: To present the basic version of the model and its applicability. Slide 7-9 Assumptions Resulting Equilibrium Conditions The Security Market Line (SML) Black’s Zero Beta Model CAPM and Liquidity Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Resulting Equilibrium Conditions All investors will hold the same portfolio of risky assets – market portfolio Market portfolio contains all securities and the proportion of each security is its market value as a percentage of total market value The market portfolio is on the efficient frontier and, moreover, it is the tangency portfolio Slide 7-10 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Resulting Equilibrium Conditions (cont’d) Risk premium on the market depends on the average risk aversion of all market participants Risk premium on an individual security is a function of its covariance with the market Slide 7-11 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Capital Market Line E(r) CML E(rM) M rf m Slide 7-12 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Slope and Market Risk Premium M rf E(rM) - rf = = = E(rM) rf = M Slide 7-13 The market portfolio Risk free rate Market risk premium Slope of the CML Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Summary Reminder Objective: To present the basic version of the model and its applicability. Slide 7-14 Assumptions Resulting Equilibrium Conditions The Security Market Line (SML) Black’s Zero Beta Model CAPM and Liquidity Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Expected Return and Risk on Individual Securities The risk premium on individual securities is a function of the individual security’s contribution to the risk of the market portfolio Individual security’s risk premium is a function of the covariance of returns with the assets that make up the market portfolio Slide 7-15 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Security Market Line E(r) SML E(rM) rf ß Slide 7-16 M = 1.0 ß Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition SML Relationships = Cov(ri,rm) / m2 Slope SML = E(rm) - rf = market risk premium E(r)SML = rf + [E(rm) - rf ] BetaM = Cov (rM,rM) / M2 = M2 / M2 = 1 Slide 7-17 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Sample Calculations for SML E(rm) - rf = .08 rf = .03 a) x = 1.25 E(rx) = .03 + 1.25(.08) = .13 or 13% b) y = .6 E(ry) = .03 + .6(.08) = .078 or 7.8% Slide 7-18 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Graph of Sample Calculations E(r) SML Rx=13% .08 Rm=11% Ry=7.8% 3% .6 ß Slide 7-19 1.0 1.25 ß ß y m x ß Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Disequilibrium Example E(r) SML 15% Rm=11% rf=3% 1.0 1.25 Slide 7-20 ß Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Disequilibrium Example Suppose a security with a of 1.25 is offering expected return of 15% According to SML, it should be 13% Under-priced: offering too high of a rate of return for its level of risk Slide 7-21 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Summary Reminder Objective: To present the basic version of the model and its applicability. Slide 7-22 Assumptions Resulting Equilibrium Conditions The Security Market Line (SML) Black’s Zero Beta Model CAPM and Liquidity Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Black’s Zero Beta Model Absence of a risk-free asset Combinations of portfolios on the efficient frontier are efficient All frontier portfolios have companion portfolios that are uncorrelated Returns on individual assets can be expressed as linear combinations of efficient portfolios Slide 7-23 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Black’s Zero Beta Model Formulation E(ri ) E(rQ ) E(rP ) E(rQ ) Slide 7-24 Cov(ri , rP ) Cov(rP , rQ ) P2 Cov(rP , rQ ) Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Efficient Portfolios and Zero Companions E(r) Q P E[rz (Q)] E[rz (P)] Z(Q) Z(P) Slide 7-25 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Zero Beta Market Model Cov(ri , rM ) E(ri ) E(rZ(M) ) E(rM ) E(rZ(M) ) M2 CAPM with E(rz (M)) replacing rf Slide 7-26 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Summary Reminder Objective: To present the basic version of the model and its applicability. Slide 7-27 Assumptions Resulting Equilibrium Conditions The Security Market Line (SML) Black’s Zero Beta Model CAPM and Liquidity Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition CAPM & Liquidity Liquidity – cost or ease with which an asset can be sold Illiquidity Premium Research supports a premium for illiquidity Slide 7-28 Amihud and Mendelson Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition CAPM with a Liquidity Premium E(ri ) rf i E(ri ) rf f(ci ) f (ci) = liquidity premium for security i f (ci) increases at a decreasing rate Slide 7-29 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003 Bodie Kane Marcus Perrakis Ryan INVESTMENTS, Fourth Canadian Edition Illiquidity and Average Returns Average monthly return (%) Bid-ask spread (%) Slide 7-30 Copyright © McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited, 2003