Quarter 2 Review 1. Arrows Impossibility Theorem • For any voting system it is possible to find a set of voters' preferences that will cause the voting system to violate a condition deemed desirable for a fair voting system. These conditions may include the Condorcet Winner Criterion and the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives condition. 2. Explain the Condorcet Winner Criterion • A voting system satisfies the Condorcet Winner Criterion if the winner of an election is also the Condorcet winner, if a Condorcet winner exists. 3. Use the preference schedule of 23 voters shown below to answer the following question(s). Number of Voters 8 5 First choice A C Second choice C A Third choice B B 6 B C A 4 B A C Which candidate, if any, wins in a majority rule election? There is no majority-rule winner. 4. Use the preference schedule of 23 voters shown below to answer the following question(s). Number of Voters 8 5 First choice A C Second choice C A Third choice B B 6 B C A 4 B A C If a rank method is used, which candidate, if any, wins in a straight plurality election? B wins in a straight plurality vote. 5. Use the preference schedule of 23 voters shown below to answer the following question(s). Number of Voters 8 5 First choice A C Second choice C A Third choice B B 6 B C A 4 B A C Which candidate, if any, wins if an election is held between A and C and the winner of that race runs against B? Who wins the final election? A wins. Use the preference schedule of 23 voters shown below to answer the following question(s). First choice Second choice Third choice 8 A C B Number of Voters 5 6 C B A C B A 4 B A C If a Borda count is used that assigns 3 points for a first place vote, 2 points for a second place vote, and 1 point for a third place vote, who wins the election? A wins Use the preference schedule of 23 voters shown below to answer the following question(s). First choice Second choice Third choice 8 A C B Number of Voters 5 6 C B A C B A 4 B A C Can the four voters in the last column vote strategically to change the outcome of question 6 to one they would like better? Why or why not? No. They cannot make B win the election and if they switch any rankings to place C higher, then C would win and this is their least desirable outcome. Seventeen board members vote on four candidates, A, B, C, or D, for a new position on their board. Their preference schedules are shown below. First choice Second choice Third choice Fourth choice Number of Members 7 6 4 A D C B A B C B D D C A • Which candidate will be selected if they use the Hare system? D wins. Seventeen board members vote on four candidates, A, B, C, or D, for a new position on their board. Their preference schedules are shown below. First choice Second choice Third choice Fourth choice Number of Members 7 6 4 A D C B A B C B D D C A • Using the Hare system according to the preference schedules shown, what happens if A rejects the offer before the ranking? B wins. Consider the following preference table: Number of voters 3 2 2 First choice A B C Second choice B C B Third choice C A A Which candidate will be chosen if majority rule is used? No one wins. 11. How many ways can one rank 3 candidates if ties are allowed? • 3!+3C2+3C2+3C3=13 After their star pitcher moved to another town, the eight remaining members of the company baseball team needed to select a new pitcher. They used approval voting on the four prospects, and the results are listed below. An “X” indicates an approval vote. Alan X Bob X X X X Chuck X David X X X X X Which pitcher is chosen if just one is to be selected? Bob X X X X X What is agenda manipulation? The ability to control the winner of an election by the selection of a particular agenda. Explain the difference between sincere and strategic voting. Sincere voting means submitting a ballot that reflects the voter's true preferences. Strategic voting means submitting a ballot that does not reflect the voter's true preferences but will lead to an outcome the voter likes better than would occur if the voter voted sincerely. 15. If a voting system has three or more alternatives, satisfies the Pareto condition, always produces a unique winner, and is not a dictatorship, what conclusion follows from the GS theorem? The voting method can be manipulated. Are there voting methods that are group manipulable though not individual manipulable? Yes, plurality, for example. A seventeen-member committee must elect one of four candidates: R, S, T, or W. See the preference schedule below. First choice Second choice Third choice Fourth choice Number of Members 6 4 3 4 R S T W S R S T T T R S W W W R R wins using the plurality method. Could those members who most prefer W vote strategically in some way to change the outcome in a way that will benefit them? Yes. If these four voters ranked candidate T first, T would win with 7 votes. Since the voters prefer T to R, this outcome would be more desirable. A seventeen-member committee must elect one of four candidates: R, S, T, or W. See the preference schedule below. First choice Second choice Third choice Fourth choice Number of Members 6 4 3 4 R S T W S R S T T T R S W W W R R wins using the plurality method. Could those members who most prefer T vote strategically in some way to change the outcome in a way that will benefit them? Yes. If these three voters ranked candidate S first, S would win with 7 votes. Since the voters prefer S to R, this outcome would be more desirable. A seventeen-member committee must elect one of four candidates: R, S, T, or W. See the preference schedule below. First choice Second choice Third choice Fourth choice Number of Members 6 4 3 4 R S T W S R S T T T R S W W W R R wins using the plurality method. Could those members who most prefer S vote strategically in some way to change the outcome in a way that will benefit them? No 20. A seventeen-member committee must elect one of four candidates: R, S, T, or W. See the preference schedule below. First choice Second choice Third choice Fourth choice Number of Members 6 4 3 4 R S T W S R S T T T R S W W W R Is it possible to manipulate the results of a sequential pairwise election? No. S will always win. A seventeen-member committee must elect one of four candidates: R, S, T, or W. See the preference schedule below. First choice Second choice Third choice Fourth choice Number of Members 6 4 3 4 R S T W S R S T T T R S W W W R In a plurality runoff election, candidate S wins. What would happen if the four voters who prefer W insincerely voted for T instead? Is this in their best interests? T and R would face off in the runoff, and R would win. In this case, their least favorite candidate would win instead of a higher ranked alternative. A seventeen-member committee must elect one of four candidates: R, S, T, or W. See the preference schedule below. First choice Second choice Third choice Fourth choice Number of Members 6 4 3 4 R S T W S R S T T T R S W W W R In a plurality runoff election, candidate S wins. What would happen if the four voters who prefer T insincerely voted for S instead? Is this in their best interests? S and R would face off in the runoff, but S would again win. They cannot force a win for their first choice, but they can show allegiance to their second choice and eventual winner. An 11-member committee must choose one of the four applicants, K, L, M, and N, for membership on the committee. Number of Members 6 2 3 First choice K M M Second choice L L N Third choice N K L Fourth choice M N K The committee members have preferences among the applicants as given in the table. If the committee uses pairwise sequential voting with the agenda K, L, M, N, applicant K wins. Can the three voters who least prefer K vote strategically in some way to change the outcome to one they find more favorable? Why or why not? No. The six voters who most prefer applicant K represent a majority of the committee. No matter how the three voters rank the applicants, K will win. 24. An 11-member committee must choose one of the four applicants, K, L, M, and N, for membership on the committee. Number of Members 6 2 3 First choice K M M Second choice L L N Third choice N K L Fourth choice M N K The committee members have preferences among the applicants as given in the table. If the committee uses pairwise sequential voting with the agenda K, L, M, N, applicant K wins. Is it possible that another agenda will yield a different winner? No. The six voters who most prefer applicant K represent a majority of the committee. No matter how the voters are ordered, K will win. 25. An 11-member committee must choose one of the four applicants, K, L, M, and N, for membership on the committee. Number of Members 6 2 3 First choice K M M Second choice L L N Third choice N K L Fourth choice M N K The committee uses the Borda count method. The committee members have preferences among the applicants as given in the table. Who wins the election? Can the group of three voters favorably impact the results through insincere voting? K currently wins. Yes. For example, by exchanging L and N, L will win instead. An 11-member committee must choose one of the four applicants, K, L, M, and N, for membership on the committee. Number of Members 6 2 3 First choice K M M Second choice L L N Third choice N K L Fourth choice M N K The committee uses the Borda count method. The committee members have preferences among the applicants as given in the table. Who wins the election? Can the group of two voters favorably impact the results through insincere voting? K currently wins. Yes. For example, by exchanging L and M, L will win instead. An 11-member committee must choose one of the four applicants, K, L, M, and N, for membership on the committee. Number of Members 6 2 3 First choice K M M Second choice L L N Third choice N K L Fourth choice M N K The committee uses the Borda count method. The committee members have preferences among the applicants as given in the table. Suppose the group of six suspect that the group of two intends to insincerely exchange M and L in their rankings. Can the group of six counteract in order to protect K as the winner? Yes. If the group of two exchange M and L and the group of six exchange L and N, K will still win. There are 18 delegates to a political party's convention at which four people, A, B, C, and D, have been nominated as the party's candidate for governor. The delegates' preference schedule is shown below. If the party uses a Borda count, candidate B would be elected. Can the four voters who most prefer C vote strategically in some way to change this outcome to one they would find more favorable? Why or why not? First choice Second choice Third choice Fourth choice Number of Delegates 8 9 4 A B C B A B C D A D C D No. They do not have enough votes to make C win under any possible ranking. Their second choice is B, who is the winner. Consider an 11-member committee that must choose one of three alternatives, X, Y, or Z, using the Hare system. Their schedule of preferences is shown below. Number of Voters 5 4 2 First choice Z X Y Second choice Y Y X Third choice X Z Z Who wins? Is it possible for the group of five voters to change the outcome in a way that would benefit them? X wins. If the group of five voters exchange their rankings of Y and Z, then Y wins. 30. Consider an 11-member committee that must choose one of three alternatives, X, Y, or Z, using the Hare system. Their schedule of preferences is shown below. Number of Voters 5 4 2 First choice Z X Y Second choice Y Y X Third choice X Z Z Who wins? Is it possible for the group of two voters to change the outcome in a way that would benefit them? X wins. The group of two voters cannot change the outcomes by insincerely changing their preference ordering. Consider an 11-member committee that must choose one of three alternatives, X, Y, or Z, using the Hare system. Their schedule of preferences is shown below. Number of Voters 5 4 2 First choice Z X Y Second choice Y Y X Third choice X Z Z The committee suspects that the group of five plans to insincerely reorder their preferences as Y, Z, X. How can the group of four respond? If the group of five exchange Y and Z, then Y wins. The group of four cannot retaliate against this change. Twenty-nine voters must choose from among three alternatives, A, B, and C, using the Borda count method. The voters' preference schedules are shown below. First choice Second choice Third choice Number of Voters 12 8 6 B C A C A B A B C 3 C B A Who wins Borda count? Can the group of six voters change their preference list to produce an outcome they like better? C wins. If the group of six exchange A and B in their rankings, then B will win instead. Twenty-nine voters must choose from among three alternatives, A, B, and C, using the Borda count method. The voters' preference schedules are shown below. First choice Second choice Third choice Number of Voters 12 8 6 B C A C A B A B C 3 C B A Suppose the group of voters anticipate that the group of six plan to insincerely rank B above A. How can the remaining voters respond in their own rankings? B is the winner. The remaining voters are unable to alter their rankings in order to elect a more favored candidate. Given the weighted voting system [30: 20, 17, 10, 5], list all winning coalitions. • (A, D) (A, C) (B, C, D) (A, B, C) (A, B, D) (A, C, D) (A, B, C, D) 35. Given the weighted voting system [51: 45, 43, 7, 5], list all blocking coalitions. • (A, B) (A, C) (A, B, C) (A, B, D) (A, C, D) (A, D) (B, C) (B, C, D) (A, B, C, D) Given the weighted voting system [30: 20, 17, 10, 5], list all blocking coalitions. • (A, B) (A, C) (A, B, C) (A, B, D) (A, C, D) (B, C, D) (A, B, C, D) (A, D) (B, C) Given the weighted voting system [5: 3, 2, 1, 1, 1], find which voters of the coalition { A, C, D, E} are critical. Since the coalition { A, C, D, E} has one extra vote, the only member who is critical is voter A with weight 3. Given the weighted voting system [7: 4, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1], find the Banzhaf power index for each voter. (32, 20, 20, 20, 20, 20) Calculate the Shapley-Shubik power index for the weighted voting system [30: 20, 17, 10, 5]. 5 ( , 12 1 , 4 1 , 4 1 ) 12 40. Given the weighted voting system [16: 3, 9, 4, 5, 10], calculate the Banzhaf power index for each voter. (4, 8, 4, 4, 8) A weighted voting system has 12 members. How many distinct coalitions are there in which exactly six members vote yes? 120